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Monthly Archives: January 2016

Nate has already proved his mettle on the fierce battlefields of futbol betting, politics is where he made his name and that will be the field of battle this time. Unfortunately, betting limits aren’t quite high enough to to justify a six-figure bankroll, so I’m going to start Nate with $10,000 and wish him the best of luck. First event on tap: The Iowa Caucuses:

Iowa Democratic Caucus:

Hillary Clinton to win Iowa, risking $2,000 to win $667

Iowa Republican Caucus:

Field (anyone not named Donald Trump) to win Iowa, risking $2,605 to win $4,820

I am using the polls plus forecast as that appears to be the official projection from 538. As always, I wish Nate best of luck.

 

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Oklahoma survived a tough game at LSU to maintain a clear grip on the top spot. Syracuse held of Georgia Tech to slip onto the warmer side of the bubble. Grand Canyon lost at home to Seattle, which ended up costing them almost a full win in the WAB standings. That’s a tough break for Dan Majerle’s squad. Arkansas-Little Rock beat Georgia St. to stay at 24th in the WAB standings.

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Oklahoma 6.20 99.96%
2 Xavier 4.81 99.58%
3 Villanova 4.68 99.49%
4 North Carolina 4.65 99.44%
5 Texas A&M 4.28 98.59%
6 Virginia 4.27 98.40%
7 Kansas 4.07 98.45%
8 SMU 3.95 98.97%
9 Iowa 3.94 98.50%
10 Maryland 3.86 98.67%
11 West Virginia 3.64 97.13%
12 Michigan St. 3.64 96.95%
13 Iowa St. 3.50 96.45%
14 Providence 3.24 96.14%
15 Baylor 3.09 96.15%
16 Oregon 2.94 93.38%
17 Purdue 2.91 93.60%
18 South Carolina 2.85 94.72%
19 Miami FL 2.78 92.43%
20 Dayton 2.72 93.63%
21 Utah 2.58 90.52%
22 Saint Joseph’s 2.53 91.68%
23 Louisville 2.22 89.83%
24 Arkansas Little Rock 2.20 91.10%
25 USC 2.19 86.56%
26 Michigan 1.94 86.13%
27 Kentucky 1.80 82.21%
28 Arizona 1.77 81.99%
29 Pittsburgh 1.33 77.74%
30 Chattanooga 1.27 77.47%
31 Texas 1.23 72.41%
32 Valparaiso 1.23 74.25%
33 Indiana 1.22 73.90%
34 Florida 1.21 73.22%
35 Florida St. 1.21 73.86%
36 Saint Mary’s 1.19 76.75%
37 Duke 1.14 71.02%
38 Colorado 0.98 69.41%
39 Evansville 0.82 67.39%
40 Monmouth 0.82 66.02%
41 Seton Hall 0.79 66.19%
42 VCU 0.79 65.69%
43 Cincinnati 0.59 61.82%
44 Notre Dame 0.48 60.13%
45 Akron 0.48 59.85%
46 Wichita St. 0.44 58.88%
47 Syracuse 0.31 55.80%
48 Grand Canyon 0.26 55.23%
49 Gonzaga 0.24 54.24%
50 Connecticut 0.00 49.54%
51 UC Irvine -0.08 47.27%
52 Stony Brook -0.11 45.78%
53 Kansas St. -0.11 47.34%
54 San Diego St. -0.13 46.41%
55 Butler -0.14 46.58%
56 Washington -0.14 46.52%
57 George Washington -0.15 45.37%
58 California -0.17 45.92%
59 Hawaii -0.23 41.44%
60 South Dakota St. -0.42 39.60%
61 Princeton -0.44 37.89%
62 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -0.54 33.62%
63 Texas Tech -0.55 38.55%
64 Hofstra -0.71 34.54%
65 UAB -0.74 31.30%
66 Northwestern -0.74 33.22%
67 Marquette -0.77 33.00%
68 Southern Illinois -0.79 29.89%
69 IPFW -0.84 30.68%
70 North Florida -0.90 28.34%
71 Tulsa -0.91 31.47%
72 Clemson -0.91 31.05%
73 UCLA -0.92 32.61%
74 Yale -0.94 25.49%
75 Georgia Tech -1.06 28.90%
76 William & Mary -1.07 25.73%
77 BYU -1.07 27.79%
78 LSU -1.10 27.73%
79 Boise St. -1.16 25.85%
80 Vanderbilt -1.20 26.44%
81 UNC Wilmington -1.20 23.28%
82 Oregon St. -1.21 25.99%
83 Houston -1.32 21.40%
84 Arizona St. -1.35 25.01%
85 Creighton -1.36 23.15%
86 Ohio St. -1.38 21.57%
87 Georgetown -1.39 23.72%
88 Wake Forest -1.40 23.95%
89 James Madison -1.43 20.33%
90 Alabama -1.44 23.15%
91 Stanford -1.45 22.31%
92 Wisconsin -1.51 21.40%
93 St. Bonaventure -1.53 18.38%
94 Davidson -1.56 18.01%
95 Temple -1.58 19.52%
96 Belmont -1.60 18.56%
97 Georgia -1.67 18.49%
98 Middle Tennessee -1.74 16.07%
99 UT Arlington -1.79 14.01%
100 Stephen F. Austin -1.81 10.64%
101 Louisiana Tech -1.90 10.87%
102 Northern Illinois -1.96 10.40%
103 Kent St. -1.97 12.16%
104 Virginia Tech -2.00 13.51%
105 Fresno St. -2.09 10.82%
106 Columbia -2.15 9.32%
107 Richmond -2.19 11.27%
108 Mississippi -2.26 11.39%
109 Oakland -2.26 10.48%
110 Mercer -2.28 8.46%
111 Duquesne -2.32 9.23%
112 Albany -2.34 7.24%
113 Siena -2.36 9.42%
114 Nebraska -2.60 7.17%
115 Tennessee Tech -2.63 5.92%
116 Memphis -2.66 5.61%
117 North Carolina St. -2.67 9.69%
118 Winthrop -2.69 4.48%
119 Milwaukee -2.78 5.29%
120 Pepperdine -2.80 7.14%
121 Arkansas -2.82 8.07%
122 Oklahoma St. -2.82 6.60%
123 New Mexico -3.00 4.78%
124 College of Charleston -3.08 4.73%
125 Ohio -3.13 3.71%
126 UNLV -3.13 4.77%
127 Tennessee St. -3.14 2.55%
128 Montana -3.16 2.24%
129 Nevada -3.20 3.88%
130 Rhode Island -3.22 4.38%
131 Georgia St. -3.23 2.85%
132 Towson -3.25 3.15%
133 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.27 2.25%
134 Buffalo -3.29 3.31%
135 Southern -3.34 2.00%
136 Weber St. -3.37 1.74%
137 Louisiana Lafayette -3.38 2.18%
138 High Point -3.42 1.67%
139 North Dakota St. -3.48 1.94%
140 Long Beach St. -3.50 4.56%
141 Nebraska Omaha -3.54 3.01%
142 Houston Baptist -3.58 1.15%
143 Elon -3.64 2.94%
144 Penn St. -3.65 3.10%
145 Navy -3.73 1.29%
146 New Mexico St. -3.81 1.30%
147 UNC Asheville -3.81 1.49%
148 Illinois -3.84 2.58%
149 Fordham -3.96 0.66%
150 Tennessee -3.99 2.56%
151 East Tennessee St. -4.05 1.25%
152 TCU -4.06 1.53%
153 Wagner -4.14 0.35%
154 Green Bay -4.20 1.07%
155 Auburn -4.24 1.67%
156 Wright St. -4.24 0.78%
157 Utah St. -4.25 0.78%
158 UCF -4.26 0.57%
159 Hampton -4.28 0.41%
160 UC Santa Barbara -4.30 1.73%
