How I would seed the bracket

There is pretty much no chance that the committee will see it this way. Pythag has a lot more respect for the Big 10 than the RPI has, and it shows here with the Big 10 getting three teams on the top two seed lines. Surprisingly (to me anyway), the ACC would only get one.

In a WAB (or Implied Pythag) world, Nebraska would be safely in. Ditto for St. Mary’s. Marquette and Middle Tennessee would be the last teams in, while Oklahoma State would be the first team out.

Kansas as a #1 seed makes a lot more sense if you discount everything the Big 10 did. Duke and UNC would both move up to the #2 line as well. Of course, all of this is moot because RPI still rules the world. C’est la vie.

School	Seed
Virginia	1
Villanova	1
Michigan St.	1
Xavier	1
Kansas	2
Purdue	2
Michigan	2
Cincinnati	2
Duke	3
North Carolina	3
Tennessee	3
Gonzaga	3
West Virginia	4
Texas Tech	4
Clemson	4
Ohio St.	4
Auburn	5
Kentucky	5
Wichita St.	5
Arizona	5
Houston	6
Miami FL	6
Kansas St.	6
Arkansas	6
Nevada	7
TCU	7
Rhode Island	7
Seton Hall	7
Virginia Tech	8
Texas A&M	8
St. Bonaventure	8
Nebraska	8
Loyola Chicago	9
Saint Mary’s	9
Creighton	9
New Mexico St.	9
Florida	10
Providence	10
Oklahoma	10
North Carolina St.	10
Florida St.	11
Texas	11
Butler	11.1
Louisville	12.1
South Dakota St.	11
Middle Tennessee	12.1
Marquette	11.1
Murray St.	12
UNC Greensboro	12
Buffalo	12
San Diego St.	13
Montana	13
College of Charleston	13
Davidson	13
Stephen F. Austin	14
Bucknell	14
Marshall	14
Penn	14
Lipscomb	15
Wright St.	15
UMBC	15
Georgia St.	15
Cal St. Fullerton	16
Radford	16
Iona	16.1
Texas Southern	16.2
LIU Brooklyn	16.2
North Carolina Central	16.1
Oklahoma St.	Out
Missouri	Out
UCLA	Out
Baylor	Out
Mississippi St.	Out
Syracuse	Out
USC	Out
Notre Dame	Out

WAB 3/11: Market Predictions

Well see how these play out in a little over four hours:

Alabama: In. Lock.

Arizona State: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Baylor: Out.

Butler: In. Lock.

Florida State: In. Lock.

Kansas State: In. Lock.

Louisville: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Marquette: Out.

Middle Tennessee: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Missouri: In. Lock.

NC State: In. Lock.

Nebraska: Out.

Notre Dame: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Oklahoma: In. Slight chance of missing the field.

Oklahoma State: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Providence: In. Lock.

St. Bonaventure: In. Lock. (I’m as shocked as you are)

St. Mary’s: In. Slight chance of missing the field.

Syracuse: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Texas: In. Lock.

UCLA: In. Lock.

USC: In. Lock.

Utah: Out.

Virginia Tech: In. Lock.

Sorry Nebraska.

Full tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School	Implied Pythag	Rank Implied Pythag	WAB Avg	Rank WAB	Pythag	Rank Pythag
Virginia	0.9892	1	11.42	1	0.9710	1
Villanova	0.9723	2	9.46	2	0.9701	2
Michigan St.	0.9678	3	7.52	5	0.9538	6
Xavier	0.9639	4	7.73	3	0.9211	13
Cincinnati	0.9557	5	5.36	11	0.9580	4
Michigan	0.9555	6	6.60	9	0.9271	11
Purdue	0.9537	7	6.89	7	0.9564	5
Kansas	0.9525	8	7.55	4	0.9397	8
Duke	0.9510	9	6.82	8	0.9646	3
Gonzaga	0.9487	10	4.47	12	0.9369	9
North Carolina	0.9473	11	6.93	6	0.9436	7
Tennessee	0.9454	12	6.37	10	0.9169	14
Clemson	0.9252	13	4.00	15	0.9010	19
Texas Tech	0.9247	14	4.33	14	0.9255	12
Ohio St.	0.9236	15	3.90	17	0.9088	16
West Virginia	0.9235	16	4.45	13	0.9300	10
Auburn	0.9227	17	3.91	16	0.8989	21
Houston	0.9220	18	3.17	21	0.9027	18
Wichita St.	0.9194	19	3.35	19	0.9127	15
Arizona	0.9137	20	3.50	18	0.8995	20
Kentucky	0.9081	21	3.35	20	0.9037	17
Miami FL	0.9056	22	2.64	22	0.8638	35
Rhode Island	0.9016	23	2.04	25	0.8508	39
Kansas St.	0.8951	24	2.26	24	0.8425	44
Arkansas	0.8928	25	2.37	23	0.8577	38
Nevada	0.8924	26	1.99	26	0.8679	34
TCU	0.8872	27	1.89	27	0.8941	22
Virginia Tech	0.8843	28	1.47	30	0.8709	30
Seton Hall	0.8833	29	1.61	28	0.8760	26
Loyola Chicago	0.8819	30	1.17	33	0.8168	54
St. Bonaventure	0.8818	31	1.34	32	0.7895	60
Nebraska	0.8812	32	1.36	31	0.7987	57
Texas A&M	0.8810	33	1.56	29	0.8708	31
Saint Mary’s	0.8798	34	1.01	36	0.8705	32
New Mexico St.	0.8785	35	0.94	38	0.7918	59
Creighton	0.8758	36	1.13	34	0.8873	24
Florida	0.8727	37	1.12	35	0.8917	23
Providence	0.8705	38	0.99	37	0.7964	58
Florida St.	0.8703	39	0.82	42	0.8614	37
North Carolina St.	0.8702	40	0.84	41	0.8348	47
Oklahoma	0.8692	41	0.89	39	0.8465	42
Texas	0.8676	42	0.84	40	0.8614	36
Butler	0.8673	43	0.79	43	0.8809	25
Louisville	0.8629	44	0.50	44	0.8756	27
South Dakota St.	0.8602	45	0.37	45	0.7387	82
Middle Tennessee	0.8567	46	0.29	46	0.8166	55
Marquette	0.8566	47	0.28	47	0.8210	52
Oklahoma St.	0.8507	48	0.01	48	0.8197	53
Missouri	0.8461	49	-0.18	50	0.8442	43
UCLA	0.8453	50	-0.17	49	0.8282	49
Baylor	0.8450	51	-0.23	51	0.8696	33
Mississippi St.	0.8436	52	-0.24	52	0.7870	61
Syracuse	0.8393	53	-0.45	53	0.8278	50
USC	0.8375	54	-0.52	54	0.8478	41
Notre Dame	0.8352	55	-0.60	55	0.8714	29
Penn St.	0.8272	56	-0.91	59	0.8728	28
Alabama	0.8265	57	-1.19	62	0.8288	48
Boise St.	0.8250	58	-0.79	58	0.8078	56
Murray St.	0.8223	59	-0.61	56	0.7727	70
Louisiana Lafayette	0.8215	60	-0.72	57	0.7804	68
Maryland	0.8206	61	-1.10	61	0.8499	40
Georgia	0.8160	62	-1.57	65	0.7851	64
Utah	0.8113	63	-1.42	63	0.7820	66
Vermont	0.8099	64	-1.08	60	0.7622	75
Arizona St.	0.8069	65	-1.58	66	0.8389	46
Boston College	0.7986	66	-1.98	72	0.7611	77
San Diego St.	0.7927	67	-1.92	70	0.8261	51
Old Dominion	0.7925	68	-1.65	67	0.7801	69
Buffalo	0.7907	69	-1.73	68	0.7528	79
Western Kentucky	0.7901	70	-1.97	71	0.7818	67
LSU	0.7878	71	-2.36	76	0.7870	62
BYU	0.7877	72	-1.99	73	0.7674	72
UNC Greensboro	0.7868	73	-1.44	64	0.7120	90
Oregon	0.7793	74	-2.63	78	0.7834	65
Montana	0.7758	75	-1.84	69	0.6992	94
Washington	0.7698	76	-2.80	79	0.6718	105
Temple	0.7692	77	-3.05	81	0.7257	85
College of Charleston	0.7600	78	-2.08	74	0.6265	117
South Carolina	0.7572	79	-3.62	90	0.7521	80
St. John’s	0.7563	80	-3.65	91	0.7615	76
Indiana	0.7544	81	-3.16	85	0.7702	71
Davidson	0.7426	82	-3.12	84	0.8392	45
South Dakota	0.7375	83	-2.46	77	0.7642	74
Stephen F. Austin	0.7357	84	-2.10	75	0.6383	114
Wisconsin	0.7319	85	-4.19	97	0.7857	63
Marshall	0.7300	86	-3.32	87	0.6159	121
UCF	0.7296	87	-3.67	92	0.6750	104
Bucknell	0.7293	88	-3.03	80	0.7096	92
Belmont	0.7271	89	-3.12	83	0.7261	84
Stanford	0.7266	90	-4.37	101	0.7156	88
East Tennessee St.	0.7261	91	-3.05	82	0.6993	93
Colorado	0.7173	92	-4.63	106	0.6313	116
Northeastern	0.7168	93	-3.90	93	0.6859	97
Memphis	0.7136	94	-4.13	96	0.5376	153
Wyoming	0.7128	95	-4.39	102	0.6005	128
Iowa St.	0.7060	96	-4.69	108	0.6990	95
Rider	0.7034	97	-3.56	89	0.5645	136
Northwestern	0.7025	98	-4.88	110	0.7574	78
Penn	0.6978	99	-3.47	88	0.6326	115
Fresno St.	0.6975	100	-4.23	98	0.7449	81
Tulsa	0.6915	101	-4.28	99	0.6618	107
Wright St.	0.6869	102	-3.94	94	0.5744	133
Lipscomb	0.6817	103	-3.23	86	0.4912	173
Georgetown	0.6792	104	-4.44	103	0.6811	99
Minnesota	0.6682	105	-5.36	113	0.6771	101
Furman	0.6666	106	-3.97	95	0.7107	91
Toledo	0.6631	107	-5.07	112	0.6193	120
Illinois St.	0.6616	108	-6.60	137	0.5393	151
UNLV	0.6615	109	-5.57	116	0.6763	102
UC Davis	0.6588	110	-4.84	109	0.5524	145
UC Santa Barbara	0.6572	111	-4.35	100	0.5737	134
Vanderbilt	0.6572	112	-6.54	133	0.7265	83
Southern Illinois	0.6548	113	-5.85	119	0.5484	147
Utah Valley	0.6452	114	-4.53	104	0.6848	98
Iowa	0.6438	115	-6.58	135	0.7244	86
Georgia St.	0.6419	116	-5.48	115	0.6637	106
Bradley	0.6407	117	-6.28	128	0.5760	132
New Mexico	0.6385	118	-6.58	136	0.6588	109
UMBC	0.6361	119	-4.56	105	0.4481	184
UT Arlington	0.6350	120	-5.71	117	0.6221	119
Northern Kentucky	0.6348	121	-4.65	107	0.7138	89
SMU	0.6177	122	-6.07	126	0.7662	73
Illinois	0.6126	123	-6.99	146	0.6970	96
Idaho	0.6125	124	-5.03	111	0.5590	141
William & Mary	0.6119	125	-6.06	124	0.5163	164
Georgia Tech	0.6116	126	-6.65	140	0.6432	111
VCU	0.6074	127	-7.16	149	0.6053	125
Hofstra	0.6066	128	-6.06	125	0.5372	154
Connecticut	0.6056	129	-6.47	130	0.5203	160
Mississippi	0.6056	130	-7.61	156	0.6755	103
San Diego	0.6054	131	-5.93	122	0.5880	129
Cal St. Fullerton	0.6027	132	-5.87	120	0.4905	175
Oregon St.	0.6022	133	-7.30	153	0.6780	100
Wofford	0.6018	134	-5.90	121	0.5311	156
Harvard	0.5976	135	-6.37	129	0.5717	135
Georgia Southern	0.5958	136	-6.84	144	0.5599	140
Northern Colorado	0.5939	137	-6.68	141	0.6049	126
Canisius	0.5874	138	-6.54	132	0.5832	130
Iona	0.5828	139	-7.30	152	0.6077	124
Northern Iowa	0.5794	140	-7.70	160	0.6138	122
Albany	0.5763	141	-5.93	123	0.5544	143
DePaul	0.5704	142	-7.46	154	0.6614	108
UAB	0.5699	143	-6.75	143	0.6407	112
UNC Asheville	0.5689	144	-6.14	127	0.4425	185
Wake Forest	0.5652	145	-8.01	164	0.7212	87
Eastern Washington	0.5651	146	-7.75	161	0.5429	150
Utah St.	0.5647	147	-8.38	171	0.5599	139
Ball St.	0.5644	148	-7.11	148	0.4915	172
Saint Louis	0.5635	149	-8.23	168	0.5615	137
Radford	0.5607	150	-6.48	131	0.4678	180
San Francisco	0.5604	151	-7.20	150	0.5388	152
Missouri St.	0.5596	152	-8.65	178	0.6249	118
Grand Canyon	0.5572	153	-5.81	118	0.6485	110
Eastern Michigan	0.5562	154	-7.01	147	0.5312	155
Rutgers	0.5544	155	-7.24	151	0.6024	127
Drake	0.5542	156	-8.79	180	0.4952	170
Saint Joseph’s	0.5513	157	-8.45	174	0.6398	113
Portland St.	0.5452	158	-7.51	155	0.5076	165
Wagner	0.5442	159	-5.39	114	0.4640	182
Southeastern Louisiana	0.5410	160	-6.54	134	0.4031	200
Weber St.	0.5399	161	-6.68	142	0.5190	162
Jacksonville St.	0.5363	162	-6.95	145	0.5545	142
Evansville	0.5358	163	-8.40	172	0.5283	159
Niagara	0.5256	164	-8.12	165	0.4039	198
UTSA	0.5144	165	-7.96	163	0.4539	183
Dayton	0.5092	166	-9.71	190	0.5294	157
UC Irvine	0.5070	167	-9.50	184	0.5508	146
Nicholls St.	0.5052	168	-6.60	138	0.4331	189
Tennessee Tech	0.4992	169	-8.16	166	0.3622	221
Yale	0.4979	170	-8.43	173	0.4656	181
Florida Gulf Coast	0.4932	171	-6.62	139	0.6133	123
Austin Peay	0.4931	172	-7.86	162	0.4030	201
George Mason	0.4907	173	-9.96	195	0.3806	211
Washington St.	0.4895	174	-10.12	198	0.4386	188
Oakland	0.4885	175	-8.24	169	0.5074	166
Towson	0.4874	176	-9.26	182	0.5600	138
Seattle	0.4824	177	-7.67	158	0.4097	196
Mercer	0.4818	178	-8.24	170	0.5819	131
George Washington	0.4801	179	-10.03	197	0.4390	187
Tulane	0.4692	180	-8.63	177	0.5073	167
Valparaiso	0.4635	181	-10.37	203	0.5466	148
Winthrop	0.4619	182	-7.66	157	0.5289	158
Fort Wayne	0.4565	183	-8.56	175	0.5189	163
Western Michigan	0.4552	184	-9.97	196	0.4417	186
Colgate	0.4498	185	-8.60	176	0.4109	195
Navy	0.4480	186	-8.17	167	0.3696	216
Louisiana Tech	0.4467	187	-9.75	191	0.5439	149
La Salle	0.4467	188	-11.16	222	0.5529	144
Hartford	0.4445	189	-9.10	181	0.3394	230
Richmond	0.4424	190	-11.51	229	0.4918	171
Kent St.	0.4401	191	-11.04	215	0.3967	205
Pacific	0.4399	192	-10.38	204	0.4724	179
Hawaii	0.4359	193	-8.72	179	0.3870	208
Central Michigan	0.4319	194	-9.61	187	0.4844	177
Miami OH	0.4314	195	-11.13	221	0.4211	193
Long Beach St.	0.4286	196	-10.64	208	0.3924	206
Indiana St.	0.4273	197	-11.10	219	0.5193	161
Fairfield	0.4202	198	-10.47	206	0.3896	207
Troy	0.4198	199	-10.83	210	0.4906	174
Southern Miss	0.4104	200	-10.69	209	0.3322	232
Liberty	0.4097	201	-9.83	192	0.4998	168
Denver	0.4062	202	-9.88	193	0.3684	218
Bowling Green	0.4023	203	-11.25	223	0.3245	234
St. Francis PA	0.4015	204	-7.67	159	0.4037	199
Sam Houston St.	0.3938	205	-9.56	185	0.3618	223
Louisiana Monroe	0.3916	206	-9.64	188	0.3608	224
North Dakota St.	0.3903	207	-10.47	207	0.4954	169
Princeton	0.3893	208	-10.33	202	0.4799	178
Massachusetts	0.3815	209	-12.94	256	0.4213	192
Illinois Chicago	0.3814	210	-10.26	200	0.4022	202
Tennessee St.	0.3769	211	-9.60	186	0.3791	213
Ohio	0.3763	212	-11.42	226	0.4245	191
Lehigh	0.3732	213	-9.65	189	0.3620	222
North Texas	0.3721	214	-11.01	214	0.4127	194
Elon	0.3676	215	-12.08	242	0.3302	233
Appalachian St.	0.3621	216	-12.62	252	0.3992	203
Duquesne	0.3607	217	-11.07	217	0.4314	190
Pittsburgh	0.3595	218	-11.06	216	0.3586	226
Central Arkansas	0.3589	219	-10.90	212	0.3760	215
Colorado St.	0.3581	220	-12.34	248	0.3434	229
Lamar	0.3562	221	-9.94	194	0.4071	197
Akron	0.3553	222	-12.57	251	0.3006	248
Manhattan	0.3534	223	-12.28	243	0.3824	209
Air Force	0.3533	224	-12.28	244	0.3050	244
Robert Morris	0.3501	225	-11.95	239	0.2999	249
Boston University	0.3500	226	-11.58	232	0.3205	236
Texas St.	0.3445	227	-13.16	259	0.3598	225
UT Rio Grande Valley	0.3410	228	-11.28	224	0.2617	269
Cornell	0.3405	229	-11.10	220	0.2765	263
Monmouth	0.3367	230	-13.55	269	0.4869	176
Saint Peter’s	0.3356	231	-12.99	258	0.3802	212
Mount St. Mary’s	0.3333	232	-10.22	199	0.3154	239
Milwaukee	0.3324	233	-12.28	245	0.3777	214
Western Carolina	0.3285	234	-11.64	233	0.1992	305
Coastal Carolina	0.3275	235	-13.23	262	0.3988	204
Stony Brook	0.3221	236	-12.71	254	0.3695	217
Delaware	0.3216	237	-13.73	274	0.2967	253
Drexel	0.3213	238	-14.43	284	0.3019	246
South Alabama	0.3149	239	-12.71	253	0.3665	219
LIU Brooklyn	0.3073	240	-13.16	260	0.2946	255
Southern Utah	0.3058	241	-12.85	255	0.2435	278
Northern Illinois	0.3056	242	-13.58	271	0.3012	247
Grambling St.	0.3030	243	-10.30	201	0.1849	315
North Dakota	0.3027	244	-13.26	263	0.2876	258
Idaho St.	0.3021	245	-11.68	235	0.2969	252
North Florida	0.3018	246	-11.30	225	0.2255	289
Loyola Marymount	0.2984	247	-12.35	249	0.3340	231
Cal St. Bakersfield	0.2977	248	-11.56	231	0.3171	238
New Orleans	0.2961	249	-10.94	213	0.2646	267
Campbell	0.2847	250	-11.55	230	0.3660	220
Southeast Missouri St.	0.2847	251	-12.56	250	0.2714	264
Gardner Webb	0.2825	252	-12.05	241	0.2812	261
North Carolina A&T	0.2779	253	-10.45	205	0.1922	308
UNC Wilmington	0.2740	254	-14.87	292	0.3199	237
Abilene Christian	0.2691	255	-11.66	234	0.2683	266
Oral Roberts	0.2683	256	-13.49	267	0.3053	243
Quinnipiac	0.2674	257	-16.18	307	0.2387	282
FIU	0.2660	258	-13.75	275	0.2956	254
Charleston Southern	0.2657	259	-11.49	228	0.3072	242
California	0.2644	260	-14.35	281	0.3217	235
Central Connecticut	0.2624	261	-13.91	278	0.1910	310
Holy Cross	0.2605	262	-15.00	294	0.2448	276
Montana St.	0.2587	263	-14.42	283	0.2534	274
Brown	0.2585	264	-11.72	238	0.2780	262
Florida Atlantic	0.2572	265	-13.35	266	0.3032	245
Army	0.2562	266	-13.60	272	0.3080	241
Eastern Illinois	0.2541	267	-13.68	273	0.2939	256
Savannah St.	0.2471	268	-9.43	183	0.1690	320
Fordham	0.2470	269	-15.03	296	0.2361	283
High Point	0.2461	270	-12.33	247	0.3441	228
Western Illinois	0.2461	271	-11.47	227	0.2254	290
UTEP	0.2448	272	-14.52	286	0.2988	250
Fairleigh Dickinson	0.2426	273	-13.18	261	0.2632	268
NJIT	0.2406	274	-11.71	237	0.2974	251
Prairie View A&M	0.2364	275	-12.03	240	0.2483	275
Hampton	0.2364	276	-11.08	218	0.2873	259
Texas Southern	0.2322	277	-10.90	211	0.3140	240
James Madison	0.2318	278	-16.64	314	0.3443	227
Arkansas St.	0.2278	279	-15.43	299	0.2589	271
Santa Clara	0.2268	280	-13.53	268	0.2565	273
South Florida	0.2242	281	-14.77	290	0.2396	281
Bethune Cookman	0.2214	282	-11.68	236	0.2061	301
East Carolina	0.2206	283	-13.29	264	0.2041	302
St. Francis NY	0.2188	284	-14.52	285	0.1906	311
IUPUI	0.2185	285	-13.80	276	0.2337	286
Cleveland St.	0.2155	286	-16.92	317	0.2075	299
UMass Lowell	0.2133	287	-14.21	280	0.2300	287
Portland	0.2098	288	-14.70	288	0.2608	270
Nebraska Omaha	0.2088	289	-14.37	282	0.2569	272
Eastern Kentucky	0.2080	290	-14.69	287	0.2274	288
Green Bay	0.2057	291	-14.76	289	0.2877	257
North Carolina Central	0.2043	292	-12.32	246	0.2175	293
SIU Edwardsville	0.2010	293	-15.50	300	0.1736	319
Jacksonville	0.1988	294	-13.57	270	0.1630	324
UMKC	0.1859	295	-15.56	302	0.2157	295
Cal Poly	0.1844	296	-17.06	320	0.1664	323
McNeese St.	0.1838	297	-12.95	257	0.2005	303
The Citadel	0.1811	298	-14.91	293	0.1864	314
Columbia	0.1783	299	-13.86	277	0.3820	210
UC Riverside	0.1781	300	-16.72	316	0.2435	277
Lafayette	0.1701	301	-16.92	318	0.2421	279
Siena	0.1696	302	-18.34	328	0.2200	292
Arkansas Pine Bluff	0.1654	303	-16.43	312	0.1307	330
Samford	0.1617	304	-15.30	297	0.2405	280
Kennesaw St.	0.1598	305	-14.80	291	0.1999	304
Binghamton	0.1580	306	-16.17	306	0.2235	291
Loyola MD	0.1564	307	-17.39	322	0.1899	312
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	0.1556	308	-14.19	279	0.1915	309
Chattanooga	0.1551	309	-17.62	323	0.2171	294
Morehead St.	0.1539	310	-15.00	295	0.2346	285
Tennessee Martin	0.1538	311	-16.31	310	0.2157	296
Dartmouth	0.1523	312	-15.52	301	0.2360	284
New Hampshire	0.1509	313	-16.18	308	0.2835	260
Southern	0.1461	314	-13.34	265	0.1553	325
VMI	0.1441	315	-15.73	303	0.1200	333
Stetson	0.1422	316	-16.40	311	0.1783	318
Presbyterian	0.1417	317	-16.23	309	0.1252	331
Sacred Heart	0.1348	318	-17.00	319	0.1988	306
Youngstown St.	0.1332	319	-18.34	329	0.1681	322
Charlotte	0.1322	320	-17.63	324	0.1865	313
Detroit	0.1283	321	-18.29	327	0.1848	316
Norfolk St.	0.1264	322	-15.33	298	0.1813	317
Sacramento St.	0.1209	323	-19.13	333	0.2156	297
Little Rock	0.1203	324	-19.39	337	0.2123	298
Morgan St.	0.1201	325	-15.88	304	0.1544	326
Pepperdine	0.1188	326	-18.07	325	0.2700	265
Marist	0.1170	327	-20.18	341	0.1689	321
Rice	0.1120	328	-18.10	326	0.1987	307
Jackson St.	0.1075	329	-16.11	305	0.1033	337
San Jose St.	0.1069	330	-18.98	332	0.2067	300
American	0.0908	331	-19.13	334	0.1484	327
South Carolina St.	0.0842	332	-17.17	321	0.0831	343
Howard	0.0817	333	-18.88	331	0.1187	334
Maine	0.0804	334	-20.31	342	0.1251	332
Florida A&M	0.0802	335	-19.26	336	0.0862	342
Cal St. Northridge	0.0776	336	-19.83	340	0.1406	328
Alabama St.	0.0771	337	-18.37	330	0.0928	340
Longwood	0.0731	338	-21.32	347	0.0816	344
Northern Arizona	0.0713	339	-20.79	345	0.1149	335
Alcorn St.	0.0696	340	-16.51	313	0.1028	338
USC Upstate	0.0518	341	-19.82	339	0.1135	336
Maryland Eastern Shore	0.0470	342	-19.48	338	0.0427	349
Incarnate Word	0.0460	343	-16.71	315	0.0998	339
Houston Baptist	0.0455	344	-19.17	335	0.1366	329
Coppin St.	0.0445	345	-21.21	346	0.0606	347
Bryant	0.0442	346	-23.04	349	0.0923	341
Mississippi Valley St.	0.0310	347	-22.81	348	0.0578	348
Chicago St.	0.0259	348	-20.74	344	0.0636	346
Alabama A&M	0.0227	349	-23.37	350	0.0372	351
Delaware St.	0.0147	350	-24.30	351	0.0425	350
Northwestern St.	0.0023	351	-20.40	343	0.0674	345

 

 

 

 

WAB 3/10: Bid Thieves?

