Some notes:

  1. With the exception of the exception of the kicking specialists, this does not take positional value into account.
  2. Don’t sweat the positions too much. I have a secondary position listed for roughly 10% of them, and that’s being conservative.
  3. While I love Lamar Jackson, objectively I have to admit that Sam Darnold and Josh Rosen have better draft profiles.
  4. I am not fully taking injury/character risk into account. I’ll account for it when I do writeups of the top prospects.
  5. Saquon Barkley is cheating the system a bit. He’s pretty much flawless as a prospect, but he also didn’t dominate the way some college backs did.
Rank NAME POS SCHOOL Rating
1 Saquon Barkley* RB Penn State 97.44
2 Quenton Nelson G Notre Dame 95.96
3 Bradley Chubb DE NC State 93.93
4 Tremaine Edmunds* OLB Virginia Tech 90.36
5 Minkah Fitzpatrick* CB Alabama 89.37
6 Roquan Smith* OLB Georgia 88.06
7 Derwin James* S Florida State 87.58
8 Denzel Ward* CB Ohio State 86.28
9 Sam Darnold* QB USC 85.93
10 Josh Rosen* QB UCLA 85.53
11 Vita Vea* DT Washington 84.73
12 Da’Ron Payne* DT Alabama 84.30
13 Lamar Jackson* QB Louisville 84.06
14 Connor Williams* OT Texas 84.00
15 Calvin Ridley* WR Alabama 83.95
16 Baker Mayfield QB Oklahoma 83.32
17 Isaiah Wynn G Georgia 82.86
18 Derrius Guice* RB LSU 81.82
19 Taven Bryan* DT Florida 81.77
20 Maurice Hurst DT Michigan 81.22
21 Harold Landry OLB Boston College 81.06
22 Mike McGlinchey OT Notre Dame 80.75
23 Ronald Jones II* RB USC 80.35
24 Rashaan Evans LB Alabama 80.26
25 Jaire Alexander* CB Louisville 80.15
26 Josh Jackson* CB Iowa 80.14
27 William Hernandez G UTEP 80.01
28 Billy Price C Ohio State 80.00
29 Marcus Davenport DE UT San Antonio 79.50
30 Leighton Vander Esch* ILB Boise State 79.32
31 Courtland Sutton* WR SMU 79.19
32 James Daniels* C Iowa 78.43
33 Sony Michel RB Georgia 78.11
34 Ronnie Harrison* S Alabama 77.42
35 Nick Chubb RB Georgia 77.12
36 Christian Kirk* WR Texas A&M 77.00
37 Justin Reid* S Stanford 76.32
38 D.J. Moore* WR Maryland 76.24
39 Mike Hughes* CB UCF 76.16
40 James Washington WR Oklahoma State 75.22
41 Carlton Davis* CB Auburn 75.08
42 Isaiah Oliver* CB Colorado 74.49
43 Dallas Goedert TE South Dakota State 74.40
44 Josh Allen* QB Wyoming 73.72
45 Austin Corbett G Nevada 73.43
46 Chukwuma Okorafor OT Western Michigan 73.39
47 Lorenzo Carter OLB Georgia 73.31
48 Sam Hubbard* DE Ohio State 73.21
49 Jessie Bates III* S Wake Forest 72.70
50 Arden Key* DE LSU 72.59
51 Tyrell Crosby OT Oregon 72.44
52 Orlando Brown* OT Oklahoma 72.23
53 Anthony Miller WR Memphis 72.00
54 Obo Okoronkwo OLB Oklahoma 71.53
55 Frank Ragnow C Arkansas 71.31
56 Mike Gesicki TE Penn State 70.98
57 Josh Sweat* DE Florida State 70.78
58 Hayden Hurst* TE South Carolina 70.72
59 D.J. Chark WR LSU 70.30
60 Kerryon Johnson* RB Auburn 70.23
61 Donte Jackson* CB LSU 69.97
62 Rashaad Penny RB San Diego State 69.91
63 Martinas Rankin OT Mississippi State 69.76
64 Duke Ejiofor DE Wake Forest 69.71
65 Dante Pettis WR Washington 69.55
66 Nathan Shepherd DT Fort Hays State 69.54
67 Kolton Miller* OT UCLA 69.32
68 Jerome Baker* OLB Ohio State 69.04
69 Mark Andrews* TE Oklahoma 69.01
70 Braden Smith G Auburn 69.01
71 Malik Jefferson* OLB Texas 68.98
72 Jamarco Jones OT Ohio State 68.47
73 Harrison Phillips DT Stanford 68.18
74 Derrick Nnadi DT Florida State 67.69
75 Kyzir White S West Virginia 67.17
76 Mason Rudolph QB Oklahoma State 66.93
77 Rasheem Green* DE USC 66.67
78 Darius Leonard OLB South Carolina State 66.30
79 Tim Settle* DT Virginia Tech 66.07
80 Brian O’Neill* OT Pittsburgh 65.40
81 M.J. Stewart CB North Carolina 65.06
82 B.J. Hill DT NC State 64.99
83 Kemoko Turay DE Rutgers 64.64
84 DeShon Elliott* S Texas 64.53
85 Duke Dawson CB Florida 64.48
86 Armani Watts S Texas A&M 64.38
87 Mason Cole C Michigan 64.32
88 Nyheim Hines* RB NC State 64.16
89 Deon Cain* WR Clemson 64.05
90 Da’Shawn Hand DE Alabama 63.78
91 Royce Freeman RB Oregon 63.71
92 Equanimeous St. Brown* WR Notre Dame 63.55
93 Fred Warner LB BYU 63.47
94 Uchenna Nwosu OLB USC 63.37
95 Josey Jewell LB Iowa 63.30
96 Will Richardson* OT NC State 63.01
97 Tyquan Lewis DE Ohio State 62.96
98 Quenton Meeks* CB Stanford 62.74
99 Andrew Brown DE Virginia 62.74
100 Hercules Mata’afa* DE Washington State 62.73
101 Marcus Allen S Penn State 62.32
102 Anthony Averett CB Alabama 62.26
103 DaeSean Hamilton WR Penn State 62.23
104 Michael Gallup WR Colorado State 62.07
105 Tarvarus McFadden* CB Florida State 62.03
106 Jeff Holland* OLB Auburn 61.88
107 Mark Walton* RB Miami 61.80
108 RJ McIntosh* DT Miami 61.32
109 Jordan Whitehead* S Pittsburgh 61.25
110 John Kelly* RB Tennessee 60.78
111 Jalyn Holmes DE Ohio State 60.67
112 Kyle Lauletta QB Richmond 60.45
113 Geron Christian* OT Louisville 60.21
114 Alex Cappa OT Humboldt State 60.06
115 Brandon Parker OT North Carolina A&T 60.03
116 Ian Thomas TE Indiana 59.85
117 Wyatt Teller G Virginia Tech 59.75
118 Quin Blanding S Virginia 59.56
119 Deadrin Senat DT South Florida 59.38
120 Kalen Ballage RB Arizona State 59.33
121 Isaac Yiadom CB Boston College 59.28
122 Jaylen Samuels TE NC State 59.08
123 Terrell Edmunds* S Virginia Tech 58.54
124 Rashaan Gaulden* CB Tennessee 58.46
125 Mike White QB Western Kentucky 58.17
126 Bo Scarbrough* RB Alabama 57.68
127 Josh Adams* RB Notre Dame 57.45
128 Allen Lazard WR Iowa State 57.40
129 Holton Hill* CB Texas 57.39
130 Shaquem Griffin OLB UCF 57.00
131 Micah Kiser LB Virginia 56.86
132 Christian Campbell CB Penn State 56.81
133 Desmond Harrison OT West Georgia 56.80
134 Kevin Toliver* CB LSU 56.57
135 Nick Nelson* CB Wisconsin 56.55
136 Genard Avery ILB Memphis 56.39
137 Will Clapp* C LSU 56.33
138 Tre’Quan Smith* WR UCF 56.26
139 Trenton Thompson* DT Georgia 56.24
140 Scott Quessenberry C UCLA 55.93
141 Auden Tate* WR Florida State 55.77
142 Marcell Ateman WR Oklahoma State 55.70
143 Folorunso Fatukasi DT UConn 55.47
144 Skai Moore OLB South Carolina 55.41
145 Troy Fumagalli TE Wisconsin 55.33
146 Chris Herndon TE Miami 55.18
147 Breeland Speaks* DE Ole Miss 55.14
148 Trayvon Henderson S Hawai’i 55.10
149 Keke Coutee* WR Texas Tech 54.71
150 J’Mon Moore WR Missouri 54.69
151 Tyler Conklin TE Central Michigan 54.46
152 Dalton Schultz TE Stanford 54.39
153 Dorance Armstrong Jr.* DE Kansas 54.21
154 Justin Jones DT NC State 53.96
155 Cedrick Wilson WR Boise State 53.83
156 Simmie Cobbs* WR Indiana 53.57
157 Jordan Lasley* WR UCLA 53.55
158 Dane Cruikshank S Arizona 53.00
159 Kendrick Norton* DT Miami 52.94
160 Chad Thomas DE Miami 52.73
161 Danny Johnson CB Southern 52.67
162 Parry Nickerson CB Tulane 52.66
163 Shaun Dion Hamilton LB Alabama 52.41
164 Deontay Burnett* WR USC 51.99
165 Taron Johnson CB Weber State 51.94
166 Siran Neal CB Jacksonville State 51.88
167 Jack Cichy ILB Wisconsin 51.58
168 Kentavius Street DE NC State 51.53
169 Nick DeLuca LB North Dakota State 50.94
170 Marquis Haynes DE Ole Miss 50.77
171 Dorian O’Daniel OLB Clemson 50.74
172 Durham Smythe TE Notre Dame 50.60
173 Trey Quinn* WR SMU 50.54
174 J.C. Jackson* CB Maryland 50.52
175 Antonio Callaway* WR Florida 50.50
176 Darius Phillips CB Western Michigan 50.48
177 Toby Weathersby* OT LSU 50.26
178 Ade Aruna DE Tulane 49.97
179 Joe Noteboom OT TCU 49.89
180 Poona Ford DT Texas 49.87
181 Javon Wims WR Georgia 49.72
182 Christian Sam* ILB Arizona State 49.71
183 Luke Falk QB Washington State 49.70
184 Tegray Scales ILB Indiana 49.69
185 D.J. Reed CB Kansas State 49.56
186 Kameron Kelly S San Diego State 49.51
187 Skyler Phillips G Idaho State 49.50
188 Colby Gossett G Appalachian State 49.45
189 Akrum Wadley RB Iowa 49.41
190 Jeremy Reaves S South Alabama 49.11
191 Brian Allen C Michigan State 49.05
192 Kurt Benkert QB Virginia 48.94
193 Godwin Igwebuike S Northwestern 48.90
194 Kylie Fitts DE Utah 48.84
195 Cole Madison OT Washington State 48.69
196 Sean Welsh G Iowa 48.48
197 Damon Webb S Formerly Ohio State 48.04
198 Korey Robertson WR Southern Miss 48.00
199 Tray Matthews S Auburn 47.96
200 Byron Pringle* WR Kansas State 47.49
201 James Looney DE California 47.44
202 Timon Parris OT Stony Brook 47.32
203 Oren Burks OLB Vanderbilt 47.20
204 Mike McCray ILB Michigan 47.10
205 Jordan Akins TE UCF 47.07
206 Bradley Bozeman C Alabama 46.77
207 Chase Litton* QB Marshall 46.76
208 Chandon Sullivan CB Georgia State 46.73
209 Levi Wallace CB Alabama 46.45
210 Lowell Lotulelei DT Utah 46.42
211 Ja’Von Rolland-Jones DE Arkansas State 46.33
212 Kamrin Moore CB Boston College 46.21
213 Leon Jacobs OLB Wisconsin 46.07
214 Tony Brown CB Alabama 45.92
215 Taylor Hearn* G Clemson 45.80
216 Coleman Shelton C Washington 45.59
217 Greg Stroman CB Virginia Tech 45.42
218 Justin Jackson RB Northwestern 45.26
219 Davin Bellamy OLB Georgia 45.25
220 Michael Dickson* P Texas 45.10
221 Tony Adams G null 45.09
222 Jordan Thomas CB Oklahoma 45.06
223 Sam Jones* G Arizona State 44.98
224 Kenny Young ILB UCLA 44.85
225 Matthew Thomas OLB Florida State 44.81
226 Garret Dooley OLB Wisconsin 44.78
227 D’Montre Wade CB Murray State 44.73
228 Ryan Izzo* TE Florida State 44.53
229 Brandon Facyson CB Virginia Tech 44.45
230 Avonte Maddox CB Pittsburgh 44.07
231 Ito Smith RB Southern Miss 43.83
232 Jester Weah WR Pittsburgh 43.62
233 Jamil Demby OT Maine 43.61
234 Chase Edmonds RB Fordham 43.56
235 Maea Teuhema* G LSU/SE Louisiana 43.53
236 Olasunkanmi Adeniyi* DE Toledo 43.40
237 Joe Ostman DE Central Michigan 43.13
238 Darren Carrington II WR Utah 43.01
239 Dimitri Flowers RB Oklahoma 42.88
240 Jason Cabinda LB Penn State 42.82
241 Tre’ Williams LB Auburn 42.78
242 Brett Toth OT Army 42.55
243 Matt Pryor OT TCU 42.31
244 Richie James WR Middle Tennessee State 42.27
245 Nick Gates* OT Nebraska 42.27
246 Troy Apke S Penn State 42.09
247 KC McDermott OT Miami 42.04
248 Keishawn Bierria OLB Washington 41.90
249 Rashard Fant CB Indiana 41.85
250 Tracy Walker S Louisiana 41.84
251 Peter Kalambayi OLB Stanford 41.58
252 P.J. Hall DT Sam Houston State 41.57
253 James Hearns OLB Louisville 41.51
254 Van Smith* S Clemson 41.45
255 Grant Haley CB Penn State 41.45
256 Daurice Fountain WR Northern Iowa 41.40
257 Joshua Kalu S Nebraska 41.25
258 Tre Flowers S Oklahoma State 41.24
259 Zachary Crabtree OT Oklahoma State 41.08
260 Darrel Williams RB LSU 40.92
261 Dejon Allen G Hawai’i 40.56
262 Azeem Victor LB Washington 40.54
263 Riley Ferguson QB Memphis 40.52
264 Chris Worley ILB Ohio State 40.50
265 Ryan Nall* RB Oregon State 40.39
266 Trevon Young DE Louisville 40.39
267 Jaleel Scott WR New Mexico State 40.11
268 Daniel Carlson K Auburn 39.86
269 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR Null/South Florida 39.85
270 Phillip Lindsay RB Colorado 39.77
271 Joel Iyiegbuniwe LB Western Kentucky 39.73
272 Michael Joseph CB Dubuque 39.63
273 Ethan Wolf TE Tennessee 39.61
274 David Bright OT Stanford 39.49
275 Dylan Cantrell WR Texas Tech 39.31
276 Ja’Whaun Bentley LB Purdue 39.28
277 J.T. Barrett QB Ohio State 39.19
278 Stephen Roberts S Auburn 39.04
279 Ka’Raun White WR West Virginia 38.94
280 Bilal Nichols DT Delaware 38.88
281 Braxton Berrios WR Miami 38.73
282 Marcus Baugh TE Ohio State 38.56
283 Chris Warren RB Texas 38.29
284 Will Dissly TE Washington 38.22
285 Martez Carter RB Grambling State 38.16
286 Jarvion Franklin RB Western Michigan 38.09
287 JK Scott P Alabama 38.06
288 Quadree Henderson* WR Pittsburgh 37.98
289 Ralph Webb RB Vanderbilt 37.97
290 Dee Delaney CB Miami 37.92
291 Dominik Sanders S Georgia 37.92
292 Eddie Pineiro K Florida 37.90
293 Justin Crawford RB West Virginia 37.82
294 JaMarcus King CB South Carolina 37.68
295 Jordan Wilkins RB Ole Miss 37.62
296 John Atkins DT Georgia 37.60
297 Kyle Bosch G West Virginia 37.58
298 Deon Yelder TE Western Kentucky 37.47
299 Quinton Flowers QB South Florida 37.35
300 Natrell Jamerson S Wisconsin 37.34
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Yesterday was a lousy day for ESPN, and a terrible one for 538, but a solid one for Nylon Calculus. We’ll see what day two brings. Also, let me note that I have given everyone a $10,000 bankroll. ESPN has been racked by declining viewership and layoffs, while 538 is apparently for sale.

