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Monthly Archives: December 2016

Football Outsiders is currently up $988,414. A solid morning would put them back above $1M.

(I was incorrect as to the sizing of the Eagles bet when I Tweeted it Thursday night).

Eagles +2.5 +106 122224 129558 129558
Bears +3.5 -123 159125 129370 0
Bills -4 -110 26877 24433 0
Panthers +3 +111 127627 141666 0
Packers -7 +106 109351 115912 0
Jets +16.5 -105 46512 44297 0
Tenn @ Jax agrees with the line 0 0 0
Chargers -5 -103 37459 36368 0
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Defending Champions Villanova lead the initial WAB rankings, although UCLA’s results are slightly more difficult for an average bubble team to replicate. Gonzaga and Baylor round out a clear top 4 in terms of resume. I expect to see Duke rise up these rankings as their squad becomes fully operational. However, the key takeaway from the initial WAB rankings is that Syracuse has a lot of work to do. 😦

 

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Villanova 3.04 99.36%
2 UCLA 3.02 99.58%
3 Gonzaga 2.83 99.06%
4 Baylor 2.80 99.08%
5 Butler 2.25 95.09%
6 Creighton 2.10 96.39%
7 Duke 2.03 94.51%
8 Kansas 1.96 93.80%
9 Louisville 1.81 91.99%
10 North Carolina 1.78 90.93%
11 USC 1.78 95.14%
12 Wisconsin 1.62 88.36%
13 Kentucky 1.56 89.51%
14 Xavier 1.35 82.93%
15 Virginia 1.25 83.81%
16 South Carolina 1.20 82.85%
17 Florida St. 1.19 81.31%
18 Maryland 1.16 82.32%
19 Oklahoma St. 1.11 80.95%
20 Minnesota 1.09 80.75%
21 Valparaiso 1.07 80.26%
22 Florida 1.05 77.07%
23 Arizona 1.04 77.82%
24 Purdue 1.02 79.11%
25 Saint Mary’s 0.94 78.18%
26 Virginia Tech 0.92 78.91%
27 UNC Wilmington 0.88 74.82%
28 Arkansas 0.85 75.45%
29 Notre Dame 0.83 74.73%
30 West Virginia 0.80 78.00%
31 Seton Hall 0.74 70.82%
32 TCU 0.74 72.60%
33 Middle Tennessee 0.72 68.03%
34 Indiana 0.60 70.22%
35 Oregon 0.59 66.09%
36 Monmouth 0.58 67.36%
37 Cincinnati 0.55 67.38%
38 Providence 0.50 65.35%
39 Northwestern 0.48 64.31%
40 Pittsburgh 0.47 62.17%
41 Wake Forest 0.42 61.84%
42 Arkansas St. 0.38 60.51%
43 Rutgers 0.36 62.52%
44 Nevada 0.31 57.63%
45 UT Arlington 0.30 58.24%
46 Clemson 0.24 56.00%
47 Michigan 0.19 55.42%
48 East Tennessee St. 0.14 53.14%
49 Texas Tech 0.09 50.21%
50 Kansas St. 0.09 50.22%
51 Miami FL 0.05 50.27%
52 Tennessee St. 0.04 50.35%
53 Auburn 0.02 49.42%
54 North Carolina St. -0.02 47.39%
55 Houston -0.06 46.31%
56 LSU -0.10 44.81%
57 SMU -0.18 43.72%
58 Wichita St. -0.23 41.84%
59 Oakland -0.33 32.81%
60 VCU -0.33 39.09%
61 Illinois -0.34 38.53%
62 New Mexico St. -0.35 36.36%
63 Marquette -0.40 37.13%
64 California -0.42 34.24%
65 Stanford -0.48 35.44%
66 Colorado -0.48 34.93%
67 Fort Wayne -0.49 33.88%
68 Temple -0.50 34.47%
69 Wyoming -0.50 30.60%
70 Rhode Island -0.51 34.84%