The definition of a bid thief has two parts. First, a bid thief needs to be from a conference with a team or number of teams that can earn at-large bids. Second, this team needs to not be among that group. When this situation occurs, the term used is “Bid Thief”.

I dislike that term. They aren’t stealing a bid. They are earning a bid. So long as conference tournaments provide automatic entry into the NCAA tournament, we will continue to see such teams earn bids. Thus is the nature of college basketball.

More interesting (to me anyway) is when teams that are locks don’t play up to their potential against bubble-teams in conference tournaments. For example, Auburn’s second half performance against Alabama yesterday wasn’t exactly representative of how they have played for much of the season. If there is real bid theft, that’s where incentives exist for it to take place.

Full WAB Tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

(I ran Matchup Zone, Massey, and Dolphin yesterday. It’s on the second page)

 

School	Implied Pythag	Rank Implied Pythag	WAB Avg	Rank WAB	Pythag	Rank Pythag
Virginia	0.9882	1	10.60	1	0.9705	1
Villanova	0.9714	2	8.97	2	0.9701	2
Michigan St.	0.9678	3	7.47	4	0.9537	6
Xavier	0.9639	4	7.67	3	0.9210	13
Michigan	0.9554	5	6.54	9	0.9269	11
Cincinnati	0.9550	6	5.13	11	0.9592	4
Purdue	0.9534	7	6.81	6	0.9559	5
Duke	0.9510	8	6.75	8	0.9647	3
North Carolina	0.9501	9	6.98	5	0.9445	7
Kansas	0.9485	10	6.77	7	0.9364	9
Gonzaga	0.9485	11	4.41	13	0.9371	8
Tennessee	0.9423	12	5.78	10	0.9112	15
Wichita St.	0.9292	13	3.69	18	0.9144	14
West Virginia	0.9285	14	4.62	12	0.9327	10
Clemson	0.9251	15	3.94	15	0.9008	18
Texas Tech	0.9247	16	4.27	14	0.9258	12
Ohio St.	0.9237	17	3.85	17	0.9083	16
Auburn	0.9233	18	3.90	16	0.8994	19
Houston	0.9125	19	2.50	23	0.9016	17
Arizona	0.9079	20	2.96	19	0.8941	21
Miami FL	0.9052	21	2.56	22	0.8629	36
Kentucky	0.9029	22	2.82	20	0.8960	20
Arkansas	0.8995	23	2.63	21	0.8654	35
Rhode Island	0.8981	24	1.78	28	0.8533	40
St. Bonaventure	0.8954	25	1.81	27	0.7982	58
Kansas St.	0.8947	26	2.19	24	0.8416	44
Nevada	0.8925	27	1.95	25	0.8678	34
TCU	0.8872	28	1.83	26	0.8937	22
Providence	0.8865	29	1.69	29	0.7940	59
Virginia Tech	0.8835	30	1.39	31	0.8703	31
Loyola Chicago	0.8819	31	1.13	33	0.8167	55
Texas A&M	0.8815	32	1.53	30	0.8714	29
Nebraska	0.8809	33	1.30	32	0.7985	57
Saint Mary’s	0.8791	34	0.95	37	0.8693	32
Creighton	0.8757	35	1.08	34	0.8867	24
Seton Hall	0.8732	36	0.99	36	0.8769	26
Florida	0.8730	37	1.08	35	0.8916	23
New Mexico St.	0.8727	38	0.69	43	0.7826	67
Oklahoma	0.8701	39	0.88	38	0.8458	42
Florida St.	0.8699	40	0.75	41	0.8608	38
North Carolina St.	0.8693	41	0.76	40	0.8341	47
Texas	0.8678	42	0.80	39	0.8613	37
Butler	0.8671	43	0.73	42	0.8814	25
Louisville	0.8622	44	0.42	44	0.8743	27
South Dakota St.	0.8600	45	0.33	45	0.7399	82
Middle Tennessee	0.8570	46	0.26	46	0.8171	54
Marquette	0.8568	47	0.24	47	0.8210	52
Oklahoma St.	0.8506	48	-0.05	49	0.8202	53
Louisiana Lafayette	0.8486	49	0.01	48	0.7876	60
Missouri	0.8461	50	-0.24	53	0.8453	43
USC	0.8452	51	-0.22	51	0.8536	39
UCLA	0.8451	52	-0.23	52	0.8281	49
Baylor	0.8451	53	-0.28	54	0.8693	33
Mississippi St.	0.8437	54	-0.29	55	0.7869	61
Vermont	0.8421	55	-0.20	50	0.7744	70
Syracuse	0.8390	56	-0.51	56	0.8276	50
Notre Dame	0.8351	57	-0.65	58	0.8712	30
Alabama	0.8330	58	-0.91	60	0.8399	45
Penn St.	0.8268	59	-0.98	61	0.8732	28
Boise St.	0.8249	60	-0.83	59	0.8077	56
Murray St.	0.8224	61	-0.64	57	0.7725	71
Maryland	0.8208	62	-1.14	62	0.8502	41
Georgia	0.8149	63	-1.68	67	0.7830	66
Western Kentucky	0.8120	64	-1.25	63	0.7848	64
Utah	0.8113	65	-1.47	64	0.7819	68
Arizona St.	0.8066	66	-1.65	66	0.8380	46
Boston College	0.7981	67	-2.05	72	0.7603	77
Old Dominion	0.7925	68	-1.69	68	0.7791	69
LSU	0.7885	69	-2.39	76	0.7859	63
BYU	0.7879	70	-2.02	70	0.7662	73
UNC Greensboro	0.7862	71	-1.49	65	0.7111	90
San Diego St.	0.7813	72	-2.22	74	0.8259	51
Buffalo	0.7808	73	-1.97	69	0.7469	80
Oregon	0.7794	74	-2.68	78	0.7833	65
Washington	0.7691	75	-2.87	79	0.6707	105
Temple	0.7687	76	-3.11	81	0.7268	83
Montana	0.7656	77	-2.04	71	0.6859	97
College of Charleston	0.7603	78	-2.10	73	0.6274	116
South Carolina	0.7569	79	-3.68	90	0.7519	79
St. John’s	0.7566	80	-3.70	91	0.7614	76
Indiana	0.7542	81	-3.22	84	0.7701	72
South Dakota	0.7381	82	-2.48	77	0.7642	74
Wisconsin	0.7322	83	-4.24	97	0.7866	62
Bucknell	0.7306	84	-3.04	80	0.7105	91
UCF	0.7303	85	-3.68	89	0.6773	102
Belmont	0.7272	86	-3.15	83	0.7261	85
Stanford	0.7259	87	-4.45	102	0.7160	88
East Tennessee St.	0.7251	88	-3.11	82	0.6983	94
Stephen F. Austin	0.7248	89	-2.23	75	0.6421	112
Davidson	0.7206	90	-3.54	86	0.8325	48
Memphis	0.7182	91	-3.94	94	0.5306	156
Northeastern	0.7177	92	-3.91	93	0.6860	96
Colorado	0.7167	93	-4.71	107	0.6312	115
Wyoming	0.7135	94	-4.41	101	0.6000	128
Marshall	0.7062	95	-3.74	92	0.6086	123
Iowa St.	0.7050	96	-4.77	108	0.6988	93
Rider	0.7049	97	-3.57	88	0.5649	137
Northwestern	0.7026	98	-4.93	110	0.7573	78
Fresno St.	0.6976	99	-4.26	98	0.7456	81
Penn	0.6920	100	-3.56	87	0.6137	122
Tulsa	0.6912	101	-4.32	99	0.6609	107
Wright St.	0.6869	102	-3.97	95	0.5759	133
Lipscomb	0.6817	103	-3.25	85	0.4928	173
Georgetown	0.6791	104	-4.49	103	0.6819	99
Toledo	0.6774	105	-4.49	104	0.6258	118
Minnesota	0.6685	106	-5.40	114	0.6785	101
Furman	0.6657	107	-4.02	96	0.7097	92
Illinois St.	0.6613	108	-6.65	140	0.5394	152
UNLV	0.6611	109	-5.63	116	0.6763	103
UC Davis	0.6575	110	-4.88	109	0.5512	147
UC Santa Barbara	0.6574	111	-4.37	100	0.5751	134
Vanderbilt	0.6565	112	-6.64	139	0.7263	84
Southern Illinois	0.6548	113	-5.90	119	0.5476	148
New Mexico	0.6475	114	-6.12	128	0.6581	110
Iowa	0.6441	115	-6.63	137	0.7256	86
Utah Valley	0.6434	116	-4.60	105	0.6844	98
Bradley	0.6413	117	-6.31	131	0.5761	132
Northern Kentucky	0.6340	118	-4.68	106	0.7126	89
Georgia St.	0.6253	119	-5.70	117	0.6584	109
SMU	0.6180	120	-6.10	127	0.7641	75
Idaho	0.6136	121	-5.05	111	0.5584	141
Georgia Southern	0.6126	122	-6.15	129	0.5655	136
William & Mary	0.6122	123	-6.09	124	0.5150	164
Illinois	0.6122	124	-7.05	147	0.6955	95
Georgia Tech	0.6111	125	-6.74	142	0.6431	111
VCU	0.6077	126	-7.20	150	0.6054	125
UT Arlington	0.6075	127	-6.10	126	0.6139	120
Hofstra	0.6071	128	-6.09	125	0.5373	153
Mississippi	0.6066	129	-7.67	158	0.6741	104
Connecticut	0.6058	130	-6.51	133	0.5229	160
San Diego	0.6052	131	-5.97	122	0.5880	129
Oregon St.	0.6022	132	-7.35	154	0.6794	100
Wofford	0.6006	133	-5.95	121	0.5302	158
UMBC	0.5964	134	-5.09	112	0.4277	190
Northern Colorado	0.5928	135	-6.74	143	0.6032	126
Harvard	0.5892	136	-6.49	132	0.5565	142
Canisius	0.5881	137	-6.57	135	0.5842	130
Iona	0.5838	138	-7.32	153	0.6080	124
Cal St. Fullerton	0.5829	139	-6.06	123	0.4677	181
Eastern Washington	0.5789	140	-7.10	148	0.5564	143
Northern Iowa	0.5787	141	-7.75	161	0.6138	121
Albany	0.5766	142	-5.94	120	0.5559	144
DePaul	0.5701	143	-7.51	155	0.6619	106
Grand Canyon	0.5698	144	-5.27	113	0.6587	108
UNC Asheville	0.5694	145	-6.16	130	0.4410	185
UAB	0.5691	146	-6.79	144	0.6408	113
Utah St.	0.5651	147	-8.42	173	0.5601	139
Wake Forest	0.5645	148	-8.09	166	0.7190	87
Ball St.	0.5645	149	-7.14	149	0.4931	172
Saint Louis	0.5637	150	-8.28	172	0.5614	138
Southeastern Louisiana	0.5619	151	-5.79	118	0.4002	202
San Francisco	0.5606	152	-7.24	151	0.5395	151
Missouri St.	0.5600	153	-8.69	178	0.6259	117
Saint Joseph’s	0.5580	154	-8.00	164	0.6350	114
Radford	0.5575	155	-6.54	134	0.4679	180
Eastern Michigan	0.5568	156	-7.04	146	0.5313	154
Rutgers	0.5545	157	-7.29	152	0.6015	127
Drake	0.5541	158	-8.83	181	0.4962	169
Portland St.	0.5454	159	-7.54	156	0.5064	167
Wagner	0.5450	160	-5.41	115	0.4640	182
Weber St.	0.5395	161	-6.72	141	0.5185	161
Jacksonville St.	0.5362	162	-6.99	145	0.5544	145
Evansville	0.5356	163	-8.44	174	0.5268	159
Niagara	0.5262	164	-8.14	167	0.4049	198
UC Irvine	0.5260	165	-8.74	179	0.5708	135
UTSA	0.5138	166	-8.00	165	0.4524	183
Yale	0.5087	167	-7.84	162	0.4879	175
Dayton	0.5083	168	-9.77	191	0.5308	155
Nicholls St.	0.5050	169	-6.62	136	0.4331	188
Tennessee Tech	0.4994	170	-8.20	168	0.3623	223
Florida Gulf Coast	0.4940	171	-6.64	138	0.6155	119
Austin Peay	0.4931	172	-7.89	163	0.4032	200
George Mason	0.4905	173	-10.01	196	0.3807	211
Washington St.	0.4885	174	-10.19	199	0.4381	187
Oakland	0.4882	175	-8.27	170	0.5064	166
Towson	0.4864	176	-9.31	183	0.5599	140
Seattle	0.4828	177	-7.72	160	0.4103	196
Mercer	0.4815	178	-8.28	171	0.5810	131
George Washington	0.4796	179	-10.08	197	0.4381	186
Tulane	0.4685	180	-8.68	177	0.5064	165
Winthrop	0.4660	181	-7.64	157	0.5304	157
Valparaiso	0.4633	182	-10.41	205	0.5467	149
Fort Wayne	0.4567	183	-8.60	175	0.5165	163
Western Michigan	0.4565	184	-10.01	195	0.4417	184
Colgate	0.4500	185	-8.62	176	0.4126	195
Navy	0.4483	186	-8.21	169	0.3695	218
Louisiana Tech	0.4470	187	-9.77	190	0.5441	150
La Salle	0.4466	188	-11.23	222	0.5513	146
Hartford	0.4433	189	-9.13	182	0.3394	230
Richmond	0.4432	190	-11.53	229	0.4931	171
Kent St.	0.4400	191	-11.09	218	0.3962	205
Pacific	0.4396	192	-10.43	206	0.4716	179
Hawaii	0.4360	193	-8.75	180	0.3858	208
Central Michigan	0.4318	194	-9.64	187	0.4844	177
Miami OH	0.4315	195	-11.17	221	0.4211	193
Long Beach St.	0.4273	196	-10.69	210	0.3923	206
Indiana St.	0.4272	197	-11.14	220	0.5179	162
Troy	0.4202	198	-10.86	212	0.4892	174
Fairfield	0.4199	199	-10.51	209	0.3896	207
Southern Miss	0.4097	200	-10.74	211	0.3323	232
Liberty	0.4095	201	-9.88	192	0.5012	168
Denver	0.4070	202	-9.90	193	0.3696	217
St. Francis PA	0.4024	203	-7.69	159	0.4039	199
Bowling Green	0.4022	204	-11.29	223	0.3246	234
Sam Houston St.	0.3939	205	-9.58	185	0.3624	222
Louisiana Monroe	0.3918	206	-9.67	189	0.3619	224
North Dakota St.	0.3904	207	-10.51	208	0.4956	170
Princeton	0.3900	208	-10.37	204	0.4810	178
Massachusetts	0.3806	209	-13.01	257	0.4221	192
Illinois Chicago	0.3802	210	-10.32	202	0.4021	201
Tennessee St.	0.3772	211	-9.63	186	0.3782	213
Ohio	0.3764	212	-11.46	226	0.4231	191
Lehigh	0.3747	213	-9.66	188	0.3637	221
North Texas	0.3715	214	-11.06	216	0.4127	194
Elon	0.3677	215	-12.12	242	0.3312	233
Appalachian St.	0.3619	216	-12.67	252	0.3984	204
Duquesne	0.3617	217	-11.09	217	0.4317	189
Central Arkansas	0.3593	218	-10.93	213	0.3761	214
Pittsburgh	0.3587	219	-11.13	219	0.3598	225
Colorado St.	0.3579	220	-12.38	247	0.3433	228
Lamar	0.3564	221	-9.96	194	0.4072	197
Akron	0.3551	222	-12.62	251	0.3019	247
Air Force	0.3534	223	-12.32	245	0.3041	244
Cornell	0.3531	224	-10.34	203	0.2902	258
Manhattan	0.3531	225	-12.31	243	0.3825	209
Robert Morris	0.3510	226	-11.97	239	0.3014	248
Boston University	0.3504	227	-11.62	232	0.3193	236
Texas St.	0.3449	228	-13.17	259	0.3593	226
UT Rio Grande Valley	0.3424	229	-11.32	224	0.2620	269
Monmouth	0.3369	230	-13.60	270	0.4869	176
Saint Peter’s	0.3361	231	-13.02	258	0.3804	212
Mount St. Mary’s	0.3340	232	-10.24	200	0.3168	239
Milwaukee	0.3324	233	-12.31	244	0.3755	215
Coastal Carolina	0.3277	234	-13.24	262	0.4000	203
Western Carolina	0.3275	235	-11.69	234	0.1994	305
Delaware	0.3230	236	-13.77	274	0.2998	249
Stony Brook	0.3218	237	-12.72	253	0.3712	216
Drexel	0.3216	238	-14.46	283	0.3032	246
South Alabama	0.3152	239	-12.74	254	0.3670	219
LIU Brooklyn	0.3078	240	-13.18	260	0.2961	254
Southern Utah	0.3060	241	-12.89	255	0.2438	278
Northern Illinois	0.3052	242	-13.63	272	0.2992	251
Grambling St.	0.3035	243	-10.31	201	0.1858	313
North Florida	0.3027	244	-11.32	225	0.2266	289
Idaho St.	0.3023	245	-11.73	237	0.2951	256
North Dakota	0.3022	246	-13.33	263	0.2869	259
Cal St. Bakersfield	0.2986	247	-11.59	231	0.3185	238
Loyola Marymount	0.2971	248	-12.41	249	0.3327	231
New Orleans	0.2960	249	-10.96	215	0.2648	267
Campbell	0.2852	250	-11.56	230	0.3669	220
Southeast Missouri St.	0.2839	251	-12.59	250	0.2704	264
Gardner Webb	0.2836	252	-12.07	240	0.2815	262
UNC Wilmington	0.2743	253	-14.92	292	0.3193	237
North Carolina A&T	0.2730	254	-10.50	207	0.1902	312
Abilene Christian	0.2693	255	-11.67	233	0.2696	266
Oral Roberts	0.2681	256	-13.52	267	0.3055	243
Quinnipiac	0.2679	257	-16.19	308	0.2390	281
Charleston Southern	0.2660	258	-11.52	228	0.3080	241
FIU	0.2659	259	-13.79	275	0.2954	255
California	0.2631	260	-14.41	281	0.3215	235
Central Connecticut	0.2628	261	-13.94	278	0.1912	309
Holy Cross	0.2605	262	-15.02	294	0.2449	276
Brown	0.2596	263	-11.76	238	0.2788	263
Montana St.	0.2582	264	-14.47	284	0.2528	274
Florida Atlantic	0.2569	265	-13.38	266	0.3035	245
Army	0.2562	266	-13.63	271	0.3075	242
Hampton	0.2549	267	-10.15	198	0.2995	250
Eastern Illinois	0.2540	268	-13.71	273	0.2946	257
Savannah St.	0.2475	269	-9.42	184	0.1693	321
High Point	0.2464	270	-12.36	246	0.3441	227
Fordham	0.2462	271	-15.08	296	0.2369	283
Western Illinois	0.2461	272	-11.50	227	0.2250	290
UTEP	0.2441	273	-14.59	286	0.2988	252
Fairleigh Dickinson	0.2431	274	-13.20	261	0.2641	268
NJIT	0.2416	275	-11.72	236	0.2977	253
Prairie View A&M	0.2364	276	-12.09	241	0.2477	275
James Madison	0.2320	277	-16.68	315	0.3431	229
Arkansas St.	0.2281	278	-15.45	299	0.2592	271
Santa Clara	0.2269	279	-13.56	269	0.2568	273
South Florida	0.2239	280	-14.82	291	0.2387	282
Bethune Cookman	0.2217	281	-11.69	235	0.2063	301
East Carolina	0.2201	282	-13.34	264	0.2057	302
Texas Southern	0.2200	283	-10.96	214	0.3080	240
St. Francis NY	0.2194	284	-14.53	285	0.1907	311
IUPUI	0.2185	285	-13.83	276	0.2328	286
Cleveland St.	0.2157	286	-16.95	319	0.2078	299
UMass Lowell	0.2130	287	-14.23	280	0.2295	287
Nebraska Omaha	0.2089	288	-14.42	282	0.2570	272
Portland	0.2088	289	-14.75	288	0.2608	270
Eastern Kentucky	0.2084	290	-14.72	287	0.2283	288
Green Bay	0.2058	291	-14.79	289	0.2867	260
SIU Edwardsville	0.2011	292	-15.53	300	0.1738	319
Jacksonville	0.2008	293	-13.55	268	0.1641	324
North Carolina Central	0.1869	294	-12.40	248	0.2081	298
UMKC	0.1863	295	-15.61	303	0.2159	295
Cal Poly	0.1840	296	-17.11	321	0.1657	323
McNeese St.	0.1834	297	-12.97	256	0.2006	304
The Citadel	0.1800	298	-14.96	293	0.1850	315
Columbia	0.1796	299	-13.90	277	0.3821	210
Arkansas Pine Bluff	0.1727	300	-15.53	301	0.1347	330
Lafayette	0.1703	301	-16.94	318	0.2440	277
Siena	0.1700	302	-18.35	328	0.2210	292
Samford	0.1611	303	-15.34	298	0.2406	280
Kennesaw St.	0.1610	304	-14.81	290	0.2012	303
Binghamton	0.1579	305	-16.17	307	0.2238	291
UC Riverside	0.1579	306	-16.81	317	0.2425	279
Loyola MD	0.1566	307	-17.42	322	0.1910	310
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	0.1558	308	-14.22	279	0.1916	308
Chattanooga	0.1547	309	-17.67	323	0.2161	294
Morehead St.	0.1538	310	-15.04	295	0.2348	285
Tennessee Martin	0.1536	311	-16.36	312	0.2168	293
Dartmouth	0.1535	312	-15.55	302	0.2364	284
New Hampshire	0.1505	313	-16.20	310	0.2823	261
Southern	0.1464	314	-13.37	265	0.1550	325
VMI	0.1439	315	-15.79	304	0.1194	333
Stetson	0.1426	316	-16.42	313	0.1799	318
Presbyterian	0.1418	317	-16.27	311	0.1253	331
Sacred Heart	0.1351	318	-17.03	320	0.1990	306
Youngstown St.	0.1330	319	-18.38	329	0.1696	320
Charlotte	0.1319	320	-17.68	324	0.1858	314
Norfolk St.	0.1302	321	-15.31	297	0.1837	317
Detroit	0.1283	322	-18.33	327	0.1850	316
Sacramento St.	0.1206	323	-19.20	335	0.2158	296
Little Rock	0.1206	324	-19.41	338	0.2126	297
Morgan St.	0.1199	325	-15.89	305	0.1546	326
Pepperdine	0.1186	326	-18.12	325	0.2701	265
Marist	0.1172	327	-20.20	341	0.1691	322
Rice	0.1117	328	-18.14	326	0.1988	307
Jackson St.	0.1077	329	-16.12	306	0.1041	337
San Jose St.	0.1068	330	-19.03	333	0.2069	300
American	0.0909	331	-19.15	334	0.1486	327
South Carolina St.	0.0908	332	-16.20	309	0.0833	343
Cal St. Northridge	0.0856	333	-18.89	331	0.1410	328
Howard	0.0815	334	-18.92	332	0.1182	334
Maine	0.0802	335	-20.31	342	0.1250	332
Alabama St.	0.0773	336	-18.39	330	0.0927	340
Florida A&M	0.0744	337	-19.28	337	0.0864	342
Longwood	0.0735	338	-21.33	347	0.0826	344
Northern Arizona	0.0716	339	-20.83	345	0.1156	335
Alcorn St.	0.0699	340	-16.53	314	0.1034	338
USC Upstate	0.0520	341	-19.84	340	0.1133	336
Maryland Eastern Shore	0.0470	342	-19.50	339	0.0428	349
Incarnate Word	0.0460	343	-16.73	316	0.1002	339
Houston Baptist	0.0456	344	-19.20	336	0.1360	329
Coppin St.	0.0445	345	-21.24	346	0.0607	347
Bryant	0.0443	346	-23.06	349	0.0924	341
Mississippi Valley St.	0.0311	347	-22.83	348	0.0582	348
Chicago St.	0.0259	348	-20.82	344	0.0639	346
Alabama A&M	0.0228	349	-23.38	350	0.0371	351
Delaware St.	0.0147	350	-24.35	351	0.0423	350
Northwestern St.	0.0023	351	-20.43	343	0.0673	345

WAB 3/8: Chances!