161 Indiana St. -4.47 1.03%
162 Ball St. -4.48 0.51%
163 Fairfield -4.50 0.67%
164 Iona -4.51 0.57%
165 Vermont -4.60 0.61%
166 Mississippi St. -4.63 0.51%
167 Bowling Green -4.68 0.38%
168 Cornell -4.69 0.39%
169 Incarnate Word -4.80 0.02%
170 Northern Iowa -4.87 0.61%
171 Coastal Carolina -4.88 0.20%
172 Northeastern -4.92 0.75%
173 Old Dominion -4.93 0.38%
174 Central Michigan -4.97 0.30%
175 Morehead St. -5.13 0.18%
176 Radford -5.22 0.29%
177 Marshall -5.36 0.30%
178 Texas Southern -5.43 0.08%
179 Colorado St. -5.44 0.12%
180 Illinois St. -5.48 0.20%
181 Bucknell -5.55 0.10%
182 Idaho -5.57 0.09%
183 Washington St. -5.58 0.15%
184 New Hampshire -5.59 0.03%
185 East Carolina -5.65 0.20%
186 Toledo -5.66 0.11%
187 Eastern Michigan -5.71 0.08%
188 Oral Roberts -5.71 0.20%
189 San Francisco -5.74 0.05%
190 Missouri -5.95 0.07%
191 Furman -5.98 0.05%
192 Western Kentucky -6.10 0.05%
193 Jackson St. -6.11 0.01%
194 Army -6.18 0.01%
195 Louisiana Monroe -6.25 0.03%
196 Florida Gulf Coast -6.27 0.01%
197 DePaul -6.30 0.10%
198 NJIT -6.37 0.03%
199 Texas St. -6.38 0.00%
200 IUPUI -6.42 0.07%
201 Cal Poly -6.53 0.01%
202 Harvard -6.54 0.01%
203 Murray St. -6.58 0.03%
204 Detroit -6.59 0.01%
205 South Carolina St. -6.62 0.01%
206 Wofford -6.68 0.01%
207 Eastern Washington -6.71 0.01%
208 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.78 0.00%
209 Loyola Marymount -6.79 0.02%
210 Samford -6.81 0.01%
211 Loyola Chicago -6.84 0.01%
212 Saint Peter’s -6.85 0.01%
213 Arkansas St. -6.88 0.01%
214 Northern Kentucky -6.95 0.00%
215 Wyoming -6.98 0.03%
216 Massachusetts -6.99 0.01%
217 Sam Houston St. -7.02 0.00%
218 Boston College -7.03 0.00%
219 North Dakota -7.05 0.00%
220 Gardner Webb -7.06 0.00%
221 Idaho St. -7.10 0.00%
222 Manhattan -7.11 0.00%
223 Jacksonville -7.13 0.00%
224 Sacramento St. -7.13 0.00%
225 UTEP -7.26 0.00%
226 Colgate -7.32 0.00%
227 UC Davis -7.32 0.00%
228 George Mason -7.35 0.01%
229 Penn -7.39 0.00%
230 Saint Louis -7.41 0.01%
231 South Alabama -7.51 0.00%
232 Western Michigan -7.52 0.00%
233 Alabama A&M -7.52 0.00%
234 Missouri St. -7.55 0.01%
235 Denver -7.56 0.00%
236 St. Francis PA -7.60 0.00%
237 South Dakota -7.61 0.01%
238 UC Riverside -7.62 0.00%
239 Howard -7.63 0.00%
240 St. John’s -7.69 0.00%
241 Western Illinois -7.70 0.00%
242 Seattle -7.71 0.00%
243 Air Force -7.75 0.00%
244 Tennessee Martin -7.78 0.00%
245 Canisius -7.80 0.00%
246 Boston University -7.84 0.00%
247 Georgia Southern -7.84 0.00%
248 Eastern Kentucky -7.86 0.00%
249 Youngstown St. -7.91 0.00%
250 UMKC -7.93 0.00%
251 Rutgers -7.94 0.00%
252 FIU -7.97 0.00%
253 Dartmouth -7.98 0.00%
254 Brown -7.99 0.00%
255 Tulane -8.09 0.00%
256 Norfolk St. -8.12 0.00%
257 Montana St. -8.25 0.00%
258 La Salle -8.29 0.00%
259 McNeese St. -8.29 0.00%
260 Mount St. Mary’s -8.36 0.00%
261 Lehigh -8.52 0.00%
262 Western Carolina -8.56 0.00%
263 Eastern Illinois -8.57 0.00%
264 Savannah St. -8.58 0.00%
265 Rider -8.62 0.00%
266 Utah Valley -8.63 0.00%
267 New Orleans -8.72 0.00%
268 Alcorn St. -8.75 0.00%
269 Holy Cross -8.81 0.00%
270 Cal St. Fullerton -8.84 0.00%
271 Minnesota -8.87 0.00%
272 Lamar -8.90 0.00%
273 LIU Brooklyn -8.94 0.00%
274 Pacific -8.96 0.00%
275 Charlotte -8.96 0.00%
276 Portland St. -9.05 0.00%
277 Southern Miss -9.06 0.00%
278 Charleston Southern -9.09 0.00%
279 Abilene Christian -9.11 0.00%
280 The Citadel -9.15 0.00%
281 San Diego -9.28 0.00%
282 Austin Peay -9.31 0.00%
283 Miami OH -9.33 0.00%
284 Central Arkansas -9.37 0.00%
285 UNC Greensboro -9.42 0.00%
286 Presbyterian -9.45 0.00%
287 Northern Colorado -9.50 0.00%
288 Appalachian St. -9.54 0.00%
289 Coppin St. -9.61 0.00%
290 Santa Clara -9.65 0.00%
291 UMass Lowell -9.72 0.00%
292 Maine -9.76 0.00%
293 Cal St. Northridge -9.77 0.00%
294 Quinnipiac -9.78 0.00%
295 Loyola MD -9.89 0.00%
296 Maryland Eastern Shore -9.91 0.00%
297 Alabama St. -10.05 0.00%
298 VMI -10.14 0.00%
299 Grambling St. -10.18 0.00%
300 Delaware -10.20 0.00%
301 Campbell -10.20 0.00%
302 Northwestern St. -10.28 0.00%
303 Rice -10.28 0.00%
304 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.34 0.00%
305 North Texas -10.37 0.00%
306 Cleveland St. -10.42 0.00%
307 Portland -10.49 0.00%
308 Kennesaw St. -10.52 0.00%
309 Liberty -10.61 0.00%
310 American -10.65 0.00%
311 South Florida -10.74 0.00%
312 St. Francis NY -10.75 0.00%
313 Stetson -10.77 0.00%
314 Southern Utah -10.80 0.00%
315 Bethune Cookman -10.84 0.00%
316 Drake -10.86 0.00%
317 North Carolina Central -10.94 0.00%
318 Florida Atlantic -10.95 0.00%
319 Morgan St. -11.01 0.00%
320 Sacred Heart -11.11 0.00%
321 Nicholls St. -11.12 0.00%
322 Lafayette -11.14 0.00%
323 Troy -11.16 0.00%
324 Bryant -11.17 0.00%
325 Florida A&M -11.33 0.00%
326 San Jose St. -11.36 0.00%
327 UT Rio Grande Valley -11.71 0.00%
328 Northern Arizona -11.86 0.00%
329 Southeastern Louisiana -11.95 0.00%
330 Binghamton -12.04 0.00%
331 USC Upstate -12.12 0.00%
332 Drexel -12.15 0.00%
333 Hartford -12.20 0.00%
334 Lipscomb -12.28 0.00%
335 Marist -12.43 0.00%
336 Niagara -12.45 0.00%
337 Southeast Missouri St. -12.62 0.00%
338 Robert Morris -12.76 0.00%
339 Jacksonville St. -12.79 0.00%
340 Bradley -12.94 0.00%
341 North Carolina A&T -12.97 0.00%
342 SIU Edwardsville -13.05 0.00%
343 Longwood -13.24 0.00%
344 Delaware St. -13.26 0.00%
345 Prairie View A&M -13.62 0.00%
346 Mississippi Valley St. -13.74 0.00%
347 UTSA -13.83 0.00%
348 Illinois Chicago -14.12 0.00%
349 UMBC -14.17 0.00%
350 Chicago St. -14.71 0.00%
351 Central Connecticut -16.44 0.00%

