&mdash; sethburn

http://q.usatoday.com/2015/02/26/ncaa-tournament-bracketology-projecting-the-field-of-68-2/

Well then, here you go:

Opponent’s Pythag Rating	Bubble Expected Win%	Result	Net Result
0.2758	0.9396	W, 52-37	0.0604
0.3584	0.9138	W, 69-61	0.0862
0.303	0.9316	W, 54-49	0.0684
0.5688	0.8178	W, 59-50	0.1822
0.4884	0.818	W, 69-51	0.182
0.8192	0.4863	L, 66-54	-0.4863
0.4752	0.8673	W, 78-52	0.1327
0.6658	0.6095	L, 56-55	-0.6095
0.8166	0.5707	W, 71-62	0.4293
0.8027	0.5927	L, 68-47	-0.5927
0.2007	0.9593	W, 72-48	0.0407
0.8742	0.3091	W, 76-60	0.6909
0.8256	0.5556	W, 56-50	0.4444
0.3386	0.9204	W, 69-48	0.0796
0.819	0.4073	L, 62-56	-0.4073
0.7672	0.4854	L, 63-50	-0.4854
0.6981	0.7191	W, 84-53	0.2809
0.2661	0.9423	W, 67-54	0.0577
0.3963	0.8257	W, 56-46	0.1743
0.7038	0.7136	W, 70-58	0.2864
0.4936	0.7613	L, 50-46	-0.7613
0.9002	0.2564	W, 62-54	0.7436
0.2074	0.9577	W, 63-58	0.0423
0.8149	0.4139	L, 75-59	-0.4139
0.3358	0.9213	L, 50-49	-0.9213
0.8219	0.5619	L, 59-57	-0.5619
0.4085	0.8183	W, 63-53	0.1817
0.2564	0.945	W, 83-60	0.055

		Current WAB	-1.0209

Versus:

Opponent’s Pythag Rating	Bubble Expected Win%	Result	Net Result
0.0000	1	W, 102-66	0
0.1604	0.9687	W, 86-51	0.0313
0.8854	0.3571	L, 90-72	-0.3571
0.3963	0.8257	W, 95-69	0.1743
0.4258	0.8887	W, 72-49	0.1113
0.4893	0.8607	W, 92-86	0.1393
0.0855	0.9845	W, 90-59	0.0155
0.5879	0.6854	W, 110-99	0.3146
0.2107	0.9569	W, 78-58	0.0431
0.3436	0.8559	W, 80-68	0.1441
0.9752	0.0733	L, 83-72	-0.0733
0.7120	0.7054	W, 81-67	0.2946
0.8857	0.2864	L, 71-65	-0.2864
0.2572	0.9447	W, 89-54	0.0553
0.6775	0.5967	W, 71-63	0.4033
0.8248	0.3977	L, 89-63	-0.3977
0.7260	0.6908	W, 77-60	0.3092
0.4449	0.7951	W, 80-73	0.2049
0.5994	0.6751	L, 75-70	-0.6751
0.4769	0.8665	L, 62-61	-0.8665
0.3475	0.9174	W, 95-69	0.0826
0.2962	0.9336	W, 92-71	0.0664
0.7077	0.5622	W, 77-69	0.4378
0.7527	0.5053	W, 65-63	0.4947
0.3739	0.9084	W, 76-57	0.0916
0.8324	0.385	W, 60-59	0.615

		Current WAB	1.3729

If you want a hint, the first team is a #10 Seed in the most recent @bracketwag bracket. The second is in the first four out:

Every. Game. Counts. KenPom, Massey, BPI, Sagarin Resume Ratings: 2/26

February 26, 2015

This is what I have been working towards for the past few weeks. These are the amount of Wins-Above-Bubble each team is for each rating system. For example, Illinois is 0.42 wins behind what a generic bubble team would average against their schedule as rated by Sagarin. That’s their best result, as they average 0.71 wins below the Mendoza-line. Davidson is the opposite, peaking at 1.68 Wins-Above-Bubble against a BPI schedule.

The next step is to figure out how to display 351 team sheets… 🙂

Edit (Reminder: These are not power ratings!)

Ranking	School	KenPom WAB	Massey WAB	BPI WAB	Sagarin WAB	Average WAB
1	Kentucky	11.21	11.57	11.46	11.32	11.39
2	Virginia	9.51	10.18	10.01	9.92	9.90
3	Duke	8.76	9.24	9.06	9.07	9.03
4	Villanova	8.52	8.69	8.53	8.76	8.62
5	Wisconsin	7.78	7.87	7.87	8.36	7.97
6	Kansas	8.03	7.86	7.47	8.30	7.91
7	Gonzaga	7.85	7.93	7.69	7.82	7.82
8	Arizona	6.96	6.62	6.89	6.89	6.84
9	Maryland	5.46	5.40	5.54	5.96	5.59
10	Northern Iowa	5.21	4.96	5.09	4.99	5.06
11	Louisville	4.68	5.16	5.11	5.28	5.06
12	Baylor	4.95	4.91	4.53	5.25	4.91
13	Notre Dame	4.45	5.06	4.79	4.84	4.79
14	Utah	4.95	4.53	4.90	4.76	4.79
15	Iowa St.	4.66	4.67	4.16	4.88	4.59
16	West Virginia	4.56	4.55	4.09	4.74	4.48
17	Wichita St.	4.53	4.24	4.52	4.20	4.37
18	Oklahoma	4.10	4.12	3.74	4.41	4.09
19	Arkansas	3.66	4.08	3.97	3.61	3.83
20	North Carolina	3.42	3.84	3.69	3.87	3.70
21	Butler	3.07	3.36	3.16	3.27	3.21
22	Georgetown	2.53	2.75	2.72	2.82	2.70
23	VCU	2.82	2.46	3.04	2.35	2.66
24	Providence	2.21	2.55	2.51	2.46	2.43
25	SMU	2.33	2.09	2.15	2.07	2.16
26	Texas A&M	1.64	1.81	1.80	1.58	1.71
27	San Diego St.	1.85	1.36	1.69	1.89	1.70
28	Georgia	1.45	1.83	1.94	1.50	1.68
29	Michigan St.	1.32	1.65	1.68	2.04	1.67
30	Davidson	1.45	1.24	1.68	1.35	1.43
31	Oklahoma St.	1.42	1.35	0.97	1.72	1.36
32	LSU	1.13	1.47	1.59	1.12	1.33
33	Ohio St.	0.99	1.20	1.25	1.65	1.27
34	St. John’s	0.93	1.23	1.19	1.23	1.15
35	Iowa	0.87	0.94	1.13	1.60	1.14
36	Colorado St.	1.33	0.71	1.06	1.28	1.09
37	Stephen F. Austin	1.09	0.73	0.76	0.68	0.82
38	Dayton	0.75	0.74	1.00	0.51	0.75
39	Oregon	0.81	0.54	0.82	0.75	0.73
40	Texas	0.65	0.62	0.24	0.83	0.59
41	Mississippi	0.44	0.72	0.78	0.29	0.56
42	Purdue	0.21	0.46	0.49	0.93	0.52
43	Indiana	0.25	0.39	0.51	0.91	0.52
44	Saint Mary’s	0.48	0.56	0.33	0.57	0.49
45	Murray St.	0.54	0.23	0.38	0.32	0.37
46	North Carolina St.	-0.08	0.40	0.23	0.28	0.21
47	Boise St.	0.13	-0.27	0.01	0.16	0.01
48	Wofford	0.00	-0.09	0.17	-0.11	-0.01
49	Miami FL	-0.39	0.08	-0.03	0.06	-0.07
50	Xavier	-0.17	0.03	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11
51	Valparaiso	0.05	-0.19	-0.25	-0.36	-0.19
52	Stanford	-0.17	-0.41	-0.19	-0.24	-0.25
53	UCLA	-0.20	-0.48	-0.25	-0.21	-0.29
54	BYU	-0.25	-0.31	-0.52	-0.20	-0.32
55	Harvard	-0.18	-0.39	-0.42	-0.40	-0.35
56	Pittsburgh	-0.74	-0.18	-0.38	-0.32	-0.41
57	Syracuse	-0.86	-0.28	-0.59	-0.52	-0.56
58	Iona	-0.45	-0.48	-0.65	-0.68	-0.56
59	UC Davis	-0.59	-0.76	-0.59	-0.70	-0.66
60	Illinois	-0.94	-0.71	-0.78	-0.42	-0.71
61	Temple	-0.52	-0.76	-0.75	-0.92	-0.74
62	Old Dominion	-0.50	-0.97	-0.78	-0.82	-0.77
63	Central Michigan	-0.63	-0.89	-0.86	-0.80	-0.79
64	Tulsa	-0.59	-0.86	-0.95	-0.97	-0.84
65	Green Bay	-0.67	-0.92	-0.93	-0.97	-0.87
66	Rhode Island	-0.94	-0.96	-0.65	-1.12	-0.92
67	Alabama	-1.02	-0.86	-0.77	-1.08	-0.93
68	Louisiana Tech	-0.90	-1.28	-1.13	-1.05	-1.09
69	Cincinnati	-1.05	-1.41	-1.37	-1.44	-1.32
70	North Carolina Central	-1.40	-1.48	-1.44	-1.53	-1.46
71	UTEP	-1.36	-1.84	-1.55	-1.54	-1.57
72	Sam Houston St.	-1.43	-1.60	-1.67	-1.78	-1.62
73	TCU	-1.66	-1.56	-1.98	-1.42	-1.66
74	George Washington	-1.85	-2.08	-1.54	-1.95	-1.86
75	Buffalo	-1.72	-2.02	-1.90	-2.00	-1.91
76	Seton Hall	-2.02	-1.87	-1.93	-1.93	-1.93
77	Yale	-1.68	-2.04	-2.13	-2.14	-2.00
78	Oregon St.	-2.09	-2.35	-2.24	-2.21	-2.22
79	Wyoming	-2.06	-2.59	-2.28	-2.15	-2.27
80	Minnesota	-2.59	-2.40	-2.24	-1.95	-2.30
81	High Point	-2.32	-2.57	-2.40	-2.75	-2.51
82	Kansas St.	-2.53	-2.51	-2.90	-2.26	-2.55
83	Eastern Washington	-2.48	-2.68	-2.52	-2.63	-2.58
84	Clemson	-2.89	-2.29	-2.55	-2.66	-2.60
85	Tennessee	-2.86	-2.47	-2.41	-2.80	-2.64
86	Michigan	-2.92	-2.88	-2.72	-2.34	-2.71
87	South Dakota St.	-2.65	-3.03	-2.90	-3.04	-2.90
88	Connecticut	-2.69	-3.02	-2.99	-2.93	-2.91
89	Georgia St.	-2.87	-3.00	-2.94	-3.03	-2.96
90	Florida Gulf Coast	-2.92	-3.09	-2.98	-3.02	-3.00
91	Arizona St.	-2.96	-3.16	-2.97	-3.07	-3.04
92	Toledo	-2.81	-3.21	-3.11	-3.15	-3.07
93	Bowling Green	-2.99	-3.31	-3.18	-3.31	-3.20
94	Vanderbilt	-3.42	-3.01	-3.01	-3.40	-3.21
95	Massachusetts	-3.40	-3.43	-3.20	-3.65	-3.42
96	Richmond	-3.51	-3.57	-3.19	-3.69	-3.49
97	Albany	-3.24	-3.60	-3.65	-3.54	-3.51
98	Evansville	-3.32	-3.68	-3.46	-3.81	-3.57
99	Florida	-3.70	-3.34	-3.41	-3.93	-3.60
100	Kent St.	-3.40	-3.76	-3.64	-3.75	-3.64
101	Illinois St.	-3.51	-3.81	-3.42	-3.94	-3.67
102	South Carolina	-3.81	-3.49	-3.54	-3.89	-3.68
103	California	-3.57	-3.96	-3.70	-3.64	-3.72
104	Memphis	-3.39	-3.76	-3.88	-3.88	-3.72
105	Coastal Carolina	-3.60	-3.69	-3.57	-4.14	-3.75
106	Northeastern	-3.78	-3.85	-3.98	-3.90	-3.88
107	Washington	-3.70	-4.14	-3.87	-3.81	-3.88
108	North Dakota St.	-3.69	-4.02	-3.99	-3.90	-3.90
109	Georgia Southern	-3.84	-3.90	-3.98	-3.90	-3.90
110	Pepperdine	-3.93	-3.94	-4.04	-3.83	-3.94
111	William & Mary	-3.92	-4.08	-4.02	-3.92	-3.99
112	Stony Brook	-4.08	-4.35	-4.33	-4.17	-4.23
113	Incarnate Word	-4.05	-4.27	-4.30	-4.34	-4.24
114	Chattanooga	-4.24	-4.42	-4.02	-4.36	-4.26
115	Radford	-4.09	-4.31	-4.23	-4.59	-4.30
116	Northwestern	-4.54	-4.54	-4.38	-4.06	-4.38
117	Penn St.	-4.65	-4.56	-4.36	-4.03	-4.40
118	New Mexico St.	-4.47	-4.59	-4.16	-4.42	-4.41
119	Florida St.	-4.85	-4.11	-4.43	-4.39	-4.45
120	Loyola Chicago	-4.39	-4.72	-4.45	-4.85	-4.60
121	Charleston Southern	-4.49	-4.58	-4.42	-4.96	-4.61
122	Utah St.	-4.53	-4.91	-4.60	-4.57	-4.65
123	UNLV	-4.34	-5.05	-4.86	-4.63	-4.72
124	Rider	-4.64	-4.67	-4.89	-4.78	-4.75
125	Nebraska	-4.99	-4.91	-4.82	-4.46	-4.79
126	UC Irvine	-4.70	-4.87	-4.88	-4.99	-4.86
127	Belmont	-4.76	-5.00	-4.84	-4.94	-4.88
128	North Florida	-4.90	-4.90	-4.86	-4.94	-4.90
129	Eastern Kentucky	-4.88	-4.98	-4.88	-4.90	-4.91
130	Western Kentucky	-4.89	-5.15	-4.83	-4.88	-4.94
131	UNC Wilmington	-5.05	-5.15	-5.03	-4.83	-5.01
132	Creighton	-5.13	-5.01	-5.08	-4.96	-5.05
133	Western Michigan	-4.81	-5.19	-5.21	-5.02	-5.06
134	Portland	-5.10	-5.00	-5.07	-5.09	-5.07
135	La Salle	-5.07	-5.30	-4.91	-5.39	-5.17
136	Cleveland St.	-5.01	-5.25	-5.15	-5.32	-5.18
137	Marquette	-5.32	-5.17	-5.20	-5.14	-5.21
138	Texas Southern	-5.22	-5.26	-5.14	-5.26	-5.22
139	Alabama St.	-5.30	-5.33	-5.22	-5.39	-5.31
140	Wake Forest	-5.67	-5.11	-5.20	-5.27	-5.31
141	USC Upstate	-5.32	-5.31	-5.25	-5.43	-5.32
142	Georgia Tech	-5.73	-5.09	-5.22	-5.31	-5.34
143	Long Beach St.	-5.23	-5.37	-5.52	-5.37	-5.37
144	Sacramento St.	-5.33	-5.45	-5.27	-5.45	-5.37
145	Louisiana Monroe	-5.30	-5.49	-5.45	-5.49	-5.43
146	St. Bonaventure	-5.34	-5.59	-5.25	-5.60	-5.44
147	St. Francis NY	-5.31	-5.43	-5.55	-5.56	-5.46
148	Tennessee Martin	-5.58	-5.75	-5.60	-5.71	-5.66
149	Northwestern St.	-5.53	-5.72	-5.82	-5.81	-5.72
150	Colorado	-5.67	-6.02	-5.70	-5.79	-5.79
151	Eastern Michigan	-5.67	-5.95	-5.84	-5.90	-5.84
152	Oakland	-5.77	-5.98	-6.06	-6.04	-5.96
153	Norfolk St.	-5.81	-5.98	-6.06	-6.08	-5.98
154	Hawaii	-5.87	-6.04	-6.04	-6.06	-6.01
155	San Diego	-6.05	-6.02	-6.17	-5.99	-6.06
156	UC Santa Barbara	-6.07	-6.32	-6.26	-6.45	-6.27
157	Akron	-6.14	-6.44	-6.44	-6.36	-6.34
