The Grand Unified Bubble Watch

If you have any questions, feel free to ask me on twitter @sethburn or email me at sethburn at gmail.

Win % > Bubble KenPom Win % > Bubble BPI Win% > Bubble Sagarin Win % > Bubble Average
35.53% 36.29% 36.04% Kentucky 35.95% 1
31.52% 33.26% 33.08% Virginia 32.62% 2
28.51% 28.78% 30.54% Wisconsin 29.28% 3
27.67% 28.52% 28.72% Duke 28.30% 4
26.84% 27.18% 27.92% Villanova 27.31% 5
25.60% 23.67% 26.59% Kansas 25.29% 6
23.99% 23.66% 24.08% Gonzaga 23.91% 7
22.22% 22.07% 22.20% Arizona 22.17% 8
17.56% 18.67% 18.91% Notre Dame 18.38% 9
17.90% 16.19% 18.92% Iowa St. 17.67% 10
17.36% 17.19% 16.96% Northern Iowa 17.17% 11
15.95% 17.24% 17.88% Louisville 17.02% 12
16.08% 16.40% 17.79% Maryland 16.76% 13
15.85% 14.51% 16.69% West Virginia 15.68% 14
15.12% 14.99% 14.66% Utah 14.92% 15
13.48% 14.42% 13.44% Arkansas 13.78% 16
12.87% 13.65% 14.49% North Carolina 13.67% 17
13.93% 14.00% 13.05% Wichita St. 13.66% 18
13.70% 12.39% 14.84% Baylor 13.64% 19
12.55% 11.49% 13.85% Oklahoma 12.63% 20
10.54% 11.24% 9.21% VCU 10.33% 21
8.80% 9.54% 9.88% Georgetown 9.40% 22
8.69% 9.57% 9.49% Providence 9.25% 23
8.49% 8.90% 9.19% Butler 8.86% 24
7.89% 7.40% 7.24% SMU 7.51% 25
7.25% 7.70% 7.24% Texas A&M 7.39% 26
4.78% 5.96% 7.18% Michigan St. 5.98% 27
4.99% 4.58% 5.29% San Diego St. 4.95% 28
3.85% 4.84% 5.00% St. John’s 4.57% 29
3.86% 4.90% 3.59% Mississippi 4.12% 30
3.05% 4.51% 3.28% Georgia 3.61% 31
3.74% 3.14% 3.79% Colorado St. 3.56% 32
3.73% 2.41% 4.50% Texas 3.55% 33
2.28% 3.15% 4.64% Indiana 3.36% 34
3.09% 4.01% 2.89% Davidson 3.33% 35
3.36% 1.96% 4.58% Oklahoma St. 3.30% 36
2.79% 4.15% 2.80% LSU 3.24% 37
3.07% 3.93% 2.41% Dayton 3.14% 38
1.93% 2.79% 4.09% Ohio St. 2.94% 39
2.73% 2.72% 2.62% Oregon 2.69% 40
3.04% 2.28% 1.88% Valparaiso 2.40% 41
0.74% 1.86% 3.30% Purdue 1.97% 42
2.23% 1.37% 1.13% Stephen F. Austin 1.58% 43
0.02% 0.96% 2.49% Iowa 1.16% 44
1.16% 0.86% 0.61% Murray St. 0.88% 45
0.23% -0.03% 0.81% Saint Mary’s 0.34% 46
0.00% 1.17% -0.43% Rhode Island 0.24% 47
0.26% 0.21% 0.16% Stanford 0.21% 48
-0.17% 0.12% -0.29% UC Davis -0.11% 49
-0.24% -0.99% 0.03% BYU -0.40% 50
-1.20% -0.40% -0.06% Syracuse -0.55% 51
-0.87% -0.21% -1.07% Wofford -0.71% 52
-0.78% -1.39% -1.39% Harvard -1.18% 53
-1.49% -1.41% -1.04% Xavier -1.31% 54
-1.38% -1.45% -1.10% Boise St. -1.31% 55
-0.81% -1.85% -1.82% Tulsa -1.49% 56
-2.59% -2.04% -0.70% Illinois -1.78% 57
-2.86% -1.57% -1.27% Miami FL -1.90% 58
-1.87% -2.31% -1.94% Wyoming -2.04% 59
-1.90% -2.62% -2.40% Central Michigan -2.30% 60
-1.92% -2.54% -2.60% Iona -2.35% 61
-3.27% -2.13% -1.84% Pittsburgh -2.41% 62
-3.78% -2.92% -2.58% North Carolina St. -3.09% 63
-4.17% -3.43% -4.22% Alabama -3.94% 64
-3.68% -4.32% -4.49% Old Dominion -4.16% 65
