Archive

Monthly Archives: March 2018

There is pretty much no chance that the committee will see it this way. Pythag has a lot more respect for the Big 10 than the RPI has, and it shows here with the Big 10 getting three teams on the top two seed lines. Surprisingly (to me anyway), the ACC would only get one.

In a WAB (or Implied Pythag) world, Nebraska would be safely in. Ditto for St. Mary’s. Marquette and Middle Tennessee would be the last teams in, while Oklahoma State would be the first team out.

Kansas as a #1 seed makes a lot more sense if you discount everything the Big 10 did. Duke and UNC would both move up to the #2 line as well. Of course, all of this is moot because RPI still rules the world. C’est la vie.

School Seed
Virginia 1
Villanova 1
Michigan St. 1
Xavier 1
Kansas 2
Purdue 2
Michigan 2
Cincinnati 2
Duke 3
North Carolina 3
Tennessee 3
Gonzaga 3
West Virginia 4
Texas Tech 4
Clemson 4
Ohio St. 4
Auburn 5
Kentucky 5
Wichita St. 5
Arizona 5
Houston 6
Miami FL 6
Kansas St. 6
Arkansas 6
Nevada 7
TCU 7
Rhode Island 7
Seton Hall 7
Virginia Tech 8
Texas A&M 8
St. Bonaventure 8
Nebraska 8
Loyola Chicago 9
Saint Mary’s 9
Creighton 9
New Mexico St. 9
Florida 10
Providence 10
Oklahoma 10
North Carolina St. 10
Florida St. 11
Texas 11
Butler 11.1
Louisville 12.1
South Dakota St. 11
Middle Tennessee 12.1
Marquette 11.1
Murray St. 12
UNC Greensboro 12
Buffalo 12
San Diego St. 13
Montana 13
College of Charleston 13
Davidson 13
Stephen F. Austin 14
Bucknell 14
Marshall 14
Penn 14
Lipscomb 15
Wright St. 15
UMBC 15
Georgia St. 15
Cal St. Fullerton 16
Radford 16
Iona 16.1
Texas Southern 16.2
LIU Brooklyn 16.2
North Carolina Central 16.1
Oklahoma St. Out
Missouri Out
UCLA Out
Baylor Out
Mississippi St. Out
Syracuse Out
USC Out
Notre Dame Out
Advertisements

Well see how these play out in a little over four hours:

Alabama: In. Lock.

Arizona State: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Baylor: Out.

Butler: In. Lock.

Florida State: In. Lock.

Kansas State: In. Lock.

Louisville: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Marquette: Out.

Middle Tennessee: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Missouri: In. Lock.

NC State: In. Lock.

Nebraska: Out.

Notre Dame: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Oklahoma: In. Slight chance of missing the field.

Oklahoma State: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Providence: In. Lock.

St. Bonaventure: In. Lock. (I’m as shocked as you are)

St. Mary’s: In. Slight chance of missing the field.

Syracuse: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Texas: In. Lock.

UCLA: In. Lock.

USC: In. Lock.

Utah: Out.

Virginia Tech: In. Lock.

Sorry Nebraska.

Full tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School Implied Pythag Rank Implied Pythag WAB Avg Rank WAB Pythag Rank Pythag
Virginia 0.9892 1 11.42 1 0.9710 1
Villanova 0.9723 2 9.46 2 0.9701 2
Michigan St. 0.9678 3 7.52 5 0.9538 6
Xavier 0.9639 4 7.73 3 0.9211 13
Cincinnati 0.9557 5 5.36 11 0.9580 4
Michigan 0.9555 6 6.60 9 0.9271 11
Purdue 0.9537 7 6.89 7 0.9564 5
Kansas 0.9525 8 7.55 4 0.9397 8
Duke 0.9510 9 6.82 8 0.9646 3
Gonzaga 0.9487 10 4.47 12 0.9369 9
North Carolina 0.9473 11 6.93 6 0.9436 7
Tennessee 0.9454 12 6.37 10 0.9169 14
Clemson 0.9252 13 4.00 15 0.9010 19
Texas Tech 0.9247 14 4.33 14 0.9255 12
Ohio St. 0.9236 15 3.90 17 0.9088 16
West Virginia 0.9235 16 4.45 13 0.9300 10
Auburn 0.9227 17 3.91 16 0.8989 21
Houston 0.9220 18 3.17 21 0.9027 18
Wichita St. 0.9194 19 3.35 19 0.9127 15
Arizona 0.9137 20 3.50 18 0.8995 20
Kentucky 0.9081 21 3.35 20 0.9037 17
Miami FL 0.9056 22 2.64 22 0.8638 35
Rhode Island 0.9016 23 2.04 25 0.8508 39
Kansas St. 0.8951 24 2.26 24 0.8425 44
Arkansas 0.8928 25 2.37 23 0.8577 38
Nevada 0.8924 26 1.99 26 0.8679 34
TCU 0.8872 27 1.89 27 0.8941 22
Virginia Tech 0.8843 28 1.47 30 0.8709 30
Seton Hall 0.8833 29 1.61 28 0.8760 26
Loyola Chicago 0.8819 30 1.17 33 0.8168 54
St. Bonaventure 0.8818 31 1.34 32 0.7895 60
Nebraska 0.8812 32 1.36 31 0.7987 57
Texas A&M 0.8810 33 1.56 29 0.8708 31
Saint Mary’s 0.8798 34 1.01 36 0.8705 32
New Mexico St. 0.8785 35 0.94 38 0.7918 59
Creighton 0.8758 36 1.13 34 0.8873 24
Florida 0.8727 37 1.12 35 0.8917 23
Providence 0.8705 38 0.99 37 0.7964 58
Florida St. 0.8703 39 0.82 42 0.8614 37
North Carolina St. 0.8702 40 0.84 41 0.8348 47
Oklahoma 0.8692 41 0.89 39 0.8465 42
Texas 0.8676 42 0.84 40 0.8614 36
Butler 0.8673 43 0.79 43 0.8809 25
Louisville 0.8629 44 0.50 44 0.8756 27
South Dakota St. 0.8602 45 0.37 45 0.7387 82
Middle Tennessee 0.8567 46 0.29 46 0.8166 55
Marquette 0.8566 47 0.28 47 0.8210 52
Oklahoma St. 0.8507 48 0.01 48 0.8197 53
Missouri 0.8461 49 -0.18 50 0.8442 43
UCLA 0.8453 50 -0.17 49 0.8282 49
Baylor 0.8450 51 -0.23 51 0.8696 33
Mississippi St. 0.8436 52 -0.24 52 0.7870 61
Syracuse 0.8393 53 -0.45 53 0.8278 50
USC 0.8375 54 -0.52 54 0.8478 41
Notre Dame 0.8352 55 -0.60 55 0.8714 29
Penn St. 0.8272 56 -0.91 59 0.8728 28
Alabama 0.8265 57 -1.19 62 0.8288 48
Boise St. 0.8250 58 -0.79 58 0.8078 56
Murray St. 0.8223 59 -0.61 56 0.7727 70
Louisiana Lafayette 0.8215 60 -0.72 57 0.7804 68
Maryland 0.8206 61 -1.10 61 0.8499 40
Georgia 0.8160 62 -1.57 65 0.7851 64
Utah 0.8113 63 -1.42 63 0.7820 66
Vermont 0.8099 64 -1.08 60 0.7622 75
Arizona St. 0.8069 65 -1.58 66 0.8389 46
Boston College 0.7986 66 -1.98 72 0.7611 77
San Diego St. 0.7927 67 -1.92 70 0.8261 51
Old Dominion 0.7925 68 -1.65 67 0.7801 69
Buffalo 0.7907 69 -1.73 68 0.7528 79
Western Kentucky 0.7901 70 -1.97 71 0.7818 67
LSU 0.7878 71 -2.36 76 0.7870 62
BYU 0.7877 72 -1.99 73 0.7674 72
UNC Greensboro 0.7868 73 -1.44 64 0.7120 90
Oregon 0.7793 74 -2.63 78 0.7834 65
Montana 0.7758 75 -1.84 69 0.6992 94
Washington 0.7698 76 -2.80 79 0.6718 105
Temple 0.7692 77 -3.05 81 0.7257 85
College of Charleston 0.7600 78 -2.08 74 0.6265 117
South Carolina 0.7572 79 -3.62 90 0.7521 80
St. John’s 0.7563 80 -3.65 91 0.7615 76
Indiana 0.7544 81 -3.16 85 0.7702 71
Davidson 0.7426 82 -3.12 84 0.8392 45
South Dakota 0.7375 83 -2.46 77 0.7642 74
Stephen F. Austin 0.7357 84 -2.10 75 0.6383 114
Wisconsin 0.7319 85 -4.19 97 0.7857 63
Marshall 0.7300 86 -3.32 87 0.6159 121
UCF 0.7296 87 -3.67 92 0.6750 104
Bucknell 0.7293 88 -3.03 80 0.7096 92
Belmont 0.7271 89 -3.12 83 0.7261 84
Stanford 0.7266 90 -4.37 101 0.7156 88
East Tennessee St. 0.7261 91 -3.05 82 0.6993 93
Colorado 0.7173 92 -4.63 106 0.6313 116
Northeastern 0.7168 93 -3.90 93 0.6859 97
Memphis 0.7136 94 -4.13 96 0.5376 153
Wyoming 0.7128 95 -4.39 102 0.6005 128
Iowa St. 0.7060 96 -4.69 108 0.6990 95
Rider 0.7034 97 -3.56 89 0.5645 136
Northwestern 0.7025 98 -4.88 110 0.7574 78
Penn 0.6978 99 -3.47 88 0.6326 115
Fresno St. 0.6975 100 -4.23 98 0.7449 81
Tulsa 0.6915 101 -4.28 99 0.6618 107
Wright St. 0.6869 102 -3.94 94 0.5744 133
Lipscomb 0.6817 103 -3.23 86 0.4912 173
Georgetown 0.6792 104 -4.44 103 0.6811 99
Minnesota 0.6682 105 -5.36 113 0.6771 101
Furman 0.6666 106 -3.97 95 0.7107 91
Toledo 0.6631 107 -5.07 112 0.6193 120
Illinois St. 0.6616 108 -6.60 137 0.5393 151
UNLV 0.6615 109 -5.57 116 0.6763 102
UC Davis 0.6588 110 -4.84 109 0.5524 145
UC Santa Barbara 0.6572 111 -4.35 100 0.5737 134
Vanderbilt 0.6572 112 -6.54 133 0.7265 83
Southern Illinois 0.6548 113 -5.85 119 0.5484 147
Utah Valley 0.6452 114 -4.53 104 0.6848 98
Iowa 0.6438 115 -6.58 135 0.7244 86
Georgia St. 0.6419 116 -5.48 115 0.6637 106
Bradley 0.6407 117 -6.28 128 0.5760 132
New Mexico 0.6385 118 -6.58 136 0.6588 109
UMBC 0.6361 119 -4.56 105 0.4481 184
UT Arlington 0.6350 120 -5.71 117 0.6221 119
Northern Kentucky 0.6348 121 -4.65 107 0.7138 89
SMU 0.6177 122 -6.07 126 0.7662 73
Illinois 0.6126 123 -6.99 146 0.6970 96
Idaho 0.6125 124 -5.03 111 0.5590 141
William & Mary 0.6119 125 -6.06 124 0.5163 164
Georgia Tech 0.6116 126 -6.65 140 0.6432 111
VCU 0.6074 127 -7.16 149 0.6053 125
Hofstra 0.6066 128 -6.06 125 0.5372 154
Connecticut 0.6056 129 -6.47 130 0.5203 160
Mississippi 0.6056 130 -7.61 156 0.6755 103
San Diego 0.6054 131 -5.93 122 0.5880 129
Cal St. Fullerton 0.6027 132 -5.87 120 0.4905 175
Oregon St. 0.6022 133 -7.30 153 0.6780 100
Wofford 0.6018 134 -5.90 121 0.5311 156
Harvard 0.5976 135 -6.37 129 0.5717 135
Georgia Southern 0.5958 136 -6.84 144 0.5599 140
Northern Colorado 0.5939 137 -6.68 141 0.6049 126
Canisius 0.5874 138 -6.54 132 0.5832 130
Iona 0.5828 139 -7.30 152 0.6077 124
Northern Iowa 0.5794 140 -7.70 160 0.6138 122
Albany 0.5763 141 -5.93 123 0.5544 143
DePaul 0.5704 142 -7.46 154 0.6614 108
UAB 0.5699 143 -6.75 143 0.6407 112
UNC Asheville 0.5689 144 -6.14 127 0.4425 185
Wake Forest 0.5652 145 -8.01 164 0.7212 87
Eastern Washington 0.5651 146 -7.75 161 0.5429 150
Utah St. 0.5647 147 -8.38 171 0.5599 139
Ball St. 0.5644 148 -7.11 148 0.4915 172
Saint Louis 0.5635 149 -8.23 168 0.5615 137
Radford 0.5607 150 -6.48 131 0.4678 180
San Francisco 0.5604 151 -7.20 150 0.5388 152
Missouri St. 0.5596 152 -8.65 178 0.6249 118
Grand Canyon 0.5572 153 -5.81 118 0.6485 110
Eastern Michigan 0.5562 154 -7.01 147 0.5312 155
