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Monthly Archives: February 2015

Officially, BYU ranks 56th in the official RPI. However, the KenPom ratings currently have them ranked 30th. Eamonn correctly points out the reason for the difference:

“When they’ve lost, they’ve lost by narrow margins. When they’ve won, they’ve won big.”

He follows:

“The RPI is outdated, imprecise, too quietly impactful on the selection process, you name it. We tolerate it as a function of the Bubble Watch’s purpose; we rarely see its value.  But in extreme situations, its inherent logic can hold true. At some point, you’ve got to beat somebody. BYU hasn’t.”

Amazingly, LSU has the same RPI as BYU, down to the 4th decimal point according to CBS (sorry Eamonn). They are also the team right ahead of BYU in the KenPom ratings. Should they be considered about equal? RPI says yes, but our hearts say no. Trust your heart. LSU has been about 1.34 wins better than an average bubble team.  BYU is right around the Mendoza-line. It’s not that RPI is getting it right. In fact, it’s NEVER that RPI is getting it right. It’s that you play to win the game, and BYU hasn’t won enough games to merit an invite. Of course, that can change with a win tomorrow at Gonzaga.

If you want the 36 best teams, feel free to invite the top teams in the KenPom ratings who haven’t already automatically qualified. Otherwise, feel free to look below. 🙂

Ranking School KenPom Massey BPI Sagarin Average WAB
1 Kentucky 11.21 11.55 11.39 11.28 11.36
2 Virginia 9.53 10.16 10.02 9.91 9.90
3 Duke 8.81 9.24 9.08 9.08 9.05
4 Villanova 8.56 8.71 8.52 8.76 8.64
5 Wisconsin 7.82 7.92 7.87 8.35 7.99
6 Kansas 8.07 7.84 7.47 8.31 7.92
7 Gonzaga 7.93 8.03 7.68 7.83 7.87
8 Arizona 7.14 6.71 6.94 7.00 6.95
9 Maryland 5.41 5.37 5.47 5.89 5.53
10 Louisville 4.72 5.17 5.13 5.27 5.08
11 Northern Iowa 5.23 4.97 5.09 4.99 5.07
12 Baylor 5.00 4.90 4.53 5.24 4.92
13 Utah 5.03 4.58 4.88 4.78 4.82
14 Notre Dame 4.41 5.02 4.77 4.81 4.75
15 Iowa St. 4.68 4.64 4.15 4.86 4.58
16 West Virginia 4.66 4.57 4.13 4.76 4.53
17 Wichita St. 4.57 4.26 4.52 4.22 4.39
18 Oklahoma 4.18 4.13 3.76 4.43 4.12
19 Arkansas 3.71 4.08 3.94 3.60 3.83
20 North Carolina 3.49 3.86 3.73 3.89 3.74
21 Butler 3.12 3.36 3.14 3.26 3.22
22 Georgetown 2.56 2.74 2.68 2.79 2.69
23 VCU 2.83 2.43 3.00 2.32 2.65
24 SMU 2.79 2.54 2.59 2.49 2.60
25 Providence 2.26 2.55 2.48 2.44 2.43
26 San Diego St. 1.91 1.38 1.69 1.93 1.73
27 Georgia 1.54 1.88 1.93 1.50 1.71
28 Texas A&M 1.64 1.79 1.74 1.53 1.68
29 Ohio St. 1.17 1.38 1.40 1.78 1.43
30 Davidson 1.43 1.21 1.64 1.32 1.40
31 Oklahoma St. 1.45 1.32 0.95 1.69 1.35
32 LSU 1.18 1.48 1.58 1.11 1.34
33 St. John’s 1.07 1.31 1.21 1.27 1.21
34 Iowa 0.92 0.99 1.14 1.60 1.16
35 Colorado St. 1.30 0.66 1.00 1.25 1.05
36 Michigan St. 0.51 0.85 0.84 1.19 0.85
37 Saint Mary’s 0.84 0.98 0.67 0.91 0.85
38 Stephen F. Austin 1.08 0.73 0.77 0.67 0.81
39 Dayton 0.76 0.73 0.98 0.49 0.74
40 Purdue 0.43 0.67 0.65 1.07 0.70
41 Oregon 0.81 0.50 0.73 0.70 0.68
42 Texas 0.71 0.60 0.26 0.84 0.60
43 Indiana 0.30 0.46 0.55 0.94 0.56
44 Mississippi 0.43 0.67 0.71 0.23 0.51
45 Murray St. 0.66 0.33 0.46 0.42 0.47
46 Wofford 0.38 0.22 0.51 0.24 0.34
47 North Carolina St. -0.06 0.38 0.24 0.27 0.21
48 Boise St. 0.19 -0.24 -0.00 0.18 0.03
49 BYU 0.14 0.07 -0.24 0.13 0.02
50 Stanford 0.04 -0.22 -0.06 -0.08 -0.08
51 Miami FL -0.48 -0.02 -0.09 -0.02 -0.15
52 Xavier -0.18 -0.02 -0.29 -0.16 -0.16
53 Valparaiso -0.01 -0.25 -0.29 -0.42 -0.24
54 UCLA -0.18 -0.55 -0.34 -0.24 -0.33
55 Pittsburgh -0.70 -0.18 -0.37 -0.30 -0.39
56 Harvard -0.25 -0.44 -0.49 -0.47 -0.41
57 Iona -0.44 -0.46 -0.62 -0.68 -0.55
58 Syracuse -0.83 -0.29 -0.58 -0.52 -0.55
59 Temple -0.29 -0.57 -0.59 -0.78 -0.56
60 Old Dominion -0.33 -0.85 -0.59 -0.65 -0.61
61 Illinois -0.93 -0.69 -0.80 -0.44 -0.72
62 Green Bay -0.54 -0.81 -0.79 -0.85 -0.75
63 Tulsa -0.45 -0.76 -0.87 -0.91 -0.75
64 Louisiana Tech -0.58 -1.02 -0.82 -0.74 -0.79
65 Central Michigan -0.64 -0.90 -0.86 -0.80 -0.80
66 Rhode Island -0.96 -0.97 -0.69 -1.15 -0.94
67 Alabama -1.02 -0.88 -0.84 -1.14 -0.97
68 UC Davis -1.03 -1.23 -1.05 -1.15 -1.12
69 Cincinnati -0.97 -1.36 -1.34 -1.42 -1.27
70 North Carolina Central -1.40 -1.48 -1.47 -1.54 -1.47
71 Minnesota -1.79 -1.58 -1.44 -1.17 -1.50
72 Sam Houston St. -1.42 -1.60 -1.66 -1.77 -1.61
73 TCU -1.64 -1.60 -1.99 -1.43 -1.66
74 George Washington -1.87 -2.12 -1.59 -1.99 -1.89
75 UTEP -1.67 -2.20 -1.88 -1.88 -1.91
76 Seton Hall -1.95 -1.84 -1.93 -1.93 -1.91
77 Buffalo -1.73 -2.05 -1.91 -1.99 -1.92
78 Yale -1.68 -2.01 -2.14 -2.15 -2.00
79 High Point -2.02 -2.34 -2.02 -2.41 -2.20
80 Wyoming -2.04 -2.59 -2.30 -2.15 -2.27
81 Oregon St. -2.27 -2.60 -2.53 -2.45 -2.46
82 Eastern Washington -2.37 -2.58 -2.40 -2.52 -2.47
83 Kansas St. -2.52 -2.54 -2.92 -2.29 -2.57
84 Clemson -2.87 -2.32 -2.55 -2.67 -2.60
85 Michigan -2.87 -2.83 -2.70 -2.34 -2.69
86 Vanderbilt -2.91 -2.51 -2.55 -2.91 -2.72
87 Connecticut -2.60 -2.96 -2.95 -2.91 -2.85
88 South Dakota St. -2.67 -3.04 -2.90 -3.03 -2.91
89 Florida Gulf Coast -2.90 -3.07 -2.96 -3.03 -2.99
90 Toledo -2.76 -3.19 -3.08 -3.12 -3.04
91 Arizona St. -3.00 -3.27 -3.11 -3.15 -3.14
92 Tennessee -3.35 -2.99 -2.97 -3.35 -3.16
93 Bowling Green -3.01 -3.33 -3.19 -3.32 -3.21
94 Massachusetts -3.41 -3.44 -3.23 -3.67 -3.44
95 Albany -3.25 -3.59 -3.65 -3.54 -3.51
96 Richmond -3.52 -3.62 -3.23 -3.73 -3.52
97 Georgia Southern -3.45 -3.54 -3.61 -3.52 -3.53
98 Florida -3.61 -3.30 -3.39 -3.92 -3.55
99 Evansville -3.35 -3.70 -3.49 -3.85 -3.60
100 Kent St. -3.43 -3.80 -3.66 -3.76 -3.66
101 Illinois St. -3.48 -3.81 -3.42 -3.95 -3.67
102 South Carolina -3.80 -3.50 -3.56 -3.91 -3.69
103 California -3.54 -3.99 -3.77 -3.66 -3.74
104 Georgia St. -3.64 -3.83 -3.80 -3.88 -3.79
105 Washington -3.70 -4.21 -3.97 -3.84 -3.93
106 Pepperdine -3.91 -3.88 -4.11 -3.88 -3.94
107 William & Mary -3.87 -4.06 -3.98 -3.90 -3.95
108 Chattanooga -3.97 -4.21 -3.77 -4.12 -4.02
109 Memphis -3.69 -4.09 -4.23 -4.25 -4.07
110 Stony Brook -4.10 -4.35 -4.35 -4.18 -4.24
111 UC Irvine -4.07 -4.29 -4.31 -4.36 -4.26
112 Incarnate Word -4.08 -4.31 -4.33 -4.35 -4.27
113 Rider -4.21 -4.21 -4.43 -4.32 -4.29
114 North Dakota St. -4.09 -4.43 -4.41 -4.30 -4.31
115 Northwestern -4.52 -4.51 -4.38 -4.07 -4.37
116 Penn St. -4.63 -4.54 -4.36 -4.06 -4.40
117 New Mexico St. -4.43 -4.61 -4.18 -4.40 -4.41
118 Florida St. -4.86 -4.15 -4.44 -4.41 -4.47
119 Coastal Carolina -4.43 -4.61 -4.41 -5.00 -4.61
120 Loyola Chicago -4.40 -4.75 -4.46 -4.86 -4.62
121 Northeastern -4.53 -4.60 -4.75 -4.68 -4.64
122 UNLV -4.26 -5.02 -4.86 -4.58 -4.68
123 Utah St. -4.54 -4.95 -4.65 -4.59 -4.68
124 Eastern Kentucky -4.74 -4.86 -4.78 -4.79 -4.79
125 Western Kentucky -4.74 -5.04 -4.72 -4.78 -4.82
126 Nebraska -4.99 -4.91 -4.87 -4.53 -4.82
127 North Florida -4.86 -4.87 -4.85 -4.94 -4.88
128 Belmont -4.78 -5.03 -4.87 -4.97 -4.91
129 UNC Wilmington -4.97 -5.10 -4.99 -4.81 -4.97
130 Creighton -5.00 -4.96 -5.07 -4.93 -4.99
131 Louisiana Monroe -4.88 -5.10 -5.04 -5.07 -5.02
132 Western Michigan -4.83 -5.22 -5.24 -5.04 -5.08
133 St. Francis NY -4.96 -5.09 -5.21 -5.23 -5.12
134 La Salle -5.05 -5.29 -4.91 -5.41 -5.16
135 Charleston Southern -5.07 -5.22 -4.92 -5.51 -5.18
136 Cleveland St. -5.02 -5.27 -5.15 -5.35 -5.20
137 Radford -4.99 -5.28 -5.10 -5.50 -5.22
138 Texas Southern -5.22 -5.27 -5.16 -5.26 -5.22
139 Marquette -5.30 -5.19 -5.27 -5.18 -5.24
140 Alabama St. -5.29 -5.32 -5.21 -5.37 -5.30
141 Wake Forest -5.64 -5.10 -5.19 -5.27 -5.30
142 Georgia Tech -5.73 -5.11 -5.21 -5.33 -5.34
143 USC Upstate -5.32 -5.32 -5.28 -5.45 -5.35
144 Portland -5.38 -5.26 -5.43 -5.43 -5.38
145 Sacramento St. -5.33 -5.46 -5.27 -5.45 -5.38
146 Tennessee Martin -5.33 -5.52 -5.39 -5.49 -5.43
147 St. Bonaventure -5.32 -5.58 -5.26 -5.61 -5.44
148 Northwestern St. -5.47 -5.69 -5.79 -5.78 -5.68
149 Hawaii -5.55 -5.73 -5.73 -5.73 -5.68
150 Long Beach St. -5.57 -5.76 -5.94 -5.74 -5.75
151 UC Santa Barbara -5.64 -5.92 -5.85 -6.00 -5.85
152 Eastern Michigan -5.70 -5.97 -5.85 -5.91 -5.86
153 Norfolk St. -5.77 -5.95 -6.05 -6.07 -5.96
154 Oakland -5.81 -6.04 -6.08 -6.07 -6.00
155 Colorado -5.84 -6.23 -5.97 -6.00 -6.01
156 San Diego -5.96 -5.92 -6.19 -5.98 -6.01
157 Akron -6.18 -6.49 -6.47 -6.39 -6.38
158 NJIT -6.30 -6.36 -6.44 -6.50 -6.40
159 Washington St. -6.29 -6.73 -6.45 -6.36 -6.46
160 Hofstra -6.41 -6.47 -6.58 -6.49 -6.49
161 Texas Tech -6.38 -6.45 -6.93 -6.24 -6.50
162 Gardner Webb -6.35 -6.63 -6.31 -6.85 -6.53
163 UAB -6.52 -6.92 -6.64 -6.67 -6.69
164 DePaul -6.78 -6.73 -6.77 -6.66 -6.73
165 Columbia -6.54 -6.84 -6.96 -7.05 -6.85
166 Auburn -6.99 -6.80 -6.85 -7.19 -6.96
167 New Mexico -6.86 -7.50 -7.13 -7.02 -7.13
168 New Hampshire -7.00 -7.18 -7.25 -7.13 -7.14
169 Lafayette -6.98 -7.10 -7.25 -7.25 -7.14
170 Montana -7.10 -7.33 -7.08 -7.13 -7.16
171 UT Arlington -7.06 -7.26 -7.30 -7.23 -7.21
172 Vermont -7.10 -7.33 -7.26 -7.29 -7.24
