Archive

Monthly Archives: December 2016

Late last night UCLA fell from the ranks of the unbeaten:

Villanova is going to put their #1 ranking on the line when they head to Creighton on Saturday.

Interestingly, the top 3 teams in the KenPom rankings are all from the ACC. Look for Virginia, Duke, and UNC to rise in the WAB rankings as the season goes on. I’d be happy if Syracuse beats any of the, this season.

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Villanova 3.13 99.42%
2 Gonzaga 2.89 99.12%
3 Baylor 2.86 99.14%
4 UCLA 2.81 98.40%
5 Creighton 2.75 98.37%
6 Virginia 2.72 97.98%
7 Butler 2.38 95.68%
8 USC 2.30 97.26%
9 Duke 2.20 95.34%
10 Kansas 2.18 95.03%
11 Louisville 2.16 93.11%
12 North Carolina 2.13 93.37%
13 Wisconsin 1.75 89.56%
14 Xavier 1.67 87.13%
15 Maryland 1.60 88.37%
16 Florida St. 1.46 85.30%
17 Kentucky 1.42 86.21%
18 Purdue 1.26 82.90%
19 Oregon 1.22 80.15%
20 Clemson 1.21 80.22%
21 Florida 1.19 79.28%
22 Oklahoma St. 1.18 81.94%
23 Arizona 1.16 79.88%
24 Arkansas 1.08 79.69%
25 Cincinnati 1.06 78.76%
26 Saint Mary’s 1.03 79.77%
27 Virginia Tech 0.99 80.16%
28 Northwestern 0.96 75.63%
29 Auburn 0.91 74.46%
30 West Virginia 0.90 80.12%
31 Notre Dame 0.89 75.74%
32 TCU 0.78 73.56%
33 UNC Wilmington 0.66 67.40%
34 Pittsburgh 0.65 66.47%
35 Monmouth 0.62 67.40%
36 Nevada 0.60 65.20%
37 South Carolina 0.60 65.94%
38 Seton Hall 0.58 65.21%
39 UT Arlington 0.51 63.37%
40 Minnesota 0.46 61.48%
41 SMU 0.32 57.45%
42 Michigan 0.27 57.63%
43 Wake Forest 0.27 56.85%
44 Miami FL 0.21 55.23%
45 Kansas St. 0.15 52.34%
46 Valparaiso 0.13 52.98%
47 Texas Tech 0.10 50.53%
48 Wichita St. 0.08 50.80%
49 North Carolina St. 0.06 49.81%
50 Tennessee St. 0.04 50.35%
51 Marquette -0.11 45.95%
52 Michigan St. -0.19 44.72%
53 Middle Tennessee -0.19 43.22%
54 Indiana -0.22 42.28%
55 Rutgers -0.22 41.69%
56 VCU -0.27 40.72%
57 New Mexico St. -0.35 36.36%
58 Ohio St. -0.39 35.30%
59 Fort Wayne -0.40 36.94%
60 Rhode Island -0.41 37.79%
61 Stanford -0.42 37.04%
62 Dayton -0.43 36.40%
63 Colorado -0.44 36.11%
64 Houston -0.46 35.34%
65 LSU -0.54 32.99%
66 Iowa St. -0.55 31.99%
67 Providence -0.57 32.45%
68 Winthrop -0.59 30.36%
69 Davidson -0.61 30.71%
70 UCF -0.62 29.58%
71 Mississippi -0.65 29.39%
72 Texas A&M -0.66 28.61%
73 Arkansas St. -0.67 31.68%
74 Illinois -0.68 31.06%
75 East Tennessee St. -0.69 28.27%
76 Akron -0.71 25.20%
77 California -0.73 27.15%
78 Chattanooga -0.76 24.67%
79 Wyoming -0.85 24.28%
80 Temple -0.88 26.78%
81 Georgia -0.93 23.55%
82 Massachusetts -0.96 21.62%
83 Rice -0.97 19.71%
84 Georgetown -1.04 23.06%
85 George Mason -1.07 19.29%
86 Louisiana Lafayette -1.11 16.97%
87 Florida Gulf Coast -1.13 21.39%
88 Old Dominion -1.14 19.21%
89 Utah -1.22 12.63%
90 Central Michigan -1.27 14.54%
91 Nebraska -1.28 18.06%
92 Loyola Chicago -1.28 14.35%
93 Boise St. -1.29 16.75%
94 New Hampshire -1.30 14.44%
95 UNC Asheville -1.34 16.42%
96 Tennessee -1.36 14.25%
97 College of Charleston -1.39 13.95%
98 Belmont -1.40 12.95%
99 Oakland -1.44 10.53%
100 Memphis -1.45 14.06%
101 Sam Houston St. -1.49 11.04%
102 San Francisco -1.50 10.20%
103 La Salle -1.53 11.34%
104 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -1.56 7.20%
105 Ohio -1.58 8.68%
106 Samford -1.64 7.72%
107 San Diego St. -1.65 9.09%
108 Vermont -1.66 11.00%
109 Evansville -1.70 7.86%
110 BYU -1.71 10.34%
111 UNC Greensboro -1.71 8.39%