Rutgers 0.5544 155 -7.24 151 0.6024 127
Drake 0.5542 156 -8.79 180 0.4952 170
Saint Joseph’s 0.5513 157 -8.45 174 0.6398 113
Portland St. 0.5452 158 -7.51 155 0.5076 165
Wagner 0.5442 159 -5.39 114 0.4640 182
Southeastern Louisiana 0.5410 160 -6.54 134 0.4031 200
Weber St. 0.5399 161 -6.68 142 0.5190 162
Jacksonville St. 0.5363 162 -6.95 145 0.5545 142
Evansville 0.5358 163 -8.40 172 0.5283 159
Niagara 0.5256 164 -8.12 165 0.4039 198
UTSA 0.5144 165 -7.96 163 0.4539 183
Dayton 0.5092 166 -9.71 190 0.5294 157
UC Irvine 0.5070 167 -9.50 184 0.5508 146
Nicholls St. 0.5052 168 -6.60 138 0.4331 189
Tennessee Tech 0.4992 169 -8.16 166 0.3622 221
Yale 0.4979 170 -8.43 173 0.4656 181
Florida Gulf Coast 0.4932 171 -6.62 139 0.6133 123
Austin Peay 0.4931 172 -7.86 162 0.4030 201
George Mason 0.4907 173 -9.96 195 0.3806 211
Washington St. 0.4895 174 -10.12 198 0.4386 188
Oakland 0.4885 175 -8.24 169 0.5074 166
Towson 0.4874 176 -9.26 182 0.5600 138
Seattle 0.4824 177 -7.67 158 0.4097 196
Mercer 0.4818 178 -8.24 170 0.5819 131
George Washington 0.4801 179 -10.03 197 0.4390 187
Tulane 0.4692 180 -8.63 177 0.5073 167
Valparaiso 0.4635 181 -10.37 203 0.5466 148
Winthrop 0.4619 182 -7.66 157 0.5289 158
Fort Wayne 0.4565 183 -8.56 175 0.5189 163
Western Michigan 0.4552 184 -9.97 196 0.4417 186
Colgate 0.4498 185 -8.60 176 0.4109 195
Navy 0.4480 186 -8.17 167 0.3696 216
Louisiana Tech 0.4467 187 -9.75 191 0.5439 149
La Salle 0.4467 188 -11.16 222 0.5529 144
Hartford 0.4445 189 -9.10 181 0.3394 230
Richmond 0.4424 190 -11.51 229 0.4918 171
Kent St. 0.4401 191 -11.04 215 0.3967 205
Pacific 0.4399 192 -10.38 204 0.4724 179
Hawaii 0.4359 193 -8.72 179 0.3870 208
Central Michigan 0.4319 194 -9.61 187 0.4844 177
Miami OH 0.4314 195 -11.13 221 0.4211 193
Long Beach St. 0.4286 196 -10.64 208 0.3924 206
Indiana St. 0.4273 197 -11.10 219 0.5193 161
Fairfield 0.4202 198 -10.47 206 0.3896 207
Troy 0.4198 199 -10.83 210 0.4906 174
Southern Miss 0.4104 200 -10.69 209 0.3322 232
Liberty 0.4097 201 -9.83 192 0.4998 168
Denver 0.4062 202 -9.88 193 0.3684 218
Bowling Green 0.4023 203 -11.25 223 0.3245 234
St. Francis PA 0.4015 204 -7.67 159 0.4037 199
Sam Houston St. 0.3938 205 -9.56 185 0.3618 223
Louisiana Monroe 0.3916 206 -9.64 188 0.3608 224
North Dakota St. 0.3903 207 -10.47 207 0.4954 169
Princeton 0.3893 208 -10.33 202 0.4799 178
Massachusetts 0.3815 209 -12.94 256 0.4213 192
Illinois Chicago 0.3814 210 -10.26 200 0.4022 202
Tennessee St. 0.3769 211 -9.60 186 0.3791 213
Ohio 0.3763 212 -11.42 226 0.4245 191
Lehigh 0.3732 213 -9.65 189 0.3620 222
North Texas 0.3721 214 -11.01 214 0.4127 194
Elon 0.3676 215 -12.08 242 0.3302 233
Appalachian St. 0.3621 216 -12.62 252 0.3992 203
Duquesne 0.3607 217 -11.07 217 0.4314 190
Pittsburgh 0.3595 218 -11.06 216 0.3586 226
Central Arkansas 0.3589 219 -10.90 212 0.3760 215
Colorado St. 0.3581 220 -12.34 248 0.3434 229
Lamar 0.3562 221 -9.94 194 0.4071 197
Akron 0.3553 222 -12.57 251 0.3006 248
Manhattan 0.3534 223 -12.28 243 0.3824 209
Air Force 0.3533 224 -12.28 244 0.3050 244
Robert Morris 0.3501 225 -11.95 239 0.2999 249
Boston University 0.3500 226 -11.58 232 0.3205 236
Texas St. 0.3445 227 -13.16 259 0.3598 225
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.3410 228 -11.28 224 0.2617 269
Cornell 0.3405 229 -11.10 220 0.2765 263
Monmouth 0.3367 230 -13.55 269 0.4869 176
Saint Peter’s 0.3356 231 -12.99 258 0.3802 212
Mount St. Mary’s 0.3333 232 -10.22 199 0.3154 239
Milwaukee 0.3324 233 -12.28 245 0.3777 214
Western Carolina 0.3285 234 -11.64 233 0.1992 305
Coastal Carolina 0.3275 235 -13.23 262 0.3988 204
Stony Brook 0.3221 236 -12.71 254 0.3695 217
Delaware 0.3216 237 -13.73 274 0.2967 253
Drexel 0.3213 238 -14.43 284 0.3019 246
South Alabama 0.3149 239 -12.71 253 0.3665 219
LIU Brooklyn 0.3073 240 -13.16 260 0.2946 255
Southern Utah 0.3058 241 -12.85 255 0.2435 278
Northern Illinois 0.3056 242 -13.58 271 0.3012 247
Grambling St. 0.3030 243 -10.30 201 0.1849 315
North Dakota 0.3027 244 -13.26 263 0.2876 258
Idaho St. 0.3021 245 -11.68 235 0.2969 252
North Florida 0.3018 246 -11.30 225 0.2255 289
Loyola Marymount 0.2984 247 -12.35 249 0.3340 231
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.2977 248 -11.56 231 0.3171 238
New Orleans 0.2961 249 -10.94 213 0.2646 267
Campbell 0.2847 250 -11.55 230 0.3660 220
Southeast Missouri St. 0.2847 251 -12.56 250 0.2714 264
Gardner Webb 0.2825 252 -12.05 241 0.2812 261
North Carolina A&T 0.2779 253 -10.45 205 0.1922 308
UNC Wilmington 0.2740 254 -14.87 292 0.3199 237
Abilene Christian 0.2691 255 -11.66 234 0.2683 266
Oral Roberts 0.2683 256 -13.49 267 0.3053 243
Quinnipiac 0.2674 257 -16.18 307 0.2387 282
FIU 0.2660 258 -13.75 275 0.2956 254
Charleston Southern 0.2657 259 -11.49 228 0.3072 242
California 0.2644 260 -14.35 281 0.3217 235
Central Connecticut 0.2624 261 -13.91 278 0.1910 310
Holy Cross 0.2605 262 -15.00 294 0.2448 276
Montana St. 0.2587 263 -14.42 283 0.2534 274
Brown 0.2585 264 -11.72 238 0.2780 262
Florida Atlantic 0.2572 265 -13.35 266 0.3032 245
Army 0.2562 266 -13.60 272 0.3080 241
Eastern Illinois 0.2541 267 -13.68 273 0.2939 256
Savannah St. 0.2471 268 -9.43 183 0.1690 320
Fordham 0.2470 269 -15.03 296 0.2361 283
High Point 0.2461 270 -12.33 247 0.3441 228
Western Illinois 0.2461 271 -11.47 227 0.2254 290
UTEP 0.2448 272 -14.52 286 0.2988 250
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2426 273 -13.18 261 0.2632 268
NJIT 0.2406 274 -11.71 237 0.2974 251
Prairie View A&M 0.2364 275 -12.03 240 0.2483 275
Hampton 0.2364 276 -11.08 218 0.2873 259
Texas Southern 0.2322 277 -10.90 211 0.3140 240
James Madison 0.2318 278 -16.64 314 0.3443 227
Arkansas St. 0.2278 279 -15.43 299 0.2589 271
Santa Clara 0.2268 280 -13.53 268 0.2565 273
South Florida 0.2242 281 -14.77 290 0.2396 281
Bethune Cookman 0.2214 282 -11.68 236 0.2061 301
East Carolina 0.2206 283 -13.29 264 0.2041 302
St. Francis NY 0.2188 284 -14.52 285 0.1906 311
IUPUI 0.2185 285 -13.80 276 0.2337 286
Cleveland St. 0.2155 286 -16.92 317 0.2075 299
UMass Lowell 0.2133 287 -14.21 280 0.2300 287
Portland 0.2098 288 -14.70 288 0.2608 270
Nebraska Omaha 0.2088 289 -14.37 282 0.2569 272
Eastern Kentucky 0.2080 290 -14.69 287 0.2274 288
Green Bay 0.2057 291 -14.76 289 0.2877 257
North Carolina Central 0.2043 292 -12.32 246 0.2175 293
SIU Edwardsville 0.2010 293 -15.50 300 0.1736 319
Jacksonville 0.1988 294 -13.57 270 0.1630 324
UMKC 0.1859 295 -15.56 302 0.2157 295
Cal Poly 0.1844 296 -17.06 320 0.1664 323
McNeese St. 0.1838 297 -12.95 257 0.2005 303
The Citadel 0.1811 298 -14.91 293 0.1864 314
Columbia 0.1783 299 -13.86 277 0.3820 210
UC Riverside 0.1781 300 -16.72 316 0.2435 277
Lafayette 0.1701 301 -16.92 318 0.2421 279
Siena 0.1696 302 -18.34 328 0.2200 292
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1654 303 -16.43 312 0.1307 330
Samford 0.1617 304 -15.30 297 0.2405 280
Kennesaw St. 0.1598 305 -14.80 291 0.1999 304
Binghamton 0.1580 306 -16.17 306 0.2235 291
Loyola MD 0.1564 307 -17.39 322 0.1899 312
Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.1556 308 -14.19 279 0.1915 309
Chattanooga 0.1551 309 -17.62 323 0.2171 294
Morehead St. 0.1539 310 -15.00 295 0.2346 285
Tennessee Martin 0.1538 311 -16.31 310 0.2157 296
Dartmouth 0.1523 312 -15.52 301 0.2360 284
New Hampshire 0.1509 313 -16.18 308 0.2835 260
Southern 0.1461 314 -13.34 265 0.1553 325
VMI 0.1441 315 -15.73 303 0.1200 333
Stetson 0.1422 316 -16.40 311 0.1783 318
Presbyterian 0.1417 317 -16.23 309 0.1252 331
Sacred Heart 0.1348 318 -17.00 319 0.1988 306
Youngstown St. 0.1332 319 -18.34 329 0.1681 322
Charlotte 0.1322 320 -17.63 324 0.1865 313
Detroit 0.1283 321 -18.29 327 0.1848 316
Norfolk St. 0.1264 322 -15.33 298 0.1813 317
Sacramento St. 0.1209 323 -19.13 333 0.2156 297
Little Rock 0.1203 324 -19.39 337 0.2123 298
Morgan St. 0.1201 325 -15.88 304 0.1544 326
Pepperdine 0.1188 326 -18.07 325 0.2700 265
Marist 0.1170 327 -20.18 341 0.1689 321
Rice 0.1120 328 -18.10 326 0.1987 307
Jackson St. 0.1075 329 -16.11 305 0.1033 337
San Jose St. 0.1069 330 -18.98 332 0.2067 300
American 0.0908 331 -19.13 334 0.1484 327
South Carolina St. 0.0842 332 -17.17 321 0.0831 343
Howard 0.0817 333 -18.88 331 0.1187 334
Maine 0.0804 334 -20.31 342 0.1251 332
Florida A&M 0.0802 335 -19.26 336 0.0862 342
Cal St. Northridge 0.0776 336 -19.83 340 0.1406 328
Alabama St. 0.0771 337 -18.37 330 0.0928 340
Longwood 0.0731 338 -21.32 347 0.0816 344
Northern Arizona 0.0713 339 -20.79 345 0.1149 335
Alcorn St. 0.0696 340 -16.51 313 0.1028 338
USC Upstate 0.0518 341 -19.82 339 0.1135 336
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0470 342 -19.48 338 0.0427 349
Incarnate Word 0.0460 343 -16.71 315 0.0998 339
Houston Baptist 0.0455 344 -19.17 335 0.1366 329
Coppin St. 0.0445 345 -21.21 346 0.0606 347
Bryant 0.0442 346 -23.04 349 0.0923 341
Mississippi Valley St. 0.0310 347 -22.81 348 0.0578 348
Chicago St. 0.0259 348 -20.74 344 0.0636 346
Alabama A&M 0.0227 349 -23.37 350 0.0372 351
Delaware St. 0.0147 350 -24.30 351 0.0425 350
Northwestern St. 0.0023 351 -20.40 343 0.0674 345