173 Tulane -7.02 -7.34 -7.36 -7.42 -7.29
174 East Tennessee St. -7.15 -7.41 -7.08 -7.50 -7.29
175 Cal Poly -7.17 -7.29 -7.31 -7.39 -7.29
176 Eastern Illinois -7.01 -7.38 -7.46 -7.48 -7.33
177 James Madison -7.30 -7.60 -7.55 -7.36 -7.45
178 Oral Roberts -7.25 -7.70 -7.58 -7.48 -7.51
179 Lehigh -7.39 -7.55 -7.62 -7.58 -7.53
180 Northern Arizona -7.44 -7.63 -7.55 -7.68 -7.57
181 Bucknell -7.55 -7.62 -7.74 -7.71 -7.65
182 Mississippi St. -7.83 -7.47 -7.45 -7.91 -7.66
183 Maryland Eastern Shore -7.49 -7.74 -7.64 -7.94 -7.70
184 Manhattan -7.70 -7.66 -7.83 -7.80 -7.75
185 Indiana St. -7.74 -8.04 -7.68 -7.97 -7.86
186 Canisius -7.81 -7.92 -8.16 -8.09 -8.00
187 Winthrop -7.92 -8.02 -7.78 -8.30 -8.01
188 UC Riverside -7.84 -8.11 -8.13 -8.09 -8.04
189 Middle Tennessee -7.86 -8.21 -8.10 -8.14 -8.08
190 Monmouth -7.98 -8.04 -8.28 -8.23 -8.13
191 IPFW -7.94 -8.30 -8.24 -8.23 -8.18
192 Portland St. -8.15 -8.31 -8.21 -8.23 -8.22
193 Louisiana Lafayette -8.03 -8.20 -8.35 -8.36 -8.24
194 Mount St. Mary’s -8.10 -8.28 -8.37 -8.39 -8.28
195 Saint Joseph’s -8.23 -8.39 -8.05 -8.54 -8.30
196 Boston College -8.71 -8.12 -8.30 -8.32 -8.36
197 Mercer -8.47 -8.52 -8.10 -8.59 -8.42
198 Virginia Tech -8.76 -8.27 -8.38 -8.58 -8.50
199 Rutgers -8.75 -8.60 -8.50 -8.18 -8.51
200 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -8.36 -8.59 -8.57 -8.66 -8.55
201 North Texas -8.48 -8.81 -8.59 -8.52 -8.60
202 American -8.42 -8.64 -8.75 -8.66 -8.62
203 Robert Morris -8.46 -8.59 -8.75 -8.81 -8.65
204 St. Francis PA -8.49 -8.76 -9.00 -8.91 -8.79
205 Santa Clara -8.87 -8.68 -8.97 -8.86 -8.85
206 Charlotte -8.87 -9.14 -8.88 -8.85 -8.93
207 Air Force -8.74 -9.26 -8.99 -8.75 -8.94
208 San Francisco -8.99 -8.84 -9.02 -9.03 -8.97
209 UCF -8.86 -9.14 -9.14 -9.29 -9.11
210 Lamar -8.91 -9.13 -9.27 -9.28 -9.15
211 Grand Canyon -9.12 -9.33 -9.05 -9.17 -9.17
212 Detroit -8.86 -9.28 -9.18 -9.41 -9.19
213 Milwaukee -9.04 -9.28 -9.22 -9.31 -9.21
214 Fresno St. -9.05 -9.51 -9.24 -9.07 -9.22
215 Quinnipiac -9.06 -9.18 -9.42 -9.33 -9.25
216 Army -9.12 -9.26 -9.40 -9.35 -9.28
217 Missouri -9.47 -9.22 -9.21 -9.44 -9.33
218 UTSA -9.23 -9.57 -9.33 -9.32 -9.37
219 Pacific -9.44 -9.36 -9.47 -9.38 -9.41
220 Northern Illinois -9.25 -9.54 -9.53 -9.43 -9.44
221 USC -9.31 -9.72 -9.53 -9.39 -9.49
222 Bryant -9.19 -9.57 -9.70 -9.75 -9.55
223 Howard -9.47 -9.63 -9.68 -9.79 -9.64
224 Hartford -9.46 -9.73 -9.76 -9.78 -9.68
225 Princeton -9.65 -9.80 -9.80 -9.92 -9.79
226 Boston University -9.68 -9.90 -9.86 -9.97 -9.85
227 Delaware St. -9.58 -9.84 -9.88 -10.17 -9.87
228 Cornell -9.77 -9.95 -10.06 -10.04 -9.96
229 Morehead St. -9.81 -10.29 -10.10 -10.14 -10.08
230 East Carolina -9.79 -10.21 -10.18 -10.23 -10.11
231 Colgate -10.07 -10.26 -10.27 -10.15 -10.19
232 Northern Colorado -10.14 -10.42 -10.14 -10.27 -10.24
233 South Dakota -9.97 -10.40 -10.29 -10.36 -10.26
234 Miami OH -10.22 -10.53 -10.32 -10.42 -10.37
235 McNeese St. -10.19 -10.38 -10.49 -10.45 -10.38
236 Western Carolina -10.37 -10.52 -10.17 -10.65 -10.43
237 Texas St. -10.22 -10.45 -10.61 -10.48 -10.44
238 Saint Louis -10.36 -10.64 -10.17 -10.63 -10.45
239 Seattle -10.52 -10.63 -10.35 -10.44 -10.48
240 Fordham -10.50 -10.61 -10.27 -10.71 -10.52
241 SIU Edwardsville -10.39 -10.63 -10.56 -10.64 -10.55
242 Holy Cross -10.48 -10.63 -10.77 -10.72 -10.65
243 Idaho -10.46 -10.83 -10.72 -10.71 -10.68
244 Southern -10.67 -10.79 -10.69 -10.75 -10.72
245 UNC Asheville -10.51 -10.83 -10.55 -11.02 -10.73
246 Duquesne -10.74 -10.87 -10.50 -10.90 -10.75
247 Southeast Missouri St. -10.89 -10.96 -10.93 -11.06 -10.96
248 Northern Kentucky -10.95 -10.99 -10.88 -11.03 -10.96
249 Dartmouth -10.73 -10.99 -11.01 -11.13 -10.97
250 Missouri St. -10.93 -11.31 -10.94 -11.38 -11.14
251 Lipscomb -11.08 -11.18 -11.08 -11.22 -11.14
252 Brown -10.94 -11.15 -11.30 -11.24 -11.16
253 Denver -10.86 -11.33 -11.13 -11.32 -11.16
254 Weber St. -10.98 -11.23 -11.22 -11.23 -11.16
255 FIU -11.12 -11.41 -11.12 -11.21 -11.21
256 Houston Baptist -11.01 -11.21 -11.40 -11.33 -11.24
257 Arkansas Little Rock -11.17 -11.33 -11.37 -11.38 -11.31
258 UMass Lowell -11.08 -11.46 -11.40 -11.35 -11.32
259 Arkansas St. -11.29 -11.38 -11.46 -11.46 -11.40
260 Saint Peter’s -11.46 -11.52 -11.68 -11.62 -11.57
261 George Mason -11.54 -11.83 -11.39 -11.82 -11.64
262 Prairie View A&M -11.47 -11.74 -11.77 -11.65 -11.66
263 New Orleans -11.57 -11.80 -11.84 -11.76 -11.74
264 Loyola Marymount -11.73 -11.72 -11.91 -11.74 -11.78
265 Wright St. -11.59 -11.97 -11.79 -11.99 -11.84
266 Sacred Heart -11.67 -11.84 -11.96 -11.94 -11.85
267 Elon -11.80 -11.85 -12.01 -11.79 -11.86
268 Loyola MD -11.79 -11.94 -12.00 -11.86 -11.90
269 Drake -11.77 -12.09 -11.86 -12.22 -11.98
270 LIU Brooklyn -11.73 -12.03 -12.26 -12.18 -12.05
271 Houston -11.80 -12.19 -12.19 -12.26 -12.11
272 VMI -12.17 -12.21 -11.88 -12.28 -12.13
273 Hampton -12.20 -12.39 -12.42 -12.37 -12.34
274 UMKC -12.45 -12.60 -12.41 -12.53 -12.50
275 Towson -12.41 -12.52 -12.64 -12.50 -12.52
276 Tennessee Tech -12.48 -12.67 -12.61 -12.77 -12.63
277 IUPUI -12.34 -12.84 -12.75 -12.76 -12.67
278 Cal St. Bakersfield -12.61 -12.88 -12.60 -12.78 -12.72
279 Ohio -12.74 -13.05 -12.88 -12.97 -12.91
280 Drexel -12.97 -13.05 -13.08 -12.86 -12.99
281 The Citadel -13.02 -13.08 -12.74 -13.17 -13.00
282 Utah Valley -13.01 -13.17 -12.88 -13.12 -13.05
283 Youngstown St. -12.76 -13.14 -13.10 -13.25 -13.06
284 South Florida -12.76 -13.08 -13.17 -13.31 -13.08
285 Penn -12.77 -13.05 -13.18 -13.41 -13.10
286 Southern Illinois -12.89 -13.23 -12.90 -13.47 -13.12
287 Siena -13.11 -13.19 -13.38 -13.44 -13.28
288 Appalachian St. -13.20 -13.27 -13.33 -13.36 -13.29
289 Samford -13.31 -13.41 -13.13 -13.49 -13.33
290 Rice -13.20 -13.66 -13.30 -13.27 -13.36
291 Delaware -13.25 -13.42 -13.46 -13.32 -13.36
292 Navy -13.31 -13.38 -13.51 -13.42 -13.40
293 Marshall -13.29 -13.66 -13.35 -13.33 -13.41
294 Ball St. -13.14 -13.60 -13.56 -13.52 -13.45
295 Nebraska Omaha -13.45 -13.68 -13.47 -13.53 -13.53
296 Alabama A&M -13.59 -13.63 -13.45 -13.70 -13.59
297 Southeastern Louisiana -13.44 -13.69 -13.65 -13.65 -13.61
298 Troy -13.60 -13.66 -13.69 -13.83 -13.70
299 Wagner -13.52 -13.74 -13.94 -13.82 -13.76
300 Nevada -13.74 -14.18 -13.91 -13.75 -13.90
301 Nicholls St. -13.78 -13.98 -14.04 -14.05 -13.96
302 Jacksonville St. -14.08 -14.06 -13.96 -14.11 -14.05
303 Southern Miss -13.82 -14.35 -14.13 -14.14 -14.11
304 Florida Atlantic -13.95 -14.38 -14.16 -14.32 -14.20
305 Western Illinois -14.00 -14.48 -14.32 -14.30 -14.28
306 Bradley -14.32 -14.65 -14.39 -14.81 -14.55
307 North Dakota -14.38 -14.70 -14.51 -14.61 -14.55
308 South Carolina St. -14.50 -14.81 -14.69 -14.82 -14.70
309 Savannah St. -14.57 -14.74 -14.78 -14.91 -14.75
310 Jackson St. -14.82 -14.95 -14.88 -14.96 -14.90
311 Cal St. Fullerton -14.95 -15.11 -15.10 -15.19 -15.09
312 Southern Utah -15.01 -15.20 -15.15 -15.19 -15.14
313 Niagara -15.09 -15.11 -15.37 -15.28 -15.21
314 Kennesaw St. -15.23 -15.36 -15.16 -15.25 -15.25
315 Furman -15.21 -15.35 -15.06 -15.39 -15.25
316 Texas Pan American -15.15 -15.40 -15.15 -15.32 -15.26
317 Cal St. Northridge -15.06 -15.30 -15.37 -15.41 -15.29
318 South Alabama -15.26 -15.38 -15.54 -15.49 -15.41
319 Campbell -15.20 -15.56 -15.23 -15.73 -15.43
320 Arkansas Pine Bluff -15.35 -15.62 -15.37 -15.53 -15.47
321 Presbyterian -15.27 -15.60 -15.32 -15.81 -15.50
322 Coppin St. -15.46 -15.69 -15.62 -15.70 -15.62
323 Austin Peay -15.72 -15.97 -15.95 -16.03 -15.92
324 UNC Greensboro -15.93 -16.06 -15.66 -16.03 -15.92
325 Abilene Christian -15.85 -16.19 -16.19 -16.22 -16.11
326 College of Charleston -16.16 -16.18 -16.18 -16.17 -16.17
327 Fairleigh Dickinson -16.04 -16.14 -16.42 -16.39 -16.25
328 Stetson -16.22 -16.34 -16.14 -16.41 -16.28
329 Illinois Chicago -16.09 -16.37 -16.33 -16.54 -16.33
330 Bethune Cookman -16.26 -16.51 -16.44 -16.51 -16.43
331 Morgan St. -16.32 -16.50 -16.51 -16.75 -16.52
332 Fairfield -16.40 -16.51 -16.72 -16.70 -16.58
333 Chicago St. -16.73 -16.99 -16.69 -16.86 -16.82
334 Jacksonville -17.07 -17.05 -16.95 -17.10 -17.04
335 Montana St. -17.00 -17.19 -16.97 -17.10 -17.07
336 North Carolina A&T -17.10 -17.42 -17.18 -17.28 -17.25
337 Longwood -17.09 -17.43 -17.19 -17.51 -17.31
338 Liberty -18.40 -18.73 -18.51 -19.00 -18.66
339 Mississippi Valley St. -18.78 -18.86 -18.82 -18.78 -18.81
340 Idaho St. -18.71 -18.97 -18.77 -18.81 -18.81
341 Marist -19.24 -19.27 -19.44 -19.40 -19.34
342 UMBC -19.14 -19.44 -19.51 -19.38 -19.37
343 Tennessee St. -19.22 -19.51 -19.48 -19.48 -19.42
344 Binghamton -19.46 -19.64 -19.75 -19.66 -19.63
345 Maine -19.52 -19.93 -19.91 -19.73 -19.77
346 Alcorn St. -20.17 -20.33 -20.25 -20.25 -20.25
347 Grambling St. -20.58 -20.69 -20.49 -20.48 -20.56
348 Central Connecticut -20.61 -20.80 -21.03 -21.00 -20.86
349 San Jose St. -20.70 -21.21 -20.93 -20.79 -20.91
350 Central Arkansas -22.72 -23.01 -23.06 -23.05 -22.96
351 Florida A&M -23.16 -23.39 -23.27 -23.40 -23.31