Louisville takes on Virginia. Marquette faces Villanova. Oklahoma State gets a shot at Kansas. Notre Dame challenges Duke. Each of these four bubble teams has a chance to make a huge statement with a win today. Lord knows Syracuse failed at that yesterday.

Oklahoma and Arizona State both started the season on fire. However, Oklahoma’s collapse wasn’t nearly as disastrous as that of Arizona State. Oklahoma’s body of work is still quite reasonable. The same cannot be said of the Sun Devils.

Full WABs available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School	Implied Pythag	Rank Implied Pythag	WAB Avg	Rank WAB	Pythag	Rank Pythag
Virginia	0.9869	1	9.30	1	0.9694	1
Xavier	0.9710	2	7.74	3	0.9176	13
Villanova	0.9689	3	7.93	2	0.9671	2
Michigan St.	0.9677	4	7.41	4	0.9534	6
Michigan	0.9546	5	6.33	7	0.9262	12
Duke	0.9538	6	6.37	6	0.9642	3
Purdue	0.9532	7	6.64	5	0.9556	5
Cincinnati	0.9521	8	4.72	11	0.9589	4
Gonzaga	0.9478	9	4.29	13	0.9362	8
Kansas	0.9440	10	5.75	8	0.9317	9
North Carolina	0.9413	11	5.51	9	0.9389	7
Tennessee	0.9392	12	5.21	10	0.9116	15
Auburn	0.9340	13	4.35	12	0.9090	16
Wichita St.	0.9284	14	3.49	17	0.9154	14
Texas Tech	0.9268	15	3.96	14	0.9267	11
Clemson	0.9256	16	3.61	16	0.8996	18
Ohio St.	0.9231	17	3.71	15	0.9081	17
West Virginia	0.9167	18	3.32	18	0.9299	10
Miami FL	0.9120	19	2.74	19	0.8691	35
Houston	0.9084	20	2.14	22	0.8930	21
Nevada	0.8989	21	1.96	24	0.8784	27
TCU	0.8980	22	2.24	21	0.8954	20
Arizona	0.8975	23	2.12	23	0.8868	24
Kentucky	0.8968	24	2.24	20	0.8919	22
Rhode Island	0.8933	25	1.44	30	0.8526	39
Kansas St.	0.8922	26	1.78	26	0.8436	43
St. Bonaventure	0.8921	27	1.53	28	0.7989	56
Texas A&M	0.8901	28	1.82	25	0.8716	32
Arkansas	0.8876	29	1.68	27	0.8600	38
Creighton	0.8869	30	1.47	29	0.8900	23
Seton Hall	0.8840	31	1.35	32	0.8778	28
Virginia Tech	0.8836	32	1.30	33	0.8708	33
Loyola Chicago	0.8823	33	1.06	35	0.8167	53
Florida	0.8821	34	1.38	31	0.8961	19
Nebraska	0.8813	35	1.21	34	0.7986	57
Middle Tennessee	0.8812	36	1.05	36	0.8278	48
Saint Mary’s	0.8792	37	0.87	38	0.8692	34
Texas	0.8740	38	0.97	37	0.8617	36
Florida St.	0.8708	39	0.69	40	0.8607	37
Oklahoma	0.8695	40	0.73	39	0.8465	42
North Carolina St.	0.8686	41	0.62	41	0.8338	46
New Mexico St.	0.8674	42	0.44	43	0.7871	62
Louisville	0.8653	43	0.44	42	0.8789	26
Providence	0.8625	44	0.36	44	0.7770	67
Marquette	0.8598	45	0.26	45	0.8279	47
Butler	0.8589	46	0.21	47	0.8846	25
Missouri	0.8588	47	0.23	46	0.8476	41
South Dakota St.	0.8585	48	0.21	48	0.7377	80
Oklahoma St.	0.8568	49	0.11	49	0.8252	50
Baylor	0.8522	50	-0.09	50	0.8736	30
Boise St.	0.8484	51	-0.13	51	0.8134	54
UCLA	0.8462	52	-0.27	53	0.7202	86
Louisiana Lafayette	0.8451	53	-0.16	52	0.7776	66
Vermont	0.8419	54	-0.29	54	0.7743	69
Mississippi St.	0.8405	55	-0.46	55	0.7801	65
Syracuse	0.8400	56	-0.58	56	0.8253	49
Notre Dame	0.8388	57	-0.61	57	0.8757	29
Penn St.	0.8266	58	-1.10	59	0.8731	31
Murray St.	0.8244	59	-0.66	58	0.7727	70
USC	0.8232	60	-1.12	60	0.8378	45
Maryland	0.8198	61	-1.29	62	0.8508	40
Utah	0.8188	62	-1.21	61	0.7830	64
Georgia	0.8091	63	-1.89	68	0.7872	61
Boston College	0.8070	64	-1.78	65	0.7625	74
Alabama	0.8048	65	-2.15	71	0.8241	52
Arizona St.	0.8023	66	-1.87	66	0.8380	44
LSU	0.8014	67	-1.97	69	0.7880	59
Old Dominion	0.8004	68	-1.38	63	0.7876	60
BYU	0.7883	69	-2.12	70	0.7662	72
Western Kentucky	0.7882	70	-1.89	67	0.7615	75
UNC Greensboro	0.7861	71	-1.55	64	0.7108	90
Temple	0.7760	72	-2.83	78	0.7276	82
Oregon	0.7698	73	-2.82	77	0.7932	58
Buffalo	0.7680	74	-2.27	73	0.7328	81
South Carolina	0.7677	75	-3.30	85	0.7525	79
Washington	0.7649	76	-3.13	80	0.6692	105
St. John’s	0.7646	77	-3.44	89	0.7767	68
College of Charleston	0.7607	78	-2.16	72	0.6275	116
Indiana	0.7541	79	-3.32	86	0.7694	71
UCF	0.7467	80	-3.19	82	0.6965	96
Montana	0.7433	81	-2.43	74	0.6887	98
San Diego St.	0.7406	82	-3.11	79	0.8028	55
Wyoming	0.7316	83	-3.82	94	0.6079	124
South Dakota	0.7306	84	-2.70	76	0.7613	76
Tulsa	0.7298	85	-3.36	88	0.6689	106
Bucknell	0.7286	86	-3.17	81	0.7082	92
Stanford	0.7279	87	-4.29	104	0.7193	87
Wisconsin	0.7267	88	-4.49	105	0.7837	63
Belmont	0.7252	89	-3.28	84	0.7249	83
East Tennessee St.	0.7249	90	-3.20	83	0.6994	95
Northeastern	0.7179	91	-3.99	97	0.6874	99
Colorado	0.7134	92	-4.69	107	0.6328	113
Fresno St.	0.7101	93	-3.83	95	0.7546	78
Davidson	0.7073	94	-3.79	93	0.8250	51
Iowa St.	0.7068	95	-4.85	109	0.7004	94
Memphis	0.7068	96	-4.12	101	0.5298	159
Rider	0.7035	97	-3.68	92	0.5641	140
Northwestern	0.7025	98	-5.05	111	0.7562	77
Stephen F. Austin	0.6998	99	-2.49	75	0.6156	120
Penn	0.6913	100	-3.64	90	0.6147	121
Marshall	0.6887	101	-3.98	96	0.5969	128
Wright St.	0.6857	102	-4.08	100	0.5761	134
UC Santa Barbara	0.6821	103	-3.66	91	0.5696	137
Lipscomb	0.6810	104	-3.34	87	0.4926	172
UC Davis	0.6806	105	-4.14	102	0.5658	139
Georgetown	0.6798	106	-4.58	106	0.6832	101
UNLV	0.6724	107	-5.15	112	0.6718	104
Minnesota	0.6666	108	-5.57	115	0.6795	102
Furman	0.6661	109	-4.08	99	0.7089	91
Illinois St.	0.6625	110	-6.73	143	0.5407	153
Utah Valley	0.6563	111	-4.00	98	0.7035	93
Southern Illinois	0.6561	112	-5.95	120	0.5502	148
Vanderbilt	0.6557	113	-6.79	146	0.7244	84
Idaho	0.6512	114	-4.17	103	0.5845	130
Toledo	0.6498	115	-4.88	110	0.6299	115
Iowa	0.6439	116	-6.76	145	0.7231	85
Bradley	0.6415	117	-6.43	137	0.5761	133
Northern Kentucky	0.6344	118	-4.74	108	0.7125	89
Connecticut	0.6241	119	-5.95	119	0.6306	114
William & Mary	0.6138	120	-6.13	127	0.5152	163
Georgia St.	0.6121	121	-5.89	117	0.6374	111
New Mexico	0.6112	122	-6.57	138	0.6361	112
Illinois	0.6109	123	-7.18	151	0.6946	97
Hofstra	0.6078	124	-6.16	128	0.5374	155
Georgia Tech	0.6074	125	-6.92	147	0.6417	110
SMU	0.6057	126	-6.10	126	0.7641	73
Mississippi	0.6047	127	-7.79	161	0.6718	103
San Diego	0.6037	128	-6.09	125	0.5883	129
Oregon St.	0.6018	129	-7.17	150	0.6851	100
Georgia Southern	0.6018	130	-6.32	134	0.5621	141
Wofford	0.6003	131	-6.04	124	0.5298	158
VCU	0.5993	132	-6.96	148	0.6000	127
UMBC	0.5968	133	-5.16	113	0.4285	190
Northern Colorado	0.5954	134	-6.18	129	0.5754	135
UT Arlington	0.5952	135	-6.31	133	0.6027	126
Ball St.	0.5947	136	-6.30	132	0.4994	170
Harvard	0.5885	137	-6.58	140	0.5539	145
Canisius	0.5880	138	-6.65	141	0.5827	131
Iona	0.5848	139	-7.38	155	0.6096	123
UAB	0.5787	140	-6.29	131	0.6633	107
Northern Iowa	0.5775	141	-7.89	162	0.6109	122
Albany	0.5770	142	-5.99	122	0.5561	144
DePaul	0.5720	143	-7.59	158	0.6629	108
UNC Asheville	0.5697	144	-6.24	130	0.4425	186
Portland St.	0.5686	145	-6.74	144	0.5131	165
Eastern Michigan	0.5655	146	-6.41	136	0.5223	161
Wake Forest	0.5632	147	-8.24	171	0.7192	88
San Francisco	0.5628	148	-7.30	154	0.5422	152
Weber St.	0.5593	149	-5.99	123	0.5453	150
Radford	0.5592	150	-6.58	139	0.4721	180
Missouri St.	0.5590	151	-8.82	181	0.6242	117
Saint Louis	0.5547	152	-8.01	166	0.5671	138
Rutgers	0.5539	153	-7.41	157	0.6029	125
Drake	0.5539	154	-8.94	182	0.4962	171
Utah St.	0.5504	155	-8.16	168	0.5619	142
Eastern Washington	0.5487	156	-7.40	156	0.5457	149
Southeastern Louisiana	0.5485	157	-5.91	118	0.3935	204
Cal St. Fullerton	0.5465	158	-6.37	135	0.4610	183
Wagner	0.5458	159	-5.44	114	0.4636	182
Saint Joseph’s	0.5456	160	-8.18	169	0.6213	118
Jacksonville St.	0.5350	161	-7.09	149	0.5527	147
Evansville	0.5348	162	-8.55	177	0.5250	160
UTSA	0.5329	163	-7.24	153	0.4645	181
Dayton	0.5259	164	-9.07	185	0.5353	156
Nicholls St.	0.5254	165	-5.97	121	0.4398	188
Niagara	0.5253	166	-8.23	170	0.4049	198
Grand Canyon	0.5231	167	-5.58	116	0.6515	109
Yale	0.5087	168	-7.91	163	0.4887	175
Tennessee Tech	0.4988	169	-8.29	173	0.3622	223
George Washington	0.4976	170	-9.38	190	0.4407	187
Florida Gulf Coast	0.4948	171	-6.67	142	0.6171	119
Austin Peay	0.4922	172	-7.99	165	0.4020	202
Oakland	0.4878	173	-8.36	175	0.5077	167
Towson	0.4873	174	-9.36	189	0.5601	143
Tulane	0.4872	175	-8.05	167	0.5032	168
George Mason	0.4862	176	-9.44	191	0.3885	207
Washington St.	0.4862	177	-10.42	209	0.4385	189
UC Irvine	0.4856	178	-9.17	186	0.5709	136
Mercer	0.4814	179	-8.36	174	0.5809	132
Seattle	0.4806	180	-7.19	152	0.3878	209
Winthrop	0.4675	181	-7.67	159	0.5322	157
Valparaiso	0.4633	182	-10.50	215	0.5442	151
Western Michigan	0.4584	183	-10.08	199	0.4429	185
Hawaii	0.4583	184	-7.95	164	0.3872	210
Louisiana Tech	0.4552	185	-9.24	188	0.5405	154
Fort Wayne	0.4552	186	-8.70	179	0.5152	164
Colgate	0.4536	187	-8.58	178	0.4111	196
Long Beach St.	0.4484	188	-9.90	195	0.3911	206
Navy	0.4482	189	-8.26	172	0.3712	218
La Salle	0.4468	190	-11.34	226	0.5535	146
Hartford	0.4434	191	-9.19	187	0.3408	230
Miami OH	0.4429	192	-10.50	214	0.4149	193
Pacific	0.4423	193	-10.47	212	0.4724	179
Central Michigan	0.4381	194	-9.06	184	0.4920	174
Troy	0.4314	195	-10.25	202	0.5113	166
Richmond	0.4306	196	-11.14	222	0.4757	178
Indiana St.	0.4274	197	-11.23	224	0.5204	162
Kent St.	0.4259	198	-10.67	217	0.3975	203
Fairfield	0.4201	199	-10.59	216	0.3882	208
Liberty	0.4097	200	-9.97	196	0.4995	169
Louisiana Monroe	0.4089	201	-8.97	183	0.3668	222
Denver	0.4056	202	-10.01	198	0.3698	219
Sam Houston St.	0.4038	203	-8.78	180	0.3525	226
St. Francis PA	0.4028	204	-7.73	160	0.4048	199
Bowling Green	0.4018	205	-11.37	227	0.3258	233
Massachusetts	0.3994	206	-12.25	245	0.4281	191
Princeton	0.3907	207	-10.45	210	0.4811	177
North Dakota St.	0.3879	208	-10.69	218	0.4922	173
Southern Miss	0.3846	209	-10.46	211	0.3159	238
Illinois Chicago	0.3801	210	-10.38	207	0.4020	201
Duquesne	0.3779	211	-10.31	204	0.4482	184
Tennessee St.	0.3774	212	-9.69	193	0.3796	213
Ohio	0.3756	213	-11.60	232	0.4243	192
Lehigh	0.3743	214	-9.75	194	0.3613	225
Appalachian St.	0.3723	215	-11.98	241	0.4136	195
North Texas	0.3713	216	-11.12	221	0.4143	194
Elon	0.3680	217	-12.19	244	0.3312	232
Akron	0.3679	218	-11.94	240	0.3039	244
Central Arkansas	0.3670	219	-10.35	205	0.3934	205
Pittsburgh	0.3603	220	-11.20	223	0.3614	224
UT Rio Grande Valley	0.3603	221	-10.47	213	0.2754	265
Lamar	0.3584	222	-10.00	197	0.4060	197
Colorado St.	0.3577	223	-12.49	252	0.3447	228
Cornell	0.3540	224	-10.37	206	0.2912	258
Boston University	0.3529	225	-11.57	229	0.3194	234
Manhattan	0.3526	226	-12.38	247	0.3826	211
Air Force	0.3525	227	-12.45	251	0.3028	245
Robert Morris	0.3514	228	-12.05	242	0.3028	246
Texas St.	0.3501	229	-12.69	258	0.3745	216
Monmouth	0.3390	230	-13.58	267	0.4853	176
Saint Peter’s	0.3360	231	-13.09	262	0.3790	214
Mount St. Mary’s	0.3347	232	-10.27	203	0.3171	237
Milwaukee	0.3324	233	-12.39	248	0.3755	215
Coastal Carolina	0.3305	234	-13.30	265	0.4029	200
Western Carolina	0.3279	235	-11.79	236	0.1994	305
Stony Brook	0.3250	236	-12.70	259	0.3712	217
Delaware	0.3225	237	-13.86	276	0.3001	248
Drexel	0.3220	238	-14.56	285	0.3025	247
South Alabama	0.3174	239	-12.82	260	0.3671	221
New Orleans	0.3168	240	-10.13	200	0.2837	261
North Dakota	0.3103	241	-12.64	256	0.2856	260
LIU Brooklyn	0.3078	242	-13.23	263	0.2962	253
Cal St. Bakersfield	0.3074	243	-11.02	219	0.3150	239
Northern Illinois	0.3054	244	-13.72	272	0.2988	250
Grambling St.	0.3043	245	-10.39	208	0.1843	317
North Florida	0.3025	246	-11.38	228	0.2257	289
Idaho St.	0.3004	247	-11.79	238	0.2939	256
Loyola Marymount	0.2973	248	-12.50	253	0.3340	231
Southern Utah	0.2876	249	-12.28	246	0.2260	288
Campbell	0.2860	250	-11.60	233	0.3685	220
Gardner Webb	0.2844	251	-12.07	243	0.2832	262
Southeast Missouri St.	0.2828	252	-12.66	257	0.2727	266
North Carolina A&T	0.2807	253	-9.62	192	0.1916	310
Savannah St.	0.2751	254	-8.52	176	0.1712	321
UNC Wilmington	0.2745	255	-15.01	295	0.3193	235
Abilene Christian	0.2701	256	-11.74	235	0.2710	267
Quinnipiac	0.2679	257	-16.27	310	0.2387	280
Oral Roberts	0.2674	258	-13.62	269	0.3065	242
Charleston Southern	0.2667	259	-11.58	231	0.3080	241
FIU	0.2657	260	-13.85	275	0.2945	254
Central Connecticut	0.2634	261	-13.97	279	0.1920	309
Holy Cross	0.2606	262	-15.09	297	0.2439	277
Brown	0.2595	263	-11.85	239	0.2794	264
California	0.2588	264	-14.81	288	0.3192	236
Florida Atlantic	0.2576	265	-13.43	266	0.3045	243
Montana St.	0.2567	266	-14.54	283	0.2505	275
Army	0.2558	267	-13.69	271	0.3082	240
Eastern Illinois	0.2540	268	-13.81	273	0.2931	257
Prairie View A&M	0.2516	269	-11.27	225	0.2607	270
High Point	0.2471	270	-12.41	249	0.3442	229
Fordham	0.2460	271	-15.20	299	0.2342	284
Western Illinois	0.2452	272	-11.57	230	0.2243	291
Fairleigh Dickinson	0.2432	273	-13.25	264	0.2655	269
UTEP	0.2431	274	-14.62	287	0.2989	249
Hampton	0.2421	275	-10.22	201	0.2945	255
NJIT	0.2416	276	-11.79	237	0.2963	251
South Florida	0.2345	277	-13.94	278	0.2351	282
James Madison	0.2337	278	-16.72	317	0.3458	227
East Carolina	0.2302	279	-12.58	255	0.2069	300
Arkansas St.	0.2286	280	-15.56	302	0.2583	273
Santa Clara	0.2278	281	-13.63	270	0.2590	272
Bethune Cookman	0.2235	282	-11.72	234	0.2082	298
St. Francis NY	0.2199	283	-14.56	286	0.1910	312
IUPUI	0.2186	284	-13.89	277	0.2339	285
Cleveland St.	0.2160	285	-17.02	320	0.2072	299
UMass Lowell	0.2134	286	-14.29	281	0.2302	286
Portland	0.2089	287	-14.85	290	0.2600	271
Eastern Kentucky	0.2088	288	-14.84	289	0.2275	287
Nebraska Omaha	0.2079	289	-14.55	284	0.2545	274
Green Bay	0.2059	290	-14.87	291	0.2866	259
Jacksonville	0.2011	291	-13.58	268	0.1642	324
SIU Edwardsville	0.2011	292	-15.59	303	0.1746	319
Texas Southern	0.2009	293	-11.05	220	0.2962	252
UMKC	0.1904	294	-14.91	293	0.2089	297
Cal Poly	0.1896	295	-16.34	312	0.1740	320
McNeese St.	0.1842	296	-13.08	261	0.2011	304
Columbia	0.1810	297	-13.85	274	0.3813	212
The Citadel	0.1799	298	-15.03	296	0.1860	315
Lafayette	0.1702	299	-17.02	319	0.2439	276
Siena	0.1698	300	-18.43	327	0.2221	292
UC Riverside	0.1632	301	-16.04	306	0.2402	278
Arkansas Pine Bluff	0.1625	302	-15.56	301	0.1319	330
North Carolina Central	0.1622	303	-12.52	254	0.2029	302
Samford	0.1609	304	-15.43	300	0.2389	279
Kennesaw St.	0.1606	305	-14.88	292	0.2017	303
Southern	0.1606	306	-12.44	250	0.1603	325
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	0.1585	307	-14.23	280	0.1945	308
Binghamton	0.1584	308	-16.22	308	0.2251	290
Loyola MD	0.1565	309	-17.50	322	0.1911	311
Morehead St.	0.1545	310	-15.10	298	0.2349	283
Chattanooga	0.1543	311	-17.74	323	0.2166	294
Dartmouth	0.1536	312	-15.61	304	0.2366	281
Tennessee Martin	0.1532	313	-16.44	314	0.2160	295
New Hampshire	0.1509	314	-16.25	309	0.2819	263
VMI	0.1441	315	-15.86	305	0.1188	333
Stetson	0.1429	316	-16.46	315	0.1801	318
Presbyterian	0.1422	317	-16.31	311	0.1260	331
Norfolk St.	0.1383	318	-14.38	282	0.1888	313
Sacred Heart	0.1354	319	-17.08	321	0.1982	306
Youngstown St.	0.1325	320	-18.48	329	0.1676	323
Charlotte	0.1318	321	-17.79	324	0.1853	316
Morgan St.	0.1284	322	-14.98	294	0.1600	326
Detroit	0.1277	323	-18.52	330	0.1867	314
Little Rock	0.1222	324	-19.52	339	0.2127	296
Sacramento St.	0.1205	325	-19.27	335	0.2168	293
Pepperdine	0.1181	326	-18.19	325	0.2701	268
Marist	0.1171	327	-20.28	342	0.1685	322
Rice	0.1121	328	-18.27	326	0.1978	307
Jackson St.	0.1084	329	-16.15	307	0.1052	337
San Jose St.	0.1059	330	-19.17	333	0.2068	301
South Carolina St.	0.0916	331	-16.35	313	0.0841	343
American	0.0909	332	-19.21	334	0.1486	327
Cal St. Northridge	0.0866	333	-18.94	331	0.1414	328
Howard	0.0818	334	-18.98	332	0.1188	334
Maine	0.0803	335	-20.39	343	0.1258	332
Alabama St.	0.0776	336	-18.45	328	0.0935	340
Florida A&M	0.0749	337	-19.39	337	0.0867	342
Longwood	0.0736	338	-21.41	347	0.0823	344
Northern Arizona	0.0709	339	-20.93	345	0.1144	335
Alcorn St.	0.0705	340	-16.55	316	0.1042	338
USC Upstate	0.0519	341	-19.89	340	0.1137	336
Maryland Eastern Shore	0.0473	342	-19.52	338	0.0432	349
Incarnate Word	0.0462	343	-16.80	318	0.1003	339
Houston Baptist	0.0462	344	-19.30	336	0.1366	329
Coppin St.	0.0450	345	-21.17	346	0.0611	347
Bryant	0.0444	346	-23.11	349	0.0926	341
Mississippi Valley St.	0.0313	347	-22.87	348	0.0581	348
Chicago St.	0.0260	348	-20.27	341	0.0637	346
Alabama A&M	0.0229	349	-23.45	350	0.0373	351
Delaware St.	0.0148	350	-24.37	351	0.0426	350
Northwestern St.	0.0023	351	-20.50	344	0.0682	345

WAB 3/7: Gonzaga is going to be a tough out

I pity whomever faces the likely underseeded Bulldogs in the first/second round.

Today and tomorrow will see significant change around the theoretical cut line. Syracuse can put themselves in positive territory with a win against North Carolina, but I’m not expecting such a result. Frankly, I would have rather faced any other single-bye team in the second round, but thems the breaks.