71 Ohio St. -0.52 30.88%
72 Iowa St. -0.56 31.68%
73 Loyola Chicago -0.57 28.86%
74 Utah -0.64 23.88%
75 Georgia -0.64 27.86%
76 Dayton -0.64 30.49%
77 Davidson -0.69 28.18%
78 Texas A&M -0.70 27.39%
79 Mississippi -0.70 27.83%
80 Ohio -0.74 23.48%
81 Georgetown -0.75 28.13%
82 UCF -0.75 25.68%
83 Winthrop -0.77 24.37%
84 Chattanooga -0.82 22.92%
85 Memphis -0.83 24.68%
86 Iona -0.84 23.81%
87 Akron -0.88 19.32%
88 Michigan St. -0.92 23.49%
89 Rice -0.97 19.71%
90 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -0.97 13.16%
91 St. Bonaventure -0.97 20.42%
92 UNC Asheville -0.99 21.68%
93 Sam Houston St. -1.01 17.86%
94 Bucknell -1.05 21.20%
95 Portland -1.08 16.96%
96 George Mason -1.09 18.83%
97 Louisiana Lafayette -1.15 15.68%
98 Old Dominion -1.16 18.64%
99 Massachusetts -1.29 13.29%
100 Georgia Tech -1.29 12.54%
101 New Hampshire -1.30 14.44%
102 Illinois St. -1.31 12.77%
103 Eastern Washington -1.35 11.19%
104 UNC Greensboro -1.37 10.62%
105 Central Michigan -1.42 11.27%
106 Vermont -1.43 13.29%
107 Belmont -1.45 11.83%
108 Syracuse -1.47 11.72%
109 College of Charleston -1.48 12.17%
110 Oklahoma -1.48 10.35%
111 San Francisco -1.50 4.61%
112 Yale -1.52 10.05%
113 Fresno St. -1.54 7.61%
114 Nebraska Omaha -1.58 12.36%
115 Tennessee Martin -1.61 8.76%
116 Boise St. -1.63 9.86%
117 Samford -1.64 7.57%
118 Florida Gulf Coast -1.66 10.40%
119 Loyola Marymount -1.68 6.59%
120 Evansville -1.70 7.86%
121 Charlotte -1.73 6.91%
122 La Salle -1.74 7.56%
123 Northern Kentucky -1.74 5.94%
124 George Washington -1.78 9.28%
125 Tennessee -1.80 6.05%
126 Utah St. -1.80 6.67%
127 Colorado St. -1.81 6.91%
128 Georgia St. -1.83 5.78%
129 Louisiana Tech -1.86 4.52%
130 William & Mary -1.87 1.32%
131 BYU -1.88 7.53%
132 Grand Canyon -1.88 5.65%
133 Marshall -1.88 6.31%
134 New Mexico -1.88 6.56%
135 Mississippi St. -1.89 4.78%
136 Saint Joseph’s -1.93 7.78%
137 Cal St. Bakersfield -1.97 3.85%
138 San Diego St. -1.98 3.76%
139 Little Rock -1.99 3.52%
140 Penn St. -2.01 6.76%
141 Missouri St. -2.01 3.47%
142 Rider -2.02 3.75%
143 Arizona St. -2.05 5.47%
144 Nebraska -2.09 5.45%
145 UMBC -2.09 2.52%
146 Iowa -2.11 4.86%
147 Northern Iowa -2.13 5.56%
148 Wright St. -2.14 5.21%
149 Houston Baptist -2.16 2.66%
150 Tulsa -2.18 3.21%
151 Eastern Michigan -2.18 4.13%
152 Connecticut -2.22 3.80%
153 Vanderbilt -2.24 4.98%
154 North Dakota St. -2.34 2.84%
155 San Jose St. -2.34 1.98%
156 Canisius -2.36 4.01%
157 Utah Valley -2.36 2.99%
158 East Carolina -2.38 1.28%
159 Fairfield -2.39 2.51%
160 UAB -2.40 2.61%
161 Lehigh -2.42 3.63%
162 Elon -2.43 2.38%
163 Gardner Webb -2.45 2.48%
164 Alabama -2.46 2.61%
165 Washington -2.46 2.19%
166 Towson -2.49 1.90%
167 Texas -2.51 2.78%
168 Georgia Southern -2.54 2.76%
169 Penn -2.54 1.78%