158	Washington St.	-6.28	-6.63	-6.34	-6.32	-6.39
159	NJIT	-6.32	-6.38	-6.44	-6.50	-6.41
160	Hofstra	-6.42	-6.48	-6.59	-6.48	-6.49
161	Texas Tech	-6.44	-6.44	-6.94	-6.25	-6.52
162	East Tennessee St.	-6.38	-6.61	-6.35	-6.73	-6.52
163	UT Arlington	-6.44	-6.61	-6.63	-6.58	-6.56
164	Montana	-6.52	-6.77	-6.54	-6.57	-6.60
165	Cal Poly	-6.53	-6.61	-6.61	-6.74	-6.62
166	UAB	-6.60	-6.92	-6.66	-6.70	-6.72
167	DePaul	-6.83	-6.72	-6.73	-6.63	-6.73
168	Columbia	-6.53	-6.84	-6.94	-7.04	-6.84
169	Auburn	-6.93	-6.71	-6.76	-7.09	-6.87
170	Gardner Webb	-6.78	-6.98	-6.82	-7.33	-6.98
171	New Mexico	-6.87	-7.46	-7.09	-7.00	-7.11
172	New Hampshire	-7.01	-7.19	-7.25	-7.13	-7.14
173	Lafayette	-7.00	-7.13	-7.28	-7.27	-7.17
174	Eastern Illinois	-6.90	-7.25	-7.32	-7.36	-7.21
175	Vermont	-7.09	-7.34	-7.26	-7.29	-7.24
176	Winthrop	-7.17	-7.21	-7.07	-7.56	-7.25
177	IPFW	-7.05	-7.42	-7.34	-7.34	-7.29
178	Tulane	-7.09	-7.38	-7.38	-7.43	-7.32
179	James Madison	-7.32	-7.61	-7.57	-7.37	-7.47
180	Lehigh	-7.39	-7.56	-7.59	-7.55	-7.52
181	Mississippi St.	-7.81	-7.43	-7.38	-7.85	-7.61
182	Monmouth	-7.47	-7.55	-7.78	-7.71	-7.63
183	Bucknell	-7.56	-7.62	-7.74	-7.70	-7.66
184	Maryland Eastern Shore	-7.54	-7.77	-7.65	-7.95	-7.73
185	Manhattan	-7.68	-7.65	-7.82	-7.78	-7.74
186	Indiana St.	-7.76	-8.04	-7.67	-7.96	-7.86
187	Oral Roberts	-7.58	-8.06	-7.94	-7.85	-7.86
188	Mount St. Mary’s	-7.70	-7.86	-7.93	-7.96	-7.87
189	Canisius	-7.80	-7.93	-8.16	-8.08	-7.99
190	Northern Arizona	-7.89	-8.05	-7.97	-8.12	-8.01
191	UC Riverside	-7.84	-8.06	-8.10	-8.11	-8.03
192	Middle Tennessee	-7.87	-8.18	-8.10	-8.12	-8.07
193	Santa Clara	-8.17	-8.01	-8.18	-8.12	-8.12
194	Mercer	-8.21	-8.20	-7.80	-8.29	-8.12
195	Portland St.	-8.08	-8.26	-8.17	-8.19	-8.18
196	Louisiana Lafayette	-8.05	-8.18	-8.31	-8.33	-8.22
197	Saint Joseph’s	-8.22	-8.37	-8.04	-8.50	-8.28
198	Charlotte	-8.27	-8.47	-8.25	-8.20	-8.30
199	Boston College	-8.70	-8.09	-8.29	-8.29	-8.34
200	Grand Canyon	-8.34	-8.54	-8.27	-8.39	-8.39
201	Rutgers	-8.71	-8.59	-8.45	-8.10	-8.46
202	Virginia Tech	-8.77	-8.25	-8.40	-8.57	-8.50
203	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-8.34	-8.56	-8.56	-8.66	-8.53
204	UTSA	-8.49	-8.80	-8.57	-8.57	-8.61
205	San Francisco	-8.70	-8.54	-8.61	-8.67	-8.63
206	American	-8.49	-8.70	-8.81	-8.69	-8.67
207	Air Force	-8.74	-9.23	-8.95	-8.73	-8.91
208	Robert Morris	-8.76	-8.86	-9.02	-9.08	-8.93
209	Detroit	-8.85	-9.24	-9.14	-9.36	-9.15
210	UCF	-8.95	-9.21	-9.19	-9.32	-9.17
211	Lamar	-8.95	-9.16	-9.30	-9.30	-9.18
212	North Texas	-9.08	-9.36	-9.19	-9.12	-9.19
213	Quinnipiac	-9.03	-9.18	-9.41	-9.30	-9.23
214	Fresno St.	-9.10	-9.53	-9.24	-9.08	-9.24
215	St. Francis PA	-8.97	-9.23	-9.45	-9.38	-9.26
216	Army	-9.15	-9.29	-9.42	-9.37	-9.31
217	Missouri	-9.52	-9.24	-9.21	-9.43	-9.35
218	Northern Illinois	-9.26	-9.54	-9.53	-9.43	-9.44
219	USC	-9.32	-9.65	-9.45	-9.35	-9.44
220	Howard	-9.42	-9.58	-9.65	-9.76	-9.60
221	Hartford	-9.45	-9.73	-9.76	-9.77	-9.68
222	Bryant	-9.36	-9.72	-9.84	-9.90	-9.71
223	Western Carolina	-9.73	-9.82	-9.51	-9.97	-9.76
224	Princeton	-9.61	-9.78	-9.76	-9.89	-9.76
225	Milwaukee	-9.63	-9.83	-9.80	-9.88	-9.79
226	Boston University	-9.67	-9.89	-9.85	-9.96	-9.84
227	Cornell	-9.69	-9.89	-10.01	-9.99	-9.90
228	Delaware St.	-9.68	-9.92	-9.95	-10.23	-9.95
229	SIU Edwardsville	-9.79	-10.02	-9.95	-10.02	-9.95
230	East Carolina	-9.88	-10.28	-10.24	-10.27	-10.17
231	Pacific	-10.24	-10.17	-10.18	-10.11	-10.17
232	Colgate	-10.08	-10.28	-10.26	-10.13	-10.19
233	UNC Asheville	-9.98	-10.22	-10.09	-10.53	-10.21
234	South Dakota	-9.98	-10.38	-10.29	-10.37	-10.25
235	Miami OH	-10.20	-10.50	-10.32	-10.41	-10.36
236	McNeese St.	-10.19	-10.37	-10.49	-10.45	-10.38
237	Morehead St.	-10.13	-10.58	-10.38	-10.42	-10.38
238	Northern Colorado	-10.35	-10.62	-10.34	-10.48	-10.45
239	Saint Louis	-10.37	-10.65	-10.17	-10.62	-10.45
240	Fordham	-10.50	-10.61	-10.25	-10.68	-10.51
241	Seattle	-10.58	-10.65	-10.38	-10.47	-10.52
242	Holy Cross	-10.49	-10.65	-10.77	-10.72	-10.66
243	Texas St.	-10.57	-10.75	-10.91	-10.80	-10.76
244	Duquesne	-10.76	-10.87	-10.50	-10.91	-10.76
245	Southern	-10.76	-10.86	-10.73	-10.80	-10.79
246	FIU	-10.79	-11.04	-10.76	-10.85	-10.86
247	Dartmouth	-10.69	-10.97	-10.99	-11.10	-10.94
248	Southeast Missouri St.	-10.91	-10.97	-10.92	-11.06	-10.96
249	Brown	-10.91	-11.16	-11.30	-11.23	-11.15
250	Weber St.	-10.99	-11.22	-11.19	-11.23	-11.16
251	Denver	-10.89	-11.33	-11.11	-11.34	-11.17
252	Lipscomb	-11.13	-11.22	-11.10	-11.24	-11.17
253	Missouri St.	-10.99	-11.34	-10.96	-11.40	-11.17
254	Houston Baptist	-10.96	-11.18	-11.37	-11.30	-11.20
255	Idaho	-11.00	-11.34	-11.24	-11.26	-11.21
256	Wright St.	-10.98	-11.32	-11.18	-11.37	-11.21
257	UMass Lowell	-11.09	-11.47	-11.41	-11.35	-11.33
258	Northern Kentucky	-11.47	-11.52	-11.41	-11.55	-11.49
259	Saint Peter’s	-11.46	-11.53	-11.67	-11.61	-11.57
260	George Mason	-11.55	-11.81	-11.36	-11.80	-11.63
261	Prairie View A&M	-11.51	-11.76	-11.82	-11.68	-11.69
262	New Orleans	-11.57	-11.79	-11.83	-11.76	-11.74
263	LIU Brooklyn	-11.44	-11.74	-11.96	-11.88	-11.75
264	Loyola Marymount	-11.81	-11.82	-11.86	-11.74	-11.81
265	Loyola MD	-11.80	-11.96	-12.00	-11.86	-11.90
266	VMI	-11.96	-11.95	-11.66	-12.04	-11.90
267	Drake	-11.76	-12.07	-11.84	-12.19	-11.96
268	Houston	-11.77	-12.15	-12.13	-12.18	-12.06
269	Arkansas St.	-12.01	-12.07	-12.13	-12.14	-12.09
270	Arkansas Little Rock	-12.01	-12.14	-12.16	-12.19	-12.12
271	Sacred Heart	-12.06	-12.22	-12.33	-12.31	-12.23
272	Hampton	-12.15	-12.36	-12.39	-12.34	-12.31
273	Tennessee Tech	-12.21	-12.38	-12.32	-12.49	-12.35
274	Drexel	-12.36	-12.43	-12.46	-12.22	-12.37
275	Towson	-12.39	-12.49	-12.61	-12.45	-12.49
276	Utah Valley	-12.62	-12.76	-12.49	-12.76	-12.66
277	Elon	-12.60	-12.64	-12.82	-12.58	-12.66
278	Cal St. Bakersfield	-12.66	-12.89	-12.63	-12.83	-12.75
279	IUPUI	-12.40	-12.94	-12.84	-12.86	-12.76
280	UMKC	-12.82	-12.94	-12.78	-12.89	-12.86
281	Samford	-12.88	-12.91	-12.67	-13.00	-12.86
282	Ohio	-12.72	-13.04	-12.86	-12.96	-12.89
283	Appalachian St.	-12.89	-12.92	-12.97	-13.01	-12.95
284	Youngstown St.	-12.79	-13.14	-13.12	-13.25	-13.07
285	Rice	-12.94	-13.36	-13.04	-13.01	-13.09
286	Penn	-12.78	-13.07	-13.18	-13.39	-13.10
287	Southern Illinois	-12.90	-13.23	-12.89	-13.46	-13.12
288	South Florida	-12.87	-13.16	-13.22	-13.35	-13.15
289	Siena	-13.07	-13.17	-13.37	-13.43	-13.26
290	Navy	-13.28	-13.35	-13.49	-13.40	-13.38
291	Ball St.	-13.15	-13.59	-13.57	-13.54	-13.46
292	Troy	-13.41	-13.44	-13.45	-13.60	-13.47
293	Wagner	-13.31	-13.53	-13.71	-13.59	-13.53
294	Southeastern Louisiana	-13.41	-13.64	-13.60	-13.62	-13.57
295	Alabama A&M	-13.59	-13.63	-13.45	-13.70	-13.59
296	Marshall	-13.64	-13.97	-13.69	-13.66	-13.74
297	The Citadel	-13.78	-13.80	-13.51	-13.92	-13.75
298	Nevada	-13.76	-14.18	-13.89	-13.75	-13.89
299	Jacksonville St.	-13.98	-13.95	-13.86	-14.00	-13.95
300	Nicholls St.	-13.84	-14.02	-14.08	-14.09	-14.01
301	Delaware	-13.95	-14.07	-14.14	-14.00	-14.04
302	North Dakota	-13.90	-14.22	-14.03	-14.14	-14.07
303	Western Illinois	-13.81	-14.30	-14.14	-14.13	-14.09
304	Florida Atlantic	-13.87	-14.27	-14.07	-14.23	-14.11
305	Nebraska Omaha	-14.40	-14.62	-14.43	-14.50	-14.49
306	Bradley	-14.38	-14.68	-14.40	-14.82	-14.57
307	Cal St. Fullerton	-14.50	-14.64	-14.64	-14.77	-14.63
308	South Carolina St.	-14.43	-14.74	-14.64	-14.76	-14.64
309	Savannah St.	-14.53	-14.70	-14.76	-14.88	-14.72
310	Southern Miss	-14.46	-14.95	-14.79	-14.80	-14.75
311	Kennesaw St.	-14.74	-14.87	-14.68	-14.75	-14.76
312	Southern Utah	-14.75	-14.92	-14.90	-14.94	-14.88
313	Jackson St.	-14.88	-14.99	-14.92	-15.00	-14.95
314	South Alabama	-14.95	-15.03	-15.17	-15.14	-15.07
315	Niagara	-15.08	-15.12	-15.37	-15.28	-15.21
316	Texas Pan American	-15.15	-15.36	-15.14	-15.31	-15.24
317	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-15.39	-15.62	-15.38	-15.57	-15.49
318	Coppin St.	-15.46	-15.69	-15.61	-15.69	-15.61
319	Cal St. Northridge	-15.47	-15.65	-15.72	-15.81	-15.66
320	Furman	-15.92	-16.00	-15.75	-16.06	-15.93
321	Fairleigh Dickinson	-15.77	-15.85	-16.11	-16.08	-15.95
322	Campbell	-15.87	-16.15	-15.96	-16.42	-16.10
323	Abilene Christian	-15.85	-16.17	-16.18	-16.22	-16.10
324	College of Charleston	-16.21	-16.20	-16.23	-16.18	-16.20
325	Illinois Chicago	-16.00	-16.26	-16.22	-16.42	-16.23
326	Stetson	-16.25	-16.37	-16.17	-16.42	-16.30
327	Presbyterian	-16.09	-16.34	-16.23	-16.68	-16.33
328	Bethune Cookman	-16.26	-16.51	-16.42	-16.49	-16.42
329	UNC Greensboro	-16.51	-16.57	-16.21	-16.57	-16.47
330	Austin Peay	-16.36	-16.58	-16.56	-16.64	-16.54
331	Fairfield	-16.37	-16.49	-16.72	-16.69	-16.57
332	Morgan St.	-16.45	-16.59	-16.57	-16.82	-16.60
333	Montana St.	-16.85	-17.03	-16.84	-16.98	-16.93
334	Jacksonville	-17.07	-17.04	-16.95	-17.09	-17.04
335	Longwood	-16.97	-17.25	-17.16	-17.44	-17.20
336	North Carolina A&T	-17.09	-17.39	-17.16	-17.26	-17.23
337	Chicago St.	-17.44	-17.66	-17.41	-17.57	-17.52
338	Idaho St.	-18.65	-18.89	-18.71	-18.78	-18.76
339	Mississippi Valley St.	-18.79	-18.87	-18.82	-18.78	-18.81
340	Tennessee St.	-19.02	-19.31	-19.27	-19.26	-19.21
341	Marist	-19.26	-19.30	-19.47	-19.42	-19.36
342	UMBC	-19.16	-19.47	-19.51	-19.38	-19.38
343	Liberty	-19.22	-19.48	-19.42	-19.87	-19.50
344	Binghamton	-19.45	-19.64	-19.75	-19.65	-19.62
345	Maine	-19.51	-19.93	-19.89	-19.71	-19.76
346	Alcorn St.	-20.11	-20.28	-20.19	-20.21	-20.20
347	Grambling St.	-20.54	-20.66	-20.46	-20.45	-20.53
348	Central Connecticut	-20.49	-20.69	-20.90	-20.87	-20.74
349	San Jose St.	-20.66	-21.14	-20.85	-20.75	-20.85
350	Central Arkansas	-22.74	-23.01	-23.06	-23.07	-22.97
351	Florida A&M	-23.16	-23.39	-23.27	-23.40	-23.31