Well then, here you go:

Opponent’s Pythag Rating Bubble Expected Win% Result Net Result
0.2758 0.9396 W, 52-37 0.0604
0.3584 0.9138 W, 69-61 0.0862
0.303 0.9316 W, 54-49 0.0684
0.5688 0.8178 W, 59-50 0.1822
0.4884 0.818 W, 69-51 0.182
0.8192 0.4863 L, 66-54 -0.4863
0.4752 0.8673 W, 78-52 0.1327
0.6658 0.6095 L, 56-55 -0.6095
0.8166 0.5707 W, 71-62 0.4293
0.8027 0.5927 L, 68-47 -0.5927
0.2007 0.9593 W, 72-48 0.0407
0.8742 0.3091 W, 76-60 0.6909
0.8256 0.5556 W, 56-50 0.4444
0.3386 0.9204 W, 69-48 0.0796
0.819 0.4073 L, 62-56 -0.4073
0.7672 0.4854 L, 63-50 -0.4854
0.6981 0.7191 W, 84-53 0.2809
0.2661 0.9423 W, 67-54 0.0577
0.3963 0.8257 W, 56-46 0.1743
0.7038 0.7136 W, 70-58 0.2864
0.4936 0.7613 L, 50-46 -0.7613
0.9002 0.2564 W, 62-54 0.7436
0.2074 0.9577 W, 63-58 0.0423
0.8149 0.4139 L, 75-59 -0.4139
0.3358 0.9213 L, 50-49 -0.9213
0.8219 0.5619 L, 59-57 -0.5619
0.4085 0.8183 W, 63-53 0.1817
0.2564 0.945 W, 83-60 0.055
Current WAB -1.0209

Versus:

Opponent’s Pythag Rating Bubble Expected Win% Result Net Result
0.0000 1 W, 102-66 0
0.1604 0.9687 W, 86-51 0.0313
0.8854 0.3571 L, 90-72 -0.3571
0.3963 0.8257 W, 95-69 0.1743
0.4258 0.8887 W, 72-49 0.1113
0.4893 0.8607 W, 92-86 0.1393
0.0855 0.9845 W, 90-59 0.0155
0.5879 0.6854 W, 110-99 0.3146
0.2107 0.9569 W, 78-58 0.0431
0.3436 0.8559 W, 80-68 0.1441
0.9752 0.0733 L, 83-72 -0.0733
0.7120 0.7054 W, 81-67 0.2946
0.8857 0.2864 L, 71-65 -0.2864
0.2572 0.9447 W, 89-54 0.0553
0.6775 0.5967 W, 71-63 0.4033
0.8248 0.3977 L, 89-63 -0.3977
0.7260 0.6908 W, 77-60 0.3092
0.4449 0.7951 W, 80-73 0.2049
0.5994 0.6751 L, 75-70 -0.6751
0.4769 0.8665 L, 62-61 -0.8665
0.3475 0.9174 W, 95-69 0.0826
0.2962 0.9336 W, 92-71 0.0664
0.7077 0.5622 W, 77-69 0.4378
0.7527 0.5053 W, 65-63 0.4947
0.3739 0.9084 W, 76-57 0.0916
0.8324 0.385 W, 60-59 0.615
Current WAB 1.3729

If you want a hint, the first team is a #10 Seed in the most recent @bracketwag bracket. The second is in the first four out:

http://q.usatoday.com/2015/02/26/ncaa-tournament-bracketology-projecting-the-field-of-68-2/

This is what I have been working towards for the past few weeks. These are the amount of Wins-Above-Bubble each team is for each rating system. For example, Illinois is 0.42 wins behind what a generic bubble team would average against their schedule as rated by Sagarin. That’s their best result, as they average 0.71 wins below the Mendoza-line. Davidson is the opposite, peaking at 1.68 Wins-Above-Bubble against a BPI schedule.