Full tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School	Implied Pythag	Rank Implied Pythag	WAB Avg	Rank WAB	Pythag	Rank Pythag
Virginia	0.9869	1	9.45	1	0.9695	1
Xavier	0.9711	2	7.89	3	0.9175	13
Villanova	0.9686	3	7.96	2	0.9672	2
Michigan St.	0.9673	4	7.43	4	0.9536	6
Michigan	0.9549	5	6.51	6	0.9262	12
Duke	0.9537	6	6.49	7	0.9642	3
Purdue	0.9531	7	6.77	5	0.9558	5
Cincinnati	0.9524	8	4.75	11	0.9591	4
Gonzaga	0.9478	9	4.40	12	0.9360	7
Kansas	0.9442	10	5.91	8	0.9317	9
Tennessee	0.9390	11	5.34	9	0.9112	15
North Carolina	0.9387	12	5.17	10	0.9357	8
Auburn	0.9333	13	4.38	13	0.9080	16
Texas Tech	0.9267	14	4.08	14	0.9270	11
Wichita St.	0.9264	15	3.42	18	0.9156	14
Clemson	0.9256	16	3.73	16	0.8994	18
Ohio St.	0.9228	17	3.81	15	0.9072	17
West Virginia	0.9167	18	3.44	17	0.9293	10
Miami FL	0.9121	19	2.86	19	0.8695	34
Houston	0.9075	20	2.17	23	0.8930	21
Nevada	0.8989	21	2.07	24	0.8790	26
Arizona	0.8988	22	2.27	22	0.8869	24
Kentucky	0.8986	23	2.47	20	0.8919	22
TCU	0.8982	24	2.38	21	0.8958	20
Virginia Tech	0.8943	25	1.85	27	0.8732	31
Rhode Island	0.8932	26	1.53	31	0.8521	40
Kansas St.	0.8925	27	1.92	26	0.8442	44
St. Bonaventure	0.8922	28	1.64	30	0.8003	57
Texas A&M	0.8896	29	1.93	25	0.8704	33
Creighton	0.8892	30	1.68	28	0.8904	23
Arkansas	0.8855	31	1.68	29	0.8591	38
Seton Hall	0.8844	32	1.49	33	0.8772	27
North Carolina St.	0.8834	33	1.36	35	0.8374	46
Loyola Chicago	0.8823	34	1.16	39	0.8166	53
Florida	0.8820	35	1.51	32	0.8961	19
Middle Tennessee	0.8814	36	1.17	38	0.8287	49
Florida St.	0.8812	37	1.21	37	0.8655	36
Nebraska	0.8809	38	1.31	36	0.7991	58
Oklahoma	0.8807	39	1.39	34	0.8530	39
Saint Mary’s	0.8786	40	0.95	40	0.8691	35
Texas	0.8687	41	0.80	41	0.8624	37
New Mexico St.	0.8676	42	0.53	42	0.7878	61
Providence	0.8624	43	0.48	43	0.7774	66
Butler	0.8589	44	0.34	45	0.8851	25
Missouri	0.8584	45	0.35	44	0.8475	43
South Dakota St.	0.8579	46	0.28	46	0.7367	82
Marquette	0.8540	47	0.12	47	0.8297	48
Louisville	0.8527	48	0.05	48	0.8751	28
Baylor	0.8520	49	0.02	49	0.8732	30
Boise St.	0.8485	50	-0.03	50	0.8144	55
UCLA	0.8462	51	-0.16	52	0.8271	50
Oklahoma St.	0.8458	52	-0.22	54	0.8166	54
Louisiana Lafayette	0.8444	53	-0.10	51	0.7767	67
Syracuse	0.8438	54	-0.29	55	0.8344	47
Vermont	0.8414	55	-0.21	53	0.7743	68
Mississippi St.	0.8410	56	-0.34	56	0.7801	65
USC	0.8299	57	-0.79	58	0.8379	45
Penn St.	0.8265	58	-0.98	61	0.8733	29
Utah	0.8255	59	-0.90	59	0.7829	64
Arizona St.	0.8253	60	-0.92	60	0.8480	42
Murray St.	0.8239	61	-0.60	57	0.7733	71
Notre Dame	0.8227	62	-1.03	62	0.8718	32
Maryland	0.8200	63	-1.16	63	0.8495	41
Alabama	0.8047	64	-2.01	68	0.8233	52
LSU	0.8009	65	-1.86	67	0.7879	60
Old Dominion	0.8005	66	-1.30	64	0.7857	62
Georgia	0.7988	67	-2.06	70	0.7738	69
Boston College	0.7910	68	-2.08	72	0.7562	78
BYU	0.7879	69	-2.02	69	0.7661	73
Western Kentucky	0.7877	70	-1.81	66	0.7624	74
Washington	0.7875	71	-2.17	74	0.6718	104
UNC Greensboro	0.7860	72	-1.48	65	0.7100	90
Temple	0.7690	73	-2.91	79	0.7268	84
Oregon	0.7688	74	-2.70	78	0.7990	59
Buffalo	0.7682	75	-2.17	73	0.7329	83
College of Charleston	0.7610	76	-2.08	71	0.6288	114
St. John’s	0.7550	77	-3.49	89	0.7734	70
South Carolina	0.7547	78	-3.47	87	0.7548	79
Indiana	0.7535	79	-3.22	84	0.7694	72
Montana	0.7433	80	-2.36	75	0.6886	99
San Diego St.	0.7402	81	-3.02	80	0.8034	56
UCF	0.7383	82	-3.27	85	0.6943	96
South Dakota	0.7350	83	-2.52	77	0.7613	76
Wisconsin	0.7309	84	-4.26	107	0.7843	63
Stanford	0.7309	85	-4.06	102	0.7137	88
Wyoming	0.7285	86	-3.75	95	0.6051	123
Belmont	0.7259	87	-3.18	83	0.7239	86
Bucknell	0.7247	88	-3.13	82	0.6925	97
East Tennessee St.	0.7246	89	-3.12	81	0.6969	94
Tulsa	0.7203	90	-3.47	88	0.6695	106
Iowa St.	0.7177	91	-4.25	106	0.6975	93
Northeastern	0.7173	92	-3.91	97	0.6858	100
Fresno St.	0.7106	93	-3.73	94	0.7534	80
Davidson	0.7061	94	-3.73	93	0.8235	51
Rider	0.7042	95	-3.59	92	0.5655	138
Northwestern	0.7025	96	-4.92	111	0.7573	77
Stephen F. Austin	0.6992	97	-2.44	76	0.6131	119
Colorado	0.6974	98	-4.83	110	0.6175	117
Memphis	0.6974	99	-4.22	105	0.5299	158
Georgetown	0.6962	100	-3.92	98	0.6892	98
Penn	0.6916	101	-3.57	90	0.6124	120
Marshall	0.6886	102	-3.90	96	0.5962	127
Wright St.	0.6857	103	-4.00	100	0.5756	134
UC Santa Barbara	0.6818	104	-3.59	91	0.5672	136
UC Davis	0.6809	105	-4.06	103	0.5643	139
Lipscomb	0.6806	106	-3.28	86	0.4912	174
Vanderbilt	0.6693	107	-6.04	126	0.7404	81
UNLV	0.6681	108	-5.09	113	0.6750	103
Minnesota	0.6663	109	-5.45	115	0.6760	102
Furman	0.6655	110	-4.01	101	0.7096	91
Illinois St.	0.6625	111	-6.60	143	0.5406	152
Southern Illinois	0.6563	112	-5.85	119	0.5488	147
Utah Valley	0.6561	113	-3.94	99	0.7034	92
Idaho	0.6513	114	-4.10	104	0.5844	129
Toledo	0.6501	115	-4.79	109	0.6298	113
Iowa	0.6426	116	-6.65	146	0.7241	85
Bradley	0.6414	117	-6.33	138	0.5762	133
Northern Kentucky	0.6340	118	-4.68	108	0.7117	89
Connecticut	0.6254	119	-5.82	117	0.5259	161
Mississippi	0.6203	120	-7.01	150	0.6716	105
William & Mary	0.6136	121	-6.05	127	0.5160	163
Georgia Tech	0.6120	122	-6.74	147	0.6430	110
Georgia St.	0.6119	123	-5.82	118	0.6390	111
Illinois	0.6109	124	-7.06	152	0.6946	95
New Mexico	0.6108	125	-6.48	140	0.6352	112
Hofstra	0.6078	126	-6.07	128	0.5373	153
San Diego	0.6035	127	-6.01	125	0.5878	128
Georgia Southern	0.6020	128	-6.24	133	0.5623	140
Wofford	0.6011	129	-5.95	124	0.5299	157
SMU	0.5993	130	-6.12	129	0.7622	75
VCU	0.5979	131	-6.88	148	0.6013	125
UMBC	0.5976	132	-5.08	112	0.4302	190
Northern Colorado	0.5948	133	-6.12	130	0.5766	132
Ball St.	0.5947	134	-6.22	132	0.4992	170
UT Arlington	0.5936	135	-6.25	134	0.6000	126
Harvard	0.5883	136	-6.50	141	0.5539	145
Canisius	0.5879	137	-6.57	142	0.5825	130
Iona	0.5858	138	-7.27	157	0.6092	122
Oregon St.	0.5856	139	-7.11	153	0.6836	101
DePaul	0.5847	140	-6.91	149	0.6597	108
Albany	0.5776	141	-5.92	122	0.5571	143
Northern Iowa	0.5774	142	-7.79	162	0.6118	121
UNC Asheville	0.5702	143	-6.14	131	0.4427	186
Portland St.	0.5690	144	-6.65	145	0.5130	165
UAB	0.5663	145	-6.28	135	0.6611	107
Eastern Michigan	0.5662	146	-6.31	136	0.5265	160
Wake Forest	0.5654	147	-8.06	168	0.7189	87
San Francisco	0.5624	148	-7.20	155	0.5408	151
Radford	0.5596	149	-6.48	139	0.4716	180
Weber St.	0.5595	150	-5.93	123	0.5466	148
Missouri St.	0.5594	151	-8.71	181	0.6244	115
Saint Louis	0.5544	152	-7.91	166	0.5671	137
Rutgers	0.5540	153	-7.29	158	0.6014	124
Drake	0.5532	154	-8.85	182	0.4950	171
Eastern Washington	0.5491	155	-7.31	159	0.5447	150
Southeastern Louisiana	0.5464	156	-5.87	120	0.3922	204
Wagner	0.5461	157	-5.39	114	0.4656	181
Cal St. Fullerton	0.5457	158	-6.32	137	0.4616	182
Saint Joseph’s	0.5438	159	-8.11	170	0.6196	116
Utah St.	0.5363	160	-8.13	171	0.5580	142
Evansville	0.5349	161	-8.46	177	0.5276	159
Jacksonville St.	0.5337	162	-7.02	151	0.5515	146
Niagara	0.5253	163	-8.15	172	0.4040	199
Dayton	0.5250	164	-8.98	185	0.5361	155
Nicholls St.	0.5247	165	-5.91	121	0.4397	188
Grand Canyon	0.5233	166	-5.53	116	0.6524	109
UTSA	0.5210	167	-7.21	156	0.4535	183
Yale	0.5091	168	-7.82	163	0.4881	175
Washington St.	0.4986	169	-9.58	194	0.4299	191
Tennessee Tech	0.4984	170	-8.21	174	0.3600	224
Florida Gulf Coast	0.4948	171	-6.61	144	0.6158	118
Austin Peay	0.4919	172	-7.91	165	0.4019	200
George Washington	0.4894	173	-9.31	191	0.4421	187
Oakland	0.4881	174	-8.27	175	0.5063	166
UC Irvine	0.4879	175	-8.94	183	0.5709	135
Towson	0.4872	176	-9.28	190	0.5600	141
George Mason	0.4854	177	-9.36	192	0.3876	208
Tulane	0.4810	178	-8.03	167	0.5041	168
Seattle	0.4806	179	-7.12	154	0.3878	207
Mercer	0.4803	180	-8.30	176	0.5806	131
La Salle	0.4677	181	-10.38	213	0.5556	144
Winthrop	0.4672	182	-7.62	160	0.5307	156
Valparaiso	0.4630	183	-10.41	214	0.5456	149
Hawaii	0.4578	184	-7.88	164	0.3863	209
Western Michigan	0.4576	185	-9.99	200	0.4428	185
Colgate	0.4557	186	-8.09	169	0.4336	189
Fort Wayne	0.4546	187	-8.63	179	0.5151	164
Navy	0.4491	188	-8.20	173	0.3697	217
Long Beach St.	0.4482	189	-9.81	197	0.3923	203
Hartford	0.4434	190	-9.12	188	0.3394	230
Miami OH	0.4429	191	-10.41	216	0.4140	197
Pacific	0.4412	192	-10.37	212	0.4744	179
Central Michigan	0.4384	193	-8.99	186	0.4919	173
Louisiana Tech	0.4336	194	-9.27	189	0.5365	154
Richmond	0.4295	195	-11.06	224	0.4746	178
Indiana St.	0.4274	196	-11.13	226	0.5179	162
Kent St.	0.4258	197	-10.59	219	0.3989	202
Fairfield	0.4202	198	-10.51	218	0.3896	205
Troy	0.4099	199	-10.29	208	0.5049	167
Liberty	0.4094	200	-9.90	198	0.4995	169
Sam Houston St.	0.4047	201	-8.71	180	0.3514	225
Denver	0.4044	202	-9.96	199	0.3682	219
St. Francis PA	0.4032	203	-7.68	161	0.4054	198
Bowling Green	0.4021	204	-11.29	228	0.3245	234
Louisiana Monroe	0.3935	205	-8.95	184	0.3425	229
Princeton	0.3909	206	-10.36	211	0.4826	177
North Dakota St.	0.3878	207	-10.61	220	0.4938	172
North Texas	0.3873	208	-10.19	203	0.4180	195
Illinois Chicago	0.3797	209	-10.32	209	0.4010	201
Duquesne	0.3786	210	-10.23	205	0.4473	184
Lamar	0.3786	211	-9.04	187	0.4223	192
Tennessee St.	0.3771	212	-9.63	195	0.3782	214
Ohio	0.3756	213	-11.51	232	0.4219	193
Lehigh	0.3754	214	-9.69	196	0.3636	222
Massachusetts	0.3718	215	-12.34	252	0.4202	194
Colorado St.	0.3710	216	-11.55	234	0.3496	226
Elon	0.3679	217	-12.11	247	0.3325	232
Akron	0.3669	218	-11.86	242	0.3045	245
Southern Miss	0.3642	219	-10.44	217	0.3170	238
Appalachian St.	0.3631	220	-11.94	244	0.3891	206
UT Rio Grande Valley	0.3607	221	-10.41	215	0.2755	266
Pittsburgh	0.3602	222	-11.09	225	0.3600	223
Air Force	0.3575	223	-11.77	240	0.2963	253
Cornell	0.3548	224	-10.28	207	0.2927	258
Manhattan	0.3530	225	-12.29	249	0.3826	210
Robert Morris	0.3529	226	-11.96	245	0.3029	246
Boston University	0.3512	227	-11.63	235	0.3207	235
Coastal Carolina	0.3490	228	-12.32	251	0.4144	196
Central Arkansas	0.3470	229	-10.24	206	0.3820	212
Saint Peter’s	0.3365	230	-13.00	264	0.3805	213
Monmouth	0.3363	231	-13.61	272	0.4867	176
Mount St. Mary’s	0.3351	232	-10.21	204	0.3192	237
Milwaukee	0.3322	233	-12.32	250	0.3755	215
Texas St.	0.3282	234	-12.73	261	0.3658	221
South Alabama	0.3277	235	-11.93	243	0.3702	216
Western Carolina	0.3262	236	-11.73	239	0.1991	307
Delaware	0.3224	237	-13.78	277	0.2989	250
Drexel	0.3220	238	-14.47	287	0.3025	247
Stony Brook	0.3219	239	-12.73	262	0.3697	218
North Dakota	0.3106	240	-12.56	257	0.2845	260
Cal St. Bakersfield	0.3096	241	-10.81	222	0.3152	239
LIU Brooklyn	0.3081	242	-13.17	266	0.2961	254
Northern Illinois	0.3055	243	-13.63	273	0.3000	249
Grambling St.	0.3033	244	-10.34	210	0.1845	317
North Florida	0.3026	245	-11.30	229	0.2274	290
Idaho St.	0.3009	246	-11.71	237	0.2950	256
New Orleans	0.3003	247	-10.11	201	0.2808	263
Loyola Marymount	0.2970	248	-12.41	255	0.3340	231
Southern Utah	0.2881	249	-12.19	248	0.2286	288
Campbell	0.2861	250	-11.54	233	0.3663	220
Gardner Webb	0.2845	251	-12.00	246	0.2841	261
Southeast Missouri St.	0.2828	252	-12.59	258	0.2712	267
FIU	0.2824	253	-12.85	263	0.2958	255
North Carolina A&T	0.2817	254	-9.55	193	0.1918	310
Savannah St.	0.2755	255	-8.47	178	0.1722	321
UNC Wilmington	0.2745	256	-14.92	296	0.3193	236
Abilene Christian	0.2697	257	-11.70	236	0.2705	268
Oral Roberts	0.2682	258	-13.53	270	0.3047	244
California	0.2678	259	-13.81	278	0.3277	233
Quinnipiac	0.2675	260	-16.20	311	0.2390	279
Charleston Southern	0.2667	261	-11.51	230	0.3089	240
Florida Atlantic	0.2653	262	-12.60	259	0.3060	243
Central Connecticut	0.2638	263	-13.91	281	0.1913	311
Holy Cross	0.2618	264	-15.02	299	0.2462	276
Brown	0.2596	265	-11.78	241	0.2793	264
Montana St.	0.2568	266	-14.47	288	0.2509	275
Army	0.2568	267	-13.63	274	0.3074	242
Fordham	0.2547	268	-14.26	284	0.2352	282
Eastern Illinois	0.2536	269	-13.73	276	0.2932	257
UTEP	0.2525	270	-13.68	275	0.3084	241
Prairie View A&M	0.2513	271	-11.19	227	0.2595	272
High Point	0.2470	272	-12.35	253	0.3442	228
Western Illinois	0.2450	273	-11.51	231	0.2231	292
Fairleigh Dickinson	0.2439	274	-13.18	267	0.2642	270
Bethune Cookman	0.2437	275	-10.71	221	0.2113	297
NJIT	0.2423	276	-11.72	238	0.2964	252
Arkansas St.	0.2399	277	-14.59	290	0.2784	265
South Florida	0.2337	278	-13.97	282	0.2341	283
Hampton	0.2335	279	-10.19	202	0.3018	248
James Madison	0.2326	280	-16.64	317	0.3455	227
Santa Clara	0.2279	281	-13.55	271	0.2588	273
East Carolina	0.2240	282	-12.68	260	0.2073	301
St. Francis NY	0.2201	283	-14.51	289	0.1919	309
IUPUI	0.2181	284	-13.83	279	0.2338	285
Cleveland St.	0.2165	285	-16.94	319	0.2088	298
UMass Lowell	0.2135	286	-14.22	283	0.2296	287
Portland	0.2088	287	-14.77	291	0.2596	271
Eastern Kentucky	0.2084	288	-14.77	292	0.2285	289
Nebraska Omaha	0.2084	289	-14.46	286	0.2558	274
Green Bay	0.2055	290	-14.80	293	0.2872	259
Jacksonville	0.2016	291	-13.51	269	0.1649	324
SIU Edwardsville	0.2009	292	-15.52	303	0.1746	320
Texas Southern	0.2003	293	-10.97	223	0.2970	251
UMKC	0.1904	294	-14.82	295	0.2087	299
Cal Poly	0.1897	295	-16.27	313	0.1754	319
McNeese St.	0.1844	296	-13.02	265	0.2011	304
Columbia	0.1801	297	-13.89	280	0.3822	211
The Citadel	0.1801	298	-14.94	297	0.1860	314
Lafayette	0.1713	299	-16.94	320	0.2436	277
Siena	0.1701	300	-18.35	329	0.2210	293
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	0.1690	301	-13.27	268	0.1965	308
UC Riverside	0.1633	302	-15.97	306	0.2389	280
North Carolina Central	0.1624	303	-12.47	256	0.2035	302
Arkansas Pine Bluff	0.1617	304	-15.51	302	0.1321	330
Kennesaw St.	0.1610	305	-14.80	294	0.2018	303
Samford	0.1607	306	-15.35	301	0.2400	278
Southern	0.1600	307	-12.39	254	0.1612	325
Binghamton	0.1589	308	-16.15	308	0.2252	291
Loyola MD	0.1572	309	-17.44	322	0.1911	312
Chattanooga	0.1544	310	-17.67	323	0.2156	296
Dartmouth	0.1538	311	-15.55	304	0.2365	281
Morehead St.	0.1537	312	-15.04	300	0.2340	284
Tennessee Martin	0.1536	313	-16.36	314	0.2169	294
New Hampshire	0.1508	314	-16.18	310	0.2832	262
VMI	0.1441	315	-15.78	305	0.1197	333
Stetson	0.1431	316	-16.40	315	0.1810	318
Presbyterian	0.1424	317	-16.24	312	0.1255	331
Norfolk St.	0.1392	318	-14.32	285	0.1889	313
Sacred Heart	0.1355	319	-17.03	321	0.2000	305
Youngstown St.	0.1325	320	-18.40	332	0.1685	323
Charlotte	0.1320	321	-17.73	324	0.1858	315
Detroit	0.1280	322	-18.32	328	0.1845	316
Little Rock	0.1260	323	-18.58	333	0.2303	286
Sacramento St.	0.1207	324	-19.18	337	0.2166	295
Pepperdine	0.1181	325	-18.11	325	0.2693	269
Marist	0.1177	326	-20.20	342	0.1693	322
Morgan St.	0.1133	327	-14.97	298	0.1585	326
Rice	0.1122	328	-18.19	326	0.1994	306
San Jose St.	0.1084	329	-18.28	327	0.2078	300
Jackson St.	0.1081	330	-16.11	307	0.1038	337
South Carolina St.	0.0918	331	-16.17	309	0.0842	343
American	0.0914	332	-19.14	336	0.1492	327
Cal St. Northridge	0.0866	333	-18.87	334	0.1415	328
Howard	0.0819	334	-18.90	335	0.1195	334
Maine	0.0803	335	-20.31	343	0.1254	332
Florida A&M	0.0779	336	-18.36	330	0.0845	342
Alabama St.	0.0774	337	-18.39	331	0.0929	340
Longwood	0.0736	338	-21.32	347	0.0827	344
Northern Arizona	0.0712	339	-20.82	345	0.1154	335
Alcorn St.	0.0702	340	-16.49	316	0.1038	338
USC Upstate	0.0520	341	-19.84	340	0.1133	336
Maryland Eastern Shore	0.0473	342	-19.44	339	0.0432	349
Incarnate Word	0.0463	343	-16.74	318	0.0998	339
Houston Baptist	0.0461	344	-19.22	338	0.1366	329
Coppin St.	0.0449	345	-21.19	346	0.0611	347
Bryant	0.0445	346	-23.05	349	0.0925	341
Mississippi Valley St.	0.0312	347	-22.81	348	0.0578	348
Chicago St.	0.0260	348	-20.16	341	0.0640	346
Alabama A&M	0.0228	349	-23.39	350	0.0370	351
Delaware St.	0.0147	350	-24.32	351	0.0426	350
Northwestern St.	0.0023	351	-20.45	344	0.0676	345

 

2007 WAB: I am in Awe

Vanderbilt got a six seed. Clemson and Florida State whiffed. Stanford got the hookup. The best part? The committee can do whatever it wants!