What if we played out Joe Lunardi’s bracket?

February 25, 2015

As always, this is using the KenPoms, although Kentucky’s rating has been modified due to the fact that they are quite a bit better than their KenPom rating.

East	Final Four	Finalist	Champ
Virginia	0.4318	0.2916	0.1188
St. Francis NY	0.0003	0.0000	0.0000
Indiana	0.0095	0.0025	0.0003
Texas A&M	0.0115	0.0031	0.0004
VCU	0.0313	0.0107	0.0017
Harvard	0.0046	0.0010	0.0001
North Carolina	0.0648	0.0267	0.0055
Central Michigan	0.0031	0.0006	0.0001
West Virginia	0.0456	0.0170	0.0031
Cincinnati	0.0110	0.0029	0.0003
Maryland	0.0225	0.0067	0.0009
Georgia St.	0.0041	0.0008	0.0001
Mississippi	0.0222	0.0068	0.0010
Colorado St.	0.0043	0.0009	0.0001
Villanova	0.3323	0.2084	0.0755
William & Mary	0.0011	0.0002	0.0000
South	Final Four	Finalist	Champ
Duke	0.2113	0.0988	0.0298
Albany	0.0002	0.0000	0.0000
Ohio St.	0.0629	0.0226	0.0050
Georgia	0.0087	0.0020	0.0003
Baylor	0.1037	0.0401	0.0096
Iona	0.0013	0.0002	0.0000
Northern Iowa	0.1068	0.0416	0.0100
Wofford	0.0013	0.0002	0.0000
Georgetown	0.0466	0.0153	0.0030
Purdue	0.0085	0.0019	0.0002
Utah	0.2484	0.1232	0.0400
UC Davis	0.0011	0.0002	0.0000
Michigan St.	0.0452	0.0149	0.0030
LSU	0.0205	0.0056	0.0009
Kansas	0.1334	0.0536	0.0134
Florida Gulf Coast	0.0002	0.0000	0.0000
West	Final Four	Finalist	Champ
Gonzaga	0.3220	0.1114	0.0619
North Carolina Central	0.0009	0.0001	0.0000
Oklahoma St.	0.0211	0.0032	0.0008
St. John’s	0.0113	0.0014	0.0003
Arkansas	0.0258	0.0039	0.0010
Stephen F. Austin	0.0094	0.0011	0.0002
Louisville	0.0483	0.0087	0.0028
Valparaiso	0.0055	0.0006	0.0001
SMU	0.0348	0.0060	0.0018
Oregon	0.0052	0.0005	0.0001
Iowa St.	0.0901	0.0206	0.0081
Louisiana Tech	0.0027	0.0002	0.0000
Providence	0.0097	0.0012	0.0003
Iowa	0.0233	0.0038	0.0011
Arizona	0.3889	0.1519	0.0925
New Mexico St.	0.0011	0.0001	0.0000
Midwest	Final Four	Finalist	Champ
Kentucky	0.6872	0.5486	0.4425
Sacramento St.	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
Xavier	0.0080	0.0024	0.0007
North Carolina St.	0.0050	0.0014	0.0004
Wichita St.	0.0328	0.0132	0.0053
Texas	0.0096	0.0029	0.0009
Notre Dame	0.0164	0.0053	0.0017
Murray St.	0.0010	0.0002	0.0000
Butler	0.0154	0.0047	0.0014
Temple	0.0017	0.0003	0.0001
Oklahoma	0.0643	0.0275	0.0119
South Dakota St.	0.0005	0.0001	0.0000
San Diego St.	0.0133	0.0040	0.0012
Dayton	0.0023	0.0005	0.0001
Wisconsin	0.1422	0.0744	0.0395
High Point	0.0001	0.0000	0.0000

Every. Game. Counts. 2/25 Edition

February 25, 2015

We see the return of WAB. I’ve also calculated the Massey resume ratings, but I’m still working on a good way to properly display all the information (KenPom, Sagarin, BPI, Massey).

A brief refresher: To generate this data I put a generic bubble team and a generic monster (#1 seed quality) through each team’s schedule. For example, a Bubble Team would expect win win 63.97% of their games vs. UK’s schedule. A Monster team would expect to win 92.38% of its games vs. UK’s schedule.

Wins above Bubble is where the team’s currently stand, but don’t despair if your team is below the Mendoza-line! An additional While there are only 46 teams currently with a positive WAB, another 21 could still join them by winning out, and that doesn’t count the conference tournaments.

Finally, for now we have 3 clear #1 seeds. Kentucky, Virginia, and Gonzaga have all performed above a very high baseline. So has Villanova, but they will have to win out to stay above it. Speaking of Duke, if they win out they’ll end up solidly in the black as well.