The next step is to figure out how to display 351 team sheets… 🙂

Edit (Reminder: These are not power ratings!)

Ranking School KenPom WAB Massey WAB BPI WAB Sagarin WAB Average WAB
1 Kentucky 11.21 11.57 11.46 11.32 11.39
2 Virginia 9.51 10.18 10.01 9.92 9.90
3 Duke 8.76 9.24 9.06 9.07 9.03
4 Villanova 8.52 8.69 8.53 8.76 8.62
5 Wisconsin 7.78 7.87 7.87 8.36 7.97
6 Kansas 8.03 7.86 7.47 8.30 7.91
7 Gonzaga 7.85 7.93 7.69 7.82 7.82
8 Arizona 6.96 6.62 6.89 6.89 6.84
9 Maryland 5.46 5.40 5.54 5.96 5.59
10 Northern Iowa 5.21 4.96 5.09 4.99 5.06
11 Louisville 4.68 5.16 5.11 5.28 5.06
12 Baylor 4.95 4.91 4.53 5.25 4.91
13 Notre Dame 4.45 5.06 4.79 4.84 4.79
14 Utah 4.95 4.53 4.90 4.76 4.79
15 Iowa St. 4.66 4.67 4.16 4.88 4.59
16 West Virginia 4.56 4.55 4.09 4.74 4.48
17 Wichita St. 4.53 4.24 4.52 4.20 4.37
18 Oklahoma 4.10 4.12 3.74 4.41 4.09
19 Arkansas 3.66 4.08 3.97 3.61 3.83
20 North Carolina 3.42 3.84 3.69 3.87 3.70
21 Butler 3.07 3.36 3.16 3.27 3.21
22 Georgetown 2.53 2.75 2.72 2.82 2.70
23 VCU 2.82 2.46 3.04 2.35 2.66
24 Providence 2.21 2.55 2.51 2.46 2.43
25 SMU 2.33 2.09 2.15 2.07 2.16
26 Texas A&M 1.64 1.81 1.80 1.58 1.71
27 San Diego St. 1.85 1.36 1.69 1.89 1.70
28 Georgia 1.45 1.83 1.94 1.50 1.68
29 Michigan St. 1.32 1.65 1.68 2.04 1.67
30 Davidson 1.45 1.24 1.68 1.35 1.43
31 Oklahoma St. 1.42 1.35 0.97 1.72 1.36
32 LSU 1.13 1.47 1.59 1.12 1.33
33 Ohio St. 0.99 1.20 1.25 1.65 1.27
34 St. John’s 0.93 1.23 1.19 1.23 1.15
35 Iowa 0.87 0.94 1.13 1.60 1.14
36 Colorado St. 1.33 0.71 1.06 1.28 1.09
37 Stephen F. Austin 1.09 0.73 0.76 0.68 0.82
38 Dayton 0.75 0.74 1.00 0.51 0.75
39 Oregon 0.81 0.54 0.82 0.75 0.73
40 Texas 0.65 0.62 0.24 0.83 0.59
41 Mississippi 0.44 0.72 0.78 0.29 0.56
42 Purdue 0.21 0.46 0.49 0.93 0.52
43 Indiana 0.25 0.39 0.51 0.91 0.52
44 Saint Mary’s 0.48 0.56 0.33 0.57 0.49
45 Murray St. 0.54 0.23 0.38 0.32 0.37
46 North Carolina St. -0.08 0.40 0.23 0.28 0.21
47 Boise St. 0.13 -0.27 0.01 0.16 0.01
48 Wofford 0.00 -0.09 0.17 -0.11 -0.01
49 Miami FL -0.39 0.08 -0.03 0.06 -0.07
50 Xavier -0.17 0.03 -0.20 -0.09 -0.11
51 Valparaiso 0.05 -0.19 -0.25 -0.36 -0.19
52 Stanford -0.17 -0.41 -0.19 -0.24 -0.25
53 UCLA -0.20 -0.48 -0.25 -0.21 -0.29
54 BYU -0.25 -0.31 -0.52 -0.20 -0.32
55 Harvard -0.18 -0.39 -0.42 -0.40 -0.35
56 Pittsburgh -0.74 -0.18 -0.38 -0.32 -0.41
57 Syracuse -0.86 -0.28 -0.59 -0.52 -0.56
58 Iona -0.45 -0.48 -0.65 -0.68 -0.56
59 UC Davis -0.59 -0.76 -0.59 -0.70 -0.66
60 Illinois -0.94 -0.71 -0.78 -0.42 -0.71
61 Temple -0.52 -0.76 -0.75 -0.92 -0.74
62 Old Dominion -0.50 -0.97 -0.78 -0.82 -0.77
63 Central Michigan -0.63 -0.89 -0.86 -0.80 -0.79
64 Tulsa -0.59 -0.86 -0.95 -0.97 -0.84
65 Green Bay -0.67 -0.92 -0.93 -0.97 -0.87
66 Rhode Island -0.94 -0.96 -0.65 -1.12 -0.92
67 Alabama -1.02 -0.86 -0.77 -1.08 -0.93
68 Louisiana Tech -0.90 -1.28 -1.13 -1.05 -1.09
69 Cincinnati -1.05 -1.41 -1.37 -1.44 -1.32
70 North Carolina Central -1.40 -1.48 -1.44 -1.53 -1.46
71 UTEP -1.36 -1.84 -1.55 -1.54 -1.57
72 Sam Houston St. -1.43 -1.60 -1.67 -1.78 -1.62
73 TCU -1.66 -1.56 -1.98 -1.42 -1.66
74 George Washington -1.85 -2.08 -1.54 -1.95 -1.86
75 Buffalo -1.72 -2.02 -1.90 -2.00 -1.91
76 Seton Hall -2.02 -1.87 -1.93 -1.93 -1.93
77 Yale -1.68 -2.04 -2.13 -2.14 -2.00
78 Oregon St. -2.09 -2.35 -2.24 -2.21 -2.22
79 Wyoming -2.06 -2.59 -2.28 -2.15 -2.27
80 Minnesota -2.59 -2.40 -2.24 -1.95 -2.30
81 High Point -2.32 -2.57 -2.40 -2.75 -2.51
82 Kansas St. -2.53 -2.51 -2.90 -2.26 -2.55
83 Eastern Washington -2.48 -2.68 -2.52 -2.63 -2.58
84 Clemson -2.89 -2.29 -2.55 -2.66 -2.60
85 Tennessee -2.86 -2.47 -2.41 -2.80 -2.64
86 Michigan -2.92 -2.88 -2.72 -2.34 -2.71
87 South Dakota St. -2.65 -3.03 -2.90 -3.04 -2.90
88 Connecticut -2.69 -3.02 -2.99 -2.93 -2.91
89 Georgia St. -2.87 -3.00 -2.94 -3.03 -2.96
90 Florida Gulf Coast -2.92 -3.09 -2.98 -3.02 -3.00
91 Arizona St. -2.96 -3.16 -2.97 -3.07 -3.04
92 Toledo -2.81 -3.21 -3.11 -3.15 -3.07
93 Bowling Green -2.99 -3.31 -3.18 -3.31 -3.20
94 Vanderbilt -3.42 -3.01 -3.01 -3.40 -3.21
95 Massachusetts -3.40 -3.43 -3.20 -3.65 -3.42
96 Richmond -3.51 -3.57 -3.19 -3.69 -3.49
97 Albany -3.24 -3.60 -3.65 -3.54 -3.51
98 Evansville -3.32 -3.68 -3.46 -3.81 -3.57
99 Florida -3.70 -3.34 -3.41 -3.93 -3.60
100 Kent St. -3.40 -3.76 -3.64 -3.75 -3.64
101 Illinois St. -3.51 -3.81 -3.42 -3.94 -3.67
102 South Carolina -3.81 -3.49 -3.54 -3.89 -3.68
103 California -3.57 -3.96 -3.70 -3.64 -3.72
104 Memphis -3.39 -3.76 -3.88 -3.88 -3.72
105 Coastal Carolina -3.60 -3.69 -3.57 -4.14 -3.75
106 Northeastern -3.78 -3.85 -3.98 -3.90 -3.88
107 Washington -3.70 -4.14 -3.87 -3.81 -3.88
108 North Dakota St. -3.69 -4.02 -3.99 -3.90 -3.90
109 Georgia Southern -3.84 -3.90 -3.98 -3.90 -3.90
110 Pepperdine -3.93 -3.94 -4.04 -3.83 -3.94
111 William & Mary -3.92 -4.08 -4.02 -3.92 -3.99
112 Stony Brook -4.08 -4.35 -4.33 -4.17 -4.23
113 Incarnate Word -4.05 -4.27 -4.30 -4.34 -4.24
114 Chattanooga -4.24 -4.42 -4.02 -4.36 -4.26
115 Radford -4.09 -4.31 -4.23 -4.59 -4.30
116 Northwestern -4.54 -4.54 -4.38 -4.06 -4.38
117 Penn St. -4.65 -4.56 -4.36 -4.03 -4.40
118 New Mexico St. -4.47 -4.59 -4.16 -4.42 -4.41
119 Florida St. -4.85 -4.11 -4.43 -4.39 -4.45
120 Loyola Chicago -4.39 -4.72 -4.45 -4.85 -4.60
121 Charleston Southern -4.49 -4.58 -4.42 -4.96 -4.61
122 Utah St. -4.53 -4.91 -4.60 -4.57 -4.65
123 UNLV -4.34 -5.05 -4.86 -4.63 -4.72
124 Rider -4.64 -4.67 -4.89 -4.78 -4.75
125 Nebraska -4.99 -4.91 -4.82 -4.46 -4.79
126 UC Irvine -4.70 -4.87 -4.88 -4.99 -4.86
127 Belmont -4.76 -5.00 -4.84 -4.94 -4.88
128 North Florida -4.90 -4.90 -4.86 -4.94 -4.90
129 Eastern Kentucky -4.88 -4.98 -4.88 -4.90 -4.91
130 Western Kentucky -4.89 -5.15 -4.83 -4.88 -4.94
131 UNC Wilmington -5.05 -5.15 -5.03 -4.83 -5.01
132 Creighton -5.13 -5.01 -5.08 -4.96 -5.05
133 Western Michigan -4.81 -5.19 -5.21 -5.02 -5.06
134 Portland -5.10 -5.00 -5.07 -5.09 -5.07
135 La Salle -5.07 -5.30 -4.91 -5.39 -5.17
136 Cleveland St. -5.01 -5.25 -5.15 -5.32 -5.18
137 Marquette -5.32 -5.17 -5.20 -5.14 -5.21
138 Texas Southern -5.22 -5.26 -5.14 -5.26 -5.22
139 Alabama St. -5.30 -5.33 -5.22 -5.39 -5.31
140 Wake Forest -5.67 -5.11 -5.20 -5.27 -5.31
141 USC Upstate -5.32 -5.31 -5.25 -5.43 -5.32
142 Georgia Tech -5.73 -5.09 -5.22 -5.31 -5.34
143 Long Beach St. -5.23 -5.37 -5.52 -5.37 -5.37
144 Sacramento St. -5.33 -5.45 -5.27 -5.45 -5.37
145 Louisiana Monroe -5.30 -5.49 -5.45 -5.49 -5.43
146 St. Bonaventure -5.34 -5.59 -5.25 -5.60 -5.44
147 St. Francis NY -5.31 -5.43 -5.55 -5.56 -5.46
148 Tennessee Martin -5.58 -5.75 -5.60 -5.71 -5.66
149 Northwestern St. -5.53 -5.72 -5.82 -5.81 -5.72
150 Colorado -5.67 -6.02 -5.70 -5.79 -5.79
151 Eastern Michigan -5.67 -5.95 -5.84 -5.90 -5.84
152 Oakland -5.77 -5.98 -6.06 -6.04 -5.96
153 Norfolk St. -5.81 -5.98 -6.06 -6.08 -5.98
154 Hawaii -5.87 -6.04 -6.04 -6.06 -6.01
155 San Diego -6.05 -6.02 -6.17 -5.99 -6.06
156 UC Santa Barbara -6.07 -6.32 -6.26 -6.45 -6.27
157 Akron -6.14 -6.44 -6.44 -6.36 -6.34
158 Washington St. -6.28 -6.63 -6.34 -6.32 -6.39
159 NJIT -6.32 -6.38 -6.44 -6.50 -6.41
160 Hofstra -6.42 -6.48 -6.59 -6.48 -6.49
161 Texas Tech -6.44 -6.44 -6.94 -6.25 -6.52
162 East Tennessee St. -6.38 -6.61 -6.35 -6.73 -6.52
163 UT Arlington -6.44 -6.61 -6.63 -6.58 -6.56
164 Montana -6.52 -6.77 -6.54 -6.57 -6.60
165 Cal Poly -6.53 -6.61 -6.61 -6.74 -6.62
166 UAB -6.60 -6.92 -6.66 -6.70 -6.72
167 DePaul -6.83 -6.72 -6.73 -6.63 -6.73
168 Columbia -6.53 -6.84 -6.94 -7.04 -6.84
169 Auburn -6.93 -6.71 -6.76 -7.09 -6.87
170 Gardner Webb -6.78 -6.98 -6.82 -7.33 -6.98
171 New Mexico -6.87 -7.46 -7.09 -7.00 -7.11
172 New Hampshire -7.01 -7.19 -7.25 -7.13 -7.14
173 Lafayette -7.00 -7.13 -7.28 -7.27 -7.17
174 Eastern Illinois -6.90 -7.25 -7.32 -7.36 -7.21
175 Vermont -7.09 -7.34 -7.26 -7.29 -7.24
176 Winthrop -7.17 -7.21 -7.07 -7.56 -7.25
177 IPFW -7.05 -7.42 -7.34 -7.34 -7.29
178 Tulane -7.09 -7.38 -7.38 -7.43 -7.32
179 James Madison -7.32 -7.61 -7.57 -7.37 -7.47
180 Lehigh -7.39 -7.56 -7.59 -7.55 -7.52
181 Mississippi St. -7.81 -7.43 -7.38 -7.85 -7.61
182 Monmouth -7.47 -7.55 -7.78 -7.71 -7.63
183 Bucknell -7.56 -7.62 -7.74 -7.70 -7.66
184 Maryland Eastern Shore -7.54 -7.77 -7.65 -7.95 -7.73
185 Manhattan -7.68 -7.65 -7.82 -7.78 -7.74
186 Indiana St. -7.76 -8.04 -7.67 -7.96 -7.86
187 Oral Roberts -7.58 -8.06 -7.94 -7.85 -7.86
188 Mount St. Mary’s -7.70 -7.86 -7.93 -7.96 -7.87
189 Canisius -7.80 -7.93 -8.16 -8.08 -7.99
190 Northern Arizona -7.89 -8.05 -7.97 -8.12 -8.01
191 UC Riverside -7.84 -8.06 -8.10 -8.11 -8.03
192 Middle Tennessee -7.87 -8.18 -8.10 -8.12 -8.07
193 Santa Clara -8.17 -8.01 -8.18 -8.12 -8.12
194 Mercer -8.21 -8.20 -7.80 -8.29 -8.12
195 Portland St. -8.08 -8.26 -8.17 -8.19 -8.18
196 Louisiana Lafayette -8.05 -8.18 -8.31 -8.33 -8.22
197 Saint Joseph’s -8.22 -8.37 -8.04 -8.50 -8.28
198 Charlotte -8.27 -8.47 -8.25 -8.20 -8.30
199 Boston College -8.70 -8.09 -8.29 -8.29 -8.34
200 Grand Canyon -8.34 -8.54 -8.27 -8.39 -8.39
201 Rutgers -8.71 -8.59 -8.45 -8.10 -8.46
202 Virginia Tech -8.77 -8.25 -8.40 -8.57 -8.50
203 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -8.34 -8.56 -8.56 -8.66 -8.53
204 UTSA -8.49 -8.80 -8.57 -8.57 -8.61
205 San Francisco -8.70 -8.54 -8.61 -8.67 -8.63
206 American -8.49 -8.70 -8.81 -8.69 -8.67
207 Air Force -8.74 -9.23 -8.95 -8.73 -8.91
208 Robert Morris -8.76 -8.86 -9.02 -9.08 -8.93
209 Detroit -8.85 -9.24 -9.14 -9.36 -9.15
210 UCF -8.95 -9.21 -9.19 -9.32 -9.17
211 Lamar -8.95 -9.16 -9.30 -9.30 -9.18
212 North Texas -9.08 -9.36 -9.19 -9.12 -9.19
213 Quinnipiac -9.03 -9.18 -9.41 -9.30 -9.23
214 Fresno St. -9.10 -9.53 -9.24 -9.08 -9.24
215 St. Francis PA -8.97 -9.23 -9.45 -9.38 -9.26
216 Army -9.15 -9.29 -9.42 -9.37 -9.31
217 Missouri -9.52 -9.24 -9.21 -9.43 -9.35
218 Northern Illinois -9.26 -9.54 -9.53 -9.43 -9.44
219 USC -9.32 -9.65 -9.45 -9.35 -9.44
220 Howard -9.42 -9.58 -9.65 -9.76 -9.60
221 Hartford -9.45 -9.73 -9.76 -9.77 -9.68
222 Bryant -9.36 -9.72 -9.84 -9.90 -9.71
223 Western Carolina -9.73 -9.82 -9.51 -9.97 -9.76
224 Princeton -9.61 -9.78 -9.76 -9.89 -9.76
225 Milwaukee -9.63 -9.83 -9.80 -9.88 -9.79
226 Boston University -9.67 -9.89 -9.85 -9.96 -9.84
227 Cornell -9.69 -9.89 -10.01 -9.99 -9.90
228 Delaware St. -9.68 -9.92 -9.95 -10.23 -9.95
229 SIU Edwardsville -9.79 -10.02 -9.95 -10.02 -9.95
230 East Carolina -9.88 -10.28 -10.24 -10.27 -10.17
231 Pacific -10.24 -10.17 -10.18 -10.11 -10.17
232 Colgate -10.08 -10.28 -10.26 -10.13 -10.19
233 UNC Asheville -9.98 -10.22 -10.09 -10.53 -10.21
234 South Dakota -9.98 -10.38 -10.29 -10.37 -10.25
235 Miami OH -10.20 -10.50 -10.32 -10.41 -10.36
236 McNeese St. -10.19 -10.37 -10.49 -10.45 -10.38
237 Morehead St. -10.13 -10.58 -10.38 -10.42 -10.38
238 Northern Colorado -10.35 -10.62 -10.34 -10.48 -10.45
239 Saint Louis -10.37 -10.65 -10.17 -10.62 -10.45
240 Fordham -10.50 -10.61 -10.25 -10.68 -10.51
241 Seattle -10.58 -10.65 -10.38 -10.47 -10.52
242 Holy Cross -10.49 -10.65 -10.77 -10.72 -10.66
243 Texas St. -10.57 -10.75 -10.91 -10.80 -10.76
244 Duquesne -10.76 -10.87 -10.50 -10.91 -10.76
245 Southern -10.76 -10.86 -10.73 -10.80 -10.79
246 FIU -10.79 -11.04 -10.76 -10.85 -10.86
247 Dartmouth -10.69 -10.97 -10.99 -11.10 -10.94
248 Southeast Missouri St. -10.91 -10.97 -10.92 -11.06 -10.96
249 Brown -10.91 -11.16 -11.30 -11.23 -11.15
250 Weber St. -10.99 -11.22 -11.19 -11.23 -11.16
251 Denver -10.89 -11.33 -11.11 -11.34 -11.17
252 Lipscomb -11.13 -11.22 -11.10 -11.24 -11.17
253 Missouri St. -10.99 -11.34 -10.96 -11.40 -11.17
254 Houston Baptist -10.96 -11.18 -11.37 -11.30 -11.20
255 Idaho -11.00 -11.34 -11.24 -11.26 -11.21
256 Wright St. -10.98 -11.32 -11.18 -11.37 -11.21
257 UMass Lowell -11.09 -11.47 -11.41 -11.35 -11.33
258 Northern Kentucky -11.47 -11.52 -11.41 -11.55 -11.49
259 Saint Peter’s -11.46 -11.53 -11.67 -11.61 -11.57
260 George Mason -11.55 -11.81 -11.36 -11.80 -11.63
261 Prairie View A&M -11.51 -11.76 -11.82 -11.68 -11.69
262 New Orleans -11.57 -11.79 -11.83 -11.76 -11.74
263 LIU Brooklyn -11.44 -11.74 -11.96 -11.88 -11.75
264 Loyola Marymount -11.81 -11.82 -11.86 -11.74 -11.81
265 Loyola MD -11.80 -11.96 -12.00 -11.86 -11.90
266 VMI -11.96 -11.95 -11.66 -12.04 -11.90
267 Drake -11.76 -12.07 -11.84 -12.19 -11.96
268 Houston -11.77 -12.15 -12.13 -12.18 -12.06
269 Arkansas St. -12.01 -12.07 -12.13 -12.14 -12.09
270 Arkansas Little Rock -12.01 -12.14 -12.16 -12.19 -12.12
271 Sacred Heart -12.06 -12.22 -12.33 -12.31 -12.23
272 Hampton -12.15 -12.36 -12.39 -12.34 -12.31
273 Tennessee Tech -12.21 -12.38 -12.32 -12.49 -12.35
274 Drexel -12.36 -12.43 -12.46 -12.22 -12.37
275 Towson -12.39 -12.49 -12.61 -12.45 -12.49
276 Utah Valley -12.62 -12.76 -12.49 -12.76 -12.66
277 Elon -12.60 -12.64 -12.82 -12.58 -12.66
278 Cal St. Bakersfield -12.66 -12.89 -12.63 -12.83 -12.75
279 IUPUI -12.40 -12.94 -12.84 -12.86 -12.76
280 UMKC -12.82 -12.94 -12.78 -12.89 -12.86
281 Samford -12.88 -12.91 -12.67 -13.00 -12.86
282 Ohio -12.72 -13.04 -12.86 -12.96 -12.89
283 Appalachian St. -12.89 -12.92 -12.97 -13.01 -12.95
284 Youngstown St. -12.79 -13.14 -13.12 -13.25 -13.07
285 Rice -12.94 -13.36 -13.04 -13.01 -13.09
286 Penn -12.78 -13.07 -13.18 -13.39 -13.10
287 Southern Illinois -12.90 -13.23 -12.89 -13.46 -13.12
288 South Florida -12.87 -13.16 -13.22 -13.35 -13.15
289 Siena -13.07 -13.17 -13.37 -13.43 -13.26
290 Navy -13.28 -13.35 -13.49 -13.40 -13.38
291 Ball St. -13.15 -13.59 -13.57 -13.54 -13.46
292 Troy -13.41 -13.44 -13.45 -13.60 -13.47
293 Wagner -13.31 -13.53 -13.71 -13.59 -13.53
294 Southeastern Louisiana -13.41 -13.64 -13.60 -13.62 -13.57
295 Alabama A&M -13.59 -13.63 -13.45 -13.70 -13.59
296 Marshall -13.64 -13.97 -13.69 -13.66 -13.74
297 The Citadel -13.78 -13.80 -13.51 -13.92 -13.75
298 Nevada -13.76 -14.18 -13.89 -13.75 -13.89
299 Jacksonville St. -13.98 -13.95 -13.86 -14.00 -13.95
300 Nicholls St. -13.84 -14.02 -14.08 -14.09 -14.01
301 Delaware -13.95 -14.07 -14.14 -14.00 -14.04
302 North Dakota -13.90 -14.22 -14.03 -14.14 -14.07
303 Western Illinois -13.81 -14.30 -14.14 -14.13 -14.09
304 Florida Atlantic -13.87 -14.27 -14.07 -14.23 -14.11
305 Nebraska Omaha -14.40 -14.62 -14.43 -14.50 -14.49
306 Bradley -14.38 -14.68 -14.40 -14.82 -14.57
307 Cal St. Fullerton -14.50 -14.64 -14.64 -14.77 -14.63
308 South Carolina St. -14.43 -14.74 -14.64 -14.76 -14.64
309 Savannah St. -14.53 -14.70 -14.76 -14.88 -14.72
310 Southern Miss -14.46 -14.95 -14.79 -14.80 -14.75
311 Kennesaw St. -14.74 -14.87 -14.68 -14.75 -14.76
312 Southern Utah -14.75 -14.92 -14.90 -14.94 -14.88
313 Jackson St. -14.88 -14.99 -14.92 -15.00 -14.95
314 South Alabama -14.95 -15.03 -15.17 -15.14 -15.07
315 Niagara -15.08 -15.12 -15.37 -15.28 -15.21
316 Texas Pan American -15.15 -15.36 -15.14 -15.31 -15.24
317 Arkansas Pine Bluff -15.39 -15.62 -15.38 -15.57 -15.49
318 Coppin St. -15.46 -15.69 -15.61 -15.69 -15.61
319 Cal St. Northridge -15.47 -15.65 -15.72 -15.81 -15.66
320 Furman -15.92 -16.00 -15.75 -16.06 -15.93
321 Fairleigh Dickinson -15.77 -15.85 -16.11 -16.08 -15.95
322 Campbell -15.87 -16.15 -15.96 -16.42 -16.10
323 Abilene Christian -15.85 -16.17 -16.18 -16.22 -16.10
324 College of Charleston -16.21 -16.20 -16.23 -16.18 -16.20
325 Illinois Chicago -16.00 -16.26 -16.22 -16.42 -16.23
326 Stetson -16.25 -16.37 -16.17 -16.42 -16.30
327 Presbyterian -16.09 -16.34 -16.23 -16.68 -16.33
328 Bethune Cookman -16.26 -16.51 -16.42 -16.49 -16.42
329 UNC Greensboro -16.51 -16.57 -16.21 -16.57 -16.47
330 Austin Peay -16.36 -16.58 -16.56 -16.64 -16.54
331 Fairfield -16.37 -16.49 -16.72 -16.69 -16.57
332 Morgan St. -16.45 -16.59 -16.57 -16.82 -16.60
333 Montana St. -16.85 -17.03 -16.84 -16.98 -16.93
334 Jacksonville -17.07 -17.04 -16.95 -17.09 -17.04
335 Longwood -16.97 -17.25 -17.16 -17.44 -17.20
336 North Carolina A&T -17.09 -17.39 -17.16 -17.26 -17.23
337 Chicago St. -17.44 -17.66 -17.41 -17.57 -17.52
338 Idaho St. -18.65 -18.89 -18.71 -18.78 -18.76
339 Mississippi Valley St. -18.79 -18.87 -18.82 -18.78 -18.81
340 Tennessee St. -19.02 -19.31 -19.27 -19.26 -19.21
341 Marist -19.26 -19.30 -19.47 -19.42 -19.36
342 UMBC -19.16 -19.47 -19.51 -19.38 -19.38
343 Liberty -19.22 -19.48 -19.42 -19.87 -19.50
344 Binghamton -19.45 -19.64 -19.75 -19.65 -19.62
345 Maine -19.51 -19.93 -19.89 -19.71 -19.76
346 Alcorn St. -20.11 -20.28 -20.19 -20.21 -20.20
347 Grambling St. -20.54 -20.66 -20.46 -20.45 -20.53
348 Central Connecticut -20.49 -20.69 -20.90 -20.87 -20.74
349 San Jose St. -20.66 -21.14 -20.85 -20.75 -20.85
350 Central Arkansas -22.74 -23.01 -23.06 -23.07 -22.97
351 Florida A&M -23.16 -23.39 -23.27 -23.40 -23.31