112 Grand Canyon -1.82 6.68%
113 Mississippi St. -1.84 5.56%
114 Illinois St. -1.84 8.60%
115 Bucknell -1.87 9.23%
116 Canisius -1.89 8.95%
117 Northern Kentucky -1.89 5.20%
118 Wright St. -1.89 8.45%
119 St. Bonaventure -1.90 6.91%
120 Saint Joseph’s -1.91 8.04%
121 Georgia Tech -2.00 5.57%
122 Missouri St. -2.02 6.42%
123 Nebraska Omaha -2.05 7.99%
124 Eastern Washington -2.05 5.62%
125 New Mexico -2.06 6.39%
126 George Washington -2.06 7.31%
127 Yale -2.11 5.28%
128 Georgia St. -2.18 4.77%
129 Eastern Michigan -2.18 4.13%
130 Little Rock -2.19 2.92%
131 Iowa -2.20 5.31%
132 Tennessee Martin -2.22 4.90%
133 Northeastern -2.23 6.23%
134 Oklahoma -2.24 3.90%
135 William & Mary -2.25 0.83%
136 Charlotte -2.29 3.58%
137 UMBC -2.30 2.92%
138 Fairfield -2.30 3.40%
139 Harvard -2.30 2.82%
140 Portland St. -2.31 3.36%
141 Alabama -2.32 4.02%
142 Washington -2.32 3.56%
143 Syracuse -2.33 3.98%
144 Lehigh -2.42 3.63%
145 Loyola Marymount -2.44 2.45%
146 Fresno St. -2.46 2.59%
147 Iona -2.48 3.84%
148 Penn -2.50 2.12%
149 Colorado St. -2.50 3.10%
150 North Dakota St. -2.55 3.21%
151 Houston Baptist -2.57 1.63%
152 Marshall -2.57 3.14%
153 Vanderbilt -2.61 3.49%
154 Arizona St. -2.63 2.91%
155 Elon -2.63 1.99%
156 Brown -2.65 0.73%
157 Loyola MD -2.68 1.51%
158 Ball St. -2.69 0.84%
159 Penn St. -2.71 3.10%
160 Northwestern St. -2.72 1.24%
161 Louisiana Tech -2.72 0.96%
162 Gardner Webb -2.76 1.78%
163 East Carolina -2.77 1.00%
164 North Carolina Central -2.77 2.12%
165 Texas Southern -2.86 3.71%
166 Hofstra -2.87 1.57%
167 San Jose St. -2.87 1.09%
168 Denver -2.90 1.70%
169 San Diego -2.93 0.67%
170 UAB -2.94 1.37%
171 Towson -2.95 1.56%
172 Portland -2.95 1.00%
173 Nicholls St. -3.02 1.23%
174 Albany -3.08 1.22%
175 Washington St. -3.14 0.47%
176 Northern Iowa -3.16 1.33%
177 Princeton -3.17 1.52%
178 Rider -3.18 0.95%
179 Utah Valley -3.19 0.90%
180 North Dakota -3.19 0.52%
181 Green Bay -3.21 0.78%
182 New Orleans -3.22 0.56%
183 Georgia Southern -3.22 1.14%
184 Radford -3.24 0.57%
185 South Dakota -3.24 1.24%
186 Southern Illinois -3.24 0.50%
187 South Carolina St. -3.25 1.02%
188 Texas -3.30 0.99%
189 Appalachian St. -3.31 0.21%
190 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.32 0.52%
191 Toledo -3.34 1.14%
192 Jacksonville -3.40 0.48%
193 Tulsa -3.41 0.85%
194 Abilene Christian -3.42 0.16%
195 Kent St. -3.43 0.43%
196 Northern Illinois -3.44 0.31%
197 Furman -3.52 0.42%
198 Utah St. -3.58 0.37%
199 Holy Cross -3.60 0.63%
200 UMKC -3.62 0.25%
201 Eastern Illinois -3.63 0.29%
202 Campbell -3.63 0.08%
203 Army -3.66 0.20%
204 UNLV -3.68 0.35%
205 Buffalo -3.77 0.21%
206 High Point -3.79 0.06%
207 Indiana St. -3.79 0.68%
208 Columbia -3.79 0.10%
209 Connecticut -3.82 0.33%
210 Lamar -3.83 0.10%
211 Incarnate Word -3.84 0.06%
212 Mercer -3.91 0.29%
213 Weber St. -3.94 0.16%
214 Southeastern Louisiana -3.95 0.15%
215 Delaware -3.95 0.17%
216 Jacksonville St. -3.96 0.46%
217 Missouri -3.96 0.08%
218 Northern Colorado -3.99 0.08%
219 Duquesne -3.99 0.05%
220 Richmond -3.99 0.23%
221 Long Beach St. -4.01 0.27%
222 Troy -4.01 0.13%
223 Texas St. -4.01 0.05%
224 Wagner -4.06 0.07%
225 Binghamton -4.08 0.12%
226 Western Carolina -4.15 0.11%
227 St. John’s -4.17 0.12%
228 LIU Brooklyn -4.19 0.10%
229 Idaho -4.26 0.07%
230 Boston College -4.29 0.06%
231 North Texas -4.30 0.01%
232 IUPUI -4.33 0.15%
233 Stephen F. Austin -4.38 0.02%