Rank	School	WAB	Pythag	Seed
1	Ohio St.	9.23	0.9603	1
2	Wisconsin	7.62	0.9494	2
3	North Carolina	7.50	0.9712	1
4	Kansas	6.89	0.9623	1
5	Florida	6.74	0.9583	1
6	Georgetown	6.33	0.9540	2
7	Southern Illinois	6.22	0.9132	4
8	UCLA	6.20	0.9436	2
9	Pittsburgh	6.11	0.9217	3
10	Memphis	5.00	0.9426	2
11	Oregon	3.70	0.8928	3
12	Texas A&M	3.65	0.9524	3
13	Maryland	3.55	0.9271	4
14	Duke	3.26	0.9370	6
15	Texas	3.23	0.8958	4
16	Washington St.	3.17	0.8830	3
17	Nevada Las Vegas	3.09	0.8503	7
18	Nevada	3.04	0.8460	7
19	Villanova	2.81	0.9099	9
20	Notre Dame	2.81	0.9001	6
21	Kentucky	2.69	0.9084	8
22	Winthrop	2.74	0.8318	11
23	Tennessee	2.54	0.8580	5
24	Arizona	2.50	0.8824	8
25	Marquette	2.47	0.8800	8
26	Indiana	2.06	0.9086	7
27	Butler	1.79	0.9046	5
28	Clemson	1.68	0.8881	NULL
29	Creighton	1.59	0.8913	10
30	Michigan St.	1.59	0.9133	9
31	Louisville	1.58	0.8982	6
32	Boston College	1.56	0.8430	7
33	Davidson	1.59	0.8158	13
34	Illinois	1.43	0.8865	12
35	Georgia Tech	1.33	0.8936	10
36	Florida St.	1.01	0.8656	NULL
37	Purdue	0.92	0.8805	9
38	Missouri St.	0.85	0.8835	NULL
39	Brigham Young	0.81	0.8424	8
40	Virginia Tech	0.66	0.8791	5
41	Southern California	0.64	0.8342	5
42	West Virginia	0.60	0.8623	NULL
43	Virginia Commonwealth	0.59	0.8206	11
44	Virginia	0.56	0.8251	4
45	Michigan	0.22	0.8269	NULL
46	Alabama	0.16	0.7913	NULL
47	Syracuse	0.14	0.8699	NULL
48	Kansas St.	0.10	0.8408	NULL
49	Vanderbilt	-0.03	0.8110	6
50	Air Force	-0.06	0.8888	NULL
51	Arkansas	-0.12	0.8712	12
52	Texas Tech	-0.12	0.7792	10
53	Drexel	-0.13	0.7955	NULL
54	Gonzaga	-0.16	0.8432	10
55	Oklahoma St.	-0.18	0.7830	NULL
56	Appalachian St.	-0.14	0.7611	NULL
57	Bradley	-0.22	0.8294	NULL
58	Old Dominion	-0.38	0.8162	12
59	Xavier	-0.41	0.8754	9
60	Mississippi	-0.72	0.8052	NULL
61	Massachusetts	-0.69	0.8108	NULL
62	Georgia	-0.95	0.8390	NULL
63	Stanford	-1.05	0.7984	11
64	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-0.98	0.6911	15
65	Akron	-1.17	0.8510	NULL
66	DePaul	-1.40	0.8301	NULL
67	George Washington	-1.39	0.7271	11
68	Mississippi St.	-1.47	0.8741	NULL
69	New Mexico St.	-1.59	0.6960	13
70	North Carolina St.	-1.92	0.7356	NULL
71	Long Beach St.	-1.86	0.6629	12
72	Washington	-1.99	0.7764	NULL
73	Vermont	-1.99	0.6097	NULL
74	Northern Iowa	-2.13	0.7850	NULL
75	San Diego St.	-2.18	0.7414	NULL
76	Wright St.	-2.20	0.6899	14
77	Missouri	-2.30	0.8083	NULL
78	Providence	-2.38	0.7689	NULL
79	Holy Cross	-2.36	0.7079	13
80	Hofstra	-2.44	0.6756	NULL
81	Iowa	-2.46	0.7705	NULL
82	Santa Clara	-2.53	0.7571	NULL
83	Fresno St.	-2.89	0.6762	NULL
84	Kent St.	-2.90	0.7566	NULL
85	Wichita St.	-2.98	0.7985	NULL
86	Pennsylvania	-2.97	0.7081	14
87	Oral Roberts	-3.14	0.7336	14
88	Bucknell	-3.27	0.6868	NULL
89	Utah St.	-3.31	0.7039	NULL
90	Louisiana St.	-3.40	0.8303	NULL
91	Wake Forest	-3.46	0.6669	NULL
92	Loyola Chicago	-3.58	0.7142	NULL
93	St. Louis	-3.63	0.6283	NULL
94	Connecticut	-3.70	0.8367	NULL
95	Auburn	-3.80	0.7097	NULL
96	Utah Valley St.	-3.71	0.6745	NULL
97	Nebraska	-3.86	0.7367	NULL
98	Toledo	-3.91	0.6577	NULL
99	Dayton	-3.93	0.6195	NULL
100	Marist	-3.97	0.6033	NULL
101	Oklahoma	-4.04	0.8337	NULL
102	Central Florida	-4.23	0.6447	NULL
103	South Carolina	-4.41	0.5886	NULL
104	Albany	-4.38	0.5921	13
105	California	-4.69	0.7335	NULL
106	College of Charleston	-4.67	0.6179	NULL
107	Drake	-4.81	0.6456	NULL
108	North Dakota St.	-4.73	0.6651	NULL
109	Tulsa	-4.86	0.6492	NULL
110	Belmont	-4.84	0.6262	15
111	St. John’s	-5.11	0.5967	NULL
112	Fordham	-5.11	0.5726	NULL
113	Sam Houston St.	-5.09	0.5787	NULL
114	East Tennessee St.	-5.13	0.4372	NULL
115	Miami OH	-5.27	0.7152	14
116	Southern Mississippi	-5.22	0.6005	NULL
117	Houston	-5.32	0.6914	NULL
118	Iowa St.	-5.35	0.5860	NULL
119	High Point	-5.30	0.4399	NULL
120	Colorado St.	-5.40	0.6433	NULL
121	Western Kentucky	-5.39	0.6277	NULL
122	Baylor	-5.47	0.6633	NULL
123	Hawaii	-5.53	0.7596	NULL
124	Delaware St.	-5.57	0.4033	NULL
125	Oakland	-5.80	0.5943	NULL
126	Rhode Island	-5.85	0.5716	NULL
127	Cal St. Fullerton	-5.92	0.4349	NULL
128	Illinois St.	-6.07	0.7216	NULL
129	Ohio	-6.12	0.6074	NULL
130	Saint Joseph’s	-6.23	0.6912	NULL
131	Austin Peay	-6.44	0.4743	NULL
132	Wyoming	-6.56	0.5800	NULL
133	South Alabama	-6.58	0.5242	NULL
134	North Texas	-6.60	0.4654	15
135	Indiana St.	-6.72	0.5571	NULL
136	Evansville	-6.76	0.7148	NULL
137	George Mason	-6.74	0.7126	NULL
138	Tulane	-6.74	0.5501	NULL
139	Eastern Kentucky	-6.83	0.4230	16
140	Weber St.	-6.87	0.4364	15
141	Northern Arizona	-6.88	0.4755	NULL
142	Seton Hall	-6.92	0.6636	NULL
143	Boise St.	-6.93	0.6467	NULL
144	UC Santa Barbara	-6.98	0.5224	NULL
145	Cal Poly	-7.24	0.5118	NULL
146	Niagara	-7.37	0.4293	16
147	UAB	-7.51	0.6342	NULL
148	Miami FL	-7.58	0.6412	NULL
149	Northwestern	-7.59	0.5653	NULL
150	Siena	-7.56	0.5316	NULL
151	Florida A&M	-7.60	0.2664	16
152	Central Connecticut	-7.63	0.4449	16
153	St. Mary’s	-7.77	0.6722	NULL
154	San Diego	-7.79	0.4886	NULL
155	Western Michigan	-7.86	0.6259	NULL
156	Wisconsin Green Bay	-7.83	0.5484	NULL
157	Jackson St.	-8.09	0.2643	16
158	Tennessee Tech	-8.20	0.4500	NULL
159	Valparaiso	-8.24	0.5417	NULL
160	Columbia	-8.24	0.3688	NULL
161	Penn St.	-8.34	0.5364	NULL
162	Charlotte	-8.36	0.5093	NULL
163	Cincinnati	-8.39	0.5485	NULL
164	Robert Morris	-8.32	0.3615	NULL
165	Portland St.	-8.40	0.4424	NULL
166	Lipscomb	-8.52	0.4192	NULL
167	South Florida	-8.62	0.5202	NULL
168	Cornell	-8.56	0.4274	NULL
169	NC Greensboro	-8.60	0.4679	NULL
170	New Mexico	-8.71	0.5521	NULL
171	Yale	-8.67	0.4478	NULL
172	Eastern Washington	-8.71	0.4355	NULL
173	American	-8.94	0.4600	NULL
174	Loyola MD	-9.07	0.4173	NULL
175	William & Mary	-9.15	0.4028	NULL
176	Youngstown St.	-9.17	0.4303	NULL
177	Texas Christian	-9.23	0.4343	NULL
178	Northwestern St.	-9.20	0.4632	NULL
179	Rice	-9.31	0.4454	NULL
180	Louisiana Monroe	-9.28	0.2697	NULL
181	Jacksonville	-9.28	0.2618	NULL
182	Sacred Heart	-9.33	0.4322	NULL
183	Towson	-9.43	0.5262	NULL
184	Southern Utah	-9.48	0.4340	NULL
185	Rutgers	-9.59	0.3589	NULL
186	IUPUI	-9.55	0.4353	NULL
187	Furman	-9.68	0.4034	NULL
188	Florida Atlantic	-9.73	0.3168	NULL
189	Illinois Chicago	-9.84	0.5210	NULL
190	Idaho St.	-9.91	0.4943	NULL
191	Murray St.	-9.89	0.3250	NULL
192	Utah	-9.99	0.5331	NULL
193	Southeastern Louisiana	-10.06	0.3103	NULL
194	Northeastern	-10.15	0.4290	NULL
195	Temple	-10.17	0.5891	NULL
196	Southern Methodist	-10.16	0.4560	NULL
197	Georgia Southern	-10.20	0.3859	NULL
198	San Francisco	-10.29	0.4960	NULL
199	Mississippi Valley St.	-10.29	0.2418	NULL
200	Stephen F. Austin	-10.33	0.3916	NULL
201	Minnesota	-10.42	0.4822	NULL
202	Loyola Marymount	-10.44	0.3435	NULL
203	Arkansas St.	-10.44	0.3654	NULL
204	Oregon St.	-10.62	0.4253	NULL
205	Rider	-10.56	0.2738	NULL
206	Colorado	-10.64	0.3448	NULL
207	Montana	-10.65	0.4155	NULL
208	Detroit	-10.74	0.5178	NULL
209	Samford	-10.83	0.3300	NULL
210	Texas El Paso	-10.92	0.5761	NULL
211	Marshall	-11.13	0.4176	NULL
212	Navy	-11.09	0.2338	NULL
213	Army	-11.13	0.2396	NULL
214	Coastal Carolina	-11.12	0.2974	NULL
215	Grambling	-11.17	0.1207	NULL
216	Central Michigan	-11.31	0.3385	NULL
217	Chicago St.	-11.36	0.3822	NULL
218	Texas Pan American	-11.32	0.2459	NULL
219	Lamar	-11.37	0.3431	NULL
220	UC Irvine	-11.47	0.4581	NULL
221	IUPU Fort Wayne	-11.47	0.2626	NULL
222	Arizona St.	-11.62	0.5352	NULL
223	Louisiana Tech	-11.72	0.3940	NULL
224	Harvard	-11.69	0.2636	NULL
225	Middle Tennessee	-11.72	0.3752	NULL
226	McNeese St.	-11.72	0.2167	NULL
227	Chattanooga	-11.77	0.3821	NULL
228	Liberty	-11.89	0.3321	NULL
229	Cal St. Northridge	-11.94	0.2965	NULL
230	Hampton	-12.01	0.2538	NULL
231	Quinnipiac	-12.03	0.2611	NULL
232	Fairleigh Dickinson	-12.27	0.2580	NULL
233	Arkansas Little Rock	-12.31	0.2538	NULL
234	Georgia St.	-12.38	0.2822	NULL
235	Buffalo	-12.44	0.3880	NULL
236	Bowling Green	-12.42	0.3325	NULL
237	New Orleans	-12.41	0.3146	NULL
238	Duquesne	-12.44	0.3353	NULL
239	Savannah St.	-12.45	0.0829	NULL
240	Eastern Michigan	-12.52	0.3163	NULL
241	Troy	-12.58	0.3140	NULL
242	Coppin St.	-12.63	0.1459	NULL
243	Texas Arlington	-12.65	0.2513	NULL
244	Florida International	-12.66	0.1897	NULL
245	Pacific	-12.72	0.3654	NULL
246	Fairfield	-12.78	0.3597	NULL
247	Manhattan	-12.76	0.2430	NULL
248	Binghamton	-12.80	0.3242	NULL
249	Texas Southern	-12.80	0.0998	NULL
250	NC Asheville	-12.88	0.2629	NULL
251	Western Carolina	-12.96	0.2882	NULL
252	Brown	-13.05	0.3126	NULL
253	Wisconsin Milwaukee	-13.14	0.3545	NULL
254	Campbell	-13.08	0.2351	NULL
255	Hartford	-13.11	0.2864	NULL
256	Mercer	-13.12	0.1534	NULL
257	Princeton	-13.37	0.2240	NULL
258	Dartmouth	-13.50	0.1718	NULL
259	Monmouth	-13.51	0.2518	NULL
260	Cleveland St.	-13.62	0.3055	NULL
261	Boston University	-13.69	0.4040	NULL
262	South Carolina St.	-13.66	0.1904	NULL
263	North Carolina A&T	-13.76	0.1968	NULL
264	Maine	-13.87	0.2457	NULL
265	Sacramento St.	-13.91	0.1754	NULL
266	Kennesaw St.	-13.89	0.2451	NULL
267	Ball St.	-13.99	0.3582	NULL
268	Wofford	-13.99	0.2713	NULL
269	MD Baltimore County	-14.02	0.2398	NULL
270	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-14.15	0.1346	NULL
271	Missouri Kansas City	-14.20	0.3599	NULL
272	Lehigh	-14.20	0.2603	NULL
273	Colgate	-14.38	0.1846	NULL
274	Gardner Webb	-14.60	0.2020	NULL
275	Virginia Military Inst	-14.61	0.2987	NULL
276	Centenary	-14.67	0.2568	NULL
277	NC Wilmington	-14.74	0.3191	NULL
278	Norfolk St.	-14.72	0.1129	NULL
279	Canisius	-14.83	0.2673	NULL
280	Morgan St.	-14.85	0.1907	NULL
281	La Salle	-14.94	0.3045	NULL
282	Mount St. Mary’s	-15.07	0.2744	NULL
283	Nicholls St.	-15.21	0.2345	NULL
284	Tennessee St.	-15.21	0.2015	NULL
285	Richmond	-15.27	0.2168	NULL
286	Stetson	-15.25	0.1407	NULL
287	Morehead St.	-15.41	0.2023	NULL
288	Montana St.	-15.49	0.2246	NULL
289	Lafayette	-15.53	0.1440	NULL
290	Portland	-15.60	0.2167	NULL
291	Southeast Missouri St.	-15.61	0.1733	NULL
292	Wagner	-15.74	0.1926	NULL
293	Stony Brook	-15.90	0.2054	NULL
294	New Hampshire	-15.93	0.1844	NULL
295	Pepperdine	-16.02	0.3343	NULL
296	San Jose St.	-16.19	0.2962	NULL
297	Southern	-16.11	0.1327	NULL
298	Texas St.	-16.13	0.1435	NULL
299	Central Arkansas	-16.17	0.2107	NULL
300	The Citadel	-16.21	0.0929	NULL
301	Long Island	-16.24	0.1484	NULL
302	Alcorn St.	-16.23	0.0817	NULL
303	Alabama St.	-16.25	0.1124	NULL
304	Winston Salem St.	-16.38	0.0780	NULL
305	Louisiana Lafayette	-16.44	0.2276	NULL
306	Elon	-16.54	0.2113	NULL
307	St. Bonaventure	-16.54	0.1634	NULL
308	Eastern Illinois	-16.61	0.1448	NULL
309	Charleston Southern	-16.69	0.1042	NULL
310	James Madison	-16.75	0.1922	NULL
311	Alabama A&M	-16.94	0.0578	NULL
312	Longwood	-17.08	0.1055	NULL
313	Radford	-17.14	0.1750	NULL
314	Northern Illinois	-17.23	0.3107	NULL
315	St. Francis NY	-17.34	0.1981	NULL
316	Texas San Antonio	-17.43	0.1052	NULL
317	St. Francis PA	-17.61	0.1550	NULL
318	Bethune Cookman	-17.66	0.0473	NULL
319	Prairie View A&M	-17.74	0.0542	NULL
320	East Carolina	-18.07	0.1413	NULL
321	Jacksonville St.	-18.16	0.1739	NULL
322	Western Illinois	-18.82	0.1252	NULL
323	UC Riverside	-19.01	0.1438	NULL
324	UC Davis	-19.03	0.1170	NULL
325	Idaho	-19.11	0.1483	NULL
326	Tennessee Martin	-19.40	0.1288	NULL
327	Howard	-19.46	0.0831	NULL
328	South Dakota St.	-19.72	0.1153	NULL
329	Delaware	-19.88	0.1744	NULL
330	Northern Colorado	-20.08	0.1326	NULL
331	NJ Inst of Technology	-20.94	0.0494	NULL
332	St. Peter’s	-21.38	0.1152	NULL
333	Denver	-21.67	0.0838	NULL
334	North Florida	-22.43	0.0404	NULL
335	Maryland Eastern Shore	-22.85	0.0422	NULL
336	Iona	-23.09	0.0908	NULL

WAB 3/6: Go Orange

I’ll be updating the WAB tables daily this week, but if the Orange lose tonight, it will be I’ll be doing so with a broken heart.

St. Mary’s lost last night, but like Nebraska, their resume in the top 45. How the committee sees things is up to the committee. I’m just solving for how hard it is to accomplish each team’s record against the schedule they’ve faced.

But, all of that is unimportant compared to this: Go Orange!