 

 

A nice win over Notre Dame has put the Orange within range of an at-large tournament bid. There’s still a lot of work left to be done though:

 

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Oklahoma 5.99 99.95%
2 Villanova 4.59 99.40%
3 Xavier 4.56 99.44%
4 North Carolina 4.53 99.34%
5 Iowa 3.91 98.46%
6 Maryland 3.86 98.67%
7 West Virginia 3.84 98.24%
8 Michigan St. 3.69 97.17%
9 Iowa St. 3.68 97.49%
10 SMU 3.55 98.42%
11 Texas A&M 3.53 96.78%
12 Kansas 3.47 97.16%
13 Virginia 3.40 95.91%
14 Miami FL 3.09 95.23%
15 Oregon 3.05 94.02%
16 Providence 2.87 94.67%
17 Baylor 2.72 94.73%
18 South Carolina 2.72 94.19%
19 Dayton 2.70 93.52%
20 Purdue 2.59 91.73%
21 Louisville 2.48 93.05%
22 Utah 2.38 89.26%
23 Kentucky 2.13 87.40%
24 Arkansas Little Rock 2.03 89.62%
25 Saint Joseph’s 1.97 86.66%
26 USC 1.78 82.02%
27 Michigan 1.66 82.95%
28 Arizona 1.55 79.22%
29 Pittsburgh 1.32 77.74%
30 Valparaiso 1.28 75.39%
31 Grand Canyon 1.21 79.40%
32 Indiana 1.19 73.78%
33 Saint Mary’s 1.10 75.21%
34 Chattanooga 1.08 74.24%
35 Duke 1.06 69.80%
36 Colorado 1.03 70.32%
37 Evansville 0.97 70.35%
38 Texas 0.85 66.29%
39 Florida St. 0.67 64.45%
40 Butler 0.67 64.48%
41 Cincinnati 0.62 62.27%
42 UC Irvine 0.57 61.99%
43 Hawaii 0.55 64.33%
44 Monmouth 0.54 60.76%
45 Wichita St. 0.49 59.81%
46 Notre Dame 0.46 59.52%
47 Florida 0.45 59.13%
48 VCU 0.34 56.63%
49 Akron 0.22 53.99%
50 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.22 55.10%
51 Seton Hall 0.19 53.59%
52 Gonzaga 0.15 52.17%
53 Syracuse -0.03 49.10%
54 Connecticut -0.03 48.75%
55 Washington -0.06 47.92%
56 Texas Tech -0.11 47.03%
57 Princeton -0.16 44.57%
58 George Washington -0.21 44.04%
59 California -0.28 43.52%
60 Clemson -0.38 41.30%
61 Kansas St. -0.39 40.84%
62 Boise St. -0.41 40.21%
63 Stony Brook -0.45 37.26%
64 San Diego St. -0.58 36.74%
65 South Dakota St. -0.63 35.14%
66 Georgetown -0.71 35.09%
67 Northwestern -0.74 33.17%
68 Southern Illinois -0.75 30.94%
69 Vanderbilt -0.80 33.03%
70 IPFW -0.81 31.30%
71 Creighton -0.82 31.94%
72 Georgia Tech -0.83 32.71%
73 Hofstra -0.83 32.08%
74 LSU -0.83 32.03%
75 Belmont -0.91 29.52%
76 Alabama -0.91 31.43%
77 North Florida -1.01 25.76%
78 Tulsa -1.05 28.72%
79 Northern Illinois -1.06 23.27%
80 UCLA -1.09 29.48%
81 UAB -1.09 23.54%
82 Oregon St. -1.09 27.33%
83 Stanford -1.12 27.02%
84 Davidson -1.13 24.29%
85 Marquette -1.17 24.67%
86 William & Mary -1.18 23.92%
87 Kent St. -1.21 22.07%
88 BYU -1.24 24.71%
89 Yale -1.33 16.40%
90 UT Arlington -1.34 19.53%
91 Ohio St. -1.36 22.07%
92 Arizona St. -1.38 24.41%
93 James Madison -1.39 20.91%
94 Wake Forest -1.44 23.02%
95 Wisconsin -1.45 22.18%
96 UNC Wilmington -1.45 18.53%
97 Houston -1.47 18.34%
98 Georgia -1.51 20.20%
99 St. Bonaventure -1.56 17.94%
100 Temple -1.61 18.94%
101 Mississippi -1.88 14.83%
102 Louisiana Tech -1.93 10.44%
103 Fresno St. -2.01 11.74%
104 Middle Tennessee -2.02 12.08%
105 Virginia Tech -2.04 12.90%
106 Stephen F. Austin -2.10 6.54%
107 Richmond -2.23 10.79%
108 Nebraska -2.24 9.78%
109 Mercer -2.28 8.36%
110 UNLV -2.36 9.62%
111 College of Charleston -2.40 8.55%
112 Memphis -2.41 6.83%
113 Duquesne -2.44 7.95%
114 Pepperdine -2.46 8.87%
115 Oakland -2.47 8.25%
116 Albany -2.51 5.62%
117 Siena -2.56 7.41%
118 Rhode Island -2.69 6.79%
119 Columbia -2.77 3.42%
120 Winthrop -2.84 3.47%
121 Navy -2.84 3.94%
122 Georgia St. -2.85 3.95%
123 Tennessee Tech -2.86 4.10%
124 Milwaukee -2.98 3.78%
125 Oklahoma St. -3.16 4.03%
126 Arkansas -3.16 5.37%
127 North Carolina St. -3.18 5.61%
128 Tennessee St. -3.23 2.01%
129 Nevada -3.25 3.33%
130 New Mexico -3.26 3.10%
131 Penn St. -3.28 4.11%
132 Montana -3.30 1.59%
133 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.31 1.85%
134 Ohio -3.32 2.59%
135 East Tennessee St. -3.33 2.79%
136 Southern -3.36 1.87%
137 Towson -3.38 2.51%
138 Tennessee -3.38 4.38%
139 Weber St. -3.40 1.65%
140 High Point -3.48 1.56%
141 North Dakota St. -3.48 1.90%
142 Utah St. -3.50 2.04%
143 Indiana St. -3.52 3.05%
144 Auburn -3.55 3.34%
145 Green Bay -3.58 2.06%
146 Buffalo -3.58 2.02%
147 Louisiana Lafayette -3.60 1.30%
148 Wright St. -3.62 1.54%
149 Nebraska Omaha -3.64 2.44%
150 Houston Baptist -3.77 0.70%
151 New Mexico St. -3.78 1.33%
152 Illinois -3.82 2.66%
153 Ball St. -3.84 0.99%
154 UNC Asheville -3.86 1.32%
155 Bowling Green -3.93 0.93%
156 Elon -3.95 1.78%
157 Vermont -4.12 0.99%
158 Northeastern -4.12 1.80%
159 Long Beach St. -4.17 1.96%
160 UCF -4.18 0.65%
161 Fordham -4.19 0.34%
162 Wagner -4.38 0.17%
163 TCU -4.40 0.75%
164 Hampton -4.41 0.25%
165 Marshall -4.48 0.88%
166 Radford -4.56 0.61%
167 Colorado St. -4.60 0.36%
168 Illinois St. -4.72 0.54%
169 Harvard -4.73 0.15%
170 Northern Iowa -4.75 0.70%
171 Iona -4.76 0.31%
172 Fairfield -4.79 0.35%
173 Toledo -4.79 0.37%
174 UC Santa Barbara -4.80 0.76%
175 Coastal Carolina -4.82 0.20%
176 Incarnate Word -4.82 0.01%
177 Eastern Michigan -4.88 0.25%
178 Mississippi St. -4.89 0.26%
179 East Carolina -4.99 0.46%
180 Central Michigan -5.05 0.22%
181 Western Kentucky -5.20 0.18%
182 Morehead St. -5.20 0.13%
183 Old Dominion -5.23 0.18%
184 Cornell -5.23 0.08%
185 Washington St. -5.25 0.20%
186 Missouri -5.30 0.16%
187 Army -5.43 0.04%
188 San Francisco -5.45 0.06%
189 Cal Poly -5.53 0.06%
190 Texas Southern -5.54 0.05%
191 Idaho -5.60 0.08%
192 Detroit -5.62 0.07%
193 Florida Gulf Coast -5.64 0.03%
194 Texas St. -5.66 0.01%
195 New Hampshire -5.68 0.02%
196 Murray St. -5.73 0.12%
197 Oral Roberts -5.73 0.20%
198 Loyola Marymount -5.75 0.09%
199 Bucknell -5.80 0.05%
200 DePaul -5.93 0.15%
201 Arkansas St. -5.94 0.03%
202 Furman -6.03 0.04%
203 Massachusetts -6.09 0.05%
204 Samford -6.10 0.01%
205 North Dakota -6.13 0.01%
206 Penn -6.15 0.00%
207 Sam Houston St. -6.15 0.01%
208 Jackson St. -6.23 0.01%
209 Dartmouth -6.26 0.00%
210 Louisiana Monroe -6.32 0.02%
211 Sacramento St. -6.37 0.00%
212 Saint Peter’s -6.50 0.01%
213 Saint Louis -6.51 0.02%
214 IUPUI -6.51 0.05%
215 Colgate -6.53 0.01%
216 Manhattan -6.55 0.01%
217 NJIT -6.59 0.01%
218 Howard -6.63 0.00%
219 Wofford -6.69 0.01%
220 South Carolina St. -6.70 0.01%
221 Boston College -6.72 0.01%
222 Eastern Washington -6.77 0.00%
223 Air Force -6.79 0.01%
224 Denver -6.87 0.01%
225 South Dakota -6.88 0.03%
226 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.90 0.00%
227 Western Illinois -6.96 0.00%
228 Eastern Kentucky -6.96 0.00%
229 Loyola Chicago -7.02 0.00%
230 FIU -7.05 0.00%
231 Wyoming -7.07 0.02%
232 Gardner Webb -7.07 0.00%
233 Idaho St. -7.10 0.00%
234 Canisius -7.12 0.01%
235 Northern Kentucky -7.16 0.00%
236 UTEP -7.23 0.00%
237 Jacksonville -7.23 0.00%
238 Norfolk St. -7.24 0.00%
239 UC Davis -7.25 0.00%
240 Montana St. -7.41 0.00%
241 McNeese St. -7.45 0.00%
242 Brown -7.46 0.00%
243 George Mason -7.47 0.01%
244 Alabama A&M -7.48 0.00%
245 Mount St. Mary’s -7.53 0.00%
246 UC Riverside -7.56 0.00%
247 Tulane -7.59 0.00%
248 Youngstown St. -7.61 0.00%
249 Western Michigan -7.64 0.00%
250 Savannah St. -7.65 0.00%
251 South Alabama -7.66 0.00%
252 Missouri St. -7.68 0.00%
253 St. John’s -7.70 0.00%
254 Utah Valley -7.71 0.00%
255 St. Francis PA -7.74 0.00%
256 Western Carolina -7.76 0.00%
257 Boston University -7.84 0.00%
258 Cal St. Fullerton -7.84 0.00%
259 Rutgers -7.89 0.00%
260 Alcorn St. -7.95 0.00%
261 LIU Brooklyn -7.96 0.00%
262 Tennessee Martin -7.96 0.00%
263 UMKC -7.97 0.00%
264 La Salle -7.97 0.00%
265 Lamar -7.99 0.00%
266 Charlotte -8.02 0.00%
267 Georgia Southern -8.03 0.00%
268 Portland St. -8.15 0.00%
269 Charleston Southern -8.21 0.00%
270 Seattle -8.27 0.00%
271 Minnesota -8.44 0.00%
272 Pacific -8.47 0.00%
273 Presbyterian -8.54 0.00%
274 Eastern Illinois -8.57 0.00%
275 Coppin St. -8.59 0.00%
276 Lehigh -8.67 0.00%
277 Appalachian St. -8.75 0.00%
278 Rider -8.76 0.00%
279 New Orleans -8.78 0.00%
280 UNC Greensboro -8.83 0.00%
281 Holy Cross -8.88 0.00%
282 Southern Miss -9.07 0.00%
283 The Citadel -9.11 0.00%
284 Abilene Christian -9.21 0.00%
285 VMI -9.21 0.00%
286 Austin Peay -9.25 0.00%
287 Grambling St. -9.28 0.00%
288 Alabama St. -9.28 0.00%
289 Central Arkansas -9.34 0.00%
290 Campbell -9.37 0.00%
291 North Texas -9.42 0.00%
292 San Diego -9.42 0.00%
293 Miami OH -9.45 0.00%
294 Cleveland St. -9.47 0.00%
295 Delaware -9.51 0.00%
296 Portland -9.52 0.00%
297 Kennesaw St. -9.57 0.00%
298 Northern Colorado -9.64 0.00%
299 Santa Clara -9.75 0.00%
300 Cal St. Northridge -9.76 0.00%
301 UMass Lowell -9.86 0.00%
302 Maine -9.89 0.00%
303 Quinnipiac -9.89 0.00%
304 Loyola MD -9.97 0.00%
305 Stetson -10.01 0.00%
306 Southern Utah -10.07 0.00%
307 Maryland Eastern Shore -10.12 0.00%
308 Bryant -10.23 0.00%
309 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.26 0.00%
310 Northwestern St. -10.32 0.00%
311 Rice -10.33 0.00%
312 Nicholls St. -10.37 0.00%
313 Lafayette -10.39 0.00%
314 Florida A&M -10.41 0.00%
315 Liberty -10.76 0.00%
316 St. Francis NY -10.78 0.00%
317 Bethune Cookman -10.80 0.00%
318 Drake -10.86 0.00%
319 South Florida -10.89 0.00%
320 American -10.91 0.00%
321 Northern Arizona -10.94 0.00%
322 North Carolina Central -10.96 0.00%
323 UT Rio Grande Valley -10.98 0.00%
324 Florida Atlantic -11.01 0.00%
325 Southeastern Louisiana -11.08 0.00%
326 Morgan St. -11.18 0.00%
327 Binghamton -11.21 0.00%
328 Sacred Heart -11.23 0.00%
329 Troy -11.26 0.00%
330 Hartford -11.37 0.00%
331 Lipscomb -11.42 0.00%
332 San Jose St. -11.48 0.00%
333 Drexel -11.49 0.00%
334 Niagara -11.67 0.00%
335 Southeast Missouri St. -11.70 0.00%
336 Marist -11.83 0.00%
337 Jacksonville St. -11.87 0.00%
338 Robert Morris -12.00 0.00%
339 SIU Edwardsville -12.01 0.00%
340 Bradley -12.10 0.00%
341 USC Upstate -12.22 0.00%
342 Delaware St. -12.32 0.00%
343 Longwood -12.58 0.00%
344 Prairie View A&M -12.69 0.00%
345 Mississippi Valley St. -12.72 0.00%
346 UTSA -12.89 0.00%
347 North Carolina A&T -13.04 0.00%
348 UMBC -13.24 0.00%
349 Chicago St. -13.79 0.00%
350 Illinois Chicago -14.13 0.00%
351 Central Connecticut -15.54 0.00%