 

 

 

 

The definition of a bid thief has two parts. First, a bid thief needs to be from a conference with a team or number of teams that can earn at-large bids. Second, this team needs to not be among that group. When this situation occurs, the term used is “Bid Thief”.

I dislike that term. They aren’t stealing a bid. They are earning a bid. So long as conference tournaments provide automatic entry into the NCAA tournament, we will continue to see such teams earn bids. Thus is the nature of college basketball.

More interesting (to me anyway) is when teams that are locks don’t play up to their potential against bubble-teams in conference tournaments. For example, Auburn’s second half performance against Alabama yesterday wasn’t exactly representative of how they have played for much of the season. If there is real bid theft, that’s where incentives exist for it to take place.

Full WAB Tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

(I ran Matchup Zone, Massey, and Dolphin yesterday. It’s on the second page)

 

School Implied Pythag Rank Implied Pythag WAB Avg Rank WAB Pythag Rank Pythag
Virginia 0.9882 1 10.60 1 0.9705 1
Villanova 0.9714 2 8.97 2 0.9701 2
Michigan St. 0.9678 3 7.47 4 0.9537 6
Xavier 0.9639 4 7.67 3 0.9210 13
Michigan 0.9554 5 6.54 9 0.9269 11
Cincinnati 0.9550 6 5.13 11 0.9592 4
Purdue 0.9534 7 6.81 6 0.9559 5
Duke 0.9510 8 6.75 8 0.9647 3
North Carolina 0.9501 9 6.98 5 0.9445 7
Kansas 0.9485 10 6.77 7 0.9364 9
Gonzaga 0.9485 11 4.41 13 0.9371 8
Tennessee 0.9423 12 5.78 10 0.9112 15
Wichita St. 0.9292 13 3.69 18 0.9144 14
West Virginia 0.9285 14 4.62 12 0.9327 10
Clemson 0.9251 15 3.94 15 0.9008 18
Texas Tech 0.9247 16 4.27 14 0.9258 12
Ohio St. 0.9237 17 3.85 17 0.9083 16
Auburn 0.9233 18 3.90 16 0.8994 19
Houston 0.9125 19 2.50 23 0.9016 17
Arizona 0.9079 20 2.96 19 0.8941 21
Miami FL 0.9052 21 2.56 22 0.8629 36
Kentucky 0.9029 22 2.82 20 0.8960 20
Arkansas 0.8995 23 2.63 21 0.8654 35
Rhode Island 0.8981 24 1.78 28 0.8533 40
St. Bonaventure 0.8954 25 1.81 27 0.7982 58
Kansas St. 0.8947 26 2.19 24 0.8416 44
Nevada 0.8925 27 1.95 25 0.8678 34
TCU 0.8872 28 1.83 26 0.8937 22
Providence 0.8865 29 1.69 29 0.7940 59
Virginia Tech 0.8835 30 1.39 31 0.8703 31
Loyola Chicago 0.8819 31 1.13 33 0.8167 55
Texas A&M 0.8815 32 1.53 30 0.8714 29
Nebraska 0.8809 33 1.30 32 0.7985 57
Saint Mary’s 0.8791 34 0.95 37 0.8693 32
Creighton 0.8757 35 1.08 34 0.8867 24
Seton Hall 0.8732 36 0.99 36 0.8769 26
Florida 0.8730 37 1.08 35 0.8916 23
New Mexico St. 0.8727 38 0.69 43 0.7826 67
Oklahoma 0.8701 39 0.88 38 0.8458 42
Florida St. 0.8699 40 0.75 41 0.8608 38
North Carolina St. 0.8693 41 0.76 40 0.8341 47
Texas 0.8678 42 0.80 39 0.8613 37
Butler 0.8671 43 0.73 42 0.8814 25
Louisville 0.8622 44 0.42 44 0.8743 27
South Dakota St. 0.8600 45 0.33 45 0.7399 82
Middle Tennessee 0.8570 46 0.26 46 0.8171 54
Marquette 0.8568 47 0.24 47 0.8210 52
Oklahoma St. 0.8506 48 -0.05 49 0.8202 53
Louisiana Lafayette 0.8486 49 0.01 48 0.7876 60
Missouri 0.8461 50 -0.24 53 0.8453 43
USC 0.8452 51 -0.22 51 0.8536 39
UCLA 0.8451 52 -0.23 52 0.8281 49
Baylor 0.8451 53 -0.28 54 0.8693 33
Mississippi St. 0.8437 54 -0.29 55 0.7869 61
Vermont 0.8421 55 -0.20 50 0.7744 70
Syracuse 0.8390 56 -0.51 56 0.8276 50
Notre Dame 0.8351 57 -0.65 58 0.8712 30
Alabama 0.8330 58 -0.91 60 0.8399 45
Penn St. 0.8268 59 -0.98 61 0.8732 28
Boise St. 0.8249 60 -0.83 59 0.8077 56
Murray St. 0.8224 61 -0.64 57 0.7725 71
Maryland 0.8208 62 -1.14 62 0.8502 41
Georgia 0.8149 63 -1.68 67 0.7830 66
Western Kentucky 0.8120 64 -1.25 63 0.7848 64
Utah 0.8113 65 -1.47 64 0.7819 68
Arizona St. 0.8066 66 -1.65 66 0.8380 46
Boston College 0.7981 67 -2.05 72 0.7603 77
Old Dominion 0.7925 68 -1.69 68 0.7791 69
LSU 0.7885 69 -2.39 76 0.7859 63
BYU 0.7879 70 -2.02 70 0.7662 73
UNC Greensboro 0.7862 71 -1.49 65 0.7111 90
San Diego St. 0.7813 72 -2.22 74 0.8259 51
Buffalo 0.7808 73 -1.97 69 0.7469 80
Oregon 0.7794 74 -2.68 78 0.7833 65
Washington 0.7691 75 -2.87 79 0.6707 105
Temple 0.7687 76 -3.11 81 0.7268 83
Montana 0.7656 77 -2.04 71 0.6859 97
College of Charleston 0.7603 78 -2.10 73 0.6274 116
South Carolina 0.7569 79 -3.68 90 0.7519 79
St. John’s 0.7566 80 -3.70 91 0.7614 76
Indiana 0.7542 81 -3.22 84 0.7701 72
South Dakota 0.7381 82 -2.48 77 0.7642 74
Wisconsin 0.7322 83 -4.24 97 0.7866 62
Bucknell 0.7306 84 -3.04 80 0.7105 91
UCF 0.7303 85 -3.68 89 0.6773 102
Belmont 0.7272 86 -3.15 83 0.7261 85
Stanford 0.7259 87 -4.45 102 0.7160 88
East Tennessee St. 0.7251 88 -3.11 82 0.6983 94
Stephen F. Austin 0.7248 89 -2.23 75 0.6421 112
Davidson 0.7206 90 -3.54 86 0.8325 48
Memphis 0.7182 91 -3.94 94 0.5306 156
Northeastern 0.7177 92 -3.91 93 0.6860 96
Colorado 0.7167 93 -4.71 107 0.6312 115
Wyoming 0.7135 94 -4.41 101 0.6000 128
Marshall 0.7062 95 -3.74 92 0.6086 123
Iowa St. 0.7050 96 -4.77 108 0.6988 93
Rider 0.7049 97 -3.57 88 0.5649 137
Northwestern 0.7026 98 -4.93 110 0.7573 78
Fresno St. 0.6976 99 -4.26 98 0.7456 81
Penn 0.6920 100 -3.56 87 0.6137 122
Tulsa 0.6912 101 -4.32 99 0.6609 107
Wright St. 0.6869 102 -3.97 95 0.5759 133
Lipscomb 0.6817 103 -3.25 85 0.4928 173
Georgetown 0.6791 104 -4.49 103 0.6819 99
Toledo 0.6774 105 -4.49 104 0.6258 118
Minnesota 0.6685 106 -5.40 114 0.6785 101
Furman 0.6657 107 -4.02 96 0.7097 92
Illinois St. 0.6613 108 -6.65 140 0.5394 152
UNLV 0.6611 109 -5.63 116 0.6763 103
UC Davis 0.6575 110 -4.88 109 0.5512 147
UC Santa Barbara 0.6574 111 -4.37 100 0.5751 134
Vanderbilt 0.6565 112 -6.64 139 0.7263 84
Southern Illinois 0.6548 113 -5.90 119 0.5476 148
New Mexico 0.6475 114 -6.12 128 0.6581 110
Iowa 0.6441 115 -6.63 137 0.7256 86
Utah Valley 0.6434 116 -4.60 105 0.6844 98
Bradley 0.6413 117 -6.31 131 0.5761 132
Northern Kentucky 0.6340 118 -4.68 106 0.7126 89
Georgia St. 0.6253 119 -5.70 117 0.6584 109
SMU 0.6180 120 -6.10 127 0.7641 75
Idaho 0.6136 121 -5.05 111 0.5584 141
Georgia Southern 0.6126 122 -6.15 129 0.5655 136
William & Mary 0.6122 123 -6.09 124 0.5150 164
Illinois 0.6122 124 -7.05 147 0.6955 95
Georgia Tech 0.6111 125 -6.74 142 0.6431 111
VCU 0.6077 126 -7.20 150 0.6054 125
UT Arlington 0.6075 127 -6.10 126 0.6139 120
Hofstra 0.6071 128 -6.09 125 0.5373 153
Mississippi 0.6066 129 -7.67 158 0.6741 104
Connecticut 0.6058 130 -6.51 133 0.5229 160
San Diego 0.6052 131 -5.97 122 0.5880 129
Oregon St. 0.6022 132 -7.35 154 0.6794 100
Wofford 0.6006 133 -5.95 121 0.5302 158
UMBC 0.5964 134 -5.09 112 0.4277 190
Northern Colorado 0.5928 135 -6.74 143 0.6032 126
Harvard 0.5892 136 -6.49 132 0.5565 142
Canisius 0.5881 137 -6.57 135 0.5842 130
Iona 0.5838 138 -7.32 153 0.6080 124
Cal St. Fullerton 0.5829 139 -6.06 123 0.4677 181
Eastern Washington 0.5789 140 -7.10 148 0.5564 143
Northern Iowa 0.5787 141 -7.75 161 0.6138 121
Albany 0.5766 142 -5.94 120 0.5559 144
DePaul 0.5701 143 -7.51 155 0.6619 106
Grand Canyon 0.5698 144 -5.27 113 0.6587 108
UNC Asheville 0.5694 145 -6.16 130 0.4410 185
UAB 0.5691 146 -6.79 144 0.6408 113
Utah St. 0.5651 147 -8.42 173 0.5601 139
Wake Forest 0.5645 148 -8.09 166 0.7190 87
Ball St. 0.5645 149 -7.14 149 0.4931 172
Saint Louis 0.5637 150 -8.28 172 0.5614 138
Southeastern Louisiana 0.5619 151 -5.79 118 0.4002 202
San Francisco 0.5606 152 -7.24 151 0.5395 151
Missouri St. 0.5600 153 -8.69 178 0.6259 117
Saint Joseph’s 0.5580 154 -8.00 164 0.6350 114
Radford 0.5575 155 -6.54 134 0.4679 180
Eastern Michigan 0.5568 156 -7.04 146 0.5313 154
Rutgers 0.5545 157 -7.29 152 0.6015 127
Drake 0.5541 158 -8.83 181 0.4962 169
Portland St. 0.5454 159 -7.54 156 0.5064 167
Wagner 0.5450 160 -5.41 115 0.4640 182
Weber St. 0.5395 161 -6.72 141 0.5185 161
Jacksonville St. 0.5362 162 -6.99 145 0.5544 145
Evansville 0.5356 163 -8.44 174 0.5268 159
Niagara 0.5262 164 -8.14 167 0.4049 198
UC Irvine 0.5260 165 -8.74 179 0.5708 135
UTSA 0.5138 166 -8.00 165 0.4524 183
Yale 0.5087 167 -7.84 162 0.4879 175
Dayton 0.5083 168 -9.77 191 0.5308 155
Nicholls St. 0.5050 169 -6.62 136 0.4331 188
Tennessee Tech 0.4994 170 -8.20 168 0.3623 223
Florida Gulf Coast 0.4940 171 -6.64 138 0.6155 119
Austin Peay 0.4931 172 -7.89 163 0.4032 200
George Mason 0.4905 173 -10.01 196 0.3807 211
Washington St. 0.4885 174 -10.19 199 0.4381 187
Oakland 0.4882 175 -8.27 170 0.5064 166
Towson 0.4864 176 -9.31 183 0.5599 140
Seattle 0.4828 177 -7.72 160 0.4103 196
Mercer 0.4815 178 -8.28 171 0.5810 131
George Washington 0.4796 179 -10.08 197 0.4381 186
Tulane 0.4685 180 -8.68 177 0.5064 165