Full tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School	Implied Pythag	Rank Implied Pythag	WAB Avg	Rank WAB	Pythag	Rank Pythag
Virginia	0.9869	1	9.52	1	0.9696	1
Xavier	0.9711	2	7.96	3	0.9182	13
Villanova	0.9685	3	8.03	2	0.9671	2
Michigan St.	0.9673	4	7.51	4	0.9536	6
Michigan	0.9548	5	6.58	7	0.9261	12
Duke	0.9537	6	6.58	6	0.9642	3
Purdue	0.9531	7	6.84	5	0.9560	5
Cincinnati	0.9526	8	4.82	11	0.9593	4
Gonzaga	0.9452	9	4.10	14	0.9330	8
Kansas	0.9440	10	5.96	8	0.9313	9
Tennessee	0.9391	11	5.42	9	0.9102	15
North Carolina	0.9388	12	5.26	10	0.9354	7
Auburn	0.9332	13	4.45	12	0.9075	16
Wichita St.	0.9266	14	3.48	18	0.9159	14
Texas Tech	0.9266	15	4.14	13	0.9267	11
Clemson	0.9257	16	3.81	16	0.8991	18
Ohio St.	0.9226	17	3.87	15	0.9074	17
West Virginia	0.9165	18	3.50	17	0.9290	10
Miami FL	0.9122	19	2.93	19	0.8684	35
Houston	0.9078	20	2.24	23	0.8925	21
Arizona	0.8990	21	2.35	22	0.8869	24
Nevada	0.8988	22	2.13	24	0.8795	26
Kentucky	0.8983	23	2.53	20	0.8907	22
TCU	0.8981	24	2.45	21	0.8963	19
Virginia Tech	0.8944	25	1.91	27	0.8732	31
Rhode Island	0.8931	26	1.58	31	0.8521	40
Kansas St.	0.8924	27	1.98	26	0.8442	44
St. Bonaventure	0.8919	28	1.69	30	0.7997	57
Texas A&M	0.8894	29	1.99	25	0.8701	33
Creighton	0.8891	30	1.74	28	0.8904	23
Arkansas	0.8853	31	1.74	29	0.8598	38
Seton Hall	0.8845	32	1.56	33	0.8772	28
North Carolina St.	0.8838	33	1.44	35	0.8380	45
Loyola Chicago	0.8823	34	1.21	39	0.8161	53
Florida	0.8817	35	1.57	32	0.8951	20
Florida St.	0.8811	36	1.26	37	0.8657	36
Middle Tennessee	0.8811	37	1.21	38	0.8279	50
Nebraska	0.8808	38	1.37	36	0.7975	59
Oklahoma	0.8806	39	1.46	34	0.8533	39
Saint Mary’s	0.8789	40	1.00	40	0.8686	34
Texas	0.8684	41	0.86	41	0.8616	37
New Mexico St.	0.8676	42	0.57	42	0.7888	60
Providence	0.8624	43	0.54	43	0.7763	67
Butler	0.8590	44	0.41	45	0.8850	25
Missouri	0.8582	45	0.42	44	0.8484	42
Marquette	0.8539	46	0.18	46	0.8305	47
Louisville	0.8527	47	0.11	47	0.8744	29
Baylor	0.8519	48	0.08	48	0.8732	30
Boise St.	0.8482	49	0.02	49	0.8146	55
UCLA	0.8468	50	-0.07	52	0.8304	48
South Dakota St.	0.8460	51	-0.02	50	0.7276	83
Oklahoma St.	0.8456	52	-0.17	53	0.8160	54
Louisiana Lafayette	0.8444	53	-0.05	51	0.7767	66
Mississippi St.	0.8409	54	-0.29	55	0.7790	65
Vermont	0.8397	55	-0.21	54	0.7696	74
Syracuse	0.8357	56	-0.52	56	0.8301	49
USC	0.8304	57	-0.71	58	0.8379	46
Utah	0.8264	58	-0.81	59	0.7829	64
Penn St.	0.8261	59	-0.92	61	0.8727	32
Arizona St.	0.8257	60	-0.85	60	0.8493	41
Murray St.	0.8236	61	-0.56	57	0.7725	70
Maryland	0.8197	62	-1.10	63	0.8479	43
Notre Dame	0.8195	63	-1.06	62	0.8783	27
Alabama	0.8047	64	-1.94	70	0.8240	51
LSU	0.8014	65	-1.78	68	0.7871	61
Old Dominion	0.8002	66	-1.26	64	0.7856	62
Georgia	0.7984	67	-2.00	71	0.7744	68
BYU	0.7942	68	-1.70	66	0.7734	69
Washington	0.7876	69	-2.11	72	0.6731	103
Western Kentucky	0.7873	70	-1.77	67	0.7613	76
UNC Greensboro	0.7865	71	-1.43	65	0.7108	90
Boston College	0.7802	72	-2.25	75	0.7513	80
Oregon	0.7696	73	-2.62	78	0.7990	58
Temple	0.7692	74	-2.84	79	0.7268	84
Buffalo	0.7674	75	-2.14	73	0.7340	82
South Dakota	0.7584	76	-1.83	69	0.7700	73
St. John’s	0.7554	77	-3.41	88	0.7713	71
South Carolina	0.7542	78	-3.41	89	0.7548	78
Indiana	0.7540	79	-3.14	84	0.7702	72
College of Charleston	0.7462	80	-2.25	74	0.6185	117
Montana	0.7427	81	-2.33	76	0.6884	100
San Diego St.	0.7394	82	-2.99	80	0.8027	56
UCF	0.7385	83	-3.21	86	0.6956	95
Northeastern	0.7354	84	-3.18	85	0.6920	97
Stanford	0.7321	85	-3.97	101	0.7151	88
Wisconsin	0.7310	86	-4.19	107	0.7843	63
Wyoming	0.7279	87	-3.70	96	0.6004	125
Belmont	0.7259	88	-3.13	83	0.7239	87
East Tennessee St.	0.7248	89	-3.07	81	0.6969	94
Bucknell	0.7247	90	-3.09	82	0.6917	99
Tulsa	0.7207	91	-3.41	90	0.6694	106
Iowa St.	0.7174	92	-4.19	106	0.6975	93
Fresno St.	0.7102	93	-3.69	95	0.7535	79
Davidson	0.7062	94	-3.68	94	0.8234	52
Rider	0.7043	95	-3.55	92	0.5622	140
Northwestern	0.7028	96	-4.84	112	0.7562	77
Stephen F. Austin	0.6989	97	-2.41	77	0.6158	119
Memphis	0.6976	98	-4.16	105	0.5329	156
Colorado	0.6975	99	-4.76	111	0.6189	115
Georgetown	0.6959	100	-3.87	98	0.6919	98
Penn	0.6916	101	-3.53	91	0.6126	120
Marshall	0.6884	102	-3.86	97	0.5953	127
Wright St.	0.6817	103	-3.99	102	0.5663	137
UC Santa Barbara	0.6808	104	-3.57	93	0.5669	136
Lipscomb	0.6807	105	-3.24	87	0.4911	174
UC Davis	0.6804	106	-4.03	103	0.5641	138
Vanderbilt	0.6689	107	-5.97	126	0.7393	81
UNLV	0.6675	108	-5.04	113	0.6725	104
Minnesota	0.6661	109	-5.39	115	0.6786	102
Furman	0.6661	110	-3.96	100	0.7085	91
Illinois St.	0.6628	111	-6.52	143	0.5416	152
Utah Valley	0.6573	112	-3.89	99	0.7048	92
Southern Illinois	0.6562	113	-5.79	119	0.5502	147
Idaho	0.6515	114	-4.06	104	0.5858	129
Toledo	0.6497	115	-4.76	110	0.6283	113
Iowa	0.6422	116	-6.59	146	0.7240	86
Bradley	0.6410	117	-6.28	139	0.5785	132
Northern Kentucky	0.6333	118	-4.66	109	0.7127	89
Georgia Tech	0.6290	119	-6.01	127	0.6503	110
Connecticut	0.6258	120	-5.76	117	0.5259	160
Mississippi	0.6196	121	-6.95	150	0.6716	105
William & Mary	0.6126	122	-6.01	128	0.5160	164
Georgia St.	0.6120	123	-5.78	118	0.6402	111
Illinois	0.6112	124	-6.98	151	0.6946	96
New Mexico	0.6102	125	-6.43	140	0.6350	112
Hofstra	0.6072	126	-6.04	129	0.5382	153
San Diego	0.6046	127	-5.95	125	0.5872	128
Georgia Southern	0.6026	128	-6.18	134	0.5624	139
Wofford	0.6014	129	-5.90	124	0.5314	157
SMU	0.5993	130	-6.06	130	0.7630	75
VCU	0.5979	131	-6.83	148	0.5998	126
Ball St.	0.5947	132	-6.17	133	0.4992	170
UT Arlington	0.5939	133	-6.19	135	0.6015	124
Northern Colorado	0.5927	134	-6.07	131	0.5682	134
Wagner	0.5917	135	-4.40	108	0.4871	176
UMBC	0.5900	136	-5.09	114	0.4185	194
Harvard	0.5883	137	-6.45	142	0.5513	146
Canisius	0.5873	138	-6.54	144	0.5826	130
Oregon St.	0.5861	139	-7.04	153	0.6835	101
DePaul	0.5856	140	-6.83	149	0.6599	107
Iona	0.5850	141	-7.23	158	0.6092	122
Northern Iowa	0.5775	142	-7.73	163	0.6118	121
Albany	0.5773	143	-5.90	123	0.5562	144
Wake Forest	0.5752	144	-7.47	160	0.7253	85
UNC Asheville	0.5704	145	-6.10	132	0.4427	187
UAB	0.5664	146	-6.24	136	0.6596	108
Eastern Michigan	0.5664	147	-6.28	137	0.5251	161
San Francisco	0.5628	148	-7.15	155	0.5416	151
Portland St.	0.5620	149	-6.65	147	0.5214	162
Weber St.	0.5605	150	-5.88	121	0.5467	150
Radford	0.5598	151	-6.43	141	0.4716	181
Missouri St.	0.5588	152	-8.67	182	0.6233	114
Rutgers	0.5550	153	-7.22	157	0.6031	123
Saint Louis	0.5545	154	-7.86	166	0.5671	135
Drake	0.5535	155	-8.78	183	0.4951	171
Eastern Washington	0.5493	156	-7.25	159	0.5471	149
Southeastern Louisiana	0.5467	157	-5.82	120	0.3936	203
Cal St. Fullerton	0.5458	158	-6.28	138	0.4585	182
Saint Joseph’s	0.5436	159	-8.06	169	0.6187	116
Utah St.	0.5369	160	-8.07	171	0.5587	142
Evansville	0.5349	161	-8.41	178	0.5266	159
Jacksonville St.	0.5340	162	-6.98	152	0.5531	145
Dayton	0.5257	163	-8.92	186	0.5354	154
Niagara	0.5253	164	-8.10	172	0.4050	198
Nicholls St.	0.5244	165	-5.88	122	0.4396	188
Grand Canyon	0.5234	166	-5.49	116	0.6536	109
UTSA	0.5208	167	-7.17	156	0.4535	183
Yale	0.5090	168	-7.77	164	0.4896	175
Washington St.	0.4997	169	-9.50	193	0.4320	190
Tennessee Tech	0.4987	170	-8.16	173	0.3599	223
Florida Gulf Coast	0.4951	171	-6.57	145	0.6158	118
Austin Peay	0.4920	172	-7.86	167	0.4019	201
George Washington	0.4893	173	-9.25	191	0.4431	185
Oakland	0.4881	174	-8.24	175	0.5063	166
UC Irvine	0.4878	175	-8.90	184	0.5708	133
Towson	0.4859	176	-9.25	190	0.5598	141
George Mason	0.4851	177	-9.32	192	0.3875	208
Seattle	0.4817	178	-7.07	154	0.3902	205
Tulane	0.4812	179	-7.97	168	0.5055	168
Mercer	0.4805	180	-8.24	176	0.5810	131
Winthrop	0.4675	181	-7.58	161	0.5307	158
La Salle	0.4672	182	-10.34	213	0.5565	143
Valparaiso	0.4630	183	-10.36	215	0.5471	148
Hawaii	0.4578	184	-7.85	165	0.3858	209
Western Michigan	0.4578	185	-9.95	200	0.4428	186
Hartford	0.4569	186	-8.32	177	0.3478	226
Colgate	0.4548	187	-8.07	170	0.4320	189
Fort Wayne	0.4540	188	-8.59	180	0.5160	163
Navy	0.4485	189	-8.17	174	0.3711	218
Long Beach St.	0.4473	190	-9.77	197	0.3936	204
Miami OH	0.4421	191	-10.37	216	0.4147	196
Pacific	0.4415	192	-10.32	212	0.4759	180
Central Michigan	0.4378	193	-8.97	187	0.4918	173
Louisiana Tech	0.4338	194	-9.23	189	0.5342	155
Richmond	0.4292	195	-11.01	226	0.4770	179
Indiana St.	0.4276	196	-11.07	227	0.5158	165
Kent St.	0.4262	197	-10.54	219	0.3975	202
Fairfield	0.4194	198	-10.47	218	0.3896	206
Liberty	0.4102	199	-9.85	198	0.4998	169
Troy	0.4100	200	-10.24	207	0.5058	167
Sam Houston St.	0.4046	201	-8.67	181	0.3518	224
St. Francis PA	0.4044	202	-7.64	162	0.4049	199
Denver	0.4042	203	-9.91	199	0.3674	220
Bowling Green	0.4023	204	-11.24	229	0.3259	234
Louisiana Monroe	0.3940	205	-8.90	185	0.3416	230
Princeton	0.3910	206	-10.32	211	0.4851	177
North Texas	0.3878	207	-10.14	202	0.4180	195
North Dakota St.	0.3871	208	-10.57	220	0.4920	172
Illinois Chicago	0.3797	209	-10.29	209	0.4023	200
Lamar	0.3788	210	-9.01	188	0.4223	191
Duquesne	0.3780	211	-10.20	206	0.4472	184
Tennessee St.	0.3774	212	-9.59	195	0.3782	214
Ohio	0.3752	213	-11.47	232	0.4219	192
Lehigh	0.3746	214	-9.67	196	0.3635	222
Massachusetts	0.3720	215	-12.28	251	0.4202	193
Colorado St.	0.3703	216	-11.50	234	0.3495	225
Elon	0.3674	217	-12.06	247	0.3312	232
Akron	0.3672	218	-11.81	242	0.3045	245
Pittsburgh	0.3645	219	-10.58	221	0.3477	227
Southern Miss	0.3644	220	-10.39	217	0.3166	238
Appalachian St.	0.3632	221	-11.89	245	0.3891	207
UT Rio Grande Valley	0.3612	222	-10.35	214	0.2751	266
Air Force	0.3573	223	-11.73	240	0.2964	255
Cornell	0.3546	224	-10.24	208	0.2927	257
Robert Morris	0.3538	225	-11.89	244	0.3026	247
Manhattan	0.3525	226	-12.26	250	0.3812	212
Boston University	0.3511	227	-11.59	236	0.3194	236
Coastal Carolina	0.3488	228	-12.28	252	0.4139	197
Central Arkansas	0.3477	229	-10.19	205	0.3820	211
Monmouth	0.3359	230	-13.56	273	0.4837	178
Mount St. Mary’s	0.3356	231	-10.15	203	0.3181	237
Saint Peter’s	0.3354	232	-12.97	264	0.3790	213
Milwaukee	0.3324	233	-12.28	253	0.3754	216
Texas St.	0.3285	234	-12.69	262	0.3644	221
South Alabama	0.3277	235	-11.88	243	0.3731	217
Western Carolina	0.3261	236	-11.68	238	0.1995	305
Idaho St.	0.3256	237	-10.71	223	0.3077	244
Stony Brook	0.3231	238	-12.25	249	0.3764	215
Delaware	0.3227	239	-13.71	278	0.2979	252
Drexel	0.3213	240	-14.43	288	0.3011	248
Cal St. Bakersfield	0.3103	241	-10.75	224	0.3152	239
Northern Illinois	0.3055	242	-13.58	274	0.3000	249
Grambling St.	0.3035	243	-10.29	210	0.1851	316
North Florida	0.3020	244	-11.26	230	0.2276	289
New Orleans	0.3005	245	-10.07	201	0.2808	262
Loyola Marymount	0.2977	246	-12.36	255	0.3339	231
North Dakota	0.2924	247	-12.58	260	0.2829	261
LIU Brooklyn	0.2868	248	-13.33	268	0.2800	263
Campbell	0.2862	249	-11.51	235	0.3686	219
Gardner Webb	0.2845	250	-11.97	246	0.2841	259
Southeast Missouri St.	0.2831	251	-12.55	258	0.2704	268
FIU	0.2829	252	-12.81	263	0.2981	251
North Carolina A&T	0.2818	253	-9.52	194	0.1908	311
Savannah St.	0.2749	254	-8.44	179	0.1713	321
UNC Wilmington	0.2747	255	-14.87	296	0.3202	235
Montana St.	0.2731	256	-13.50	272	0.2529	274
Abilene Christian	0.2700	257	-11.66	237	0.2710	267
California	0.2688	258	-13.73	279	0.3277	233
Southern Utah	0.2682	259	-12.21	248	0.2187	293
Oral Roberts	0.2679	260	-13.48	270	0.3036	246
Quinnipiac	0.2673	261	-16.15	313	0.2390	280
Charleston Southern	0.2668	262	-11.47	231	0.3103	240
Florida Atlantic	0.2654	263	-12.56	259	0.3086	243
Central Connecticut	0.2649	264	-13.84	281	0.1927	310
Holy Cross	0.2617	265	-14.98	299	0.2457	276
Brown	0.2592	266	-11.74	241	0.2793	264
Army	0.2562	267	-13.60	275	0.3087	242
Eastern Illinois	0.2537	268	-13.68	277	0.2944	256
Fordham	0.2537	269	-14.22	285	0.2343	284
UTEP	0.2528	270	-13.64	276	0.3097	241
High Point	0.2469	271	-12.33	254	0.3427	229
Prairie View A&M	0.2458	272	-11.16	228	0.2526	275
Western Illinois	0.2446	273	-11.49	233	0.2231	291
Bethune Cookman	0.2438	274	-10.68	222	0.2116	298
Fairleigh Dickinson	0.2435	275	-13.15	266	0.2661	270
NJIT	0.2423	276	-11.69	239	0.2965	254
Arkansas St.	0.2407	277	-14.53	290	0.2773	265
South Florida	0.2346	278	-13.92	283	0.2349	283
Hampton	0.2339	279	-10.17	204	0.2986	250
James Madison	0.2323	280	-16.60	318	0.3455	228
Santa Clara	0.2290	281	-13.50	271	0.2589	272
East Carolina	0.2251	282	-12.63	261	0.2070	300
Cleveland St.	0.2216	283	-16.09	310	0.2150	296
St. Francis NY	0.2197	284	-14.46	289	0.1928	309
IUPUI	0.2187	285	-13.80	280	0.2337	285
UMass Lowell	0.2130	286	-14.19	284	0.2294	287
Portland	0.2094	287	-14.72	291	0.2607	271
Eastern Kentucky	0.2083	288	-14.72	292	0.2294	288
Nebraska Omaha	0.2083	289	-14.39	287	0.2558	273
Green Bay	0.2055	290	-14.77	295	0.2871	258
Jacksonville	0.2016	291	-13.48	269	0.1649	324
SIU Edwardsville	0.2011	292	-15.47	304	0.1738	320
Texas Southern	0.1937	293	-10.95	225	0.2967	253
UMKC	0.1905	294	-14.76	293	0.2090	299
Cal Poly	0.1895	295	-16.24	315	0.1762	319
McNeese St.	0.1842	296	-13.00	265	0.1994	307
Columbia	0.1803	297	-13.85	282	0.3822	210
The Citadel	0.1798	298	-14.90	297	0.1859	314
Lafayette	0.1713	299	-16.91	320	0.2425	277
Siena	0.1698	300	-18.33	332	0.2209	292
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	0.1691	301	-13.23	267	0.1964	308
UC Riverside	0.1635	302	-15.92	309	0.2400	279
Kennesaw St.	0.1611	303	-14.76	294	0.2018	303
Samford	0.1609	304	-15.30	303	0.2400	278
Binghamton	0.1584	305	-16.13	311	0.2244	290
Arkansas Pine Bluff	0.1580	306	-15.49	305	0.1336	330
Loyola MD	0.1571	307	-17.40	322	0.1901	312
North Carolina Central	0.1556	308	-12.46	257	0.2027	302
Chattanooga	0.1545	309	-17.62	324	0.2156	295
Tennessee Martin	0.1538	310	-16.32	316	0.2167	294
Morehead St.	0.1537	311	-14.99	300	0.2361	281
Dartmouth	0.1537	312	-15.51	306	0.2354	282
Southern	0.1528	313	-12.37	256	0.1632	325
New Hampshire	0.1509	314	-16.15	312	0.2831	260
VMI	0.1443	315	-15.74	308	0.1197	335
Stetson	0.1433	316	-16.36	317	0.1801	318
Presbyterian	0.1423	317	-16.20	314	0.1261	331
Norfolk St.	0.1391	318	-14.29	286	0.1888	313
Sacred Heart	0.1354	319	-16.99	321	0.2007	304
Youngstown St.	0.1332	320	-18.34	334	0.1694	322
Charlotte	0.1321	321	-17.69	325	0.1858	315
Detroit	0.1284	322	-18.27	331	0.1844	317
Little Rock	0.1259	323	-18.52	335	0.2303	286
Sacramento St.	0.1250	324	-18.27	330	0.2123	297
Pepperdine	0.1178	325	-18.07	327	0.2692	269
Marist	0.1175	326	-20.17	343	0.1692	323
Jackson St.	0.1136	327	-15.14	301	0.1023	338
Rice	0.1125	328	-18.14	328	0.1994	306
San Jose St.	0.1086	329	-18.23	329	0.2069	301
Morgan St.	0.1035	330	-14.97	298	0.1588	326
South Carolina St.	0.0995	331	-15.17	302	0.0827	343
American	0.0917	332	-19.09	337	0.1501	327
Howard	0.0904	333	-17.88	326	0.1255	332
Cal St. Northridge	0.0870	334	-18.83	336	0.1408	328
Maine	0.0804	335	-20.29	345	0.1246	333
Alabama St.	0.0789	336	-17.49	323	0.0932	340
Longwood	0.0737	337	-21.27	347	0.0827	342
Northern Arizona	0.0726	338	-19.95	341	0.1199	334
Alcorn St.	0.0717	339	-15.56	307	0.1073	337
Florida A&M	0.0677	340	-18.34	333	0.0802	344
USC Upstate	0.0520	341	-19.79	340	0.1137	336
Maryland Eastern Shore	0.0474	342	-19.40	339	0.0432	349
Coppin St.	0.0468	343	-20.20	344	0.0632	347
Incarnate Word	0.0464	344	-16.72	319	0.1003	339
Houston Baptist	0.0461	345	-19.18	338	0.1366	329
Bryant	0.0445	346	-22.99	349	0.0931	341
Mississippi Valley St.	0.0324	347	-21.81	348	0.0565	348
Chicago St.	0.0260	348	-20.10	342	0.0635	346
Alabama A&M	0.0228	349	-23.35	350	0.0373	351
Delaware St.	0.0146	350	-24.30	351	0.0425	350
Northwestern St.	0.0023	351	-20.41	346	0.0676	345

WAB 3/5: Michigan and Cincinnati are rising

Michigan’s resume got another huge boost yesterday. So did Cincinnati. As of right now I suspect both belong on the 2-line, but we’ll see if the committee feels the same way.

In other news, Loyola Chicago’s resume is more impressive than I realized. Kudos to them for what they’ve accomplished so far.