ESPN Risked To Win Result
Spurs 450 2988 0
Raptors 900 150 0
Heat 375 1500 0
Pass 0 0 0
Celtics 3808 2410 0
Pacers 3527 15944 0
Thunder 2715 2011 0
Rockets 7182 264 0

Note: ESPN has the Rockets at greater than 99% to win the series, but I rounded down to 99%. It’s a random fluke that their wagers for the day 2 series are all larger than ones that started yesterday.

538 Risked To Win Result
Spurs 3557 23616 0
Raptors 3700 617 0
Sixers 2800 560 0
Pelicans 978 1760 0
Celtics 3034 1920 0
Pacers 1207 5456 0
Jazz 467 560 0
Timberwolves 187 2800 0

It’s kind of amazing that even if the Pelicans, Raptors, and Sixers all win their respective series, a Spurs loss would put 538 in the red. Of course, there are other chances for 538 to get back into the black, so we’ll have to wait and see.

Nylon Calculus Risked To Win Result
Spurs 450 2988 0
Pass 0 0 0
Heat 125 500 0
Pelicans 1444 2600 0
Bucks 57 80 0
Pacers 841 3800 0
Pass 0 0 0
Timberwolves 293 4400 0

Unlike ESPN’s BPI or 538’s Carmelo model, Nylon Calculus seems to have a decent grip on reality. They have a positive EV after day 1 (nice win for the Pelicans last night), and they are much closer to the market prices than ESPN or 538. I’m a tad curious what they futures expectations were, but I didn’t see them on the site. C’est la vie.

The playoffs are here and ESPN/538 and Nylon Calculus are on it. Let’s see how their predictions do as the playoffs unfold.

If you are curious about their futures, ESPN is here, 538 is here.

ESPN Risked To Win Result
Spurs 450 2988 0
Raptors 900 150 0
Heat 375 1500 0
Pass 0 0 0
538 Risked To Win Result
Spurs 3557 23616 0
Raptors 3700 617 0
Sixers 2800 560 0
Pelicans 978 1760 0
Nylon Calculus Risked To Win Result
Spurs 450 2988 0
Pass 0 0 0
Heat 125 500 0
Pelicans 1444 2600 0

There is pretty much no chance that the committee will see it this way. Pythag has a lot more respect for the Big 10 than the RPI has, and it shows here with the Big 10 getting three teams on the top two seed lines. Surprisingly (to me anyway), the ACC would only get one.

In a WAB (or Implied Pythag) world, Nebraska would be safely in. Ditto for St. Mary’s. Marquette and Middle Tennessee would be the last teams in, while Oklahoma State would be the first team out.

Kansas as a #1 seed makes a lot more sense if you discount everything the Big 10 did. Duke and UNC would both move up to the #2 line as well. Of course, all of this is moot because RPI still rules the world. C’est la vie.

School Seed
Virginia 1
Villanova 1
Michigan St. 1
Xavier 1
Kansas 2
Purdue 2
Michigan 2
Cincinnati 2
Duke 3
North Carolina 3
Tennessee 3
Gonzaga 3
West Virginia 4
Texas Tech 4
Clemson 4
Ohio St. 4
Auburn 5
Kentucky 5
Wichita St. 5
Arizona 5
Houston 6
Miami FL 6
Kansas St. 6
Arkansas 6
Nevada 7
TCU 7
Rhode Island 7
Seton Hall 7
Virginia Tech 8
Texas A&M 8
St. Bonaventure 8
Nebraska 8
Loyola Chicago 9
Saint Mary’s 9
Creighton 9
New Mexico St. 9
Florida 10
Providence 10
Oklahoma 10
North Carolina St. 10
Florida St. 11
Texas 11
Butler 11.1
Louisville 12.1
South Dakota St. 11
Middle Tennessee 12.1
Marquette 11.1
Murray St. 12
UNC Greensboro 12
Buffalo 12
San Diego St. 13
Montana 13
College of Charleston 13
Davidson 13
Stephen F. Austin 14
Bucknell 14
Marshall 14
Penn 14
Lipscomb 15
Wright St. 15
UMBC 15
Georgia St. 15
Cal St. Fullerton 16
Radford 16
Iona 16.1
Texas Southern 16.2
LIU Brooklyn 16.2
North Carolina Central 16.1
Oklahoma St. Out
Missouri Out
UCLA Out
Baylor Out
Mississippi St. Out
Syracuse Out
USC Out
Notre Dame Out

Well see how these play out in a little over four hours:

Alabama: In. Lock.

Arizona State: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Baylor: Out.

Butler: In. Lock.

Florida State: In. Lock.

Kansas State: In. Lock.

Louisville: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Marquette: Out.

Middle Tennessee: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Missouri: In. Lock.

NC State: In. Lock.

Nebraska: Out.

Notre Dame: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Oklahoma: In. Slight chance of missing the field.

Oklahoma State: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Providence: In. Lock.

St. Bonaventure: In. Lock. (I’m as shocked as you are)

St. Mary’s: In. Slight chance of missing the field.

Syracuse: Out. Live underdog to make the field.

Texas: In. Lock.

UCLA: In. Lock.

USC: In. Lock.

Utah: Out.

Virginia Tech: In. Lock.

Sorry Nebraska.