234 DePaul -4.45 0.04%
235 Boston University -4.45 0.05%
236 Charleston Southern -4.46 0.00%
237 The Citadel -4.47 0.02%
238 Western Kentucky -4.47 0.11%
239 South Florida -4.49 0.04%
240 Miami OH -4.51 0.02%
241 South Alabama -4.54 0.04%
242 Louisiana Monroe -4.55 0.02%
243 USC Upstate -4.62 0.05%
244 Illinois Chicago -4.62 0.03%
245 Cleveland St. -4.69 0.03%
246 NJIT -4.71 0.07%
247 Siena -4.72 0.08%
248 Pacific -4.72 0.02%
249 Youngstown St. -4.72 0.03%
250 UC Davis -4.78 0.05%
251 Wofford -4.81 0.03%
252 Eastern Kentucky -4.82 0.07%
253 UC Irvine -4.85 0.11%
254 Western Michigan -4.86 0.01%
255 Bowling Green -4.86 0.01%
256 Montana -4.87 0.06%
257 Seattle -4.91 0.00%
258 Florida Atlantic -4.91 0.00%
259 Santa Clara -4.92 0.01%
260 Saint Peter’s -4.95 0.01%
261 Lafayette -4.95 0.00%
262 Drexel -4.97 0.04%
263 Quinnipiac -5.01 0.01%
264 Presbyterian -5.07 0.01%
265 Hawaii -5.12 0.00%
266 Manhattan -5.12 0.02%
267 McNeese St. -5.18 0.00%
268 Fordham -5.19 0.01%
269 Air Force -5.26 0.01%
270 American -5.28 0.00%
271 Alcorn St. -5.28 0.01%
272 Navy -5.30 0.01%
273 St. Francis PA -5.40 0.00%
274 Robert Morris -5.41 0.02%
275 Cal Poly -5.42 0.01%
276 Liberty -5.44 0.00%
277 Coastal Carolina -5.50 0.00%
278 Grambling St. -5.52 0.00%
279 Saint Louis -5.56 0.00%
280 Savannah St. -5.57 0.00%
281 VMI -5.59 0.00%
282 Murray St. -5.59 0.01%
283 UC Santa Barbara -5.61 0.00%
284 Cal St. Fullerton -5.65 0.00%
285 Bradley -5.65 0.01%
286 Longwood -5.69 0.00%
287 Pepperdine -5.70 0.00%
288 Fairleigh Dickinson -5.74 0.00%
289 Cornell -5.75 0.00%
290 South Dakota St. -5.81 0.01%
291 Bryant -5.84 0.00%
292 Mount St. Mary’s -5.85 0.00%
293 Howard -5.87 0.00%
294 Western Illinois -5.97 0.00%
295 UTSA -6.01 0.00%
296 Maine -6.01 0.00%
297 Sacred Heart -6.04 0.00%
298 Sacramento St. -6.12 0.00%
299 Cal St. Northridge -6.14 0.00%
300 Montana St. -6.15 0.00%
301 Stetson -6.16 0.00%
302 Stony Brook -6.19 0.00%
303 SIU Edwardsville -6.21 0.00%
304 Jackson St. -6.21 0.00%
305 Marist -6.22 0.00%
306 Morehead St. -6.25 0.00%
307 Southern -6.26 0.00%
308 Prairie View A&M -6.30 0.00%
309 UT Rio Grande Valley -6.43 0.00%
310 Idaho St. -6.45 0.00%
311 Norfolk St. -6.47 0.00%
312 Milwaukee -6.48 0.00%
313 Lipscomb -6.49 0.00%
314 UC Riverside -6.56 0.00%
315 Oral Roberts -6.63 0.00%
316 Austin Peay -6.68 0.00%
317 North Florida -6.75 0.00%
318 UMass Lowell -6.86 0.00%
319 Southern Miss -6.90 0.00%
320 Niagara -6.90 0.00%
321 Chicago St. -6.92 0.00%
322 FIU -6.92 0.00%
323 Central Connecticut -6.96 0.00%
324 Morgan St. -6.97 0.00%
325 Detroit -6.98 0.00%
326 Dartmouth -7.03 0.00%
327 Hartford -7.28 0.00%
328 Alabama St. -7.43 0.00%
329 Central Arkansas -7.43 0.00%
330 Mississippi Valley St. -7.45 0.00%
331 Southeast Missouri St. -7.47 0.00%
332 Kennesaw St. -7.50 0.00%
333 Delaware St. -7.54 0.00%
334 Tulane -7.62 0.00%
335 Hampton -7.63 0.00%
336 UTEP -7.64 0.00%
337 Maryland Eastern Shore -7.88 0.00%
338 Oregon St. -7.88 0.00%
339 Alabama A&M -8.05 0.00%
340 Bethune Cookman -8.05 0.00%
341 St. Francis NY -8.05 0.00%
342 Colgate -8.28 0.00%
343 Northern Arizona -8.33 0.00%
344 Drake -8.51 0.00%
345 Tennessee Tech -8.59 0.00%
346 Florida A&M -8.93 0.00%
347 James Madison -9.16 0.00%
348 Southern Utah -9.20 0.00%
349 North Carolina A&T -9.48 0.00%
350 Coppin St. -9.60 0.00%
351 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.09 0.00%