Full table available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School	Implied Pythag	Rank Implied Pythag	WAB Avg	Rank WAB	Pythag	Rank Pythag
Virginia	0.9869	1	9.49	1	0.9694	1
Xavier	0.9711	2	7.95	3	0.9179	13
Villanova	0.9684	3	7.99	2	0.9671	2
Michigan St.	0.9673	4	7.49	4	0.9536	6
Michigan	0.9548	5	6.55	6	0.9261	12
Duke	0.9537	6	6.55	7	0.9642	3
Purdue	0.9531	7	6.83	5	0.9556	5
Cincinnati	0.9524	8	4.79	11	0.9591	4
Gonzaga	0.9444	9	3.93	14	0.9299	9
Kansas	0.9440	10	5.94	8	0.9320	8
Tennessee	0.9392	11	5.41	9	0.9115	15
North Carolina	0.9388	12	5.24	10	0.9358	7
Auburn	0.9334	13	4.44	12	0.9080	16
Texas Tech	0.9266	14	4.12	13	0.9267	11
Wichita St.	0.9264	15	3.45	18	0.9148	14
Clemson	0.9257	16	3.80	16	0.8991	18
Ohio St.	0.9223	17	3.83	15	0.9071	17
West Virginia	0.9166	18	3.48	17	0.9293	10
Miami FL	0.9120	19	2.90	19	0.8690	35
Houston	0.9076	20	2.22	23	0.8925	21
Saint Mary’s	0.8996	21	1.57	31	0.8789	28
Arizona	0.8990	22	2.32	22	0.8875	24
Nevada	0.8989	23	2.12	24	0.8796	26
Kentucky	0.8987	24	2.54	20	0.8920	22
TCU	0.8982	25	2.44	21	0.8958	19
Virginia Tech	0.8944	26	1.90	27	0.8725	33
Rhode Island	0.8930	27	1.56	32	0.8527	39
Kansas St.	0.8925	28	1.96	26	0.8450	44
St. Bonaventure	0.8918	29	1.66	30	0.7995	57
Texas A&M	0.8897	30	1.98	25	0.8708	34
Creighton	0.8888	31	1.71	29	0.8900	23
Arkansas	0.8856	32	1.73	28	0.8597	38
Seton Hall	0.8845	33	1.54	34	0.8772	29
North Carolina St.	0.8837	34	1.41	36	0.8375	46
Loyola Chicago	0.8825	35	1.20	40	0.8167	53
Florida	0.8817	36	1.55	33	0.8957	20
Middle Tennessee	0.8812	37	1.20	39	0.8279	49
Florida St.	0.8811	38	1.24	38	0.8650	36
Nebraska	0.8808	39	1.35	37	0.7974	59
Oklahoma	0.8806	40	1.44	35	0.8525	40
New Mexico St.	0.8684	41	0.58	42	0.7879	61
Texas	0.8683	42	0.83	41	0.8616	37
Providence	0.8623	43	0.52	43	0.7774	66
Butler	0.8588	44	0.38	45	0.8856	25
Missouri	0.8587	45	0.42	44	0.8475	43
Marquette	0.8538	46	0.16	46	0.8297	48
Louisville	0.8525	47	0.09	47	0.8750	30
Baylor	0.8519	48	0.06	48	0.8733	31
Boise St.	0.8485	49	0.01	49	0.8137	55
UCLA	0.8466	50	-0.10	51	0.8277	50
Oklahoma St.	0.8456	51	-0.19	53	0.8160	54
Louisiana Lafayette	0.8441	52	-0.07	50	0.7767	67
South Dakota St.	0.8421	53	-0.14	52	0.7163	87
Mississippi St.	0.8413	54	-0.29	55	0.7808	65
Vermont	0.8390	55	-0.24	54	0.7694	72
Syracuse	0.8356	56	-0.55	56	0.8302	47
USC	0.8301	57	-0.74	58	0.8379	45
Penn St.	0.8262	58	-0.94	61	0.8726	32
Arizona St.	0.8257	59	-0.87	60	0.8494	41
Utah	0.8255	60	-0.86	59	0.7828	64
Murray St.	0.8238	61	-0.57	57	0.7725	69
Maryland	0.8198	62	-1.12	63	0.8488	42
Notre Dame	0.8193	63	-1.09	62	0.8789	27
SMU	0.8173	64	-6.09	130	0.7630	74
Alabama	0.8047	65	-1.96	69	0.8233	52
LSU	0.8018	66	-1.78	67	0.7882	60
Old Dominion	0.8007	67	-1.26	64	0.7857	62
Georgia	0.7996	68	-1.98	70	0.7752	68
Western Kentucky	0.7879	69	-1.77	66	0.7608	75
Washington	0.7870	70	-2.15	71	0.6725	104
Boston College	0.7802	71	-2.27	74	0.7513	80
BYU	0.7726	72	-2.23	73	0.7598	76
UNC Greensboro	0.7695	73	-1.71	65	0.6945	96
Oregon	0.7691	74	-2.65	79	0.7990	58
Temple	0.7690	75	-2.86	80	0.7268	83
Buffalo	0.7674	76	-2.16	72	0.7327	82
South Carolina	0.7553	77	-3.40	88	0.7549	78
St. John’s	0.7550	78	-3.44	90	0.7723	70
Indiana	0.7539	79	-3.17	84	0.7702	71
South Dakota	0.7526	80	-1.92	68	0.7630	73
East Tennessee St.	0.7461	81	-2.42	78	0.7118	90
Montana	0.7425	82	-2.34	75	0.6884	99
San Diego St.	0.7396	83	-3.00	81	0.8017	56
UCF	0.7383	84	-3.24	85	0.6953	94
College of Charleston	0.7361	85	-2.39	76	0.6117	121
Stanford	0.7315	86	-4.00	101	0.7146	88
Northeastern	0.7309	87	-3.25	87	0.6749	103
Wisconsin	0.7307	88	-4.22	107	0.7854	63
Wyoming	0.7273	89	-3.73	96	0.6062	122
Belmont	0.7262	90	-3.14	83	0.7250	84
Bucknell	0.7239	91	-3.12	82	0.6915	97
Tulsa	0.7207	92	-3.43	89	0.6695	106
Iowa St.	0.7174	93	-4.21	106	0.6975	93
Fresno St.	0.7106	94	-3.70	95	0.7534	79
Davidson	0.7062	95	-3.69	94	0.8235	51
Rider	0.7046	96	-3.56	93	0.5658	137
Northwestern	0.7026	97	-4.87	112	0.7573	77
Stephen F. Austin	0.6996	98	-2.42	77	0.6145	118
Memphis	0.6974	99	-4.18	105	0.5314	156
Colorado	0.6967	100	-4.80	111	0.6165	116
Georgetown	0.6961	101	-3.88	98	0.6894	98
Penn	0.6916	102	-3.54	91	0.6125	119
Marshall	0.6889	103	-3.87	97	0.5954	127
UC Santa Barbara	0.6826	104	-3.56	92	0.5696	134
UC Davis	0.6814	105	-4.02	102	0.5652	138
Lipscomb	0.6811	106	-3.24	86	0.4927	174
Wright St.	0.6719	107	-4.10	104	0.5632	139
Vanderbilt	0.6696	108	-5.97	126	0.7412	81
UNLV	0.6674	109	-5.06	113	0.6751	102
Furman	0.6663	110	-3.97	100	0.7097	91
Minnesota	0.6661	111	-5.41	116	0.6760	101
Illinois St.	0.6625	112	-6.56	144	0.5407	152
Utah Valley	0.6566	113	-3.91	99	0.7045	92
Southern Illinois	0.6566	114	-5.80	120	0.5497	148
Idaho	0.6520	115	-4.07	103	0.5844	129
Toledo	0.6506	116	-4.75	110	0.6299	113
Iowa	0.6413	117	-6.63	146	0.7232	86
Bradley	0.6412	118	-6.29	139	0.5770	132
Northern Kentucky	0.6345	119	-4.64	109	0.7127	89
William & Mary	0.6300	120	-5.34	115	0.5238	162
Georgia Tech	0.6286	121	-6.04	128	0.6489	110
Connecticut	0.6255	122	-5.78	118	0.5260	161
Mississippi	0.6192	123	-6.97	151	0.6707	105
Georgia St.	0.6115	124	-5.80	119	0.6375	111
Illinois	0.6110	125	-7.01	153	0.6946	95
New Mexico	0.6106	126	-6.45	141	0.6364	112
Hofstra	0.6080	127	-6.06	129	0.5384	153
San Diego	0.6039	128	-5.99	127	0.5871	128
Georgia Southern	0.6025	129	-6.19	134	0.5625	140
Wofford	0.6000	130	-5.94	125	0.5298	158
VCU	0.5979	131	-6.84	148	0.6004	125
Ball St.	0.5957	132	-6.16	133	0.5001	170
Northern Colorado	0.5927	133	-6.09	131	0.5682	135
UT Arlington	0.5927	134	-6.23	135	0.6000	126
Wagner	0.5927	135	-4.40	108	0.4878	175
UMBC	0.5901	136	-5.10	114	0.4190	195
Harvard	0.5876	137	-6.47	142	0.5528	146
Canisius	0.5874	138	-6.55	143	0.5824	130
Oregon St.	0.5862	139	-7.06	154	0.6835	100
DePaul	0.5851	140	-6.85	149	0.6597	108
Northern Iowa	0.5777	141	-7.74	164	0.6119	120
Albany	0.5773	142	-5.91	123	0.5561	143
Iona	0.5741	143	-7.33	160	0.6036	123
Wake Forest	0.5738	144	-7.51	161	0.7240	85
UNC Asheville	0.5698	145	-6.11	132	0.4412	187
Eastern Michigan	0.5675	146	-6.27	138	0.5261	160
Monmouth	0.5668	147	-13.58	274	0.4867	177
UAB	0.5660	148	-6.26	137	0.6610	107
San Francisco	0.5658	149	-6.89	150	0.5524	147
Portland St.	0.5617	150	-6.67	147	0.5199	163
Radford	0.5602	151	-6.44	140	0.4708	181
Missouri St.	0.5594	152	-8.69	181	0.6244	114
Weber St.	0.5592	153	-5.91	124	0.5465	150
Saint Louis	0.5550	154	-7.87	167	0.5671	136
Rutgers	0.5546	155	-7.25	157	0.6025	124
Drake	0.5531	156	-8.82	183	0.4949	173
Eastern Washington	0.5497	157	-7.26	158	0.5447	151
Cal St. Fullerton	0.5470	158	-6.26	136	0.4626	182
Southeastern Louisiana	0.5469	159	-5.83	121	0.3923	205
Saint Joseph’s	0.5436	160	-8.08	170	0.6187	115
Utah St.	0.5359	161	-8.12	172	0.5552	144
Evansville	0.5348	162	-8.42	178	0.5266	159
Jacksonville St.	0.5341	163	-6.99	152	0.5540	145
Dayton	0.5263	164	-8.91	185	0.5380	154
Niagara	0.5252	165	-8.13	173	0.4025	200
Nicholls St.	0.5243	166	-5.90	122	0.4395	188
Grand Canyon	0.5233	167	-5.50	117	0.6523	109
Oakland	0.5227	168	-7.29	159	0.5153	166
UTSA	0.5208	169	-7.19	156	0.4535	184
Yale	0.5083	170	-7.80	165	0.4872	176
Washington St.	0.4997	171	-9.51	195	0.4302	191
Tennessee Tech	0.4994	172	-8.16	174	0.3614	223
Florida Gulf Coast	0.4953	173	-6.59	145	0.6158	117
Austin Peay	0.4918	174	-7.87	168	0.4018	201
Western Michigan	0.4908	175	-9.00	187	0.4541	183
George Washington	0.4895	176	-9.27	191	0.4421	186
UC Irvine	0.4889	177	-8.90	184	0.5720	133
Towson	0.4867	178	-9.27	192	0.5599	141
George Mason	0.4855	179	-9.33	193	0.3876	209
Seattle	0.4818	180	-7.07	155	0.3890	206
Tulane	0.4802	181	-8.00	169	0.5045	169
Mercer	0.4799	182	-8.26	176	0.5797	131
La Salle	0.4673	183	-10.35	215	0.5564	142
Winthrop	0.4669	184	-7.60	162	0.5307	157
Valparaiso	0.4640	185	-10.36	216	0.5468	149
Columbia	0.4586	186	-13.87	282	0.3814	212
Hawaii	0.4586	187	-7.85	166	0.3882	207
Hartford	0.4566	188	-8.33	177	0.3490	225
Fort Wayne	0.4555	189	-8.60	180	0.5162	165
Colgate	0.4546	190	-8.08	171	0.4333	190
Long Beach St.	0.4487	191	-9.77	200	0.3933	204
Navy	0.4487	192	-8.18	175	0.3712	218
Pacific	0.4428	193	-10.32	213	0.4740	180
Louisiana Tech	0.4337	194	-9.24	190	0.5356	155
Fairfield	0.4317	195	-9.71	199	0.3953	203
Miami OH	0.4300	196	-10.43	219	0.4043	198
Richmond	0.4292	197	-11.02	228	0.4755	179
Central Michigan	0.4285	198	-9.00	188	0.4980	172
Indiana St.	0.4281	199	-11.08	229	0.5189	164
Kent St.	0.4153	200	-10.61	222	0.4031	199
Bowling Green	0.4126	201	-10.50	220	0.3204	235
Denver	0.4106	202	-9.39	194	0.3766	216
Troy	0.4098	203	-10.24	209	0.5058	168
Liberty	0.4086	204	-9.88	201	0.4996	171
St. Francis PA	0.4049	205	-7.62	163	0.4066	197
Sam Houston St.	0.4045	206	-8.69	182	0.3513	224
North Dakota St.	0.3950	207	-9.99	202	0.5076	167
Louisiana Monroe	0.3931	208	-8.92	186	0.3416	230
Princeton	0.3897	209	-10.35	214	0.4801	178
Ohio	0.3876	210	-10.68	223	0.4346	189
North Texas	0.3873	211	-10.16	206	0.4195	194
Illinois Chicago	0.3796	212	-10.29	211	0.4017	202
Lamar	0.3793	213	-9.02	189	0.4224	192
Duquesne	0.3787	214	-10.20	207	0.4473	185
Tennessee St.	0.3779	215	-9.60	197	0.3796	213
Lehigh	0.3743	216	-9.68	198	0.3626	222
Massachusetts	0.3716	217	-12.31	253	0.4201	193
Colorado St.	0.3710	218	-11.52	234	0.3487	226
Elon	0.3678	219	-12.11	248	0.3310	233
Pittsburgh	0.3646	220	-10.60	221	0.3453	228
Southern Miss	0.3641	221	-10.41	218	0.3158	239
Appalachian St.	0.3627	222	-11.91	245	0.3876	208
UT Rio Grande Valley	0.3613	223	-10.36	217	0.2751	266
Air Force	0.3576	224	-11.74	241	0.2974	251
Robert Morris	0.3542	225	-11.90	243	0.3039	246
Cornell	0.3539	226	-10.28	210	0.2918	257
Manhattan	0.3524	227	-12.28	251	0.3825	210
New Hampshire	0.3509	228	-16.16	311	0.2831	261
Boston University	0.3505	229	-11.61	237	0.3185	237
Coastal Carolina	0.3478	230	-12.31	252	0.4129	196
Central Arkansas	0.3475	231	-10.20	208	0.3821	211
Milwaukee	0.3427	232	-11.48	232	0.3784	215
Akron	0.3372	233	-12.02	247	0.2940	255
Pepperdine	0.3361	234	-18.06	327	0.2694	269
Mount St. Mary’s	0.3360	235	-10.15	204	0.3193	236
Saint Peter’s	0.3354	236	-12.98	265	0.3794	214
Texas St.	0.3279	237	-12.71	262	0.3644	221
South Alabama	0.3273	238	-11.91	244	0.3702	219
Idaho St.	0.3256	239	-10.75	225	0.3068	243
Western Carolina	0.3254	240	-11.71	240	0.1984	308
Stony Brook	0.3235	241	-12.26	250	0.3750	217
Delaware	0.3222	242	-13.78	279	0.2987	249
Drexel	0.3218	243	-14.47	290	0.3024	247
Northern Illinois	0.3161	244	-12.76	263	0.2964	252
Cal St. Bakersfield	0.3103	245	-10.77	226	0.3165	238
Grambling St.	0.3033	246	-10.31	212	0.1842	317
North Florida	0.3026	247	-11.27	231	0.2267	289
New Orleans	0.3005	248	-10.08	203	0.2829	262
Loyola Marymount	0.2980	249	-12.39	256	0.3338	232
North Dakota	0.2932	250	-12.60	260	0.2841	259
Little Rock	0.2922	251	-18.54	336	0.2303	287
LIU Brooklyn	0.2868	252	-13.34	269	0.2812	263
Campbell	0.2862	253	-11.52	235	0.3672	220
Gardner Webb	0.2844	254	-11.98	246	0.2833	260
FIU	0.2829	255	-12.82	264	0.2958	253
Southeast Missouri St.	0.2828	256	-12.56	258	0.2711	267
UNC Wilmington	0.2799	257	-14.21	285	0.3369	231
North Carolina A&T	0.2774	258	-9.55	196	0.1996	306
Savannah St.	0.2764	259	-8.43	179	0.1722	321
Montana St.	0.2740	260	-13.51	272	0.2530	275
Oral Roberts	0.2699	261	-13.50	271	0.3056	245
Abilene Christian	0.2698	262	-11.68	238	0.2698	268
California	0.2689	263	-13.74	278	0.3279	234
Southern Utah	0.2682	264	-12.23	249	0.2201	293
Quinnipiac	0.2679	265	-16.16	312	0.2386	279
Charleston Southern	0.2663	266	-11.49	233	0.3089	241
Central Connecticut	0.2652	267	-13.85	281	0.1929	310
Florida Atlantic	0.2650	268	-12.58	259	0.3068	242
Holy Cross	0.2615	269	-15.00	299	0.2456	276
Brown	0.2588	270	-11.76	242	0.2784	264
Army	0.2563	271	-13.61	275	0.3060	244
Fordham	0.2539	272	-14.22	286	0.2343	283
Eastern Illinois	0.2537	273	-13.70	277	0.2931	256
UTEP	0.2531	274	-13.65	276	0.3107	240
High Point	0.2464	275	-12.35	254	0.3427	229
Prairie View A&M	0.2459	276	-11.16	230	0.2545	274
Western Illinois	0.2451	277	-11.52	236	0.2228	291
Bethune Cookman	0.2439	278	-10.68	224	0.2106	298
Fairleigh Dickinson	0.2437	279	-13.16	267	0.2654	270
NJIT	0.2425	280	-11.70	239	0.2977	250
Arkansas St.	0.2400	281	-14.56	291	0.2766	265
Hampton	0.2344	282	-10.16	205	0.3019	248
South Florida	0.2341	283	-13.94	283	0.2349	282
James Madison	0.2329	284	-16.63	318	0.3455	227
Santa Clara	0.2291	285	-13.51	273	0.2590	272
East Carolina	0.2257	286	-12.65	261	0.2070	301
St. Francis NY	0.2202	287	-14.46	289	0.1919	311
IUPUI	0.2187	288	-13.81	280	0.2318	285
UMass Lowell	0.2131	289	-14.20	284	0.2304	286
Portland	0.2098	290	-14.73	292	0.2604	271
Nebraska Omaha	0.2092	291	-14.43	288	0.2569	273
Eastern Kentucky	0.2085	292	-14.73	293	0.2285	288
Green Bay	0.2053	293	-14.77	295	0.2856	258
Jacksonville	0.2023	294	-13.49	270	0.1655	324
SIU Edwardsville	0.2012	295	-15.48	304	0.1746	320
Cleveland St.	0.1976	296	-16.25	315	0.2107	297
Texas Southern	0.1937	297	-10.97	227	0.2958	254
UMKC	0.1904	298	-14.79	296	0.2087	299
Cal Poly	0.1900	299	-16.24	314	0.1754	319
McNeese St.	0.1841	300	-13.01	266	0.2003	305
The Citadel	0.1796	301	-14.93	297	0.1859	315
Houston Baptist	0.1792	302	-19.19	339	0.1366	329
Lafayette	0.1712	303	-16.92	320	0.2435	277
Siena	0.1698	304	-18.35	333	0.2209	292
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	0.1690	305	-13.24	268	0.1973	309
UC Riverside	0.1639	306	-15.92	309	0.2400	278
Kennesaw St.	0.1612	307	-14.77	294	0.2018	302
Samford	0.1606	308	-15.32	303	0.2383	280
Binghamton	0.1584	309	-16.14	310	0.2249	290
Arkansas Pine Bluff	0.1579	310	-15.50	305	0.1343	330
Loyola MD	0.1571	311	-17.41	322	0.1911	312
North Carolina Central	0.1560	312	-12.46	257	0.2005	304
Chattanooga	0.1541	313	-17.63	324	0.2155	295
Morehead St.	0.1539	314	-15.00	300	0.2341	284
Tennessee Martin	0.1535	315	-16.34	316	0.2167	294
Dartmouth	0.1534	316	-15.53	306	0.2364	281
Southern	0.1526	317	-12.38	255	0.1632	325
VMI	0.1439	318	-15.76	308	0.1201	334
Stetson	0.1433	319	-16.36	317	0.1816	318
Presbyterian	0.1423	320	-16.23	313	0.1261	331
Sacred Heart	0.1357	321	-16.99	321	0.2007	303
Norfolk St.	0.1352	322	-14.30	287	0.1894	313
Youngstown St.	0.1329	323	-18.37	334	0.1688	322
Charlotte	0.1318	324	-17.71	325	0.1858	316
Detroit	0.1285	325	-18.28	331	0.1859	314
Sacramento St.	0.1252	326	-18.26	330	0.2140	296
Marist	0.1177	327	-20.17	343	0.1685	323
Jackson St.	0.1136	328	-15.14	301	0.1023	338
Rice	0.1123	329	-18.16	328	0.1986	307
San Jose St.	0.1088	330	-18.22	329	0.2082	300
Morgan St.	0.1034	331	-14.97	298	0.1582	326
South Carolina St.	0.0997	332	-15.19	302	0.0831	342
American	0.0917	333	-19.10	338	0.1501	327
Howard	0.0909	334	-17.89	326	0.1250	333
Northwestern St.	0.0892	335	-20.42	346	0.0676	345
Cal St. Northridge	0.0872	336	-18.83	337	0.1421	328
Maine	0.0804	337	-20.31	345	0.1253	332
Alabama St.	0.0789	338	-17.51	323	0.0932	340
Longwood	0.0735	339	-21.31	347	0.0823	343
Northern Arizona	0.0727	340	-19.97	341	0.1194	335
Alcorn St.	0.0717	341	-15.57	307	0.1062	337
Florida A&M	0.0674	342	-18.34	332	0.0801	344
Delaware St.	0.0551	343	-23.33	350	0.0408	350
USC Upstate	0.0520	344	-19.80	340	0.1137	336
Maryland Eastern Shore	0.0493	345	-18.47	335	0.0429	349
Coppin St.	0.0468	346	-20.20	344	0.0635	347
Incarnate Word	0.0464	347	-16.74	319	0.0997	339
Bryant	0.0445	348	-23.00	349	0.0926	341
Mississippi Valley St.	0.0323	349	-21.85	348	0.0567	348
Chicago St.	0.0260	350	-20.10	342	0.0640	346
Alabama A&M	0.0228	351	-23.37	351	0.0372	351

2001 WAB: Georgia earned it

I was inspired by Dave Wainwright’s question regarding Georgia. Back in 2001 Georgia went 16-14 and was an eight seed.

UGA got in with a record of 16-14 one year. I realize they had the #1 SOS in the country that year. Bama has a SOS of 5. It's not that far fetched, especially if they beat A&M. That would make them 6-6 in Quad 1 games. That's way better than Texas & Marquette.

— Dave Wainwright (@DaveWainwright_) March 5, 2018

Jerry was fully aware of this rare exception:

Nobody compares to that Georgia team. They played 27/30 games against RPI top 100 https://t.co/P0okNYsCGP

— Jerry Palm (@jppalmCBS) March 5, 2018

Indeed, their schedule was absolutely brutal. They earned their inclusion in the tournament, although I’m not sold on their seeding. St. Joseph’s got a #9 seed, which seems nuts in retrospect. Tennessee getting an #8 seed looks odd as well. Georgia’s inclusion over Cal Irvine caused some consternation out West:

http://articles.latimes.com/2001/mar/20/sports/sp-40254

Whole I agree Irvine belonged, Oklahoma State and Missouri are the teams I would have cut first, in favor of Southern Miss and Cal Irvine. After that, Alabama over #6 seed Notre Dame would have been fair. Yes, my third most deserving team left out would end up replacing a #6 seed. Things were odd back then.

In any event, Georgia was a rare exception. They merited inclusion, but that doesn’t mean another 16-14 team will get in any time soon.

(Note: The Pythags were generated with the Sagarin ratings)

Rank	School	WAB	Pythag	Seed
1	Duke	10.89	97.90%	1
2	Stanford	8.99	96.86%	1
3	North Carolina	7.64	93.46%	2
4	Illinois	6.96	95.06%	1
5	Michigan St.	6.78	95.94%	1
6	Mississippi	5.77	89.50%	3
7	Kentucky	5.57	92.89%	2
8	Arizona	5.52	95.88%	2
9	Florida	5.04	92.76%	3
10	Boston College	4.87	91.57%	3
11	Kansas	4.63	92.65%	4
12	Oklahoma	4.46	88.83%	4
13	UCLA	4.42	90.81%	4
14	Iowa St.	4.34	89.15%	2
15	Texas	4.20	87.36%	6
16	Tennessee	3.39	88.01%	8
17	Maryland	3.05	93.51%	3
18	Wisconsin	3.02	87.73%	6
19	St. Joseph’s PA	2.92	87.30%	9
20	Virginia	2.76	89.66%	5
21	Wake Forest	2.66	90.12%	7
22	Indiana	2.64	88.75%	4
23	Iowa	2.42	86.22%	7
24	Southern California	2.06	89.69%	6
25	Fresno St.	2.02	87.57%	9
26	Syracuse	1.99	82.73%	5
27	Penn St.	1.93	85.65%	7
28	Ohio St.	1.74	85.74%	5
29	Cincinnati	1.67	87.82%	5
30	Xavier OH	1.54	85.05%	11
31	California	1.54	86.64%	8
32	Georgia Tech	1.43	84.26%	8
33	Georgia St.	1.07	78.35%	11
34	Arkansas	0.88	85.21%	7
35	Southern Mississippi	0.82	82.35%	Null
36	Cal Irvine	0.75	67.88%	Null
37	Creighton	0.73	83.65%	10
38	Georgetown	0.66	84.93%	10
39	Charlotte	0.64	85.59%	9
40	Temple	0.64	88.48%	11
41	Alabama	0.58	84.82%	Null
42	Butler	0.55	85.60%	10
43	Georgia	0.54	82.81%	8
44	Gonzaga	0.42	83.61%	12
45	Hofstra	0.30	77.26%	13
46	Brigham Young	0.18	80.95%	12
47	Providence	0.18	83.99%	10
48	Notre Dame	0.00	84.54%	6
49	Utah St.	-0.02	81.81%	12
50	Texas El Paso	-0.04	77.02%	Null
51	Missouri	-0.36	80.87%	9
52	Richmond	-0.40	78.88%	Null
53	Southern Utah	-0.46	70.91%	14
54	Pepperdine	-0.52	79.60%	Null
55	Oklahoma St.	-0.74	79.09%	11
56	Villanova	-0.95	75.63%	Null
57	Western Kentucky	-1.01	76.99%	14
58	Wyoming	-1.13	76.38%	Null
59	Mississippi St.	-1.15	81.83%	Null
60	Dayton	-1.31	77.67%	Null
61	Tulsa	-1.40	83.90%	Null
62	Minnesota	-1.55	75.09%	Null
63	Connecticut	-1.63	77.28%	Null
64	St. Bonaventure	-1.80	74.99%	Null
65	Illinois St.	-1.95	70.14%	Null
66	Auburn	-2.10	77.88%	Null
67	Lipscomb	-2.20	43.25%	Null
68	South Carolina	-2.21	77.26%	Null
69	Central Michigan	-2.24	61.58%	Null
70	Purdue	-2.28	80.89%	Null
71	Kent St.	-2.31	76.58%	13
72	Detroit	-2.32	78.00%	Null
73	Valparaiso	-2.39	69.48%	Null
74	Utah	-2.44	76.97%	Null
75	College of Charleston	-2.49	64.54%	Null
76	Cal St. Northridge	-2.54	72.30%	13
77	Massachusetts	-2.65	76.26%	Null
78	Baylor	-2.71	70.14%	Null
79	West Virginia	-2.78	66.65%	Null
80	Toledo	-2.82	73.17%	Null
81	Holy Cross	-2.84	62.16%	15
82	Miami FL	-2.99	72.50%	Null
83	South Florida	-3.05	77.28%	Null
84	Santa Clara	-3.06	66.25%	Null
85	TCU	-3.09	77.02%	Null
86	New Mexico	-3.14	71.47%	Null
87	Pittsburgh	-3.14	71.97%	Null
88	Marshall	-3.16	68.39%	Null
89	Hawaii	-3.22	70.17%	12
90	Southern Methodist	-3.29	72.82%	Null
91	Ohio	-3.38	69.50%	Null
92	Hampton	-3.38	56.38%	15
93	Eastern Illinois	-3.39	63.98%	15
94	South Alabama	-3.46	64.07%	Null
95	Vanderbilt	-3.48	71.61%	Null
96	NC Wilmington	-3.49	65.26%	Null
97	North Carolina St.	-3.50	74.86%	Null
98	Memphis	-3.53	80.18%	Null
99	Tennessee Tech	-3.57	61.45%	Null
100	Seton Hall	-3.58	69.48%	Null
101	Oregon	-3.59	73.15%	Null
102	Indiana St.	-3.71	71.83%	13
103	Austin Peay	-3.93	63.03%	Null
104	McNeese St.	-4.10	59.52%	Null
105	St. John’s NY	-4.15	72.69%	Null
106	Bradley	-4.16	61.97%	Null
107	Gardner Webb	-4.18	31.05%	Null
108	Marquette	-4.28	68.86%	Null
109	St. Louis	-4.30	74.39%	Null
110	Delaware	-4.48	63.44%	Null
111	Wright St.	-4.66	58.92%	Null
112	George Mason	-4.67	68.71%	14
113	UAB	-4.75	69.97%	Null
114	Savannah St.	-4.81	3.72%	Null
115	UNLV	-4.82	64.01%	Null
116	Cleveland St.	-4.89	62.77%	Null
117	LSU	-4.91	69.56%	Null
118	Arizona St.	-4.91	72.85%	Null
119	Princeton	-4.95	51.66%	15
120	Wisconsin Milwaukee	-5.28	64.67%	Null
121	Colorado	-5.28	72.08%	Null
122	Iona	-5.30	59.75%	14
123	Alabama St.	-5.57	38.81%	16
124	Binghamton	-5.61	42.38%	Null
125	Murray St.	-5.68	58.12%	Null
126	Michigan	-5.74	56.55%	Null
127	Nebraska	-5.76	69.91%	Null
128	Eastern Washington	-5.77	53.43%	Null
129	Washington St.	-5.77	56.85%	Null
130	San Diego	-5.78	64.83%	Null
131	Ball St.	-5.82	58.59%	Null
132	Maine	-5.88	49.57%	Null
133	Monmouth NJ	-5.95	46.63%	16
134	Mississippi Valley St.	-5.95	34.99%	Null
135	Youngstown St.	-5.96	47.25%	Null
136	Siena	-5.96	56.62%	Null
137	Radford	-6.04	40.98%	Null
138	Colorado St.	-6.14	63.12%	Null
139	Canisius	-6.15	51.45%	Null
140	San Jose St.	-6.16	57.76%	Null
141	Arkansas Little Rock	-6.17	53.20%	Null
142	Pacific	-6.18	55.10%	Null
143	East Tennessee St.	-6.25	47.93%	Null
144	Louisiana Lafayette	-6.34	54.01%	Null
145	Troy St.	-6.34	49.71%	Null
146	Long Beach St.	-6.47	50.56%	Null
147	Stony Brook	-6.47	32.93%	Null
148	Louisiana Tech	-6.49	51.56%	Null
149	Southern Illinois	-6.75	58.19%	Null
150	Kansas St.	-6.76	60.11%	Null
151	Rutgers	-6.84	62.51%	Null
152	NC Greensboro	-6.88	44.29%	16
153	George Washington	-6.92	68.80%	Null
154	Jacksonville	-6.95	40.94%	Null
155	Clemson	-6.98	53.77%	Null
156	Navy	-7.00	51.93%	Null
157	Boise St.	-7.09	53.02%	Null
158	Northwestern	-7.10	56.55%	Null
159	South Carolina St.	-7.20	41.04%	Null
160	Miami OH	-7.20	63.69%	Null
161	Bowling Green	-7.21	55.71%	Null
162	San Diego St.	-7.26	53.81%	Null
163	La Salle	-7.37	57.99%	Null
164	Drexel	-7.40	46.80%	Null
165	Arkansas St.	-7.46	45.31%	Null
166	Alabama A&M	-7.54	26.26%	Null
167	VA Commonwealth	-7.55	54.90%	Null
168	St. Francis NY	-7.56	39.66%	Null
169	New Orleans	-7.59	46.77%	Null
170	DePaul	-7.64	57.79%	Null
171	Louisville	-7.65	58.66%	Null
172	Rider	-7.66	45.07%	Null
173	Fordham	-7.71	53.02%	Null
174	Rice	-7.72	55.37%	Null
175	Northwestern St.	-7.73	37.45%	16
176	SE Missouri St.	-7.75	47.11%	Null
177	MD Baltimore County	-7.79	36.72%	Null
178	Marist	-7.82	48.20%	Null
179	Niagara	-7.83	43.45%	Null
180	Winthrop	-7.86	42.68%	16
181	Brown	-7.89	34.00%	Null
182	Chattanooga	-7.93	50.26%	Null
183	Stetson	-8.25	42.07%	Null
184	Washington	-8.30	46.12%	Null
185	Illinois Chicago	-8.41	52.99%	Null
186	NC Asheville	-8.50	30.64%	Null
187	Oregon St.	-8.58	54.90%	Null
188	New Mexico St.	-8.59	50.53%	Null
189	Florida St.	-8.61	51.80%	Null
190	SW Missouri St.	-8.71	51.86%	Null
191	Weber St.	-8.71	44.12%	Null
192	The Citadel	-8.79	34.18%	Null
193	Idaho St.	-8.94	41.04%	Null
194	Akron	-8.97	43.25%	Null
195	Cal Santa Barbara	-9.00	41.87%	Null
196	Harvard	-9.11	32.63%	Null
197	Samford	-9.18	43.28%	Null
198	Evansville	-9.21	47.62%	Null
199	East Carolina	-9.22	44.33%	Null
200	Montana St.	-9.22	43.25%	Null
201	Sam Houston St.	-9.37	37.71%	Null
202	Boston University	-9.39	38.75%	Null
203	Wisconsin Green Bay	-9.39	45.31%	Null
204	Drake	-9.70	47.38%	Null
205	Manhattan	-9.73	47.08%	Null
206	Wagner	-9.91	31.58%	Null
207	Alcorn St.	-9.95	24.52%	Null
208	Texas Tech	-9.96	43.15%	Null
209	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-9.96	32.69%	Null
210	Texas A&M	-10.11	41.11%	Null
211	Northern Arizona	-10.16	41.34%	Null
212	Mercer	-10.19	32.99%	Null
213	Oakland	-10.20	35.89%	Null
214	Nevada	-10.25	48.07%	Null
215	Virginia Tech	-10.32	33.08%	Null
216	Nicholls St.	-10.39	28.39%	Null
217	Texas San Antonio	-10.40	32.84%	Null
218	Wofford	-10.40	37.42%	Null
219	Old Dominion	-10.51	50.39%	Null
220	Bucknell	-10.52	26.32%	Null
221	Coppin St.	-10.53	26.72%	Null
222	Missouri Kansas City	-10.68	41.24%	Null
223	Georgia Southern	-10.71	37.10%	Null
224	Pennsylvania	-10.75	40.61%	Null
225	Belmont	-10.83	29.69%	Null
226	Houston	-10.84	42.78%	Null
227	San Francisco	-10.84	38.39%	Null
228	Morehead St.	-10.91	32.45%	Null
229	Portland	-10.92	31.52%	Null
230	Fairfield	-11.05	35.89%	Null
231	James Madison	-11.06	37.74%	Null
232	SW Texas St.	-11.18	25.37%	Null
233	Texas Arlington	-11.38	27.72%	Null
234	Columbia	-11.40	22.89%	Null
235	Delaware St.	-11.50	22.48%	Null
236	Fairleigh Dickinson	-11.50	24.47%	Null
237	MD Eastern Shore	-11.53	19.22%	Null
238	William & Mary	-11.59	34.86%	Null
239	Colgate	-11.62	24.27%	Null
240	Montana	-11.63	30.99%	Null
241	Central Connecticut	-11.63	25.76%	Null
242	Davidson	-11.72	29.52%	Null
243	Cal Riverside	-11.76	21.19%	Null
244	Texas Pan American	-11.81	32.96%	Null
245	Norfolk St.	-11.91	27.34%	Null
246	Tulane	-11.95	32.06%	Null
247	Vermont	-12.05	26.80%	Null
248	Louisiana Monroe	-12.13	23.10%	Null
249	Furman	-12.23	28.84%	Null
250	Tennessee Martin	-12.33	26.77%	Null
251	Loyola Marymount	-12.36	29.20%	Null
252	Duquesne	-12.40	40.42%	Null
253	Wichita St.	-12.41	39.53%	Null
254	Yale	-12.52	25.19%	Null
255	Liberty	-12.53	19.52%	Null
256	Long Island	-12.56	17.85%	Null
257	Towson	-12.60	26.18%	Null
258	Lehigh	-12.69	24.32%	Null
259	Lafayette	-12.77	26.37%	Null
260	IUPUI	-13.01	32.21%	Null
261	Denver	-13.15	27.37%	Null
262	Portland St.	-13.17	25.11%	Null
263	North Carolina A&T	-13.29	22.21%	Null
264	Grambling	-13.35	10.39%	Null
265	Tennessee St.	-13.40	32.00%	Null
266	Air Force	-13.44	32.99%	Null
267	Morris Brown	-13.49	11.93%	Null
268	Centenary	-13.49	19.11%	Null
269	Northeastern	-13.51	24.85%	Null
270	Eastern Kentucky	-13.66	16.20%	Null
271	Southern	-13.67	13.49%	Null
272	Loyola Chicago	-13.69	29.57%	Null
273	Rhode Island	-13.73	30.12%	Null
274	Howard	-13.76	13.78%	Null
275	Oral Roberts	-13.91	21.67%	Null
276	Stephen F. Austin	-14.13	19.43%	Null
277	Jacksonville St.	-14.19	20.00%	Null
278	Cal Poly	-14.30	24.83%	Null
279	American	-14.52	23.23%	Null
280	Western Michigan	-14.57	25.89%	Null
281	Florida International	-14.77	22.02%	Null
282	Lamar	-14.79	15.55%	Null
283	St. Francis PA	-14.92	15.37%	Null
284	Charleston Southern	-15.12	14.03%	Null
285	Coastal Carolina	-15.18	15.75%	Null
286	VMI	-15.23	16.98%	Null
287	Bethune Cookman	-15.23	13.49%	Null
288	Appalachian St.	-15.26	20.15%	Null
289	Idaho	-15.30	17.49%	Null
290	Army	-15.36	12.63%	Null
291	Dartmouth	-15.55	14.18%	Null
292	New Hampshire	-15.57	17.87%	Null
293	High Point	-16.29	10.39%	Null
294	SE Louisiana	-16.32	17.47%	Null
295	Northern Iowa	-16.38	28.75%	Null
296	Northern Illinois	-16.49	15.94%	Null
297	Elon	-16.50	11.49%	Null
298	Middle Tennessee St.	-16.62	14.43%	Null
299	Cornell	-16.80	13.49%	Null
300	Campbell	-16.87	13.46%	Null
301	Chicago St.	-17.03	13.67%	Null
302	Buffalo	-17.23	20.04%	Null
303	North Texas	-17.24	10.13%	Null
304	Sacred Heart	-17.32	9.18%	Null
305	Western Illinois	-17.34	16.61%	Null
306	Cal St. Fullerton	-17.47	15.34%	Null
307	Texas Southern	-17.65	7.69%	Null
308	Cal St. Sacramento	-17.65	11.73%	Null
309	Robert Morris	-17.78	12.12%	Null
310	Quinnipiac	-17.87	9.58%	Null
311	Central Florida	-17.91	22.26%	Null
312	Mount St. Mary’s	-17.93	10.40%	Null
313	Prairie View A&M	-18.13	5.87%	Null
314	St. Peter’s	-18.17	14.40%	Null
315	Loyola MD	-18.25	16.50%	Null
316	Florida A&M	-18.30	8.24%	Null
317	Jackson St.	-18.33	10.88%	Null
318	Florida Atlantic	-18.38	15.21%	Null
319	Albany NY	-18.53	8.20%	Null
320	Morgan St.	-18.71	12.58%	Null
321	Eastern Michigan	-18.87	14.09%	Null
322	St. Mary’s CA	-19.76	8.27%	Null
323	Western Carolina	-19.81	15.02%	Null
324	Hartford	-19.83	10.80%	Null
325	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-19.92	3.23%	Null