Winthrop 0.4660 181 -7.64 157 0.5304 157
Valparaiso 0.4633 182 -10.41 205 0.5467 149
Fort Wayne 0.4567 183 -8.60 175 0.5165 163
Western Michigan 0.4565 184 -10.01 195 0.4417 184
Colgate 0.4500 185 -8.62 176 0.4126 195
Navy 0.4483 186 -8.21 169 0.3695 218
Louisiana Tech 0.4470 187 -9.77 190 0.5441 150
La Salle 0.4466 188 -11.23 222 0.5513 146
Hartford 0.4433 189 -9.13 182 0.3394 230
Richmond 0.4432 190 -11.53 229 0.4931 171
Kent St. 0.4400 191 -11.09 218 0.3962 205
Pacific 0.4396 192 -10.43 206 0.4716 179
Hawaii 0.4360 193 -8.75 180 0.3858 208
Central Michigan 0.4318 194 -9.64 187 0.4844 177
Miami OH 0.4315 195 -11.17 221 0.4211 193
Long Beach St. 0.4273 196 -10.69 210 0.3923 206
Indiana St. 0.4272 197 -11.14 220 0.5179 162
Troy 0.4202 198 -10.86 212 0.4892 174
Fairfield 0.4199 199 -10.51 209 0.3896 207
Southern Miss 0.4097 200 -10.74 211 0.3323 232
Liberty 0.4095 201 -9.88 192 0.5012 168
Denver 0.4070 202 -9.90 193 0.3696 217
St. Francis PA 0.4024 203 -7.69 159 0.4039 199
Bowling Green 0.4022 204 -11.29 223 0.3246 234
Sam Houston St. 0.3939 205 -9.58 185 0.3624 222
Louisiana Monroe 0.3918 206 -9.67 189 0.3619 224
North Dakota St. 0.3904 207 -10.51 208 0.4956 170
Princeton 0.3900 208 -10.37 204 0.4810 178
Massachusetts 0.3806 209 -13.01 257 0.4221 192
Illinois Chicago 0.3802 210 -10.32 202 0.4021 201
Tennessee St. 0.3772 211 -9.63 186 0.3782 213
Ohio 0.3764 212 -11.46 226 0.4231 191
Lehigh 0.3747 213 -9.66 188 0.3637 221
North Texas 0.3715 214 -11.06 216 0.4127 194
Elon 0.3677 215 -12.12 242 0.3312 233
Appalachian St. 0.3619 216 -12.67 252 0.3984 204
Duquesne 0.3617 217 -11.09 217 0.4317 189
Central Arkansas 0.3593 218 -10.93 213 0.3761 214
Pittsburgh 0.3587 219 -11.13 219 0.3598 225
Colorado St. 0.3579 220 -12.38 247 0.3433 228
Lamar 0.3564 221 -9.96 194 0.4072 197
Akron 0.3551 222 -12.62 251 0.3019 247
Air Force 0.3534 223 -12.32 245 0.3041 244
Cornell 0.3531 224 -10.34 203 0.2902 258
Manhattan 0.3531 225 -12.31 243 0.3825 209
Robert Morris 0.3510 226 -11.97 239 0.3014 248
Boston University 0.3504 227 -11.62 232 0.3193 236
Texas St. 0.3449 228 -13.17 259 0.3593 226
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.3424 229 -11.32 224 0.2620 269
Monmouth 0.3369 230 -13.60 270 0.4869 176
Saint Peter’s 0.3361 231 -13.02 258 0.3804 212
Mount St. Mary’s 0.3340 232 -10.24 200 0.3168 239
Milwaukee 0.3324 233 -12.31 244 0.3755 215
Coastal Carolina 0.3277 234 -13.24 262 0.4000 203
Western Carolina 0.3275 235 -11.69 234 0.1994 305
Delaware 0.3230 236 -13.77 274 0.2998 249
Stony Brook 0.3218 237 -12.72 253 0.3712 216
Drexel 0.3216 238 -14.46 283 0.3032 246
South Alabama 0.3152 239 -12.74 254 0.3670 219
LIU Brooklyn 0.3078 240 -13.18 260 0.2961 254
Southern Utah 0.3060 241 -12.89 255 0.2438 278
Northern Illinois 0.3052 242 -13.63 272 0.2992 251
Grambling St. 0.3035 243 -10.31 201 0.1858 313
North Florida 0.3027 244 -11.32 225 0.2266 289
Idaho St. 0.3023 245 -11.73 237 0.2951 256
North Dakota 0.3022 246 -13.33 263 0.2869 259
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.2986 247 -11.59 231 0.3185 238
Loyola Marymount 0.2971 248 -12.41 249 0.3327 231
New Orleans 0.2960 249 -10.96 215 0.2648 267
Campbell 0.2852 250 -11.56 230 0.3669 220
Southeast Missouri St. 0.2839 251 -12.59 250 0.2704 264
Gardner Webb 0.2836 252 -12.07 240 0.2815 262
UNC Wilmington 0.2743 253 -14.92 292 0.3193 237
North Carolina A&T 0.2730 254 -10.50 207 0.1902 312
Abilene Christian 0.2693 255 -11.67 233 0.2696 266
Oral Roberts 0.2681 256 -13.52 267 0.3055 243
Quinnipiac 0.2679 257 -16.19 308 0.2390 281
Charleston Southern 0.2660 258 -11.52 228 0.3080 241
FIU 0.2659 259 -13.79 275 0.2954 255
California 0.2631 260 -14.41 281 0.3215 235
Central Connecticut 0.2628 261 -13.94 278 0.1912 309
Holy Cross 0.2605 262 -15.02 294 0.2449 276
Brown 0.2596 263 -11.76 238 0.2788 263
Montana St. 0.2582 264 -14.47 284 0.2528 274
Florida Atlantic 0.2569 265 -13.38 266 0.3035 245
Army 0.2562 266 -13.63 271 0.3075 242
Hampton 0.2549 267 -10.15 198 0.2995 250
Eastern Illinois 0.2540 268 -13.71 273 0.2946 257
Savannah St. 0.2475 269 -9.42 184 0.1693 321
High Point 0.2464 270 -12.36 246 0.3441 227
Fordham 0.2462 271 -15.08 296 0.2369 283
Western Illinois 0.2461 272 -11.50 227 0.2250 290
UTEP 0.2441 273 -14.59 286 0.2988 252
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2431 274 -13.20 261 0.2641 268
NJIT 0.2416 275 -11.72 236 0.2977 253
Prairie View A&M 0.2364 276 -12.09 241 0.2477 275
James Madison 0.2320 277 -16.68 315 0.3431 229
Arkansas St. 0.2281 278 -15.45 299 0.2592 271
Santa Clara 0.2269 279 -13.56 269 0.2568 273
South Florida 0.2239 280 -14.82 291 0.2387 282
Bethune Cookman 0.2217 281 -11.69 235 0.2063 301
East Carolina 0.2201 282 -13.34 264 0.2057 302
Texas Southern 0.2200 283 -10.96 214 0.3080 240
St. Francis NY 0.2194 284 -14.53 285 0.1907 311
IUPUI 0.2185 285 -13.83 276 0.2328 286
Cleveland St. 0.2157 286 -16.95 319 0.2078 299
UMass Lowell 0.2130 287 -14.23 280 0.2295 287
Nebraska Omaha 0.2089 288 -14.42 282 0.2570 272
Portland 0.2088 289 -14.75 288 0.2608 270
Eastern Kentucky 0.2084 290 -14.72 287 0.2283 288
Green Bay 0.2058 291 -14.79 289 0.2867 260
SIU Edwardsville 0.2011 292 -15.53 300 0.1738 319
Jacksonville 0.2008 293 -13.55 268 0.1641 324
North Carolina Central 0.1869 294 -12.40 248 0.2081 298
UMKC 0.1863 295 -15.61 303 0.2159 295
Cal Poly 0.1840 296 -17.11 321 0.1657 323
McNeese St. 0.1834 297 -12.97 256 0.2006 304
The Citadel 0.1800 298 -14.96 293 0.1850 315
Columbia 0.1796 299 -13.90 277 0.3821 210
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1727 300 -15.53 301 0.1347 330
Lafayette 0.1703 301 -16.94 318 0.2440 277
Siena 0.1700 302 -18.35 328 0.2210 292
Samford 0.1611 303 -15.34 298 0.2406 280
Kennesaw St. 0.1610 304 -14.81 290 0.2012 303
Binghamton 0.1579 305 -16.17 307 0.2238 291
UC Riverside 0.1579 306 -16.81 317 0.2425 279
Loyola MD 0.1566 307 -17.42 322 0.1910 310
Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.1558 308 -14.22 279 0.1916 308
Chattanooga 0.1547 309 -17.67 323 0.2161 294
Morehead St. 0.1538 310 -15.04 295 0.2348 285
Tennessee Martin 0.1536 311 -16.36 312 0.2168 293
Dartmouth 0.1535 312 -15.55 302 0.2364 284
New Hampshire 0.1505 313 -16.20 310 0.2823 261
Southern 0.1464 314 -13.37 265 0.1550 325
VMI 0.1439 315 -15.79 304 0.1194 333
Stetson 0.1426 316 -16.42 313 0.1799 318
Presbyterian 0.1418 317 -16.27 311 0.1253 331
Sacred Heart 0.1351 318 -17.03 320 0.1990 306
Youngstown St. 0.1330 319 -18.38 329 0.1696 320
Charlotte 0.1319 320 -17.68 324 0.1858 314
Norfolk St. 0.1302 321 -15.31 297 0.1837 317
Detroit 0.1283 322 -18.33 327 0.1850 316
Sacramento St. 0.1206 323 -19.20 335 0.2158 296
Little Rock 0.1206 324 -19.41 338 0.2126 297
Morgan St. 0.1199 325 -15.89 305 0.1546 326
Pepperdine 0.1186 326 -18.12 325 0.2701 265
Marist 0.1172 327 -20.20 341 0.1691 322
Rice 0.1117 328 -18.14 326 0.1988 307
Jackson St. 0.1077 329 -16.12 306 0.1041 337
San Jose St. 0.1068 330 -19.03 333 0.2069 300
American 0.0909 331 -19.15 334 0.1486 327
South Carolina St. 0.0908 332 -16.20 309 0.0833 343
Cal St. Northridge 0.0856 333 -18.89 331 0.1410 328
Howard 0.0815 334 -18.92 332 0.1182 334
Maine 0.0802 335 -20.31 342 0.1250 332
Alabama St. 0.0773 336 -18.39 330 0.0927 340
Florida A&M 0.0744 337 -19.28 337 0.0864 342
Longwood 0.0735 338 -21.33 347 0.0826 344
Northern Arizona 0.0716 339 -20.83 345 0.1156 335
Alcorn St. 0.0699 340 -16.53 314 0.1034 338
USC Upstate 0.0520 341 -19.84 340 0.1133 336
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0470 342 -19.50 339 0.0428 349
Incarnate Word 0.0460 343 -16.73 316 0.1002 339
Houston Baptist 0.0456 344 -19.20 336 0.1360 329
Coppin St. 0.0445 345 -21.24 346 0.0607 347
Bryant 0.0443 346 -23.06 349 0.0924 341
Mississippi Valley St. 0.0311 347 -22.83 348 0.0582 348
Chicago St. 0.0259 348 -20.82 344 0.0639 346
Alabama A&M 0.0228 349 -23.38 350 0.0371 351
Delaware St. 0.0147 350 -24.35 351 0.0423 350
Northwestern St. 0.0023 351 -20.43 343 0.0673 345

Louisville takes on Virginia. Marquette faces Villanova. Oklahoma State gets a shot at Kansas. Notre Dame challenges Duke. Each of these four bubble teams has a chance to make a huge statement with a win today. Lord knows Syracuse failed at that yesterday.

Oklahoma and Arizona State both started the season on fire. However, Oklahoma’s collapse wasn’t nearly as disastrous as that of Arizona State. Oklahoma’s body of work is still quite reasonable. The same cannot be said of the Sun Devils.