Alas, Syracuse is down at 147th, so ’tis naught but coal for me. Bah humbug!

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 UCLA 3.07 99.61%
2 Villanova 3.06 99.38%
3 Gonzaga 2.89 99.12%
4 Baylor 2.86 99.14%
5 Louisville 2.47 96.64%
6 Creighton 2.46 97.70%
7 Butler 2.38 95.68%
8 Duke 2.20 95.34%
9 Kansas 2.18 95.03%
10 USC 2.14 96.72%
11 North Carolina 1.94 92.12%
12 Virginia 1.86 92.02%
13 Wisconsin 1.63 88.42%
14 Kentucky 1.42 86.21%
15 Xavier 1.39 83.46%
16 Maryland 1.24 83.52%
17 Minnesota 1.20 82.53%
18 Florida St. 1.19 81.31%
19 Florida 1.19 79.28%
20 Oklahoma St. 1.18 81.94%
21 Arizona 1.16 79.88%
22 Arkansas 1.08 79.69%
23 Purdue 1.05 79.52%
24 Saint Mary’s 1.03 79.77%
25 UNC Wilmington 0.95 76.23%
26 Clemson 0.95 75.49%
27 Virginia Tech 0.94 79.36%
28 Auburn 0.91 74.46%
29 West Virginia 0.90 80.12%
30 Seton Hall 0.86 73.33%
31 Notre Dame 0.83 74.73%
32 TCU 0.78 73.56%
33 Monmouth 0.77 71.71%
34 Oregon 0.68 68.30%
35 Cincinnati 0.65 69.72%
36 Indiana 0.62 70.79%
37 Northwestern 0.60 67.33%
38 South Carolina 0.60 65.94%
39 Wake Forest 0.57 65.46%
40 Pittsburgh 0.55 64.18%
41 Nevada 0.54 63.76%
42 UT Arlington 0.51 63.37%
43 Michigan 0.27 57.63%
44 Miami FL 0.16 53.87%
45 Kansas St. 0.15 52.34%
46 Valparaiso 0.12 52.61%
47 Texas Tech 0.10 50.53%
48 Tennessee St. 0.04 50.35%
49 North Carolina St. -0.00 47.96%
50 Rutgers -0.04 47.10%
51 SMU -0.09 46.07%
52 Wichita St. -0.17 43.74%
53 Middle Tennessee -0.19 43.22%
54 Illinois -0.20 42.82%
55 VCU -0.29 40.08%
56 Providence -0.31 38.69%
57 New Mexico St. -0.35 36.36%
58 Temple -0.37 38.32%
59 Marquette -0.38 37.91%
60 Ohio St. -0.39 35.30%
61 Fort Wayne -0.40 36.94%
62 Rhode Island -0.41 37.79%
63 Stanford -0.42 37.04%
64 Dayton -0.43 36.40%
65 Colorado -0.44 36.11%
66 LSU -0.54 32.99%
67 Iowa St. -0.55 31.99%
68 Winthrop -0.59 30.36%
69 Davidson -0.63 30.12%
70 Mississippi -0.65 29.39%
71 Georgetown -0.66 30.76%
72 Texas A&M -0.66 28.61%
73 Arkansas St. -0.67 31.68%
74 East Tennessee St. -0.69 28.27%
75 Akron -0.71 25.20%
76 California -0.73 27.15%
77 UCF -0.74 26.04%
78 Chattanooga -0.76 24.67%
79 Michigan St. -0.78 27.49%
80 Memphis -0.80 25.64%
81 San Francisco -0.84 20.48%
82 Wyoming -0.92 22.40%
83 Georgia -0.93 23.55%
84 Houston -0.94 22.12%
85 Rice -0.97 19.71%
86 George Mason -1.07 19.29%
87 Louisiana Lafayette -1.11 16.97%
88 Old Dominion -1.14 19.21%
89 Massachusetts -1.23 14.81%
90 Central Michigan -1.27 14.54%
91 Loyola Chicago -1.28 14.35%
92 Georgia St. -1.29 15.02%
93 New Hampshire -1.30 14.44%
94 Florida Gulf Coast -1.30 17.56%
95 UNC Asheville -1.34 16.42%
96 Utah -1.34 9.48%
97 Tennessee -1.36 14.25%
98 College of Charleston -1.39 13.95%
99 Belmont -1.40 12.95%
100 Oakland -1.44 10.53%
101 Sam Houston St. -1.49 11.04%
102 La Salle -1.53 11.34%
103 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -1.56 7.20%
104 Ohio -1.58 8.68%
105 Boise St. -1.58 10.81%
106 Iona -1.61 11.03%
107 Samford -1.64 7.72%
108 Vermont -1.66 11.00%
109 Evansville -1.70 7.86%
110 BYU -1.71 10.34%
111 San Diego St. -1.78 6.80%
112 UNC Greensboro -1.79 6.89%
113 Fresno St. -1.80 5.91%
114 Mississippi St. -1.84 5.56%
115 Grand Canyon -1.86 5.94%
116 Bucknell -1.87 9.23%
117 Canisius -1.89 8.95%
118 Northern Kentucky -1.89 5.20%
119 Wright St. -1.89 8.45%
120 St. Bonaventure -1.90 6.91%
121 Saint Joseph’s -1.91 8.04%
122 UMBC -1.94 4.19%
123 Penn St. -2.00 6.99%
124 Georgia Tech -2.00 5.44%
125 Iowa -2.01 6.31%
126 Illinois St. -2.02 6.06%
127 Nebraska Omaha -2.05 7.99%
128 Nebraska -2.05 6.09%
129 Eastern Washington -2.05 5.62%
130 George Washington -2.06 7.31%
131 Marshall -2.11 5.13%
132 Yale -2.11 5.28%
133 New Mexico -2.15 5.10%
134 Eastern Michigan -2.18 4.13%
135 Little Rock -2.19 2.92%
136 Tennessee Martin -2.22 4.90%
137 Northeastern -2.23 6.23%
138 Oklahoma -2.24 3.90%
139 William & Mary -2.25 0.83%
140 Northern Iowa -2.27 4.91%
141 Charlotte -2.29 3.58%
142 Fairfield -2.30 3.40%
143 Harvard -2.30 2.82%
144 Portland St. -2.31 3.36%
145 Alabama -2.32 4.02%
146 Washington -2.32 3.56%
147 San Jose St. -2.33 2.10%
148 Syracuse -2.37 3.55%
149 Texas -2.39 3.95%
150 Lehigh -2.42 3.63%
151 Missouri St. -2.43 2.78%
152 Cal St. Bakersfield -2.45 2.25%
153 Loyola Marymount -2.45 2.32%
154 Penn -2.54 1.78%
155 Houston Baptist -2.57 1.63%
156 Colorado St. -2.57 2.47%
157 Vanderbilt -2.61 3.49%
158 Arizona St. -2.63 2.91%
159 Elon -2.63 1.99%
160 Brown -2.65 0.73%
161 Loyola MD -2.68 1.51%
162 Ball St. -2.69 0.84%
163 Rider -2.71 1.60%
164 Northwestern St. -2.72 1.24%
165 Tulsa -2.72 2.06%
166 Louisiana Tech -2.72 0.96%
167 Utah St. -2.73 1.49%
168 North Dakota St. -2.75 1.86%
169 Gardner Webb -2.76 1.78%
170 North Carolina Central -2.77 2.12%
171 East Carolina -2.81 0.81%
172 Texas Southern -2.86 3.71%
173 Hofstra -2.87 1.57%
174 San Diego -2.93 0.67%
175 UAB -2.94 1.37%
176 UNLV -2.95 1.02%
177 Towson -2.95 1.56%
178 Portland -2.95 1.00%