Full tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School Implied Pythag Rank Implied Pythag WAB Avg Rank WAB Pythag Rank Pythag
Virginia 0.9892 1 11.42 1 0.9710 1
Villanova 0.9723 2 9.46 2 0.9701 2
Michigan St. 0.9678 3 7.52 5 0.9538 6
Xavier 0.9639 4 7.73 3 0.9211 13
Cincinnati 0.9557 5 5.36 11 0.9580 4
Michigan 0.9555 6 6.60 9 0.9271 11
Purdue 0.9537 7 6.89 7 0.9564 5
Kansas 0.9525 8 7.55 4 0.9397 8
Duke 0.9510 9 6.82 8 0.9646 3
Gonzaga 0.9487 10 4.47 12 0.9369 9
North Carolina 0.9473 11 6.93 6 0.9436 7
Tennessee 0.9454 12 6.37 10 0.9169 14
Clemson 0.9252 13 4.00 15 0.9010 19
Texas Tech 0.9247 14 4.33 14 0.9255 12
Ohio St. 0.9236 15 3.90 17 0.9088 16
West Virginia 0.9235 16 4.45 13 0.9300 10
Auburn 0.9227 17 3.91 16 0.8989 21
Houston 0.9220 18 3.17 21 0.9027 18
Wichita St. 0.9194 19 3.35 19 0.9127 15
Arizona 0.9137 20 3.50 18 0.8995 20
Kentucky 0.9081 21 3.35 20 0.9037 17
Miami FL 0.9056 22 2.64 22 0.8638 35
Rhode Island 0.9016 23 2.04 25 0.8508 39
Kansas St. 0.8951 24 2.26 24 0.8425 44
Arkansas 0.8928 25 2.37 23 0.8577 38
Nevada 0.8924 26 1.99 26 0.8679 34
TCU 0.8872 27 1.89 27 0.8941 22
Virginia Tech 0.8843 28 1.47 30 0.8709 30
Seton Hall 0.8833 29 1.61 28 0.8760 26
Loyola Chicago 0.8819 30 1.17 33 0.8168 54
St. Bonaventure 0.8818 31 1.34 32 0.7895 60
Nebraska 0.8812 32 1.36 31 0.7987 57
Texas A&M 0.8810 33 1.56 29 0.8708 31
Saint Mary’s 0.8798 34 1.01 36 0.8705 32
New Mexico St. 0.8785 35 0.94 38 0.7918 59
Creighton 0.8758 36 1.13 34 0.8873 24
Florida 0.8727 37 1.12 35 0.8917 23
Providence 0.8705 38 0.99 37 0.7964 58
Florida St. 0.8703 39 0.82 42 0.8614 37
North Carolina St. 0.8702 40 0.84 41 0.8348 47
Oklahoma 0.8692 41 0.89 39 0.8465 42
Texas 0.8676 42 0.84 40 0.8614 36
Butler 0.8673 43 0.79 43 0.8809 25
Louisville 0.8629 44 0.50 44 0.8756 27
South Dakota St. 0.8602 45 0.37 45 0.7387 82
Middle Tennessee 0.8567 46 0.29 46 0.8166 55
Marquette 0.8566 47 0.28 47 0.8210 52
Oklahoma St. 0.8507 48 0.01 48 0.8197 53
Missouri 0.8461 49 -0.18 50 0.8442 43
UCLA 0.8453 50 -0.17 49 0.8282 49
Baylor 0.8450 51 -0.23 51 0.8696 33
Mississippi St. 0.8436 52 -0.24 52 0.7870 61
Syracuse 0.8393 53 -0.45 53 0.8278 50
USC 0.8375 54 -0.52 54 0.8478 41
Notre Dame 0.8352 55 -0.60 55 0.8714 29
Penn St. 0.8272 56 -0.91 59 0.8728 28
Alabama 0.8265 57 -1.19 62 0.8288 48
Boise St. 0.8250 58 -0.79 58 0.8078 56
Murray St. 0.8223 59 -0.61 56 0.7727 70
Louisiana Lafayette 0.8215 60 -0.72 57 0.7804 68
Maryland 0.8206 61 -1.10 61 0.8499 40
Georgia 0.8160 62 -1.57 65 0.7851 64
Utah 0.8113 63 -1.42 63 0.7820 66
Vermont 0.8099 64 -1.08 60 0.7622 75
Arizona St. 0.8069 65 -1.58 66 0.8389 46
Boston College 0.7986 66 -1.98 72 0.7611 77
San Diego St. 0.7927 67 -1.92 70 0.8261 51
Old Dominion 0.7925 68 -1.65 67 0.7801 69
Buffalo 0.7907 69 -1.73 68 0.7528 79
Western Kentucky 0.7901 70 -1.97 71 0.7818 67
LSU 0.7878 71 -2.36 76 0.7870 62
BYU 0.7877 72 -1.99 73 0.7674 72
UNC Greensboro 0.7868 73 -1.44 64 0.7120 90
Oregon 0.7793 74 -2.63 78 0.7834 65
Montana 0.7758 75 -1.84 69 0.6992 94
Washington 0.7698 76 -2.80 79 0.6718 105
Temple 0.7692 77 -3.05 81 0.7257 85
College of Charleston 0.7600 78 -2.08 74 0.6265 117
South Carolina 0.7572 79 -3.62 90 0.7521 80
St. John’s 0.7563 80 -3.65 91 0.7615 76
Indiana 0.7544 81 -3.16 85 0.7702 71
Davidson 0.7426 82 -3.12 84 0.8392 45
South Dakota 0.7375 83 -2.46 77 0.7642 74
Stephen F. Austin 0.7357 84 -2.10 75 0.6383 114
Wisconsin 0.7319 85 -4.19 97 0.7857 63
Marshall 0.7300 86 -3.32 87 0.6159 121
UCF 0.7296 87 -3.67 92 0.6750 104
Bucknell 0.7293 88 -3.03 80 0.7096 92
Belmont 0.7271 89 -3.12 83 0.7261 84
Stanford 0.7266 90 -4.37 101 0.7156 88
East Tennessee St. 0.7261 91 -3.05 82 0.6993 93
Colorado 0.7173 92 -4.63 106 0.6313 116
Northeastern 0.7168 93 -3.90 93 0.6859 97
Memphis 0.7136 94 -4.13 96 0.5376 153
Wyoming 0.7128 95 -4.39 102 0.6005 128
Iowa St. 0.7060 96 -4.69 108 0.6990 95
Rider 0.7034 97 -3.56 89 0.5645 136
Northwestern 0.7025 98 -4.88 110 0.7574 78
Penn 0.6978 99 -3.47 88 0.6326 115
Fresno St. 0.6975 100 -4.23 98 0.7449 81
Tulsa 0.6915 101 -4.28 99 0.6618 107
Wright St. 0.6869 102 -3.94 94 0.5744 133
Lipscomb 0.6817 103 -3.23 86 0.4912 173
Georgetown 0.6792 104 -4.44 103 0.6811 99
Minnesota 0.6682 105 -5.36 113 0.6771 101
Furman 0.6666 106 -3.97 95 0.7107 91
Toledo 0.6631 107 -5.07 112 0.6193 120
Illinois St. 0.6616 108 -6.60 137 0.5393 151
UNLV 0.6615 109 -5.57 116 0.6763 102
UC Davis 0.6588 110 -4.84 109 0.5524 145
UC Santa Barbara 0.6572 111 -4.35 100 0.5737 134
Vanderbilt 0.6572 112 -6.54 133 0.7265 83
Southern Illinois 0.6548 113 -5.85 119 0.5484 147
Utah Valley 0.6452 114 -4.53 104 0.6848 98
Iowa 0.6438 115 -6.58 135 0.7244 86
Georgia St. 0.6419 116 -5.48 115 0.6637 106
Bradley 0.6407 117 -6.28 128 0.5760 132
New Mexico 0.6385 118 -6.58 136 0.6588 109
UMBC 0.6361 119 -4.56 105 0.4481 184
UT Arlington 0.6350 120 -5.71 117 0.6221 119
Northern Kentucky 0.6348 121 -4.65 107 0.7138 89
SMU 0.6177 122 -6.07 126 0.7662 73
Illinois 0.6126 123 -6.99 146 0.6970 96
Idaho 0.6125 124 -5.03 111 0.5590 141
William & Mary 0.6119 125 -6.06 124 0.5163 164
Georgia Tech 0.6116 126 -6.65 140 0.6432 111
VCU 0.6074 127 -7.16 149 0.6053 125
Hofstra 0.6066 128 -6.06 125 0.5372 154
Connecticut 0.6056 129 -6.47 130 0.5203 160
Mississippi 0.6056 130 -7.61 156 0.6755 103
San Diego 0.6054 131 -5.93 122 0.5880 129
Cal St. Fullerton 0.6027 132 -5.87 120 0.4905 175
Oregon St. 0.6022 133 -7.30 153 0.6780 100
Wofford 0.6018 134 -5.90 121 0.5311 156
Harvard 0.5976 135 -6.37 129 0.5717 135
Georgia Southern 0.5958 136 -6.84 144 0.5599 140
Northern Colorado 0.5939 137 -6.68 141 0.6049 126
Canisius 0.5874 138 -6.54 132 0.5832 130
Iona 0.5828 139 -7.30 152 0.6077 124
Northern Iowa 0.5794 140 -7.70 160 0.6138 122
Albany 0.5763 141 -5.93 123 0.5544 143
DePaul 0.5704 142 -7.46 154 0.6614 108
UAB 0.5699 143 -6.75 143 0.6407 112
UNC Asheville 0.5689 144 -6.14 127 0.4425 185
Wake Forest 0.5652 145 -8.01 164 0.7212 87
Eastern Washington 0.5651 146 -7.75 161 0.5429 150
Utah St. 0.5647 147 -8.38 171 0.5599 139
Ball St. 0.5644 148 -7.11 148 0.4915 172
Saint Louis 0.5635 149 -8.23 168 0.5615 137
Radford 0.5607 150 -6.48 131 0.4678 180
San Francisco 0.5604 151 -7.20 150 0.5388 152
Missouri St. 0.5596 152 -8.65 178 0.6249 118
Grand Canyon 0.5572 153 -5.81 118 0.6485 110
Eastern Michigan 0.5562 154 -7.01 147 0.5312 155
Rutgers 0.5544 155 -7.24 151 0.6024 127
Drake 0.5542 156 -8.79 180 0.4952 170
Saint Joseph’s 0.5513 157 -8.45 174 0.6398 113
Portland St. 0.5452 158 -7.51 155 0.5076 165
Wagner 0.5442 159 -5.39 114 0.4640 182
Southeastern Louisiana 0.5410 160 -6.54 134 0.4031 200
Weber St. 0.5399 161 -6.68 142 0.5190 162
Jacksonville St. 0.5363 162 -6.95 145 0.5545 142
Evansville 0.5358 163 -8.40 172 0.5283 159
Niagara 0.5256 164 -8.12 165 0.4039 198
UTSA 0.5144 165 -7.96 163 0.4539 183
Dayton 0.5092 166 -9.71 190 0.5294 157
UC Irvine 0.5070 167 -9.50 184 0.5508 146
Nicholls St. 0.5052 168 -6.60 138 0.4331 189
Tennessee Tech 0.4992 169 -8.16 166 0.3622 221
Yale 0.4979 170 -8.43 173 0.4656 181
Florida Gulf Coast 0.4932 171 -6.62 139 0.6133 123
Austin Peay 0.4931 172 -7.86 162 0.4030 201
George Mason 0.4907 173 -9.96 195 0.3806 211
Washington St. 0.4895 174 -10.12 198 0.4386 188
Oakland 0.4885 175 -8.24 169 0.5074 166
Towson 0.4874 176 -9.26 182 0.5600 138
Seattle 0.4824 177 -7.67 158 0.4097 196
Mercer 0.4818 178 -8.24 170 0.5819 131
George Washington 0.4801 179 -10.03 197 0.4390 187
Tulane 0.4692 180 -8.63 177 0.5073 167
Valparaiso 0.4635 181 -10.37 203 0.5466 148
Winthrop 0.4619 182 -7.66 157 0.5289 158
Fort Wayne 0.4565 183 -8.56 175 0.5189 163
Western Michigan 0.4552 184 -9.97 196 0.4417 186
Colgate 0.4498 185 -8.60 176 0.4109 195
Navy 0.4480 186 -8.17 167 0.3696 216