Full WABs available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School Implied Pythag Rank Implied Pythag WAB Avg Rank WAB Pythag Rank Pythag
Virginia 0.9869 1 9.30 1 0.9694 1
Xavier 0.9710 2 7.74 3 0.9176 13
Villanova 0.9689 3 7.93 2 0.9671 2
Michigan St. 0.9677 4 7.41 4 0.9534 6
Michigan 0.9546 5 6.33 7 0.9262 12
Duke 0.9538 6 6.37 6 0.9642 3
Purdue 0.9532 7 6.64 5 0.9556 5
Cincinnati 0.9521 8 4.72 11 0.9589 4
Gonzaga 0.9478 9 4.29 13 0.9362 8
Kansas 0.9440 10 5.75 8 0.9317 9
North Carolina 0.9413 11 5.51 9 0.9389 7
Tennessee 0.9392 12 5.21 10 0.9116 15
Auburn 0.9340 13 4.35 12 0.9090 16
Wichita St. 0.9284 14 3.49 17 0.9154 14
Texas Tech 0.9268 15 3.96 14 0.9267 11
Clemson 0.9256 16 3.61 16 0.8996 18
Ohio St. 0.9231 17 3.71 15 0.9081 17
West Virginia 0.9167 18 3.32 18 0.9299 10
Miami FL 0.9120 19 2.74 19 0.8691 35
Houston 0.9084 20 2.14 22 0.8930 21
Nevada 0.8989 21 1.96 24 0.8784 27
TCU 0.8980 22 2.24 21 0.8954 20
Arizona 0.8975 23 2.12 23 0.8868 24
Kentucky 0.8968 24 2.24 20 0.8919 22
Rhode Island 0.8933 25 1.44 30 0.8526 39
Kansas St. 0.8922 26 1.78 26 0.8436 43
St. Bonaventure 0.8921 27 1.53 28 0.7989 56
Texas A&M 0.8901 28 1.82 25 0.8716 32
Arkansas 0.8876 29 1.68 27 0.8600 38
Creighton 0.8869 30 1.47 29 0.8900 23
Seton Hall 0.8840 31 1.35 32 0.8778 28
Virginia Tech 0.8836 32 1.30 33 0.8708 33
Loyola Chicago 0.8823 33 1.06 35 0.8167 53
Florida 0.8821 34 1.38 31 0.8961 19
Nebraska 0.8813 35 1.21 34 0.7986 57
Middle Tennessee 0.8812 36 1.05 36 0.8278 48
Saint Mary’s 0.8792 37 0.87 38 0.8692 34
Texas 0.8740 38 0.97 37 0.8617 36
Florida St. 0.8708 39 0.69 40 0.8607 37
Oklahoma 0.8695 40 0.73 39 0.8465 42
North Carolina St. 0.8686 41 0.62 41 0.8338 46
New Mexico St. 0.8674 42 0.44 43 0.7871 62
Louisville 0.8653 43 0.44 42 0.8789 26
Providence 0.8625 44 0.36 44 0.7770 67
Marquette 0.8598 45 0.26 45 0.8279 47
Butler 0.8589 46 0.21 47 0.8846 25
Missouri 0.8588 47 0.23 46 0.8476 41
South Dakota St. 0.8585 48 0.21 48 0.7377 80
Oklahoma St. 0.8568 49 0.11 49 0.8252 50
Baylor 0.8522 50 -0.09 50 0.8736 30
Boise St. 0.8484 51 -0.13 51 0.8134 54
UCLA 0.8462 52 -0.27 53 0.7202 86
Louisiana Lafayette 0.8451 53 -0.16 52 0.7776 66
Vermont 0.8419 54 -0.29 54 0.7743 69
Mississippi St. 0.8405 55 -0.46 55 0.7801 65
Syracuse 0.8400 56 -0.58 56 0.8253 49
Notre Dame 0.8388 57 -0.61 57 0.8757 29
Penn St. 0.8266 58 -1.10 59 0.8731 31
Murray St. 0.8244 59 -0.66 58 0.7727 70
USC 0.8232 60 -1.12 60 0.8378 45
Maryland 0.8198 61 -1.29 62 0.8508 40
Utah 0.8188 62 -1.21 61 0.7830 64
Georgia 0.8091 63 -1.89 68 0.7872 61
Boston College 0.8070 64 -1.78 65 0.7625 74
Alabama 0.8048 65 -2.15 71 0.8241 52
Arizona St. 0.8023 66 -1.87 66 0.8380 44
LSU 0.8014 67 -1.97 69 0.7880 59
Old Dominion 0.8004 68 -1.38 63 0.7876 60
BYU 0.7883 69 -2.12 70 0.7662 72
Western Kentucky 0.7882 70 -1.89 67 0.7615 75
UNC Greensboro 0.7861 71 -1.55 64 0.7108 90
Temple 0.7760 72 -2.83 78 0.7276 82
Oregon 0.7698 73 -2.82 77 0.7932 58
Buffalo 0.7680 74 -2.27 73 0.7328 81
South Carolina 0.7677 75 -3.30 85 0.7525 79
Washington 0.7649 76 -3.13 80 0.6692 105
St. John’s 0.7646 77 -3.44 89 0.7767 68
College of Charleston 0.7607 78 -2.16 72 0.6275 116
Indiana 0.7541 79 -3.32 86 0.7694 71
UCF 0.7467 80 -3.19 82 0.6965 96
Montana 0.7433 81 -2.43 74 0.6887 98
San Diego St. 0.7406 82 -3.11 79 0.8028 55
Wyoming 0.7316 83 -3.82 94 0.6079 124
South Dakota 0.7306 84 -2.70 76 0.7613 76
Tulsa 0.7298 85 -3.36 88 0.6689 106
Bucknell 0.7286 86 -3.17 81 0.7082 92
Stanford 0.7279 87 -4.29 104 0.7193 87
Wisconsin 0.7267 88 -4.49 105 0.7837 63
Belmont 0.7252 89 -3.28 84 0.7249 83
East Tennessee St. 0.7249 90 -3.20 83 0.6994 95
Northeastern 0.7179 91 -3.99 97 0.6874 99
Colorado 0.7134 92 -4.69 107 0.6328 113
Fresno St. 0.7101 93 -3.83 95 0.7546 78
Davidson 0.7073 94 -3.79 93 0.8250 51
Iowa St. 0.7068 95 -4.85 109 0.7004 94
Memphis 0.7068 96 -4.12 101 0.5298 159
Rider 0.7035 97 -3.68 92 0.5641 140
Northwestern 0.7025 98 -5.05 111 0.7562 77
Stephen F. Austin 0.6998 99 -2.49 75 0.6156 120
Penn 0.6913 100 -3.64 90 0.6147 121
Marshall 0.6887 101 -3.98 96 0.5969 128
Wright St. 0.6857 102 -4.08 100 0.5761 134
UC Santa Barbara 0.6821 103 -3.66 91 0.5696 137
Lipscomb 0.6810 104 -3.34 87 0.4926 172
UC Davis 0.6806 105 -4.14 102 0.5658 139
Georgetown 0.6798 106 -4.58 106 0.6832 101
UNLV 0.6724 107 -5.15 112 0.6718 104
Minnesota 0.6666 108 -5.57 115 0.6795 102
Furman 0.6661 109 -4.08 99 0.7089 91
Illinois St. 0.6625 110 -6.73 143 0.5407 153
Utah Valley 0.6563 111 -4.00 98 0.7035 93
Southern Illinois 0.6561 112 -5.95 120 0.5502 148
Vanderbilt 0.6557 113 -6.79 146 0.7244 84
Idaho 0.6512 114 -4.17 103 0.5845 130
Toledo 0.6498 115 -4.88 110 0.6299 115
Iowa 0.6439 116 -6.76 145 0.7231 85
Bradley 0.6415 117 -6.43 137 0.5761 133
Northern Kentucky 0.6344 118 -4.74 108 0.7125 89
Connecticut 0.6241 119 -5.95 119 0.6306 114
William & Mary 0.6138 120 -6.13 127 0.5152 163
Georgia St. 0.6121 121 -5.89 117 0.6374 111
New Mexico 0.6112 122 -6.57 138 0.6361 112
Illinois 0.6109 123 -7.18 151 0.6946 97
Hofstra 0.6078 124 -6.16 128 0.5374 155
Georgia Tech 0.6074 125 -6.92 147 0.6417 110
SMU 0.6057 126 -6.10 126 0.7641 73
Mississippi 0.6047 127 -7.79 161 0.6718 103
San Diego 0.6037 128 -6.09 125 0.5883 129
Oregon St. 0.6018 129 -7.17 150 0.6851 100
Georgia Southern 0.6018 130 -6.32 134 0.5621 141
Wofford 0.6003 131 -6.04 124 0.5298 158
VCU 0.5993 132 -6.96 148 0.6000 127
UMBC 0.5968 133 -5.16 113 0.4285 190
Northern Colorado 0.5954 134 -6.18 129 0.5754 135
UT Arlington 0.5952 135 -6.31 133 0.6027 126
Ball St. 0.5947 136 -6.30 132 0.4994 170
Harvard 0.5885 137 -6.58 140 0.5539 145
Canisius 0.5880 138 -6.65 141 0.5827 131
Iona 0.5848 139 -7.38 155 0.6096 123
UAB 0.5787 140 -6.29 131 0.6633 107
Northern Iowa 0.5775 141 -7.89 162 0.6109 122
Albany 0.5770 142 -5.99 122 0.5561 144
DePaul 0.5720 143 -7.59 158 0.6629 108
UNC Asheville 0.5697 144 -6.24 130 0.4425 186
Portland St. 0.5686 145 -6.74 144 0.5131 165
Eastern Michigan 0.5655 146 -6.41 136 0.5223 161
Wake Forest 0.5632 147 -8.24 171 0.7192 88
San Francisco 0.5628 148 -7.30 154 0.5422 152
Weber St. 0.5593 149 -5.99 123 0.5453 150
Radford 0.5592 150 -6.58 139 0.4721 180
Missouri St. 0.5590 151 -8.82 181 0.6242 117
Saint Louis 0.5547 152 -8.01 166 0.5671 138
Rutgers 0.5539 153 -7.41 157 0.6029 125
Drake 0.5539 154 -8.94 182 0.4962 171
Utah St. 0.5504 155 -8.16 168 0.5619 142
Eastern Washington 0.5487 156 -7.40 156 0.5457 149
Southeastern Louisiana 0.5485 157 -5.91 118 0.3935 204
Cal St. Fullerton 0.5465 158 -6.37 135 0.4610 183
Wagner 0.5458 159 -5.44 114 0.4636 182
Saint Joseph’s 0.5456 160 -8.18 169 0.6213 118
Jacksonville St. 0.5350 161 -7.09 149 0.5527 147
Evansville 0.5348 162 -8.55 177 0.5250 160
UTSA 0.5329 163 -7.24 153 0.4645 181
Dayton 0.5259 164 -9.07 185 0.5353 156
Nicholls St. 0.5254 165 -5.97 121 0.4398 188
Niagara 0.5253 166 -8.23 170 0.4049 198
Grand Canyon 0.5231 167 -5.58 116 0.6515 109
Yale 0.5087 168 -7.91 163 0.4887 175
Tennessee Tech 0.4988 169 -8.29 173 0.3622 223
George Washington 0.4976 170 -9.38 190 0.4407 187
Florida Gulf Coast 0.4948 171 -6.67 142 0.6171 119
Austin Peay 0.4922 172 -7.99 165 0.4020 202
Oakland 0.4878 173 -8.36 175 0.5077 167
Towson 0.4873 174 -9.36 189 0.5601 143
Tulane 0.4872 175 -8.05 167 0.5032 168
George Mason 0.4862 176 -9.44 191 0.3885 207
Washington St. 0.4862 177 -10.42 209 0.4385 189
UC Irvine 0.4856 178 -9.17 186 0.5709 136
Mercer 0.4814 179 -8.36 174 0.5809 132
Seattle 0.4806 180 -7.19 152 0.3878 209
Winthrop 0.4675 181 -7.67 159 0.5322 157
Valparaiso 0.4633 182 -10.50 215 0.5442 151
Western Michigan 0.4584 183 -10.08 199 0.4429 185
Hawaii 0.4583 184 -7.95 164 0.3872 210
Louisiana Tech 0.4552 185 -9.24 188 0.5405 154
Fort Wayne 0.4552 186 -8.70 179 0.5152 164
Colgate 0.4536 187 -8.58 178 0.4111 196
Long Beach St. 0.4484 188 -9.90 195 0.3911 206
Navy 0.4482 189 -8.26 172 0.3712 218
La Salle 0.4468 190 -11.34 226 0.5535 146
Hartford 0.4434 191 -9.19 187 0.3408 230
Miami OH 0.4429 192 -10.50 214 0.4149 193
Pacific 0.4423 193 -10.47 212 0.4724 179
Central Michigan 0.4381 194 -9.06 184 0.4920 174
Troy 0.4314 195 -10.25 202 0.5113 166
Richmond 0.4306 196 -11.14 222 0.4757 178
Indiana St. 0.4274 197 -11.23 224 0.5204 162
Kent St. 0.4259 198 -10.67 217 0.3975 203
Fairfield 0.4201 199 -10.59 216 0.3882 208
Liberty 0.4097 200 -9.97 196 0.4995 169
Louisiana Monroe 0.4089 201 -8.97 183 0.3668 222
Denver 0.4056 202 -10.01 198 0.3698 219
Sam Houston St. 0.4038 203 -8.78 180 0.3525 226
St. Francis PA 0.4028 204 -7.73 160 0.4048 199
Bowling Green 0.4018 205 -11.37 227 0.3258 233
Massachusetts 0.3994 206 -12.25 245 0.4281 191
Princeton 0.3907 207 -10.45 210 0.4811 177
North Dakota St. 0.3879 208 -10.69 218 0.4922 173
Southern Miss 0.3846 209 -10.46 211 0.3159 238
Illinois Chicago 0.3801 210 -10.38 207 0.4020 201
Duquesne 0.3779 211 -10.31 204 0.4482 184
Tennessee St. 0.3774 212 -9.69 193 0.3796 213
Ohio 0.3756 213 -11.60 232 0.4243 192
Lehigh 0.3743 214 -9.75 194 0.3613 225
Appalachian St. 0.3723 215 -11.98 241 0.4136 195
North Texas 0.3713 216 -11.12 221 0.4143 194
Elon 0.3680 217 -12.19 244 0.3312 232
Akron 0.3679 218 -11.94 240 0.3039 244
Central Arkansas 0.3670 219 -10.35 205 0.3934 205
Pittsburgh 0.3603 220 -11.20 223 0.3614 224
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.3603 221 -10.47 213 0.2754 265
Lamar 0.3584 222 -10.00 197 0.4060 197
Colorado St. 0.3577 223 -12.49 252 0.3447 228
Cornell 0.3540 224 -10.37 206 0.2912 258
Boston University 0.3529 225 -11.57 229 0.3194 234
Manhattan 0.3526 226 -12.38 247 0.3826 211
Air Force 0.3525 227 -12.45 251 0.3028 245
Robert Morris 0.3514 228 -12.05 242 0.3028 246
Texas St. 0.3501 229 -12.69 258 0.3745 216
Monmouth 0.3390 230 -13.58 267 0.4853 176
Saint Peter’s 0.3360 231 -13.09 262 0.3790 214
Mount St. Mary’s 0.3347 232 -10.27 203 0.3171 237
Milwaukee 0.3324 233 -12.39 248 0.3755 215
Coastal Carolina 0.3305 234 -13.30 265 0.4029 200
Western Carolina 0.3279 235 -11.79 236 0.1994 305
Stony Brook 0.3250 236 -12.70 259 0.3712 217
Delaware 0.3225 237 -13.86 276 0.3001 248
Drexel 0.3220 238 -14.56 285 0.3025 247
South Alabama 0.3174 239 -12.82 260 0.3671 221
New Orleans 0.3168 240 -10.13 200 0.2837 261
North Dakota 0.3103 241 -12.64 256 0.2856 260
LIU Brooklyn 0.3078 242 -13.23 263 0.2962 253
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.3074 243 -11.02 219 0.3150 239
Northern Illinois 0.3054 244 -13.72 272 0.2988 250
Grambling St. 0.3043 245 -10.39 208 0.1843 317
North Florida 0.3025 246 -11.38 228 0.2257 289
Idaho St. 0.3004 247 -11.79 238 0.2939 256
Loyola Marymount 0.2973 248 -12.50 253 0.3340 231
Southern Utah 0.2876 249 -12.28 246 0.2260 288
Campbell 0.2860 250 -11.60 233 0.3685 220
Gardner Webb 0.2844 251 -12.07 243 0.2832 262
Southeast Missouri St. 0.2828 252 -12.66 257 0.2727 266
North Carolina A&T 0.2807 253 -9.62 192 0.1916 310
Savannah St. 0.2751 254 -8.52 176 0.1712 321
UNC Wilmington 0.2745 255 -15.01 295 0.3193 235
Abilene Christian 0.2701 256 -11.74 235 0.2710 267
Quinnipiac 0.2679 257 -16.27 310 0.2387 280
Oral Roberts 0.2674 258 -13.62 269 0.3065 242
Charleston Southern 0.2667 259 -11.58 231 0.3080 241
FIU 0.2657 260 -13.85 275 0.2945 254
Central Connecticut 0.2634 261 -13.97 279 0.1920 309
Holy Cross 0.2606 262 -15.09 297 0.2439 277
Brown 0.2595 263 -11.85 239 0.2794 264
California 0.2588 264 -14.81 288 0.3192 236
Florida Atlantic 0.2576 265 -13.43 266 0.3045 243
Montana St. 0.2567 266 -14.54 283 0.2505 275
Army 0.2558 267 -13.69 271 0.3082 240
Eastern Illinois 0.2540 268 -13.81 273 0.2931 257
Prairie View A&M 0.2516 269 -11.27 225 0.2607 270
High Point 0.2471 270 -12.41 249 0.3442 229
Fordham 0.2460 271 -15.20 299 0.2342 284
Western Illinois 0.2452 272 -11.57 230 0.2243 291
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2432 273 -13.25 264 0.2655 269
UTEP 0.2431 274 -14.62 287 0.2989 249
Hampton 0.2421 275 -10.22 201 0.2945 255
NJIT 0.2416 276 -11.79 237 0.2963 251
South Florida 0.2345 277 -13.94 278 0.2351 282
James Madison 0.2337 278 -16.72 317 0.3458 227
East Carolina 0.2302 279 -12.58 255 0.2069 300
Arkansas St. 0.2286 280 -15.56 302 0.2583 273
Santa Clara 0.2278 281 -13.63 270 0.2590 272
Bethune Cookman 0.2235 282 -11.72 234 0.2082 298
St. Francis NY 0.2199 283 -14.56 286 0.1910 312
IUPUI 0.2186 284 -13.89 277 0.2339 285
Cleveland St. 0.2160 285 -17.02 320 0.2072 299
UMass Lowell 0.2134 286 -14.29 281 0.2302 286
Portland 0.2089 287 -14.85 290 0.2600 271
Eastern Kentucky 0.2088 288 -14.84 289 0.2275 287
Nebraska Omaha 0.2079 289 -14.55 284 0.2545 274
Green Bay 0.2059 290 -14.87 291 0.2866 259
Jacksonville 0.2011 291 -13.58 268 0.1642 324
SIU Edwardsville 0.2011 292 -15.59 303 0.1746 319
Texas Southern 0.2009 293 -11.05 220 0.2962 252
UMKC 0.1904 294 -14.91 293 0.2089 297
Cal Poly 0.1896 295 -16.34 312 0.1740 320
McNeese St. 0.1842 296 -13.08 261 0.2011 304
Columbia 0.1810 297 -13.85 274 0.3813 212
The Citadel 0.1799 298 -15.03 296 0.1860 315
Lafayette 0.1702 299 -17.02 319 0.2439 276
Siena 0.1698 300 -18.43 327 0.2221 292
UC Riverside 0.1632 301 -16.04 306 0.2402 278
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1625 302 -15.56 301 0.1319 330
North Carolina Central 0.1622 303 -12.52 254 0.2029 302
Samford 0.1609 304 -15.43 300 0.2389 279
Kennesaw St. 0.1606 305 -14.88 292 0.2017 303
Southern 0.1606 306 -12.44 250 0.1603 325
Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.1585 307 -14.23 280 0.1945 308
Binghamton 0.1584 308 -16.22 308 0.2251 290
Loyola MD 0.1565 309 -17.50 322 0.1911 311
Morehead St. 0.1545 310 -15.10 298 0.2349 283
Chattanooga 0.1543 311 -17.74 323 0.2166 294
Dartmouth 0.1536 312 -15.61 304 0.2366 281
Tennessee Martin 0.1532 313 -16.44 314 0.2160 295
New Hampshire 0.1509 314 -16.25 309 0.2819 263
VMI 0.1441 315 -15.86 305 0.1188 333
Stetson 0.1429 316 -16.46 315 0.1801 318
Presbyterian 0.1422 317 -16.31 311 0.1260 331
Norfolk St. 0.1383 318 -14.38 282 0.1888 313
Sacred Heart 0.1354 319 -17.08 321 0.1982 306
Youngstown St. 0.1325 320 -18.48 329 0.1676 323
Charlotte 0.1318 321 -17.79 324 0.1853 316
Morgan St. 0.1284 322 -14.98 294 0.1600 326
Detroit 0.1277 323 -18.52 330 0.1867 314
Little Rock 0.1222 324 -19.52 339 0.2127 296
Sacramento St. 0.1205 325 -19.27 335 0.2168 293
Pepperdine 0.1181 326 -18.19 325 0.2701 268
Marist 0.1171 327 -20.28 342 0.1685 322
Rice 0.1121 328 -18.27 326 0.1978 307
Jackson St. 0.1084 329 -16.15 307 0.1052 337
San Jose St. 0.1059 330 -19.17 333 0.2068 301
South Carolina St. 0.0916 331 -16.35 313 0.0841 343
American 0.0909 332 -19.21 334 0.1486 327
Cal St. Northridge 0.0866 333 -18.94 331 0.1414 328
Howard 0.0818 334 -18.98 332 0.1188 334
Maine 0.0803 335 -20.39 343 0.1258 332
Alabama St. 0.0776 336 -18.45 328 0.0935 340
Florida A&M 0.0749 337 -19.39 337 0.0867 342
Longwood 0.0736 338 -21.41 347 0.0823 344
Northern Arizona 0.0709 339 -20.93 345 0.1144 335
Alcorn St. 0.0705 340 -16.55 316 0.1042 338
USC Upstate 0.0519 341 -19.89 340 0.1137 336
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0473 342 -19.52 338 0.0432 349
Incarnate Word 0.0462 343 -16.80 318 0.1003 339
Houston Baptist 0.0462 344 -19.30 336 0.1366 329
Coppin St. 0.0450 345 -21.17 346 0.0611 347
Bryant 0.0444 346 -23.11 349 0.0926 341
Mississippi Valley St. 0.0313 347 -22.87 348 0.0581 348
Chicago St. 0.0260 348 -20.27 341 0.0637 346
Alabama A&M 0.0229 349 -23.45 350 0.0373 351
Delaware St. 0.0148 350 -24.37 351 0.0426 350
Northwestern St. 0.0023 351 -20.50 344 0.0682 345