Rank	Team	Win% > Bubble	Win% > Monster	Wins > Bubble
1	Kentucky	36.03%	7.62%	10.87
2	Virginia	32.42%	4.53%	9.18
3	Duke	28.09%	-0.39%	8.50
4	Villanova	27.94%	0.29%	8.26
5	Kansas	26.25%	-8.00%	7.75
6	Gonzaga	24.74%	3.05%	7.59
7	Wisconsin	26.06%	-2.88%	7.52
8	Arizona	22.90%	-3.58%	6.66
9	Maryland	17.35%	-9.29%	5.20
10	Iowa St.	18.75%	-12.29%	5.15
11	Northern Iowa	18.13%	-1.86%	4.84
12	Utah	15.81%	-10.20%	4.75
13	Louisville	16.46%	-11.69%	4.46
14	West Virginia	17.70%	-11.33%	4.35
15	Notre Dame	15.13%	-9.29%	4.26
16	Wichita St.	14.57%	-5.12%	4.08
17	Baylor	14.48%	-15.69%	3.92
18	Oklahoma	13.54%	-18.35%	3.80
19	Arkansas	14.80%	-9.28%	3.47
20	North Carolina	11.16%	-20.51%	3.11
21	VCU	11.28%	-15.01%	3.06
22	Butler	9.12%	-20.00%	2.67
23	Georgetown	9.34%	-20.68%	2.29
24	SMU	8.71%	-12.43%	2.19
25	Providence	7.02%	-21.15%	2.04
26	San Diego St.	5.57%	-15.71%	1.68
27	Texas A&M	5.25%	-21.35%	1.40
28	Colorado St.	4.46%	-13.85%	1.13
29	Oklahoma St.	4.22%	-26.24%	1.12
30	Michigan St.	5.42%	-21.03%	1.07
31	Stephen F. Austin	2.75%	-11.00%	0.91
32	LSU	4.32%	-21.16%	0.91
33	Mississippi	4.65%	-21.11%	0.80
34	Ohio St.	2.38%	-22.44%	0.73
35	St. John’s	4.70%	-22.83%	0.70
36	Davidson	3.62%	-17.47%	0.65
37	Valparaiso	3.68%	-11.08%	0.63
38	Indiana	3.13%	-23.44%	0.61
39	Georgia	3.51%	-24.04%	0.55
40	Texas	2.36%	-26.89%	0.48
41	Dayton	3.74%	-17.95%	0.45
42	Murray St.	1.72%	-11.61%	0.41
43	Iowa	0.57%	-27.65%	0.28
44	Saint Mary’s	1.10%	-19.73%	0.27
45	Oregon	3.57%	-20.93%	0.15
46	Boise St.	0.24%	-19.20%	-0.02
47	Purdue	1.59%	-24.94%	-0.06
48	Wofford	-0.23%	-15.88%	-0.11
49	Stanford	0.81%	-24.92%	-0.34
50	North Carolina St.	-1.90%	-30.05%	-0.36
51	Harvard	-0.31%	-16.16%	-0.36
52	Xavier	-0.43%	-29.14%	-0.38
53	BYU	0.60%	-21.32%	-0.44
54	Iona	-1.48%	-17.52%	-0.55
55	UCLA	-5.01%	-31.74%	-0.59
56	Rhode Island	0.51%	-19.36%	-0.59
57	Old Dominion	-2.90%	-19.88%	-0.72
58	Temple	-3.02%	-25.22%	-0.72
59	Green Bay	-3.10%	-20.33%	-0.76
60	Central Michigan	-0.66%	-16.14%	-0.78
61	UC Davis	0.43%	-13.60%	-0.79
62	Tulsa	0.09%	-21.24%	-0.92
63	Miami FL	-2.44%	-29.01%	-0.94
64	Illinois	-1.78%	-27.76%	-0.95
65	Pittsburgh	-1.43%	-26.08%	-0.96
66	Syracuse	0.73%	-25.99%	-1.08
67	Louisiana Tech	-4.41%	-21.20%	-1.11
68	Alabama	-2.17%	-28.54%	-1.27
69	Cincinnati	-4.82%	-27.74%	-1.29
70	Wyoming	-1.33%	-18.16%	-1.29
71	North Carolina Central	-6.67%	-18.87%	-1.53
72	UTEP	-5.39%	-22.98%	-1.54
73	Sam Houston St.	-3.63%	-15.64%	-1.56
74	Buffalo	-6.85%	-26.35%	-1.88
75	Yale	-6.19%	-25.31%	-1.97
76	TCU	-4.22%	-30.62%	-2.02
77	Toledo	-7.40%	-27.83%	-2.15
78	Seton Hall	-6.30%	-34.39%	-2.25
79	Oregon St.	-5.38%	-29.37%	-2.31
80	High Point	-6.92%	-21.59%	-2.44
81	Florida Gulf Coast	-8.06%	-21.92%	-2.46
82	George Washington	-7.18%	-29.94%	-2.53
83	Eastern Washington	-8.46%	-22.65%	-2.59
84	Massachusetts	-9.27%	-34.31%	-2.71
85	South Dakota St.	-8.97%	-23.10%	-2.82
86	Kansas St.	-7.75%	-39.63%	-2.83
87	Minnesota	-7.71%	-34.08%	-2.84
88	Georgia St.	-10.05%	-25.85%	-2.95
89	Tennessee	-8.37%	-37.13%	-3.07
90	Clemson	-8.62%	-34.94%	-3.08
91	Michigan	-10.33%	-38.04%	-3.17
92	Bowling Green	-9.17%	-27.00%	-3.21
93	Arizona St.	-9.56%	-35.48%	-3.27
94	Connecticut	-10.48%	-35.47%	-3.28
95	California	-7.22%	-31.98%	-3.32
96	Evansville	-8.95%	-27.07%	-3.46
97	Albany	-12.45%	-26.78%	-3.52
98	Kent St.	-9.53%	-27.75%	-3.56
99	Memphis	-8.42%	-30.24%	-3.59
100	Vanderbilt	-12.09%	-36.22%	-3.67
101	Coastal Carolina	-12.91%	-24.98%	-3.73
102	Washington	-9.87%	-34.70%	-3.81
103	Illinois St.	-13.44%	-33.74%	-3.84
104	North Dakota St.	-12.15%	-25.38%	-3.85
105	Florida	-12.33%	-42.14%	-3.91
106	Northeastern	-13.40%	-30.92%	-3.92
107	Georgia Southern	-9.98%	-21.81%	-3.94
108	South Carolina	-14.14%	-41.50%	-4.08
109	Pepperdine	-15.10%	-36.08%	-4.11
110	Incarnate Word	-12.88%	-26.25%	-4.23
111	Radford	-14.29%	-27.85%	-4.24
112	William & Mary	-16.16%	-32.98%	-4.30
113	Richmond	-14.68%	-38.07%	-4.32
114	Chattanooga	-14.55%	-27.24%	-4.39
115	Stony Brook	-15.41%	-30.97%	-4.48
116	UNLV	-15.93%	-39.52%	-4.50
117	New Mexico St.	-16.52%	-30.37%	-4.58
118	Charleston Southern	-14.83%	-29.75%	-4.62
119	La Salle	-14.74%	-38.14%	-4.65
120	Utah St.	-14.03%	-32.79%	-4.72
121	Florida St.	-13.74%	-38.51%	-4.78
122	Rider	-15.87%	-30.92%	-4.85
123	Penn St.	-13.60%	-38.42%	-4.93
124	Belmont	-18.06%	-32.28%	-4.95
125	UC Irvine	-15.07%	-33.24%	-4.95
126	Western Michigan	-15.41%	-35.22%	-4.97
127	Eastern Kentucky	-18.86%	-31.95%	-4.98
128	Loyola Chicago	-17.26%	-36.83%	-5.01
129	Western Kentucky	-16.58%	-34.44%	-5.14
130	Cleveland St.	-16.81%	-35.31%	-5.14
131	St. Bonaventure	-18.96%	-39.34%	-5.23
132	Portland	-16.75%	-36.93%	-5.27
133	Nebraska	-14.92%	-42.85%	-5.27
134	Creighton	-15.52%	-44.18%	-5.35
135	Alabama St.	-19.13%	-27.37%	-5.39
136	Texas Southern	-19.69%	-37.62%	-5.40
137	Marquette	-17.11%	-47.07%	-5.41
138	St. Francis NY	-17.27%	-28.63%	-5.42
139	Louisiana Monroe	-17.04%	-30.71%	-5.44
140	Sacramento St.	-16.44%	-27.57%	-5.44
141	Northwestern	-15.87%	-42.92%	-5.48
142	Long Beach St.	-19.65%	-45.69%	-5.49
143	USC Upstate	-18.31%	-28.80%	-5.60
144	North Florida	-18.54%	-33.55%	-5.66
145	Northwestern St.	-19.09%	-33.98%	-5.68
146	UNC Wilmington	-19.67%	-36.68%	-5.70
147	Tennessee Martin	-19.17%	-33.78%	-5.73
148	Wake Forest	-16.81%	-45.25%	-5.79
149	Eastern Michigan	-17.55%	-35.10%	-5.88
150	Colorado	-18.73%	-44.71%	-5.89
151	Georgia Tech	-19.54%	-47.55%	-6.00
152	Norfolk St.	-19.25%	-32.95%	-6.01
153	Oakland	-19.57%	-40.97%	-6.05
154	Hawaii	-19.32%	-34.85%	-6.07
155	San Diego	-18.99%	-42.59%	-6.27
156	UC Santa Barbara	-21.09%	-41.02%	-6.27
157	Akron	-20.23%	-38.78%	-6.27
158	NJIT	-23.39%	-36.73%	-6.43
159	East Tennessee St.	-22.15%	-37.40%	-6.51
160	Texas Tech	-18.40%	-46.47%	-6.54
161	UT Arlington	-22.27%	-37.07%	-6.57
162	Montana	-21.86%	-35.73%	-6.64
163	Lafayette	-23.14%	-37.05%	-6.64
164	Cal Poly	-23.76%	-43.17%	-6.76
165	Hofstra	-22.23%	-35.39%	-6.77
166	Columbia	-24.71%	-40.52%	-6.80
167	UAB	-23.63%	-41.72%	-6.80
168	Gardner Webb	-21.07%	-36.54%	-6.92
169	New Hampshire	-23.79%	-35.13%	-6.94
170	New Mexico	-23.67%	-45.03%	-6.99
171	James Madison	-21.61%	-37.37%	-7.05
172	Eastern Illinois	-22.77%	-39.43%	-7.08
173	Tulane	-22.14%	-41.75%	-7.08
174	DePaul	-22.16%	-49.69%	-7.14
175	IPFW	-27.08%	-41.48%	-7.16
176	Bucknell	-22.58%	-37.39%	-7.20
177	Auburn	-21.97%	-48.56%	-7.23
178	Washington St.	-21.83%	-48.55%	-7.31
179	Winthrop	-26.77%	-38.40%	-7.32
180	Vermont	-25.91%	-38.60%	-7.57
181	Monmouth	-25.26%	-40.92%	-7.67
182	Maryland Eastern Shore	-25.99%	-40.58%	-7.70
183	Oral Roberts	-26.68%	-42.66%	-7.73
184	Indiana St.	-25.05%	-44.51%	-7.79
185	Manhattan	-26.07%	-41.57%	-7.84
186	Mount St. Mary’s	-27.82%	-43.16%	-7.86
187	Canisius	-28.24%	-43.68%	-7.94
188	Mississippi St.	-23.59%	-48.48%	-7.99
189	Lehigh	-26.88%	-41.28%	-8.00
190	Northern Arizona	-26.21%	-40.94%	-8.00
191	Middle Tennessee	-25.37%	-42.79%	-8.06
192	UC Riverside	-25.53%	-43.11%	-8.06
193	Louisiana Lafayette	-27.20%	-40.46%	-8.19
194	Portland St.	-28.61%	-41.63%	-8.22
195	Santa Clara	-28.06%	-50.25%	-8.38
196	Mercer	-26.61%	-41.50%	-8.40
197	Grand Canyon	-27.73%	-38.59%	-8.45
198	Charlotte	-30.53%	-50.81%	-8.52
199	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-29.18%	-41.52%	-8.53
200	UTSA	-30.85%	-45.20%	-8.70
201	USC	-30.45%	-54.68%	-8.86
202	San Francisco	-30.51%	-51.17%	-8.86
203	Robert Morris	-30.96%	-46.10%	-8.87
204	Boston College	-30.32%	-58.44%	-8.90
205	Army	-29.27%	-41.40%	-8.95
206	Virginia Tech	-26.99%	-53.25%	-8.98
207	American	-30.71%	-46.81%	-9.04
208	UCF	-30.14%	-49.28%	-9.06
209	Rutgers	-27.05%	-55.94%	-9.07
210	Air Force	-31.88%	-49.73%	-9.09
211	Lamar	-28.61%	-43.76%	-9.10
212	St. Francis PA	-31.25%	-45.16%	-9.21
213	Quinnipiac	-32.26%	-45.87%	-9.22
214	North Texas	-27.90%	-45.75%	-9.26
215	Saint Joseph’s	-29.04%	-50.40%	-9.31
216	South Dakota	-30.76%	-45.43%	-9.48
217	Bryant	-34.11%	-49.03%	-9.60
218	Howard	-31.02%	-43.84%	-9.63
219	Detroit	-30.69%	-51.73%	-9.65
220	Missouri	-31.83%	-59.91%	-9.70
221	Milwaukee	-32.82%	-52.37%	-9.73
222	Princeton	-33.12%	-49.02%	-9.76
223	East Carolina	-30.61%	-50.34%	-9.76
224	Delaware St.	-32.85%	-49.60%	-9.88
225	Hartford	-34.27%	-48.50%	-9.90
226	Western Carolina	-34.31%	-50.20%	-9.91
227	Cornell	-33.36%	-50.36%	-9.93
228	SIU Edwardsville	-37.42%	-51.20%	-9.94
229	UNC Asheville	-35.31%	-49.28%	-10.13
230	Fresno St.	-31.61%	-51.20%	-10.14
231	Boston University	-36.73%	-50.70%	-10.22
232	Morehead St.	-35.44%	-51.28%	-10.30
233	McNeese St.	-39.50%	-53.73%	-10.33
234	Saint Louis	-32.73%	-53.58%	-10.37
235	Northern Illinois	-35.09%	-55.04%	-10.37
236	Pacific	-33.87%	-54.63%	-10.43
237	Miami OH	-33.82%	-52.70%	-10.44
238	Northern Colorado	-38.49%	-51.41%	-10.45
239	Seattle	-37.98%	-48.12%	-10.67
240	Texas St.	-38.29%	-52.74%	-10.72
241	Colgate	-35.27%	-51.39%	-10.76
242	Southern	-34.31%	-47.57%	-10.85
243	Dartmouth	-38.68%	-55.22%	-10.90
244	FIU	-33.06%	-48.47%	-10.94
245	Southeast Missouri St.	-39.20%	-53.88%	-11.02
246	Holy Cross	-39.99%	-54.87%	-11.04
247	Weber St.	-39.43%	-54.07%	-11.08
248	Wright St.	-38.19%	-56.50%	-11.12
249	Brown	-35.07%	-51.85%	-11.15
250	Houston Baptist	-37.35%	-51.37%	-11.15
251	Lipscomb	-38.45%	-52.43%	-11.16
252	Idaho	-40.59%	-53.57%	-11.19
253	UMass Lowell	-37.72%	-53.54%	-11.23
254	Duquesne	-38.93%	-59.43%	-11.28
255	Fordham	-39.70%	-62.32%	-11.40
256	Drake	-38.68%	-61.35%	-11.48
257	Missouri St.	-39.13%	-58.79%	-11.51
258	Saint Peter’s	-37.81%	-52.55%	-11.63
259	Northern Kentucky	-40.47%	-55.33%	-11.64
260	LIU Brooklyn	-39.42%	-52.92%	-11.69
261	Prairie View A&M	-40.24%	-55.13%	-11.70
262	New Orleans	-46.76%	-61.64%	-11.76
263	Loyola MD	-40.82%	-56.06%	-11.76
264	Denver	-39.77%	-55.89%	-11.77
265	George Mason	-37.81%	-62.02%	-11.78
266	Houston	-40.53%	-60.44%	-11.94
267	Loyola Marymount	-39.71%	-64.80%	-12.03
268	Arkansas St.	-42.22%	-57.01%	-12.10
269	Arkansas Little Rock	-38.57%	-52.72%	-12.14
270	VMI	-42.03%	-56.15%	-12.17
271	Sacred Heart	-40.78%	-52.64%	-12.19
272	Towson	-39.68%	-55.08%	-12.36
273	Hampton	-41.82%	-54.75%	-12.38
274	Tennessee Tech	-39.88%	-54.43%	-12.41
275	Drexel	-43.29%	-59.85%	-12.51
276	IUPUI	-44.84%	-63.62%	-12.61
277	Utah Valley	-44.46%	-57.28%	-12.71
278	Youngstown St.	-40.57%	-58.21%	-12.73
279	Cal St. Bakersfield	-40.92%	-52.64%	-12.75
280	Elon	-40.52%	-55.09%	-12.82
281	Ohio	-43.51%	-64.67%	-12.94
282	UMKC	-43.86%	-57.51%	-12.96
283	Penn	-46.05%	-65.21%	-12.97
284	Samford	-42.23%	-55.77%	-12.99
285	Southern Illinois	-42.20%	-60.44%	-12.99
286	Appalachian St.	-44.76%	-60.87%	-13.07
287	South Florida	-43.74%	-65.87%	-13.13
288	Navy	-43.75%	-57.58%	-13.14
289	Rice	-41.64%	-58.01%	-13.14
290	Siena	-44.74%	-60.27%	-13.24
291	Ball St.	-46.14%	-67.16%	-13.25
292	Southeastern Louisiana	-46.50%	-61.37%	-13.52
293	Troy	-45.75%	-58.94%	-13.52
294	Wagner	-45.65%	-59.96%	-13.53
295	Nevada	-46.43%	-65.04%	-13.71
296	Alabama A&M	-50.86%	-63.88%	-13.72
297	Marshall	-45.48%	-62.75%	-13.85
298	The Citadel	-47.51%	-60.18%	-13.91
299	Nicholls St.	-50.89%	-66.14%	-13.95
300	Western Illinois	-50.26%	-65.17%	-13.96
301	North Dakota	-48.85%	-64.41%	-14.02
302	Florida Atlantic	-47.81%	-64.46%	-14.04
303	Delaware	-49.38%	-65.88%	-14.10
304	Jacksonville St.	-43.85%	-55.99%	-14.16
305	Bradley	-46.75%	-66.82%	-14.32
306	Nebraska Omaha	-49.51%	-62.95%	-14.55
307	South Carolina St.	-48.12%	-61.59%	-14.56
308	Southern Miss	-49.36%	-68.63%	-14.65
309	Cal St. Fullerton	-45.99%	-63.31%	-14.73
310	Southern Utah	-51.85%	-65.41%	-14.90
311	Kennesaw St.	-48.29%	-62.34%	-14.91
312	Jackson St.	-52.04%	-64.15%	-14.99
313	South Alabama	-49.57%	-64.81%	-15.11
314	Savannah St.	-52.53%	-68.79%	-15.23
315	Niagara	-53.60%	-71.11%	-15.25
316	Texas Pan American	-50.80%	-64.18%	-15.29
317	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-51.98%	-65.70%	-15.54
318	Cal St. Northridge	-50.65%	-69.82%	-15.71
319	Coppin St.	-55.45%	-73.43%	-15.71
320	Bethune Cookman	-51.81%	-61.21%	-15.77
321	Fairleigh Dickinson	-56.78%	-70.93%	-15.98
322	Campbell	-52.05%	-65.76%	-16.01
323	Abilene Christian	-50.65%	-63.98%	-16.02
324	Furman	-55.24%	-70.07%	-16.06
325	Illinois Chicago	-52.49%	-71.52%	-16.18
326	College of Charleston	-51.89%	-71.12%	-16.20
327	Presbyterian	-51.12%	-65.34%	-16.26
328	Austin Peay	-55.42%	-71.56%	-16.54
329	Fairfield	-55.80%	-71.29%	-16.56
330	Morgan St.	-55.91%	-71.34%	-16.60
331	UNC Greensboro	-54.08%	-66.55%	-16.64
332	Stetson	-56.14%	-68.86%	-16.74
333	Jacksonville	-54.20%	-66.34%	-16.88
334	Montana St.	-55.52%	-69.37%	-16.89
335	Longwood	-56.28%	-70.47%	-17.17
336	North Carolina A&T	-57.67%	-71.66%	-17.31
337	Chicago St.	-56.94%	-74.36%	-17.53
338	Idaho St.	-63.66%	-75.76%	-18.82
339	Mississippi Valley St.	-64.43%	-78.53%	-18.99
340	Tennessee St.	-61.85%	-77.95%	-19.25
341	UMBC	-67.22%	-81.97%	-19.35
342	Liberty	-62.50%	-73.98%	-19.43
343	Marist	-64.95%	-79.68%	-19.43
344	Maine	-67.71%	-85.14%	-19.54
345	Binghamton	-65.02%	-79.99%	-19.67
346	Alcorn St.	-66.23%	-78.31%	-20.22
347	Central Connecticut	-67.10%	-80.20%	-20.69
348	Grambling St.	-74.40%	-88.12%	-20.73
349	San Jose St.	-68.91%	-88.39%	-20.85
350	Central Arkansas	-79.74%	-93.52%	-22.93
351	Florida A&M	-81.45%	-93.96%	-23.24

The Grand Unified Bubble Watch

If you have any questions, feel free to ask me on twitter @sethburn or email me at sethburn at gmail.