-3.66% -4.46% -4.59% Green Bay -4.24% 66
-3.69% -4.33% -4.83% Temple -4.28% 67
-4.06% -4.68% -5.05% Sam Houston St. -4.59% 68
-4.96% -5.95% -4.03% TCU -4.98% 69
-5.15% -5.52% -5.36% Louisiana Tech -5.34% 70
-5.52% -5.73% -5.45% UCLA -5.57% 71
-6.03% -6.44% -6.40% UTEP -6.29% 72
-6.06% -6.52% -6.32% Oregon St. -6.30% 73
-5.85% -6.63% -6.83% Cincinnati -6.44% 74
-7.22% -6.73% -6.71% Seton Hall -6.89% 75
-7.11% -7.06% -7.38% North Carolina Central -7.18% 76
-8.27% -7.22% -6.08% Minnesota -7.19% 77
-6.44% -7.54% -7.69% Yale -7.22% 78
-7.74% -6.70% -7.89% George Washington -7.44% 79
-7.84% -8.15% -7.88% California -7.96% 80
-7.56% -7.68% -8.77% High Point -8.00% 81
-7.81% -8.40% -8.69% Kent St. -8.30% 82
-8.10% -8.70% -8.88% Toledo -8.56% 83
-8.50% -8.52% -8.69% Florida Gulf Coast -8.57% 84
-8.61% -9.82% -7.53% Kansas St. -8.65% 85
-9.30% -8.25% -8.48% Clemson -8.68% 86
-9.40% -7.83% -8.99% Tennessee -8.74% 87
-8.87% -8.83% -9.29% Eastern Washington -9.00% 88
-8.87% -9.19% -9.55% Buffalo -9.20% 89
-9.84% -9.11% -10.47% Massachusetts -9.80% 90
-9.47% -9.91% -10.93% Evansville -10.11% 91
-11.06% -10.33% -8.97% Michigan -10.12% 92
-9.23% -10.65% -10.53% Memphis -10.14% 93
-9.53% -10.26% -10.67% South Dakota St. -10.15% 94
-10.19% -10.10% -10.33% Arizona St. -10.21% 95
-10.49% -10.77% -10.56% Georgia Southern -10.61% 96
-10.49% -11.01% -10.68% Washington -10.73% 97
-10.75% -10.86% -11.16% Georgia St. -10.92% 98
-11.56% -10.65% -12.08% Florida -11.43% 99
-10.99% -11.47% -11.86% Bowling Green -11.44% 100
-10.99% -12.02% -11.67% Connecticut -11.56% 101
-12.64% -11.39% -12.47% Vanderbilt -12.17% 102
-13.09% -12.21% -13.10% South Carolina -12.80% 103
-12.58% -13.46% -13.13% North Dakota St. -13.06% 104
-14.30% -13.15% -12.11% Penn St. -13.19% 105
-14.19% -12.94% -12.68% Florida St. -13.27% 106
-12.81% -13.80% -13.57% Albany -13.39% 107
-13.26% -13.10% -14.93% Coastal Carolina -13.77% 108
-13.35% -14.02% -14.14% Incarnate Word -13.84% 109
-14.02% -13.62% -15.30% Illinois St. -14.31% 110
-14.18% -14.63% -14.50% Northeastern -14.44% 111
-14.93% -14.06% -15.18% Chattanooga -14.72% 112
-15.66% -15.02% -13.73% Nebraska -14.80% 113
-15.46% -14.32% -15.86% Richmond -15.22% 114
-15.37% -14.74% -16.26% La Salle -15.46% 115
-14.91% -15.17% -16.30% Radford -15.46% 116
-14.79% -16.36% -15.53% UNLV -15.56% 117
-15.47% -14.99% -16.82% Charleston Southern -15.76% 118
-16.55% -15.95% -14.81% Northwestern -15.77% 119
-15.88% -16.17% -15.42% Pepperdine -15.82% 120
-15.67% -16.18% -15.77% Stony Brook -15.87% 121
-15.73% -16.09% -16.45% UC Irvine -16.09% 122
-16.05% -16.16% -16.10% Utah St. -16.10% 123
-16.11% -16.40% -16.56% Eastern Michigan -16.36% 124
-17.38% -15.89% -16.07% Wake Forest -16.45% 125