I pity whomever faces the likely underseeded Bulldogs in the first/second round.

Today and tomorrow will see significant change around the theoretical cut line. Syracuse can put themselves in positive territory with a win against North Carolina, but I’m not expecting such a result. Frankly, I would have rather faced any other single-bye team in the second round, but thems the breaks.

Full tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School Implied Pythag Rank Implied Pythag WAB Avg Rank WAB Pythag Rank Pythag
Virginia 0.9869 1 9.45 1 0.9695 1
Xavier 0.9711 2 7.89 3 0.9175 13
Villanova 0.9686 3 7.96 2 0.9672 2
Michigan St. 0.9673 4 7.43 4 0.9536 6
Michigan 0.9549 5 6.51 6 0.9262 12
Duke 0.9537 6 6.49 7 0.9642 3
Purdue 0.9531 7 6.77 5 0.9558 5
Cincinnati 0.9524 8 4.75 11 0.9591 4
Gonzaga 0.9478 9 4.40 12 0.9360 7
Kansas 0.9442 10 5.91 8 0.9317 9
Tennessee 0.9390 11 5.34 9 0.9112 15
North Carolina 0.9387 12 5.17 10 0.9357 8
Auburn 0.9333 13 4.38 13 0.9080 16
Texas Tech 0.9267 14 4.08 14 0.9270 11
Wichita St. 0.9264 15 3.42 18 0.9156 14
Clemson 0.9256 16 3.73 16 0.8994 18
Ohio St. 0.9228 17 3.81 15 0.9072 17
West Virginia 0.9167 18 3.44 17 0.9293 10
Miami FL 0.9121 19 2.86 19 0.8695 34
Houston 0.9075 20 2.17 23 0.8930 21
Nevada 0.8989 21 2.07 24 0.8790 26
Arizona 0.8988 22 2.27 22 0.8869 24
Kentucky 0.8986 23 2.47 20 0.8919 22
TCU 0.8982 24 2.38 21 0.8958 20
Virginia Tech 0.8943 25 1.85 27 0.8732 31
Rhode Island 0.8932 26 1.53 31 0.8521 40
Kansas St. 0.8925 27 1.92 26 0.8442 44
St. Bonaventure 0.8922 28 1.64 30 0.8003 57
Texas A&M 0.8896 29 1.93 25 0.8704 33
Creighton 0.8892 30 1.68 28 0.8904 23
Arkansas 0.8855 31 1.68 29 0.8591 38
Seton Hall 0.8844 32 1.49 33 0.8772 27
North Carolina St. 0.8834 33 1.36 35 0.8374 46
Loyola Chicago 0.8823 34 1.16 39 0.8166 53
Florida 0.8820 35 1.51 32 0.8961 19
Middle Tennessee 0.8814 36 1.17 38 0.8287 49
Florida St. 0.8812 37 1.21 37 0.8655 36
Nebraska 0.8809 38 1.31 36 0.7991 58
Oklahoma 0.8807 39 1.39 34 0.8530 39
Saint Mary’s 0.8786 40 0.95 40 0.8691 35
Texas 0.8687 41 0.80 41 0.8624 37
New Mexico St. 0.8676 42 0.53 42 0.7878 61
Providence 0.8624 43 0.48 43 0.7774 66
Butler 0.8589 44 0.34 45 0.8851 25
Missouri 0.8584 45 0.35 44 0.8475 43
South Dakota St. 0.8579 46 0.28 46 0.7367 82
Marquette 0.8540 47 0.12 47 0.8297 48
Louisville 0.8527 48 0.05 48 0.8751 28
Baylor 0.8520 49 0.02 49 0.8732 30
Boise St. 0.8485 50 -0.03 50 0.8144 55
UCLA 0.8462 51 -0.16 52 0.8271 50
Oklahoma St. 0.8458 52 -0.22 54 0.8166 54
Louisiana Lafayette 0.8444 53 -0.10 51 0.7767 67
Syracuse 0.8438 54 -0.29 55 0.8344 47
Vermont 0.8414 55 -0.21 53 0.7743 68
Mississippi St. 0.8410 56 -0.34 56 0.7801 65
USC 0.8299 57 -0.79 58 0.8379 45
Penn St. 0.8265 58 -0.98 61 0.8733 29
Utah 0.8255 59 -0.90 59 0.7829 64
Arizona St. 0.8253 60 -0.92 60 0.8480 42
Murray St. 0.8239 61 -0.60 57 0.7733 71
Notre Dame 0.8227 62 -1.03 62 0.8718 32
Maryland 0.8200 63 -1.16 63 0.8495 41
Alabama 0.8047 64 -2.01 68 0.8233 52
LSU 0.8009 65 -1.86 67 0.7879 60
Old Dominion 0.8005 66 -1.30 64 0.7857 62
Georgia 0.7988 67 -2.06 70 0.7738 69
Boston College 0.7910 68 -2.08 72 0.7562 78
BYU 0.7879 69 -2.02 69 0.7661 73
Western Kentucky 0.7877 70 -1.81 66 0.7624 74
Washington 0.7875 71 -2.17 74 0.6718 104
UNC Greensboro 0.7860 72 -1.48 65 0.7100 90
Temple 0.7690 73 -2.91 79 0.7268 84
Oregon 0.7688 74 -2.70 78 0.7990 59
Buffalo 0.7682 75 -2.17 73 0.7329 83
College of Charleston 0.7610 76 -2.08 71 0.6288 114
St. John’s 0.7550 77 -3.49 89 0.7734 70
South Carolina 0.7547 78 -3.47 87 0.7548 79
Indiana 0.7535 79 -3.22 84 0.7694 72
Montana 0.7433 80 -2.36 75 0.6886 99
San Diego St. 0.7402 81 -3.02 80 0.8034 56
UCF 0.7383 82 -3.27 85 0.6943 96
South Dakota 0.7350 83 -2.52 77 0.7613 76
Wisconsin 0.7309 84 -4.26 107 0.7843 63
Stanford 0.7309 85 -4.06 102 0.7137 88
Wyoming 0.7285 86 -3.75 95 0.6051 123
Belmont 0.7259 87 -3.18 83 0.7239 86
Bucknell 0.7247 88 -3.13 82 0.6925 97
East Tennessee St. 0.7246 89 -3.12 81 0.6969 94
Tulsa 0.7203 90 -3.47 88 0.6695 106
Iowa St. 0.7177 91 -4.25 106 0.6975 93
Northeastern 0.7173 92 -3.91 97 0.6858 100
Fresno St. 0.7106 93 -3.73 94 0.7534 80
Davidson 0.7061 94 -3.73 93 0.8235 51
Rider 0.7042 95 -3.59 92 0.5655 138
Northwestern 0.7025 96 -4.92 111 0.7573 77
Stephen F. Austin 0.6992 97 -2.44 76 0.6131 119
Colorado 0.6974 98 -4.83 110 0.6175 117
Memphis 0.6974 99 -4.22 105 0.5299 158
Georgetown 0.6962 100 -3.92 98 0.6892 98
Penn 0.6916 101 -3.57 90 0.6124 120
Marshall 0.6886 102 -3.90 96 0.5962 127
Wright St. 0.6857 103 -4.00 100 0.5756 134
UC Santa Barbara 0.6818 104 -3.59 91 0.5672 136
UC Davis 0.6809 105 -4.06 103 0.5643 139
Lipscomb 0.6806 106 -3.28 86 0.4912 174
Vanderbilt 0.6693 107 -6.04 126 0.7404 81
UNLV 0.6681 108 -5.09 113 0.6750 103
Minnesota 0.6663 109 -5.45 115 0.6760 102
Furman 0.6655 110 -4.01 101 0.7096 91
Illinois St. 0.6625 111 -6.60 143 0.5406 152
Southern Illinois 0.6563 112 -5.85 119 0.5488 147
Utah Valley 0.6561 113 -3.94 99 0.7034 92
Idaho 0.6513 114 -4.10 104 0.5844 129
Toledo 0.6501 115 -4.79 109 0.6298 113
Iowa 0.6426 116 -6.65 146 0.7241 85
Bradley 0.6414 117 -6.33 138 0.5762 133
Northern Kentucky 0.6340 118 -4.68 108 0.7117 89
Connecticut 0.6254 119 -5.82 117 0.5259 161
Mississippi 0.6203 120 -7.01 150 0.6716 105
William & Mary 0.6136 121 -6.05 127 0.5160 163
Georgia Tech 0.6120 122 -6.74 147 0.6430 110
Georgia St. 0.6119 123 -5.82 118 0.6390 111
Illinois 0.6109 124 -7.06 152 0.6946 95
New Mexico 0.6108 125 -6.48 140 0.6352 112
Hofstra 0.6078 126 -6.07 128 0.5373 153
San Diego 0.6035 127 -6.01 125 0.5878 128
Georgia Southern 0.6020 128 -6.24 133 0.5623 140
Wofford 0.6011 129 -5.95 124 0.5299 157
SMU 0.5993 130 -6.12 129 0.7622 75
VCU 0.5979 131 -6.88 148 0.6013 125
UMBC 0.5976 132 -5.08 112 0.4302 190
Northern Colorado 0.5948 133 -6.12 130 0.5766 132
Ball St. 0.5947 134 -6.22 132 0.4992 170
UT Arlington 0.5936 135 -6.25 134 0.6000 126
Harvard 0.5883 136 -6.50 141 0.5539 145
Canisius 0.5879 137 -6.57 142 0.5825 130
Iona 0.5858 138 -7.27 157 0.6092 122
Oregon St. 0.5856 139 -7.11 153 0.6836 101
DePaul 0.5847 140 -6.91 149 0.6597 108
Albany 0.5776 141 -5.92 122 0.5571 143
Northern Iowa 0.5774 142 -7.79 162 0.6118 121
UNC Asheville 0.5702 143 -6.14 131 0.4427 186
Portland St. 0.5690 144 -6.65 145 0.5130 165
UAB 0.5663 145 -6.28 135 0.6611 107
Eastern Michigan 0.5662 146 -6.31 136 0.5265 160
Wake Forest 0.5654 147 -8.06 168 0.7189 87
San Francisco 0.5624 148 -7.20 155 0.5408 151
Radford 0.5596 149 -6.48 139 0.4716 180
Weber St. 0.5595 150 -5.93 123 0.5466 148
Missouri St. 0.5594 151 -8.71 181 0.6244 115
Saint Louis 0.5544 152 -7.91 166 0.5671 137
Rutgers 0.5540 153 -7.29 158 0.6014 124
Drake 0.5532 154 -8.85 182 0.4950 171
Eastern Washington 0.5491 155 -7.31 159 0.5447 150
Southeastern Louisiana 0.5464 156 -5.87 120 0.3922 204
Wagner 0.5461 157 -5.39 114 0.4656 181
Cal St. Fullerton 0.5457 158 -6.32 137 0.4616 182
Saint Joseph’s 0.5438 159 -8.11 170 0.6196 116
Utah St. 0.5363 160 -8.13 171 0.5580 142
Evansville 0.5349 161 -8.46 177 0.5276 159
Jacksonville St. 0.5337 162 -7.02 151 0.5515 146
Niagara 0.5253 163 -8.15 172 0.4040 199
Dayton 0.5250 164 -8.98 185 0.5361 155
Nicholls St. 0.5247 165 -5.91 121 0.4397 188
Grand Canyon 0.5233 166 -5.53 116 0.6524 109
UTSA 0.5210 167 -7.21 156 0.4535 183
Yale 0.5091 168 -7.82 163 0.4881 175
Washington St. 0.4986 169 -9.58 194 0.4299 191
Tennessee Tech 0.4984 170 -8.21 174 0.3600 224
Florida Gulf Coast 0.4948 171 -6.61 144 0.6158 118
Austin Peay 0.4919 172 -7.91 165 0.4019 200
George Washington 0.4894 173 -9.31 191 0.4421 187
Oakland 0.4881 174 -8.27 175 0.5063 166
UC Irvine 0.4879 175 -8.94 183 0.5709 135
Towson 0.4872 176 -9.28 190 0.5600 141
George Mason 0.4854 177 -9.36 192 0.3876 208
Tulane 0.4810 178 -8.03 167 0.5041 168
Seattle 0.4806 179 -7.12 154 0.3878 207
Mercer 0.4803 180 -8.30 176 0.5806 131
La Salle 0.4677 181 -10.38 213 0.5556 144
Winthrop 0.4672 182 -7.62 160 0.5307 156
Valparaiso 0.4630 183 -10.41 214 0.5456 149
Hawaii 0.4578 184 -7.88 164 0.3863 209
Western Michigan 0.4576 185 -9.99 200 0.4428 185
Colgate 0.4557 186 -8.09 169 0.4336 189
Fort Wayne 0.4546 187 -8.63 179 0.5151 164
Navy 0.4491 188 -8.20 173 0.3697 217
Long Beach St. 0.4482 189 -9.81 197 0.3923 203
Hartford 0.4434 190 -9.12 188 0.3394 230
Miami OH 0.4429 191 -10.41 216 0.4140 197
Pacific 0.4412 192 -10.37 212 0.4744 179
Central Michigan 0.4384 193 -8.99 186 0.4919 173
Louisiana Tech 0.4336 194 -9.27 189 0.5365 154
Richmond 0.4295 195 -11.06 224 0.4746 178
Indiana St. 0.4274 196 -11.13 226 0.5179 162
Kent St. 0.4258 197 -10.59 219 0.3989 202
Fairfield 0.4202 198 -10.51 218 0.3896 205
Troy 0.4099 199 -10.29 208 0.5049 167
Liberty 0.4094 200 -9.90 198 0.4995 169
Sam Houston St. 0.4047 201 -8.71 180 0.3514 225
Denver 0.4044 202 -9.96 199 0.3682 219
St. Francis PA 0.4032 203 -7.68 161 0.4054 198
Bowling Green 0.4021 204 -11.29 228 0.3245 234
Louisiana Monroe 0.3935 205 -8.95 184 0.3425 229
Princeton 0.3909 206 -10.36 211 0.4826 177
North Dakota St. 0.3878 207 -10.61 220 0.4938 172
North Texas 0.3873 208 -10.19 203 0.4180 195
Illinois Chicago 0.3797 209 -10.32 209 0.4010 201
Duquesne 0.3786 210 -10.23 205 0.4473 184
Lamar 0.3786 211 -9.04 187 0.4223 192
Tennessee St. 0.3771 212 -9.63 195 0.3782 214
Ohio 0.3756 213 -11.51 232 0.4219 193
Lehigh 0.3754 214 -9.69 196 0.3636 222
Massachusetts 0.3718 215 -12.34 252 0.4202 194
Colorado St. 0.3710 216 -11.55 234 0.3496 226
Elon 0.3679 217 -12.11 247 0.3325 232
Akron 0.3669 218 -11.86 242 0.3045 245
Southern Miss 0.3642 219 -10.44 217 0.3170 238
Appalachian St. 0.3631 220 -11.94 244 0.3891 206
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.3607 221 -10.41 215 0.2755 266
Pittsburgh 0.3602 222 -11.09 225 0.3600 223
Air Force 0.3575 223 -11.77 240 0.2963 253
Cornell 0.3548 224 -10.28 207 0.2927 258
Manhattan 0.3530 225 -12.29 249 0.3826 210
Robert Morris 0.3529 226 -11.96 245 0.3029 246
Boston University 0.3512 227 -11.63 235 0.3207 235
Coastal Carolina 0.3490 228 -12.32 251 0.4144 196
Central Arkansas 0.3470 229 -10.24 206 0.3820 212
Saint Peter’s 0.3365 230 -13.00 264 0.3805 213
Monmouth 0.3363 231 -13.61 272 0.4867 176
Mount St. Mary’s 0.3351 232 -10.21 204 0.3192 237
Milwaukee 0.3322 233 -12.32 250 0.3755 215
Texas St. 0.3282 234 -12.73 261 0.3658 221
South Alabama 0.3277 235 -11.93 243 0.3702 216
Western Carolina 0.3262 236 -11.73 239 0.1991 307
Delaware 0.3224 237 -13.78 277 0.2989 250
Drexel 0.3220 238 -14.47 287 0.3025 247
Stony Brook 0.3219 239 -12.73 262 0.3697 218
North Dakota 0.3106 240 -12.56 257 0.2845 260
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.3096 241 -10.81 222 0.3152 239
LIU Brooklyn 0.3081 242 -13.17 266 0.2961 254
Northern Illinois 0.3055 243 -13.63 273 0.3000 249
Grambling St. 0.3033 244 -10.34 210 0.1845 317
North Florida 0.3026 245 -11.30 229 0.2274 290
Idaho St. 0.3009 246 -11.71 237 0.2950 256
New Orleans 0.3003 247 -10.11 201 0.2808 263
Loyola Marymount 0.2970 248 -12.41 255 0.3340 231
Southern Utah 0.2881 249 -12.19 248 0.2286 288
Campbell 0.2861 250 -11.54 233 0.3663 220
Gardner Webb 0.2845 251 -12.00 246 0.2841 261
Southeast Missouri St. 0.2828 252 -12.59 258 0.2712 267
FIU 0.2824 253 -12.85 263 0.2958 255
North Carolina A&T 0.2817 254 -9.55 193 0.1918 310
Savannah St. 0.2755 255 -8.47 178 0.1722 321
UNC Wilmington 0.2745 256 -14.92 296 0.3193 236
Abilene Christian 0.2697 257 -11.70 236 0.2705 268
Oral Roberts 0.2682 258 -13.53 270 0.3047 244
California 0.2678 259 -13.81 278 0.3277 233
Quinnipiac 0.2675 260 -16.20 311 0.2390 279
Charleston Southern 0.2667 261 -11.51 230 0.3089 240
Florida Atlantic 0.2653 262 -12.60 259 0.3060 243
Central Connecticut 0.2638 263 -13.91 281 0.1913 311
Holy Cross 0.2618 264 -15.02 299 0.2462 276
Brown 0.2596 265 -11.78 241 0.2793 264
Montana St. 0.2568 266 -14.47 288 0.2509 275
Army 0.2568 267 -13.63 274 0.3074 242
Fordham 0.2547 268 -14.26 284 0.2352 282
Eastern Illinois 0.2536 269 -13.73 276 0.2932 257
UTEP 0.2525 270 -13.68 275 0.3084 241
Prairie View A&M 0.2513 271 -11.19 227 0.2595 272
High Point 0.2470 272 -12.35 253 0.3442 228
Western Illinois 0.2450 273 -11.51 231 0.2231 292
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2439 274 -13.18 267 0.2642 270
Bethune Cookman 0.2437 275 -10.71 221 0.2113 297
NJIT 0.2423 276 -11.72 238 0.2964 252
Arkansas St. 0.2399 277 -14.59 290 0.2784 265
South Florida 0.2337 278 -13.97 282 0.2341 283
Hampton 0.2335 279 -10.19 202 0.3018 248
James Madison 0.2326 280 -16.64 317 0.3455 227
Santa Clara 0.2279 281 -13.55 271 0.2588 273
East Carolina 0.2240 282 -12.68 260 0.2073 301
St. Francis NY 0.2201 283 -14.51 289 0.1919 309
IUPUI 0.2181 284 -13.83 279 0.2338 285
Cleveland St. 0.2165 285 -16.94 319 0.2088 298
UMass Lowell 0.2135 286 -14.22 283 0.2296 287
Portland 0.2088 287 -14.77 291 0.2596 271
Eastern Kentucky 0.2084 288 -14.77 292 0.2285 289
Nebraska Omaha 0.2084 289 -14.46 286 0.2558 274
Green Bay 0.2055 290 -14.80 293 0.2872 259
Jacksonville 0.2016 291 -13.51 269 0.1649 324
SIU Edwardsville 0.2009 292 -15.52 303 0.1746 320
Texas Southern 0.2003 293 -10.97 223 0.2970 251
UMKC 0.1904 294 -14.82 295 0.2087 299
Cal Poly 0.1897 295 -16.27 313 0.1754 319
McNeese St. 0.1844 296 -13.02 265 0.2011 304
Columbia 0.1801 297 -13.89 280 0.3822 211
The Citadel 0.1801 298 -14.94 297 0.1860 314
Lafayette 0.1713 299 -16.94 320 0.2436 277
Siena 0.1701 300 -18.35 329 0.2210 293
Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.1690 301 -13.27 268 0.1965 308
UC Riverside 0.1633 302 -15.97 306 0.2389 280
North Carolina Central 0.1624 303 -12.47 256 0.2035 302
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1617 304 -15.51 302 0.1321 330
Kennesaw St. 0.1610 305 -14.80 294 0.2018 303
Samford 0.1607 306 -15.35 301 0.2400 278
Southern 0.1600 307 -12.39 254 0.1612 325
Binghamton 0.1589 308 -16.15 308 0.2252 291
Loyola MD 0.1572 309 -17.44 322 0.1911 312
Chattanooga 0.1544 310 -17.67 323 0.2156 296
Dartmouth 0.1538 311 -15.55 304 0.2365 281
Morehead St. 0.1537 312 -15.04 300 0.2340 284
Tennessee Martin 0.1536 313 -16.36 314 0.2169 294
New Hampshire 0.1508 314 -16.18 310 0.2832 262
VMI 0.1441 315 -15.78 305 0.1197 333
Stetson 0.1431 316 -16.40 315 0.1810 318
Presbyterian 0.1424 317 -16.24 312 0.1255 331
Norfolk St. 0.1392 318 -14.32 285 0.1889 313
Sacred Heart 0.1355 319 -17.03 321 0.2000 305
Youngstown St. 0.1325 320 -18.40 332 0.1685 323
Charlotte 0.1320 321 -17.73 324 0.1858 315
Detroit 0.1280 322 -18.32 328 0.1845 316
Little Rock 0.1260 323 -18.58 333 0.2303 286
Sacramento St. 0.1207 324 -19.18 337 0.2166 295
Pepperdine 0.1181 325 -18.11 325 0.2693 269
Marist 0.1177 326 -20.20 342 0.1693 322
Morgan St. 0.1133 327 -14.97 298 0.1585 326
Rice 0.1122 328 -18.19 326 0.1994 306
San Jose St. 0.1084 329 -18.28 327 0.2078 300
Jackson St. 0.1081 330 -16.11 307 0.1038 337
South Carolina St. 0.0918 331 -16.17 309 0.0842 343
American 0.0914 332 -19.14 336 0.1492 327
Cal St. Northridge 0.0866 333 -18.87 334 0.1415 328
Howard 0.0819 334 -18.90 335 0.1195 334
Maine 0.0803 335 -20.31 343 0.1254 332
Florida A&M 0.0779 336 -18.36 330 0.0845 342
Alabama St. 0.0774 337 -18.39 331 0.0929 340
Longwood 0.0736 338 -21.32 347 0.0827 344
Northern Arizona 0.0712 339 -20.82 345 0.1154 335
Alcorn St. 0.0702 340 -16.49 316 0.1038 338
USC Upstate 0.0520 341 -19.84 340 0.1133 336
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0473 342 -19.44 339 0.0432 349
Incarnate Word 0.0463 343 -16.74 318 0.0998 339
Houston Baptist 0.0461 344 -19.22 338 0.1366 329
Coppin St. 0.0449 345 -21.19 346 0.0611 347
Bryant 0.0445 346 -23.05 349 0.0925 341
Mississippi Valley St. 0.0312 347 -22.81 348 0.0578 348
Chicago St. 0.0260 348 -20.16 341 0.0640 346
Alabama A&M 0.0228 349 -23.39 350 0.0370 351
Delaware St. 0.0147 350 -24.32 351 0.0426 350
Northwestern St. 0.0023 351 -20.45 344 0.0676 345