Louisiana Tech 0.4467 187 -9.75 191 0.5439 149
La Salle 0.4467 188 -11.16 222 0.5529 144
Hartford 0.4445 189 -9.10 181 0.3394 230
Richmond 0.4424 190 -11.51 229 0.4918 171
Kent St. 0.4401 191 -11.04 215 0.3967 205
Pacific 0.4399 192 -10.38 204 0.4724 179
Hawaii 0.4359 193 -8.72 179 0.3870 208
Central Michigan 0.4319 194 -9.61 187 0.4844 177
Miami OH 0.4314 195 -11.13 221 0.4211 193
Long Beach St. 0.4286 196 -10.64 208 0.3924 206
Indiana St. 0.4273 197 -11.10 219 0.5193 161
Fairfield 0.4202 198 -10.47 206 0.3896 207
Troy 0.4198 199 -10.83 210 0.4906 174
Southern Miss 0.4104 200 -10.69 209 0.3322 232
Liberty 0.4097 201 -9.83 192 0.4998 168
Denver 0.4062 202 -9.88 193 0.3684 218
Bowling Green 0.4023 203 -11.25 223 0.3245 234
St. Francis PA 0.4015 204 -7.67 159 0.4037 199
Sam Houston St. 0.3938 205 -9.56 185 0.3618 223
Louisiana Monroe 0.3916 206 -9.64 188 0.3608 224
North Dakota St. 0.3903 207 -10.47 207 0.4954 169
Princeton 0.3893 208 -10.33 202 0.4799 178
Massachusetts 0.3815 209 -12.94 256 0.4213 192
Illinois Chicago 0.3814 210 -10.26 200 0.4022 202
Tennessee St. 0.3769 211 -9.60 186 0.3791 213
Ohio 0.3763 212 -11.42 226 0.4245 191
Lehigh 0.3732 213 -9.65 189 0.3620 222
North Texas 0.3721 214 -11.01 214 0.4127 194
Elon 0.3676 215 -12.08 242 0.3302 233
Appalachian St. 0.3621 216 -12.62 252 0.3992 203
Duquesne 0.3607 217 -11.07 217 0.4314 190
Pittsburgh 0.3595 218 -11.06 216 0.3586 226
Central Arkansas 0.3589 219 -10.90 212 0.3760 215
Colorado St. 0.3581 220 -12.34 248 0.3434 229
Lamar 0.3562 221 -9.94 194 0.4071 197
Akron 0.3553 222 -12.57 251 0.3006 248
Manhattan 0.3534 223 -12.28 243 0.3824 209
Air Force 0.3533 224 -12.28 244 0.3050 244
Robert Morris 0.3501 225 -11.95 239 0.2999 249
Boston University 0.3500 226 -11.58 232 0.3205 236
Texas St. 0.3445 227 -13.16 259 0.3598 225
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.3410 228 -11.28 224 0.2617 269
Cornell 0.3405 229 -11.10 220 0.2765 263
Monmouth 0.3367 230 -13.55 269 0.4869 176
Saint Peter’s 0.3356 231 -12.99 258 0.3802 212
Mount St. Mary’s 0.3333 232 -10.22 199 0.3154 239
Milwaukee 0.3324 233 -12.28 245 0.3777 214
Western Carolina 0.3285 234 -11.64 233 0.1992 305
Coastal Carolina 0.3275 235 -13.23 262 0.3988 204
Stony Brook 0.3221 236 -12.71 254 0.3695 217
Delaware 0.3216 237 -13.73 274 0.2967 253
Drexel 0.3213 238 -14.43 284 0.3019 246
South Alabama 0.3149 239 -12.71 253 0.3665 219
LIU Brooklyn 0.3073 240 -13.16 260 0.2946 255
Southern Utah 0.3058 241 -12.85 255 0.2435 278
Northern Illinois 0.3056 242 -13.58 271 0.3012 247
Grambling St. 0.3030 243 -10.30 201 0.1849 315
North Dakota 0.3027 244 -13.26 263 0.2876 258
Idaho St. 0.3021 245 -11.68 235 0.2969 252
North Florida 0.3018 246 -11.30 225 0.2255 289
Loyola Marymount 0.2984 247 -12.35 249 0.3340 231
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.2977 248 -11.56 231 0.3171 238
New Orleans 0.2961 249 -10.94 213 0.2646 267
Campbell 0.2847 250 -11.55 230 0.3660 220
Southeast Missouri St. 0.2847 251 -12.56 250 0.2714 264
Gardner Webb 0.2825 252 -12.05 241 0.2812 261
North Carolina A&T 0.2779 253 -10.45 205 0.1922 308
UNC Wilmington 0.2740 254 -14.87 292 0.3199 237
Abilene Christian 0.2691 255 -11.66 234 0.2683 266
Oral Roberts 0.2683 256 -13.49 267 0.3053 243
Quinnipiac 0.2674 257 -16.18 307 0.2387 282
FIU 0.2660 258 -13.75 275 0.2956 254
Charleston Southern 0.2657 259 -11.49 228 0.3072 242
California 0.2644 260 -14.35 281 0.3217 235
Central Connecticut 0.2624 261 -13.91 278 0.1910 310
Holy Cross 0.2605 262 -15.00 294 0.2448 276
Montana St. 0.2587 263 -14.42 283 0.2534 274
Brown 0.2585 264 -11.72 238 0.2780 262
Florida Atlantic 0.2572 265 -13.35 266 0.3032 245
Army 0.2562 266 -13.60 272 0.3080 241
Eastern Illinois 0.2541 267 -13.68 273 0.2939 256
Savannah St. 0.2471 268 -9.43 183 0.1690 320
Fordham 0.2470 269 -15.03 296 0.2361 283
High Point 0.2461 270 -12.33 247 0.3441 228
Western Illinois 0.2461 271 -11.47 227 0.2254 290
UTEP 0.2448 272 -14.52 286 0.2988 250
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2426 273 -13.18 261 0.2632 268
NJIT 0.2406 274 -11.71 237 0.2974 251
Prairie View A&M 0.2364 275 -12.03 240 0.2483 275
Hampton 0.2364 276 -11.08 218 0.2873 259
Texas Southern 0.2322 277 -10.90 211 0.3140 240
James Madison 0.2318 278 -16.64 314 0.3443 227
Arkansas St. 0.2278 279 -15.43 299 0.2589 271
Santa Clara 0.2268 280 -13.53 268 0.2565 273
South Florida 0.2242 281 -14.77 290 0.2396 281
Bethune Cookman 0.2214 282 -11.68 236 0.2061 301
East Carolina 0.2206 283 -13.29 264 0.2041 302
St. Francis NY 0.2188 284 -14.52 285 0.1906 311
IUPUI 0.2185 285 -13.80 276 0.2337 286
Cleveland St. 0.2155 286 -16.92 317 0.2075 299
UMass Lowell 0.2133 287 -14.21 280 0.2300 287
Portland 0.2098 288 -14.70 288 0.2608 270
Nebraska Omaha 0.2088 289 -14.37 282 0.2569 272
Eastern Kentucky 0.2080 290 -14.69 287 0.2274 288
Green Bay 0.2057 291 -14.76 289 0.2877 257
North Carolina Central 0.2043 292 -12.32 246 0.2175 293
SIU Edwardsville 0.2010 293 -15.50 300 0.1736 319
Jacksonville 0.1988 294 -13.57 270 0.1630 324
UMKC 0.1859 295 -15.56 302 0.2157 295
Cal Poly 0.1844 296 -17.06 320 0.1664 323
McNeese St. 0.1838 297 -12.95 257 0.2005 303
The Citadel 0.1811 298 -14.91 293 0.1864 314
Columbia 0.1783 299 -13.86 277 0.3820 210
UC Riverside 0.1781 300 -16.72 316 0.2435 277
Lafayette 0.1701 301 -16.92 318 0.2421 279
Siena 0.1696 302 -18.34 328 0.2200 292
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1654 303 -16.43 312 0.1307 330
Samford 0.1617 304 -15.30 297 0.2405 280
Kennesaw St. 0.1598 305 -14.80 291 0.1999 304
Binghamton 0.1580 306 -16.17 306 0.2235 291
Loyola MD 0.1564 307 -17.39 322 0.1899 312
Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.1556 308 -14.19 279 0.1915 309
Chattanooga 0.1551 309 -17.62 323 0.2171 294
Morehead St. 0.1539 310 -15.00 295 0.2346 285
Tennessee Martin 0.1538 311 -16.31 310 0.2157 296
Dartmouth 0.1523 312 -15.52 301 0.2360 284
New Hampshire 0.1509 313 -16.18 308 0.2835 260
Southern 0.1461 314 -13.34 265 0.1553 325
VMI 0.1441 315 -15.73 303 0.1200 333
Stetson 0.1422 316 -16.40 311 0.1783 318
Presbyterian 0.1417 317 -16.23 309 0.1252 331
Sacred Heart 0.1348 318 -17.00 319 0.1988 306
Youngstown St. 0.1332 319 -18.34 329 0.1681 322
Charlotte 0.1322 320 -17.63 324 0.1865 313
Detroit 0.1283 321 -18.29 327 0.1848 316
Norfolk St. 0.1264 322 -15.33 298 0.1813 317
Sacramento St. 0.1209 323 -19.13 333 0.2156 297
Little Rock 0.1203 324 -19.39 337 0.2123 298
Morgan St. 0.1201 325 -15.88 304 0.1544 326
Pepperdine 0.1188 326 -18.07 325 0.2700 265
Marist 0.1170 327 -20.18 341 0.1689 321
Rice 0.1120 328 -18.10 326 0.1987 307
Jackson St. 0.1075 329 -16.11 305 0.1033 337
San Jose St. 0.1069 330 -18.98 332 0.2067 300
American 0.0908 331 -19.13 334 0.1484 327
South Carolina St. 0.0842 332 -17.17 321 0.0831 343
Howard 0.0817 333 -18.88 331 0.1187 334
Maine 0.0804 334 -20.31 342 0.1251 332
Florida A&M 0.0802 335 -19.26 336 0.0862 342
Cal St. Northridge 0.0776 336 -19.83 340 0.1406 328
Alabama St. 0.0771 337 -18.37 330 0.0928 340
Longwood 0.0731 338 -21.32 347 0.0816 344
Northern Arizona 0.0713 339 -20.79 345 0.1149 335
Alcorn St. 0.0696 340 -16.51 313 0.1028 338
USC Upstate 0.0518 341 -19.82 339 0.1135 336
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0470 342 -19.48 338 0.0427 349
Incarnate Word 0.0460 343 -16.71 315 0.0998 339
Houston Baptist 0.0455 344 -19.17 335 0.1366 329
Coppin St. 0.0445 345 -21.21 346 0.0606 347
Bryant 0.0442 346 -23.04 349 0.0923 341
Mississippi Valley St. 0.0310 347 -22.81 348 0.0578 348
Chicago St. 0.0259 348 -20.74 344 0.0636 346
Alabama A&M 0.0227 349 -23.37 350 0.0372 351
Delaware St. 0.0147 350 -24.30 351 0.0425 350
Northwestern St. 0.0023 351 -20.40 343 0.0674 345