WAB 2009: Poor St. Mary’s

Oddly, the #12 seeds that were at-large bids were defensible, but Temple over St. Mary’s is a tough pill to swallow. St. Mary’s resume was that of a .8865 Pythag team, while Temple’s was that of a .8369 Pythag team. Quite simply, they had the better body of work.

If your argument is that Temple would have been favored on a neutral court, then let me direct your attention to San Diego State. They would have been favored over Temple, and their resume was that of a .8715 Pythag team. Whether you wanted the best teams, or the teams with the best body’s of work, San Diego State belonged. However, when dealing purely with selection, I’d suggest resume should be our guide. After all, you play to win the game.

Rank	School	WAB	Pythag	Seed
1	Connecticut	8.30	0.9618	1
2	Pittsburgh	8.20	0.9607	1
3	Duke	7.82	0.9417	2
4	Louisville	7.79	0.9543	1
5	North Carolina	7.57	0.9547	1
6	Michigan St.	7.20	0.9306	2
7	Oklahoma	7.05	0.9262	2
8	Memphis	6.84	0.9722	2
9	Syracuse	5.53	0.9137	3
10	Missouri	5.52	0.9333	3
11	Villanova	5.46	0.9197	3
12	Kansas	4.99	0.9300	3
13	Wake Forest	4.90	0.9101	4
14	Florida St.	4.84	0.8679	5
15	Washington	4.72	0.9233	4
16	Arizona St.	4.58	0.9279	6
17	Gonzaga	4.31	0.9473	4
18	UCLA	4.31	0.9371	6
19	Purdue	3.82	0.9280	5
20	Illinois	3.59	0.9067	5
21	West Virginia	3.51	0.9444	6
22	Ohio St.	3.10	0.8579	8
23	Marquette	3.06	0.9065	6
24	Clemson	2.97	0.8999	7
25	California	2.90	0.8754	7
26	Xavier	2.89	0.8973	4
27	Butler	2.63	0.8618	9
28	Brigham Young	2.58	0.9180	8
29	Utah St.	2.55	0.8335	11
30	Oklahoma St.	2.37	0.8731	8
31	Louisiana St.	2.13	0.8378	8
32	Southern California	2.01	0.8833	10
33	Utah	1.92	0.8971	5
34	Texas	1.87	0.8913	7
35	Texas A&M	1.67	0.8291	9
36	Minnesota	1.55	0.8607	10
37	St. Mary’s	1.37	0.8052	NULL
38	Dayton	1.02	0.7505	11
39	San Diego St.	0.98	0.8667	NULL
40	Tennessee	0.88	0.8574	9
41	Michigan	0.77	0.8312	10
42	Arizona	0.72	0.8441	12
43	Creighton	0.46	0.8000	NULL
44	Tulsa	0.39	0.8234	NULL
45	Penn St.	0.34	0.7615	NULL
46	Boston College	0.33	0.7858	7
47	Siena	0.27	0.7838	9
48	Wisconsin	0.15	0.8781	12
49	Maryland	-0.06	0.8175	10
50	Nevada Las Vegas	-0.32	0.7979	NULL
51	UAB	-0.41	0.8260	NULL
52	Florida	-0.43	0.8507	NULL
53	Temple	-0.45	0.8341	11
54	North Dakota St.	-0.48	0.7911	14
55	Baylor	-0.57	0.8284	NULL
56	Kansas St.	-0.63	0.8404	NULL
57	South Carolina	-0.63	0.7944	NULL
58	Davidson	-0.85	0.7952	NULL
59	Miami FL	-0.93	0.8467	NULL
60	Notre Dame	-0.94	0.8380	NULL
61	Cleveland St.	-1.11	0.7969	13
62	Providence	-1.22	0.7603	NULL
63	Rhode Island	-1.30	0.7813	NULL
64	Georgetown	-1.32	0.8717	NULL
65	Stanford	-1.49	0.8160	NULL
66	Niagara	-1.63	0.7739	NULL
67	Northwestern	-1.64	0.7931	NULL
68	New Mexico	-1.65	0.8459	NULL
69	Washington St.	-1.71	0.8567	NULL
70	Illinois St.	-1.81	0.8083	NULL
71	Northern Iowa	-1.82	0.7451	12
72	Nebraska	-1.88	0.8066	NULL
73	Western Kentucky	-1.91	0.6815	12
74	Auburn	-1.91	0.8027	NULL
75	Virginia Tech	-1.94	0.7988	NULL
76	Cincinnati	-1.99	0.7228	NULL
77	Virginia Commonwealth	-2.09	0.8066	11
78	Mississippi St.	-2.25	0.7917	13
79	American	-2.32	0.6237	14
80	Stephen F. Austin	-2.40	0.6947	14
81	Houston	-2.42	0.7899	NULL
82	Kentucky	-2.58	0.8437	NULL
83	Texas El Paso	-2.78	0.7650	NULL
84	Wisconsin Green Bay	-2.95	0.7603	NULL
85	Seton Hall	-2.99	0.7523	NULL
86	Vanderbilt	-3.07	0.7550	NULL
87	Wyoming	-3.07	0.5998	NULL
88	Duquesne	-3.19	0.7169	NULL
89	Arkansas Little Rock	-3.23	0.5340	NULL
90	Weber St.	-3.28	0.6354	NULL
91	College of Charleston	-3.30	0.5237	NULL
92	North Carolina St.	-3.32	0.7421	NULL
93	George Mason	-3.65	0.7014	NULL
94	Vermont	-3.74	0.7195	NULL
95	Portland St.	-3.84	0.6280	13
96	Oakland	-4.02	0.6573	NULL
97	Old Dominion	-4.16	0.6306	NULL
98	Buffalo	-4.30	0.6233	NULL
99	Miami OH	-4.39	0.7033	NULL
100	Portland	-4.52	0.6451	NULL
101	Virginia Military Inst	-4.55	0.4950	NULL
102	Binghamton	-4.56	0.4755	15
103	Mississippi	-4.65	0.6854	NULL
104	Cornell	-4.80	0.6457	14
105	Tennessee Martin	-4.81	0.5974	NULL
106	Iowa	-4.84	0.7136	NULL
107	Nevada	-4.88	0.6718	NULL
108	Northeastern	-4.89	0.6718	NULL
109	Alabama	-5.02	0.6784	NULL
110	Wright St.	-5.03	0.6975	NULL
111	Robert Morris	-5.06	0.5430	15
112	Hofstra	-5.09	0.4687	NULL
113	St. John’s	-5.09	0.6108	NULL
114	Alabama St.	-5.19	0.4439	16
115	Akron	-5.24	0.6932	13
116	La Salle	-5.43	0.6417	NULL
117	Oregon St.	-5.55	0.5841	NULL
118	Evansville	-5.68	0.6189	NULL
119	Morgan St.	-5.72	0.5409	15
120	East Tennessee St.	-5.77	0.6376	16
121	Boise St.	-5.79	0.5415	NULL
122	Bradley	-5.90	0.6163	NULL
123	Texas Tech	-5.99	0.6713	NULL
124	Nicholls St.	-6.10	0.4893	NULL
125	Iowa St.	-6.12	0.6196	NULL
126	Radford	-6.29	0.4868	16
127	Wisconsin Milwaukee	-6.36	0.5293	NULL
128	Pacific	-6.43	0.6387	NULL
129	Central Florida	-6.51	0.5685	NULL
130	Cal St. Northridge	-6.52	0.6446	15
131	Virginia	-6.58	0.6635	NULL
132	St. Louis	-6.74	0.5470	NULL
133	North Texas	-6.80	0.5220	NULL
134	Troy	-6.84	0.4624	NULL
135	Liberty	-6.87	0.4451	NULL
136	Rider	-6.88	0.4842	NULL
137	Kent St.	-6.89	0.5950	NULL
138	Belmont	-6.92	0.5871	NULL
139	Saint Joseph’s	-6.93	0.6761	NULL
140	Bowling Green	-6.97	0.5373	NULL
141	New Mexico St.	-7.00	0.5939	NULL
142	Oral Roberts	-7.00	0.7125	NULL
143	Sam Houston St.	-7.01	0.5985	NULL
144	Montana	-7.07	0.4917	NULL
145	Arkansas	-7.15	0.5868	NULL
146	Murray St.	-7.17	0.5692	NULL
147	Richmond	-7.22	0.6347	NULL
148	Texas Christian	-7.29	0.6023	NULL
149	Georgia Tech	-7.32	0.6941	NULL
150	Jacksonville	-7.33	0.6071	NULL
151	The Citadel	-7.40	0.4165	NULL
152	Navy	-7.42	0.3534	NULL
153	Fairfield	-7.42	0.4797	NULL
154	SIU Edwardsville	-7.61	0.1644	NULL
155	Illinois Chicago	-7.65	0.5863	NULL
156	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-7.67	0.5081	NULL
157	Austin Peay	-7.74	0.4472	NULL
158	South Alabama	-7.76	0.4598	NULL
159	Drexel	-7.85	0.5665	NULL
160	Wichita St.	-7.91	0.5823	NULL
161	Mount St. Mary’s	-7.93	0.5540	NULL
162	Drake	-7.95	0.5573	NULL
163	San Diego	-7.97	0.5108	NULL
164	Idaho	-8.00	0.5206	NULL
165	Texas San Antonio	-8.08	0.4379	NULL
166	Chicago St.	-8.12	0.3469	NULL
167	Long Beach St.	-8.14	0.4930	NULL
168	Southern Mississippi	-8.15	0.5509	NULL
169	Jackson St.	-8.19	0.3137	NULL
170	James Madison	-8.31	0.5495	NULL
171	Utah Valley	-8.32	0.4485	NULL
172	UC Riverside	-8.46	0.3728	NULL
173	Savannah St.	-8.47	0.1245	NULL
174	IUPUI	-8.60	0.4777	NULL
175	Mercer	-8.63	0.3773	NULL
176	Boston University	-8.71	0.4808	NULL
177	St. Bonaventure	-8.88	0.4337	NULL
178	Marshall	-8.91	0.5280	NULL
179	Eastern Kentucky	-8.92	0.5155	NULL
180	Oregon	-8.94	0.5113	NULL
181	UC Santa Barbara	-8.94	0.5010	NULL
182	Morehead St.	-8.94	0.4995	16
183	Texas Arlington	-8.99	0.5552	NULL
184	Santa Clara	-9.02	0.5707	NULL
185	Lamar	-9.07	0.3909	NULL
186	Tulane	-9.14	0.4806	NULL
187	Wofford	-9.17	0.3642	NULL
188	Massachusetts	-9.20	0.5587	NULL
189	Middle Tennessee	-9.33	0.4934	NULL
190	South Florida	-9.35	0.5639	NULL
191	Manhattan	-9.51	0.4311	NULL
192	Southern Illinois	-9.52	0.5319	NULL
193	Rutgers	-9.52	0.5297	NULL
194	Chattanooga	-9.57	0.3974	16
195	IUPU Fort Wayne	-9.74	0.3816	NULL
196	Western Carolina	-9.75	0.3222	NULL
197	Holy Cross	-9.87	0.4573	NULL
198	Longwood	-9.89	0.1507	NULL
199	Sacred Heart	-9.91	0.4420	NULL
200	East Carolina	-9.99	0.3988	NULL
201	Ohio	-10.06	0.4808	NULL
202	Georgia	-10.10	0.4142	NULL
203	NC Asheville	-10.28	0.2856	NULL
204	Stony Brook	-10.35	0.4277	NULL
205	Lipscomb	-10.46	0.5054	NULL
206	DePaul	-10.68	0.3988	NULL
207	Stetson	-10.72	0.2805	NULL
208	Albany	-10.79	0.3054	NULL
209	Harvard	-10.81	0.3001	NULL
210	Idaho St.	-10.82	0.4411	NULL
211	Cal St. Fullerton	-10.83	0.4183	NULL
212	Presbyterian	-10.85	0.2900	NULL
213	San Jose St.	-10.86	0.4334	NULL
214	Wagner	-11.08	0.2376	NULL
215	Loyola Chicago	-11.08	0.3483	NULL
216	Yale	-11.13	0.3050	NULL
217	Montana St.	-11.15	0.3453	NULL
218	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-11.21	0.1614	NULL
219	Charlotte	-11.23	0.5484	NULL
220	Long Island	-11.24	0.3219	NULL
221	George Washington	-11.30	0.4369	NULL
222	South Carolina St.	-11.30	0.2383	NULL
223	Prairie View A&M	-11.36	0.2105	NULL
224	Southeastern Louisiana	-11.44	0.4178	NULL
225	San Francisco	-11.46	0.3288	NULL
226	Lehigh	-11.49	0.2602	NULL
227	Eastern Washington	-11.55	0.3022	NULL
228	Colorado	-11.56	0.4621	NULL
229	MD Baltimore County	-11.60	0.2810	NULL
230	Texas St.	-11.61	0.3966	NULL
231	Princeton	-11.63	0.2666	NULL
232	Samford	-11.68	0.3054	NULL
233	Gardner Webb	-11.74	0.3488	NULL
234	Denver	-11.75	0.4031	NULL
235	Indiana	-11.78	0.3833	NULL
236	Coppin St.	-11.78	0.2638	NULL
237	Louisiana Tech	-11.80	0.5063	NULL
238	Hawaii	-11.84	0.3883	NULL
239	North Carolina A&T	-11.86	0.1719	NULL
240	Ball St.	-11.89	0.3193	NULL
241	New Hampshire	-12.03	0.2720	NULL
242	Air Force	-12.26	0.3561	NULL
243	Hampton	-12.27	0.2199	NULL
244	Southern Methodist	-12.29	0.4103	NULL
245	Youngstown St.	-12.35	0.3631	NULL
246	Missouri St.	-12.37	0.4285	NULL
247	Arkansas St.	-12.43	0.3480	NULL
248	Jacksonville St.	-12.45	0.2884	NULL
249	Campbell	-12.51	0.3116	NULL
250	Bethune Cookman	-12.57	0.1940	NULL
251	Central Connecticut	-12.67	0.2093	NULL
252	Loyola MD	-12.68	0.3671	NULL
253	Colorado St.	-12.81	0.4750	NULL
254	Columbia	-12.82	0.2135	NULL
255	Indiana St.	-12.87	0.4151	NULL
256	Rice	-12.93	0.3403	NULL
257	Northern Colorado	-12.96	0.4204	NULL
258	Iona	-13.00	0.4223	NULL
259	Texas Pan American	-13.06	0.1104	NULL
260	McNeese St.	-13.17	0.3324	NULL
261	Quinnipiac	-13.17	0.2288	NULL
262	Tennessee St.	-13.18	0.2498	NULL
263	Pennsylvania	-13.23	0.2435	NULL
264	South Dakota St.	-13.26	0.3932	NULL
265	Canisius	-13.29	0.3271	NULL
266	Northern Arizona	-13.29	0.3387	NULL
267	Appalachian St.	-13.32	0.2877	NULL
268	UC Irvine	-13.34	0.3883	NULL
269	Tennessee Tech	-13.37	0.3185	NULL
270	Florida International	-13.37	0.2641	NULL
271	Delaware	-13.38	0.3813	NULL
272	Georgia St.	-13.56	0.3336	NULL
273	Winthrop	-13.66	0.2236	NULL
274	Fresno St.	-13.72	0.4003	NULL
275	Valparaiso	-13.73	0.3579	NULL
276	Southern Utah	-13.77	0.3572	NULL
277	Central Michigan	-13.80	0.2972	NULL
278	Eastern Illinois	-13.97	0.2535	NULL
279	UC Davis	-14.21	0.3773	NULL
280	St. Peter’s	-14.24	0.2475	NULL
281	Florida Gulf Coast	-14.37	0.1726	NULL
282	Louisiana Lafayette	-14.50	0.2840	NULL
283	Brown	-14.63	0.1732	NULL
284	Elon	-14.64	0.1911	NULL
285	Central Arkansas	-14.74	0.1273	NULL
286	William & Mary	-14.76	0.3174	NULL
287	Towson	-14.79	0.2831	NULL
288	Norfolk St.	-14.79	0.1773	NULL
289	Pepperdine	-14.81	0.1840	NULL
290	Western Illinois	-14.81	0.1869	NULL
291	Northwestern St.	-14.81	0.1336	NULL
292	South Carolina Upstate	-14.89	0.2059	NULL
293	Centenary	-14.97	0.2995	NULL
294	Detroit	-15.05	0.2432	NULL
295	New Orleans	-15.09	0.2056	NULL
296	Louisiana Monroe	-15.29	0.1884	NULL
297	Dartmouth	-15.45	0.1365	NULL
298	Florida A&M	-15.49	0.0921	NULL
299	Cal St. Bakersfield	-15.61	0.2580	NULL
300	Colgate	-15.76	0.1437	NULL
301	Bryant	-15.81	0.0922	NULL
302	Western Michigan	-15.89	0.3058	NULL
303	Army	-15.90	0.1768	NULL
304	St. Francis NY	-15.96	0.1760	NULL
305	Charleston Southern	-16.05	0.1533	NULL
306	Alabama A&M	-16.07	0.0791	NULL
307	Georgia Southern	-16.23	0.1638	NULL
308	Coastal Carolina	-16.26	0.2159	NULL
309	Cal Poly	-16.29	0.2588	NULL
310	Maine	-16.33	0.1866	NULL
311	Northern Illinois	-16.47	0.1972	NULL
312	Marist	-16.53	0.2907	NULL
313	North Florida	-16.92	0.0864	NULL
314	High Point	-16.94	0.1535	NULL
315	Delaware St.	-17.23	0.1404	NULL
316	Missouri Kansas City	-17.46	0.2318	NULL
317	Houston Baptist	-17.73	0.1200	NULL
318	NC Wilmington	-17.86	0.1629	NULL
319	Bucknell	-17.95	0.1793	NULL
320	Winston Salem St.	-18.00	0.0524	NULL
321	Fordham	-18.02	0.1056	NULL
322	Eastern Michigan	-18.06	0.1452	NULL
323	Fairleigh Dickinson	-18.07	0.0801	NULL
324	Toledo	-18.29	0.1741	NULL
325	Mississippi Valley St.	-18.37	0.1103	NULL
326	Lafayette	-18.37	0.1278	NULL
327	Texas Southern	-18.41	0.1120	NULL
328	Monmouth	-18.77	0.1055	NULL
329	Kennesaw St.	-18.77	0.0625	NULL
330	St. Francis PA	-18.90	0.1050	NULL
331	Furman	-19.04	0.0981	NULL
332	Howard	-19.06	0.0926	NULL
333	Grambling	-19.10	0.0463	NULL
334	Florida Atlantic	-19.29	0.2204	NULL
335	Hartford	-19.39	0.1343	NULL
336	Maryland Eastern Shore	-19.74	0.0416	NULL
337	Loyola Marymount	-19.95	0.1023	NULL
338	Southern	-19.97	0.0954	NULL
339	North Carolina Central	-20.20	0.0338	NULL
340	NC Greensboro	-20.22	0.1054	NULL
341	Alcorn St.	-21.21	0.0531	NULL
342	Sacramento St.	-21.85	0.0581	NULL
343	Southeast Missouri St.	-21.86	0.0822	NULL
344	NJ Inst of Technology	-26.71	0.0097	NULL