I’m not sure how many of you have seen this by Jason Lisk:

Comparing Teams Viewed Differently by RPI and Pomeroy Ratings

I’ve been on the Death to the RPI bandwagon for a long time due to what it measures:

RPI = (WP * 0.25) + (OWP * 0.50) + (OOWP * 0.25)

where WP is Winning Percentage, OWP is Opponents’ Winning Percentage and OOWP is Opponents’ Opponents’ Winning Percentage.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rating_Percentage_Index#Basketball_formula

“The RPI formula also has many flaws. Due to the heavy weighting of opponents winning percentage, beating a team with a bad RPI may actually hurt your RPI. In addition, losing to a good RPI team can help your RPI. That’s right, LOSING games against good teams may help your RPI.”

The above sin could be pardoned if we took MoV into account, but not as RPI is currently calculated. RPI is 75% a (poor) measure of strength of schedule. That inherently favors teams with scheduling power and hurts teams without it. That is also why RPI is the de facto measuring stick the committee uses (although not directly). You’ll hear a lot about records vs. various sections of the RPI (3-3 vs. the top 50, 7-4 vs. the top 100, etc). That is generally how RPI is used, and it’s still a complete disaster.

The Kenpom ratings that Jason is referring to are the Pythagorean ratings. Those tell you how well (or poorly) teams have performed over every possession they’ve played throughout the season.

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/ratings_glossary

So if RPI measures SoS, and Pyth measures how well a team has played overall, what is then is the point of WAB and Percentile? The answer in a single word is: Resume. I want to measure how good each team’s “Body of work” is:

http://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2012-02-15/qa-jeff-hathaway

Every game counts. The games in December count as much as the games in February.

 

I’d like to focus on Arkansas-Little Rock for a moment. They’re 58th in the RPI and have the 44th best Pyth rating, but neither of those is a measure of resume. If you were to put an average bubble quality squad through Arkansas-Little Rock’s schedule so far, they’d average 15 wins. At 17-2 Arkansas-Little Rock has earned their way into the 24th spot in the WAB rankings. Grand Canyon is also performing very well against their schedule, coming in at 36th in WAB. They’re 93rd in the RPI, and have the 85th best Pyth rating.

There is a psychological bias against rewarding teams for winning games they are expected to win, as well as a bias against punishing teams for losing games they are expected to lose. There is an opposing bias as well, punishing teams for losing games they are expected to win (bad losses), and rewarding teams for unexpected victories (good wins).  If a bubble team goes 9-1 in ten games where they’d have an average expected win percentage of 80%, is the net effective result simply one bad loss? If so, then the process is both biased and absurd. WAB is neither:

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Oklahoma 5.97 99.95%
2 Villanova 4.60 99.41%
3 Xavier 4.55 99.44%
4 North Carolina 4.51 99.30%
5 Iowa 4.04 98.92%
6 West Virginia 3.78 98.10%
7 Iowa St. 3.64 97.39%
8 SMU 3.54 98.39%
9 Texas A&M 3.48 96.56%
10 Kansas 3.44 96.97%
11 Virginia 3.40 95.93%
12 Michigan St. 3.20 95.57%
13 Maryland 3.07 96.35%
14 Miami FL 3.01 94.78%
15 Providence 2.83 94.47%
16 South Carolina 2.73 94.27%
17 Dayton 2.69 93.46%
18 Baylor 2.68 94.39%
19 Purdue 2.58 91.68%
20 Louisville 2.47 92.76%
21 Utah 2.31 88.51%
22 Oregon 2.28 88.08%
23 Kentucky 2.09 87.06%
24 Arkansas Little Rock 2.00 89.55%
25 Saint Joseph’s 1.89 85.67%
26 Arizona 1.89 85.03%
27 Michigan 1.64 82.63%
28 USC 1.62 80.23%
29 Pittsburgh 1.30 77.54%
30 Indiana 1.25 74.73%
31 Valparaiso 1.18 73.74%
32 Saint Mary’s 1.12 75.55%
33 Chattanooga 1.05 73.70%
34 Duke 1.03 69.28%
35 Colorado 1.00 69.65%
36 Grand Canyon 0.94 74.14%
37 Notre Dame 0.85 68.46%
38 Texas 0.84 66.18%
39 Butler 0.67 64.47%
40 Florida St. 0.66 64.14%
41 George Washington 0.60 62.30%
42 Monmouth 0.57 61.49%
43 Hawaii 0.55 64.40%
44 Evansville 0.54 61.62%
45 UC Irvine 0.52 60.91%
46 Wichita St. 0.51 60.31%
47 Connecticut 0.45 59.54%
48 Florida 0.39 57.66%
49 VCU 0.29 55.49%
50 Seton Hall 0.28 55.73%
51 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.24 55.66%
52 Akron 0.19 53.17%
53 Gonzaga 0.08 50.70%
54 Southern Illinois -0.03 46.97%
55 Cincinnati -0.04 48.37%
56 Texas Tech -0.16 46.03%
57 Princeton -0.18 43.94%
58 UAB -0.27 41.02%
59 California -0.33 42.55%
60 UCLA -0.38 42.05%
61 Kansas St. -0.41 40.59%
62 Boise St. -0.41 40.11%
63 Stony Brook -0.42 37.78%
64 Northwestern -0.43 39.28%
65 Clemson -0.44 40.00%
66 San Diego St. -0.57 36.95%
67 UT Arlington -0.57 34.35%
68 Syracuse -0.58 37.34%
69 Washington -0.61 35.98%
70 Oregon St. -0.66 34.94%
71 Georgetown -0.78 33.70%
72 James Madison -0.78 30.91%
73 Vanderbilt -0.80 33.15%
74 Georgia Tech -0.81 32.93%
75 Creighton -0.82 31.82%
76 South Dakota St. -0.84 30.63%
77 LSU -0.87 31.38%
78 Alabama -0.95 30.78%
79 North Florida -1.00 25.98%
80 Tulsa -1.02 29.35%
81 Hofstra -1.03 27.96%
82 IPFW -1.03 26.47%
83 Northern Illinois -1.04 23.67%
84 Belmont -1.07 26.28%
85 Stanford -1.13 26.89%
86 Marquette -1.18 24.42%
87 Davidson -1.20 22.79%
88 Kent St. -1.21 22.10%
89 Middle Tennessee -1.28 21.67%
90 Yale -1.29 17.03%
91 BYU -1.35 22.60%
92 William & Mary -1.38 19.96%
93 Houston -1.50 17.93%
94 Wisconsin -1.50 21.53%
95 Wake Forest -1.50 22.08%
96 Georgia -1.52 20.05%
97 St. Bonaventure -1.59 17.51%
98 Ohio St. -1.64 16.97%
99 Temple -1.65 18.45%
100 Arizona St. -1.70 18.85%
101 Mississippi -1.88 14.77%
102 Louisiana Tech -1.96 9.91%
103 UNC Wilmington -1.98 10.62%
104 Virginia Tech -1.98 13.60%
105 Fresno St. -2.00 11.79%
106 Georgia St. -2.01 9.39%
107 Stephen F. Austin -2.12 6.40%
108 Nebraska -2.26 9.71%
109 UNLV -2.33 9.88%
110 Mercer -2.35 7.66%
111 Memphis -2.38 7.14%
112 Duquesne -2.42 8.04%
113 Albany -2.49 5.78%
114 Oakland -2.52 7.94%
115 Siena -2.52 7.78%
116 Tennessee St. -2.53 4.39%
117 Pepperdine -2.57 7.62%
118 East Tennessee St. -2.58 6.05%
119 College of Charleston -2.68 5.80%
120 Richmond -2.72 5.92%
121 Columbia -2.73 3.65%
122 Rhode Island -2.77 6.13%
123 Cal St. Bakersfield -2.82 3.06%
124 Winthrop -2.86 3.30%
125 Navy -2.91 3.59%
126 Milwaukee -2.96 3.92%
127 Tennessee Tech -3.00 3.14%
128 Nebraska Omaha -3.16 3.75%
129 Arkansas -3.17 5.30%
130 Oklahoma St. -3.19 3.89%
131 Illinois -3.19 4.78%
132 Nevada -3.22 3.41%
133 North Carolina St. -3.23 5.27%
134 New Mexico -3.24 3.18%
135 Penn St. -3.28 4.17%
136 Southern -3.34 1.90%
137 Ohio -3.35 2.46%
138 Montana -3.36 1.44%
139 Tennessee -3.36 4.52%
140 Weber St. -3.42 1.56%
141 Utah St. -3.48 2.12%
142 North Dakota St. -3.48 1.91%
143 Elon -3.51 2.62%
144 High Point -3.53 1.43%
145 Auburn -3.54 3.41%
146 Indiana St. -3.55 2.97%
147 Towson -3.55 1.77%
148 Green Bay -3.57 2.11%
149 Northeastern -3.60 2.91%
150 Wright St. -3.61 1.59%
151 Buffalo -3.62 1.91%
152 Louisiana Lafayette -3.70 0.93%
153 New Mexico St. -3.74 1.45%
154 UNC Asheville -3.85 1.33%
155 Ball St. -3.87 0.95%
156 Houston Baptist -3.88 0.54%
157 Bowling Green -3.96 0.89%
158 Vermont -4.11 1.02%
159 Fordham -4.14 0.35%
160 UCF -4.16 0.67%
161 UC Santa Barbara -4.27 1.27%
162 Long Beach St. -4.36 1.35%
163 TCU -4.46 0.68%
164 Hampton -4.47 0.21%
165 Wagner -4.50 0.11%
166 Colorado St. -4.57 0.39%
167 Radford -4.57 0.59%
168 Cal Poly -4.62 0.27%
169 Idaho -4.66 0.34%
170 Marshall -4.74 0.49%
171 Illinois St. -4.74 0.53%
172 Harvard -4.74 0.14%
173 Toledo -4.77 0.38%
174 Iona -4.78 0.29%
175 Northern Iowa -4.79 0.67%
176 Fairfield -4.82 0.32%
177 Incarnate Word -4.84 0.01%
178 Washington St. -4.84 0.31%
179 Coastal Carolina -4.87 0.18%
180 Oral Roberts -4.90 0.55%
181 Mississippi St. -4.91 0.25%
182 Eastern Michigan -4.91 0.24%
183 Texas St. -4.95 0.04%
184 East Carolina -4.97 0.46%
185 Central Michigan -5.06 0.21%
186 Cornell -5.19 0.09%
187 Morehead St. -5.19 0.13%
188 Missouri -5.23 0.18%
189 Loyola Marymount -5.34 0.14%
190 Army -5.37 0.05%
191 Old Dominion -5.38 0.12%
192 Western Kentucky -5.52 0.07%
193 Texas Southern -5.58 0.05%