-16.17% -16.81% -16.48% Rider -16.49% 126
-16.99% -15.87% -16.73% New Mexico St. -16.53% 127
-16.45% -16.68% -16.45% William & Mary -16.53% 128
-16.14% -17.04% -16.70% Akron -16.63% 129
-16.86% -16.51% -17.16% Sacramento St. -16.84% 130
-17.13% -16.80% -16.90% Western Kentucky -16.94% 131
-17.39% -17.19% -17.27% Portland -17.28% 132
-17.82% -17.34% -17.05% Marquette -17.40% 133
-17.46% -17.78% -17.95% Louisiana Monroe -17.73% 134
-17.50% -17.87% -18.45% Cleveland St. -17.94% 135
-18.18% -18.06% -17.59% Creighton -17.94% 136
-17.67% -18.17% -18.35% St. Francis NY -18.06% 137
-17.73% -18.79% -18.16% Western Michigan -18.23% 138
-17.88% -18.04% -19.29% Loyola Chicago -18.40% 139
-18.46% -18.48% -18.89% Belmont -18.61% 140
-18.74% -18.34% -18.99% USC Upstate -18.69% 141
-19.88% -18.38% -18.44% Georgia Tech -18.90% 142
-18.94% -18.79% -19.05% North Florida -18.93% 143
-19.34% -19.23% -19.29% Eastern Kentucky -19.29% 144
-19.36% -18.95% -19.58% Alabama St. -19.30% 145
-19.35% -19.45% -19.59% Colorado -19.47% 146
-19.23% -20.86% -18.41% Texas Tech -19.50% 147
-19.43% -19.14% -20.18% St. Bonaventure -19.58% 148
-19.59% -20.11% -19.60% James Madison -19.77% 149
-19.73% -19.61% -19.97% Tennessee Martin -19.77% 150
-19.83% -20.07% -19.46% San Diego -19.79% 151
-20.16% -19.94% -19.32% UNC Wilmington -19.81% 152
-19.89% -19.66% -19.94% Texas Southern -19.83% 153
-19.58% -20.15% -20.30% Norfolk St. -20.01% 154
-19.62% -20.44% -20.39% Northwestern St. -20.15% 155
-19.91% -20.30% -20.30% Hawaii -20.17% 156
-20.16% -21.09% -21.00% Oakland -20.75% 157
-20.45% -21.22% -20.62% Long Beach St. -20.76% 158
-21.49% -20.96% -20.61% DePaul -21.02% 159
-21.26% -20.59% -21.51% Auburn -21.12% 160
-21.68% -21.68% -23.25% Gardner Webb -22.21% 161
-21.71% -22.19% -22.73% UC Santa Barbara -22.21% 162
-22.38% -22.31% -22.38% Montana -22.36% 163
-22.45% -22.61% -22.42% Washington St. -22.49% 164
-22.65% -23.19% -22.92% New Mexico -22.92% 165
-22.73% -22.38% -23.78% East Tennessee St. -22.96% 166
-22.95% -23.21% -22.97% Hofstra -23.05% 167
-22.86% -23.35% -23.14% UT Arlington -23.12% 168
-23.09% -23.43% -23.37% Bucknell -23.30% 169
-22.89% -23.74% -23.75% Tulane -23.46% 170
-24.40% -23.06% -24.33% Mississippi St. -23.93% 171
-23.56% -24.13% -24.21% Lafayette -23.97% 172
-23.91% -24.09% -24.40% NJIT -24.13% 173
-24.01% -24.13% -24.28% UAB -24.14% 174
-23.50% -24.74% -24.87% Eastern Illinois -24.37% 175
-24.24% -24.62% -24.38% New Hampshire -24.41% 176
-24.43% -24.44% -24.93% Cal Poly -24.60% 177
-25.74% -25.38% -26.24% Indiana St. -25.79% 178
-25.11% -26.33% -26.69% Columbia -26.04% 179
-25.77% -26.50% -26.32% Monmouth -26.20% 180
-26.10% -26.63% -26.68% Middle Tennessee -26.47% 181