As always, this is using the KenPoms, although Kentucky’s rating has been modified due to the fact that they are quite a bit better than their KenPom rating.

East Final Four Finalist Champ
Virginia 0.4318 0.2916 0.1188
St. Francis NY 0.0003 0.0000 0.0000
Indiana 0.0095 0.0025 0.0003
Texas A&M 0.0115 0.0031 0.0004
VCU 0.0313 0.0107 0.0017
Harvard 0.0046 0.0010 0.0001
North Carolina 0.0648 0.0267 0.0055
Central Michigan 0.0031 0.0006 0.0001
West Virginia 0.0456 0.0170 0.0031
Cincinnati 0.0110 0.0029 0.0003
Maryland 0.0225 0.0067 0.0009
Georgia St. 0.0041 0.0008 0.0001
Mississippi 0.0222 0.0068 0.0010
Colorado St. 0.0043 0.0009 0.0001
Villanova 0.3323 0.2084 0.0755
William & Mary 0.0011 0.0002 0.0000
South Final Four Finalist Champ
Duke 0.2113 0.0988 0.0298
Albany 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000
Ohio St. 0.0629 0.0226 0.0050
Georgia 0.0087 0.0020 0.0003
Baylor 0.1037 0.0401 0.0096
Iona 0.0013 0.0002 0.0000
Northern Iowa 0.1068 0.0416 0.0100
Wofford 0.0013 0.0002 0.0000
Georgetown 0.0466 0.0153 0.0030
Purdue 0.0085 0.0019 0.0002
Utah 0.2484 0.1232 0.0400
UC Davis 0.0011 0.0002 0.0000
Michigan St. 0.0452 0.0149 0.0030
LSU 0.0205 0.0056 0.0009
Kansas 0.1334 0.0536 0.0134
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000
West Final Four Finalist Champ
Gonzaga 0.3220 0.1114 0.0619
North Carolina Central 0.0009 0.0001 0.0000
Oklahoma St. 0.0211 0.0032 0.0008
St. John’s 0.0113 0.0014 0.0003
Arkansas 0.0258 0.0039 0.0010
Stephen F. Austin 0.0094 0.0011 0.0002
Louisville 0.0483 0.0087 0.0028
Valparaiso 0.0055 0.0006 0.0001
SMU 0.0348 0.0060 0.0018
Oregon 0.0052 0.0005 0.0001
Iowa St. 0.0901 0.0206 0.0081
Louisiana Tech 0.0027 0.0002 0.0000
Providence 0.0097 0.0012 0.0003
Iowa 0.0233 0.0038 0.0011
Arizona 0.3889 0.1519 0.0925
New Mexico St. 0.0011 0.0001 0.0000
Midwest Final Four Finalist Champ
Kentucky 0.6872 0.5486 0.4425
Sacramento St. 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Xavier 0.0080 0.0024 0.0007
North Carolina St. 0.0050 0.0014 0.0004
Wichita St. 0.0328 0.0132 0.0053
Texas 0.0096 0.0029 0.0009
Notre Dame 0.0164 0.0053 0.0017
Murray St. 0.0010 0.0002 0.0000
Butler 0.0154 0.0047 0.0014
Temple 0.0017 0.0003 0.0001
Oklahoma 0.0643 0.0275 0.0119
South Dakota St. 0.0005 0.0001 0.0000
San Diego St. 0.0133 0.0040 0.0012
Dayton 0.0023 0.0005 0.0001
Wisconsin 0.1422 0.0744 0.0395
High Point 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000

We see the return of WAB. I’ve also calculated the Massey resume ratings, but I’m still working on a good way to properly display all the information (KenPom, Sagarin, BPI, Massey).

A brief refresher: To generate this data I put a generic bubble team and a generic monster (#1 seed quality) through each team’s schedule. For example, a Bubble Team would expect win win 63.97% of their games vs. UK’s schedule. A Monster team would expect to win 92.38% of its games vs. UK’s schedule.

Wins above Bubble is where the team’s currently stand, but don’t despair if your team is below the Mendoza-line! An additional While there are only 46 teams currently with a positive WAB, another 21 could still join them by winning out, and that doesn’t count the conference tournaments.

Finally, for now we have 3 clear #1 seeds. Kentucky, Virginia, and Gonzaga have all performed above a very high baseline. So has Villanova, but they will have to win out to stay above it. Speaking of Duke, if they win out they’ll end up solidly in the black as well.