 

 

 

 

The definition of a bid thief has two parts. First, a bid thief needs to be from a conference with a team or number of teams that can earn at-large bids. Second, this team needs to not be among that group. When this situation occurs, the term used is “Bid Thief”.

I dislike that term. They aren’t stealing a bid. They are earning a bid. So long as conference tournaments provide automatic entry into the NCAA tournament, we will continue to see such teams earn bids. Thus is the nature of college basketball.

More interesting (to me anyway) is when teams that are locks don’t play up to their potential against bubble-teams in conference tournaments. For example, Auburn’s second half performance against Alabama yesterday wasn’t exactly representative of how they have played for much of the season. If there is real bid theft, that’s where incentives exist for it to take place.

Full WAB Tables available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

(I ran Matchup Zone, Massey, and Dolphin yesterday. It’s on the second page)

 

School Implied Pythag Rank Implied Pythag WAB Avg Rank WAB Pythag Rank Pythag
Virginia 0.9882 1 10.60 1 0.9705 1
Villanova 0.9714 2 8.97 2 0.9701 2
Michigan St. 0.9678 3 7.47 4 0.9537 6
Xavier 0.9639 4 7.67 3 0.9210 13
Michigan 0.9554 5 6.54 9 0.9269 11
Cincinnati 0.9550 6 5.13 11 0.9592 4
Purdue 0.9534 7 6.81 6 0.9559 5
Duke 0.9510 8 6.75 8 0.9647 3
North Carolina 0.9501 9 6.98 5 0.9445 7
Kansas 0.9485 10 6.77 7 0.9364 9
Gonzaga 0.9485 11 4.41 13 0.9371 8
Tennessee 0.9423 12 5.78 10 0.9112 15
Wichita St. 0.9292 13 3.69 18 0.9144 14
West Virginia 0.9285 14 4.62 12 0.9327 10
Clemson 0.9251 15 3.94 15 0.9008 18
Texas Tech 0.9247 16 4.27 14 0.9258 12
Ohio St. 0.9237 17 3.85 17 0.9083 16
Auburn 0.9233 18 3.90 16 0.8994 19
Houston 0.9125 19 2.50 23 0.9016 17
Arizona 0.9079 20 2.96 19 0.8941 21
Miami FL 0.9052 21 2.56 22 0.8629 36
Kentucky 0.9029 22 2.82 20 0.8960 20
Arkansas 0.8995 23 2.63 21 0.8654 35
Rhode Island 0.8981 24 1.78 28 0.8533 40
St. Bonaventure 0.8954 25 1.81 27 0.7982 58
Kansas St. 0.8947 26 2.19 24 0.8416 44
Nevada 0.8925 27 1.95 25 0.8678 34
TCU 0.8872 28 1.83 26 0.8937 22
Providence 0.8865 29 1.69 29 0.7940 59
Virginia Tech 0.8835 30 1.39 31 0.8703 31
Loyola Chicago 0.8819 31 1.13 33 0.8167 55
Texas A&M 0.8815 32 1.53 30 0.8714 29
Nebraska 0.8809 33 1.30 32 0.7985 57
Saint Mary’s 0.8791 34 0.95 37 0.8693 32
Creighton 0.8757 35 1.08 34 0.8867 24
Seton Hall 0.8732 36 0.99 36 0.8769 26
Florida 0.8730 37 1.08 35 0.8916 23
New Mexico St. 0.8727 38 0.69 43 0.7826 67
Oklahoma 0.8701 39 0.88 38 0.8458 42
Florida St. 0.8699 40 0.75 41 0.8608 38
North Carolina St. 0.8693 41 0.76 40 0.8341 47
Texas 0.8678 42 0.80 39 0.8613 37
Butler 0.8671 43 0.73 42 0.8814 25
Louisville 0.8622 44 0.42 44 0.8743 27
South Dakota St. 0.8600 45 0.33 45 0.7399 82
Middle Tennessee 0.8570 46 0.26 46 0.8171 54
Marquette 0.8568 47 0.24 47 0.8210 52
Oklahoma St. 0.8506 48 -0.05 49 0.8202 53
Louisiana Lafayette 0.8486 49 0.01 48 0.7876 60
Missouri 0.8461 50 -0.24 53 0.8453 43
USC 0.8452 51 -0.22 51 0.8536 39
UCLA 0.8451 52 -0.23 52 0.8281 49
Baylor 0.8451 53 -0.28 54 0.8693 33
Mississippi St. 0.8437 54 -0.29 55 0.7869 61
Vermont 0.8421 55 -0.20 50 0.7744 70
Syracuse 0.8390 56 -0.51 56 0.8276 50
Notre Dame 0.8351 57 -0.65 58 0.8712 30
Alabama 0.8330 58 -0.91 60 0.8399 45
Penn St. 0.8268 59 -0.98 61 0.8732 28
Boise St. 0.8249 60 -0.83 59 0.8077 56
Murray St. 0.8224 61 -0.64 57 0.7725 71
Maryland 0.8208 62 -1.14 62 0.8502 41
Georgia 0.8149 63 -1.68 67 0.7830 66
Western Kentucky 0.8120 64 -1.25 63 0.7848 64
Utah 0.8113 65 -1.47 64 0.7819 68
Arizona St. 0.8066 66 -1.65 66 0.8380 46
Boston College 0.7981 67 -2.05 72 0.7603 77
Old Dominion 0.7925 68 -1.69 68 0.7791 69
LSU 0.7885 69 -2.39 76 0.7859 63
BYU 0.7879 70 -2.02 70 0.7662 73
UNC Greensboro 0.7862 71 -1.49 65 0.7111 90
San Diego St. 0.7813 72 -2.22 74 0.8259 51
Buffalo 0.7808 73 -1.97 69 0.7469 80
Oregon 0.7794 74 -2.68 78 0.7833 65
Washington 0.7691 75 -2.87 79 0.6707 105
Temple 0.7687 76 -3.11 81 0.7268 83
Montana 0.7656 77 -2.04 71 0.6859 97
College of Charleston 0.7603 78 -2.10 73 0.6274 116
South Carolina 0.7569 79 -3.68 90 0.7519 79
St. John’s 0.7566 80 -3.70 91 0.7614 76
Indiana 0.7542 81 -3.22 84 0.7701 72
South Dakota 0.7381 82 -2.48 77 0.7642 74
Wisconsin 0.7322 83 -4.24 97 0.7866 62
Bucknell 0.7306 84 -3.04 80 0.7105 91
UCF 0.7303 85 -3.68 89 0.6773 102
Belmont 0.7272 86 -3.15 83 0.7261 85
Stanford 0.7259 87 -4.45 102 0.7160 88
East Tennessee St. 0.7251 88 -3.11 82 0.6983 94
Stephen F. Austin 0.7248 89 -2.23 75 0.6421 112
Davidson 0.7206 90 -3.54 86 0.8325 48
Memphis 0.7182 91 -3.94 94 0.5306 156
Northeastern 0.7177 92 -3.91 93 0.6860 96
Colorado 0.7167 93 -4.71 107 0.6312 115
Wyoming 0.7135 94 -4.41 101 0.6000 128
Marshall 0.7062 95 -3.74 92 0.6086 123
Iowa St. 0.7050 96 -4.77 108 0.6988 93
Rider 0.7049 97 -3.57 88 0.5649 137
Northwestern 0.7026 98 -4.93 110 0.7573 78
Fresno St. 0.6976 99 -4.26 98 0.7456 81
Penn 0.6920 100 -3.56 87 0.6137 122
Tulsa 0.6912 101 -4.32 99 0.6609 107
Wright St. 0.6869 102 -3.97 95 0.5759 133
Lipscomb 0.6817 103 -3.25 85 0.4928 173
Georgetown 0.6791 104 -4.49 103 0.6819 99
Toledo 0.6774 105 -4.49 104 0.6258 118
Minnesota 0.6685 106 -5.40 114 0.6785 101
Furman 0.6657 107 -4.02 96 0.7097 92
Illinois St. 0.6613 108 -6.65 140 0.5394 152
UNLV 0.6611 109 -5.63 116 0.6763 103
UC Davis 0.6575 110 -4.88 109 0.5512 147
UC Santa Barbara 0.6574 111 -4.37 100 0.5751 134
Vanderbilt 0.6565 112 -6.64 139 0.7263 84
Southern Illinois 0.6548 113 -5.90 119 0.5476 148
New Mexico 0.6475 114 -6.12 128 0.6581 110
Iowa 0.6441 115 -6.63 137 0.7256 86
Utah Valley 0.6434 116 -4.60 105 0.6844 98
Bradley 0.6413 117 -6.31 131 0.5761 132
Northern Kentucky 0.6340 118 -4.68 106 0.7126 89
Georgia St. 0.6253 119 -5.70 117 0.6584 109
SMU 0.6180 120 -6.10 127 0.7641 75
Idaho 0.6136 121 -5.05 111 0.5584 141
Georgia Southern 0.6126 122 -6.15 129 0.5655 136
William & Mary 0.6122 123 -6.09 124 0.5150 164
Illinois 0.6122 124 -7.05 147 0.6955 95
Georgia Tech 0.6111 125 -6.74 142 0.6431 111
VCU 0.6077 126 -7.20 150 0.6054 125
UT Arlington 0.6075 127 -6.10 126 0.6139 120
Hofstra 0.6071 128 -6.09 125 0.5373 153
Mississippi 0.6066 129 -7.67 158 0.6741 104
Connecticut 0.6058 130 -6.51 133 0.5229 160
San Diego 0.6052 131 -5.97 122 0.5880 129
Oregon St. 0.6022 132 -7.35 154 0.6794 100
Wofford 0.6006 133 -5.95 121 0.5302 158
UMBC 0.5964 134 -5.09 112 0.4277 190
Northern Colorado 0.5928 135 -6.74 143 0.6032 126
Harvard 0.5892 136 -6.49 132 0.5565 142
Canisius 0.5881 137 -6.57 135 0.5842 130
Iona 0.5838 138 -7.32 153 0.6080 124
Cal St. Fullerton 0.5829 139 -6.06 123 0.4677 181
Eastern Washington 0.5789 140 -7.10 148 0.5564 143
Northern Iowa 0.5787 141 -7.75 161 0.6138 121
Albany 0.5766 142 -5.94 120 0.5559 144
DePaul 0.5701 143 -7.51 155 0.6619 106
Grand Canyon 0.5698 144 -5.27 113 0.6587 108
UNC Asheville 0.5694 145 -6.16 130 0.4410 185
UAB 0.5691 146 -6.79 144 0.6408 113
Utah St. 0.5651 147 -8.42 173 0.5601 139
Wake Forest 0.5645 148 -8.09 166 0.7190 87
Ball St. 0.5645 149 -7.14 149 0.4931 172
Saint Louis 0.5637 150 -8.28 172 0.5614 138
Southeastern Louisiana 0.5619 151 -5.79 118 0.4002 202
San Francisco 0.5606 152 -7.24 151 0.5395 151
Missouri St. 0.5600 153 -8.69 178 0.6259 117
Saint Joseph’s 0.5580 154 -8.00 164 0.6350 114
Radford 0.5575 155 -6.54 134 0.4679 180
Eastern Michigan 0.5568 156 -7.04 146 0.5313 154
Rutgers 0.5545 157 -7.29 152 0.6015 127
Drake 0.5541 158 -8.83 181 0.4962 169
Portland St. 0.5454 159 -7.54 156 0.5064 167
Wagner 0.5450 160 -5.41 115 0.4640 182
Weber St. 0.5395 161 -6.72 141 0.5185 161
Jacksonville St. 0.5362 162 -6.99 145 0.5544 145
Evansville 0.5356 163 -8.44 174 0.5268 159
Niagara 0.5262 164 -8.14 167 0.4049 198
UC Irvine 0.5260 165 -8.74 179 0.5708 135
UTSA 0.5138 166 -8.00 165 0.4524 183
Yale 0.5087 167 -7.84 162 0.4879 175
Dayton 0.5083 168 -9.77 191 0.5308 155
Nicholls St. 0.5050 169 -6.62 136 0.4331 188
Tennessee Tech 0.4994 170 -8.20 168 0.3623 223
Florida Gulf Coast 0.4940 171 -6.64 138 0.6155 119
Austin Peay 0.4931 172 -7.89 163 0.4032 200
George Mason 0.4905 173 -10.01 196 0.3807 211
Washington St. 0.4885 174 -10.19 199 0.4381 187