-26.20% -26.48% -26.74% Vermont -26.47% 182
-27.01% -25.53% -27.09% Mercer -26.54% 183
-26.17% -26.84% -26.83% UC Riverside -26.61% 184
-27.73% -26.74% -25.59% Rutgers -26.69% 185
-26.48% -26.87% -26.76% Manhattan -26.70% 186
-27.59% -26.44% -26.84% Virginia Tech -26.96% 187
-26.59% -26.68% -27.71% Maryland Eastern Shore -26.99% 188
-26.76% -26.89% -27.42% Northern Arizona -27.02% 189
-27.16% -26.66% -28.30% Winthrop -27.37% 190
-26.85% -27.88% -27.62% Canisius -27.45% 191
-27.25% -27.77% -27.76% Lehigh -27.59% 192
-27.41% -28.33% -28.01% Oral Roberts -27.92% 193
-28.17% -27.81% -28.20% Grand Canyon -28.06% 194
-27.78% -28.48% -28.51% Louisiana Lafayette -28.26% 195
-27.72% -28.58% -28.52% IPFW -28.27% 196
-28.17% -28.79% -28.89% Mount St. Mary’s -28.62% 197
-28.61% -28.75% -28.52% North Texas -28.63% 198
-29.61% -28.37% -28.23% Boston College -28.74% 199
-28.92% -28.80% -28.57% Santa Clara -28.76% 200
-29.11% -29.23% -29.36% Portland St. -29.23% 201
-29.11% -30.08% -30.12% Lamar -29.77% 202
-29.68% -29.06% -30.58% Saint Joseph’s -29.77% 203
-29.64% -30.30% -30.23% Army -30.06% 204
-31.15% -30.99% -30.75% Charlotte -30.96% 205
-31.25% -30.80% -31.04% San Francisco -31.03% 206
-31.06% -31.33% -30.95% USC -31.11% 207
-31.48% -31.50% -31.50% UTSA -31.49% 208
-30.91% -31.60% -31.97% UCF -31.49% 209
-31.20% -31.93% -31.69% American -31.61% 210
-31.33% -31.77% -32.15% Texas A&M Corpus Chris -31.75% 211
-31.31% -31.95% -32.26% South Dakota -31.84% 212
-31.35% -32.10% -32.36% Robert Morris -31.94% 213
-31.29% -32.27% -32.30% East Carolina -31.95% 214
-31.55% -32.06% -32.37% Howard -31.99% 215
-31.50% -32.46% -33.07% Detroit -32.34% 216
-32.41% -32.63% -32.23% Fresno St. -32.43% 217
-31.62% -32.94% -32.75% St. Francis PA -32.44% 218
-32.45% -32.93% -32.22% Air Force -32.54% 219
-32.61% -33.66% -33.37% Quinnipiac -33.21% 220
-33.31% -32.55% -33.88% Saint Louis -33.25% 221
-33.61% -33.32% -33.67% FIU -33.54% 222
-33.28% -33.92% -34.15% Milwaukee -33.78% 223
-33.62% -33.93% -34.37% Princeton -33.97% 224
-33.31% -34.00% -34.83% Delaware St. -34.05% 225
-34.61% -34.22% -33.99% Pacific -34.27% 226
-33.85% -34.71% -34.66% Cornell -34.41% 227
-34.70% -34.53% -34.76% Southern -34.66% 228
-34.85% -33.91% -35.47% Western Carolina -34.74% 229
-35.15% -34.34% -34.78% Missouri -34.76% 230
-34.66% -35.39% -35.52% Hartford -35.19% 231
-34.61% -35.88% -36.15% Bryant -35.55% 232
-35.87% -36.17% -35.86% Colgate -35.97% 233
-35.39% -36.41% -36.26% Brown -36.02% 234
-35.70% -36.58% -36.18% Northern Illinois -36.15% 235
-35.69% -35.95% -37.39% UNC Asheville -36.34% 236
-35.91% -36.60% -36.70% Morehead St. -36.40% 237
-36.60% -36.79% -37.00% Miami OH -36.80% 238
-37.04% -37.37% -37.85% Boston University -37.42% 239