Rank Team Win% > Bubble Win% > Monster Wins > Bubble
1 Kentucky 36.03% 7.62% 10.87
2 Virginia 32.42% 4.53% 9.18
3 Duke 28.09% -0.39% 8.50
4 Villanova 27.94% 0.29% 8.26
5 Kansas 26.25% -8.00% 7.75
6 Gonzaga 24.74% 3.05% 7.59
7 Wisconsin 26.06% -2.88% 7.52
8 Arizona 22.90% -3.58% 6.66
9 Maryland 17.35% -9.29% 5.20
10 Iowa St. 18.75% -12.29% 5.15
11 Northern Iowa 18.13% -1.86% 4.84
12 Utah 15.81% -10.20% 4.75
13 Louisville 16.46% -11.69% 4.46
14 West Virginia 17.70% -11.33% 4.35
15 Notre Dame 15.13% -9.29% 4.26
16 Wichita St. 14.57% -5.12% 4.08
17 Baylor 14.48% -15.69% 3.92
18 Oklahoma 13.54% -18.35% 3.80
19 Arkansas 14.80% -9.28% 3.47
20 North Carolina 11.16% -20.51% 3.11
21 VCU 11.28% -15.01% 3.06
22 Butler 9.12% -20.00% 2.67
23 Georgetown 9.34% -20.68% 2.29
24 SMU 8.71% -12.43% 2.19
25 Providence 7.02% -21.15% 2.04
26 San Diego St. 5.57% -15.71% 1.68
27 Texas A&M 5.25% -21.35% 1.40
28 Colorado St. 4.46% -13.85% 1.13
29 Oklahoma St. 4.22% -26.24% 1.12
30 Michigan St. 5.42% -21.03% 1.07
31 Stephen F. Austin 2.75% -11.00% 0.91
32 LSU 4.32% -21.16% 0.91
33 Mississippi 4.65% -21.11% 0.80
34 Ohio St. 2.38% -22.44% 0.73
35 St. John’s 4.70% -22.83% 0.70
36 Davidson 3.62% -17.47% 0.65
37 Valparaiso 3.68% -11.08% 0.63
38 Indiana 3.13% -23.44% 0.61
39 Georgia 3.51% -24.04% 0.55
40 Texas 2.36% -26.89% 0.48
41 Dayton 3.74% -17.95% 0.45
42 Murray St. 1.72% -11.61% 0.41
43 Iowa 0.57% -27.65% 0.28
44 Saint Mary’s 1.10% -19.73% 0.27
45 Oregon 3.57% -20.93% 0.15
46 Boise St. 0.24% -19.20% -0.02
47 Purdue 1.59% -24.94% -0.06
48 Wofford -0.23% -15.88% -0.11
49 Stanford 0.81% -24.92% -0.34
50 North Carolina St. -1.90% -30.05% -0.36
51 Harvard -0.31% -16.16% -0.36
52 Xavier -0.43% -29.14% -0.38
53 BYU 0.60% -21.32% -0.44
54 Iona -1.48% -17.52% -0.55
55 UCLA -5.01% -31.74% -0.59
56 Rhode Island 0.51% -19.36% -0.59
57 Old Dominion -2.90% -19.88% -0.72
58 Temple -3.02% -25.22% -0.72
59 Green Bay -3.10% -20.33% -0.76
60 Central Michigan -0.66% -16.14% -0.78
61 UC Davis 0.43% -13.60% -0.79
62 Tulsa 0.09% -21.24% -0.92
63 Miami FL -2.44% -29.01% -0.94
64 Illinois -1.78% -27.76% -0.95
65 Pittsburgh -1.43% -26.08% -0.96
66 Syracuse 0.73% -25.99% -1.08
67 Louisiana Tech -4.41% -21.20% -1.11
68 Alabama -2.17% -28.54% -1.27
69 Cincinnati -4.82% -27.74% -1.29
70 Wyoming -1.33% -18.16% -1.29
71 North Carolina Central -6.67% -18.87% -1.53
72 UTEP -5.39% -22.98% -1.54
73 Sam Houston St. -3.63% -15.64% -1.56
74 Buffalo -6.85% -26.35% -1.88
75 Yale -6.19% -25.31% -1.97
76 TCU -4.22% -30.62% -2.02
77 Toledo -7.40% -27.83% -2.15
78 Seton Hall -6.30% -34.39% -2.25
79 Oregon St. -5.38% -29.37% -2.31
80 High Point -6.92% -21.59% -2.44
81 Florida Gulf Coast -8.06% -21.92% -2.46
82 George Washington -7.18% -29.94% -2.53
83 Eastern Washington -8.46% -22.65% -2.59
84 Massachusetts -9.27% -34.31% -2.71
85 South Dakota St. -8.97% -23.10% -2.82
86 Kansas St. -7.75% -39.63% -2.83
87 Minnesota -7.71% -34.08% -2.84
88 Georgia St. -10.05% -25.85% -2.95
89 Tennessee -8.37% -37.13% -3.07
90 Clemson -8.62% -34.94% -3.08
91 Michigan -10.33% -38.04% -3.17
92 Bowling Green -9.17% -27.00% -3.21
93 Arizona St. -9.56% -35.48% -3.27
94 Connecticut -10.48% -35.47% -3.28
95 California -7.22% -31.98% -3.32
96 Evansville -8.95% -27.07% -3.46
97 Albany -12.45% -26.78% -3.52
98 Kent St. -9.53% -27.75% -3.56
99 Memphis -8.42% -30.24% -3.59
100 Vanderbilt -12.09% -36.22% -3.67
101 Coastal Carolina -12.91% -24.98% -3.73
102 Washington -9.87% -34.70% -3.81
103 Illinois St. -13.44% -33.74% -3.84
104 North Dakota St. -12.15% -25.38% -3.85
105 Florida -12.33% -42.14% -3.91
106 Northeastern -13.40% -30.92% -3.92
107 Georgia Southern -9.98% -21.81% -3.94
108 South Carolina -14.14% -41.50% -4.08
109 Pepperdine -15.10% -36.08% -4.11
110 Incarnate Word -12.88% -26.25% -4.23
111 Radford -14.29% -27.85% -4.24
112 William & Mary -16.16% -32.98% -4.30
113 Richmond -14.68% -38.07% -4.32
114 Chattanooga -14.55% -27.24% -4.39
115 Stony Brook -15.41% -30.97% -4.48
116 UNLV -15.93% -39.52% -4.50
117 New Mexico St. -16.52% -30.37% -4.58
118 Charleston Southern -14.83% -29.75% -4.62
119 La Salle -14.74% -38.14% -4.65
120 Utah St. -14.03% -32.79% -4.72
121 Florida St. -13.74% -38.51% -4.78
122 Rider -15.87% -30.92% -4.85
123 Penn St. -13.60% -38.42% -4.93
124 Belmont -18.06% -32.28% -4.95
125 UC Irvine -15.07% -33.24% -4.95
126 Western Michigan -15.41% -35.22% -4.97
127 Eastern Kentucky -18.86% -31.95% -4.98
128 Loyola Chicago -17.26% -36.83% -5.01
129 Western Kentucky -16.58% -34.44% -5.14
130 Cleveland St. -16.81% -35.31% -5.14
131 St. Bonaventure -18.96% -39.34% -5.23
132 Portland -16.75% -36.93% -5.27
133 Nebraska -14.92% -42.85% -5.27
134 Creighton -15.52% -44.18% -5.35
135 Alabama St. -19.13% -27.37% -5.39
136 Texas Southern -19.69% -37.62% -5.40
137 Marquette -17.11% -47.07% -5.41
138 St. Francis NY -17.27% -28.63% -5.42
139 Louisiana Monroe -17.04% -30.71% -5.44
140 Sacramento St. -16.44% -27.57% -5.44
141 Northwestern -15.87% -42.92% -5.48
142 Long Beach St. -19.65% -45.69% -5.49
143 USC Upstate -18.31% -28.80% -5.60
144 North Florida -18.54% -33.55% -5.66
145 Northwestern St. -19.09% -33.98% -5.68
146 UNC Wilmington -19.67% -36.68% -5.70
147 Tennessee Martin -19.17% -33.78% -5.73
148 Wake Forest -16.81% -45.25% -5.79
149 Eastern Michigan -17.55% -35.10% -5.88
150 Colorado -18.73% -44.71% -5.89
151 Georgia Tech -19.54% -47.55% -6.00
152 Norfolk St. -19.25% -32.95% -6.01
153 Oakland -19.57% -40.97% -6.05
154 Hawaii -19.32% -34.85% -6.07
155 San Diego -18.99% -42.59% -6.27
156 UC Santa Barbara -21.09% -41.02% -6.27
157 Akron -20.23% -38.78% -6.27
158 NJIT -23.39% -36.73% -6.43
159 East Tennessee St. -22.15% -37.40% -6.51
160 Texas Tech -18.40% -46.47% -6.54
161 UT Arlington -22.27% -37.07% -6.57
162 Montana -21.86% -35.73% -6.64
163 Lafayette -23.14% -37.05% -6.64
164 Cal Poly -23.76% -43.17% -6.76
165 Hofstra -22.23% -35.39% -6.77
166 Columbia -24.71% -40.52% -6.80
167 UAB -23.63% -41.72% -6.80
168 Gardner Webb -21.07% -36.54% -6.92
169 New Hampshire -23.79% -35.13% -6.94
170 New Mexico -23.67% -45.03% -6.99
171 James Madison -21.61% -37.37% -7.05
172 Eastern Illinois -22.77% -39.43% -7.08
173 Tulane -22.14% -41.75% -7.08
174 DePaul -22.16% -49.69% -7.14
175 IPFW -27.08% -41.48% -7.16
176 Bucknell -22.58% -37.39% -7.20
177 Auburn -21.97% -48.56% -7.23
178 Washington St. -21.83% -48.55% -7.31
179 Winthrop -26.77% -38.40% -7.32
180 Vermont -25.91% -38.60% -7.57
181 Monmouth -25.26% -40.92% -7.67
182 Maryland Eastern Shore -25.99% -40.58% -7.70
183 Oral Roberts -26.68% -42.66% -7.73
184 Indiana St. -25.05% -44.51% -7.79
185 Manhattan -26.07% -41.57% -7.84
186 Mount St. Mary’s -27.82% -43.16% -7.86
187 Canisius -28.24% -43.68% -7.94
188 Mississippi St. -23.59% -48.48% -7.99
189 Lehigh -26.88% -41.28% -8.00
190 Northern Arizona -26.21% -40.94% -8.00
191 Middle Tennessee -25.37% -42.79% -8.06
192 UC Riverside -25.53% -43.11% -8.06
193 Louisiana Lafayette -27.20% -40.46% -8.19
194 Portland St. -28.61% -41.63% -8.22
195 Santa Clara -28.06% -50.25% -8.38
196 Mercer -26.61% -41.50% -8.40
197 Grand Canyon -27.73% -38.59% -8.45
198 Charlotte -30.53% -50.81% -8.52
199 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -29.18% -41.52% -8.53
200 UTSA -30.85% -45.20% -8.70
201 USC -30.45% -54.68% -8.86
202 San Francisco -30.51% -51.17% -8.86
203 Robert Morris -30.96% -46.10% -8.87
204 Boston College -30.32% -58.44% -8.90
205 Army -29.27% -41.40% -8.95
206 Virginia Tech -26.99% -53.25% -8.98
207 American -30.71% -46.81% -9.04
208 UCF -30.14% -49.28% -9.06
209 Rutgers -27.05% -55.94% -9.07
210 Air Force -31.88% -49.73% -9.09
211 Lamar -28.61% -43.76% -9.10
212 St. Francis PA -31.25% -45.16% -9.21
213 Quinnipiac -32.26% -45.87% -9.22
214 North Texas -27.90% -45.75% -9.26
215 Saint Joseph’s -29.04% -50.40% -9.31
216 South Dakota -30.76% -45.43% -9.48
217 Bryant -34.11% -49.03% -9.60
218 Howard -31.02% -43.84% -9.63
219 Detroit -30.69% -51.73% -9.65
220 Missouri -31.83% -59.91% -9.70
221 Milwaukee -32.82% -52.37% -9.73
222 Princeton -33.12% -49.02% -9.76
223 East Carolina -30.61% -50.34% -9.76
224 Delaware St. -32.85% -49.60% -9.88
225 Hartford -34.27% -48.50% -9.90
226 Western Carolina -34.31% -50.20% -9.91
227 Cornell -33.36% -50.36% -9.93
228 SIU Edwardsville -37.42% -51.20% -9.94
229 UNC Asheville -35.31% -49.28% -10.13
230 Fresno St. -31.61% -51.20% -10.14
231 Boston University -36.73% -50.70% -10.22
232 Morehead St. -35.44% -51.28% -10.30
233 McNeese St. -39.50% -53.73% -10.33
234 Saint Louis -32.73% -53.58% -10.37
235 Northern Illinois -35.09% -55.04% -10.37
236 Pacific -33.87% -54.63% -10.43
237 Miami OH -33.82% -52.70% -10.44
238 Northern Colorado -38.49% -51.41% -10.45
239 Seattle -37.98% -48.12% -10.67
240 Texas St. -38.29% -52.74% -10.72
241 Colgate -35.27% -51.39% -10.76
242 Southern -34.31% -47.57% -10.85
243 Dartmouth -38.68% -55.22% -10.90
244 FIU -33.06% -48.47% -10.94
245 Southeast Missouri St. -39.20% -53.88% -11.02
246 Holy Cross -39.99% -54.87% -11.04
247 Weber St. -39.43% -54.07% -11.08
248 Wright St. -38.19% -56.50% -11.12
249 Brown -35.07% -51.85% -11.15
250 Houston Baptist -37.35% -51.37% -11.15
251 Lipscomb -38.45% -52.43% -11.16
252 Idaho -40.59% -53.57% -11.19
253 UMass Lowell -37.72% -53.54% -11.23
254 Duquesne -38.93% -59.43% -11.28
255 Fordham -39.70% -62.32% -11.40
256 Drake -38.68% -61.35% -11.48
257 Missouri St. -39.13% -58.79% -11.51
258 Saint Peter’s -37.81% -52.55% -11.63
259 Northern Kentucky -40.47% -55.33% -11.64
260 LIU Brooklyn -39.42% -52.92% -11.69
261 Prairie View A&M -40.24% -55.13% -11.70
262 New Orleans -46.76% -61.64% -11.76
263 Loyola MD -40.82% -56.06% -11.76
264 Denver -39.77% -55.89% -11.77
265 George Mason -37.81% -62.02% -11.78
266 Houston -40.53% -60.44% -11.94
267 Loyola Marymount -39.71% -64.80% -12.03
268 Arkansas St. -42.22% -57.01% -12.10
269 Arkansas Little Rock -38.57% -52.72% -12.14
270 VMI -42.03% -56.15% -12.17
271 Sacred Heart -40.78% -52.64% -12.19
272 Towson -39.68% -55.08% -12.36
273 Hampton -41.82% -54.75% -12.38
274 Tennessee Tech -39.88% -54.43% -12.41
275 Drexel -43.29% -59.85% -12.51
276 IUPUI -44.84% -63.62% -12.61
277 Utah Valley -44.46% -57.28% -12.71
278 Youngstown St. -40.57% -58.21% -12.73
279 Cal St. Bakersfield -40.92% -52.64% -12.75
280 Elon -40.52% -55.09% -12.82
281 Ohio -43.51% -64.67% -12.94
282 UMKC -43.86% -57.51% -12.96
283 Penn -46.05% -65.21% -12.97
284 Samford -42.23% -55.77% -12.99
285 Southern Illinois -42.20% -60.44% -12.99
286 Appalachian St. -44.76% -60.87% -13.07
287 South Florida -43.74% -65.87% -13.13
288 Navy -43.75% -57.58% -13.14
289 Rice -41.64% -58.01% -13.14
290 Siena -44.74% -60.27% -13.24
291 Ball St. -46.14% -67.16% -13.25
292 Southeastern Louisiana -46.50% -61.37% -13.52
293 Troy -45.75% -58.94% -13.52
294 Wagner -45.65% -59.96% -13.53
295 Nevada -46.43% -65.04% -13.71
296 Alabama A&M -50.86% -63.88% -13.72
297 Marshall -45.48% -62.75% -13.85
298 The Citadel -47.51% -60.18% -13.91
299 Nicholls St. -50.89% -66.14% -13.95
300 Western Illinois -50.26% -65.17% -13.96
301 North Dakota -48.85% -64.41% -14.02
302 Florida Atlantic -47.81% -64.46% -14.04
303 Delaware -49.38% -65.88% -14.10
304 Jacksonville St. -43.85% -55.99% -14.16
305 Bradley -46.75% -66.82% -14.32
306 Nebraska Omaha -49.51% -62.95% -14.55
307 South Carolina St. -48.12% -61.59% -14.56
308 Southern Miss -49.36% -68.63% -14.65
309 Cal St. Fullerton -45.99% -63.31% -14.73
310 Southern Utah -51.85% -65.41% -14.90
311 Kennesaw St. -48.29% -62.34% -14.91
312 Jackson St. -52.04% -64.15% -14.99
313 South Alabama -49.57% -64.81% -15.11
314 Savannah St. -52.53% -68.79% -15.23
315 Niagara -53.60% -71.11% -15.25
316 Texas Pan American -50.80% -64.18% -15.29
317 Arkansas Pine Bluff -51.98% -65.70% -15.54
318 Cal St. Northridge -50.65% -69.82% -15.71
319 Coppin St. -55.45% -73.43% -15.71
320 Bethune Cookman -51.81% -61.21% -15.77
321 Fairleigh Dickinson -56.78% -70.93% -15.98
322 Campbell -52.05% -65.76% -16.01
323 Abilene Christian -50.65% -63.98% -16.02
324 Furman -55.24% -70.07% -16.06
325 Illinois Chicago -52.49% -71.52% -16.18
326 College of Charleston -51.89% -71.12% -16.20
327 Presbyterian -51.12% -65.34% -16.26
328 Austin Peay -55.42% -71.56% -16.54
329 Fairfield -55.80% -71.29% -16.56
330 Morgan St. -55.91% -71.34% -16.60
331 UNC Greensboro -54.08% -66.55% -16.64
332 Stetson -56.14% -68.86% -16.74
333 Jacksonville -54.20% -66.34% -16.88
334 Montana St. -55.52% -69.37% -16.89
335 Longwood -56.28% -70.47% -17.17
336 North Carolina A&T -57.67% -71.66% -17.31
337 Chicago St. -56.94% -74.36% -17.53
338 Idaho St. -63.66% -75.76% -18.82
339 Mississippi Valley St. -64.43% -78.53% -18.99
340 Tennessee St. -61.85% -77.95% -19.25
341 UMBC -67.22% -81.97% -19.35
342 Liberty -62.50% -73.98% -19.43
343 Marist -64.95% -79.68% -19.43
344 Maine -67.71% -85.14% -19.54
345 Binghamton -65.02% -79.99% -19.67
346 Alcorn St. -66.23% -78.31% -20.22
347 Central Connecticut -67.10% -80.20% -20.69
348 Grambling St. -74.40% -88.12% -20.73
349 San Jose St. -68.91% -88.39% -20.85
350 Central Arkansas -79.74% -93.52% -22.93
351 Florida A&M -81.45% -93.96% -23.24