 

Vanderbilt got a six seed. Clemson and Florida State whiffed. Stanford got the hookup. The best part? The committee can do whatever it wants!

Rank School WAB Pythag Seed
1 Ohio St. 9.23 0.9603 1
2 Wisconsin 7.62 0.9494 2
3 North Carolina 7.50 0.9712 1
4 Kansas 6.89 0.9623 1
5 Florida 6.74 0.9583 1
6 Georgetown 6.33 0.9540 2
7 Southern Illinois 6.22 0.9132 4
8 UCLA 6.20 0.9436 2
9 Pittsburgh 6.11 0.9217 3
10 Memphis 5.00 0.9426 2
11 Oregon 3.70 0.8928 3
12 Texas A&M 3.65 0.9524 3
13 Maryland 3.55 0.9271 4
14 Duke 3.26 0.9370 6
15 Texas 3.23 0.8958 4
16 Washington St. 3.17 0.8830 3
17 Nevada Las Vegas 3.09 0.8503 7
18 Nevada 3.04 0.8460 7
19 Villanova 2.81 0.9099 9
20 Notre Dame 2.81 0.9001 6
21 Kentucky 2.69 0.9084 8
22 Winthrop 2.74 0.8318 11
23 Tennessee 2.54 0.8580 5
24 Arizona 2.50 0.8824 8
25 Marquette 2.47 0.8800 8
26 Indiana 2.06 0.9086 7
27 Butler 1.79 0.9046 5
28 Clemson 1.68 0.8881 NULL
29 Creighton 1.59 0.8913 10
30 Michigan St. 1.59 0.9133 9
31 Louisville 1.58 0.8982 6
32 Boston College 1.56 0.8430 7
33 Davidson 1.59 0.8158 13
34 Illinois 1.43 0.8865 12
35 Georgia Tech 1.33 0.8936 10
36 Florida St. 1.01 0.8656 NULL
37 Purdue 0.92 0.8805 9
38 Missouri St. 0.85 0.8835 NULL
39 Brigham Young 0.81 0.8424 8
40 Virginia Tech 0.66 0.8791 5
41 Southern California 0.64 0.8342 5
42 West Virginia 0.60 0.8623 NULL
43 Virginia Commonwealth 0.59 0.8206 11
44 Virginia 0.56 0.8251 4
45 Michigan 0.22 0.8269 NULL
46 Alabama 0.16 0.7913 NULL
47 Syracuse 0.14 0.8699 NULL
48 Kansas St. 0.10 0.8408 NULL
49 Vanderbilt -0.03 0.8110 6
50 Air Force -0.06 0.8888 NULL
51 Arkansas -0.12 0.8712 12
52 Texas Tech -0.12 0.7792 10
53 Drexel -0.13 0.7955 NULL
54 Gonzaga -0.16 0.8432 10
55 Oklahoma St. -0.18 0.7830 NULL
56 Appalachian St. -0.14 0.7611 NULL
57 Bradley -0.22 0.8294 NULL
58 Old Dominion -0.38 0.8162 12
59 Xavier -0.41 0.8754 9
60 Mississippi -0.72 0.8052 NULL
61 Massachusetts -0.69 0.8108 NULL
62 Georgia -0.95 0.8390 NULL
63 Stanford -1.05 0.7984 11
64 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -0.98 0.6911 15
65 Akron -1.17 0.8510 NULL
66 DePaul -1.40 0.8301 NULL
67 George Washington -1.39 0.7271 11
68 Mississippi St. -1.47 0.8741 NULL
69 New Mexico St. -1.59 0.6960 13
70 North Carolina St. -1.92 0.7356 NULL
71 Long Beach St. -1.86 0.6629 12
72 Washington -1.99 0.7764 NULL
73 Vermont -1.99 0.6097 NULL
74 Northern Iowa -2.13 0.7850 NULL
75 San Diego St. -2.18 0.7414 NULL
76 Wright St. -2.20 0.6899 14
77 Missouri -2.30 0.8083 NULL
78 Providence -2.38 0.7689 NULL
79 Holy Cross -2.36 0.7079 13
80 Hofstra -2.44 0.6756 NULL
81 Iowa -2.46 0.7705 NULL
82 Santa Clara -2.53 0.7571 NULL
83 Fresno St. -2.89 0.6762 NULL
84 Kent St. -2.90 0.7566 NULL
85 Wichita St. -2.98 0.7985 NULL
86 Pennsylvania -2.97 0.7081 14
87 Oral Roberts -3.14 0.7336 14
88 Bucknell -3.27 0.6868 NULL
89 Utah St. -3.31 0.7039 NULL
90 Louisiana St. -3.40 0.8303 NULL
91 Wake Forest -3.46 0.6669 NULL
92 Loyola Chicago -3.58 0.7142 NULL
93 St. Louis -3.63 0.6283 NULL
94 Connecticut -3.70 0.8367 NULL
95 Auburn -3.80 0.7097 NULL
96 Utah Valley St. -3.71 0.6745 NULL
97 Nebraska -3.86 0.7367 NULL
98 Toledo -3.91 0.6577 NULL
99 Dayton -3.93 0.6195 NULL
100 Marist -3.97 0.6033 NULL
101 Oklahoma -4.04 0.8337 NULL
102 Central Florida -4.23 0.6447 NULL
103 South Carolina -4.41 0.5886 NULL
104 Albany -4.38 0.5921 13
105 California -4.69 0.7335 NULL
106 College of Charleston -4.67 0.6179 NULL
107 Drake -4.81 0.6456 NULL
108 North Dakota St. -4.73 0.6651 NULL
109 Tulsa -4.86 0.6492 NULL
110 Belmont -4.84 0.6262 15
111 St. John’s -5.11 0.5967 NULL
112 Fordham -5.11 0.5726 NULL
113 Sam Houston St. -5.09 0.5787 NULL
114 East Tennessee St. -5.13 0.4372 NULL
115 Miami OH -5.27 0.7152 14
116 Southern Mississippi -5.22 0.6005 NULL
117 Houston -5.32 0.6914 NULL
118 Iowa St. -5.35 0.5860 NULL
119 High Point -5.30 0.4399 NULL
120 Colorado St. -5.40 0.6433 NULL
121 Western Kentucky -5.39 0.6277 NULL
122 Baylor -5.47 0.6633 NULL
123 Hawaii -5.53 0.7596 NULL
124 Delaware St. -5.57 0.4033 NULL
125 Oakland -5.80 0.5943 NULL
126 Rhode Island -5.85 0.5716 NULL
127 Cal St. Fullerton -5.92 0.4349 NULL
128 Illinois St. -6.07 0.7216 NULL
129 Ohio -6.12 0.6074 NULL
130 Saint Joseph’s -6.23 0.6912 NULL
131 Austin Peay -6.44 0.4743 NULL
132 Wyoming -6.56 0.5800 NULL
133 South Alabama -6.58 0.5242 NULL
134 North Texas -6.60 0.4654 15
135 Indiana St. -6.72 0.5571 NULL
136 Evansville -6.76 0.7148 NULL
137 George Mason -6.74 0.7126 NULL
138 Tulane -6.74 0.5501 NULL
139 Eastern Kentucky -6.83 0.4230 16
140 Weber St. -6.87 0.4364 15
141 Northern Arizona -6.88 0.4755 NULL
142 Seton Hall -6.92 0.6636 NULL
143 Boise St. -6.93 0.6467 NULL
144 UC Santa Barbara -6.98 0.5224 NULL
145 Cal Poly -7.24 0.5118 NULL
146 Niagara -7.37 0.4293 16
147 UAB -7.51 0.6342 NULL
148 Miami FL -7.58 0.6412 NULL
149 Northwestern -7.59 0.5653 NULL
150 Siena -7.56 0.5316 NULL
151 Florida A&M -7.60 0.2664 16
152 Central Connecticut -7.63 0.4449 16
153 St. Mary’s -7.77 0.6722 NULL
154 San Diego -7.79 0.4886 NULL
155 Western Michigan -7.86 0.6259 NULL
156 Wisconsin Green Bay -7.83 0.5484 NULL
157 Jackson St. -8.09 0.2643 16
158 Tennessee Tech -8.20 0.4500 NULL
159 Valparaiso -8.24 0.5417 NULL
160 Columbia -8.24 0.3688 NULL
161 Penn St. -8.34 0.5364 NULL
162 Charlotte -8.36 0.5093 NULL
163 Cincinnati -8.39 0.5485 NULL
164 Robert Morris -8.32 0.3615 NULL
165 Portland St. -8.40 0.4424 NULL
166 Lipscomb -8.52 0.4192 NULL
167 South Florida -8.62 0.5202 NULL
168 Cornell -8.56 0.4274 NULL
169 NC Greensboro -8.60 0.4679 NULL
170 New Mexico -8.71 0.5521 NULL
171 Yale -8.67 0.4478 NULL
172 Eastern Washington -8.71 0.4355 NULL
173 American -8.94 0.4600 NULL
174 Loyola MD -9.07 0.4173 NULL
175 William & Mary -9.15 0.4028 NULL
176 Youngstown St. -9.17 0.4303 NULL
177 Texas Christian -9.23 0.4343 NULL
178 Northwestern St. -9.20 0.4632 NULL
179 Rice -9.31 0.4454 NULL
180 Louisiana Monroe -9.28 0.2697 NULL
181 Jacksonville -9.28 0.2618 NULL
182 Sacred Heart -9.33 0.4322 NULL
183 Towson -9.43 0.5262 NULL
184 Southern Utah -9.48 0.4340 NULL
185 Rutgers -9.59 0.3589 NULL
186 IUPUI -9.55 0.4353 NULL
187 Furman -9.68 0.4034 NULL
188 Florida Atlantic -9.73 0.3168 NULL
189 Illinois Chicago -9.84 0.5210 NULL
190 Idaho St. -9.91 0.4943 NULL
191 Murray St. -9.89 0.3250 NULL
192 Utah -9.99 0.5331 NULL
193 Southeastern Louisiana -10.06 0.3103 NULL
194 Northeastern -10.15 0.4290 NULL
195 Temple -10.17 0.5891 NULL
196 Southern Methodist -10.16 0.4560 NULL
197 Georgia Southern -10.20 0.3859 NULL
198 San Francisco -10.29 0.4960 NULL
199 Mississippi Valley St. -10.29 0.2418 NULL
200 Stephen F. Austin -10.33 0.3916 NULL
201 Minnesota -10.42 0.4822 NULL
202 Loyola Marymount -10.44 0.3435 NULL
203 Arkansas St. -10.44 0.3654 NULL
204 Oregon St. -10.62 0.4253 NULL
205 Rider -10.56 0.2738 NULL
206 Colorado -10.64 0.3448 NULL
207 Montana -10.65 0.4155 NULL
208 Detroit -10.74 0.5178 NULL
209 Samford -10.83 0.3300 NULL
210 Texas El Paso -10.92 0.5761 NULL
211 Marshall -11.13 0.4176 NULL
212 Navy -11.09 0.2338 NULL
213 Army -11.13 0.2396 NULL
214 Coastal Carolina -11.12 0.2974 NULL
215 Grambling -11.17 0.1207 NULL
216 Central Michigan -11.31 0.3385 NULL
217 Chicago St. -11.36 0.3822 NULL
218 Texas Pan American -11.32 0.2459 NULL
219 Lamar -11.37 0.3431 NULL
220 UC Irvine -11.47 0.4581 NULL
221 IUPU Fort Wayne -11.47 0.2626 NULL
222 Arizona St. -11.62 0.5352 NULL
223 Louisiana Tech -11.72 0.3940 NULL
224 Harvard -11.69 0.2636 NULL
225 Middle Tennessee -11.72 0.3752 NULL
226 McNeese St. -11.72 0.2167 NULL
227 Chattanooga -11.77 0.3821 NULL
228 Liberty -11.89 0.3321 NULL
229 Cal St. Northridge -11.94 0.2965 NULL
230 Hampton -12.01 0.2538 NULL
231 Quinnipiac -12.03 0.2611 NULL
232 Fairleigh Dickinson -12.27 0.2580 NULL
233 Arkansas Little Rock -12.31 0.2538 NULL
234 Georgia St. -12.38 0.2822 NULL
235 Buffalo -12.44 0.3880 NULL
236 Bowling Green -12.42 0.3325 NULL
237 New Orleans -12.41 0.3146 NULL
238 Duquesne -12.44 0.3353 NULL
239 Savannah St. -12.45 0.0829 NULL
240 Eastern Michigan -12.52 0.3163 NULL
241 Troy -12.58 0.3140 NULL
242 Coppin St. -12.63 0.1459 NULL
243 Texas Arlington -12.65 0.2513 NULL
244 Florida International -12.66 0.1897 NULL
245 Pacific -12.72 0.3654 NULL
246 Fairfield -12.78 0.3597 NULL
247 Manhattan -12.76 0.2430 NULL
248 Binghamton -12.80 0.3242 NULL
249 Texas Southern -12.80 0.0998 NULL
250 NC Asheville -12.88 0.2629 NULL
251 Western Carolina -12.96 0.2882 NULL
252 Brown -13.05 0.3126 NULL
253 Wisconsin Milwaukee -13.14 0.3545 NULL
254 Campbell -13.08 0.2351 NULL
255 Hartford -13.11 0.2864 NULL
256 Mercer -13.12 0.1534 NULL
257 Princeton -13.37 0.2240 NULL
258 Dartmouth -13.50 0.1718 NULL
259 Monmouth -13.51 0.2518 NULL
260 Cleveland St. -13.62 0.3055 NULL
261 Boston University -13.69 0.4040 NULL
262 South Carolina St. -13.66 0.1904 NULL
263 North Carolina A&T -13.76 0.1968 NULL
264 Maine -13.87 0.2457 NULL
265 Sacramento St. -13.91 0.1754 NULL
266 Kennesaw St. -13.89 0.2451 NULL
267 Ball St. -13.99 0.3582 NULL
268 Wofford -13.99 0.2713 NULL
269 MD Baltimore County -14.02 0.2398 NULL
270 Arkansas Pine Bluff -14.15 0.1346 NULL
271 Missouri Kansas City -14.20 0.3599 NULL
272 Lehigh -14.20 0.2603 NULL
273 Colgate -14.38 0.1846 NULL
274 Gardner Webb -14.60 0.2020 NULL
275 Virginia Military Inst -14.61 0.2987 NULL
276 Centenary -14.67 0.2568 NULL
277 NC Wilmington -14.74 0.3191 NULL
278 Norfolk St. -14.72 0.1129 NULL
279 Canisius -14.83 0.2673 NULL
280 Morgan St. -14.85 0.1907 NULL
281 La Salle -14.94 0.3045 NULL
282 Mount St. Mary’s -15.07 0.2744 NULL
283 Nicholls St. -15.21 0.2345 NULL
284 Tennessee St. -15.21 0.2015 NULL
285 Richmond -15.27 0.2168 NULL
286 Stetson -15.25 0.1407 NULL
287 Morehead St. -15.41 0.2023 NULL
288 Montana St. -15.49 0.2246 NULL
289 Lafayette -15.53 0.1440 NULL
290 Portland -15.60 0.2167 NULL
291 Southeast Missouri St. -15.61 0.1733 NULL
292 Wagner -15.74 0.1926 NULL
293 Stony Brook -15.90 0.2054 NULL
294 New Hampshire -15.93 0.1844 NULL
295 Pepperdine -16.02 0.3343 NULL
296 San Jose St. -16.19 0.2962 NULL
297 Southern -16.11 0.1327 NULL
298 Texas St. -16.13 0.1435 NULL
299 Central Arkansas -16.17 0.2107 NULL
300 The Citadel -16.21 0.0929 NULL
301 Long Island -16.24 0.1484 NULL
302 Alcorn St. -16.23 0.0817 NULL
303 Alabama St. -16.25 0.1124 NULL
304 Winston Salem St. -16.38 0.0780 NULL
305 Louisiana Lafayette -16.44 0.2276 NULL
306 Elon -16.54 0.2113 NULL
307 St. Bonaventure -16.54 0.1634 NULL
308 Eastern Illinois -16.61 0.1448 NULL
309 Charleston Southern -16.69 0.1042 NULL
310 James Madison -16.75 0.1922 NULL
311 Alabama A&M -16.94 0.0578 NULL
312 Longwood -17.08 0.1055 NULL
313 Radford -17.14 0.1750 NULL
314 Northern Illinois -17.23 0.3107 NULL
315 St. Francis NY -17.34 0.1981 NULL
316 Texas San Antonio -17.43 0.1052 NULL
317 St. Francis PA -17.61 0.1550 NULL
318 Bethune Cookman -17.66 0.0473 NULL
319 Prairie View A&M -17.74 0.0542 NULL
320 East Carolina -18.07 0.1413 NULL
321 Jacksonville St. -18.16 0.1739 NULL
322 Western Illinois -18.82 0.1252 NULL
323 UC Riverside -19.01 0.1438 NULL
324 UC Davis -19.03 0.1170 NULL
325 Idaho -19.11 0.1483 NULL
326 Tennessee Martin -19.40 0.1288 NULL
327 Howard -19.46 0.0831 NULL
328 South Dakota St. -19.72 0.1153 NULL
329 Delaware -19.88 0.1744 NULL
330 Northern Colorado -20.08 0.1326 NULL
331 NJ Inst of Technology -20.94 0.0494 NULL
332 St. Peter’s -21.38 0.1152 NULL
333 Denver -21.67 0.0838 NULL
334 North Florida -22.43 0.0404 NULL
335 Maryland Eastern Shore -22.85 0.0422 NULL
336 Iona -23.09 0.0908 NULL

I’ll be updating the WAB tables daily this week, but if the Orange lose tonight, it will be I’ll be doing so with a broken heart.

St. Mary’s lost last night, but like Nebraska, their resume in the top 45. How the committee sees things is up to the committee. I’m just solving for how hard it is to accomplish each team’s record against the schedule they’ve faced.

But, all of that is unimportant compared to this: Go Orange!

