Last year Bill singled out five teams that would improve their wins totals relative to the previous season, and five teams that would decline. I tracked his predictions against market prices:
He ended up going 5-5:
Team | Line | Risked | To Win | Result |
Carolina Panthers | o8 | 1.11 | 1 | -1.11 |
Dallas Cowboys | u9 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 |
Los Angeles Chargers | U10.5 | 1.37 | 1 | 1 |
Los Angeles Rams | U10.5 | 1.46 | 1 | 1 |
Miami Dolphins | U4.5 | 1 | 1.05 | -1 |
New Orleans Saints | u10 | 1.11 | 1 | -1.11 |
New York Giants | o6 | 1 | 1.38 | -1 |
New York Jets | O7.5 | 1 | 1.04 | -1 |
San Francisco 49ers | O8.5 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.05 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | O6.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Net Result | -0.17 |
This year he is going with four up and four down:
Team | Line | Risked | To Win | Result |
Detroit Lions | o7 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 |
Dallas Cowboys | o10 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
Cincinnati Bengals | O5.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 |
Los Angeles Chargers | o8 | 1.15 | 1 | 0 |
Green Bay Packers | u9 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 |
Seattle Seahawks | u9 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 |
Houston Texans | U7.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
New Orleans Saints | U10.5 | 1.13 | 1 | 0 |
Please note, the teams must play 16 games for action. Finally, here’s a blast for the past on Bill’s “handicapping”
http://www.vegaswatch.org/2013/09/how-not-to-handicap-prop-bet-2013.html