194 Detroit -5.63 0.07%
195 Florida Gulf Coast -5.63 0.03%
196 San Francisco -5.65 0.03%
197 Saint Peter’s -5.65 0.03%
198 New Hampshire -5.66 0.02%
199 Murray St. -5.70 0.13%
200 Bucknell -5.80 0.05%
201 DePaul -5.82 0.19%
202 South Dakota -6.06 0.10%
203 Massachusetts -6.08 0.05%
204 Arkansas St. -6.09 0.02%
205 Samford -6.11 0.01%
206 Sam Houston St. -6.12 0.01%
207 North Dakota -6.13 0.01%
208 Penn -6.17 0.00%
209 FIU -6.17 0.01%
210 UTEP -6.19 0.01%
211 Furman -6.20 0.02%
212 Dartmouth -6.24 0.00%
213 Jackson St. -6.27 0.00%
214 Saint Louis -6.47 0.03%
215 IUPUI -6.50 0.05%
216 Sacramento St. -6.52 0.00%
217 Manhattan -6.54 0.01%
218 Colgate -6.55 0.01%
219 NJIT -6.58 0.01%
220 Howard -6.65 0.00%
221 Louisiana Monroe -6.69 0.01%
222 South Carolina St. -6.73 0.01%
223 Boston College -6.74 0.01%
224 Air Force -6.77 0.01%
225 Utah Valley -6.79 0.00%
226 St. Francis PA -6.84 0.00%
227 Wofford -6.87 0.00%
228 Eastern Washington -6.90 0.00%
229 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.92 0.00%
230 Western Illinois -6.95 0.00%
231 Eastern Kentucky -6.99 0.00%
232 Loyola Chicago -7.00 0.00%
233 Denver -7.02 0.01%
234 Gardner Webb -7.03 0.00%
235 Western Carolina -7.06 0.00%
236 Tennessee Martin -7.07 0.00%
237 Canisius -7.07 0.01%
238 Idaho St. -7.08 0.00%
239 Wyoming -7.09 0.02%
240 Northern Kentucky -7.18 0.00%
241 UC Davis -7.25 0.00%
242 Jacksonville -7.27 0.00%
243 Norfolk St. -7.28 0.00%
244 Portland St. -7.35 0.00%
245 Brown -7.37 0.00%
246 Montana St. -7.44 0.00%
247 McNeese St. -7.46 0.00%
248 George Mason -7.49 0.01%
249 Alabama A&M -7.51 0.00%
250 Tulane -7.60 0.00%
251 Mount St. Mary’s -7.61 0.00%
252 Georgia Southern -7.62 0.00%
253 South Alabama -7.63 0.00%
254 Youngstown St. -7.64 0.00%
255 Western Michigan -7.67 0.00%
256 Missouri St. -7.67 0.00%
257 Savannah St. -7.70 0.00%
258 St. John’s -7.73 0.00%
259 Cal St. Fullerton -7.82 0.00%
260 Boston University -7.83 0.00%
261 Rutgers -7.87 0.00%
262 Alcorn St. -7.90 0.00%
263 UC Riverside -7.93 0.00%
264 LIU Brooklyn -7.95 0.00%
265 UMKC -7.96 0.00%
266 Lamar -8.02 0.00%
267 La Salle -8.04 0.00%
268 The Citadel -8.24 0.00%
269 Charleston Southern -8.26 0.00%
270 Charlotte -8.33 0.00%
271 Seattle -8.41 0.00%
272 Minnesota -8.47 0.00%
273 Pacific -8.49 0.00%
274 VMI -8.56 0.00%
275 Presbyterian -8.61 0.00%
276 Coppin St. -8.64 0.00%
277 Portland -8.64 0.00%
278 San Diego -8.65 0.00%
279 Eastern Illinois -8.68 0.00%
280 Lehigh -8.69 0.00%
281 New Orleans -8.77 0.00%
282 Holy Cross -8.86 0.00%
283 Appalachian St. -8.87 0.00%
284 Delaware -8.88 0.00%
285 Rider -8.93 0.00%
286 UNC Greensboro -8.99 0.00%
287 Southern Miss -9.14 0.00%
288 Southern Utah -9.16 0.00%
289 Abilene Christian -9.21 0.00%
290 Grambling St. -9.23 0.00%
291 Austin Peay -9.23 0.00%
292 Bryant -9.23 0.00%
293 North Texas -9.28 0.00%
294 Cleveland St. -9.30 0.00%
295 Alabama St. -9.30 0.00%
296 Central Arkansas -9.31 0.00%
297 Santa Clara -9.34 0.00%
298 Quinnipiac -9.36 0.00%
299 Campbell -9.42 0.00%
300 Miami OH -9.46 0.00%
301 Kennesaw St. -9.63 0.00%
302 Northern Colorado -9.65 0.00%
303 Cal St. Northridge -9.70 0.00%
304 UMass Lowell -9.77 0.00%
305 Maine -9.87 0.00%
306 St. Francis NY -9.91 0.00%
307 Loyola MD -9.94 0.00%
308 Stetson -10.05 0.00%
309 Maryland Eastern Shore -10.22 0.00%
310 Troy -10.25 0.00%
311 Florida Atlantic -10.27 0.00%
312 Rice -10.28 0.00%
313 Lafayette -10.29 0.00%
314 Northern Arizona -10.29 0.00%
315 Northwestern St. -10.32 0.00%
316 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.33 0.00%
317 Florida A&M -10.36 0.00%
318 Nicholls St. -10.37 0.00%
319 Drexel -10.77 0.00%
320 Liberty -10.78 0.00%
321 Marist -10.83 0.00%
322 Bethune Cookman -10.83 0.00%
323 South Florida -10.84 0.00%
324 Drake -10.86 0.00%
325 American -10.93 0.00%
326 UT Rio Grande Valley -10.94 0.00%
327 SIU Edwardsville -10.96 0.00%
328 North Carolina Central -10.97 0.00%
329 Southeastern Louisiana -11.11 0.00%
330 Sacred Heart -11.16 0.00%
331 Jacksonville St. -11.17 0.00%
332 Robert Morris -11.19 0.00%
333 Binghamton -11.24 0.00%
334 Morgan St. -11.27 0.00%
335 Hartford -11.35 0.00%
336 Lipscomb -11.44 0.00%
337 San Jose St. -11.49 0.00%
338 Niagara -11.70 0.00%
339 Southeast Missouri St. -11.79 0.00%
340 Bradley -12.02 0.00%
341 UTSA -12.11 0.00%
342 USC Upstate -12.21 0.00%
343 Delaware St. -12.41 0.00%
344 Longwood -12.63 0.00%
345 Mississippi Valley St. -12.69 0.00%
346 Prairie View A&M -12.70 0.00%
347 North Carolina A&T -13.07 0.00%
348 Illinois Chicago -13.22 0.00%
349 UMBC -13.24 0.00%
350 Chicago St. -13.73 0.00%
351 Central Connecticut -15.54 0.00%

That was a nice win for Wisconsin last night, but they’ve still got a lot of work to do. Xavier also had a nice win, and they are going to be a curious case for the committee. Let’s compare them to Louisville:

Xavier: .9067 Pyth, 18-2, SoS Pyth .6406

Louisville: .9437 Pyth, 16-3, SoS Pyth .5093

Xavier has a better record against a tougher schedule. However, in the NCAA Tournament you’d much rather have to face them than Louisville. In this case it’s just a question of seeding. On the bubble the question of better team vs. better resume is existential. I’ll talk more about that in March.