Win % > Bubble KenPom	Win % > Bubble BPI	Win% > Bubble Sagarin		Win % > Bubble Average
35.53%	36.29%	36.04%	Kentucky	35.95%	1
31.52%	33.26%	33.08%	Virginia	32.62%	2
28.51%	28.78%	30.54%	Wisconsin	29.28%	3
27.67%	28.52%	28.72%	Duke	28.30%	4
26.84%	27.18%	27.92%	Villanova	27.31%	5
25.60%	23.67%	26.59%	Kansas	25.29%	6
23.99%	23.66%	24.08%	Gonzaga	23.91%	7
22.22%	22.07%	22.20%	Arizona	22.17%	8
17.56%	18.67%	18.91%	Notre Dame	18.38%	9
17.90%	16.19%	18.92%	Iowa St.	17.67%	10
17.36%	17.19%	16.96%	Northern Iowa	17.17%	11
15.95%	17.24%	17.88%	Louisville	17.02%	12
16.08%	16.40%	17.79%	Maryland	16.76%	13
15.85%	14.51%	16.69%	West Virginia	15.68%	14
15.12%	14.99%	14.66%	Utah	14.92%	15
13.48%	14.42%	13.44%	Arkansas	13.78%	16
12.87%	13.65%	14.49%	North Carolina	13.67%	17
13.93%	14.00%	13.05%	Wichita St.	13.66%	18
13.70%	12.39%	14.84%	Baylor	13.64%	19
12.55%	11.49%	13.85%	Oklahoma	12.63%	20
10.54%	11.24%	9.21%	VCU	10.33%	21
8.80%	9.54%	9.88%	Georgetown	9.40%	22
8.69%	9.57%	9.49%	Providence	9.25%	23
8.49%	8.90%	9.19%	Butler	8.86%	24
7.89%	7.40%	7.24%	SMU	7.51%	25
7.25%	7.70%	7.24%	Texas A&M	7.39%	26
4.78%	5.96%	7.18%	Michigan St.	5.98%	27
4.99%	4.58%	5.29%	San Diego St.	4.95%	28
3.85%	4.84%	5.00%	St. John’s	4.57%	29
3.86%	4.90%	3.59%	Mississippi	4.12%	30
3.05%	4.51%	3.28%	Georgia	3.61%	31
3.74%	3.14%	3.79%	Colorado St.	3.56%	32
3.73%	2.41%	4.50%	Texas	3.55%	33
2.28%	3.15%	4.64%	Indiana	3.36%	34
3.09%	4.01%	2.89%	Davidson	3.33%	35
3.36%	1.96%	4.58%	Oklahoma St.	3.30%	36
2.79%	4.15%	2.80%	LSU	3.24%	37
3.07%	3.93%	2.41%	Dayton	3.14%	38
1.93%	2.79%	4.09%	Ohio St.	2.94%	39
2.73%	2.72%	2.62%	Oregon	2.69%	40
3.04%	2.28%	1.88%	Valparaiso	2.40%	41
0.74%	1.86%	3.30%	Purdue	1.97%	42
2.23%	1.37%	1.13%	Stephen F. Austin	1.58%	43
0.02%	0.96%	2.49%	Iowa	1.16%	44
1.16%	0.86%	0.61%	Murray St.	0.88%	45
0.23%	-0.03%	0.81%	Saint Mary’s	0.34%	46
0.00%	1.17%	-0.43%	Rhode Island	0.24%	47
0.26%	0.21%	0.16%	Stanford	0.21%	48
-0.17%	0.12%	-0.29%	UC Davis	-0.11%	49
-0.24%	-0.99%	0.03%	BYU	-0.40%	50
-1.20%	-0.40%	-0.06%	Syracuse	-0.55%	51
-0.87%	-0.21%	-1.07%	Wofford	-0.71%	52
-0.78%	-1.39%	-1.39%	Harvard	-1.18%	53
-1.49%	-1.41%	-1.04%	Xavier	-1.31%	54
-1.38%	-1.45%	-1.10%	Boise St.	-1.31%	55
-0.81%	-1.85%	-1.82%	Tulsa	-1.49%	56
-2.59%	-2.04%	-0.70%	Illinois	-1.78%	57
-2.86%	-1.57%	-1.27%	Miami FL	-1.90%	58
-1.87%	-2.31%	-1.94%	Wyoming	-2.04%	59
-1.90%	-2.62%	-2.40%	Central Michigan	-2.30%	60
-1.92%	-2.54%	-2.60%	Iona	-2.35%	61
-3.27%	-2.13%	-1.84%	Pittsburgh	-2.41%	62
-3.78%	-2.92%	-2.58%	North Carolina St.	-3.09%	63
-4.17%	-3.43%	-4.22%	Alabama	-3.94%	64
-3.68%	-4.32%	-4.49%	Old Dominion	-4.16%	65
-3.66%	-4.46%	-4.59%	Green Bay	-4.24%	66
-3.69%	-4.33%	-4.83%	Temple	-4.28%	67
-4.06%	-4.68%	-5.05%	Sam Houston St.	-4.59%	68
-4.96%	-5.95%	-4.03%	TCU	-4.98%	69
-5.15%	-5.52%	-5.36%	Louisiana Tech	-5.34%	70
-5.52%	-5.73%	-5.45%	UCLA	-5.57%	71
-6.03%	-6.44%	-6.40%	UTEP	-6.29%	72
-6.06%	-6.52%	-6.32%	Oregon St.	-6.30%	73
-5.85%	-6.63%	-6.83%	Cincinnati	-6.44%	74
-7.22%	-6.73%	-6.71%	Seton Hall	-6.89%	75
-7.11%	-7.06%	-7.38%	North Carolina Central	-7.18%	76
-8.27%	-7.22%	-6.08%	Minnesota	-7.19%	77
-6.44%	-7.54%	-7.69%	Yale	-7.22%	78
-7.74%	-6.70%	-7.89%	George Washington	-7.44%	79
-7.84%	-8.15%	-7.88%	California	-7.96%	80
-7.56%	-7.68%	-8.77%	High Point	-8.00%	81
-7.81%	-8.40%	-8.69%	Kent St.	-8.30%	82
-8.10%	-8.70%	-8.88%	Toledo	-8.56%	83
-8.50%	-8.52%	-8.69%	Florida Gulf Coast	-8.57%	84
-8.61%	-9.82%	-7.53%	Kansas St.	-8.65%	85
-9.30%	-8.25%	-8.48%	Clemson	-8.68%	86
-9.40%	-7.83%	-8.99%	Tennessee	-8.74%	87
-8.87%	-8.83%	-9.29%	Eastern Washington	-9.00%	88
-8.87%	-9.19%	-9.55%	Buffalo	-9.20%	89
-9.84%	-9.11%	-10.47%	Massachusetts	-9.80%	90
-9.47%	-9.91%	-10.93%	Evansville	-10.11%	91
-11.06%	-10.33%	-8.97%	Michigan	-10.12%	92
-9.23%	-10.65%	-10.53%	Memphis	-10.14%	93
-9.53%	-10.26%	-10.67%	South Dakota St.	-10.15%	94
-10.19%	-10.10%	-10.33%	Arizona St.	-10.21%	95
-10.49%	-10.77%	-10.56%	Georgia Southern	-10.61%	96
-10.49%	-11.01%	-10.68%	Washington	-10.73%	97
-10.75%	-10.86%	-11.16%	Georgia St.	-10.92%	98
-11.56%	-10.65%	-12.08%	Florida	-11.43%	99
-10.99%	-11.47%	-11.86%	Bowling Green	-11.44%	100
-10.99%	-12.02%	-11.67%	Connecticut	-11.56%	101
-12.64%	-11.39%	-12.47%	Vanderbilt	-12.17%	102
-13.09%	-12.21%	-13.10%	South Carolina	-12.80%	103
-12.58%	-13.46%	-13.13%	North Dakota St.	-13.06%	104
-14.30%	-13.15%	-12.11%	Penn St.	-13.19%	105
-14.19%	-12.94%	-12.68%	Florida St.	-13.27%	106
-12.81%	-13.80%	-13.57%	Albany	-13.39%	107
-13.26%	-13.10%	-14.93%	Coastal Carolina	-13.77%	108
-13.35%	-14.02%	-14.14%	Incarnate Word	-13.84%	109
-14.02%	-13.62%	-15.30%	Illinois St.	-14.31%	110
-14.18%	-14.63%	-14.50%	Northeastern	-14.44%	111
-14.93%	-14.06%	-15.18%	Chattanooga	-14.72%	112
-15.66%	-15.02%	-13.73%	Nebraska	-14.80%	113
-15.46%	-14.32%	-15.86%	Richmond	-15.22%	114
-15.37%	-14.74%	-16.26%	La Salle	-15.46%	115
-14.91%	-15.17%	-16.30%	Radford	-15.46%	116
-14.79%	-16.36%	-15.53%	UNLV	-15.56%	117
-15.47%	-14.99%	-16.82%	Charleston Southern	-15.76%	118
-16.55%	-15.95%	-14.81%	Northwestern	-15.77%	119
-15.88%	-16.17%	-15.42%	Pepperdine	-15.82%	120
-15.67%	-16.18%	-15.77%	Stony Brook	-15.87%	121
-15.73%	-16.09%	-16.45%	UC Irvine	-16.09%	122
-16.05%	-16.16%	-16.10%	Utah St.	-16.10%	123
-16.11%	-16.40%	-16.56%	Eastern Michigan	-16.36%	124
-17.38%	-15.89%	-16.07%	Wake Forest	-16.45%	125
-16.17%	-16.81%	-16.48%	Rider	-16.49%	126
-16.99%	-15.87%	-16.73%	New Mexico St.	-16.53%	127
-16.45%	-16.68%	-16.45%	William & Mary	-16.53%	128
-16.14%	-17.04%	-16.70%	Akron	-16.63%	129
-16.86%	-16.51%	-17.16%	Sacramento St.	-16.84%	130
-17.13%	-16.80%	-16.90%	Western Kentucky	-16.94%	131
-17.39%	-17.19%	-17.27%	Portland	-17.28%	132
-17.82%	-17.34%	-17.05%	Marquette	-17.40%	133
-17.46%	-17.78%	-17.95%	Louisiana Monroe	-17.73%	134
-17.50%	-17.87%	-18.45%	Cleveland St.	-17.94%	135
-18.18%	-18.06%	-17.59%	Creighton	-17.94%	136
-17.67%	-18.17%	-18.35%	St. Francis NY	-18.06%	137
-17.73%	-18.79%	-18.16%	Western Michigan	-18.23%	138
-17.88%	-18.04%	-19.29%	Loyola Chicago	-18.40%	139
-18.46%	-18.48%	-18.89%	Belmont	-18.61%	140
-18.74%	-18.34%	-18.99%	USC Upstate	-18.69%	141
-19.88%	-18.38%	-18.44%	Georgia Tech	-18.90%	142
-18.94%	-18.79%	-19.05%	North Florida	-18.93%	143
-19.34%	-19.23%	-19.29%	Eastern Kentucky	-19.29%	144
-19.36%	-18.95%	-19.58%	Alabama St.	-19.30%	145
-19.35%	-19.45%	-19.59%	Colorado	-19.47%	146
-19.23%	-20.86%	-18.41%	Texas Tech	-19.50%	147
-19.43%	-19.14%	-20.18%	St. Bonaventure	-19.58%	148
-19.59%	-20.11%	-19.60%	James Madison	-19.77%	149
-19.73%	-19.61%	-19.97%	Tennessee Martin	-19.77%	150
-19.83%	-20.07%	-19.46%	San Diego	-19.79%	151
-20.16%	-19.94%	-19.32%	UNC Wilmington	-19.81%	152
-19.89%	-19.66%	-19.94%	Texas Southern	-19.83%	153
-19.58%	-20.15%	-20.30%	Norfolk St.	-20.01%	154
-19.62%	-20.44%	-20.39%	Northwestern St.	-20.15%	155
-19.91%	-20.30%	-20.30%	Hawaii	-20.17%	156
-20.16%	-21.09%	-21.00%	Oakland	-20.75%	157
-20.45%	-21.22%	-20.62%	Long Beach St.	-20.76%	158
-21.49%	-20.96%	-20.61%	DePaul	-21.02%	159
-21.26%	-20.59%	-21.51%	Auburn	-21.12%	160
-21.68%	-21.68%	-23.25%	Gardner Webb	-22.21%	161
-21.71%	-22.19%	-22.73%	UC Santa Barbara	-22.21%	162
-22.38%	-22.31%	-22.38%	Montana	-22.36%	163
-22.45%	-22.61%	-22.42%	Washington St.	-22.49%	164
-22.65%	-23.19%	-22.92%	New Mexico	-22.92%	165
-22.73%	-22.38%	-23.78%	East Tennessee St.	-22.96%	166
-22.95%	-23.21%	-22.97%	Hofstra	-23.05%	167
-22.86%	-23.35%	-23.14%	UT Arlington	-23.12%	168
-23.09%	-23.43%	-23.37%	Bucknell	-23.30%	169
-22.89%	-23.74%	-23.75%	Tulane	-23.46%	170
-24.40%	-23.06%	-24.33%	Mississippi St.	-23.93%	171
-23.56%	-24.13%	-24.21%	Lafayette	-23.97%	172
-23.91%	-24.09%	-24.40%	NJIT	-24.13%	173
-24.01%	-24.13%	-24.28%	UAB	-24.14%	174
-23.50%	-24.74%	-24.87%	Eastern Illinois	-24.37%	175
-24.24%	-24.62%	-24.38%	New Hampshire	-24.41%	176
-24.43%	-24.44%	-24.93%	Cal Poly	-24.60%	177
-25.74%	-25.38%	-26.24%	Indiana St.	-25.79%	178
-25.11%	-26.33%	-26.69%	Columbia	-26.04%	179
-25.77%	-26.50%	-26.32%	Monmouth	-26.20%	180
-26.10%	-26.63%	-26.68%	Middle Tennessee	-26.47%	181
-26.20%	-26.48%	-26.74%	Vermont	-26.47%	182
-27.01%	-25.53%	-27.09%	Mercer	-26.54%	183
-26.17%	-26.84%	-26.83%	UC Riverside	-26.61%	184
-27.73%	-26.74%	-25.59%	Rutgers	-26.69%	185
-26.48%	-26.87%	-26.76%	Manhattan	-26.70%	186
-27.59%	-26.44%	-26.84%	Virginia Tech	-26.96%	187
-26.59%	-26.68%	-27.71%	Maryland Eastern Shore	-26.99%	188
-26.76%	-26.89%	-27.42%	Northern Arizona	-27.02%	189
-27.16%	-26.66%	-28.30%	Winthrop	-27.37%	190
-26.85%	-27.88%	-27.62%	Canisius	-27.45%	191
-27.25%	-27.77%	-27.76%	Lehigh	-27.59%	192
-27.41%	-28.33%	-28.01%	Oral Roberts	-27.92%	193
-28.17%	-27.81%	-28.20%	Grand Canyon	-28.06%	194
-27.78%	-28.48%	-28.51%	Louisiana Lafayette	-28.26%	195
-27.72%	-28.58%	-28.52%	IPFW	-28.27%	196
-28.17%	-28.79%	-28.89%	Mount St. Mary’s	-28.62%	197
-28.61%	-28.75%	-28.52%	North Texas	-28.63%	198
-29.61%	-28.37%	-28.23%	Boston College	-28.74%	199
-28.92%	-28.80%	-28.57%	Santa Clara	-28.76%	200
-29.11%	-29.23%	-29.36%	Portland St.	-29.23%	201
-29.11%	-30.08%	-30.12%	Lamar	-29.77%	202
-29.68%	-29.06%	-30.58%	Saint Joseph’s	-29.77%	203
-29.64%	-30.30%	-30.23%	Army	-30.06%	204
-31.15%	-30.99%	-30.75%	Charlotte	-30.96%	205
-31.25%	-30.80%	-31.04%	San Francisco	-31.03%	206
-31.06%	-31.33%	-30.95%	USC	-31.11%	207
-31.48%	-31.50%	-31.50%	UTSA	-31.49%	208
-30.91%	-31.60%	-31.97%	UCF	-31.49%	209
-31.20%	-31.93%	-31.69%	American	-31.61%	210
-31.33%	-31.77%	-32.15%	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-31.75%	211
-31.31%	-31.95%	-32.26%	South Dakota	-31.84%	212
-31.35%	-32.10%	-32.36%	Robert Morris	-31.94%	213
-31.29%	-32.27%	-32.30%	East Carolina	-31.95%	214
-31.55%	-32.06%	-32.37%	Howard	-31.99%	215
-31.50%	-32.46%	-33.07%	Detroit	-32.34%	216
-32.41%	-32.63%	-32.23%	Fresno St.	-32.43%	217
-31.62%	-32.94%	-32.75%	St. Francis PA	-32.44%	218
-32.45%	-32.93%	-32.22%	Air Force	-32.54%	219
-32.61%	-33.66%	-33.37%	Quinnipiac	-33.21%	220
-33.31%	-32.55%	-33.88%	Saint Louis	-33.25%	221
-33.61%	-33.32%	-33.67%	FIU	-33.54%	222
-33.28%	-33.92%	-34.15%	Milwaukee	-33.78%	223
-33.62%	-33.93%	-34.37%	Princeton	-33.97%	224
-33.31%	-34.00%	-34.83%	Delaware St.	-34.05%	225
-34.61%	-34.22%	-33.99%	Pacific	-34.27%	226
-33.85%	-34.71%	-34.66%	Cornell	-34.41%	227
-34.70%	-34.53%	-34.76%	Southern	-34.66%	228
-34.85%	-33.91%	-35.47%	Western Carolina	-34.74%	229
-35.15%	-34.34%	-34.78%	Missouri	-34.76%	230
-34.66%	-35.39%	-35.52%	Hartford	-35.19%	231
-34.61%	-35.88%	-36.15%	Bryant	-35.55%	232
-35.87%	-36.17%	-35.86%	Colgate	-35.97%	233
-35.39%	-36.41%	-36.26%	Brown	-36.02%	234
-35.70%	-36.58%	-36.18%	Northern Illinois	-36.15%	235
-35.69%	-35.95%	-37.39%	UNC Asheville	-36.34%	236
-35.91%	-36.60%	-36.70%	Morehead St.	-36.40%	237
-36.60%	-36.79%	-37.00%	Miami OH	-36.80%	238
-37.04%	-37.37%	-37.85%	Boston University	-37.42%	239
-38.38%	-37.58%	-37.92%	Seattle	-37.96%	240
-38.05%	-38.35%	-38.64%	SIU Edwardsville	-38.34%	241
-38.44%	-37.73%	-39.05%	George Mason	-38.41%	242
-38.18%	-38.67%	-38.56%	Saint Peter’s	-38.47%	243
-38.18%	-38.84%	-38.72%	UMass Lowell	-38.58%	244
-37.93%	-39.12%	-38.88%	Houston Baptist	-38.64%	245
-38.87%	-38.48%	-39.03%	Lipscomb	-38.79%	246
-38.91%	-38.75%	-39.25%	Northern Colorado	-38.97%	247
-39.46%	-38.55%	-39.83%	Duquesne	-39.28%	248
-38.82%	-39.81%	-39.43%	Texas St.	-39.35%	249
-39.19%	-39.53%	-39.63%	Arkansas Little Rock	-39.45%	250
-39.02%	-39.49%	-40.10%	Wright St.	-39.53%	251
-39.15%	-39.91%	-40.41%	Dartmouth	-39.82%	252
-39.44%	-39.66%	-40.77%	Drake	-39.95%	253
-39.71%	-39.51%	-40.85%	Missouri St.	-40.03%	254
-39.98%	-39.86%	-40.29%	Southeast Missouri St.	-40.04%	255
-40.37%	-39.58%	-40.95%	Fordham	-40.30%	256
-40.53%	-40.60%	-40.13%	Loyola Marymount	-40.42%	257
-40.30%	-40.80%	-40.41%	Towson	-40.50%	258
-40.37%	-40.56%	-40.87%	Ohio	-40.60%	259
-39.78%	-41.19%	-41.04%	LIU Brooklyn	-40.67%	260
-40.28%	-40.82%	-40.94%	Weber St.	-40.68%	261
-40.48%	-40.53%	-41.14%	Tennessee Tech	-40.72%	262
-40.33%	-41.03%	-40.93%	Holy Cross	-40.76%	263
-40.94%	-40.52%	-41.05%	Northern Kentucky	-40.84%	264
-40.36%	-40.99%	-41.72%	Denver	-41.02%	265
-40.68%	-41.50%	-41.05%	Prairie View A&M	-41.08%	266
-41.19%	-41.55%	-40.90%	Elon	-41.21%	267
-41.30%	-41.58%	-41.18%	Loyola MD	-41.35%	268
-41.13%	-41.69%	-41.77%	Idaho	-41.53%	269
-41.53%	-41.26%	-41.91%	Cal St. Bakersfield	-41.57%	270
-41.25%	-41.82%	-41.85%	Sacred Heart	-41.64%	271
-41.24%	-42.25%	-42.67%	Youngstown St.	-42.05%	272
-41.29%	-42.44%	-42.51%	Houston	-42.08%	273
-42.62%	-41.24%	-42.64%	VMI	-42.17%	274
-42.23%	-42.34%	-42.26%	Rice	-42.28%	275
-42.71%	-41.99%	-42.95%	Samford	-42.55%	276
-42.28%	-42.76%	-42.61%	Hampton	-42.55%	277
-42.54%	-43.36%	-43.21%	McNeese St.	-43.04%	278
-42.97%	-43.24%	-43.29%	Arkansas St.	-43.17%	279
-42.78%	-42.69%	-44.44%	Southern Illinois	-43.30%	280
-43.96%	-44.18%	-43.40%	Drexel	-43.85%	281
-44.24%	-43.58%	-44.20%	Jacksonville St.	-44.01%	282
-43.96%	-44.37%	-44.18%	Navy	-44.17%	283
-44.38%	-44.08%	-44.50%	UMKC	-44.32%	284
-45.02%	-44.50%	-45.39%	Utah Valley	-44.97%	285
-44.79%	-45.67%	-46.02%	South Florida	-45.49%	286
-45.43%	-45.48%	-45.69%	Appalachian St.	-45.53%	287
-45.17%	-46.00%	-46.24%	Siena	-45.80%	288
-46.08%	-46.01%	-45.96%	Marshall	-46.02%	289
-45.55%	-46.79%	-46.79%	IUPUI	-46.38%	290
-46.32%	-46.35%	-46.83%	Troy	-46.50%	291
-45.96%	-47.18%	-47.05%	Ball St.	-46.73%	292
-46.13%	-47.21%	-46.90%	Wagner	-46.75%	293
-46.69%	-46.85%	-47.34%	Cal St. Fullerton	-46.96%	294
-47.02%	-47.23%	-46.81%	Nevada	-47.02%	295
-47.11%	-47.55%	-47.64%	Southeastern Louisiana	-47.43%	296
-46.67%	-47.82%	-48.67%	Penn	-47.72%	297
-47.99%	-46.88%	-48.32%	The Citadel	-47.73%	298
-47.39%	-48.02%	-47.78%	New Orleans	-47.73%	299
-47.52%	-47.51%	-48.73%	Bradley	-47.92%	300
-48.86%	-48.36%	-48.70%	Kennesaw St.	-48.64%	301
-48.40%	-48.85%	-49.43%	Florida Atlantic	-48.89%	302
-48.68%	-49.07%	-49.54%	South Carolina St.	-49.10%	303
-49.35%	-49.67%	-50.04%	North Dakota	-49.69%	304
-50.07%	-49.99%	-50.24%	Nebraska Omaha	-50.10%	305
-50.24%	-50.07%	-50.00%	College of Charleston	-50.10%	306
-50.00%	-50.47%	-50.10%	Delaware	-50.19%	307
-50.23%	-50.81%	-50.65%	South Alabama	-50.56%	308
-50.06%	-50.86%	-50.95%	Abilene Christian	-50.62%	309
-50.15%	-51.06%	-51.07%	Southern Miss	-50.76%	310
-51.37%	-50.71%	-51.61%	Alabama A&M	-51.23%	311
-51.34%	-51.08%	-51.70%	Texas Pan American	-51.37%	312
-50.95%	-51.96%	-51.88%	Western Illinois	-51.60%	313
-51.26%	-51.87%	-52.07%	Cal St. Northridge	-51.73%	314
-51.47%	-52.21%	-52.18%	Nicholls St.	-51.95%	315
-51.68%	-51.92%	-53.33%	Presbyterian	-52.31%	316
-52.44%	-52.18%	-52.84%	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-52.48%	317
-52.30%	-52.59%	-52.88%	Bethune Cookman	-52.59%	318
-52.33%	-52.66%	-52.81%	Southern Utah	-52.60%	319
-52.61%	-52.52%	-52.88%	Jackson St.	-52.67%	320
-52.59%	-52.70%	-54.12%	Campbell	-53.13%	321
-53.10%	-53.72%	-54.10%	Savannah St.	-53.64%	322
-53.04%	-53.69%	-54.32%	Illinois Chicago	-53.68%	323
-54.25%	-53.21%	-54.45%	UNC Greensboro	-53.97%	324
-54.59%	-53.93%	-54.55%	Jacksonville	-54.35%	325
-55.64%	-54.95%	-56.01%	Furman	-55.53%	326
-55.92%	-56.12%	-56.48%	Coppin St.	-56.17%	327
-56.11%	-55.99%	-56.52%	Montana St.	-56.21%	328
-55.97%	-56.45%	-56.74%	Austin Peay	-56.39%	329
-56.66%	-56.15%	-57.09%	Stetson	-56.63%	330
-56.16%	-57.11%	-57.04%	Fairfield	-56.77%	331
-56.52%	-56.65%	-57.58%	Morgan St.	-56.92%	332
-56.69%	-57.69%	-57.29%	Niagara	-57.22%	333
-56.68%	-57.12%	-57.99%	Longwood	-57.27%	334
-57.14%	-58.02%	-58.02%	Fairleigh Dickinson	-57.72%	335
-58.14%	-58.07%	-58.49%	North Carolina A&T	-58.23%	336
-58.37%	-58.22%	-58.72%	Chicago St.	-58.43%	337
-62.27%	-62.83%	-62.87%	Tennessee St.	-62.66%	338
-63.02%	-63.38%	-64.81%	Liberty	-63.74%	339
-64.31%	-64.18%	-64.50%	Idaho St.	-64.33%	340
-64.90%	-64.73%	-64.67%	Mississippi Valley St.	-64.77%	341
-65.37%	-65.85%	-65.76%	Marist	-65.66%	342
-65.38%	-65.97%	-65.78%	Binghamton	-65.71%	343
-66.54%	-66.71%	-66.80%	Alcorn St.	-66.68%	344
-67.62%	-68.34%	-68.03%	UMBC	-68.00%	345
-67.61%	-68.57%	-68.63%	Central Connecticut	-68.27%	346
-68.33%	-69.07%	-68.62%	Maine	-68.67%	347
-69.61%	-69.97%	-69.68%	San Jose St.	-69.75%	348
-74.61%	-74.19%	-74.15%	Grambling St.	-74.31%	349
-80.23%	-80.98%	-81.08%	Central Arkansas	-80.76%	350
-82.02%	-82.13%	-82.68%	Florida A&M	-82.27%	351