170 Portland St. -2.58 1.48%
171 Northeastern -2.60 3.03%
172 UNLV -2.60 1.48%
173 Brown -2.67 0.65%
174 UMKC -2.67 1.53%
175 Texas Southern -2.67 4.35%
176 North Dakota -2.68 0.99%
177 DePaul -2.69 0.81%
178 Ball St. -2.70 0.77%
179 Loyola MD -2.71 1.32%
180 Northwestern St. -2.72 1.24%
181 South Florida -2.73 0.91%
182 Albany -2.74 1.74%
183 North Carolina Central -2.77 2.12%
184 Princeton -2.82 1.42%
185 Buffalo -2.85 1.33%
186 Harvard -2.87 0.62%
187 Eastern Illinois -2.88 0.87%
188 Jacksonville -2.90 0.87%
189 Stephen F. Austin -2.93 0.16%
190 Denver -2.97 1.32%
191 Hofstra -2.99 1.04%
192 South Carolina St. -3.01 1.32%
193 Nicholls St. -3.02 1.23%
194 South Dakota -3.04 1.48%
195 San Diego -3.04 0.34%
196 Kent St. -3.06 0.39%
197 Radford -3.08 0.66%
198 Seattle -3.09 0.20%
199 Mercer -3.13 0.86%
200 Washington St. -3.16 0.41%
201 Southeastern Louisiana -3.21 0.38%
202 Green Bay -3.21 0.78%
203 New Orleans -3.22 0.56%
204 Furman -3.22 0.58%
205 LIU Brooklyn -3.23 0.67%
206 Binghamton -3.24 0.51%
207 Delaware -3.26 0.32%
208 Incarnate Word -3.26 0.14%
209 Indiana St. -3.26 1.13%
210 Southern Illinois -3.29 0.38%
211 Western Carolina -3.30 0.53%
212 Richmond -3.30 0.48%
213 Missouri -3.32 0.21%
214 Appalachian St. -3.33 0.18%
215 North Texas -3.37 0.10%
216 Abilene Christian -3.42 0.16%
217 Jacksonville St. -3.43 0.84%
218 Toledo -3.46 0.75%
219 Columbia -3.52 0.14%
220 Hawaii -3.54 0.04%
221 Boston University -3.55 0.27%
222 The Citadel -3.56 0.16%
223 Northern Illinois -3.57 0.15%
224 Campbell -3.66 0.06%
225 Army -3.70 0.16%
226 Boston College -3.71 0.08%
227 Holy Cross -3.71 0.39%
228 Idaho -3.72 0.14%
229 High Point -3.79 0.06%
230 Lamar -3.83 0.10%
231 IUPUI -3.93 0.23%
232 South Alabama -3.93 0.08%
233 UC Riverside -3.94 0.02%
234 Eastern Kentucky -3.98 0.29%
235 Siena -3.98 0.24%
236 Cleveland St. -4.00 0.08%
237 Northern Colorado -4.01 0.06%
238 Duquesne -4.02 0.03%
239 Cal Poly -4.03 0.11%
240 UC Davis -4.04 0.13%
241 Quinnipiac -4.05 0.07%
242 Florida Atlantic -4.06 0.02%
243 Wagner -4.06 0.07%
244 Long Beach St. -4.10 0.15%
245 Charleston Southern -4.11 0.01%
246 Troy -4.11 0.06%
247 Texas St. -4.13 0.02%
248 Wofford -4.15 0.08%
249 Louisiana Monroe -4.16 0.02%
250 UC Irvine -4.20 0.20%
251 Weber St. -4.23 0.04%
252 Pepperdine -4.25 0.04%
253 UC Santa Barbara -4.29 0.00%
254 Presbyterian -4.29 0.03%
255 Lafayette -4.30 0.01%
256 Drexel -4.34 0.06%
257 Navy -4.36 0.05%
258 Youngstown St. -4.38 0.04%
259 Alcorn St. -4.52 0.03%
260 Southern Miss -4.52 0.00%
261 Miami OH -4.54 0.01%
262 Marist -4.55 0.02%
263 Air Force -4.57 0.02%
264 Cornell -4.61 0.02%
265 USC Upstate -4.62 0.05%
266 Grambling St. -4.63 0.00%
267 Illinois Chicago -4.64 0.02%
268 South Dakota St. -4.64 0.08%
269 Western Kentucky -4.65 0.04%
270 Murray St. -4.65 0.06%