 

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Oklahoma 5.97 99.95%
2 Villanova 4.59 99.39%
3 Xavier 4.54 99.43%
4 North Carolina 4.50 99.30%
5 Iowa 4.08 98.97%
6 Texas A&M 4.05 98.70%
7 West Virginia 3.78 98.12%
8 Iowa St. 3.61 97.30%
9 SMU 3.57 98.48%
10 Kansas 3.44 96.99%
11 Virginia 3.36 95.76%
12 Michigan St. 3.20 95.62%
13 Maryland 3.06 96.36%
14 Miami FL 2.96 94.51%
15 Providence 2.81 94.32%
16 South Carolina 2.73 94.26%
17 Dayton 2.58 92.87%
18 Purdue 2.34 90.15%
19 Oregon 2.29 88.15%
20 Baylor 2.15 90.82%
21 Arkansas Little Rock 2.02 89.90%
22 Louisville 2.00 88.86%
23 Kentucky 1.98 85.96%
24 Arizona 1.94 85.68%
25 Utah 1.83 83.66%
26 Saint Joseph’s 1.80 84.69%
27 Pittsburgh 1.73 85.78%
28 USC 1.61 80.08%
29 Michigan 1.60 82.38%
30 Indiana 1.21 74.08%
31 Valparaiso 1.16 73.29%
32 Saint Mary’s 1.14 75.98%
33 Chattanooga 1.01 72.90%
34 Duke 0.98 68.49%
35 Texas 0.91 67.51%
36 Grand Canyon 0.91 73.48%
37 Notre Dame 0.84 68.14%
38 Colorado 0.76 65.51%
39 Florida St. 0.69 64.63%
40 George Washington 0.58 61.78%
41 Monmouth 0.56 61.25%
42 Hawaii 0.55 64.50%
43 Connecticut 0.52 61.07%
44 Butler 0.51 61.31%
45 Evansville 0.50 60.76%
46 Florida 0.45 58.98%
47 Wichita St. 0.42 58.63%
48 UC Irvine 0.38 57.89%
49 VCU 0.27 54.96%
50 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.26 56.09%
51 Akron 0.16 52.39%
52 Seton Hall 0.15 52.94%
53 Gonzaga 0.10 51.15%
54 California 0.05 50.36%
55 Boise St. 0.02 49.66%
56 Southern Illinois -0.03 46.91%
57 Cincinnati -0.04 48.26%
58 Texas Tech -0.19 45.46%
59 Princeton -0.19 43.59%
60 UAB -0.28 40.69%
61 Kansas St. -0.37 41.35%
62 UCLA -0.40 41.69%
63 Stony Brook -0.43 37.50%
64 Northwestern -0.45 38.73%
65 Tulsa -0.47 39.21%
66 UT Arlington -0.56 34.50%
67 Syracuse -0.56 37.75%
68 San Diego St. -0.56 37.05%
69 Oregon St. -0.63 35.53%
70 Washington -0.64 35.48%
71 Stanford -0.71 34.14%
72 Georgetown -0.77 33.97%
73 James Madison -0.79 30.63%
74 Vanderbilt -0.80 33.03%
75 South Dakota St. -0.82 31.02%
76 Creighton -0.84 31.51%
77 Clemson -0.89 29.98%
78 LSU -0.91 30.53%
79 Temple -0.92 30.00%
80 North Florida -1.02 25.69%
81 Alabama -1.03 29.30%
82 IPFW -1.04 26.33%
83 Northern Illinois -1.05 23.62%
84 Hofstra -1.06 27.51%
85 Belmont -1.12 25.24%
86 Kent St. -1.18 22.62%
87 Davidson -1.19 23.02%
88 Marquette -1.25 23.02%
89 Georgia Tech -1.28 23.80%
90 Middle Tennessee -1.29 21.33%
91 Yale -1.30 16.91%
92 William & Mary -1.41 19.43%
93 BYU -1.41 21.60%
94 Wisconsin -1.48 21.80%
95 Wake Forest -1.51 22.05%
96 Georgia -1.58 19.09%
97 Ohio St. -1.65 16.90%
98 St. Bonaventure -1.67 16.34%
99 Arizona St. -1.67 19.28%
100 Virginia Tech -1.75 15.94%
101 Houston -1.92 10.99%
102 Navy -1.95 10.48%
103 Louisiana Tech -1.95 10.15%
104 UNC Wilmington -2.00 10.39%
105 Fresno St. -2.00 11.76%
106 Georgia St. -2.03 9.12%
107 Mississippi -2.09 11.79%
108 Stephen F. Austin -2.12 6.46%
109 Nebraska -2.27 9.57%
110 Mercer -2.33 7.89%
111 Memphis -2.39 7.01%
112 Duquesne -2.44 7.91%
113 Oakland -2.53 7.85%
114 Albany -2.57 5.14%
115 East Tennessee St. -2.57 6.18%
116 Siena -2.57 7.28%
117 Tennessee St. -2.58 3.97%
118 Pepperdine -2.58 7.50%
119 North Carolina St. -2.65 8.37%
120 College of Charleston -2.67 5.93%
121 Richmond -2.70 6.07%
122 Columbia -2.70 3.79%
123 UNLV -2.71 6.12%
124 Oklahoma St. -2.75 5.70%
125 Cal St. Bakersfield -2.82 3.01%
126 Winthrop -2.88 3.10%
127 Rhode Island -2.91 4.96%
128 Milwaukee -3.00 3.65%
129 Auburn -3.01 5.41%
130 Tennessee Tech -3.04 2.97%
131 UNC Asheville -3.08 3.17%
132 Nebraska Omaha -3.17 3.69%
133 Illinois -3.18 4.84%
134 Nevada -3.23 3.41%
135 Penn St. -3.27 4.19%
136 Ohio -3.31 2.61%
137 New Mexico -3.32 2.74%
138 Southern -3.33 1.99%
139 Tennessee -3.34 4.63%
140 Montana -3.34 1.46%
141 Weber St. -3.44 1.50%
142 North Dakota St. -3.48 1.90%
143 Utah St. -3.49 2.09%
144 Elon -3.51 2.61%
145 High Point -3.56 1.24%
146 Towson -3.58 1.67%
147 Green Bay -3.58 2.08%
148 Wright St. -3.64 1.53%
149 Indiana St. -3.64 2.48%
150 Buffalo -3.65 1.79%
151 Northeastern -3.66 2.62%
152 Fordham -3.67 0.59%
153 Louisiana Lafayette -3.71 0.92%
154 New Mexico St. -3.78 1.39%
155 Ball St. -3.87 0.95%
156 Houston Baptist -3.87 0.54%
157 Arkansas -3.90 2.15%
158 Bowling Green -3.94 0.93%
159 UCF -4.19 0.60%
160 Vermont -4.24 0.72%
161 UC Santa Barbara -4.29 1.22%
162 Long Beach St. -4.35 1.37%
163 Army -4.43 0.23%
164 TCU -4.46 0.69%
165 Wagner -4.51 0.10%
166 Hampton -4.52 0.19%
167 Cal Poly -4.60 0.28%
168 Radford -4.61 0.51%
169 Colorado St. -4.63 0.33%
170 Idaho -4.68 0.33%
171 Florida Gulf Coast -4.71 0.15%
172 Marshall -4.73 0.51%
173 Iona -4.74 0.31%
174 Illinois St. -4.76 0.52%
175 Harvard -4.77 0.13%
176 Toledo -4.77 0.38%
177 New Hampshire -4.80 0.08%
178 Incarnate Word -4.81 0.01%
179 Fairfield -4.82 0.31%
180 Northern Iowa -4.84 0.61%
181 Oral Roberts -4.89 0.56%
182 Washington St. -4.89 0.28%
183 Mississippi St. -4.91 0.25%
184 Eastern Michigan -4.93 0.22%
185 Texas St. -4.96 0.04%
186 Missouri -4.98 0.24%
187 Coastal Carolina -5.05 0.09%
188 Central Michigan -5.09 0.20%
189 Cornell -5.17 0.10%
190 East Carolina -5.21 0.23%
191 Morehead St. -5.25 0.10%
192 Loyola Marymount -5.32 0.15%
193 Old Dominion -5.36 0.12%
194 DePaul -5.47 0.26%
195 Western Kentucky -5.51 0.07%
196 Detroit -5.62 0.07%
197 Texas Southern -5.63 0.05%
198 San Francisco -5.66 0.03%
199 Saint Peter’s -5.67 0.03%
200 Colgate -5.68 0.03%
201 NJIT -5.71 0.06%
202 Massachusetts -5.74 0.07%
203 Bucknell -5.77 0.05%
204 Murray St. -5.93 0.07%
205 Gardner Webb -6.04 0.02%
206 South Dakota -6.06 0.10%
207 Saint Louis -6.07 0.04%
208 Arkansas St. -6.08 0.02%
209 Samford -6.09 0.02%
210 Sam Houston St. -6.12 0.01%
211 North Dakota -6.12 0.01%
212 Penn -6.13 0.00%
213 Furman -6.14 0.02%
214 FIU -6.16 0.01%
215 Eastern Kentucky -6.16 0.01%
216 UTEP -6.19 0.01%
217 Dartmouth -6.24 0.00%
218 Air Force -6.24 0.02%
219 Jackson St. -6.26 0.01%
220 IUPUI -6.47 0.05%
221 Sacramento St. -6.51 0.00%
222 Manhattan -6.54 0.01%
223 Howard -6.65 0.00%
224 Boston College -6.72 0.01%
225 Tulane -6.74 0.02%
226 Louisiana Monroe -6.75 0.01%
227 South Carolina St. -6.75 0.01%
228 Utah Valley -6.81 0.00%
229 Loyola Chicago -6.82 0.00%
230 St. Francis PA -6.85 0.00%
231 Eastern Washington -6.87 0.00%
232 Wofford -6.89 0.01%
233 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.92 0.00%
234 Cal St. Fullerton -6.93 0.00%
235 Western Illinois -6.95 0.00%
236 Western Carolina -7.03 0.00%
237 Denver -7.03 0.01%
238 Tennessee Martin -7.05 0.00%
239 Missouri St. -7.09 0.01%
240 Idaho St. -7.11 0.00%
241 Canisius -7.11 0.01%
242 Wyoming -7.12 0.02%
243 Northern Kentucky -7.17 0.00%
244 Norfolk St. -7.28 0.00%
245 St. John’s -7.30 0.00%
246 UC Davis -7.33 0.00%
247 Portland St. -7.36 0.00%
248 Brown -7.36 0.00%
249 Montana St. -7.44 0.00%
250 Jacksonville -7.44 0.00%
251 McNeese St. -7.47 0.00%
252 George Mason -7.47 0.01%
253 Alabama A&M -7.48 0.00%
254 Rutgers -7.57 0.00%
255 Charleston Southern -7.58 0.00%
256 Youngstown St. -7.60 0.00%
257 Mount St. Mary’s -7.62 0.00%
258 South Alabama -7.63 0.00%
259 Georgia Southern -7.63 0.00%
260 Western Michigan -7.69 0.00%
261 Savannah St. -7.73 0.00%
262 Holy Cross -7.85 0.00%
263 Alcorn St. -7.91 0.00%
264 UC Riverside -7.95 0.00%
265 UMKC -7.96 0.00%
266 LIU Brooklyn -8.02 0.00%
267 Lamar -8.05 0.00%
268 La Salle -8.05 0.00%
269 Boston University -8.07 0.00%
270 Minnesota -8.16 0.00%
271 The Citadel -8.22 0.00%
272 Charlotte -8.31 0.00%
273 Seattle -8.40 0.00%
274 VMI -8.49 0.00%
275 Pacific -8.50 0.00%
276 Austin Peay -8.57 0.00%
277 Presbyterian -8.60 0.00%
278 Campbell -8.61 0.00%
279 Portland -8.65 0.00%
280 Coppin St. -8.65 0.00%
281 San Diego -8.66 0.00%
282 Eastern Illinois -8.74 0.00%
283 New Orleans -8.75 0.00%
284 Lehigh -8.78 0.00%
285 Appalachian St. -8.86 0.00%
286 Delaware -8.91 0.00%
287 Rider -8.95 0.00%
288 UNC Greensboro -8.97 0.00%
289 Cal St. Northridge -9.08 0.00%
290 Southern Miss -9.12 0.00%
291 UMass Lowell -9.18 0.00%
292 Southern Utah -9.18 0.00%
293 Bryant -9.19 0.00%
294 Abilene Christian -9.20 0.00%
295 Grambling St. -9.24 0.00%
296 Central Arkansas -9.27 0.00%
297 North Texas -9.30 0.00%
298 Alabama St. -9.32 0.00%
299 Cleveland St. -9.32 0.00%
300 Santa Clara -9.36 0.00%
301 Quinnipiac -9.38 0.00%
302 Stetson -9.45 0.00%
303 Miami OH -9.50 0.00%
304 Northern Colorado -9.66 0.00%
305 Kennesaw St. -9.73 0.00%
306 Maine -9.87 0.00%
307 St. Francis NY -9.88 0.00%
308 Loyola MD -9.99 0.00%
309 North Carolina Central -10.06 0.00%
310 Maryland Eastern Shore -10.16 0.00%
311 Lafayette -10.21 0.00%
312 Northern Arizona -10.24 0.00%
313 Sacred Heart -10.25 0.00%
314 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.27 0.00%
315 Florida Atlantic -10.28 0.00%
316 Rice -10.28 0.00%
317 Troy -10.30 0.00%
318 Northwestern St. -10.35 0.00%
319 Hartford -10.37 0.00%
320 Florida A&M -10.43 0.00%
321 Nicholls St. -10.45 0.00%
322 San Jose St. -10.73 0.00%
323 Drexel -10.77 0.00%
324 Marist -10.82 0.00%
325 Drake -10.84 0.00%
326 Bethune Cookman -10.88 0.00%
327 Liberty -10.93 0.00%
328 UT Rio Grande Valley -11.00 0.00%
329 SIU Edwardsville -11.00 0.00%
330 Southeastern Louisiana -11.10 0.00%
331 South Florida -11.11 0.00%
332 American -11.18 0.00%
333 USC Upstate -11.19 0.00%
334 Robert Morris -11.20 0.00%
335 Jacksonville St. -11.21 0.00%
336 Morgan St. -11.28 0.00%
337 Binghamton -11.29 0.00%
338 Bradley -11.30 0.00%
339 Lipscomb -11.69 0.00%
340 Niagara -11.72 0.00%
341 Longwood -11.75 0.00%
342 Southeast Missouri St. -11.84 0.00%
343 UTSA -12.14 0.00%
344 North Carolina A&T -12.15 0.00%
345 UMBC -12.25 0.00%
346 Delaware St. -12.47 0.00%
347 Mississippi Valley St. -12.67 0.00%
348 Prairie View A&M -12.72 0.00%
349 Illinois Chicago -13.22 0.00%
350 Chicago St. -13.74 0.00%
351 Central Connecticut -15.54 0.00%