-38.38% -37.58% -37.92% Seattle -37.96% 240
-38.05% -38.35% -38.64% SIU Edwardsville -38.34% 241
-38.44% -37.73% -39.05% George Mason -38.41% 242
-38.18% -38.67% -38.56% Saint Peter’s -38.47% 243
-38.18% -38.84% -38.72% UMass Lowell -38.58% 244
-37.93% -39.12% -38.88% Houston Baptist -38.64% 245
-38.87% -38.48% -39.03% Lipscomb -38.79% 246
-38.91% -38.75% -39.25% Northern Colorado -38.97% 247
-39.46% -38.55% -39.83% Duquesne -39.28% 248
-38.82% -39.81% -39.43% Texas St. -39.35% 249
-39.19% -39.53% -39.63% Arkansas Little Rock -39.45% 250
-39.02% -39.49% -40.10% Wright St. -39.53% 251
-39.15% -39.91% -40.41% Dartmouth -39.82% 252
-39.44% -39.66% -40.77% Drake -39.95% 253
-39.71% -39.51% -40.85% Missouri St. -40.03% 254
-39.98% -39.86% -40.29% Southeast Missouri St. -40.04% 255
-40.37% -39.58% -40.95% Fordham -40.30% 256
-40.53% -40.60% -40.13% Loyola Marymount -40.42% 257
-40.30% -40.80% -40.41% Towson -40.50% 258
-40.37% -40.56% -40.87% Ohio -40.60% 259
-39.78% -41.19% -41.04% LIU Brooklyn -40.67% 260
-40.28% -40.82% -40.94% Weber St. -40.68% 261
-40.48% -40.53% -41.14% Tennessee Tech -40.72% 262
-40.33% -41.03% -40.93% Holy Cross -40.76% 263
-40.94% -40.52% -41.05% Northern Kentucky -40.84% 264
-40.36% -40.99% -41.72% Denver -41.02% 265
-40.68% -41.50% -41.05% Prairie View A&M -41.08% 266
-41.19% -41.55% -40.90% Elon -41.21% 267
-41.30% -41.58% -41.18% Loyola MD -41.35% 268
-41.13% -41.69% -41.77% Idaho -41.53% 269
-41.53% -41.26% -41.91% Cal St. Bakersfield -41.57% 270
-41.25% -41.82% -41.85% Sacred Heart -41.64% 271
-41.24% -42.25% -42.67% Youngstown St. -42.05% 272
-41.29% -42.44% -42.51% Houston -42.08% 273
-42.62% -41.24% -42.64% VMI -42.17% 274
-42.23% -42.34% -42.26% Rice -42.28% 275
-42.71% -41.99% -42.95% Samford -42.55% 276
-42.28% -42.76% -42.61% Hampton -42.55% 277
-42.54% -43.36% -43.21% McNeese St. -43.04% 278
-42.97% -43.24% -43.29% Arkansas St. -43.17% 279
-42.78% -42.69% -44.44% Southern Illinois -43.30% 280
-43.96% -44.18% -43.40% Drexel -43.85% 281
-44.24% -43.58% -44.20% Jacksonville St. -44.01% 282
-43.96% -44.37% -44.18% Navy -44.17% 283
-44.38% -44.08% -44.50% UMKC -44.32% 284
-45.02% -44.50% -45.39% Utah Valley -44.97% 285
-44.79% -45.67% -46.02% South Florida -45.49% 286
-45.43% -45.48% -45.69% Appalachian St. -45.53% 287
-45.17% -46.00% -46.24% Siena -45.80% 288
-46.08% -46.01% -45.96% Marshall -46.02% 289
-45.55% -46.79% -46.79% IUPUI -46.38% 290
-46.32% -46.35% -46.83% Troy -46.50% 291
-45.96% -47.18% -47.05% Ball St. -46.73% 292
-46.13% -47.21% -46.90% Wagner -46.75% 293
-46.69% -46.85% -47.34% Cal St. Fullerton -46.96% 294
-47.02% -47.23% -46.81% Nevada -47.02% 295
-47.11% -47.55% -47.64% Southeastern Louisiana -47.43% 296
-46.67% -47.82% -48.67% Penn -47.72% 297