179 Denver -2.95 1.45%
180 Nicholls St. -3.02 1.23%
181 Connecticut -3.08 0.96%
182 Albany -3.08 1.22%
183 Washington St. -3.14 0.47%
184 Princeton -3.19 1.44%
185 North Dakota -3.19 0.52%
186 Indiana St. -3.21 1.35%
187 Green Bay -3.21 0.78%
188 New Orleans -3.22 0.56%
189 Georgia Southern -3.22 1.14%
190 Radford -3.24 0.57%
191 South Dakota -3.24 1.24%
192 Southern Illinois -3.24 0.50%
193 South Carolina St. -3.25 1.02%
194 Utah Valley -3.27 0.62%
195 Appalachian St. -3.31 0.21%
196 Toledo -3.34 1.14%
197 Jacksonville -3.40 0.48%
198 Abilene Christian -3.42 0.16%
199 Northern Illinois -3.44 0.31%
200 Columbia -3.52 0.14%
201 Furman -3.52 0.42%
202 The Citadel -3.56 0.16%
203 Holy Cross -3.60 0.63%
204 South Florida -3.62 0.19%
205 UMKC -3.62 0.25%
206 Eastern Illinois -3.63 0.29%
207 Campbell -3.63 0.08%
208 Army -3.66 0.20%
209 Stephen F. Austin -3.73 0.04%
210 Buffalo -3.77 0.21%
211 High Point -3.79 0.06%
212 Lamar -3.83 0.10%
213 Incarnate Word -3.84 0.06%
214 Kent St. -3.89 0.09%
215 Weber St. -3.94 0.16%
216 Seattle -3.95 0.03%
217 Jacksonville St. -3.96 0.46%
218 Missouri -3.96 0.08%
219 Northern Colorado -3.99 0.08%
220 Duquesne -3.99 0.05%
221 Richmond -3.99 0.23%
222 Mercer -3.99 0.19%
223 Long Beach St. -4.01 0.27%
224 Troy -4.01 0.13%
225 Texas St. -4.01 0.05%
226 Florida Atlantic -4.06 0.02%
227 Wagner -4.06 0.07%
228 Binghamton -4.08 0.12%
229 Southeastern Louisiana -4.09 0.07%
230 Delaware -4.09 0.08%
231 Western Carolina -4.15 0.11%
232 St. John’s -4.17 0.12%
233 LIU Brooklyn -4.19 0.10%
234 Drexel -4.22 0.12%
235 Idaho -4.26 0.07%
236 Boston College -4.29 0.06%
237 North Texas -4.30 0.01%
238 IUPUI -4.33 0.15%
239 DePaul -4.33 0.05%
240 Boston University -4.45 0.05%
241 Charleston Southern -4.46 0.00%
242 Western Kentucky -4.50 0.09%
243 Miami OH -4.51 0.02%
244 Air Force -4.53 0.03%
245 South Alabama -4.54 0.04%
246 Louisiana Monroe -4.56 0.02%
247 USC Upstate -4.62 0.05%
248 Illinois Chicago -4.62 0.03%
249 Grambling St. -4.63 0.00%
250 Saint Peter’s -4.64 0.02%
251 Cal Poly -4.66 0.04%
252 Cleveland St. -4.69 0.03%
253 Siena -4.72 0.08%
254 Pacific -4.72 0.02%
255 Youngstown St. -4.72 0.03%
256 Wofford -4.81 0.03%
257 Eastern Kentucky -4.82 0.07%
258 UC Davis -4.83 0.04%
259 NJIT -4.84 0.03%
260 UC Irvine -4.85 0.11%
261 Western Michigan -4.86 0.01%
262 Bowling Green -4.86 0.01%
263 Montana -4.87 0.06%
264 South Dakota St. -4.92 0.06%
265 Santa Clara -4.92 0.01%
266 Lafayette -4.95 0.00%
267 Quinnipiac -5.01 0.01%
268 Presbyterian -5.07 0.01%
269 Manhattan -5.12 0.02%
270 Hawaii -5.13 0.00%
271 McNeese St. -5.18 0.00%
272 Fordham -5.19 0.01%
273 Stony Brook -5.24 0.01%
274 American -5.28 0.00%
275 Alcorn St. -5.28 0.01%
276 Navy -5.30 0.01%
277 Southern -5.30 0.00%
278 St. Francis PA -5.40 0.00%
279 Robert Morris -5.41 0.02%
280 Howard -5.43 0.00%
281 Liberty -5.44 0.00%
282 Cornell -5.46 0.00%
283 Coastal Carolina -5.50 0.00%
284 Saint Louis -5.56 0.00%
285 Savannah St. -5.57 0.00%
286 VMI -5.59 0.00%
287 Murray St. -5.59 0.01%
288 UC Riverside -5.61 0.00%
289 Cal St. Fullerton -5.65 0.00%
290 Bradley -5.65 0.01%
291 Longwood -5.69 0.00%
292 Pepperdine -5.70 0.00%
293 Fairleigh Dickinson -5.74 0.00%
294 UC Santa Barbara -5.75 0.00%
295 Oral Roberts -5.76 0.01%
296 Bryant -5.84 0.00%
297 Austin Peay -5.84 0.00%
298 Mount St. Mary’s -5.85 0.00%
299 Western Illinois -5.97 0.00%
300 UTSA -6.01 0.00%
301 Maine -6.01 0.00%
302 Sacred Heart -6.04 0.00%
303 Southern Miss -6.06 0.00%
304 Sacramento St. -6.12 0.00%
305 Cal St. Northridge -6.14 0.00%
306 Montana St. -6.15 0.00%
307 Stetson -6.16 0.00%
308 Morgan St. -6.17 0.00%
309 SIU Edwardsville -6.21 0.00%
310 Jackson St. -6.21 0.00%
311 Marist -6.22 0.00%
312 Morehead St. -6.25 0.00%
313 Prairie View A&M -6.30 0.00%
314 Chicago St. -6.38 0.00%
315 UT Rio Grande Valley -6.43 0.00%
316 Idaho St. -6.45 0.00%
317 Norfolk St. -6.47 0.00%
318 Milwaukee -6.48 0.00%
319 Lipscomb -6.49 0.00%
320 Kennesaw St. -6.57 0.00%
321 North Florida -6.75 0.00%
322 Tulane -6.77 0.00%
323 Hartford -6.78 0.00%
324 UMass Lowell -6.86 0.00%
325 Niagara -6.90 0.00%
326 FIU -6.92 0.00%
327 Central Connecticut -6.96 0.00%
328 Detroit -6.98 0.00%
329 Dartmouth -7.03 0.00%
330 Hampton -7.08 0.00%
331 Oregon St. -7.19 0.00%
332 Alabama St. -7.43 0.00%
333 Central Arkansas -7.43 0.00%
334 Mississippi Valley St. -7.45 0.00%
335 Southeast Missouri St. -7.47 0.00%
336 Delaware St. -7.54 0.00%
337 UTEP -7.64 0.00%
338 Maryland Eastern Shore -7.88 0.00%
339 Alabama A&M -8.05 0.00%
340 Bethune Cookman -8.05 0.00%
341 St. Francis NY -8.05 0.00%
342 Colgate -8.28 0.00%
343 Northern Arizona -8.33 0.00%
344 Drake -8.51 0.00%
345 Tennessee Tech -8.59 0.00%
346 North Carolina A&T -8.82 0.00%
347 Florida A&M -8.93 0.00%
348 James Madison -9.16 0.00%
349 Southern Utah -9.20 0.00%
350 Coppin St. -9.60 0.00%
351 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.09 0.00%