Oakland 0.4882 175 -8.27 170 0.5064 166
Towson 0.4864 176 -9.31 183 0.5599 140
Seattle 0.4828 177 -7.72 160 0.4103 196
Mercer 0.4815 178 -8.28 171 0.5810 131
George Washington 0.4796 179 -10.08 197 0.4381 186
Tulane 0.4685 180 -8.68 177 0.5064 165
Winthrop 0.4660 181 -7.64 157 0.5304 157
Valparaiso 0.4633 182 -10.41 205 0.5467 149
Fort Wayne 0.4567 183 -8.60 175 0.5165 163
Western Michigan 0.4565 184 -10.01 195 0.4417 184
Colgate 0.4500 185 -8.62 176 0.4126 195
Navy 0.4483 186 -8.21 169 0.3695 218
Louisiana Tech 0.4470 187 -9.77 190 0.5441 150
La Salle 0.4466 188 -11.23 222 0.5513 146
Hartford 0.4433 189 -9.13 182 0.3394 230
Richmond 0.4432 190 -11.53 229 0.4931 171
Kent St. 0.4400 191 -11.09 218 0.3962 205
Pacific 0.4396 192 -10.43 206 0.4716 179
Hawaii 0.4360 193 -8.75 180 0.3858 208
Central Michigan 0.4318 194 -9.64 187 0.4844 177
Miami OH 0.4315 195 -11.17 221 0.4211 193
Long Beach St. 0.4273 196 -10.69 210 0.3923 206
Indiana St. 0.4272 197 -11.14 220 0.5179 162
Troy 0.4202 198 -10.86 212 0.4892 174
Fairfield 0.4199 199 -10.51 209 0.3896 207
Southern Miss 0.4097 200 -10.74 211 0.3323 232
Liberty 0.4095 201 -9.88 192 0.5012 168
Denver 0.4070 202 -9.90 193 0.3696 217
St. Francis PA 0.4024 203 -7.69 159 0.4039 199
Bowling Green 0.4022 204 -11.29 223 0.3246 234
Sam Houston St. 0.3939 205 -9.58 185 0.3624 222
Louisiana Monroe 0.3918 206 -9.67 189 0.3619 224
North Dakota St. 0.3904 207 -10.51 208 0.4956 170
Princeton 0.3900 208 -10.37 204 0.4810 178
Massachusetts 0.3806 209 -13.01 257 0.4221 192
Illinois Chicago 0.3802 210 -10.32 202 0.4021 201
Tennessee St. 0.3772 211 -9.63 186 0.3782 213
Ohio 0.3764 212 -11.46 226 0.4231 191
Lehigh 0.3747 213 -9.66 188 0.3637 221
North Texas 0.3715 214 -11.06 216 0.4127 194
Elon 0.3677 215 -12.12 242 0.3312 233
Appalachian St. 0.3619 216 -12.67 252 0.3984 204
Duquesne 0.3617 217 -11.09 217 0.4317 189
Central Arkansas 0.3593 218 -10.93 213 0.3761 214
Pittsburgh 0.3587 219 -11.13 219 0.3598 225
Colorado St. 0.3579 220 -12.38 247 0.3433 228
Lamar 0.3564 221 -9.96 194 0.4072 197
Akron 0.3551 222 -12.62 251 0.3019 247
Air Force 0.3534 223 -12.32 245 0.3041 244
Cornell 0.3531 224 -10.34 203 0.2902 258
Manhattan 0.3531 225 -12.31 243 0.3825 209
Robert Morris 0.3510 226 -11.97 239 0.3014 248
Boston University 0.3504 227 -11.62 232 0.3193 236
Texas St. 0.3449 228 -13.17 259 0.3593 226
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.3424 229 -11.32 224 0.2620 269
Monmouth 0.3369 230 -13.60 270 0.4869 176
Saint Peter’s 0.3361 231 -13.02 258 0.3804 212
Mount St. Mary’s 0.3340 232 -10.24 200 0.3168 239
Milwaukee 0.3324 233 -12.31 244 0.3755 215
Coastal Carolina 0.3277 234 -13.24 262 0.4000 203
Western Carolina 0.3275 235 -11.69 234 0.1994 305
Delaware 0.3230 236 -13.77 274 0.2998 249
Stony Brook 0.3218 237 -12.72 253 0.3712 216
Drexel 0.3216 238 -14.46 283 0.3032 246
South Alabama 0.3152 239 -12.74 254 0.3670 219
LIU Brooklyn 0.3078 240 -13.18 260 0.2961 254
Southern Utah 0.3060 241 -12.89 255 0.2438 278
Northern Illinois 0.3052 242 -13.63 272 0.2992 251
Grambling St. 0.3035 243 -10.31 201 0.1858 313
North Florida 0.3027 244 -11.32 225 0.2266 289
Idaho St. 0.3023 245 -11.73 237 0.2951 256
North Dakota 0.3022 246 -13.33 263 0.2869 259
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.2986 247 -11.59 231 0.3185 238
Loyola Marymount 0.2971 248 -12.41 249 0.3327 231
New Orleans 0.2960 249 -10.96 215 0.2648 267
Campbell 0.2852 250 -11.56 230 0.3669 220
Southeast Missouri St. 0.2839 251 -12.59 250 0.2704 264
Gardner Webb 0.2836 252 -12.07 240 0.2815 262
UNC Wilmington 0.2743 253 -14.92 292 0.3193 237
North Carolina A&T 0.2730 254 -10.50 207 0.1902 312
Abilene Christian 0.2693 255 -11.67 233 0.2696 266
Oral Roberts 0.2681 256 -13.52 267 0.3055 243
Quinnipiac 0.2679 257 -16.19 308 0.2390 281
Charleston Southern 0.2660 258 -11.52 228 0.3080 241
FIU 0.2659 259 -13.79 275 0.2954 255
California 0.2631 260 -14.41 281 0.3215 235
Central Connecticut 0.2628 261 -13.94 278 0.1912 309
Holy Cross 0.2605 262 -15.02 294 0.2449 276
Brown 0.2596 263 -11.76 238 0.2788 263
Montana St. 0.2582 264 -14.47 284 0.2528 274
Florida Atlantic 0.2569 265 -13.38 266 0.3035 245
Army 0.2562 266 -13.63 271 0.3075 242
Hampton 0.2549 267 -10.15 198 0.2995 250
Eastern Illinois 0.2540 268 -13.71 273 0.2946 257
Savannah St. 0.2475 269 -9.42 184 0.1693 321
High Point 0.2464 270 -12.36 246 0.3441 227
Fordham 0.2462 271 -15.08 296 0.2369 283
Western Illinois 0.2461 272 -11.50 227 0.2250 290
UTEP 0.2441 273 -14.59 286 0.2988 252
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2431 274 -13.20 261 0.2641 268
NJIT 0.2416 275 -11.72 236 0.2977 253
Prairie View A&M 0.2364 276 -12.09 241 0.2477 275
James Madison 0.2320 277 -16.68 315 0.3431 229
Arkansas St. 0.2281 278 -15.45 299 0.2592 271
Santa Clara 0.2269 279 -13.56 269 0.2568 273
South Florida 0.2239 280 -14.82 291 0.2387 282
Bethune Cookman 0.2217 281 -11.69 235 0.2063 301
East Carolina 0.2201 282 -13.34 264 0.2057 302
Texas Southern 0.2200 283 -10.96 214 0.3080 240
St. Francis NY 0.2194 284 -14.53 285 0.1907 311
IUPUI 0.2185 285 -13.83 276 0.2328 286
Cleveland St. 0.2157 286 -16.95 319 0.2078 299
UMass Lowell 0.2130 287 -14.23 280 0.2295 287
Nebraska Omaha 0.2089 288 -14.42 282 0.2570 272
Portland 0.2088 289 -14.75 288 0.2608 270
Eastern Kentucky 0.2084 290 -14.72 287 0.2283 288
Green Bay 0.2058 291 -14.79 289 0.2867 260
SIU Edwardsville 0.2011 292 -15.53 300 0.1738 319
Jacksonville 0.2008 293 -13.55 268 0.1641 324
North Carolina Central 0.1869 294 -12.40 248 0.2081 298
UMKC 0.1863 295 -15.61 303 0.2159 295
Cal Poly 0.1840 296 -17.11 321 0.1657 323
McNeese St. 0.1834 297 -12.97 256 0.2006 304
The Citadel 0.1800 298 -14.96 293 0.1850 315
Columbia 0.1796 299 -13.90 277 0.3821 210
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1727 300 -15.53 301 0.1347 330
Lafayette 0.1703 301 -16.94 318 0.2440 277
Siena 0.1700 302 -18.35 328 0.2210 292
Samford 0.1611 303 -15.34 298 0.2406 280
Kennesaw St. 0.1610 304 -14.81 290 0.2012 303
Binghamton 0.1579 305 -16.17 307 0.2238 291
UC Riverside 0.1579 306 -16.81 317 0.2425 279
Loyola MD 0.1566 307 -17.42 322 0.1910 310
Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.1558 308 -14.22 279 0.1916 308
Chattanooga 0.1547 309 -17.67 323 0.2161 294
Morehead St. 0.1538 310 -15.04 295 0.2348 285
Tennessee Martin 0.1536 311 -16.36 312 0.2168 293
Dartmouth 0.1535 312 -15.55 302 0.2364 284
New Hampshire 0.1505 313 -16.20 310 0.2823 261
Southern 0.1464 314 -13.37 265 0.1550 325
VMI 0.1439 315 -15.79 304 0.1194 333
Stetson 0.1426 316 -16.42 313 0.1799 318
Presbyterian 0.1418 317 -16.27 311 0.1253 331
Sacred Heart 0.1351 318 -17.03 320 0.1990 306
Youngstown St. 0.1330 319 -18.38 329 0.1696 320
Charlotte 0.1319 320 -17.68 324 0.1858 314
Norfolk St. 0.1302 321 -15.31 297 0.1837 317
Detroit 0.1283 322 -18.33 327 0.1850 316
Sacramento St. 0.1206 323 -19.20 335 0.2158 296
Little Rock 0.1206 324 -19.41 338 0.2126 297
Morgan St. 0.1199 325 -15.89 305 0.1546 326
Pepperdine 0.1186 326 -18.12 325 0.2701 265
Marist 0.1172 327 -20.20 341 0.1691 322
Rice 0.1117 328 -18.14 326 0.1988 307
Jackson St. 0.1077 329 -16.12 306 0.1041 337
San Jose St. 0.1068 330 -19.03 333 0.2069 300
American 0.0909 331 -19.15 334 0.1486 327
South Carolina St. 0.0908 332 -16.20 309 0.0833 343
Cal St. Northridge 0.0856 333 -18.89 331 0.1410 328
Howard 0.0815 334 -18.92 332 0.1182 334
Maine 0.0802 335 -20.31 342 0.1250 332
Alabama St. 0.0773 336 -18.39 330 0.0927 340
Florida A&M 0.0744 337 -19.28 337 0.0864 342
Longwood 0.0735 338 -21.33 347 0.0826 344
Northern Arizona 0.0716 339 -20.83 345 0.1156 335
Alcorn St. 0.0699 340 -16.53 314 0.1034 338
USC Upstate 0.0520 341 -19.84 340 0.1133 336
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0470 342 -19.50 339 0.0428 349
Incarnate Word 0.0460 343 -16.73 316 0.1002 339
Houston Baptist 0.0456 344 -19.20 336 0.1360 329
Coppin St. 0.0445 345 -21.24 346 0.0607 347
Bryant 0.0443 346 -23.06 349 0.0924 341
Mississippi Valley St. 0.0311 347 -22.83 348 0.0582 348
Chicago St. 0.0259 348 -20.82 344 0.0639 346
Alabama A&M 0.0228 349 -23.38 350 0.0371 351
Delaware St. 0.0147 350 -24.35 351 0.0423 350
Northwestern St. 0.0023 351 -20.43 343 0.0673 345