-47.99% -46.88% -48.32% The Citadel -47.73% 298
-47.39% -48.02% -47.78% New Orleans -47.73% 299
-47.52% -47.51% -48.73% Bradley -47.92% 300
-48.86% -48.36% -48.70% Kennesaw St. -48.64% 301
-48.40% -48.85% -49.43% Florida Atlantic -48.89% 302
-48.68% -49.07% -49.54% South Carolina St. -49.10% 303
-49.35% -49.67% -50.04% North Dakota -49.69% 304
-50.07% -49.99% -50.24% Nebraska Omaha -50.10% 305
-50.24% -50.07% -50.00% College of Charleston -50.10% 306
-50.00% -50.47% -50.10% Delaware -50.19% 307
-50.23% -50.81% -50.65% South Alabama -50.56% 308
-50.06% -50.86% -50.95% Abilene Christian -50.62% 309
-50.15% -51.06% -51.07% Southern Miss -50.76% 310
-51.37% -50.71% -51.61% Alabama A&M -51.23% 311
-51.34% -51.08% -51.70% Texas Pan American -51.37% 312
-50.95% -51.96% -51.88% Western Illinois -51.60% 313
-51.26% -51.87% -52.07% Cal St. Northridge -51.73% 314
-51.47% -52.21% -52.18% Nicholls St. -51.95% 315
-51.68% -51.92% -53.33% Presbyterian -52.31% 316
-52.44% -52.18% -52.84% Arkansas Pine Bluff -52.48% 317
-52.30% -52.59% -52.88% Bethune Cookman -52.59% 318
-52.33% -52.66% -52.81% Southern Utah -52.60% 319
-52.61% -52.52% -52.88% Jackson St. -52.67% 320
-52.59% -52.70% -54.12% Campbell -53.13% 321
-53.10% -53.72% -54.10% Savannah St. -53.64% 322
-53.04% -53.69% -54.32% Illinois Chicago -53.68% 323
-54.25% -53.21% -54.45% UNC Greensboro -53.97% 324
-54.59% -53.93% -54.55% Jacksonville -54.35% 325
-55.64% -54.95% -56.01% Furman -55.53% 326
-55.92% -56.12% -56.48% Coppin St. -56.17% 327
-56.11% -55.99% -56.52% Montana St. -56.21% 328
-55.97% -56.45% -56.74% Austin Peay -56.39% 329
-56.66% -56.15% -57.09% Stetson -56.63% 330
-56.16% -57.11% -57.04% Fairfield -56.77% 331
-56.52% -56.65% -57.58% Morgan St. -56.92% 332
-56.69% -57.69% -57.29% Niagara -57.22% 333
-56.68% -57.12% -57.99% Longwood -57.27% 334
-57.14% -58.02% -58.02% Fairleigh Dickinson -57.72% 335
-58.14% -58.07% -58.49% North Carolina A&T -58.23% 336
-58.37% -58.22% -58.72% Chicago St. -58.43% 337
-62.27% -62.83% -62.87% Tennessee St. -62.66% 338
-63.02% -63.38% -64.81% Liberty -63.74% 339
-64.31% -64.18% -64.50% Idaho St. -64.33% 340
-64.90% -64.73% -64.67% Mississippi Valley St. -64.77% 341
-65.37% -65.85% -65.76% Marist -65.66% 342
-65.38% -65.97% -65.78% Binghamton -65.71% 343
-66.54% -66.71% -66.80% Alcorn St. -66.68% 344
-67.62% -68.34% -68.03% UMBC -68.00% 345
-67.61% -68.57% -68.63% Central Connecticut -68.27% 346
-68.33% -69.07% -68.62% Maine -68.67% 347
-69.61% -69.97% -69.68% San Jose St. -69.75% 348
-74.61% -74.19% -74.15% Grambling St. -74.31% 349
-80.23% -80.98% -81.08% Central Arkansas -80.76% 350
-82.02% -82.13% -82.68% Florida A&M -82.27% 351
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