Football Outsiders had a tough morning and have seen their profits drop to $706,726. They’ll try to get it back with the 49ers:

 

Buccaneers +3 +105 64056 67259 0
Raiders -3.5 -103 62788 60959 0
49ers +4 -105 205795 195995 0
Ariz @ Sea agrees with the line 0 0 0

Football Outsiders is currently up $988,414. A solid morning would put them back above $1M.

(I was incorrect as to the sizing of the Eagles bet when I Tweeted it Thursday night).

Eagles +2.5 +106 122224 129558 129558
Bears +3.5 -123 159125 129370 0
Bills -4 -110 26877 24433 0
Panthers +3 +111 127627 141666 0
Packers -7 +106 109351 115912 0
Jets +16.5 -105 46512 44297 0
Tenn @ Jax agrees with the line 0 0 0
Chargers -5 -103 37459 36368 0

Defending Champions Villanova lead the initial WAB rankings, although UCLA’s results are slightly more difficult for an average bubble team to replicate. Gonzaga and Baylor round out a clear top 4 in terms of resume. I expect to see Duke rise up these rankings as their squad becomes fully operational. However, the key takeaway from the initial WAB rankings is that Syracuse has a lot of work to do. 😦

 

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Villanova 3.04 99.36%
2 UCLA 3.02 99.58%
3 Gonzaga 2.83 99.06%
4 Baylor 2.80 99.08%
5 Butler 2.25 95.09%
6 Creighton 2.10 96.39%
7 Duke 2.03 94.51%
8 Kansas 1.96 93.80%
9 Louisville 1.81 91.99%
10 North Carolina 1.78 90.93%
11 USC 1.78 95.14%
12 Wisconsin 1.62 88.36%
13 Kentucky 1.56 89.51%
14 Xavier 1.35 82.93%
15 Virginia 1.25 83.81%
16 South Carolina 1.20 82.85%
17 Florida St. 1.19 81.31%
18 Maryland 1.16 82.32%
19 Oklahoma St. 1.11 80.95%
20 Minnesota 1.09 80.75%
21 Valparaiso 1.07 80.26%
22 Florida 1.05 77.07%
23 Arizona 1.04 77.82%
24 Purdue 1.02 79.11%
25 Saint Mary’s 0.94 78.18%
26 Virginia Tech 0.92 78.91%
27 UNC Wilmington 0.88 74.82%
28 Arkansas 0.85 75.45%
29 Notre Dame 0.83 74.73%
30 West Virginia 0.80 78.00%
31 Seton Hall 0.74 70.82%
32 TCU 0.74 72.60%
33 Middle Tennessee 0.72 68.03%
34 Indiana 0.60 70.22%
35 Oregon 0.59 66.09%
36 Monmouth 0.58 67.36%
37 Cincinnati 0.55 67.38%
38 Providence 0.50 65.35%
39 Northwestern 0.48 64.31%
40 Pittsburgh 0.47 62.17%
41 Wake Forest 0.42 61.84%
42 Arkansas St. 0.38 60.51%
43 Rutgers 0.36 62.52%
44 Nevada 0.31 57.63%
45 UT Arlington 0.30 58.24%
46 Clemson 0.24 56.00%
47 Michigan 0.19 55.42%
48 East Tennessee St. 0.14 53.14%
49 Texas Tech 0.09 50.21%
50 Kansas St. 0.09 50.22%
51 Miami FL 0.05 50.27%
52 Tennessee St. 0.04 50.35%
53 Auburn 0.02 49.42%
54 North Carolina St. -0.02 47.39%
55 Houston -0.06 46.31%
56 LSU -0.10 44.81%
57 SMU -0.18 43.72%
58 Wichita St. -0.23 41.84%
59 Oakland -0.33 32.81%
60 VCU -0.33 39.09%
61 Illinois -0.34 38.53%
62 New Mexico St. -0.35 36.36%
63 Marquette -0.40 37.13%
64 California -0.42 34.24%
65 Stanford -0.48 35.44%
66 Colorado -0.48 34.93%
67 Fort Wayne -0.49 33.88%
68 Temple -0.50 34.47%
69 Wyoming -0.50 30.60%
70 Rhode Island -0.51 34.84%
71 Ohio St. -0.52 30.88%
72 Iowa St. -0.56 31.68%
73 Loyola Chicago -0.57 28.86%
74 Utah -0.64 23.88%
75 Georgia -0.64 27.86%
76 Dayton -0.64 30.49%
77 Davidson -0.69 28.18%
78 Texas A&M -0.70 27.39%
79 Mississippi -0.70 27.83%
80 Ohio -0.74 23.48%
81 Georgetown -0.75 28.13%
82 UCF -0.75 25.68%
83 Winthrop -0.77 24.37%
84 Chattanooga -0.82 22.92%
85 Memphis -0.83 24.68%
86 Iona -0.84 23.81%
87 Akron -0.88 19.32%
88 Michigan St. -0.92 23.49%
89 Rice -0.97 19.71%
90 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -0.97 13.16%
91 St. Bonaventure -0.97 20.42%
92 UNC Asheville -0.99 21.68%
93 Sam Houston St. -1.01 17.86%
94 Bucknell -1.05 21.20%
95 Portland -1.08 16.96%