271 Austin Peay -4.66 0.02%
272 Western Michigan -4.66 0.01%
273 Saint Louis -4.67 0.02%
274 Saint Peter’s -4.69 0.01%
275 Southern -4.70 0.00%
276 McNeese St. -4.70 0.00%
277 Maine -4.73 0.00%
278 Pacific -4.75 0.01%
279 Howard -4.83 0.01%
280 NJIT -4.84 0.03%
281 Bryant -4.86 0.01%
282 Bowling Green -4.87 0.01%
283 St. John’s -4.88 0.01%
284 Montana -4.96 0.03%
285 Liberty -5.01 0.00%
286 St. Francis PA -5.05 0.00%
287 Sacred Heart -5.11 0.01%
288 American -5.16 0.00%
289 Fordham -5.20 0.01%
290 VMI -5.22 0.00%
291 Manhattan -5.23 0.01%
292 Stetson -5.23 0.00%
293 Stony Brook -5.24 0.01%
294 Montana St. -5.24 0.00%
295 Bradley -5.25 0.01%
296 Sacramento St. -5.32 0.00%
297 Santa Clara -5.37 0.00%
298 Cal St. Northridge -5.39 0.00%
299 Longwood -5.39 0.00%
300 Coastal Carolina -5.50 0.00%
301 Chicago St. -5.53 0.00%
302 Morgan St. -5.53 0.00%
303 Robert Morris -5.56 0.01%
304 Savannah St. -5.57 0.00%
305 Southeast Missouri St. -5.57 0.00%
306 Morehead St. -5.58 0.00%
307 Prairie View A&M -5.63 0.00%
308 UTEP -5.73 0.00%
309 Cal St. Fullerton -5.74 0.00%
310 Fairleigh Dickinson -5.74 0.00%
311 Kennesaw St. -5.74 0.00%
312 Tulane -5.81 0.00%
313 SIU Edwardsville -5.83 0.00%
314 Mount St. Mary’s -5.86 0.00%
315 North Florida -5.86 0.01%
316 Oral Roberts -5.87 0.00%
317 Western Illinois -5.97 0.00%
318 Idaho St. -5.98 0.00%
319 UTSA -6.06 0.00%
320 UMass Lowell -6.06 0.00%
321 Detroit -6.12 0.00%
322 Central Connecticut -6.13 0.00%
323 St. Francis NY -6.15 0.00%
324 Hampton -6.20 0.00%
325 Jackson St. -6.21 0.00%
326 Mississippi Valley St. -6.26 0.00%
327 Norfolk St. -6.27 0.00%
328 UT Rio Grande Valley -6.43 0.00%
329 Milwaukee -6.48 0.00%
330 Lipscomb -6.57 0.00%
331 Alabama St. -6.66 0.00%
332 Central Arkansas -6.80 0.00%
333 Hartford -6.81 0.00%
334 FIU -7.00 0.00%
335 Niagara -7.00 0.00%
336 Delaware St. -7.03 0.00%
337 Dartmouth -7.13 0.00%
338 Maryland Eastern Shore -7.18 0.00%
339 Alabama A&M -7.24 0.00%
340 Oregon St. -7.28 0.00%
341 James Madison -7.32 0.00%
342 Bethune Cookman -7.45 0.00%
343 Colgate -7.46 0.00%
344 Northern Arizona -7.48 0.00%
345 Tennessee Tech -7.69 0.00%
346 Coppin St. -7.74 0.00%
347 North Carolina A&T -7.91 0.00%
348 Florida A&M -7.97 0.00%
349 Southern Utah -8.31 0.00%
350 Drake -8.52 0.00%
351 Arkansas Pine Bluff -9.33 0.00%

Football Outsiders certainly does, as they are risking 32% of their bankroll on him and the Jaguars. After the Dolphins dispatched the Jets last night, Football Outsiders is now up $567,042.

 

Bengals +3 +104 159940 166337 0 15.99%
Giants -4 +100 73216 73216 0 7.32%
Eagles +5.5 -102 48067 47124 0 4.81%
Bears +6.5 -105 71977 68550 0 7.20%
Colts +4 +102 27313 27859 0 2.73%
Bills -10.5 +111 98245 109052 0 9.82%
Chiefs -5 -103 51401 49904 0 5.14%
Jaguars +6 -108 320705 296949 0 32.07%