If you have any questions, feel free to ask me on twitter @sethburn or email me at sethburn at gmail.

Win % > Bubble KenPom Win % > Bubble BPI Win% > Bubble Sagarin Win % > Bubble Average
35.53% 36.29% 36.04% Kentucky 35.95% 1
31.52% 33.26% 33.08% Virginia 32.62% 2
28.51% 28.78% 30.54% Wisconsin 29.28% 3
27.67% 28.52% 28.72% Duke 28.30% 4
26.84% 27.18% 27.92% Villanova 27.31% 5
25.60% 23.67% 26.59% Kansas 25.29% 6
23.99% 23.66% 24.08% Gonzaga 23.91% 7
22.22% 22.07% 22.20% Arizona 22.17% 8
17.56% 18.67% 18.91% Notre Dame 18.38% 9
17.90% 16.19% 18.92% Iowa St. 17.67% 10
17.36% 17.19% 16.96% Northern Iowa 17.17% 11
15.95% 17.24% 17.88% Louisville 17.02% 12
16.08% 16.40% 17.79% Maryland 16.76% 13
15.85% 14.51% 16.69% West Virginia 15.68% 14
15.12% 14.99% 14.66% Utah 14.92% 15
13.48% 14.42% 13.44% Arkansas 13.78% 16
12.87% 13.65% 14.49% North Carolina 13.67% 17
13.93% 14.00% 13.05% Wichita St. 13.66% 18
13.70% 12.39% 14.84% Baylor 13.64% 19
12.55% 11.49% 13.85% Oklahoma 12.63% 20
10.54% 11.24% 9.21% VCU 10.33% 21
8.80% 9.54% 9.88% Georgetown 9.40% 22
8.69% 9.57% 9.49% Providence 9.25% 23
8.49% 8.90% 9.19% Butler 8.86% 24
7.89% 7.40% 7.24% SMU 7.51% 25
7.25% 7.70% 7.24% Texas A&M 7.39% 26
4.78% 5.96% 7.18% Michigan St. 5.98% 27
4.99% 4.58% 5.29% San Diego St. 4.95% 28
3.85% 4.84% 5.00% St. John’s 4.57% 29
3.86% 4.90% 3.59% Mississippi 4.12% 30
3.05% 4.51% 3.28% Georgia 3.61% 31
3.74% 3.14% 3.79% Colorado St. 3.56% 32
3.73% 2.41% 4.50% Texas 3.55% 33
2.28% 3.15% 4.64% Indiana 3.36% 34
3.09% 4.01% 2.89% Davidson 3.33% 35
3.36% 1.96% 4.58% Oklahoma St. 3.30% 36
2.79% 4.15% 2.80% LSU 3.24% 37
3.07% 3.93% 2.41% Dayton 3.14% 38
1.93% 2.79% 4.09% Ohio St. 2.94% 39
2.73% 2.72% 2.62% Oregon 2.69% 40
3.04% 2.28% 1.88% Valparaiso 2.40% 41
0.74% 1.86% 3.30% Purdue 1.97% 42
2.23% 1.37% 1.13% Stephen F. Austin 1.58% 43
0.02% 0.96% 2.49% Iowa 1.16% 44
1.16% 0.86% 0.61% Murray St. 0.88% 45
0.23% -0.03% 0.81% Saint Mary’s 0.34% 46
0.00% 1.17% -0.43% Rhode Island 0.24% 47
0.26% 0.21% 0.16% Stanford 0.21% 48
-0.17% 0.12% -0.29% UC Davis -0.11% 49
-0.24% -0.99% 0.03% BYU -0.40% 50
-1.20% -0.40% -0.06% Syracuse -0.55% 51
-0.87% -0.21% -1.07% Wofford -0.71% 52
-0.78% -1.39% -1.39% Harvard -1.18% 53
-1.49% -1.41% -1.04% Xavier -1.31% 54
-1.38% -1.45% -1.10% Boise St. -1.31% 55
-0.81% -1.85% -1.82% Tulsa -1.49% 56
-2.59% -2.04% -0.70% Illinois -1.78% 57
-2.86% -1.57% -1.27% Miami FL -1.90% 58
-1.87% -2.31% -1.94% Wyoming -2.04% 59
-1.90% -2.62% -2.40% Central Michigan -2.30% 60
-1.92% -2.54% -2.60% Iona -2.35% 61
-3.27% -2.13% -1.84% Pittsburgh -2.41% 62
-3.78% -2.92% -2.58% North Carolina St. -3.09% 63
-4.17% -3.43% -4.22% Alabama -3.94% 64
-3.68% -4.32% -4.49% Old Dominion -4.16% 65
-3.66% -4.46% -4.59% Green Bay -4.24% 66
-3.69% -4.33% -4.83% Temple -4.28% 67
-4.06% -4.68% -5.05% Sam Houston St. -4.59% 68
-4.96% -5.95% -4.03% TCU -4.98% 69
-5.15% -5.52% -5.36% Louisiana Tech -5.34% 70
-5.52% -5.73% -5.45% UCLA -5.57% 71
-6.03% -6.44% -6.40% UTEP -6.29% 72
-6.06% -6.52% -6.32% Oregon St. -6.30% 73
-5.85% -6.63% -6.83% Cincinnati -6.44% 74
-7.22% -6.73% -6.71% Seton Hall -6.89% 75
-7.11% -7.06% -7.38% North Carolina Central -7.18% 76
-8.27% -7.22% -6.08% Minnesota -7.19% 77
-6.44% -7.54% -7.69% Yale -7.22% 78
-7.74% -6.70% -7.89% George Washington -7.44% 79
-7.84% -8.15% -7.88% California -7.96% 80
-7.56% -7.68% -8.77% High Point -8.00% 81
-7.81% -8.40% -8.69% Kent St. -8.30% 82
-8.10% -8.70% -8.88% Toledo -8.56% 83
-8.50% -8.52% -8.69% Florida Gulf Coast -8.57% 84
-8.61% -9.82% -7.53% Kansas St. -8.65% 85
-9.30% -8.25% -8.48% Clemson -8.68% 86
-9.40% -7.83% -8.99% Tennessee -8.74% 87
-8.87% -8.83% -9.29% Eastern Washington -9.00% 88
-8.87% -9.19% -9.55% Buffalo -9.20% 89
-9.84% -9.11% -10.47% Massachusetts -9.80% 90
-9.47% -9.91% -10.93% Evansville -10.11% 91
-11.06% -10.33% -8.97% Michigan -10.12% 92
-9.23% -10.65% -10.53% Memphis -10.14% 93
-9.53% -10.26% -10.67% South Dakota St. -10.15% 94
-10.19% -10.10% -10.33% Arizona St. -10.21% 95
-10.49% -10.77% -10.56% Georgia Southern -10.61% 96
-10.49% -11.01% -10.68% Washington -10.73% 97
-10.75% -10.86% -11.16% Georgia St. -10.92% 98
-11.56% -10.65% -12.08% Florida -11.43% 99
-10.99% -11.47% -11.86% Bowling Green -11.44% 100
-10.99% -12.02% -11.67% Connecticut -11.56% 101
-12.64% -11.39% -12.47% Vanderbilt -12.17% 102
-13.09% -12.21% -13.10% South Carolina -12.80% 103
-12.58% -13.46% -13.13% North Dakota St. -13.06% 104
-14.30% -13.15% -12.11% Penn St. -13.19% 105
-14.19% -12.94% -12.68% Florida St. -13.27% 106
-12.81% -13.80% -13.57% Albany -13.39% 107
-13.26% -13.10% -14.93% Coastal Carolina -13.77% 108
-13.35% -14.02% -14.14% Incarnate Word -13.84% 109
-14.02% -13.62% -15.30% Illinois St. -14.31% 110
-14.18% -14.63% -14.50% Northeastern -14.44% 111
-14.93% -14.06% -15.18% Chattanooga -14.72% 112
-15.66% -15.02% -13.73% Nebraska -14.80% 113
-15.46% -14.32% -15.86% Richmond -15.22% 114
-15.37% -14.74% -16.26% La Salle -15.46% 115
-14.91% -15.17% -16.30% Radford -15.46% 116
-14.79% -16.36% -15.53% UNLV -15.56% 117
-15.47% -14.99% -16.82% Charleston Southern -15.76% 118
-16.55% -15.95% -14.81% Northwestern -15.77% 119
-15.88% -16.17% -15.42% Pepperdine -15.82% 120
-15.67% -16.18% -15.77% Stony Brook -15.87% 121
-15.73% -16.09% -16.45% UC Irvine -16.09% 122
-16.05% -16.16% -16.10% Utah St. -16.10% 123
-16.11% -16.40% -16.56% Eastern Michigan -16.36% 124
-17.38% -15.89% -16.07% Wake Forest -16.45% 125
-16.17% -16.81% -16.48% Rider -16.49% 126
-16.99% -15.87% -16.73% New Mexico St. -16.53% 127
-16.45% -16.68% -16.45% William & Mary -16.53% 128
-16.14% -17.04% -16.70% Akron -16.63% 129
-16.86% -16.51% -17.16% Sacramento St. -16.84% 130
-17.13% -16.80% -16.90% Western Kentucky -16.94% 131
-17.39% -17.19% -17.27% Portland -17.28% 132
-17.82% -17.34% -17.05% Marquette -17.40% 133
-17.46% -17.78% -17.95% Louisiana Monroe -17.73% 134
-17.50% -17.87% -18.45% Cleveland St. -17.94% 135
-18.18% -18.06% -17.59% Creighton -17.94% 136
-17.67% -18.17% -18.35% St. Francis NY -18.06% 137
-17.73% -18.79% -18.16% Western Michigan -18.23% 138
-17.88% -18.04% -19.29% Loyola Chicago -18.40% 139
-18.46% -18.48% -18.89% Belmont -18.61% 140
-18.74% -18.34% -18.99% USC Upstate -18.69% 141
-19.88% -18.38% -18.44% Georgia Tech -18.90% 142
-18.94% -18.79% -19.05% North Florida -18.93% 143
-19.34% -19.23% -19.29% Eastern Kentucky -19.29% 144
-19.36% -18.95% -19.58% Alabama St. -19.30% 145
-19.35% -19.45% -19.59% Colorado -19.47% 146
-19.23% -20.86% -18.41% Texas Tech -19.50% 147
-19.43% -19.14% -20.18% St. Bonaventure -19.58% 148
-19.59% -20.11% -19.60% James Madison -19.77% 149
-19.73% -19.61% -19.97% Tennessee Martin -19.77% 150
-19.83% -20.07% -19.46% San Diego -19.79% 151
-20.16% -19.94% -19.32% UNC Wilmington -19.81% 152
-19.89% -19.66% -19.94% Texas Southern -19.83% 153
-19.58% -20.15% -20.30% Norfolk St. -20.01% 154
-19.62% -20.44% -20.39% Northwestern St. -20.15% 155
-19.91% -20.30% -20.30% Hawaii -20.17% 156
-20.16% -21.09% -21.00% Oakland -20.75% 157
-20.45% -21.22% -20.62% Long Beach St. -20.76% 158
-21.49% -20.96% -20.61% DePaul -21.02% 159
-21.26% -20.59% -21.51% Auburn -21.12% 160
-21.68% -21.68% -23.25% Gardner Webb -22.21% 161
-21.71% -22.19% -22.73% UC Santa Barbara -22.21% 162
-22.38% -22.31% -22.38% Montana -22.36% 163
-22.45% -22.61% -22.42% Washington St. -22.49% 164
-22.65% -23.19% -22.92% New Mexico -22.92% 165
-22.73% -22.38% -23.78% East Tennessee St. -22.96% 166
-22.95% -23.21% -22.97% Hofstra -23.05% 167
-22.86% -23.35% -23.14% UT Arlington -23.12% 168
-23.09% -23.43% -23.37% Bucknell -23.30% 169
-22.89% -23.74% -23.75% Tulane -23.46% 170
-24.40% -23.06% -24.33% Mississippi St. -23.93% 171
-23.56% -24.13% -24.21% Lafayette -23.97% 172
-23.91% -24.09% -24.40% NJIT -24.13% 173
-24.01% -24.13% -24.28% UAB -24.14% 174
-23.50% -24.74% -24.87% Eastern Illinois -24.37% 175
-24.24% -24.62% -24.38% New Hampshire -24.41% 176
-24.43% -24.44% -24.93% Cal Poly -24.60% 177
-25.74% -25.38% -26.24% Indiana St. -25.79% 178
-25.11% -26.33% -26.69% Columbia -26.04% 179
-25.77% -26.50% -26.32% Monmouth -26.20% 180
-26.10% -26.63% -26.68% Middle Tennessee -26.47% 181
-26.20% -26.48% -26.74% Vermont -26.47% 182
-27.01% -25.53% -27.09% Mercer -26.54% 183
-26.17% -26.84% -26.83% UC Riverside -26.61% 184
-27.73% -26.74% -25.59% Rutgers -26.69% 185
-26.48% -26.87% -26.76% Manhattan -26.70% 186
-27.59% -26.44% -26.84% Virginia Tech -26.96% 187
-26.59% -26.68% -27.71% Maryland Eastern Shore -26.99% 188
-26.76% -26.89% -27.42% Northern Arizona -27.02% 189
-27.16% -26.66% -28.30% Winthrop -27.37% 190
-26.85% -27.88% -27.62% Canisius -27.45% 191
-27.25% -27.77% -27.76% Lehigh -27.59% 192
-27.41% -28.33% -28.01% Oral Roberts -27.92% 193
-28.17% -27.81% -28.20% Grand Canyon -28.06% 194
-27.78% -28.48% -28.51% Louisiana Lafayette -28.26% 195
-27.72% -28.58% -28.52% IPFW -28.27% 196
-28.17% -28.79% -28.89% Mount St. Mary’s -28.62% 197
-28.61% -28.75% -28.52% North Texas -28.63% 198
-29.61% -28.37% -28.23% Boston College -28.74% 199
-28.92% -28.80% -28.57% Santa Clara -28.76% 200
-29.11% -29.23% -29.36% Portland St. -29.23% 201
-29.11% -30.08% -30.12% Lamar -29.77% 202
-29.68% -29.06% -30.58% Saint Joseph’s -29.77% 203
-29.64% -30.30% -30.23% Army -30.06% 204
-31.15% -30.99% -30.75% Charlotte -30.96% 205
-31.25% -30.80% -31.04% San Francisco -31.03% 206
-31.06% -31.33% -30.95% USC -31.11% 207
-31.48% -31.50% -31.50% UTSA -31.49% 208
-30.91% -31.60% -31.97% UCF -31.49% 209
-31.20% -31.93% -31.69% American -31.61% 210
-31.33% -31.77% -32.15% Texas A&M Corpus Chris -31.75% 211
-31.31% -31.95% -32.26% South Dakota -31.84% 212
-31.35% -32.10% -32.36% Robert Morris -31.94% 213
-31.29% -32.27% -32.30% East Carolina -31.95% 214
-31.55% -32.06% -32.37% Howard -31.99% 215
-31.50% -32.46% -33.07% Detroit -32.34% 216
-32.41% -32.63% -32.23% Fresno St. -32.43% 217
-31.62% -32.94% -32.75% St. Francis PA -32.44% 218
-32.45% -32.93% -32.22% Air Force -32.54% 219
-32.61% -33.66% -33.37% Quinnipiac -33.21% 220
-33.31% -32.55% -33.88% Saint Louis -33.25% 221
-33.61% -33.32% -33.67% FIU -33.54% 222
-33.28% -33.92% -34.15% Milwaukee -33.78% 223
-33.62% -33.93% -34.37% Princeton -33.97% 224
-33.31% -34.00% -34.83% Delaware St. -34.05% 225
-34.61% -34.22% -33.99% Pacific -34.27% 226
-33.85% -34.71% -34.66% Cornell -34.41% 227
-34.70% -34.53% -34.76% Southern -34.66% 228
-34.85% -33.91% -35.47% Western Carolina -34.74% 229
-35.15% -34.34% -34.78% Missouri -34.76% 230
-34.66% -35.39% -35.52% Hartford -35.19% 231
-34.61% -35.88% -36.15% Bryant -35.55% 232
-35.87% -36.17% -35.86% Colgate -35.97% 233
-35.39% -36.41% -36.26% Brown -36.02% 234
-35.70% -36.58% -36.18% Northern Illinois -36.15% 235
-35.69% -35.95% -37.39% UNC Asheville -36.34% 236
-35.91% -36.60% -36.70% Morehead St. -36.40% 237
-36.60% -36.79% -37.00% Miami OH -36.80% 238
-37.04% -37.37% -37.85% Boston University -37.42% 239
-38.38% -37.58% -37.92% Seattle -37.96% 240
-38.05% -38.35% -38.64% SIU Edwardsville -38.34% 241
-38.44% -37.73% -39.05% George Mason -38.41% 242
-38.18% -38.67% -38.56% Saint Peter’s -38.47% 243
-38.18% -38.84% -38.72% UMass Lowell -38.58% 244
-37.93% -39.12% -38.88% Houston Baptist -38.64% 245
-38.87% -38.48% -39.03% Lipscomb -38.79% 246
-38.91% -38.75% -39.25% Northern Colorado -38.97% 247
-39.46% -38.55% -39.83% Duquesne -39.28% 248
-38.82% -39.81% -39.43% Texas St. -39.35% 249
-39.19% -39.53% -39.63% Arkansas Little Rock -39.45% 250
-39.02% -39.49% -40.10% Wright St. -39.53% 251
-39.15% -39.91% -40.41% Dartmouth -39.82% 252
-39.44% -39.66% -40.77% Drake -39.95% 253
-39.71% -39.51% -40.85% Missouri St. -40.03% 254
-39.98% -39.86% -40.29% Southeast Missouri St. -40.04% 255
-40.37% -39.58% -40.95% Fordham -40.30% 256
-40.53% -40.60% -40.13% Loyola Marymount -40.42% 257
-40.30% -40.80% -40.41% Towson -40.50% 258
-40.37% -40.56% -40.87% Ohio -40.60% 259
-39.78% -41.19% -41.04% LIU Brooklyn -40.67% 260
-40.28% -40.82% -40.94% Weber St. -40.68% 261
-40.48% -40.53% -41.14% Tennessee Tech -40.72% 262
-40.33% -41.03% -40.93% Holy Cross -40.76% 263
-40.94% -40.52% -41.05% Northern Kentucky -40.84% 264
-40.36% -40.99% -41.72% Denver -41.02% 265
-40.68% -41.50% -41.05% Prairie View A&M -41.08% 266
-41.19% -41.55% -40.90% Elon -41.21% 267
-41.30% -41.58% -41.18% Loyola MD -41.35% 268
-41.13% -41.69% -41.77% Idaho -41.53% 269
-41.53% -41.26% -41.91% Cal St. Bakersfield -41.57% 270
-41.25% -41.82% -41.85% Sacred Heart -41.64% 271
-41.24% -42.25% -42.67% Youngstown St. -42.05% 272
-41.29% -42.44% -42.51% Houston -42.08% 273
-42.62% -41.24% -42.64% VMI -42.17% 274
-42.23% -42.34% -42.26% Rice -42.28% 275
-42.71% -41.99% -42.95% Samford -42.55% 276
-42.28% -42.76% -42.61% Hampton -42.55% 277
-42.54% -43.36% -43.21% McNeese St. -43.04% 278
-42.97% -43.24% -43.29% Arkansas St. -43.17% 279
-42.78% -42.69% -44.44% Southern Illinois -43.30% 280
-43.96% -44.18% -43.40% Drexel -43.85% 281
-44.24% -43.58% -44.20% Jacksonville St. -44.01% 282
-43.96% -44.37% -44.18% Navy -44.17% 283
-44.38% -44.08% -44.50% UMKC -44.32% 284
-45.02% -44.50% -45.39% Utah Valley -44.97% 285
-44.79% -45.67% -46.02% South Florida -45.49% 286
-45.43% -45.48% -45.69% Appalachian St. -45.53% 287
-45.17% -46.00% -46.24% Siena -45.80% 288
-46.08% -46.01% -45.96% Marshall -46.02% 289
-45.55% -46.79% -46.79% IUPUI -46.38% 290
-46.32% -46.35% -46.83% Troy -46.50% 291
-45.96% -47.18% -47.05% Ball St. -46.73% 292
-46.13% -47.21% -46.90% Wagner -46.75% 293
-46.69% -46.85% -47.34% Cal St. Fullerton -46.96% 294
-47.02% -47.23% -46.81% Nevada -47.02% 295
-47.11% -47.55% -47.64% Southeastern Louisiana -47.43% 296
-46.67% -47.82% -48.67% Penn -47.72% 297
-47.99% -46.88% -48.32% The Citadel -47.73% 298
-47.39% -48.02% -47.78% New Orleans -47.73% 299
-47.52% -47.51% -48.73% Bradley -47.92% 300
-48.86% -48.36% -48.70% Kennesaw St. -48.64% 301
-48.40% -48.85% -49.43% Florida Atlantic -48.89% 302
-48.68% -49.07% -49.54% South Carolina St. -49.10% 303
-49.35% -49.67% -50.04% North Dakota -49.69% 304
-50.07% -49.99% -50.24% Nebraska Omaha -50.10% 305
-50.24% -50.07% -50.00% College of Charleston -50.10% 306
-50.00% -50.47% -50.10% Delaware -50.19% 307
-50.23% -50.81% -50.65% South Alabama -50.56% 308
-50.06% -50.86% -50.95% Abilene Christian -50.62% 309
-50.15% -51.06% -51.07% Southern Miss -50.76% 310
-51.37% -50.71% -51.61% Alabama A&M -51.23% 311
-51.34% -51.08% -51.70% Texas Pan American -51.37% 312
-50.95% -51.96% -51.88% Western Illinois -51.60% 313
-51.26% -51.87% -52.07% Cal St. Northridge -51.73% 314
-51.47% -52.21% -52.18% Nicholls St. -51.95% 315
-51.68% -51.92% -53.33% Presbyterian -52.31% 316
-52.44% -52.18% -52.84% Arkansas Pine Bluff -52.48% 317
-52.30% -52.59% -52.88% Bethune Cookman -52.59% 318
-52.33% -52.66% -52.81% Southern Utah -52.60% 319
-52.61% -52.52% -52.88% Jackson St. -52.67% 320
-52.59% -52.70% -54.12% Campbell -53.13% 321
-53.10% -53.72% -54.10% Savannah St. -53.64% 322
-53.04% -53.69% -54.32% Illinois Chicago -53.68% 323
-54.25% -53.21% -54.45% UNC Greensboro -53.97% 324
-54.59% -53.93% -54.55% Jacksonville -54.35% 325
-55.64% -54.95% -56.01% Furman -55.53% 326
-55.92% -56.12% -56.48% Coppin St. -56.17% 327
-56.11% -55.99% -56.52% Montana St. -56.21% 328
-55.97% -56.45% -56.74% Austin Peay -56.39% 329
-56.66% -56.15% -57.09% Stetson -56.63% 330
-56.16% -57.11% -57.04% Fairfield -56.77% 331
-56.52% -56.65% -57.58% Morgan St. -56.92% 332
-56.69% -57.69% -57.29% Niagara -57.22% 333
-56.68% -57.12% -57.99% Longwood -57.27% 334
-57.14% -58.02% -58.02% Fairleigh Dickinson -57.72% 335
-58.14% -58.07% -58.49% North Carolina A&T -58.23% 336
-58.37% -58.22% -58.72% Chicago St. -58.43% 337
-62.27% -62.83% -62.87% Tennessee St. -62.66% 338
-63.02% -63.38% -64.81% Liberty -63.74% 339
-64.31% -64.18% -64.50% Idaho St. -64.33% 340
-64.90% -64.73% -64.67% Mississippi Valley St. -64.77% 341
-65.37% -65.85% -65.76% Marist -65.66% 342
-65.38% -65.97% -65.78% Binghamton -65.71% 343
-66.54% -66.71% -66.80% Alcorn St. -66.68% 344
-67.62% -68.34% -68.03% UMBC -68.00% 345
-67.61% -68.57% -68.63% Central Connecticut -68.27% 346
-68.33% -69.07% -68.62% Maine -68.67% 347
-69.61% -69.97% -69.68% San Jose St. -69.75% 348
-74.61% -74.19% -74.15% Grambling St. -74.31% 349
-80.23% -80.98% -81.08% Central Arkansas -80.76% 350
-82.02% -82.13% -82.68% Florida A&M -82.27% 351