Every game counts, yada, yada, yada, Sagarin edition: 2/24

Interesting that Sagarin has Wisconsin pretty solidly on the #1 line in terms of resume. I’ll see is there is an easy way to put KenPom, Sagarin, and BPI all on the same page.

Rank	Team	Win% > Bubble	Win% > Monster	Net wins over Bubble	Games remaining
1	Kentucky	36.04%	7.32%	7.17	4
2	Virginia	33.08%	4.84%	6.08	4
3	Wisconsin	30.54%	0.58%	5.76	4
4	Duke	28.72%	-0.14%	5.35	4
5	Villanova	27.92%	-0.29%	4.95	4
6	Kansas	26.59%	-8.48%	5.89	3
7	Gonzaga	24.08%	2.23%	5.53	2
8	Arizona	22.20%	-4.26%	3.33	4
9	Iowa St.	18.92%	-12.70%	2.60	4
10	Notre Dame	18.91%	-6.03%	3.29	3
11	Louisville	17.88%	-11.46%	3.18	3
12	Maryland	17.79%	-9.70%	2.26	4
13	Northern Iowa	16.96%	-2.64%	3.23	2
14	West Virginia	16.69%	-12.61%	2.06	4
15	Baylor	14.84%	-16.03%	1.64	4
16	Utah	14.66%	-11.55%	1.17	4
17	North Carolina	14.49%	-17.81%	1.68	4
18	Oklahoma	13.85%	-18.63%	2.04	3
19	Arkansas	13.44%	-10.47%	0.91	4
20	Wichita St.	13.05%	-6.11%	2.13	2
21	Georgetown	9.88%	-21.13%	0.79	3
22	Providence	9.49%	-19.40%	0.13	4
23	VCU	9.21%	-16.23%	-0.25	4
24	Butler	9.19%	-20.71%	0.04	4
25	SMU	7.24%	-13.25%	-0.27	3
26	Texas A&M	7.24%	-19.25%	-0.75	4
27	Michigan St.	7.18%	-20.61%	-0.59	4
28	San Diego St.	5.29%	-16.31%	-0.72	3
29	St. John’s	5.00%	-23.52%	-0.48	3
30	Indiana	4.64%	-22.88%	-0.60	3
31	Oklahoma St.	4.58%	-26.59%	-0.51	3
32	Texas	4.50%	-25.23%	-1.12	4
33	Ohio St.	4.09%	-21.86%	-1.55	4
34	Colorado St.	3.79%	-14.32%	-1.29	3
35	Mississippi	3.59%	-21.82%	-1.70	4
36	Purdue	3.30%	-24.32%	-1.65	4
37	Georgia	3.28%	-24.84%	-1.63	4
38	Davidson	2.89%	-17.99%	-2.20	4
39	LSU	2.80%	-22.66%	-1.95	4
40	Oregon	2.62%	-21.94%	-1.33	3
41	Iowa	2.49%	-26.85%	-1.75	4
42	Dayton	2.41%	-18.54%	-2.35	4
43	Valparaiso	1.88%	-11.61%	-1.14	2
44	Stephen F. Austin	1.13%	-11.53%	-3.06	4
45	Saint Mary’s	0.81%	-20.33%	-1.25	2
46	Murray St.	0.61%	-11.93%	-1.53	2
47	Stanford	0.16%	-25.78%	-2.57	4
48	BYU	0.03%	-21.99%	-1.44	2
49	Syracuse	-0.06%	-27.46%	-2.54	4
50	UC Davis	-0.29%	-13.87%	-3.44	4
51	Rhode Island	-0.43%	-19.88%	-3.16	4
52	Illinois	-0.70%	-27.56%	-2.74	4
53	Xavier	-1.04%	-30.11%	-1.56	2
54	Wofford	-1.07%	-16.17%	-1.92	2
55	Boise St.	-1.10%	-20.46%	-3.31	4
56	Miami FL	-1.27%	-28.63%	-2.91	4
57	Harvard	-1.39%	-16.76%	-3.56	4
58	Tulsa	-1.82%	-22.25%	-3.47	4
59	Pittsburgh	-1.84%	-27.25%	-3.16	4
60	Wyoming	-1.94%	-18.68%	-3.71	4
61	Central Michigan	-2.40%	-17.35%	-3.90	4
62	North Carolina St.	-2.58%	-31.33%	-3.17	4
63	Iona	-2.60%	-17.90%	-2.39	2
64	TCU	-4.03%	-31.04%	-3.62	4
65	Alabama	-4.22%	-30.81%	-3.68	4
66	Old Dominion	-4.49%	-20.43%	-4.42	4
67	Green Bay	-4.59%	-20.66%	-2.88	2
68	Temple	-4.83%	-26.29%	-3.53	3
69	Sam Houston St.	-5.05%	-16.24%	-4.82	4
70	Louisiana Tech	-5.36%	-21.65%	-3.91	3
71	UCLA	-5.45%	-32.55%	-3.40	3
72	Minnesota	-6.08%	-33.68%	-3.60	3
73	Oregon St.	-6.32%	-30.46%	-3.78	3
74	UTEP	-6.40%	-23.52%	-4.84	4
75	Seton Hall	-6.71%	-35.50%	-3.68	3
76	Cincinnati	-6.83%	-28.70%	-4.78	4
77	North Carolina Central	-7.38%	-18.96%	-4.55	3
78	Kansas St.	-7.53%	-40.28%	-3.30	2
79	Yale	-7.69%	-25.80%	-5.20	4
80	California	-7.88%	-32.84%	-4.81	4
81	George Washington	-7.89%	-30.73%	-4.96	4
82	Clemson	-8.48%	-35.02%	-4.21	3
83	Florida Gulf Coast	-8.69%	-22.19%	-4.11	2
84	Kent St.	-8.69%	-25.93%	-5.51	4
85	High Point	-8.77%	-21.89%	-4.13	2
86	Toledo	-8.88%	-28.38%	-5.42	4
87	Michigan	-8.97%	-38.15%	-4.25	3
88	Tennessee	-8.99%	-37.88%	-4.85	4
89	Eastern Washington	-9.29%	-23.05%	-5.84	4
90	Buffalo	-9.55%	-28.00%	-5.48	4
91	Arizona St.	-10.33%	-36.53%	-5.42	4
92	Massachusetts	-10.47%	-35.05%	-5.62	4
93	Memphis	-10.53%	-31.37%	-5.78	4
94	Georgia Southern	-10.56%	-21.94%	-6.10	4
95	South Dakota St.	-10.67%	-23.99%	-3.93	1
96	Washington	-10.68%	-35.52%	-5.51	4
97	Evansville	-10.93%	-28.28%	-4.64	2
98	Georgia St.	-11.16%	-26.24%	-6.27	4
99	Connecticut	-11.67%	-36.08%	-5.81	4
100	Bowling Green	-11.86%	-28.84%	-6.16	4
101	Florida	-12.08%	-41.35%	-5.67	4
102	Penn St.	-12.11%	-37.77%	-5.36	3
103	Vanderbilt	-12.47%	-36.69%	-6.09	4
104	Florida St.	-12.68%	-38.29%	-5.54	3
105	South Carolina	-13.10%	-40.44%	-5.93	4
106	North Dakota St.	-13.13%	-25.61%	-4.52	1
107	Albany	-13.57%	-27.14%	-5.34	2
108	Nebraska	-13.73%	-42.41%	-5.56	3
109	Incarnate Word	-14.14%	-26.74%	-6.79	4
110	Northeastern	-14.50%	-31.43%	-5.81	2
111	Northwestern	-14.81%	-42.75%	-6.52	4
112	Coastal Carolina	-14.93%	-25.57%	-5.20	1
113	Chattanooga	-15.18%	-27.32%	-6.09	2
114	Illinois St.	-15.30%	-34.94%	-5.80	2
115	Pepperdine	-15.42%	-36.74%	-5.04	1
116	UNLV	-15.53%	-38.52%	-7.04	4
117	Stony Brook	-15.77%	-31.26%	-6.20	2
118	Richmond	-15.86%	-39.02%	-7.14	4
119	Wake Forest	-16.07%	-45.40%	-6.76	4
120	Utah St.	-16.10%	-34.73%	-7.29	4
121	La Salle	-16.26%	-39.05%	-7.26	4
122	Radford	-16.30%	-28.44%	-6.43	2
123	UC Irvine	-16.45%	-34.10%	-7.40	4
124	William & Mary	-16.45%	-32.90%	-6.03	2
125	Rider	-16.48%	-31.25%	-6.42	2
126	Eastern Michigan	-16.56%	-33.35%	-7.65	4
127	Akron	-16.70%	-33.91%	-8.49	5
128	New Mexico St.	-16.73%	-30.75%	-6.50	2
129	Charleston Southern	-16.82%	-30.39%	-6.21	2
130	Western Kentucky	-16.90%	-34.74%	-7.53	4
131	Marquette	-17.05%	-47.59%	-6.81	4
132	Sacramento St.	-17.16%	-27.97%	-7.05	3
133	Portland	-17.27%	-37.55%	-6.32	2
134	Creighton	-17.59%	-47.01%	-7.23	4
135	Louisiana Monroe	-17.95%	-30.92%	-8.23	4
136	Western Michigan	-18.16%	-37.25%	-8.00	4
137	St. Francis NY	-18.35%	-29.01%	-7.07	2
138	Texas Tech	-18.41%	-47.03%	-6.99	3
139	Georgia Tech	-18.44%	-47.26%	-6.39	2
140	Cleveland St.	-18.45%	-35.97%	-6.12	1
141	Belmont	-18.89%	-32.64%	-6.12	1
142	USC Upstate	-18.99%	-29.06%	-7.27	2
143	North Florida	-19.05%	-34.11%	-7.15	2
144	Loyola Chicago	-19.29%	-38.07%	-6.93	2
145	Eastern Kentucky	-19.29%	-32.16%	-6.85	2
146	UNC Wilmington	-19.32%	-36.59%	-6.79	2
147	San Diego	-19.46%	-43.41%	-6.84	2
148	Alabama St.	-19.58%	-27.61%	-8.07	4
149	Colorado	-19.59%	-45.90%	-7.72	4
150	James Madison	-19.60%	-34.38%	-8.13	3
151	Texas Southern	-19.94%	-38.02%	-8.40	4
152	Tennessee Martin	-19.97%	-34.06%	-7.05	2
153	St. Bonaventure	-20.18%	-39.89%	-8.09	4
154	Norfolk St.	-20.30%	-33.43%	-7.53	2
155	Hawaii	-20.30%	-35.25%	-8.36	3
156	Northwestern St.	-20.39%	-34.56%	-7.76	3
157	DePaul	-20.61%	-48.97%	-7.67	3
158	Long Beach St.	-20.62%	-46.19%	-8.45	4
159	Oakland	-21.00%	-41.87%	-7.54	2
160	Auburn	-21.51%	-47.69%	-8.45	4
161	Montana	-22.38%	-35.94%	-8.34	3
162	Washington St.	-22.42%	-49.48%	-8.42	4
163	UC Santa Barbara	-22.73%	-41.81%	-8.97	4
164	New Mexico	-22.92%	-43.83%	-8.43	3
165	Hofstra	-22.97%	-35.69%	-8.36	2
166	UT Arlington	-23.14%	-37.31%	-9.25	4
167	Gardner Webb	-23.25%	-37.49%	-8.38	2
168	Bucknell	-23.37%	-38.00%	-8.42	2
169	Tulane	-23.75%	-42.47%	-9.28	4
170	East Tennessee St.	-23.78%	-38.01%	-8.08	2
171	Lafayette	-24.21%	-37.50%	-8.21	2
172	UAB	-24.28%	-41.71%	-9.13	3
173	Mississippi St.	-24.33%	-48.94%	-9.32	4
174	New Hampshire	-24.38%	-35.35%	-8.33	2
175	NJIT	-24.40%	-37.35%	-8.26	2
176	Eastern Illinois	-24.87%	-40.14%	-7.78	1
177	Cal Poly	-24.93%	-43.80%	-8.54	3
178	Rutgers	-25.59%	-55.78%	-9.00	3
179	Indiana St.	-26.24%	-45.57%	-8.87	2
180	Monmouth	-26.32%	-41.42%	-9.26	2
181	Middle Tennessee	-26.68%	-43.29%	-9.88	3
182	Columbia	-26.69%	-41.17%	-9.64	4
183	Vermont	-26.74%	-38.87%	-8.94	2
184	Manhattan	-26.76%	-41.88%	-8.87	2
185	UC Riverside	-26.83%	-43.81%	-9.60	3
186	Virginia Tech	-26.84%	-53.47%	-9.80	4
187	Mercer	-27.09%	-41.80%	-9.50	2
188	Northern Arizona	-27.42%	-41.42%	-10.72	4
189	Canisius	-27.62%	-42.12%	-9.12	2
190	Maryland Eastern Shore	-27.71%	-41.35%	-9.69	2
191	Lehigh	-27.76%	-41.79%	-9.16	2
192	Oral Roberts	-28.01%	-43.11%	-9.47	2
193	Grand Canyon	-28.20%	-38.80%	-10.46	3
194	Boston College	-28.23%	-57.08%	-9.85	4
195	Winthrop	-28.30%	-38.80%	-9.39	2
196	Louisiana Lafayette	-28.51%	-40.83%	-10.55	3
197	North Texas	-28.52%	-46.15%	-10.56	4
198	IPFW	-28.52%	-41.88%	-9.38	2
199	Santa Clara	-28.57%	-50.89%	-9.43	2
200	Mount St. Mary’s	-28.89%	-43.73%	-9.42	2
201	Portland St.	-29.36%	-41.91%	-9.90	3
202	Lamar	-30.12%	-44.38%	-10.59	3
203	Army	-30.23%	-41.57%	-9.88	2
204	Saint Joseph’s	-30.58%	-51.52%	-10.87	4
205	Charlotte	-30.75%	-51.17%	-11.31	4
206	USC	-30.95%	-55.56%	-10.40	3
207	San Francisco	-31.04%	-51.78%	-10.17	2
208	UTSA	-31.50%	-45.50%	-11.21	4
209	American	-31.69%	-47.16%	-10.51	2
210	UCF	-31.97%	-50.15%	-10.66	3
211	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-32.15%	-43.75%	-11.80	4
212	Air Force	-32.22%	-50.10%	-10.73	3
213	Fresno St.	-32.23%	-51.65%	-11.77	4
214	South Dakota	-32.26%	-45.89%	-11.04	2
215	East Carolina	-32.30%	-50.93%	-11.79	4
216	Robert Morris	-32.36%	-46.37%	-10.71	2
217	Howard	-32.37%	-44.20%	-11.64	3
218	St. Francis PA	-32.75%	-45.51%	-10.54	2
219	Detroit	-33.07%	-52.65%	-10.69	1
220	Quinnipiac	-33.37%	-46.20%	-10.71	2
221	FIU	-33.67%	-48.63%	-12.37	4
222	Saint Louis	-33.88%	-54.32%	-12.13	4
223	Pacific	-33.99%	-55.17%	-10.98	2
224	Milwaukee	-34.15%	-52.85%	-11.10	2
225	Princeton	-34.37%	-49.48%	-12.71	5
226	Cornell	-34.66%	-50.85%	-12.24	4
227	Southern	-34.76%	-47.80%	-12.57	3
228	Missouri	-34.78%	-63.32%	-11.82	4
229	Delaware St.	-34.83%	-50.29%	-12.19	3
230	Western Carolina	-35.47%	-50.61%	-11.57	2
231	Hartford	-35.52%	-48.89%	-11.26	2
232	Colgate	-35.86%	-51.45%	-12.01	2
233	Bryant	-36.15%	-49.59%	-11.45	2
234	Northern Illinois	-36.18%	-55.50%	-12.09	4
235	Brown	-36.26%	-52.27%	-13.02	4
236	Morehead St.	-36.70%	-51.59%	-12.27	2
237	Miami OH	-37.00%	-55.14%	-13.10	4
238	UNC Asheville	-37.39%	-49.75%	-11.80	2
239	Boston University	-37.85%	-51.12%	-11.87	2
240	Seattle	-37.92%	-48.16%	-11.62	2
241	Saint Peter’s	-38.56%	-52.82%	-12.85	2
242	SIU Edwardsville	-38.64%	-51.62%	-10.89	1
243	UMass Lowell	-38.72%	-53.69%	-11.66	1
244	Houston Baptist	-38.88%	-51.86%	-12.72	4
245	Lipscomb	-39.03%	-52.59%	-12.21	2
246	George Mason	-39.05%	-63.01%	-12.95	4
247	Northern Colorado	-39.25%	-51.64%	-12.77	3
248	Texas St.	-39.43%	-53.06%	-13.19	4
249	Arkansas Little Rock	-39.63%	-53.08%	-13.22	3
250	Duquesne	-39.83%	-59.91%	-12.99	4
251	Wright St.	-40.10%	-56.93%	-12.81	2
252	Loyola Marymount	-40.13%	-65.59%	-12.31	1
253	Southeast Missouri St.	-40.29%	-54.32%	-12.11	1
254	Towson	-40.41%	-55.54%	-13.35	2
255	Dartmouth	-40.41%	-55.78%	-12.98	4
256	Drake	-40.77%	-62.70%	-12.87	2
257	Missouri St.	-40.85%	-59.98%	-12.97	2
258	Ohio	-40.87%	-60.54%	-14.06	5
259	Elon	-40.90%	-55.17%	-13.51	2
260	Holy Cross	-40.93%	-55.16%	-12.31	2
261	Weber St.	-40.94%	-54.61%	-13.14	3
262	Fordham	-40.95%	-63.00%	-13.16	4
263	LIU Brooklyn	-41.04%	-53.41%	-12.79	2
264	Prairie View A&M	-41.05%	-55.51%	-14.36	4
265	Northern Kentucky	-41.05%	-55.41%	-12.72	2
266	Tennessee Tech	-41.14%	-54.85%	-13.20	2
267	Loyola MD	-41.18%	-56.20%	-12.76	2
268	Denver	-41.72%	-56.50%	-12.91	2
269	Idaho	-41.77%	-53.93%	-13.87	4
270	Sacred Heart	-41.85%	-52.71%	-13.87	2
271	Cal St. Bakersfield	-41.91%	-53.07%	-13.89	2
272	Rice	-42.26%	-58.22%	-14.22	4
273	Houston	-42.51%	-61.40%	-14.14	4
274	Hampton	-42.61%	-54.89%	-13.63	3
275	VMI	-42.64%	-56.44%	-13.18	2
276	Youngstown St.	-42.67%	-58.95%	-13.99	2
277	Samford	-42.95%	-56.05%	-14.14	2
278	McNeese St.	-43.21%	-56.64%	-14.13	4
279	Arkansas St.	-43.29%	-57.35%	-14.15	4
280	Drexel	-43.40%	-60.03%	-13.33	2
281	Navy	-44.18%	-57.70%	-14.04	2
282	Jacksonville St.	-44.20%	-56.13%	-14.53	2
283	Southern Illinois	-44.44%	-61.68%	-14.47	2
284	UMKC	-44.50%	-57.81%	-14.97	3
285	Utah Valley	-45.39%	-57.96%	-14.32	3
286	Appalachian St.	-45.69%	-61.26%	-14.69	4
287	Marshall	-45.96%	-62.92%	-15.58	4
288	South Florida	-46.02%	-66.95%	-15.12	3
289	Siena	-46.24%	-60.68%	-14.15	2
290	IUPUI	-46.79%	-64.19%	-14.68	2
291	Nevada	-46.81%	-65.45%	-15.27	4
292	Troy	-46.83%	-59.31%	-14.74	3
293	Wagner	-46.90%	-60.40%	-14.34	2
294	Ball St.	-47.05%	-67.00%	-14.77	4
295	Cal St. Fullerton	-47.34%	-63.83%	-16.01	4
296	Southeastern Louisiana	-47.64%	-61.98%	-16.10	4
297	New Orleans	-47.78%	-62.03%	-14.29	4
298	The Citadel	-48.32%	-60.46%	-14.75	2
299	Penn	-48.67%	-66.18%	-15.15	5
300	Kennesaw St.	-48.70%	-62.41%	-15.79	2
301	Bradley	-48.73%	-68.02%	-15.66	2
302	Florida Atlantic	-49.43%	-65.05%	-15.62	4
303	South Carolina St.	-49.54%	-62.15%	-16.05	2
304	College of Charleston	-50.00%	-68.47%	-16.83	3
305	North Dakota	-50.04%	-65.11%	-16.24	4
306	Delaware	-50.10%	-66.49%	-15.12	2
307	Nebraska Omaha	-50.24%	-63.21%	-15.61	3
308	South Alabama	-50.65%	-65.16%	-16.66	3
309	Abilene Christian	-50.95%	-63.18%	-17.53	5
310	Southern Miss	-51.07%	-69.42%	-15.62	3
311	Alabama A&M	-51.61%	-64.21%	-15.79	4
312	Texas Pan American	-51.70%	-64.63%	-16.15	2
313	Western Illinois	-51.88%	-65.66%	-14.65	2
314	Cal St. Northridge	-52.07%	-70.59%	-17.39	3
315	Nicholls St.	-52.18%	-66.51%	-15.78	4
316	Southern Utah	-52.81%	-65.71%	-16.59	4
317	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-52.84%	-66.02%	-17.84	3
318	Bethune Cookman	-52.88%	-61.52%	-17.87	4
319	Jackson St.	-52.88%	-64.50%	-17.73	4
320	Presbyterian	-53.33%	-65.81%	-17.15	2
321	Savannah St.	-54.10%	-69.18%	-17.31	4
322	Campbell	-54.12%	-66.03%	-17.40	2
323	Illinois Chicago	-54.32%	-72.29%	-17.32	2
324	UNC Greensboro	-54.45%	-66.64%	-17.50	2
325	Jacksonville	-54.55%	-66.47%	-17.53	2
326	Furman	-56.01%	-70.20%	-16.76	2
327	Coppin St.	-56.48%	-73.75%	-16.82	2
328	Montana St.	-56.52%	-69.75%	-17.73	3
329	Austin Peay	-56.74%	-71.99%	-17.52	2
330	Fairfield	-57.04%	-71.55%	-17.61	2
331	Stetson	-57.09%	-69.18%	-17.70	2
332	Niagara	-57.29%	-74.33%	-17.06	2
333	Morgan St.	-57.58%	-72.14%	-17.77	2
334	Longwood	-57.99%	-70.89%	-18.24	1
335	Fairleigh Dickinson	-58.02%	-71.22%	-17.34	2
336	North Carolina A&T	-58.49%	-71.73%	-18.88	3
337	Chicago St.	-58.72%	-75.58%	-18.62	2
338	Tennessee St.	-62.87%	-78.50%	-19.84	2
339	Idaho St.	-64.50%	-76.03%	-20.02	3
340	Mississippi Valley St.	-64.67%	-78.69%	-20.58	3
341	Liberty	-64.81%	-74.46%	-20.57	2
342	Marist	-65.76%	-79.96%	-20.09	2
343	Binghamton	-65.78%	-80.20%	-20.56	1
344	Alcorn St.	-66.80%	-78.48%	-20.59	3
345	UMBC	-68.03%	-82.20%	-20.02	2
346	Maine	-68.62%	-85.47%	-20.12	2
347	Central Connecticut	-68.63%	-80.64%	-21.62	2
348	San Jose St.	-69.68%	-88.79%	-21.21	4
349	Grambling St.	-74.15%	-88.07%	-21.10	4
350	Central Arkansas	-81.08%	-93.77%	-23.72	5
351	Florida A&M	-82.68%	-94.32%	-24.05	2

