This is a better matchup than anyone was expecting at the start of the season. Football Outsiders likes the Cowboys:
| Cowboys -4.5 +100 | 23438 | 23438 | 0 | 2.34% |
While ESPN’s SPI favors the Eagles:
| Eagles +188 | 65532 | 123200 | 0 | 6.55% |
Football Outsiders is currently down$1.5M, while ESPN’s SPI is up$141K.
Just two games. Football Outsiders likes the home favorites in both:
| Broncos -5 -110 | 54055 | 49141 | 0 | 5.41% |
| Falcons -3 +102 | 117080 | 119421 | 0 | 11.71% |
A solid morning has cut their deficit to $1,458,059. As for ESPN’s SPI:
| Broncos -215 | 55000 | 25581 | 0 | 5.50% |
| Packers +136 | 62941 | 85600 | 0 | 6.29% |
They are currently up$141,137 on the season.
With the London game in overtime, we still have no change in the bankrolls. Football Outsiders early slate:
| Panthers -3 +102 | 204981 | 209081 | 0 | 20.50% |
| Lions +2.5 -105 | 50926 | 48501 | 0 | 5.09% |
| Saints +2.5 +100 | 49882 | 49882 | 0 | 4.99% |
| Bills +6.5 -107 | 113111 | 105711 | 0 | 11.31% |
| Browns +3 +105 | 207638 | 218020 | 0 | 20.76% |
| Buccaneers -1.5 -110 | 54906 | 49914 | 0 | 5.49% |
| KC @ Ind agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
AS for ESPN’s SPI
| Panthers -150 | 50000 | 33333 | 0 | 5.00% |
| Texans -135 | 154000 | 114074 | 0 | 15.40% |
| Saints +124 | 114839 | 142400 | 0 | 11.48% |
| Bills +227 | 265330 | 602300 | 0 | 26.53% |
| NYJ @ Clev agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Oak @ TB agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Colts +129 | 183411 | 236600 | 0 | 18.34% |
Bengals fans must be up pretty early to watch this live. Football Outsiders thinks they will be disappointed:
| Redskins +3 -110 | 144951 | 131774 | 0 | 14.50% |
ESPN’s SPI isn’t optimistic either:
| Redskins +138 | 16957 | 23400 | 0 | 1.70% |
Football Outsiders is currently down $1,629,854
ESPN’s SPI is currently up $310,004
Football Outsiders is rooting for the Titans on TNF:
| Titans -3.5 +106 | 68808 | 72937 | 0 | ;6.88% |
So is ESPN’s SPI:
| Titans -177 | 58200 | 32881 | 0 | 5.82% |
Football Outsiders is currently down $1,702,791.
ESPN’s SPI is currently up $277,123
Football Outsiders has a lot of work to do to end up in the black. They’ll try to take a bite out of their $1,729,541 tab tonight with the Broncos:
| Broncos -7.5 +102 | 51990 | 53030 | 0 | 5.20% |
ESPN’s SPI is taking the night off. It is up $277,123
| Hou @ Den agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
It’s a long way back from down $1,767,796:
| Seahawks +2 -105 | 40262 | 38345 | 0 | 4.03% |
As for ESPN’s SPI, they are taking the other side:
| Cardinals -128 | 202000 | 157813 | 0 | 2320.20% |
They are up $277,123 on the season.
There is no way to sugarcoat this:
| Rams +2.5 +104 | 30861 | 32095 | -30861 | 3.09% |
| Eagles +2.5 +102 | 25398 | 25905 | 25905 | 2.54% |
| NO @ KC agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Redskins +1 +101 | 54586 | 55131 | -54586 | 5.46% |
| Browns +10 -116 | 34422 | 29674 | -34422 | 3.44% |
| Bills -3 +102 | 139603 | 140999 | -139603 | 13.96% |
| Jaguars -1.5 -104 | 226687 | 217968 | -226687 | 22.67% |
| Titans -2.5 -116 | 203539 | 175465 | -203539 | 20.35% |
| Ravens pk’em +102 | 377822 | 385379 | -377822 | 37.78% |
That’s a loss of $1,041,613. That moves their deficit to $1,687,199. It’s going to be a quiet afternoon for them:
| SD @ Atl agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| 49ers +2.5 +102 | 80597 | 82209 | 0 | 8.06% |
| NE @ Pitt agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
As for ESPN’s SPI, they are up $569,454 on the season. They’ll be going to some big wins this afternoon:
| Chargers +231 | 97273 | 224700 | 0 | 9.73% |
| 49ers +112 | 337500 | 378000 | 0 | 33.75% |
| Steelers +256 | 179531 | 459600 | 0 | 17.95% |
Football Outsiders didn’t have a great trip to London, but they are looking to make up for it:
| Eagles +2.5 +102 | 25398 | 25905 | 0 | 2.54% |
| NO @ KC agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Redskins +1 +101 | 54586 | 55131 | 0 | 5.46% |
| Browns +10 -116 | 34422 | 29674 | 0 | 3.44% |
| Bills -3 +102 | 139603 | 140999 | 0 | 13.96% |
| Jaguars -1.5 -104 | 226687 | 217968 | 0 | 22.67% |
| Titans -2.5 -116 | 203539 | 175465 | 0 | 20.35% |
| Ravens pk’em +102 | 377822 | 385379 | 0 | 37.78% |
That’s a lot of faith in the Ravens. As for ESPN’s SPI:
| Min @ Phil agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Saints +235 | 59149 | 139000 | 0 | 5.91% |
| Wash @ Det agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Bengals -400 | 100000 | 25000 | 0 | 10.00% |
| Buff @ Mia agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Jaguars -115 | 32500 | 28261 | 0 | 3.25% |
| Ind @ Tenn agrees with the line | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Jets -106 | 31800 | 30000 | 0 | 3.18% |
Football Outsiders is down $676,446. ESPN’s SPI is up $606,103
It has to feel like the Rams got the short end of the stick. Not only do they have to play a home game somewhere other than their home stadium, but their opponent also gets a much shorter trip. Football Outsiders is not concerned about that, and will be backing the Rams:
| Rams +2.5 +104 | 30861 | 32095 | 0 | 3.09% |
As for ESPN’s SPI, they will be backing the Giants:
| Giants -140 | 136000 | 97143 | 0 | 13.60% |
Football Outsiders are currently down $645,585.
ESPN’s SPI is up $508,960
sethburn 