Louisville takes on Virginia. Marquette faces Villanova. Oklahoma State gets a shot at Kansas. Notre Dame challenges Duke. Each of these four bubble teams has a chance to make a huge statement with a win today. Lord knows Syracuse failed at that yesterday.

Oklahoma and Arizona State both started the season on fire. However, Oklahoma’s collapse wasn’t nearly as disastrous as that of Arizona State. Oklahoma’s body of work is still quite reasonable. The same cannot be said of the Sun Devils.

Full WABs available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

School Implied Pythag Rank Implied Pythag WAB Avg Rank WAB Pythag Rank Pythag
Virginia 0.9869 1 9.30 1 0.9694 1
Xavier 0.9710 2 7.74 3 0.9176 13
Villanova 0.9689 3 7.93 2 0.9671 2
Michigan St. 0.9677 4 7.41 4 0.9534 6
Michigan 0.9546 5 6.33 7 0.9262 12
Duke 0.9538 6 6.37 6 0.9642 3
Purdue 0.9532 7 6.64 5 0.9556 5
Cincinnati 0.9521 8 4.72 11 0.9589 4
Gonzaga 0.9478 9 4.29 13 0.9362 8
Kansas 0.9440 10 5.75 8 0.9317 9
North Carolina 0.9413 11 5.51 9 0.9389 7
Tennessee 0.9392 12 5.21 10 0.9116 15
Auburn 0.9340 13 4.35 12 0.9090 16
Wichita St. 0.9284 14 3.49 17 0.9154 14
Texas Tech 0.9268 15 3.96 14 0.9267 11
Clemson 0.9256 16 3.61 16 0.8996 18
Ohio St. 0.9231 17 3.71 15 0.9081 17
West Virginia 0.9167 18 3.32 18 0.9299 10
Miami FL 0.9120 19 2.74 19 0.8691 35
Houston 0.9084 20 2.14 22 0.8930 21
Nevada 0.8989 21 1.96 24 0.8784 27
TCU 0.8980 22 2.24 21 0.8954 20
Arizona 0.8975 23 2.12 23 0.8868 24
Kentucky 0.8968 24 2.24 20 0.8919 22
Rhode Island 0.8933 25 1.44 30 0.8526 39
Kansas St. 0.8922 26 1.78 26 0.8436 43
St. Bonaventure 0.8921 27 1.53 28 0.7989 56
Texas A&M 0.8901 28 1.82 25 0.8716 32
Arkansas 0.8876 29 1.68 27 0.8600 38
Creighton 0.8869 30 1.47 29 0.8900 23
Seton Hall 0.8840 31 1.35 32 0.8778 28
Virginia Tech 0.8836 32 1.30 33 0.8708 33
Loyola Chicago 0.8823 33 1.06 35 0.8167 53
Florida 0.8821 34 1.38 31 0.8961 19
Nebraska 0.8813 35 1.21 34 0.7986 57
Middle Tennessee 0.8812 36 1.05 36 0.8278 48
Saint Mary’s 0.8792 37 0.87 38 0.8692 34
Texas 0.8740 38 0.97 37 0.8617 36
Florida St. 0.8708 39 0.69 40 0.8607 37
Oklahoma 0.8695 40 0.73 39 0.8465 42
North Carolina St. 0.8686 41 0.62 41 0.8338 46
New Mexico St. 0.8674 42 0.44 43 0.7871 62
Louisville 0.8653 43 0.44 42 0.8789 26
Providence 0.8625 44 0.36 44 0.7770 67
Marquette 0.8598 45 0.26 45 0.8279 47
Butler 0.8589 46 0.21 47 0.8846 25
Missouri 0.8588 47 0.23 46 0.8476 41
South Dakota St. 0.8585 48 0.21 48 0.7377 80
Oklahoma St. 0.8568 49 0.11 49 0.8252 50
Baylor 0.8522 50 -0.09 50 0.8736 30
Boise St. 0.8484 51 -0.13 51 0.8134 54
UCLA 0.8462 52 -0.27 53 0.7202 86
Louisiana Lafayette 0.8451 53 -0.16 52 0.7776 66
Vermont 0.8419 54 -0.29 54 0.7743 69
Mississippi St. 0.8405 55 -0.46 55 0.7801 65
Syracuse 0.8400 56 -0.58 56 0.8253 49
Notre Dame 0.8388 57 -0.61 57 0.8757 29
Penn St. 0.8266 58 -1.10 59 0.8731 31
Murray St. 0.8244 59 -0.66 58 0.7727 70
USC 0.8232 60 -1.12 60 0.8378 45
Maryland 0.8198 61 -1.29 62 0.8508 40
Utah 0.8188 62 -1.21 61 0.7830 64
Georgia 0.8091 63 -1.89 68 0.7872 61
Boston College 0.8070 64 -1.78 65 0.7625 74
Alabama 0.8048 65 -2.15 71 0.8241 52
Arizona St. 0.8023 66 -1.87 66 0.8380 44
LSU 0.8014 67 -1.97 69 0.7880 59
Old Dominion 0.8004 68 -1.38 63 0.7876 60
BYU 0.7883 69 -2.12 70 0.7662 72
Western Kentucky 0.7882 70 -1.89 67 0.7615 75
UNC Greensboro 0.7861 71 -1.55 64 0.7108 90
Temple 0.7760 72 -2.83 78 0.7276 82
Oregon 0.7698 73 -2.82 77 0.7932 58
Buffalo 0.7680 74 -2.27 73 0.7328 81
South Carolina 0.7677 75 -3.30 85 0.7525 79
Washington 0.7649 76 -3.13 80 0.6692 105
St. John’s 0.7646 77 -3.44 89 0.7767 68
College of Charleston 0.7607 78 -2.16 72 0.6275 116
Indiana 0.7541 79 -3.32 86 0.7694 71
UCF 0.7467 80 -3.19 82 0.6965 96
Montana 0.7433 81 -2.43 74 0.6887 98
San Diego St. 0.7406 82 -3.11 79 0.8028 55
Wyoming 0.7316 83 -3.82 94 0.6079 124
South Dakota 0.7306 84 -2.70 76 0.7613 76
Tulsa 0.7298 85 -3.36 88 0.6689 106
Bucknell 0.7286 86 -3.17 81 0.7082 92
Stanford 0.7279 87 -4.29 104 0.7193 87
Wisconsin 0.7267 88 -4.49 105 0.7837 63
Belmont 0.7252 89 -3.28 84 0.7249 83
East Tennessee St. 0.7249 90 -3.20 83 0.6994 95
Northeastern 0.7179 91 -3.99 97 0.6874 99
Colorado 0.7134 92 -4.69 107 0.6328 113
Fresno St. 0.7101 93 -3.83 95 0.7546 78
Davidson 0.7073 94 -3.79 93 0.8250 51
Iowa St. 0.7068 95 -4.85 109 0.7004 94
Memphis 0.7068 96 -4.12 101 0.5298 159
Rider 0.7035 97 -3.68 92 0.5641 140
Northwestern 0.7025 98 -5.05 111 0.7562 77
Stephen F. Austin 0.6998 99 -2.49 75 0.6156 120
Penn 0.6913 100 -3.64 90 0.6147 121
Marshall 0.6887 101 -3.98 96 0.5969 128
Wright St. 0.6857 102 -4.08 100 0.5761 134
UC Santa Barbara 0.6821 103 -3.66 91 0.5696 137
Lipscomb 0.6810 104 -3.34 87 0.4926 172
UC Davis 0.6806 105 -4.14 102 0.5658 139
Georgetown 0.6798 106 -4.58 106 0.6832 101
UNLV 0.6724 107 -5.15 112 0.6718 104
Minnesota 0.6666 108 -5.57 115 0.6795 102
Furman 0.6661 109 -4.08 99 0.7089 91
Illinois St. 0.6625 110 -6.73 143 0.5407 153
Utah Valley 0.6563 111 -4.00 98 0.7035 93
Southern Illinois 0.6561 112 -5.95 120 0.5502 148
Vanderbilt 0.6557 113 -6.79 146 0.7244 84
Idaho 0.6512 114 -4.17 103 0.5845 130
Toledo 0.6498 115 -4.88 110 0.6299 115
Iowa 0.6439 116 -6.76 145 0.7231 85
Bradley 0.6415 117 -6.43 137 0.5761 133
Northern Kentucky 0.6344 118 -4.74 108 0.7125 89
Connecticut 0.6241 119 -5.95 119 0.6306 114
William & Mary 0.6138 120 -6.13 127 0.5152 163
Georgia St. 0.6121 121 -5.89 117 0.6374 111
New Mexico 0.6112 122 -6.57 138 0.6361 112
Illinois 0.6109 123 -7.18 151 0.6946 97
Hofstra 0.6078 124 -6.16 128 0.5374 155
Georgia Tech 0.6074 125 -6.92 147 0.6417 110
SMU 0.6057 126 -6.10 126 0.7641 73
Mississippi 0.6047 127 -7.79 161 0.6718 103
San Diego 0.6037 128 -6.09 125 0.5883 129
Oregon St. 0.6018 129 -7.17 150 0.6851 100
Georgia Southern 0.6018 130 -6.32 134 0.5621 141
Wofford 0.6003 131 -6.04 124 0.5298 158
VCU 0.5993 132 -6.96 148 0.6000 127
UMBC 0.5968 133 -5.16 113 0.4285 190
Northern Colorado 0.5954 134 -6.18 129 0.5754 135
UT Arlington 0.5952 135 -6.31 133 0.6027 126
Ball St. 0.5947 136 -6.30 132 0.4994 170
Harvard 0.5885 137 -6.58 140 0.5539 145
Canisius 0.5880 138 -6.65 141 0.5827 131
Iona 0.5848 139 -7.38 155 0.6096 123
UAB 0.5787 140 -6.29 131 0.6633 107
Northern Iowa 0.5775 141 -7.89 162 0.6109 122
Albany 0.5770 142 -5.99 122 0.5561 144
DePaul 0.5720 143 -7.59 158 0.6629 108
UNC Asheville 0.5697 144 -6.24 130 0.4425 186
Portland St. 0.5686 145 -6.74 144 0.5131 165
Eastern Michigan 0.5655 146 -6.41 136 0.5223 161