96 George Mason -1.09 18.83%
97 Louisiana Lafayette -1.15 15.68%
98 Old Dominion -1.16 18.64%
99 Massachusetts -1.29 13.29%
100 Georgia Tech -1.29 12.54%
101 New Hampshire -1.30 14.44%
102 Illinois St. -1.31 12.77%
103 Eastern Washington -1.35 11.19%
104 UNC Greensboro -1.37 10.62%
105 Central Michigan -1.42 11.27%
106 Vermont -1.43 13.29%
107 Belmont -1.45 11.83%
108 Syracuse -1.47 11.72%
109 College of Charleston -1.48 12.17%
110 Oklahoma -1.48 10.35%
111 San Francisco -1.50 4.61%
112 Yale -1.52 10.05%
113 Fresno St. -1.54 7.61%
114 Nebraska Omaha -1.58 12.36%
115 Tennessee Martin -1.61 8.76%
116 Boise St. -1.63 9.86%
117 Samford -1.64 7.57%
118 Florida Gulf Coast -1.66 10.40%
119 Loyola Marymount -1.68 6.59%
120 Evansville -1.70 7.86%
121 Charlotte -1.73 6.91%
122 La Salle -1.74 7.56%
123 Northern Kentucky -1.74 5.94%
124 George Washington -1.78 9.28%
125 Tennessee -1.80 6.05%
126 Utah St. -1.80 6.67%
127 Colorado St. -1.81 6.91%
128 Georgia St. -1.83 5.78%
129 Louisiana Tech -1.86 4.52%
130 William & Mary -1.87 1.32%
131 BYU -1.88 7.53%
132 Grand Canyon -1.88 5.65%
133 Marshall -1.88 6.31%
134 New Mexico -1.88 6.56%
135 Mississippi St. -1.89 4.78%
136 Saint Joseph’s -1.93 7.78%
137 Cal St. Bakersfield -1.97 3.85%
138 San Diego St. -1.98 3.76%
139 Little Rock -1.99 3.52%
140 Penn St. -2.01 6.76%
141 Missouri St. -2.01 3.47%
142 Rider -2.02 3.75%
143 Arizona St. -2.05 5.47%
144 Nebraska -2.09 5.45%
145 UMBC -2.09 2.52%
146 Iowa -2.11 4.86%
147 Northern Iowa -2.13 5.56%
148 Wright St. -2.14 5.21%
149 Houston Baptist -2.16 2.66%
150 Tulsa -2.18 3.21%
151 Eastern Michigan -2.18 4.13%
152 Connecticut -2.22 3.80%
153 Vanderbilt -2.24 4.98%
154 North Dakota St. -2.34 2.84%
155 San Jose St. -2.34 1.98%
156 Canisius -2.36 4.01%
157 Utah Valley -2.36 2.99%
158 East Carolina -2.38 1.28%
159 Fairfield -2.39 2.51%
160 UAB -2.40 2.61%
161 Lehigh -2.42 3.63%
162 Elon -2.43 2.38%
163 Gardner Webb -2.45 2.48%
164 Alabama -2.46 2.61%
165 Washington -2.46 2.19%
166 Towson -2.49 1.90%
167 Texas -2.51 2.78%
168 Georgia Southern -2.54 2.76%
169 Penn -2.54 1.78%
170 Portland St. -2.58 1.48%
171 Northeastern -2.60 3.03%
172 UNLV -2.60 1.48%
173 Brown -2.67 0.65%
174 UMKC -2.67 1.53%
175 Texas Southern -2.67 4.35%
176 North Dakota -2.68 0.99%
177 DePaul -2.69 0.81%
178 Ball St. -2.70 0.77%
179 Loyola MD -2.71 1.32%
180 Northwestern St. -2.72 1.24%
181 South Florida -2.73 0.91%
182 Albany -2.74 1.74%
183 North Carolina Central -2.77 2.12%
184 Princeton -2.82 1.42%
185 Buffalo -2.85 1.33%
186 Harvard -2.87 0.62%
187 Eastern Illinois -2.88 0.87%
188 Jacksonville -2.90 0.87%
189 Stephen F. Austin -2.93 0.16%
190 Denver -2.97 1.32%
191 Hofstra -2.99 1.04%
192 South Carolina St. -3.01 1.32%
193 Nicholls St. -3.02 1.23%
194 South Dakota -3.04 1.48%
195 San Diego -3.04 0.34%
196 Kent St. -3.06 0.39%
197 Radford -3.08 0.66%
198 Seattle -3.09 0.20%
199 Mercer -3.13 0.86%
200 Washington St. -3.16 0.41%
201 Southeastern Louisiana -3.21 0.38%
202 Green Bay -3.21 0.78%
203 New Orleans -3.22 0.56%
204 Furman -3.22 0.58%
205 LIU Brooklyn -3.23 0.67%
206 Binghamton -3.24 0.51%
207 Delaware -3.26 0.32%
208 Incarnate Word -3.26 0.14%
209 Indiana St. -3.26 1.13%
210 Southern Illinois -3.29 0.38%
211 Western Carolina -3.30 0.53%
212 Richmond -3.30 0.48%
213 Missouri -3.32 0.21%
214 Appalachian St. -3.33 0.18%
215 North Texas -3.37 0.10%
216 Abilene Christian -3.42 0.16%
217 Jacksonville St. -3.43 0.84%
218 Toledo -3.46 0.75%
219 Columbia -3.52 0.14%
220 Hawaii -3.54 0.04%
221 Boston University -3.55 0.27%
222 The Citadel -3.56 0.16%
223 Northern Illinois -3.57 0.15%