Every. Game. Counts. 2-24 BPI Edition

Would it kill everyone involved to use standardized names for the schools? In any event, here are the resumes as graded by BPI:

Interesting note: BPI prefers Duke’s resume to Wisconsin’s.

Rank	Team	Win% > Bubble	Win% > Monster	Net wins over Bubble	Games remaining
1	Kentucky	36.29%	8.17%	7.25	4
2	Virginia	33.26%	5.45%	6.13	4
3	Wisconsin	28.78%	0.34%	5.22	4
4	Duke	28.52%	0.75%	5.29	4
5	Villanova	27.18%	0.04%	4.72	4
6	Kansas	23.67%	-9.11%	4.98	3
7	Gonzaga	23.66%	2.81%	5.40	2
8	Arizona	22.07%	-3.94%	3.29	4
9	Notre Dame	18.67%	-5.56%	3.22	3
10	Louisville	17.24%	-10.54%	2.99	3
11	Northern Iowa	17.19%	-2.08%	3.30	2
12	Maryland	16.40%	-9.84%	1.83	4
13	Iowa St.	16.19%	-13.38%	1.78	4
14	Utah	14.99%	-10.55%	1.27	4
15	West Virginia	14.51%	-13.19%	1.39	4
16	Arkansas	14.42%	-9.49%	1.21	4
17	Wichita St.	14.00%	-5.47%	2.41	2
18	North Carolina	13.65%	-17.14%	1.42	4
19	Baylor	12.39%	-16.43%	0.88	4
20	Oklahoma	11.49%	-18.87%	1.34	3
21	VCU	11.24%	-14.86%	0.37	4
22	Providence	9.57%	-18.25%	0.15	4
23	Georgetown	9.54%	-20.13%	0.69	3
24	Butler	8.90%	-19.94%	-0.06	4
25	Texas A&M	7.70%	-18.36%	-0.61	4
26	SMU	7.40%	-12.50%	-0.22	3
27	Michigan St.	5.96%	-20.27%	-0.97	4
28	Mississippi	4.90%	-20.51%	-1.29	4
29	St. John’s	4.84%	-22.53%	-0.53	3
30	San Diego St.	4.58%	-16.02%	-0.94	3
31	Georgia	4.51%	-23.01%	-1.26	4
32	LSU	4.15%	-21.36%	-1.53	4
33	Davidson	4.01%	-16.95%	-1.88	4
34	Dayton	3.93%	-17.60%	-1.90	4
35	Indiana	3.15%	-22.87%	-1.06	3
36	Colorado St.	3.14%	-14.26%	-1.49	3
37	Ohio St.	2.79%	-21.87%	-1.95	4
38	Oregon	2.72%	-21.27%	-1.30	3
39	Texas	2.41%	-25.37%	-1.77	4
40	Valparaiso	2.28%	-11.31%	-1.02	2
41	Oklahoma St.	1.96%	-27.19%	-1.30	3
42	Purdue	1.86%	-24.29%	-2.09	4
43	Stephen F. Austin	1.37%	-11.45%	-2.98	4
44	Rhode Island	1.17%	-19.02%	-2.70	4
45	Iowa	0.96%	-26.72%	-2.22	4
46	Murray St.	0.86%	-11.72%	-1.46	2
47	Stanford	0.21%	-25.43%	-2.55	4
48	UC Davis	0.12%	-13.60%	-3.32	4
49	Saint Mary’s	-0.03%	-19.55%	-1.49	2
50	Wofford	-0.21%	-15.80%	-1.65	2
51	Syracuse	-0.40%	-26.67%	-2.64	4
52	BYU	-0.99%	-21.39%	-1.76	2
53	Harvard	-1.39%	-16.20%	-3.55	4
54	Xavier	-1.41%	-29.26%	-1.68	2
55	Boise St.	-1.45%	-20.02%	-3.41	4
56	Miami FL	-1.57%	-28.04%	-3.00	4
57	Tulsa	-1.85%	-21.81%	-3.48	4
58	Illinois	-2.04%	-27.52%	-3.15	4
59	Pittsburgh	-2.13%	-26.64%	-3.25	4
60	Wyoming	-2.31%	-18.44%	-3.83	4
61	Iona	-2.54%	-17.50%	-2.37	2
62	Central Michigan	-2.62%	-17.12%	-3.96	4
63	North Carolina St.	-2.92%	-30.53%	-3.28	4
64	Alabama	-3.43%	-29.37%	-3.43	4
65	Old Dominion	-4.32%	-20.07%	-4.37	4
66	Temple	-4.33%	-25.44%	-3.38	3
67	Green Bay	-4.46%	-20.24%	-2.84	2
68	Sam Houston St.	-4.68%	-15.89%	-4.71	4
69	Louisiana Tech	-5.52%	-21.38%	-3.96	3
70	UCLA	-5.73%	-31.90%	-3.49	3
71	TCU	-5.95%	-31.49%	-4.21	4
72	UTEP	-6.44%	-23.15%	-4.86	4
73	Oregon St.	-6.52%	-29.87%	-3.84	3
74	Cincinnati	-6.63%	-28.18%	-4.72	4
75	George Washington	-6.70%	-29.55%	-4.60	4
76	Seton Hall	-6.73%	-34.43%	-3.69	3
77	North Carolina Central	-7.06%	-18.75%	-4.45	3
78	Minnesota	-7.22%	-33.35%	-3.95	3
79	Yale	-7.54%	-25.41%	-5.15	4
80	High Point	-7.68%	-21.68%	-3.80	2
81	Tennessee	-7.83%	-36.38%	-4.50	4
82	California	-8.15%	-32.41%	-4.90	4
83	Clemson	-8.25%	-34.19%	-4.14	3
84	Kent St.	-8.40%	-25.37%	-5.42	4
85	Florida Gulf Coast	-8.52%	-21.99%	-4.06	2
86	Toledo	-8.70%	-27.87%	-5.36	4
87	Eastern Washington	-8.83%	-22.70%	-5.70	4
88	Massachusetts	-9.11%	-34.08%	-5.19	4
89	Buffalo	-9.19%	-27.18%	-5.37	4
90	Kansas St.	-9.82%	-40.65%	-4.01	2
91	Evansville	-9.91%	-27.29%	-4.33	2
92	Arizona St.	-10.10%	-35.91%	-5.35	4
93	South Dakota St.	-10.26%	-23.65%	-3.80	1
94	Michigan	-10.33%	-37.76%	-4.65	3
95	Memphis	-10.65%	-30.68%	-5.82	4
96	Florida	-10.65%	-39.57%	-5.23	4
97	Georgia Southern	-10.77%	-21.90%	-6.16	4
98	Georgia St.	-10.86%	-25.97%	-6.18	4
99	Washington	-11.01%	-35.42%	-5.61	4
100	Vanderbilt	-11.39%	-35.48%	-5.75	4
101	Bowling Green	-11.47%	-28.37%	-6.05	4
102	Connecticut	-12.02%	-35.69%	-5.91	4
103	South Carolina	-12.21%	-38.96%	-5.66	4
104	Florida St.	-12.94%	-37.68%	-5.62	3
105	Coastal Carolina	-13.10%	-24.96%	-4.65	1
106	Penn St.	-13.15%	-37.63%	-5.68	3
107	North Dakota St.	-13.46%	-25.82%	-4.62	1
108	Illinois St.	-13.62%	-33.74%	-5.30	2
109	Albany	-13.80%	-26.94%	-5.41	2
110	Incarnate Word	-14.02%	-26.53%	-6.76	4
111	Chattanooga	-14.06%	-26.80%	-5.74	2
112	Richmond	-14.32%	-37.75%	-6.66	4
113	Northeastern	-14.63%	-31.09%	-5.85	2
114	La Salle	-14.74%	-37.74%	-6.79	4
115	Charleston Southern	-14.99%	-29.69%	-5.68	2
116	Nebraska	-15.02%	-42.24%	-5.95	3
117	Radford	-15.17%	-28.06%	-6.08	2
118	New Mexico St.	-15.87%	-30.39%	-6.23	2
119	Wake Forest	-15.89%	-44.26%	-6.70	4
120	Northwestern	-15.95%	-42.40%	-6.87	4
121	UC Irvine	-16.09%	-33.47%	-7.29	4
122	Utah St.	-16.16%	-34.50%	-7.31	4
123	Pepperdine	-16.17%	-36.05%	-5.26	1
124	Stony Brook	-16.18%	-31.00%	-6.33	2
125	UNLV	-16.36%	-38.21%	-7.29	4
126	Eastern Michigan	-16.40%	-32.96%	-7.60	4
127	Sacramento St.	-16.51%	-27.32%	-6.86	3
128	William & Mary	-16.68%	-32.74%	-6.10	2
129	Western Kentucky	-16.80%	-34.32%	-7.50	4
130	Rider	-16.81%	-30.90%	-6.52	2
131	Akron	-17.04%	-33.70%	-8.60	5
132	Portland	-17.19%	-36.58%	-6.30	2
133	Marquette	-17.34%	-46.82%	-6.89	4
134	Louisiana Monroe	-17.78%	-30.72%	-8.18	4
135	Cleveland St.	-17.87%	-35.09%	-5.95	1
136	Loyola Chicago	-18.04%	-37.04%	-6.55	2
137	Creighton	-18.06%	-46.24%	-7.38	4
138	St. Francis NY	-18.17%	-28.76%	-7.01	2
139	USC Upstate	-18.34%	-28.73%	-7.06	2
140	Georgia Tech	-18.38%	-46.45%	-6.37	2
141	Belmont	-18.48%	-32.26%	-6.00	1
142	North Florida	-18.79%	-33.72%	-7.07	2
143	Western Michigan	-18.79%	-37.05%	-8.20	4
144	Alabama St.	-18.95%	-27.51%	-7.90	4
145	St. Bonaventure	-19.14%	-39.19%	-7.79	4
146	Eastern Kentucky	-19.23%	-31.69%	-6.84	2
147	Colorado	-19.45%	-45.30%	-7.68	4
148	Tennessee Martin	-19.61%	-33.80%	-6.95	2
149	Texas Southern	-19.66%	-37.49%	-8.32	4
150	UNC Wilmington	-19.94%	-36.40%	-6.97	2
151	San Diego	-20.07%	-42.57%	-7.02	2
152	James Madison	-20.11%	-34.28%	-8.30	3
153	Norfolk St.	-20.15%	-33.00%	-7.49	2
154	Hawaii	-20.30%	-34.98%	-8.36	3
155	Northwestern St.	-20.44%	-34.34%	-7.77	3
156	Auburn	-20.59%	-46.52%	-8.16	4
157	Texas Tech	-20.86%	-47.62%	-7.75	3
158	DePaul	-20.96%	-48.16%	-7.78	3
159	Oakland	-21.09%	-41.41%	-7.57	2
160	Long Beach St.	-21.22%	-46.11%	-8.65	4
161	Gardner Webb	-21.68%	-36.75%	-7.89	2
162	UC Santa Barbara	-22.19%	-41.10%	-8.81	4
163	Montana	-22.31%	-35.75%	-8.32	3
164	East Tennessee St.	-22.38%	-37.37%	-7.67	2
165	Washington St.	-22.61%	-48.84%	-8.48	4
166	Mississippi St.	-23.06%	-47.73%	-8.93	4
167	New Mexico	-23.19%	-43.58%	-8.51	3
168	Hofstra	-23.21%	-35.55%	-8.44	2
169	UT Arlington	-23.35%	-37.07%	-9.31	4
170	Bucknell	-23.43%	-37.46%	-8.44	2
171	Tulane	-23.74%	-42.15%	-9.28	4
172	NJIT	-24.09%	-36.78%	-8.17	2
173	UAB	-24.13%	-41.26%	-9.09	3
174	Lafayette	-24.13%	-37.06%	-8.18	2
175	Cal Poly	-24.44%	-42.98%	-8.40	3
176	New Hampshire	-24.62%	-35.22%	-8.40	2
177	Eastern Illinois	-24.74%	-39.84%	-7.75	1
178	Indiana St.	-25.38%	-44.59%	-8.61	2
179	Mercer	-25.53%	-41.04%	-9.02	2
180	Columbia	-26.33%	-40.53%	-9.54	4
181	Virginia Tech	-26.44%	-52.40%	-9.68	4
182	Vermont	-26.48%	-38.63%	-8.86	2
183	Monmouth	-26.50%	-41.09%	-9.32	2
184	Middle Tennessee	-26.63%	-43.07%	-9.86	3
185	Winthrop	-26.66%	-38.30%	-8.92	2
186	Maryland Eastern Shore	-26.68%	-40.53%	-9.37	2
187	Rutgers	-26.74%	-55.39%	-9.36	3
188	UC Riverside	-26.84%	-43.80%	-9.61	3
189	Manhattan	-26.87%	-41.62%	-8.90	2
190	Northern Arizona	-26.89%	-41.00%	-10.56	4
191	Lehigh	-27.77%	-41.41%	-9.16	2
192	Grand Canyon	-27.81%	-38.35%	-10.34	3
193	Canisius	-27.88%	-41.90%	-9.20	2
194	Oral Roberts	-28.33%	-43.12%	-9.57	2
195	Boston College	-28.37%	-56.40%	-9.90	4
196	Louisiana Lafayette	-28.48%	-40.67%	-10.54	3
197	IPFW	-28.58%	-41.68%	-9.40	2
198	North Texas	-28.75%	-45.87%	-10.63	4
199	Mount St. Mary’s	-28.79%	-43.17%	-9.39	2
200	Santa Clara	-28.80%	-49.98%	-9.50	2
201	Saint Joseph’s	-29.06%	-49.93%	-10.41	4
202	Portland St.	-29.23%	-41.68%	-9.86	3
203	Lamar	-30.08%	-44.21%	-10.58	3
204	Army	-30.30%	-41.41%	-9.90	2
205	San Francisco	-30.80%	-50.78%	-10.10	2
206	Charlotte	-30.99%	-50.76%	-11.38	4
207	USC	-31.33%	-55.29%	-10.51	3
208	UTSA	-31.50%	-45.29%	-11.21	4
209	UCF	-31.60%	-49.66%	-10.55	3
210	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-31.77%	-43.49%	-11.69	4
211	American	-31.93%	-47.01%	-10.58	2
212	South Dakota	-31.95%	-45.62%	-10.94	2
213	Howard	-32.06%	-44.02%	-11.55	3
214	Robert Morris	-32.10%	-46.08%	-10.63	2
215	East Carolina	-32.27%	-50.61%	-11.78	4
216	Detroit	-32.46%	-52.09%	-10.50	1
217	Saint Louis	-32.55%	-53.33%	-11.72	4
218	Fresno St.	-32.63%	-51.49%	-11.89	4
219	Air Force	-32.93%	-50.05%	-10.94	3
220	St. Francis PA	-32.94%	-45.53%	-10.59	2
221	FIU	-33.32%	-48.28%	-12.26	4
222	Quinnipiac	-33.66%	-46.03%	-10.80	2
223	Western Carolina	-33.91%	-50.07%	-11.10	2
224	Milwaukee	-33.92%	-52.37%	-11.03	2
225	Princeton	-33.93%	-49.09%	-12.58	5
226	Delaware St.	-34.00%	-49.70%	-11.93	3
227	Pacific	-34.22%	-54.24%	-11.05	2
228	Missouri	-34.34%	-62.01%	-11.68	4
229	Southern	-34.53%	-47.75%	-12.50	3
230	Cornell	-34.71%	-50.60%	-12.26	4
231	Hartford	-35.39%	-48.47%	-11.23	2
232	Bryant	-35.88%	-49.32%	-11.37	2
233	UNC Asheville	-35.95%	-49.36%	-11.39	2
234	Colgate	-36.17%	-51.50%	-12.11	2
235	Brown	-36.41%	-52.01%	-13.06	4
236	Northern Illinois	-36.58%	-55.32%	-12.21	4
237	Morehead St.	-36.60%	-51.50%	-12.24	2
238	Miami OH	-36.79%	-54.95%	-13.03	4
239	Boston University	-37.37%	-50.44%	-11.73	2
240	Seattle	-37.58%	-48.00%	-11.52	2
241	George Mason	-37.73%	-61.96%	-12.55	4
242	SIU Edwardsville	-38.35%	-51.38%	-10.81	1
243	Lipscomb	-38.48%	-52.43%	-12.05	2
244	Duquesne	-38.55%	-59.18%	-12.62	4
245	Saint Peter’s	-38.67%	-52.58%	-12.88	2
246	Northern Colorado	-38.75%	-51.33%	-12.62	3
247	UMass Lowell	-38.84%	-53.63%	-11.69	1
248	Houston Baptist	-39.12%	-51.75%	-12.79	4
249	Wright St.	-39.49%	-56.68%	-12.63	2
250	Missouri St.	-39.51%	-58.89%	-12.57	2
251	Arkansas Little Rock	-39.53%	-52.84%	-13.19	3
252	Fordham	-39.58%	-62.12%	-12.76	4
253	Drake	-39.66%	-61.62%	-12.54	2
254	Texas St.	-39.81%	-53.16%	-13.31	4
255	Southeast Missouri St.	-39.86%	-53.84%	-11.99	1
256	Dartmouth	-39.91%	-55.40%	-12.84	4
257	Northern Kentucky	-40.52%	-54.90%	-12.57	2
258	Tennessee Tech	-40.53%	-54.50%	-13.02	2
259	Ohio	-40.56%	-60.13%	-13.97	5
260	Loyola Marymount	-40.60%	-64.59%	-12.46	1
261	Towson	-40.80%	-55.33%	-13.48	2
262	Weber St.	-40.82%	-54.52%	-13.11	3
263	Denver	-40.99%	-56.01%	-12.70	2
264	Holy Cross	-41.03%	-55.00%	-12.34	2
265	LIU Brooklyn	-41.19%	-53.23%	-12.83	2
266	VMI	-41.24%	-55.91%	-12.77	2
267	Cal St. Bakersfield	-41.26%	-52.84%	-13.69	2
268	Prairie View A&M	-41.50%	-55.70%	-14.49	4
269	Elon	-41.55%	-55.10%	-13.71	2
270	Loyola MD	-41.58%	-56.11%	-12.87	2
271	Idaho	-41.69%	-53.80%	-13.85	4
272	Sacred Heart	-41.82%	-52.72%	-13.86	2
273	Samford	-41.99%	-55.72%	-13.84	2
274	Youngstown St.	-42.25%	-58.50%	-13.86	2
275	Rice	-42.34%	-58.12%	-14.24	4
276	Houston	-42.44%	-60.99%	-14.12	4
277	Southern Illinois	-42.69%	-60.55%	-13.92	2
278	Hampton	-42.76%	-54.98%	-13.67	3
279	Arkansas St.	-43.24%	-57.13%	-14.14	4
280	McNeese St.	-43.36%	-56.62%	-14.18	4
281	Jacksonville St.	-43.58%	-55.85%	-14.34	2
282	UMKC	-44.08%	-57.64%	-14.84	3
283	Drexel	-44.18%	-59.97%	-13.55	2
284	Navy	-44.37%	-57.49%	-14.10	2
285	Utah Valley	-44.50%	-57.29%	-14.06	3
286	Appalachian St.	-45.48%	-60.97%	-14.63	4
287	South Florida	-45.67%	-66.44%	-15.02	3
288	Siena	-46.00%	-60.38%	-14.08	2
289	Marshall	-46.01%	-62.60%	-15.60	4
290	Troy	-46.35%	-58.94%	-14.60	3
291	IUPUI	-46.79%	-63.97%	-14.68	2
292	Cal St. Fullerton	-46.85%	-63.45%	-15.86	4
293	The Citadel	-46.88%	-60.02%	-14.34	2
294	Ball St.	-47.18%	-66.94%	-14.80	4
295	Wagner	-47.21%	-60.21%	-14.43	2
296	Nevada	-47.23%	-65.30%	-15.40	4
297	Bradley	-47.51%	-66.99%	-15.28	2
298	Southeastern Louisiana	-47.55%	-61.64%	-16.07	4
299	Penn	-47.82%	-65.48%	-14.91	5
300	New Orleans	-48.02%	-61.87%	-14.36	4
301	Kennesaw St.	-48.36%	-62.27%	-15.68	2
302	Florida Atlantic	-48.85%	-64.54%	-15.45	4
303	South Carolina St.	-49.07%	-61.59%	-15.90	2
304	North Dakota	-49.67%	-64.77%	-16.13	4
305	Nebraska Omaha	-49.99%	-62.97%	-15.54	3
306	College of Charleston	-50.07%	-68.16%	-16.85	3
307	Delaware	-50.47%	-66.01%	-15.23	2
308	Alabama A&M	-50.71%	-63.71%	-15.53	4
309	South Alabama	-50.81%	-65.02%	-16.71	3
310	Abilene Christian	-50.86%	-63.04%	-17.50	5
311	Southern Miss	-51.06%	-69.01%	-15.62	3
312	Texas Pan American	-51.08%	-64.56%	-15.97	2
313	Cal St. Northridge	-51.87%	-70.06%	-17.32	3
314	Presbyterian	-51.92%	-65.35%	-16.71	2
315	Western Illinois	-51.96%	-65.47%	-14.67	2
316	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-52.18%	-65.72%	-17.63	3
317	Nicholls St.	-52.21%	-66.10%	-15.79	4
318	Jackson St.	-52.52%	-64.27%	-17.62	4
319	Bethune Cookman	-52.59%	-61.38%	-17.79	4
320	Southern Utah	-52.66%	-65.54%	-16.55	4
321	Campbell	-52.70%	-65.77%	-16.96	2
322	UNC Greensboro	-53.21%	-66.29%	-17.12	2
323	Illinois Chicago	-53.69%	-71.71%	-17.13	2
324	Savannah St.	-53.72%	-68.86%	-17.19	4
325	Jacksonville	-53.93%	-66.20%	-17.34	2
326	Furman	-54.95%	-69.85%	-16.45	2
327	Montana St.	-55.99%	-69.18%	-17.58	3
328	Coppin St.	-56.12%	-73.34%	-16.72	2
329	Stetson	-56.15%	-68.77%	-17.42	2
330	Austin Peay	-56.45%	-71.70%	-17.44	2
331	Morgan St.	-56.65%	-71.40%	-17.49	2
332	Fairfield	-57.11%	-71.32%	-17.63	2
333	Longwood	-57.12%	-70.66%	-17.97	1
334	Niagara	-57.69%	-74.13%	-17.17	2
335	Fairleigh Dickinson	-58.02%	-70.96%	-17.34	2
336	North Carolina A&T	-58.07%	-71.66%	-18.75	3
337	Chicago St.	-58.22%	-75.16%	-18.46	2
338	Tennessee St.	-62.83%	-77.93%	-19.82	2
339	Liberty	-63.38%	-74.08%	-20.13	2
340	Idaho St.	-64.18%	-75.83%	-19.92	3
341	Mississippi Valley St.	-64.73%	-78.62%	-20.60	3
342	Marist	-65.85%	-79.75%	-20.11	2
343	Binghamton	-65.97%	-79.96%	-20.62	1
344	Alcorn St.	-66.71%	-78.55%	-20.57	3
345	UMBC	-68.34%	-82.18%	-20.12	2
346	Central Connecticut	-68.57%	-80.38%	-21.60	2
347	Maine	-69.07%	-85.31%	-20.25	2
348	San Jose St.	-69.97%	-88.55%	-21.30	4
349	Grambling St.	-74.19%	-87.87%	-21.11	4
350	Central Arkansas	-80.98%	-93.56%	-23.69	5
351	Florida A&M	-82.13%	-94.05%	-23.89	2

Every. Game. Counts. 2/24 Edition

This is is sorted by Win% > Bubble. For those of you looking at these rankings for the first time, Win% > Bubble is the team’s winning percentage – the expected winning percentage of an average bubble team. There are 47 teams above the Mendoza line, although Iowa is pretty much right there.

Win% > Monster works the same way, but with a much higher baseline. Win% > Monster is useful in determining which teams have resumes worthy of being a #1 seed. You’ll note that some teams have a larger difference between the two percentages than other teams. That has to do with the differences in schedules. As the baseline gets higher, the less SoS matters relative to expected win %. In other words, The Dream Team would expect to go undefeated against pretty much any schedule.

As always, unless otherwise specified, all strength of schedule data is based on the KenPoms.