 

 

 

I have difficulty putting anyone other than Oklahoma at the top of the S-Curve at the moment. They’ve played excellent basketball against a brutal schedule.

One thing to note: Right now there aren’t any teams with a Pythagorean rating above .9500. We’ve never finished a season without at least one team above that mark. It will be fun to see if Oklahoma, Iowa, or Louisville can work their way above that mark. (http://kenpom.com/index.php)

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Oklahoma 5.76 99.95%
2 Villanova 4.66 99.42%
3 North Carolina 4.47 99.26%
4 Iowa 4.22 99.11%
5 Xavier 4.09 99.07%
6 Texas A&M 4.06 98.68%
7 Kansas 3.78 98.31%
8 SMU 3.67 98.68%
9 Providence 3.42 97.71%
10 Michigan St. 3.26 95.88%
11 West Virginia 3.24 96.70%
12 Maryland 3.18 96.84%
13 Virginia 3.15 95.17%
14 Iowa St. 3.01 95.00%
15 Dayton 2.76 94.03%
16 Oregon 2.54 90.59%
17 Miami FL 2.53 92.04%
18 South Carolina 2.50 93.08%
19 Purdue 2.43 90.83%
20 Baylor 2.13 90.44%
21 Arkansas Little Rock 2.00 89.68%
22 Arizona 2.00 86.48%
23 Kentucky 1.99 86.07%
24 Saint Joseph’s 1.98 86.82%
25 Louisville 1.96 88.41%
26 Utah 1.86 83.94%
27 Pittsburgh 1.84 87.28%
28 USC 1.79 82.43%
29 Indiana 1.68 82.82%
30 Michigan 1.65 83.23%
31 Saint Mary’s 1.25 77.93%
32 Valparaiso 1.17 73.33%
33 Duke 1.12 71.19%
34 Notre Dame 0.93 70.09%
35 Florida 0.93 68.97%
36 Grand Canyon 0.91 73.85%
37 Chattanooga 0.88 70.10%
38 Colorado 0.86 67.53%
39 Monmouth 0.81 66.57%
40 Texas 0.78 65.35%
41 George Washington 0.68 64.01%
42 Butler 0.64 64.32%
43 Hawaii 0.60 65.63%
44 Connecticut 0.57 62.08%
45 Florida St. 0.54 61.87%
46 UC Irvine 0.50 60.70%
47 Wichita St. 0.48 59.91%
48 Evansville 0.44 59.16%
49 VCU 0.31 56.04%
50 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.23 55.12%
51 California 0.21 53.77%
52 Seton Hall 0.20 53.95%
53 Gonzaga 0.19 53.26%
54 Akron 0.13 51.83%
55 Boise St. 0.11 51.66%
56 Cincinnati -0.04 48.36%
57 Texas Tech -0.08 47.50%
58 Southern Illinois -0.09 45.43%
59 Princeton -0.15 44.76%
60 Kansas St. -0.26 43.69%
61 Tulsa -0.29 43.02%
62 UCLA -0.30 43.67%
63 Creighton -0.32 41.93%
64 UAB -0.35 38.92%
65 Stony Brook -0.39 38.61%
66 Oregon St. -0.47 39.25%
67 Syracuse -0.51 38.85%
68 Northwestern -0.53 36.98%
69 Northern Illinois -0.57 32.56%
70 UT Arlington -0.61 33.48%
71 Stanford -0.62 35.84%
72 South Dakota St. -0.64 34.89%
73 Washington -0.68 34.71%
74 James Madison -0.71 32.33%
75 Temple -0.78 32.87%
76 Clemson -0.78 32.35%
77 San Diego St. -0.88 30.06%
78 Hofstra -0.90 30.52%
79 Belmont -0.92 28.88%
80 North Florida -1.05 25.07%
81 Georgia -1.08 26.29%
82 Georgetown -1.11 26.99%
83 IPFW -1.11 25.19%
84 Yale -1.12 20.40%
85 Georgia Tech -1.13 26.08%
86 Marquette -1.15 24.92%
87 Wake Forest -1.18 26.79%
88 LSU -1.18 24.95%
89 Middle Tennessee -1.23 22.52%
90 Kent St. -1.26 20.88%
91 Vanderbilt -1.26 23.94%
92 William & Mary -1.32 21.09%
93 BYU -1.35 22.63%
94 Alabama -1.36 22.97%
95 Arizona St. -1.56 21.14%
96 Virginia Tech -1.57 18.23%
97 St. Bonaventure -1.62 17.17%
98 Davidson -1.66 14.40%
99 Richmond -1.79 14.33%
100 Ohio St. -1.79 14.40%
101 Navy -1.84 12.25%
102 UNC Wilmington -1.88 11.85%
103 Houston -1.92 10.84%
104 Louisiana Tech -1.96 10.09%
105 Wisconsin -1.97 14.32%
106 Georgia St. -2.05 8.85%
107 Stephen F. Austin -2.09 6.48%
108 Mississippi -2.12 11.61%
109 Fresno St. -2.13 9.95%
110 Milwaukee -2.17 8.53%
111 Nebraska -2.17 10.71%
112 Mercer -2.25 8.63%
113 Pepperdine -2.41 8.87%
114 East Tennessee St. -2.41 7.65%
115 Duquesne -2.47 7.59%
116 Tennessee St. -2.53 4.19%
117 Siena -2.55 7.30%
118 Albany -2.57 5.49%
119 Nevada -2.58 6.44%
120 Tennessee -2.61 8.77%
121 Memphis -2.65 4.52%
122 Rhode Island -2.66 6.90%
123 Penn St. -2.66 7.16%
124 North Carolina St. -2.68 8.14%
125 Columbia -2.72 3.75%
126 College of Charleston -2.73 5.55%
127 UNLV -2.75 6.08%
128 Cal St. Bakersfield -2.75 3.42%
129 Oklahoma St. -2.77 5.74%
130 Winthrop -2.79 3.63%
131 Oakland -2.85 4.85%
132 UNC Asheville -2.90 4.08%
133 Tennessee Tech -2.97 3.33%
134 Auburn -2.98 5.64%
135 Ball St. -3.03 2.72%
136 Nebraska Omaha -3.07 4.29%
137 New Mexico -3.14 3.57%
138 Illinois -3.32 4.13%
139 Montana -3.34 1.53%
140 Southern -3.40 1.74%
141 Weber St. -3.43 1.42%
142 Towson -3.44 2.16%
143 North Dakota St. -3.48 1.97%
144 High Point -3.49 1.42%
145 Hampton -3.50 1.07%
146 Utah St. -3.50 2.05%
147 Wright St. -3.52 1.93%
148 UCF -3.53 1.21%
149 Green Bay -3.56 1.93%
150 Indiana St. -3.56 2.77%
151 Fordham -3.59 0.81%
152 Northeastern -3.60 2.83%
153 Elon -3.60 2.25%
154 Ohio -3.61 1.43%
155 New Mexico St. -3.71 1.55%
156 Louisiana Lafayette -3.78 0.84%
157 Incarnate Word -3.80 0.15%
158 Buffalo -3.86 1.16%
159 Houston Baptist -3.86 0.55%
160 Toledo -3.89 1.20%
161 Arkansas -3.95 2.00%
162 TCU -4.06 0.93%
163 Bowling Green -4.07 0.65%
164 Vermont -4.09 0.95%
165 Army -4.19 0.42%
166 UC Santa Barbara -4.21 1.38%
167 Long Beach St. -4.30 1.45%
168 Mississippi St. -4.39 0.50%
169 Eastern Michigan -4.43 0.37%
170 Wagner -4.44 0.12%
171 Idaho -4.47 0.47%
172 Cal Poly -4.50 0.35%
173 Iona -4.57 0.41%
174 Radford -4.58 0.54%
175 Harvard -4.60 0.22%
176 New Hampshire -4.61 0.15%
177 Colorado St. -4.62 0.35%
178 Marshall -4.64 0.56%
179 Fairfield -4.77 0.35%
180 Florida Gulf Coast -4.78 0.13%
181 Illinois St. -4.79 0.47%
182 Detroit -4.81 0.23%
183 Northern Iowa -4.82 0.63%
184 Washington St. -4.85 0.30%
185 Texas St. -4.88 0.05%
186 Oral Roberts -4.96 0.52%
187 Missouri -4.99 0.24%
188 Coastal Carolina -5.01 0.11%
189 Cornell -5.06 0.12%
190 Loyola Marymount -5.14 0.19%
191 East Carolina -5.15 0.24%
192 Central Michigan -5.16 0.15%
193 DePaul -5.24 0.37%
194 Old Dominion -5.26 0.15%
195 Morehead St. -5.27 0.10%
196 San Francisco -5.50 0.04%
197 Colgate -5.52 0.05%
198 Texas Southern -5.56 0.05%
199 Western Kentucky -5.58 0.06%
200 Saint Peter’s -5.58 0.04%
201 Massachusetts -5.61 0.10%
202 Bucknell -5.70 0.06%
203 NJIT -5.83 0.05%
204 Murray St. -5.84 0.08%
205 Gardner Webb -5.95 0.02%
206 Boston College -5.96 0.03%
207 Sam Houston St. -6.01 0.01%
208 North Dakota -6.03 0.01%
209 South Dakota -6.03 0.12%
210 Penn -6.04 0.00%
211 Dartmouth -6.07 0.00%
212 Arkansas St. -6.09 0.02%
213 Eastern Kentucky -6.14 0.01%
214 Samford -6.15 0.02%
215 FIU -6.18 0.01%
216 Saint Louis -6.18 0.04%
217 Jackson St. -6.20 0.01%
218 UTEP -6.21 0.01%
219 Air Force -6.24 0.02%
220 Furman -6.26 0.01%
221 IUPUI -6.33 0.07%
222 Manhattan -6.41 0.01%
223 Sacramento St. -6.47 0.00%
224 Wyoming -6.52 0.04%
225 Tulane -6.57 0.02%
226 Louisiana Monroe -6.60 0.01%
227 Howard -6.64 0.00%
228 Loyola Chicago -6.66 0.01%
229 Alabama A&M -6.71 0.00%
230 Utah Valley -6.73 0.00%
231 St. Francis PA -6.76 0.00%
232 Wofford -6.82 0.01%
233 Eastern Washington -6.83 0.00%
234 Western Michigan -6.84 0.01%
235 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.87 0.00%
236 Western Carolina -6.88 0.00%
237 Cal St. Fullerton -6.88 0.00%
238 Missouri St. -6.93 0.01%
239 Savannah St. -6.96 0.00%
240 South Carolina St. -6.97 0.00%
241 Canisius -6.97 0.01%
242 Denver -6.98 0.01%
243 Western Illinois -7.01 0.00%
244 Northern Kentucky -7.01 0.00%
245 Tennessee Martin -7.06 0.00%
246 Idaho St. -7.07 0.00%
247 Norfolk St. -7.07 0.00%
248 St. John’s -7.15 0.00%
249 Portland St. -7.26 0.00%
250 La Salle -7.27 0.00%
251 Brown -7.29 0.00%
252 UC Davis -7.31 0.00%
253 Montana St. -7.37 0.00%
254 VMI -7.49 0.00%
255 George Mason -7.51 0.01%
256 Rutgers -7.52 0.00%
257 Jacksonville -7.52 0.00%
258 Lamar -7.53 0.00%
259 Youngstown St. -7.54 0.00%
260 Charleston Southern -7.56 0.00%
261 Mount St. Mary’s -7.60 0.00%
262 Holy Cross -7.65 0.00%
263 McNeese St. -7.66 0.00%
264 South Alabama -7.72 0.00%
265 Georgia Southern -7.78 0.00%
266 LIU Brooklyn -7.86 0.00%
267 UC Riverside -7.87 0.00%
268 Boston University -7.92 0.00%
269 UMKC -7.97 0.00%
270 Minnesota -7.98 0.00%
271 Alcorn St. -7.99 0.00%
272 Appalachian St. -8.06 0.00%
273 The Citadel -8.16 0.00%
274 Seattle -8.27 0.00%
275 Charlotte -8.29 0.00%
276 Central Arkansas -8.32 0.00%
277 Pacific -8.33 0.00%
278 Abilene Christian -8.33 0.00%
279 Alabama St. -8.44 0.00%
280 Presbyterian -8.49 0.00%
281 San Diego -8.55 0.00%
282 Austin Peay -8.58 0.00%
283 Campbell -8.63 0.00%
284 Portland -8.63 0.00%
285 Eastern Illinois -8.64 0.00%
286 Coppin St. -8.68 0.00%
287 New Orleans -8.71 0.00%
288 Miami OH -8.72 0.00%
289 Lehigh -8.74 0.00%
290 UNC Greensboro -8.82 0.00%
291 Delaware -8.83 0.00%
292 Rider -8.87 0.00%
293 UMass Lowell -8.98 0.00%
294 Cal St. Northridge -9.11 0.00%
295 Southern Miss -9.11 0.00%
296 Bryant -9.14 0.00%
297 Southern Utah -9.16 0.00%
298 Maine -9.20 0.00%
299 Santa Clara -9.23 0.00%
300 Quinnipiac -9.23 0.00%
301 Nicholls St. -9.25 0.00%
302 Lafayette -9.28 0.00%
303 Cleveland St. -9.28 0.00%
304 North Texas -9.29 0.00%
305 Grambling St. -9.37 0.00%
306 Troy -9.41 0.00%
307 Arkansas Pine Bluff -9.47 0.00%
308 Stetson -9.48 0.00%
309 Northern Colorado -9.54 0.00%
310 Kennesaw St. -9.74 0.00%
311 St. Francis NY -9.86 0.00%
312 Bethune Cookman -9.87 0.00%
313 Loyola MD -9.91 0.00%
314 North Carolina Central -9.92 0.00%
315 Drake -10.03 0.00%
316 Maryland Eastern Shore -10.14 0.00%
317 Northern Arizona -10.18 0.00%
318 Florida Atlantic -10.22 0.00%
319 Rice -10.23 0.00%
320 Sacred Heart -10.26 0.00%
321 Northwestern St. -10.30 0.00%
322 Southeastern Louisiana -10.33 0.00%
323 Hartford -10.44 0.00%
324 Florida A&M -10.45 0.00%
325 San Jose St. -10.60 0.00%
326 Drexel -10.63 0.00%
327 Marist -10.66 0.00%
328 Liberty -10.91 0.00%
329 Niagara -10.93 0.00%
330 South Florida -10.95 0.00%
331 SIU Edwardsville -10.97 0.00%
332 UT Rio Grande Valley -11.00 0.00%
333 American -11.09 0.00%
334 North Carolina A&T -11.17 0.00%
335 Morgan St. -11.19 0.00%
336 Binghamton -11.20 0.00%
337 USC Upstate -11.22 0.00%
338 Robert Morris -11.24 0.00%
339 Jacksonville St. -11.30 0.00%
340 Bradley -11.34 0.00%
341 Lipscomb -11.59 0.00%
342 Prairie View A&M -11.61 0.00%
343 Longwood -11.62 0.00%
344 Southeast Missouri St. -11.76 0.00%
345 UTSA -12.18 0.00%
346 UMBC -12.22 0.00%
347 Delaware St. -12.56 0.00%
348 Mississippi Valley St. -12.65 0.00%
349 Illinois Chicago -13.14 0.00%
350 Chicago St. -13.78 0.00%
351 Central Connecticut -15.37 0.00%