Interesting that Sagarin has Wisconsin pretty solidly on the #1 line in terms of resume.  I’ll see is there is an easy way to put KenPom, Sagarin, and BPI all on the same page.

Rank Team Win% > Bubble Win% > Monster Net wins over Bubble Games remaining
1 Kentucky 36.04% 7.32% 7.17 4
2 Virginia 33.08% 4.84% 6.08 4
3 Wisconsin 30.54% 0.58% 5.76 4
4 Duke 28.72% -0.14% 5.35 4
5 Villanova 27.92% -0.29% 4.95 4
6 Kansas 26.59% -8.48% 5.89 3
7 Gonzaga 24.08% 2.23% 5.53 2
8 Arizona 22.20% -4.26% 3.33 4
9 Iowa St. 18.92% -12.70% 2.60 4
10 Notre Dame 18.91% -6.03% 3.29 3
11 Louisville 17.88% -11.46% 3.18 3
12 Maryland 17.79% -9.70% 2.26 4
13 Northern Iowa 16.96% -2.64% 3.23 2
14 West Virginia 16.69% -12.61% 2.06 4
15 Baylor 14.84% -16.03% 1.64 4
16 Utah 14.66% -11.55% 1.17 4
17 North Carolina 14.49% -17.81% 1.68 4
18 Oklahoma 13.85% -18.63% 2.04 3
19 Arkansas 13.44% -10.47% 0.91 4
20 Wichita St. 13.05% -6.11% 2.13 2
21 Georgetown 9.88% -21.13% 0.79 3
22 Providence 9.49% -19.40% 0.13 4
23 VCU 9.21% -16.23% -0.25 4
24 Butler 9.19% -20.71% 0.04 4
25 SMU 7.24% -13.25% -0.27 3
26 Texas A&M 7.24% -19.25% -0.75 4
27 Michigan St. 7.18% -20.61% -0.59 4
28 San Diego St. 5.29% -16.31% -0.72 3
29 St. John’s 5.00% -23.52% -0.48 3
30 Indiana 4.64% -22.88% -0.60 3
31 Oklahoma St. 4.58% -26.59% -0.51 3
32 Texas 4.50% -25.23% -1.12 4
33 Ohio St. 4.09% -21.86% -1.55 4
34 Colorado St. 3.79% -14.32% -1.29 3
35 Mississippi 3.59% -21.82% -1.70 4
36 Purdue 3.30% -24.32% -1.65 4
37 Georgia 3.28% -24.84% -1.63 4
38 Davidson 2.89% -17.99% -2.20 4
39 LSU 2.80% -22.66% -1.95 4
40 Oregon 2.62% -21.94% -1.33 3
41 Iowa 2.49% -26.85% -1.75 4
42 Dayton 2.41% -18.54% -2.35 4
43 Valparaiso 1.88% -11.61% -1.14 2
44 Stephen F. Austin 1.13% -11.53% -3.06 4
45 Saint Mary’s 0.81% -20.33% -1.25 2
46 Murray St. 0.61% -11.93% -1.53 2
47 Stanford 0.16% -25.78% -2.57 4
48 BYU 0.03% -21.99% -1.44 2
49 Syracuse -0.06% -27.46% -2.54 4
50 UC Davis -0.29% -13.87% -3.44 4
51 Rhode Island -0.43% -19.88% -3.16 4
52 Illinois -0.70% -27.56% -2.74 4
53 Xavier -1.04% -30.11% -1.56 2
54 Wofford -1.07% -16.17% -1.92 2
55 Boise St. -1.10% -20.46% -3.31 4
56 Miami FL -1.27% -28.63% -2.91 4
57 Harvard -1.39% -16.76% -3.56 4
58 Tulsa -1.82% -22.25% -3.47 4
59 Pittsburgh -1.84% -27.25% -3.16 4
60 Wyoming -1.94% -18.68% -3.71 4
61 Central Michigan -2.40% -17.35% -3.90 4
62 North Carolina St. -2.58% -31.33% -3.17 4
63 Iona -2.60% -17.90% -2.39 2
64 TCU -4.03% -31.04% -3.62 4
65 Alabama -4.22% -30.81% -3.68 4
66 Old Dominion -4.49% -20.43% -4.42 4
67 Green Bay -4.59% -20.66% -2.88 2
68 Temple -4.83% -26.29% -3.53 3
69 Sam Houston St. -5.05% -16.24% -4.82 4
70 Louisiana Tech -5.36% -21.65% -3.91 3
71 UCLA -5.45% -32.55% -3.40 3
72 Minnesota -6.08% -33.68% -3.60 3
73 Oregon St. -6.32% -30.46% -3.78 3
74 UTEP -6.40% -23.52% -4.84 4
75 Seton Hall -6.71% -35.50% -3.68 3
76 Cincinnati -6.83% -28.70% -4.78 4
77 North Carolina Central -7.38% -18.96% -4.55 3
78 Kansas St. -7.53% -40.28% -3.30 2
79 Yale -7.69% -25.80% -5.20 4
80 California -7.88% -32.84% -4.81 4
81 George Washington -7.89% -30.73% -4.96 4
82 Clemson -8.48% -35.02% -4.21 3
83 Florida Gulf Coast -8.69% -22.19% -4.11 2
84 Kent St. -8.69% -25.93% -5.51 4
85 High Point -8.77% -21.89% -4.13 2
86 Toledo -8.88% -28.38% -5.42 4
87 Michigan -8.97% -38.15% -4.25 3
88 Tennessee -8.99% -37.88% -4.85 4
89 Eastern Washington -9.29% -23.05% -5.84 4
90 Buffalo -9.55% -28.00% -5.48 4
91 Arizona St. -10.33% -36.53% -5.42 4
92 Massachusetts -10.47% -35.05% -5.62 4
93 Memphis -10.53% -31.37% -5.78 4
94 Georgia Southern -10.56% -21.94% -6.10 4
95 South Dakota St. -10.67% -23.99% -3.93 1
96 Washington -10.68% -35.52% -5.51 4
97 Evansville -10.93% -28.28% -4.64 2
98 Georgia St. -11.16% -26.24% -6.27 4
99 Connecticut -11.67% -36.08% -5.81 4
100 Bowling Green -11.86% -28.84% -6.16 4
101 Florida -12.08% -41.35% -5.67 4
102 Penn St. -12.11% -37.77% -5.36 3
103 Vanderbilt -12.47% -36.69% -6.09 4
104 Florida St. -12.68% -38.29% -5.54 3
105 South Carolina -13.10% -40.44% -5.93 4
106 North Dakota St. -13.13% -25.61% -4.52 1
107 Albany -13.57% -27.14% -5.34 2
108 Nebraska -13.73% -42.41% -5.56 3
109 Incarnate Word -14.14% -26.74% -6.79 4
110 Northeastern -14.50% -31.43% -5.81 2
111 Northwestern -14.81% -42.75% -6.52 4
112 Coastal Carolina -14.93% -25.57% -5.20 1
113 Chattanooga -15.18% -27.32% -6.09 2
114 Illinois St. -15.30% -34.94% -5.80 2
115 Pepperdine -15.42% -36.74% -5.04 1
116 UNLV -15.53% -38.52% -7.04 4
117 Stony Brook -15.77% -31.26% -6.20 2
118 Richmond -15.86% -39.02% -7.14 4
119 Wake Forest -16.07% -45.40% -6.76 4
120 Utah St. -16.10% -34.73% -7.29 4
121 La Salle -16.26% -39.05% -7.26 4
122 Radford -16.30% -28.44% -6.43 2
123 UC Irvine -16.45% -34.10% -7.40 4
124 William & Mary -16.45% -32.90% -6.03 2
125 Rider -16.48% -31.25% -6.42 2
126 Eastern Michigan -16.56% -33.35% -7.65 4
127 Akron -16.70% -33.91% -8.49 5
128 New Mexico St. -16.73% -30.75% -6.50 2
129 Charleston Southern -16.82% -30.39% -6.21 2
130 Western Kentucky -16.90% -34.74% -7.53 4
131 Marquette -17.05% -47.59% -6.81 4
132 Sacramento St. -17.16% -27.97% -7.05 3
133 Portland -17.27% -37.55% -6.32 2
134 Creighton -17.59% -47.01% -7.23 4
135 Louisiana Monroe -17.95% -30.92% -8.23 4
136 Western Michigan -18.16% -37.25% -8.00 4
137 St. Francis NY -18.35% -29.01% -7.07 2
138 Texas Tech -18.41% -47.03% -6.99 3
139 Georgia Tech -18.44% -47.26% -6.39 2
140 Cleveland St. -18.45% -35.97% -6.12 1
141 Belmont -18.89% -32.64% -6.12 1
142 USC Upstate -18.99% -29.06% -7.27 2
143 North Florida -19.05% -34.11% -7.15 2
144 Loyola Chicago -19.29% -38.07% -6.93 2
145 Eastern Kentucky -19.29% -32.16% -6.85 2
146 UNC Wilmington -19.32% -36.59% -6.79 2
147 San Diego -19.46% -43.41% -6.84 2
148 Alabama St. -19.58% -27.61% -8.07 4
149 Colorado -19.59% -45.90% -7.72 4
150 James Madison -19.60% -34.38% -8.13 3
151 Texas Southern -19.94% -38.02% -8.40 4
152 Tennessee Martin -19.97% -34.06% -7.05 2
153 St. Bonaventure -20.18% -39.89% -8.09 4
154 Norfolk St. -20.30% -33.43% -7.53 2
155 Hawaii -20.30% -35.25% -8.36 3
156 Northwestern St. -20.39% -34.56% -7.76 3
157 DePaul -20.61% -48.97% -7.67 3
158 Long Beach St. -20.62% -46.19% -8.45 4
159 Oakland -21.00% -41.87% -7.54 2
160 Auburn -21.51% -47.69% -8.45 4
161 Montana -22.38% -35.94% -8.34 3
162 Washington St. -22.42% -49.48% -8.42 4
163 UC Santa Barbara -22.73% -41.81% -8.97 4
164 New Mexico -22.92% -43.83% -8.43 3
165 Hofstra -22.97% -35.69% -8.36 2
166 UT Arlington -23.14% -37.31% -9.25 4
167 Gardner Webb -23.25% -37.49% -8.38 2
168 Bucknell -23.37% -38.00% -8.42 2
169 Tulane -23.75% -42.47% -9.28 4
170 East Tennessee St. -23.78% -38.01% -8.08 2
171 Lafayette -24.21% -37.50% -8.21 2
172 UAB -24.28% -41.71% -9.13 3
173 Mississippi St. -24.33% -48.94% -9.32 4
174 New Hampshire -24.38% -35.35% -8.33 2
175 NJIT -24.40% -37.35% -8.26 2
176 Eastern Illinois -24.87% -40.14% -7.78 1
177 Cal Poly -24.93% -43.80% -8.54 3
178 Rutgers -25.59% -55.78% -9.00 3
179 Indiana St. -26.24% -45.57% -8.87 2
180 Monmouth -26.32% -41.42% -9.26 2
181 Middle Tennessee -26.68% -43.29% -9.88 3
182 Columbia -26.69% -41.17% -9.64 4
183 Vermont -26.74% -38.87% -8.94 2
184 Manhattan -26.76% -41.88% -8.87 2
185 UC Riverside -26.83% -43.81% -9.60 3
186 Virginia Tech -26.84% -53.47% -9.80 4
187 Mercer -27.09% -41.80% -9.50 2
188 Northern Arizona -27.42% -41.42% -10.72 4
189 Canisius -27.62% -42.12% -9.12 2
190 Maryland Eastern Shore -27.71% -41.35% -9.69 2
191 Lehigh -27.76% -41.79% -9.16 2
192 Oral Roberts -28.01% -43.11% -9.47 2
193 Grand Canyon -28.20% -38.80% -10.46 3
194 Boston College -28.23% -57.08% -9.85 4
195 Winthrop -28.30% -38.80% -9.39 2
196 Louisiana Lafayette -28.51% -40.83% -10.55 3
197 North Texas -28.52% -46.15% -10.56 4
198 IPFW -28.52% -41.88% -9.38 2
199 Santa Clara -28.57% -50.89% -9.43 2
200 Mount St. Mary’s -28.89% -43.73% -9.42 2
201 Portland St. -29.36% -41.91% -9.90 3
202 Lamar -30.12% -44.38% -10.59 3
203 Army -30.23% -41.57% -9.88 2
204 Saint Joseph’s -30.58% -51.52% -10.87 4
205 Charlotte -30.75% -51.17% -11.31 4
206 USC -30.95% -55.56% -10.40 3
207 San Francisco -31.04% -51.78% -10.17 2
208 UTSA -31.50% -45.50% -11.21 4
209 American -31.69% -47.16% -10.51 2
210 UCF -31.97% -50.15% -10.66 3
211 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -32.15% -43.75% -11.80 4
212 Air Force -32.22% -50.10% -10.73 3
213 Fresno St. -32.23% -51.65% -11.77 4
214 South Dakota -32.26% -45.89% -11.04 2
215 East Carolina -32.30% -50.93% -11.79 4
216 Robert Morris -32.36% -46.37% -10.71 2
217 Howard -32.37% -44.20% -11.64 3
218 St. Francis PA -32.75% -45.51% -10.54 2
219 Detroit -33.07% -52.65% -10.69 1
220 Quinnipiac -33.37% -46.20% -10.71 2
221 FIU -33.67% -48.63% -12.37 4
222 Saint Louis -33.88% -54.32% -12.13 4
223 Pacific -33.99% -55.17% -10.98 2
224 Milwaukee -34.15% -52.85% -11.10 2
225 Princeton -34.37% -49.48% -12.71 5
226 Cornell -34.66% -50.85% -12.24 4
227 Southern -34.76% -47.80% -12.57 3
228 Missouri -34.78% -63.32% -11.82 4
229 Delaware St. -34.83% -50.29% -12.19 3
230 Western Carolina -35.47% -50.61% -11.57 2
231 Hartford -35.52% -48.89% -11.26 2
232 Colgate -35.86% -51.45% -12.01 2
233 Bryant -36.15% -49.59% -11.45 2
234 Northern Illinois -36.18% -55.50% -12.09 4
235 Brown -36.26% -52.27% -13.02 4
236 Morehead St. -36.70% -51.59% -12.27 2
237 Miami OH -37.00% -55.14% -13.10 4
238 UNC Asheville -37.39% -49.75% -11.80 2
239 Boston University -37.85% -51.12% -11.87 2
240 Seattle -37.92% -48.16% -11.62 2
241 Saint Peter’s -38.56% -52.82% -12.85 2
242 SIU Edwardsville -38.64% -51.62% -10.89 1
243 UMass Lowell -38.72% -53.69% -11.66 1
244 Houston Baptist -38.88% -51.86% -12.72 4
245 Lipscomb -39.03% -52.59% -12.21 2
246 George Mason -39.05% -63.01% -12.95 4
247 Northern Colorado -39.25% -51.64% -12.77 3
248 Texas St. -39.43% -53.06% -13.19 4
249 Arkansas Little Rock -39.63% -53.08% -13.22 3
250 Duquesne -39.83% -59.91% -12.99 4
251 Wright St. -40.10% -56.93% -12.81 2
252 Loyola Marymount -40.13% -65.59% -12.31 1
253 Southeast Missouri St. -40.29% -54.32% -12.11 1
254 Towson -40.41% -55.54% -13.35 2
255 Dartmouth -40.41% -55.78% -12.98 4
256 Drake -40.77% -62.70% -12.87 2
257 Missouri St. -40.85% -59.98% -12.97 2
258 Ohio -40.87% -60.54% -14.06 5
259 Elon -40.90% -55.17% -13.51 2
260 Holy Cross -40.93% -55.16% -12.31 2
261 Weber St. -40.94% -54.61% -13.14 3
262 Fordham -40.95% -63.00% -13.16 4
263 LIU Brooklyn -41.04% -53.41% -12.79 2
264 Prairie View A&M -41.05% -55.51% -14.36 4
265 Northern Kentucky -41.05% -55.41% -12.72 2
266 Tennessee Tech -41.14% -54.85% -13.20 2
267 Loyola MD -41.18% -56.20% -12.76 2
268 Denver -41.72% -56.50% -12.91 2
269 Idaho -41.77% -53.93% -13.87 4
270 Sacred Heart -41.85% -52.71% -13.87 2
271 Cal St. Bakersfield -41.91% -53.07% -13.89 2
272 Rice -42.26% -58.22% -14.22 4
273 Houston -42.51% -61.40% -14.14 4
274 Hampton -42.61% -54.89% -13.63 3
275 VMI -42.64% -56.44% -13.18 2
276 Youngstown St. -42.67% -58.95% -13.99 2
277 Samford -42.95% -56.05% -14.14 2
278 McNeese St. -43.21% -56.64% -14.13 4
279 Arkansas St. -43.29% -57.35% -14.15 4
280 Drexel -43.40% -60.03% -13.33 2
281 Navy -44.18% -57.70% -14.04 2
282 Jacksonville St. -44.20% -56.13% -14.53 2
283 Southern Illinois -44.44% -61.68% -14.47 2
284 UMKC -44.50% -57.81% -14.97 3
285 Utah Valley -45.39% -57.96% -14.32 3
286 Appalachian St. -45.69% -61.26% -14.69 4
287 Marshall -45.96% -62.92% -15.58 4
288 South Florida -46.02% -66.95% -15.12 3
289 Siena -46.24% -60.68% -14.15 2
290 IUPUI -46.79% -64.19% -14.68 2
291 Nevada -46.81% -65.45% -15.27 4
292 Troy -46.83% -59.31% -14.74 3
293 Wagner -46.90% -60.40% -14.34 2
294 Ball St. -47.05% -67.00% -14.77 4
295 Cal St. Fullerton -47.34% -63.83% -16.01 4
296 Southeastern Louisiana -47.64% -61.98% -16.10 4
297 New Orleans -47.78% -62.03% -14.29 4
298 The Citadel -48.32% -60.46% -14.75 2
299 Penn -48.67% -66.18% -15.15 5
300 Kennesaw St. -48.70% -62.41% -15.79 2
301 Bradley -48.73% -68.02% -15.66 2
302 Florida Atlantic -49.43% -65.05% -15.62 4
303 South Carolina St. -49.54% -62.15% -16.05 2
304 College of Charleston -50.00% -68.47% -16.83 3
305 North Dakota -50.04% -65.11% -16.24 4
306 Delaware -50.10% -66.49% -15.12 2
307 Nebraska Omaha -50.24% -63.21% -15.61 3
308 South Alabama -50.65% -65.16% -16.66 3
309 Abilene Christian -50.95% -63.18% -17.53 5
310 Southern Miss -51.07% -69.42% -15.62 3
311 Alabama A&M -51.61% -64.21% -15.79 4
312 Texas Pan American -51.70% -64.63% -16.15 2
313 Western Illinois -51.88% -65.66% -14.65 2
314 Cal St. Northridge -52.07% -70.59% -17.39 3
315 Nicholls St. -52.18% -66.51% -15.78 4
316 Southern Utah -52.81% -65.71% -16.59 4
317 Arkansas Pine Bluff -52.84% -66.02% -17.84 3
318 Bethune Cookman -52.88% -61.52% -17.87 4
319 Jackson St. -52.88% -64.50% -17.73 4
320 Presbyterian -53.33% -65.81% -17.15 2
321 Savannah St. -54.10% -69.18% -17.31 4
322 Campbell -54.12% -66.03% -17.40 2
323 Illinois Chicago -54.32% -72.29% -17.32 2
324 UNC Greensboro -54.45% -66.64% -17.50 2
325 Jacksonville -54.55% -66.47% -17.53 2
326 Furman -56.01% -70.20% -16.76 2
327 Coppin St. -56.48% -73.75% -16.82 2
328 Montana St. -56.52% -69.75% -17.73 3
329 Austin Peay -56.74% -71.99% -17.52 2
330 Fairfield -57.04% -71.55% -17.61 2
331 Stetson -57.09% -69.18% -17.70 2
332 Niagara -57.29% -74.33% -17.06 2
333 Morgan St. -57.58% -72.14% -17.77 2
334 Longwood -57.99% -70.89% -18.24 1
335 Fairleigh Dickinson -58.02% -71.22% -17.34 2
336 North Carolina A&T -58.49% -71.73% -18.88 3
337 Chicago St. -58.72% -75.58% -18.62 2
338 Tennessee St. -62.87% -78.50% -19.84 2
339 Idaho St. -64.50% -76.03% -20.02 3
340 Mississippi Valley St. -64.67% -78.69% -20.58 3
341 Liberty -64.81% -74.46% -20.57 2
342 Marist -65.76% -79.96% -20.09 2
343 Binghamton -65.78% -80.20% -20.56 1
344 Alcorn St. -66.80% -78.48% -20.59 3
345 UMBC -68.03% -82.20% -20.02 2
346 Maine -68.62% -85.47% -20.12 2
347 Central Connecticut -68.63% -80.64% -21.62 2
348 San Jose St. -69.68% -88.79% -21.21 4
349 Grambling St. -74.15% -88.07% -21.10 4
350 Central Arkansas -81.08% -93.77% -23.72 5
351 Florida A&M -82.68% -94.32% -24.05 2