Rank	Team	Win% > Bubble	Win% > Monster	Net wins over Bubble	Games remaining
1	Kentucky	35.53%	7.81%	7.01	4
2	Virginia	31.52%	4.64%	5.61	4
3	Wisconsin	28.51%	0.40%	5.13	4
4	Duke	27.67%	0.02%	5.02	4
5	Villanova	26.84%	0.03%	4.62	4
6	Kansas	25.60%	-7.93%	5.58	3
7	Gonzaga	23.99%	3.01%	5.50	2
8	Arizona	22.22%	-3.48%	3.33	4
9	Iowa St.	17.90%	-12.26%	2.29	4
10	Notre Dame	17.56%	-6.11%	2.87	3
11	Northern Iowa	17.36%	-1.90%	3.35	2
12	Maryland	16.08%	-9.87%	1.73	4
13	Louisville	15.95%	-11.40%	2.59	3
14	West Virginia	15.85%	-12.18%	1.80	4
15	Utah	15.12%	-10.22%	1.31	4
16	Wichita St.	13.93%	-5.04%	2.39	2
17	Baylor	13.70%	-15.67%	1.28	4
18	Arkansas	13.48%	-9.84%	0.92	4
19	North Carolina	12.87%	-17.87%	1.17	4
20	Oklahoma	12.55%	-18.27%	1.65	3
21	VCU	10.54%	-15.00%	0.16	4
22	Georgetown	8.80%	-20.54%	0.47	3
23	Providence	8.69%	-18.71%	-0.12	4
24	Butler	8.49%	-19.98%	-0.18	4
25	SMU	7.89%	-12.45%	-0.08	3
26	Texas A&M	7.25%	-18.57%	-0.75	4
27	San Diego St.	4.99%	-15.68%	-0.81	3
28	Michigan St.	4.78%	-20.76%	-1.33	4
29	Mississippi	3.86%	-21.06%	-1.62	4
30	St. John’s	3.85%	-22.93%	-0.84	3
31	Colorado St.	3.74%	-13.88%	-1.30	3
32	Texas	3.73%	-24.68%	-1.36	4
33	Oklahoma St.	3.36%	-26.22%	-0.88	3
34	Davidson	3.09%	-17.33%	-2.14	4
35	Dayton	3.07%	-17.94%	-2.15	4
36	Georgia	3.05%	-23.98%	-1.70	4
37	Valparaiso	3.04%	-11.08%	-0.78	2
38	LSU	2.79%	-22.08%	-1.95	4
39	Oregon	2.73%	-20.96%	-1.30	3
40	Indiana	2.28%	-23.38%	-1.33	3
41	Stephen F. Austin	2.23%	-10.97%	-2.72	4
42	Ohio St.	1.93%	-22.18%	-2.22	4
43	Murray St.	1.16%	-11.61%	-1.37	2
44	Purdue	0.74%	-24.79%	-2.44	4
45	Stanford	0.26%	-24.83%	-2.54	4
46	Saint Mary’s	0.23%	-19.81%	-1.42	2
47	Iowa	0.02%	-27.31%	-2.51	4
48	Rhode Island	0.00%	-19.28%	-3.04	4
49	UC Davis	-0.17%	-13.60%	-3.41	4
50	BYU	-0.24%	-21.36%	-1.52	2
51	Harvard	-0.78%	-16.11%	-3.38	4
52	Tulsa	-0.81%	-21.29%	-3.16	4
53	Wofford	-0.87%	-15.93%	-1.85	2
54	Syracuse	-1.20%	-27.12%	-2.89	4
55	Boise St.	-1.38%	-20.08%	-3.39	4
56	Xavier	-1.49%	-29.27%	-1.70	2
57	Wyoming	-1.87%	-18.14%	-3.69	4
58	Central Michigan	-1.90%	-16.89%	-3.75	4
59	Iona	-1.92%	-17.47%	-2.18	2
60	Illinois	-2.59%	-27.71%	-3.32	4
61	Miami FL	-2.86%	-28.65%	-3.40	4
62	Pittsburgh	-3.27%	-27.18%	-3.62	4
63	Green Bay	-3.66%	-20.20%	-2.60	2
64	Old Dominion	-3.68%	-19.93%	-4.18	4
65	Temple	-3.69%	-25.23%	-3.18	3
66	North Carolina St.	-3.78%	-31.17%	-3.54	4
67	Sam Houston St.	-4.06%	-15.66%	-4.52	4
68	Alabama	-4.17%	-29.98%	-3.66	4
69	TCU	-4.96%	-30.64%	-3.91	4
70	Louisiana Tech	-5.15%	-21.32%	-3.85	3
71	UCLA	-5.52%	-31.60%	-3.43	3
72	Cincinnati	-5.85%	-27.85%	-4.48	4
73	UTEP	-6.03%	-22.99%	-4.73	4
74	Oregon St.	-6.06%	-29.38%	-3.71	3
75	Yale	-6.44%	-25.12%	-4.81	4
76	North Carolina Central	-7.11%	-18.81%	-4.47	3
77	Seton Hall	-7.22%	-34.54%	-3.83	3
78	High Point	-7.56%	-21.65%	-3.77	2
79	George Washington	-7.74%	-29.88%	-4.92	4
80	Kent St.	-7.81%	-25.27%	-5.24	4
81	California	-7.84%	-31.88%	-4.80	4
82	Toledo	-8.10%	-27.79%	-5.18	4
83	Minnesota	-8.27%	-33.83%	-4.28	3
84	Florida Gulf Coast	-8.50%	-21.89%	-4.05	2
85	Kansas St.	-8.61%	-39.65%	-3.64	2
86	Buffalo	-8.87%	-27.53%	-5.28	4
87	Eastern Washington	-8.87%	-22.59%	-5.71	4
88	Memphis	-9.23%	-30.27%	-5.38	4
89	Clemson	-9.30%	-34.76%	-4.46	3
90	Tennessee	-9.40%	-37.20%	-4.97	4
91	Evansville	-9.47%	-27.04%	-4.20	2
92	South Dakota St.	-9.53%	-23.05%	-3.58	1
93	Massachusetts	-9.84%	-34.24%	-5.42	4
94	Arizona St.	-10.19%	-35.43%	-5.38	4
95	Washington	-10.49%	-34.62%	-5.45	4
96	Georgia Southern	-10.49%	-21.80%	-6.08	4
97	Georgia St.	-10.75%	-25.88%	-6.15	4
98	Connecticut	-10.99%	-35.28%	-5.60	4
99	Bowling Green	-10.99%	-28.24%	-5.91	4
100	Michigan	-11.06%	-38.08%	-4.87	3
101	Florida	-11.56%	-40.39%	-5.51	4
102	North Dakota St.	-12.58%	-25.33%	-4.36	1
103	Vanderbilt	-12.64%	-36.11%	-6.14	4
104	Albany	-12.81%	-26.70%	-5.12	2
105	South Carolina	-13.09%	-39.68%	-5.93	4
106	Coastal Carolina	-13.26%	-24.96%	-4.70	1
107	Incarnate Word	-13.35%	-26.23%	-6.57	4
108	Illinois St.	-14.02%	-33.69%	-5.42	2
109	Northeastern	-14.18%	-30.95%	-5.71	2
110	Florida St.	-14.19%	-38.20%	-6.01	3
111	Penn St.	-14.30%	-38.24%	-6.04	3
112	UNLV	-14.79%	-37.55%	-6.81	4
113	Radford	-14.91%	-27.89%	-6.00	2
114	Chattanooga	-14.93%	-27.11%	-6.01	2
115	La Salle	-15.37%	-38.09%	-6.99	4
116	Richmond	-15.46%	-38.10%	-7.02	4
117	Charleston Southern	-15.47%	-29.85%	-5.82	2
118	Nebraska	-15.66%	-42.69%	-6.14	3
119	Stony Brook	-15.67%	-30.88%	-6.17	2
120	UC Irvine	-15.73%	-33.26%	-7.18	4
121	Pepperdine	-15.88%	-36.14%	-5.18	1
122	Utah St.	-16.05%	-34.21%	-7.28	4
123	Eastern Michigan	-16.11%	-32.90%	-7.51	4
124	Akron	-16.14%	-33.43%	-8.31	5
125	Rider	-16.17%	-30.84%	-6.32	2
126	William & Mary	-16.45%	-32.75%	-6.03	2
127	Northwestern	-16.55%	-42.70%	-7.06	4
128	Sacramento St.	-16.86%	-27.58%	-6.97	3
129	New Mexico St.	-16.99%	-30.37%	-6.58	2
130	Western Kentucky	-17.13%	-34.42%	-7.60	4
131	Wake Forest	-17.38%	-45.02%	-7.17	4
132	Portland	-17.39%	-36.95%	-6.36	2
133	Louisiana Monroe	-17.46%	-30.61%	-8.08	4
134	Cleveland St.	-17.50%	-35.26%	-5.84	1
135	St. Francis NY	-17.67%	-28.64%	-6.86	2
136	Western Michigan	-17.73%	-36.73%	-7.87	4
137	Marquette	-17.82%	-47.10%	-7.04	4
138	Loyola Chicago	-17.88%	-36.81%	-6.51	2
139	Creighton	-18.18%	-46.21%	-7.41	4
140	Belmont	-18.46%	-32.27%	-6.00	1
141	USC Upstate	-18.74%	-28.83%	-7.19	2
142	North Florida	-18.94%	-33.50%	-7.11	2
143	Texas Tech	-19.23%	-46.53%	-7.25	3
144	Eastern Kentucky	-19.34%	-31.96%	-6.87	2
145	Colorado	-19.35%	-44.67%	-7.65	4
146	Alabama St.	-19.36%	-27.34%	-8.01	4
147	St. Bonaventure	-19.43%	-39.27%	-7.88	4
148	Norfolk St.	-19.58%	-32.87%	-7.31	2
149	James Madison	-19.59%	-34.29%	-8.13	3
150	Northwestern St.	-19.62%	-33.97%	-7.54	3
151	Tennessee Martin	-19.73%	-33.80%	-6.98	2
152	San Diego	-19.83%	-42.65%	-6.95	2
153	Georgia Tech	-19.88%	-47.10%	-6.82	2
154	Texas Southern	-19.89%	-37.46%	-8.39	4
155	Hawaii	-19.91%	-34.86%	-8.23	3
156	Oakland	-20.16%	-40.99%	-7.28	2
157	UNC Wilmington	-20.16%	-36.61%	-7.03	2
158	Long Beach St.	-20.45%	-45.65%	-8.40	4
159	Auburn	-21.26%	-46.93%	-8.37	4
160	DePaul	-21.49%	-48.29%	-7.95	3
161	Gardner Webb	-21.68%	-36.63%	-7.89	2
162	UC Santa Barbara	-21.71%	-40.97%	-8.67	4
163	Montana	-22.38%	-35.73%	-8.34	3
164	Washington St.	-22.45%	-48.47%	-8.43	4
165	New Mexico	-22.65%	-43.21%	-8.35	3
166	East Tennessee St.	-22.73%	-37.41%	-7.78	2
167	UT Arlington	-22.86%	-37.02%	-9.16	4
168	Tulane	-22.89%	-41.75%	-9.02	4
169	Hofstra	-22.95%	-35.50%	-8.36	2
170	Bucknell	-23.09%	-37.45%	-8.33	2
171	Eastern Illinois	-23.50%	-39.45%	-7.39	1
172	Lafayette	-23.56%	-37.04%	-8.02	2
173	NJIT	-23.91%	-36.81%	-8.12	2
174	UAB	-24.01%	-41.46%	-9.05	3
175	New Hampshire	-24.24%	-35.12%	-8.29	2
176	Mississippi St.	-24.40%	-48.38%	-9.34	4
177	Cal Poly	-24.43%	-43.17%	-8.40	3
178	Columbia	-25.11%	-40.47%	-9.20	4
179	Indiana St.	-25.74%	-44.51%	-8.72	2
180	Monmouth	-25.77%	-40.94%	-9.09	2
181	Middle Tennessee	-26.10%	-42.82%	-9.70	3
182	UC Riverside	-26.17%	-43.10%	-9.41	3
183	Vermont	-26.20%	-38.55%	-8.78	2
184	Manhattan	-26.48%	-41.52%	-8.79	2
185	Maryland Eastern Shore	-26.59%	-40.66%	-9.35	2
186	Northern Arizona	-26.76%	-40.95%	-10.52	4
187	Canisius	-26.85%	-41.68%	-8.90	2
188	Mercer	-27.01%	-41.45%	-9.48	2
189	Winthrop	-27.16%	-38.40%	-9.06	2
190	Lehigh	-27.25%	-41.30%	-9.01	2
191	Oral Roberts	-27.41%	-42.69%	-9.30	2
192	Virginia Tech	-27.59%	-53.08%	-10.04	4
193	IPFW	-27.72%	-41.50%	-9.15	2
194	Rutgers	-27.73%	-55.79%	-9.67	3
195	Louisiana Lafayette	-27.78%	-40.45%	-10.33	3
196	Grand Canyon	-28.17%	-38.59%	-10.45	3
197	Mount St. Mary’s	-28.17%	-43.06%	-9.21	2
198	North Texas	-28.61%	-45.78%	-10.58	4
199	Santa Clara	-28.92%	-50.31%	-9.53	2
200	Portland St.	-29.11%	-41.61%	-9.83	3
201	Lamar	-29.11%	-43.74%	-10.29	3
202	Boston College	-29.61%	-56.91%	-10.27	4
203	Army	-29.64%	-41.32%	-9.71	2
204	Saint Joseph’s	-29.68%	-50.46%	-10.60	4
205	UCF	-30.91%	-49.29%	-10.35	3
206	USC	-31.06%	-54.60%	-10.43	3
207	Charlotte	-31.15%	-50.79%	-11.43	4
208	American	-31.20%	-46.79%	-10.36	2
209	San Francisco	-31.25%	-51.21%	-10.23	2
210	East Carolina	-31.29%	-50.23%	-11.48	4
211	South Dakota	-31.31%	-45.42%	-10.74	2
212	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-31.33%	-43.22%	-11.55	4
213	Robert Morris	-31.35%	-45.98%	-10.41	2
214	UTSA	-31.48%	-45.22%	-11.21	4
215	Detroit	-31.50%	-51.76%	-10.20	1
216	Howard	-31.55%	-43.86%	-11.39	3
217	St. Francis PA	-31.62%	-45.09%	-10.21	2
218	Fresno St.	-32.41%	-51.22%	-11.83	4
219	Air Force	-32.45%	-49.72%	-10.80	3
220	Quinnipiac	-32.61%	-45.82%	-10.50	2
221	Milwaukee	-33.28%	-52.28%	-10.84	2
222	Delaware St.	-33.31%	-49.56%	-11.72	3
223	Saint Louis	-33.31%	-53.55%	-11.96	4
224	FIU	-33.61%	-48.44%	-12.35	4
225	Princeton	-33.62%	-48.98%	-12.49	5
226	Cornell	-33.85%	-50.34%	-12.00	4
227	Pacific	-34.61%	-54.68%	-11.17	2
228	Bryant	-34.61%	-49.01%	-11.00	2
229	Hartford	-34.66%	-48.38%	-11.01	2
230	Southern	-34.70%	-47.56%	-12.55	3
231	Western Carolina	-34.85%	-50.18%	-11.38	2
232	Missouri	-35.15%	-62.53%	-11.94	4
233	Brown	-35.39%	-51.75%	-12.75	4
234	UNC Asheville	-35.69%	-49.22%	-11.31	2
235	Northern Illinois	-35.70%	-54.97%	-11.95	4
236	Colgate	-35.87%	-51.45%	-12.02	2
237	Morehead St.	-35.91%	-51.29%	-12.03	2
238	Miami OH	-36.60%	-54.88%	-12.98	4
239	Boston University	-37.04%	-50.63%	-11.63	2
240	Houston Baptist	-37.93%	-51.36%	-12.45	4
241	SIU Edwardsville	-38.05%	-51.24%	-10.73	1
242	UMass Lowell	-38.18%	-53.55%	-11.50	1
243	Saint Peter’s	-38.18%	-52.49%	-12.73	2
244	Seattle	-38.38%	-48.10%	-11.75	2
245	George Mason	-38.44%	-61.96%	-12.76	4
246	Texas St.	-38.82%	-52.69%	-13.02	4
247	Lipscomb	-38.87%	-52.36%	-12.16	2
248	Northern Colorado	-38.91%	-51.38%	-12.67	3
249	Wright St.	-39.02%	-56.58%	-12.49	2
250	Dartmouth	-39.15%	-55.17%	-12.63	4
251	Arkansas Little Rock	-39.19%	-52.74%	-13.09	3
252	Drake	-39.44%	-61.35%	-12.47	2
253	Duquesne	-39.46%	-59.38%	-12.88	4
254	Missouri St.	-39.71%	-58.76%	-12.63	2
255	LIU Brooklyn	-39.78%	-52.88%	-12.43	2
256	Southeast Missouri St.	-39.98%	-53.94%	-12.02	1
257	Weber St.	-40.28%	-54.17%	-12.95	3
258	Towson	-40.30%	-55.11%	-13.32	2
259	Holy Cross	-40.33%	-54.83%	-12.14	2
260	Denver	-40.36%	-55.85%	-12.52	2
261	Ohio	-40.37%	-60.02%	-13.91	5
262	Fordham	-40.37%	-62.30%	-12.99	4
263	Tennessee Tech	-40.48%	-54.44%	-13.00	2
264	Loyola Marymount	-40.53%	-64.84%	-12.43	1
265	Prairie View A&M	-40.68%	-55.11%	-14.24	4
266	Northern Kentucky	-40.94%	-55.17%	-12.69	2
267	Idaho	-41.13%	-53.59%	-13.69	4
268	Elon	-41.19%	-55.04%	-13.60	2
269	Youngstown St.	-41.24%	-58.23%	-13.54	2
270	Sacred Heart	-41.25%	-52.68%	-13.68	2
271	Houston	-41.29%	-60.45%	-13.77	4
272	Loyola MD	-41.30%	-56.06%	-12.79	2
273	Cal St. Bakersfield	-41.53%	-52.68%	-13.77	2
274	Rice	-42.23%	-57.97%	-14.21	4
275	Hampton	-42.28%	-54.76%	-13.53	3
276	McNeese St.	-42.54%	-56.11%	-13.94	4
277	VMI	-42.62%	-56.20%	-13.17	2
278	Samford	-42.71%	-55.77%	-14.07	2
279	Southern Illinois	-42.78%	-60.41%	-13.95	2
280	Arkansas St.	-42.97%	-57.04%	-14.06	4
281	Drexel	-43.96%	-59.85%	-13.49	2
282	Navy	-43.96%	-57.42%	-13.97	2
283	Jacksonville St.	-44.24%	-55.99%	-14.54	2
284	UMKC	-44.38%	-57.53%	-14.94	3
285	South Florida	-44.79%	-66.00%	-14.74	3
286	Utah Valley	-45.02%	-57.32%	-14.21	3
287	Siena	-45.17%	-60.22%	-13.84	2
288	Appalachian St.	-45.43%	-60.88%	-14.62	4
289	IUPUI	-45.55%	-63.64%	-14.31	2
290	Ball St.	-45.96%	-66.13%	-14.45	4
291	Marshall	-46.08%	-62.72%	-15.62	4
292	Wagner	-46.13%	-59.97%	-14.12	2
293	Troy	-46.32%	-58.94%	-14.59	3
294	Penn	-46.67%	-65.20%	-14.59	5
295	Cal St. Fullerton	-46.69%	-63.32%	-15.81	4
296	Nevada	-47.02%	-65.03%	-15.34	4
297	Southeastern Louisiana	-47.11%	-61.42%	-15.94	4
298	New Orleans	-47.39%	-61.62%	-14.19	4
299	Bradley	-47.52%	-66.82%	-15.28	2
300	The Citadel	-47.99%	-60.17%	-14.66	2
301	Florida Atlantic	-48.40%	-64.45%	-15.31	4
302	South Carolina St.	-48.68%	-61.57%	-15.78	2
303	Kennesaw St.	-48.86%	-62.37%	-15.84	2
304	North Dakota	-49.35%	-64.33%	-16.03	4
305	Delaware	-50.00%	-65.93%	-15.09	2
306	Abilene Christian	-50.06%	-62.73%	-17.25	5
307	Nebraska Omaha	-50.07%	-62.96%	-15.56	3
308	Southern Miss	-50.15%	-68.72%	-15.35	3
309	South Alabama	-50.23%	-64.83%	-16.54	3
310	College of Charleston	-50.24%	-68.13%	-16.90	3
311	Western Illinois	-50.95%	-65.20%	-14.40	2
312	Cal St. Northridge	-51.26%	-69.80%	-17.13	3
313	Texas Pan American	-51.34%	-64.16%	-16.04	2
314	Alabama A&M	-51.37%	-63.87%	-15.72	4
315	Nicholls St.	-51.47%	-66.02%	-15.58	4
316	Presbyterian	-51.68%	-65.29%	-16.64	2
317	Bethune Cookman	-52.30%	-61.24%	-17.69	4
318	Southern Utah	-52.33%	-65.39%	-16.46	4
319	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-52.44%	-65.69%	-17.71	3
320	Campbell	-52.59%	-65.80%	-16.92	2
321	Jackson St.	-52.61%	-64.25%	-17.64	4
322	Illinois Chicago	-53.04%	-71.46%	-16.92	2
323	Savannah St.	-53.10%	-68.79%	-17.01	4
324	UNC Greensboro	-54.25%	-66.44%	-17.44	2
325	Jacksonville	-54.59%	-66.34%	-17.54	2
326	Furman	-55.64%	-69.97%	-16.66	2
327	Coppin St.	-55.92%	-73.32%	-16.66	2
328	Austin Peay	-55.97%	-71.54%	-17.29	2
329	Montana St.	-56.11%	-69.37%	-17.61	3
330	Fairfield	-56.16%	-71.17%	-17.35	2
331	Morgan St.	-56.52%	-71.32%	-17.46	2
332	Stetson	-56.66%	-68.86%	-17.57	2
333	Longwood	-56.68%	-70.43%	-17.84	1
334	Niagara	-56.69%	-73.82%	-16.89	2
335	Fairleigh Dickinson	-57.14%	-70.81%	-17.09	2
336	North Carolina A&T	-58.14%	-71.68%	-18.77	3
337	Chicago St.	-58.37%	-75.06%	-18.51	2
338	Tennessee St.	-62.27%	-77.87%	-19.65	2
339	Liberty	-63.02%	-73.98%	-20.02	2
340	Idaho St.	-64.31%	-75.79%	-19.96	3
341	Mississippi Valley St.	-64.90%	-78.51%	-20.65	3
342	Marist	-65.37%	-79.63%	-19.97	2
343	Binghamton	-65.38%	-79.85%	-20.44	1
344	Alcorn St.	-66.54%	-78.26%	-20.52	3
345	Central Connecticut	-67.61%	-80.22%	-21.30	2
346	UMBC	-67.62%	-81.91%	-19.90	2
347	Maine	-68.33%	-85.16%	-20.04	2
348	San Jose St.	-69.61%	-88.38%	-21.19	4
349	Grambling St.	-74.61%	-87.98%	-21.22	4
350	Central Arkansas	-80.23%	-93.36%	-23.48	5
351	Florida A&M	-82.02%	-93.97%	-23.86	2

If the RPI was mathematically sound

February 23, 2015