224 Campbell -3.66 0.06%
225 Army -3.70 0.16%
226 Boston College -3.71 0.08%
227 Holy Cross -3.71 0.39%
228 Idaho -3.72 0.14%
229 High Point -3.79 0.06%
230 Lamar -3.83 0.10%
231 IUPUI -3.93 0.23%
232 South Alabama -3.93 0.08%
233 UC Riverside -3.94 0.02%
234 Eastern Kentucky -3.98 0.29%
235 Siena -3.98 0.24%
236 Cleveland St. -4.00 0.08%
237 Northern Colorado -4.01 0.06%
238 Duquesne -4.02 0.03%
239 Cal Poly -4.03 0.11%
240 UC Davis -4.04 0.13%
241 Quinnipiac -4.05 0.07%
242 Florida Atlantic -4.06 0.02%
243 Wagner -4.06 0.07%
244 Long Beach St. -4.10 0.15%
245 Charleston Southern -4.11 0.01%
246 Troy -4.11 0.06%
247 Texas St. -4.13 0.02%
248 Wofford -4.15 0.08%
249 Louisiana Monroe -4.16 0.02%
250 UC Irvine -4.20 0.20%
251 Weber St. -4.23 0.04%
252 Pepperdine -4.25 0.04%
253 UC Santa Barbara -4.29 0.00%
254 Presbyterian -4.29 0.03%
255 Lafayette -4.30 0.01%
256 Drexel -4.34 0.06%
257 Navy -4.36 0.05%
258 Youngstown St. -4.38 0.04%
259 Alcorn St. -4.52 0.03%
260 Southern Miss -4.52 0.00%
261 Miami OH -4.54 0.01%
262 Marist -4.55 0.02%
263 Air Force -4.57 0.02%
264 Cornell -4.61 0.02%
265 USC Upstate -4.62 0.05%
266 Grambling St. -4.63 0.00%
267 Illinois Chicago -4.64 0.02%
268 South Dakota St. -4.64 0.08%
269 Western Kentucky -4.65 0.04%
270 Murray St. -4.65 0.06%
271 Austin Peay -4.66 0.02%
272 Western Michigan -4.66 0.01%
273 Saint Louis -4.67 0.02%
274 Saint Peter’s -4.69 0.01%
275 Southern -4.70 0.00%
276 McNeese St. -4.70 0.00%
277 Maine -4.73 0.00%
278 Pacific -4.75 0.01%
279 Howard -4.83 0.01%
280 NJIT -4.84 0.03%
281 Bryant -4.86 0.01%
282 Bowling Green -4.87 0.01%
283 St. John’s -4.88 0.01%
284 Montana -4.96 0.03%
285 Liberty -5.01 0.00%
286 St. Francis PA -5.05 0.00%
287 Sacred Heart -5.11 0.01%
288 American -5.16 0.00%
289 Fordham -5.20 0.01%
290 VMI -5.22 0.00%
291 Manhattan -5.23 0.01%
292 Stetson -5.23 0.00%
293 Stony Brook -5.24 0.01%
294 Montana St. -5.24 0.00%
295 Bradley -5.25 0.01%
296 Sacramento St. -5.32 0.00%
297 Santa Clara -5.37 0.00%
298 Cal St. Northridge -5.39 0.00%
299 Longwood -5.39 0.00%
300 Coastal Carolina -5.50 0.00%
301 Chicago St. -5.53 0.00%
302 Morgan St. -5.53 0.00%
303 Robert Morris -5.56 0.01%
304 Savannah St. -5.57 0.00%
305 Southeast Missouri St. -5.57 0.00%
306 Morehead St. -5.58 0.00%
307 Prairie View A&M -5.63 0.00%
308 UTEP -5.73 0.00%
309 Cal St. Fullerton -5.74 0.00%
310 Fairleigh Dickinson -5.74 0.00%
311 Kennesaw St. -5.74 0.00%
312 Tulane -5.81 0.00%
313 SIU Edwardsville -5.83 0.00%
314 Mount St. Mary’s -5.86 0.00%
315 North Florida -5.86 0.01%
316 Oral Roberts -5.87 0.00%
317 Western Illinois -5.97 0.00%
318 Idaho St. -5.98 0.00%
319 UTSA -6.06 0.00%
320 UMass Lowell -6.06 0.00%
321 Detroit -6.12 0.00%
322 Central Connecticut -6.13 0.00%
323 St. Francis NY -6.15 0.00%
324 Hampton -6.20 0.00%
325 Jackson St. -6.21 0.00%
326 Mississippi Valley St. -6.26 0.00%
327 Norfolk St. -6.27 0.00%
328 UT Rio Grande Valley -6.43 0.00%
329 Milwaukee -6.48 0.00%
330 Lipscomb -6.57 0.00%
331 Alabama St. -6.66 0.00%
332 Central Arkansas -6.80 0.00%
333 Hartford -6.81 0.00%
334 FIU -7.00 0.00%
335 Niagara -7.00 0.00%
336 Delaware St. -7.03 0.00%
337 Dartmouth -7.13 0.00%
338 Maryland Eastern Shore -7.18 0.00%
339 Alabama A&M -7.24 0.00%
340 Oregon St. -7.28 0.00%
341 James Madison -7.32 0.00%
342 Bethune Cookman -7.45 0.00%
343 Colgate -7.46 0.00%
344 Northern Arizona -7.48 0.00%
345 Tennessee Tech -7.69 0.00%
346 Coppin St. -7.74 0.00%
347 North Carolina A&T -7.91 0.00%
348 Florida A&M -7.97 0.00%
349 Southern Utah -8.31 0.00%
350 Drake -8.52 0.00%
351 Arkansas Pine Bluff -9.33 0.00%