Full tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School Implied Pythag Rank Implied Pythag WAB Avg Rank WAB Pythag Rank Pythag
Virginia 0.9869 1 9.52 1 0.9696 1
Xavier 0.9711 2 7.96 3 0.9182 13
Villanova 0.9685 3 8.03 2 0.9671 2
Michigan St. 0.9673 4 7.51 4 0.9536 6
Michigan 0.9548 5 6.58 7 0.9261 12
Duke 0.9537 6 6.58 6 0.9642 3
Purdue 0.9531 7 6.84 5 0.9560 5
Cincinnati 0.9526 8 4.82 11 0.9593 4
Gonzaga 0.9452 9 4.10 14 0.9330 8
Kansas 0.9440 10 5.96 8 0.9313 9
Tennessee 0.9391 11 5.42 9 0.9102 15
North Carolina 0.9388 12 5.26 10 0.9354 7
Auburn 0.9332 13 4.45 12 0.9075 16
Wichita St. 0.9266 14 3.48 18 0.9159 14
Texas Tech 0.9266 15 4.14 13 0.9267 11
Clemson 0.9257 16 3.81 16 0.8991 18
Ohio St. 0.9226 17 3.87 15 0.9074 17
West Virginia 0.9165 18 3.50 17 0.9290 10
Miami FL 0.9122 19 2.93 19 0.8684 35
Houston 0.9078 20 2.24 23 0.8925 21
Arizona 0.8990 21 2.35 22 0.8869 24
Nevada 0.8988 22 2.13 24 0.8795 26
Kentucky 0.8983 23 2.53 20 0.8907 22
TCU 0.8981 24 2.45 21 0.8963 19
Virginia Tech 0.8944 25 1.91 27 0.8732 31
Rhode Island 0.8931 26 1.58 31 0.8521 40
Kansas St. 0.8924 27 1.98 26 0.8442 44
St. Bonaventure 0.8919 28 1.69 30 0.7997 57
Texas A&M 0.8894 29 1.99 25 0.8701 33
Creighton 0.8891 30 1.74 28 0.8904 23
Arkansas 0.8853 31 1.74 29 0.8598 38
Seton Hall 0.8845 32 1.56 33 0.8772 28
North Carolina St. 0.8838 33 1.44 35 0.8380 45
Loyola Chicago 0.8823 34 1.21 39 0.8161 53
Florida 0.8817 35 1.57 32 0.8951 20
Florida St. 0.8811 36 1.26 37 0.8657 36
Middle Tennessee 0.8811 37 1.21 38 0.8279 50
Nebraska 0.8808 38 1.37 36 0.7975 59
Oklahoma 0.8806 39 1.46 34 0.8533 39
Saint Mary’s 0.8789 40 1.00 40 0.8686 34
Texas 0.8684 41 0.86 41 0.8616 37
New Mexico St. 0.8676 42 0.57 42 0.7888 60
Providence 0.8624 43 0.54 43 0.7763 67
Butler 0.8590 44 0.41 45 0.8850 25
Missouri 0.8582 45 0.42 44 0.8484 42
Marquette 0.8539 46 0.18 46 0.8305 47
Louisville 0.8527 47 0.11 47 0.8744 29
Baylor 0.8519 48 0.08 48 0.8732 30
Boise St. 0.8482 49 0.02 49 0.8146 55
UCLA 0.8468 50 -0.07 52 0.8304 48
South Dakota St. 0.8460 51 -0.02 50 0.7276 83
Oklahoma St. 0.8456 52 -0.17 53 0.8160 54
Louisiana Lafayette 0.8444 53 -0.05 51 0.7767 66
Mississippi St. 0.8409 54 -0.29 55 0.7790 65
Vermont 0.8397 55 -0.21 54 0.7696 74
Syracuse 0.8357 56 -0.52 56 0.8301 49
USC 0.8304 57 -0.71 58 0.8379 46
Utah 0.8264 58 -0.81 59 0.7829 64
Penn St. 0.8261 59 -0.92 61 0.8727 32
Arizona St. 0.8257 60 -0.85 60 0.8493 41
Murray St. 0.8236 61 -0.56 57 0.7725 70
Maryland 0.8197 62 -1.10 63 0.8479 43
Notre Dame 0.8195 63 -1.06 62 0.8783 27
Alabama 0.8047 64 -1.94 70 0.8240 51
LSU 0.8014 65 -1.78 68 0.7871 61
Old Dominion 0.8002 66 -1.26 64 0.7856 62
Georgia 0.7984 67 -2.00 71 0.7744 68
BYU 0.7942 68 -1.70 66 0.7734 69
Washington 0.7876 69 -2.11 72 0.6731 103
Western Kentucky 0.7873 70 -1.77 67 0.7613 76
UNC Greensboro 0.7865 71 -1.43 65 0.7108 90
Boston College 0.7802 72 -2.25 75 0.7513 80
Oregon 0.7696 73 -2.62 78 0.7990 58
Temple 0.7692 74 -2.84 79 0.7268 84
Buffalo 0.7674 75 -2.14 73 0.7340 82
South Dakota 0.7584 76 -1.83 69 0.7700 73
St. John’s 0.7554 77 -3.41 88 0.7713 71
South Carolina 0.7542 78 -3.41 89 0.7548 78
Indiana 0.7540 79 -3.14 84 0.7702 72
College of Charleston 0.7462 80 -2.25 74 0.6185 117
Montana 0.7427 81 -2.33 76 0.6884 100
San Diego St. 0.7394 82 -2.99 80 0.8027 56
UCF 0.7385 83 -3.21 86 0.6956 95
Northeastern 0.7354 84 -3.18 85 0.6920 97
Stanford 0.7321 85 -3.97 101 0.7151 88
Wisconsin 0.7310 86 -4.19 107 0.7843 63
Wyoming 0.7279 87 -3.70 96 0.6004 125
Belmont 0.7259 88 -3.13 83 0.7239 87
East Tennessee St. 0.7248 89 -3.07 81 0.6969 94
Bucknell 0.7247 90 -3.09 82 0.6917 99
Tulsa 0.7207 91 -3.41 90 0.6694 106
Iowa St. 0.7174 92 -4.19 106 0.6975 93
Fresno St. 0.7102 93 -3.69 95 0.7535 79
Davidson 0.7062 94 -3.68 94 0.8234 52
Rider 0.7043 95 -3.55 92 0.5622 140
Northwestern 0.7028 96 -4.84 112 0.7562 77
Stephen F. Austin 0.6989 97 -2.41 77 0.6158 119
Memphis 0.6976 98 -4.16 105 0.5329 156
Colorado 0.6975 99 -4.76 111 0.6189 115
Georgetown 0.6959 100 -3.87 98 0.6919 98
Penn 0.6916 101 -3.53 91 0.6126 120
Marshall 0.6884 102 -3.86 97 0.5953 127
Wright St. 0.6817 103 -3.99 102 0.5663 137
UC Santa Barbara 0.6808 104 -3.57 93 0.5669 136
Lipscomb 0.6807 105 -3.24 87 0.4911 174
UC Davis 0.6804 106 -4.03 103 0.5641 138
Vanderbilt 0.6689 107 -5.97 126 0.7393 81
UNLV 0.6675 108 -5.04 113 0.6725 104
Minnesota 0.6661 109 -5.39 115 0.6786 102
Furman 0.6661 110 -3.96 100 0.7085 91
Illinois St. 0.6628 111 -6.52 143 0.5416 152
Utah Valley 0.6573 112 -3.89 99 0.7048 92
Southern Illinois 0.6562 113 -5.79 119 0.5502 147
Idaho 0.6515 114 -4.06 104 0.5858 129
Toledo 0.6497 115 -4.76 110 0.6283 113
Iowa 0.6422 116 -6.59 146 0.7240 86
Bradley 0.6410 117 -6.28 139 0.5785 132
Northern Kentucky 0.6333 118 -4.66 109 0.7127 89
Georgia Tech 0.6290 119 -6.01 127 0.6503 110
Connecticut 0.6258 120 -5.76 117 0.5259 160
Mississippi 0.6196 121 -6.95 150 0.6716 105
William & Mary 0.6126 122 -6.01 128 0.5160 164
Georgia St. 0.6120 123 -5.78 118 0.6402 111
Illinois 0.6112 124 -6.98 151 0.6946 96
New Mexico 0.6102 125 -6.43 140 0.6350 112
Hofstra 0.6072 126 -6.04 129 0.5382 153
San Diego 0.6046 127 -5.95 125 0.5872 128
Georgia Southern 0.6026 128 -6.18 134 0.5624 139
Wofford 0.6014 129 -5.90 124 0.5314 157
SMU 0.5993 130 -6.06 130 0.7630 75
VCU 0.5979 131 -6.83 148 0.5998 126
Ball St. 0.5947 132 -6.17 133 0.4992 170
UT Arlington 0.5939 133 -6.19 135 0.6015 124
Northern Colorado 0.5927 134 -6.07 131 0.5682 134
Wagner 0.5917 135 -4.40 108 0.4871 176
UMBC 0.5900 136 -5.09 114 0.4185 194
Harvard 0.5883 137 -6.45 142 0.5513 146
Canisius 0.5873 138 -6.54 144 0.5826 130
Oregon St. 0.5861 139 -7.04 153 0.6835 101
DePaul 0.5856 140 -6.83 149 0.6599 107
Iona 0.5850 141 -7.23 158 0.6092 122
Northern Iowa 0.5775 142 -7.73 163 0.6118 121
Albany 0.5773 143 -5.90 123 0.5562 144
Wake Forest 0.5752 144 -7.47 160 0.7253 85
UNC Asheville 0.5704 145 -6.10 132 0.4427 187
UAB 0.5664 146 -6.24 136 0.6596 108
Eastern Michigan 0.5664 147 -6.28 137 0.5251 161
San Francisco 0.5628 148 -7.15 155 0.5416 151
Portland St. 0.5620 149 -6.65 147 0.5214 162
Weber St. 0.5605 150 -5.88 121 0.5467 150
Radford 0.5598 151 -6.43 141 0.4716 181
Missouri St. 0.5588 152 -8.67 182 0.6233 114
Rutgers 0.5550 153 -7.22 157 0.6031 123
Saint Louis 0.5545 154 -7.86 166 0.5671 135
Drake 0.5535 155 -8.78 183 0.4951 171
Eastern Washington 0.5493 156 -7.25 159 0.5471 149
Southeastern Louisiana 0.5467 157 -5.82 120 0.3936 203
Cal St. Fullerton 0.5458 158 -6.28 138 0.4585 182
Saint Joseph’s 0.5436 159 -8.06 169 0.6187 116
Utah St. 0.5369 160 -8.07 171 0.5587 142
Evansville 0.5349 161 -8.41 178 0.5266 159
Jacksonville St. 0.5340 162 -6.98 152 0.5531 145
Dayton 0.5257 163 -8.92 186 0.5354 154
Niagara 0.5253 164 -8.10 172 0.4050 198
Nicholls St. 0.5244 165 -5.88 122 0.4396 188
Grand Canyon 0.5234 166 -5.49 116 0.6536 109
UTSA 0.5208 167 -7.17 156 0.4535 183
Yale 0.5090 168 -7.77 164 0.4896 175
Washington St. 0.4997 169 -9.50 193 0.4320 190
Tennessee Tech 0.4987 170 -8.16 173 0.3599 223
Florida Gulf Coast 0.4951 171 -6.57 145 0.6158 118
Austin Peay 0.4920 172 -7.86 167 0.4019 201
George Washington 0.4893 173 -9.25 191 0.4431 185
Oakland 0.4881 174 -8.24 175 0.5063 166
UC Irvine 0.4878 175 -8.90 184 0.5708 133
Towson 0.4859 176 -9.25 190 0.5598 141
George Mason 0.4851 177 -9.32 192 0.3875 208
Seattle 0.4817 178 -7.07 154 0.3902 205
Tulane 0.4812 179 -7.97 168 0.5055 168
Mercer 0.4805 180 -8.24 176 0.5810 131
Winthrop 0.4675 181 -7.58 161 0.5307 158
La Salle 0.4672 182 -10.34 213 0.5565 143
Valparaiso 0.4630 183 -10.36 215 0.5471 148
Hawaii 0.4578 184 -7.85 165 0.3858 209
Western Michigan 0.4578 185 -9.95 200 0.4428 186
Hartford 0.4569 186 -8.32 177 0.3478 226
Colgate 0.4548 187 -8.07 170 0.4320 189
Fort Wayne 0.4540 188 -8.59 180 0.5160 163
Navy 0.4485 189 -8.17 174 0.3711 218
Long Beach St. 0.4473 190 -9.77 197 0.3936 204
Miami OH 0.4421 191 -10.37 216 0.4147 196
Pacific 0.4415 192 -10.32 212 0.4759 180
Central Michigan 0.4378 193 -8.97 187 0.4918 173
Louisiana Tech 0.4338 194 -9.23 189 0.5342 155
Richmond 0.4292 195 -11.01 226 0.4770 179
Indiana St. 0.4276 196 -11.07 227 0.5158 165
Kent St. 0.4262 197 -10.54 219 0.3975 202
Fairfield 0.4194 198 -10.47 218 0.3896 206
Liberty 0.4102 199 -9.85 198 0.4998 169
Troy 0.4100 200 -10.24 207 0.5058 167
Sam Houston St. 0.4046 201 -8.67 181 0.3518 224
St. Francis PA 0.4044 202 -7.64 162 0.4049 199
Denver 0.4042 203 -9.91 199 0.3674 220
Bowling Green 0.4023 204 -11.24 229 0.3259 234
Louisiana Monroe 0.3940 205 -8.90 185 0.3416 230
Princeton 0.3910 206 -10.32 211 0.4851 177
North Texas 0.3878 207 -10.14 202 0.4180 195
North Dakota St. 0.3871 208 -10.57 220 0.4920 172
Illinois Chicago 0.3797 209 -10.29 209 0.4023 200
Lamar 0.3788 210 -9.01 188 0.4223 191
Duquesne 0.3780 211 -10.20 206 0.4472 184
Tennessee St. 0.3774 212 -9.59 195 0.3782 214
Ohio 0.3752 213 -11.47 232 0.4219 192
Lehigh 0.3746 214 -9.67 196 0.3635 222
Massachusetts 0.3720 215 -12.28 251 0.4202 193
Colorado St. 0.3703 216 -11.50 234 0.3495 225
Elon 0.3674 217 -12.06 247 0.3312 232
Akron 0.3672 218 -11.81 242 0.3045 245
Pittsburgh 0.3645 219 -10.58 221 0.3477 227
Southern Miss 0.3644 220 -10.39 217 0.3166 238
Appalachian St. 0.3632 221 -11.89 245 0.3891 207
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.3612 222 -10.35 214 0.2751 266
Air Force 0.3573 223 -11.73 240 0.2964 255
Cornell 0.3546 224 -10.24 208 0.2927 257
Robert Morris 0.3538 225 -11.89 244 0.3026 247
Manhattan 0.3525 226 -12.26 250 0.3812 212
Boston University 0.3511 227 -11.59 236 0.3194 236
Coastal Carolina 0.3488 228 -12.28 252 0.4139 197
Central Arkansas 0.3477 229 -10.19 205 0.3820 211
Monmouth 0.3359 230 -13.56 273 0.4837 178
Mount St. Mary’s 0.3356 231 -10.15 203 0.3181 237
Saint Peter’s 0.3354 232 -12.97 264 0.3790 213
Milwaukee 0.3324 233 -12.28 253 0.3754 216
Texas St. 0.3285 234 -12.69 262 0.3644 221
South Alabama 0.3277 235 -11.88 243 0.3731 217
Western Carolina 0.3261 236 -11.68 238 0.1995 305
Idaho St. 0.3256 237 -10.71 223 0.3077 244
Stony Brook 0.3231 238 -12.25 249 0.3764 215
Delaware 0.3227 239 -13.71 278 0.2979 252
Drexel 0.3213 240 -14.43 288 0.3011 248
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.3103 241 -10.75 224 0.3152 239
Northern Illinois 0.3055 242 -13.58 274 0.3000 249
Grambling St. 0.3035 243 -10.29 210 0.1851 316
North Florida 0.3020 244 -11.26 230 0.2276 289
New Orleans 0.3005 245 -10.07 201 0.2808 262
Loyola Marymount 0.2977 246 -12.36 255 0.3339 231
North Dakota 0.2924 247 -12.58 260 0.2829 261
LIU Brooklyn 0.2868 248 -13.33 268 0.2800 263
Campbell 0.2862 249 -11.51 235 0.3686 219
Gardner Webb 0.2845 250 -11.97 246 0.2841 259
Southeast Missouri St. 0.2831 251 -12.55 258 0.2704 268
FIU 0.2829 252 -12.81 263 0.2981 251
North Carolina A&T 0.2818 253 -9.52 194 0.1908 311
Savannah St. 0.2749 254 -8.44 179 0.1713 321
UNC Wilmington 0.2747 255 -14.87 296 0.3202 235
Montana St. 0.2731 256 -13.50 272 0.2529 274
Abilene Christian 0.2700 257 -11.66 237 0.2710 267
California 0.2688 258 -13.73 279 0.3277 233
Southern Utah 0.2682 259 -12.21 248 0.2187 293
Oral Roberts 0.2679 260 -13.48 270 0.3036 246
Quinnipiac 0.2673 261 -16.15 313 0.2390 280
Charleston Southern 0.2668 262 -11.47 231 0.3103 240
Florida Atlantic 0.2654 263 -12.56 259 0.3086 243
Central Connecticut 0.2649 264 -13.84 281 0.1927 310
Holy Cross 0.2617 265 -14.98 299 0.2457 276
Brown 0.2592 266 -11.74 241 0.2793 264
Army 0.2562 267 -13.60 275 0.3087 242
Eastern Illinois 0.2537 268 -13.68 277 0.2944 256
Fordham 0.2537 269 -14.22 285 0.2343 284
UTEP 0.2528 270 -13.64 276 0.3097 241
High Point 0.2469 271 -12.33 254 0.3427 229
Prairie View A&M 0.2458 272 -11.16 228 0.2526 275
Western Illinois 0.2446 273 -11.49 233 0.2231 291
Bethune Cookman 0.2438 274 -10.68 222 0.2116 298
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2435 275 -13.15 266 0.2661 270
NJIT 0.2423 276 -11.69 239 0.2965 254
Arkansas St. 0.2407 277 -14.53 290 0.2773 265
South Florida 0.2346 278 -13.92 283 0.2349 283
Hampton 0.2339 279 -10.17 204 0.2986 250
James Madison 0.2323 280 -16.60 318 0.3455 228
Santa Clara 0.2290 281 -13.50 271 0.2589 272
East Carolina 0.2251 282 -12.63 261 0.2070 300
Cleveland St. 0.2216 283 -16.09 310 0.2150 296
St. Francis NY 0.2197 284 -14.46 289 0.1928 309
IUPUI 0.2187 285 -13.80 280 0.2337 285
UMass Lowell 0.2130 286 -14.19 284 0.2294 287
Portland 0.2094 287 -14.72 291 0.2607 271
Eastern Kentucky 0.2083 288 -14.72 292 0.2294 288
Nebraska Omaha 0.2083 289 -14.39 287 0.2558 273
Green Bay 0.2055 290 -14.77 295 0.2871 258
Jacksonville 0.2016 291 -13.48 269 0.1649 324
SIU Edwardsville 0.2011 292 -15.47 304 0.1738 320
Texas Southern 0.1937 293 -10.95 225 0.2967 253
UMKC 0.1905 294 -14.76 293 0.2090 299
Cal Poly 0.1895 295 -16.24 315 0.1762 319
McNeese St. 0.1842 296 -13.00 265 0.1994 307
Columbia 0.1803 297 -13.85 282 0.3822 210
The Citadel 0.1798 298 -14.90 297 0.1859 314
Lafayette 0.1713 299 -16.91 320 0.2425 277
Siena 0.1698 300 -18.33 332 0.2209 292
Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.1691 301 -13.23 267 0.1964 308
UC Riverside 0.1635 302 -15.92 309 0.2400 279
Kennesaw St. 0.1611 303 -14.76 294 0.2018 303
Samford 0.1609 304 -15.30 303 0.2400 278
Binghamton 0.1584 305 -16.13 311 0.2244 290
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1580 306 -15.49 305 0.1336 330
Loyola MD 0.1571 307 -17.40 322 0.1901 312
North Carolina Central 0.1556 308 -12.46 257 0.2027 302
Chattanooga 0.1545 309 -17.62 324 0.2156 295
Tennessee Martin 0.1538 310 -16.32 316 0.2167 294
Morehead St. 0.1537 311 -14.99 300 0.2361 281
Dartmouth 0.1537 312 -15.51 306 0.2354 282
Southern 0.1528 313 -12.37 256 0.1632 325
New Hampshire 0.1509 314 -16.15 312 0.2831 260
VMI 0.1443 315 -15.74 308 0.1197 335
Stetson 0.1433 316 -16.36 317 0.1801 318
Presbyterian 0.1423 317 -16.20 314 0.1261 331
Norfolk St. 0.1391 318 -14.29 286 0.1888 313
Sacred Heart 0.1354 319 -16.99 321 0.2007 304
Youngstown St. 0.1332 320 -18.34 334 0.1694 322
Charlotte 0.1321 321 -17.69 325 0.1858 315
Detroit 0.1284 322 -18.27 331 0.1844 317
Little Rock 0.1259 323 -18.52 335 0.2303 286
Sacramento St. 0.1250 324 -18.27 330 0.2123 297
Pepperdine 0.1178 325 -18.07 327 0.2692 269
Marist 0.1175 326 -20.17 343 0.1692 323
Jackson St. 0.1136 327 -15.14 301 0.1023 338
Rice 0.1125 328 -18.14 328 0.1994 306
San Jose St. 0.1086 329 -18.23 329 0.2069 301
Morgan St. 0.1035 330 -14.97 298 0.1588 326
South Carolina St. 0.0995 331 -15.17 302 0.0827 343
American 0.0917 332 -19.09 337 0.1501 327
Howard 0.0904 333 -17.88 326 0.1255 332
Cal St. Northridge 0.0870 334 -18.83 336 0.1408 328
Maine 0.0804 335 -20.29 345 0.1246 333
Alabama St. 0.0789 336 -17.49 323 0.0932 340
Longwood 0.0737 337 -21.27 347 0.0827 342
Northern Arizona 0.0726 338 -19.95 341 0.1199 334
Alcorn St. 0.0717 339 -15.56 307 0.1073 337
Florida A&M 0.0677 340 -18.34 333 0.0802 344
USC Upstate 0.0520 341 -19.79 340 0.1137 336
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0474 342 -19.40 339 0.0432 349
Coppin St. 0.0468 343 -20.20 344 0.0632 347
Incarnate Word 0.0464 344 -16.72 319 0.1003 339
Houston Baptist 0.0461 345 -19.18 338 0.1366 329
Bryant 0.0445 346 -22.99 349 0.0931 341
Mississippi Valley St. 0.0324 347 -21.81 348 0.0565 348
Chicago St. 0.0260 348 -20.10 342 0.0635 346
Alabama A&M 0.0228 349 -23.35 350 0.0373 351
Delaware St. 0.0146 350 -24.30 351 0.0425 350
Northwestern St. 0.0023 351 -20.41 346 0.0676 345