Wake Forest 0.5632 147 -8.24 171 0.7192 88
San Francisco 0.5628 148 -7.30 154 0.5422 152
Weber St. 0.5593 149 -5.99 123 0.5453 150
Radford 0.5592 150 -6.58 139 0.4721 180
Missouri St. 0.5590 151 -8.82 181 0.6242 117
Saint Louis 0.5547 152 -8.01 166 0.5671 138
Rutgers 0.5539 153 -7.41 157 0.6029 125
Drake 0.5539 154 -8.94 182 0.4962 171
Utah St. 0.5504 155 -8.16 168 0.5619 142
Eastern Washington 0.5487 156 -7.40 156 0.5457 149
Southeastern Louisiana 0.5485 157 -5.91 118 0.3935 204
Cal St. Fullerton 0.5465 158 -6.37 135 0.4610 183
Wagner 0.5458 159 -5.44 114 0.4636 182
Saint Joseph’s 0.5456 160 -8.18 169 0.6213 118
Jacksonville St. 0.5350 161 -7.09 149 0.5527 147
Evansville 0.5348 162 -8.55 177 0.5250 160
UTSA 0.5329 163 -7.24 153 0.4645 181
Dayton 0.5259 164 -9.07 185 0.5353 156
Nicholls St. 0.5254 165 -5.97 121 0.4398 188
Niagara 0.5253 166 -8.23 170 0.4049 198
Grand Canyon 0.5231 167 -5.58 116 0.6515 109
Yale 0.5087 168 -7.91 163 0.4887 175
Tennessee Tech 0.4988 169 -8.29 173 0.3622 223
George Washington 0.4976 170 -9.38 190 0.4407 187
Florida Gulf Coast 0.4948 171 -6.67 142 0.6171 119
Austin Peay 0.4922 172 -7.99 165 0.4020 202
Oakland 0.4878 173 -8.36 175 0.5077 167
Towson 0.4873 174 -9.36 189 0.5601 143
Tulane 0.4872 175 -8.05 167 0.5032 168
George Mason 0.4862 176 -9.44 191 0.3885 207
Washington St. 0.4862 177 -10.42 209 0.4385 189
UC Irvine 0.4856 178 -9.17 186 0.5709 136
Mercer 0.4814 179 -8.36 174 0.5809 132
Seattle 0.4806 180 -7.19 152 0.3878 209
Winthrop 0.4675 181 -7.67 159 0.5322 157
Valparaiso 0.4633 182 -10.50 215 0.5442 151
Western Michigan 0.4584 183 -10.08 199 0.4429 185
Hawaii 0.4583 184 -7.95 164 0.3872 210
Louisiana Tech 0.4552 185 -9.24 188 0.5405 154
Fort Wayne 0.4552 186 -8.70 179 0.5152 164
Colgate 0.4536 187 -8.58 178 0.4111 196
Long Beach St. 0.4484 188 -9.90 195 0.3911 206
Navy 0.4482 189 -8.26 172 0.3712 218
La Salle 0.4468 190 -11.34 226 0.5535 146
Hartford 0.4434 191 -9.19 187 0.3408 230
Miami OH 0.4429 192 -10.50 214 0.4149 193
Pacific 0.4423 193 -10.47 212 0.4724 179
Central Michigan 0.4381 194 -9.06 184 0.4920 174
Troy 0.4314 195 -10.25 202 0.5113 166
Richmond 0.4306 196 -11.14 222 0.4757 178
Indiana St. 0.4274 197 -11.23 224 0.5204 162
Kent St. 0.4259 198 -10.67 217 0.3975 203
Fairfield 0.4201 199 -10.59 216 0.3882 208
Liberty 0.4097 200 -9.97 196 0.4995 169
Louisiana Monroe 0.4089 201 -8.97 183 0.3668 222
Denver 0.4056 202 -10.01 198 0.3698 219
Sam Houston St. 0.4038 203 -8.78 180 0.3525 226
St. Francis PA 0.4028 204 -7.73 160 0.4048 199
Bowling Green 0.4018 205 -11.37 227 0.3258 233
Massachusetts 0.3994 206 -12.25 245 0.4281 191
Princeton 0.3907 207 -10.45 210 0.4811 177
North Dakota St. 0.3879 208 -10.69 218 0.4922 173
Southern Miss 0.3846 209 -10.46 211 0.3159 238
Illinois Chicago 0.3801 210 -10.38 207 0.4020 201
Duquesne 0.3779 211 -10.31 204 0.4482 184
Tennessee St. 0.3774 212 -9.69 193 0.3796 213
Ohio 0.3756 213 -11.60 232 0.4243 192
Lehigh 0.3743 214 -9.75 194 0.3613 225
Appalachian St. 0.3723 215 -11.98 241 0.4136 195
North Texas 0.3713 216 -11.12 221 0.4143 194
Elon 0.3680 217 -12.19 244 0.3312 232
Akron 0.3679 218 -11.94 240 0.3039 244
Central Arkansas 0.3670 219 -10.35 205 0.3934 205
Pittsburgh 0.3603 220 -11.20 223 0.3614 224
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.3603 221 -10.47 213 0.2754 265
Lamar 0.3584 222 -10.00 197 0.4060 197
Colorado St. 0.3577 223 -12.49 252 0.3447 228
Cornell 0.3540 224 -10.37 206 0.2912 258
Boston University 0.3529 225 -11.57 229 0.3194 234
Manhattan 0.3526 226 -12.38 247 0.3826 211
Air Force 0.3525 227 -12.45 251 0.3028 245
Robert Morris 0.3514 228 -12.05 242 0.3028 246
Texas St. 0.3501 229 -12.69 258 0.3745 216
Monmouth 0.3390 230 -13.58 267 0.4853 176
Saint Peter’s 0.3360 231 -13.09 262 0.3790 214
Mount St. Mary’s 0.3347 232 -10.27 203 0.3171 237
Milwaukee 0.3324 233 -12.39 248 0.3755 215
Coastal Carolina 0.3305 234 -13.30 265 0.4029 200
Western Carolina 0.3279 235 -11.79 236 0.1994 305
Stony Brook 0.3250 236 -12.70 259 0.3712 217
Delaware 0.3225 237 -13.86 276 0.3001 248
Drexel 0.3220 238 -14.56 285 0.3025 247
South Alabama 0.3174 239 -12.82 260 0.3671 221
New Orleans 0.3168 240 -10.13 200 0.2837 261
North Dakota 0.3103 241 -12.64 256 0.2856 260
LIU Brooklyn 0.3078 242 -13.23 263 0.2962 253
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.3074 243 -11.02 219 0.3150 239
Northern Illinois 0.3054 244 -13.72 272 0.2988 250
Grambling St. 0.3043 245 -10.39 208 0.1843 317
North Florida 0.3025 246 -11.38 228 0.2257 289
Idaho St. 0.3004 247 -11.79 238 0.2939 256
Loyola Marymount 0.2973 248 -12.50 253 0.3340 231
Southern Utah 0.2876 249 -12.28 246 0.2260 288
Campbell 0.2860 250 -11.60 233 0.3685 220
Gardner Webb 0.2844 251 -12.07 243 0.2832 262
Southeast Missouri St. 0.2828 252 -12.66 257 0.2727 266
North Carolina A&T 0.2807 253 -9.62 192 0.1916 310
Savannah St. 0.2751 254 -8.52 176 0.1712 321
UNC Wilmington 0.2745 255 -15.01 295 0.3193 235
Abilene Christian 0.2701 256 -11.74 235 0.2710 267
Quinnipiac 0.2679 257 -16.27 310 0.2387 280
Oral Roberts 0.2674 258 -13.62 269 0.3065 242
Charleston Southern 0.2667 259 -11.58 231 0.3080 241
FIU 0.2657 260 -13.85 275 0.2945 254
Central Connecticut 0.2634 261 -13.97 279 0.1920 309
Holy Cross 0.2606 262 -15.09 297 0.2439 277
Brown 0.2595 263 -11.85 239 0.2794 264
California 0.2588 264 -14.81 288 0.3192 236
Florida Atlantic 0.2576 265 -13.43 266 0.3045 243
Montana St. 0.2567 266 -14.54 283 0.2505 275
Army 0.2558 267 -13.69 271 0.3082 240
Eastern Illinois 0.2540 268 -13.81 273 0.2931 257
Prairie View A&M 0.2516 269 -11.27 225 0.2607 270
High Point 0.2471 270 -12.41 249 0.3442 229
Fordham 0.2460 271 -15.20 299 0.2342 284
Western Illinois 0.2452 272 -11.57 230 0.2243 291
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2432 273 -13.25 264 0.2655 269
UTEP 0.2431 274 -14.62 287 0.2989 249
Hampton 0.2421 275 -10.22 201 0.2945 255
NJIT 0.2416 276 -11.79 237 0.2963 251
South Florida 0.2345 277 -13.94 278 0.2351 282
James Madison 0.2337 278 -16.72 317 0.3458 227
East Carolina 0.2302 279 -12.58 255 0.2069 300
Arkansas St. 0.2286 280 -15.56 302 0.2583 273
Santa Clara 0.2278 281 -13.63 270 0.2590 272
Bethune Cookman 0.2235 282 -11.72 234 0.2082 298
St. Francis NY 0.2199 283 -14.56 286 0.1910 312
IUPUI 0.2186 284 -13.89 277 0.2339 285
Cleveland St. 0.2160 285 -17.02 320 0.2072 299
UMass Lowell 0.2134 286 -14.29 281 0.2302 286
Portland 0.2089 287 -14.85 290 0.2600 271
Eastern Kentucky 0.2088 288 -14.84 289 0.2275 287
Nebraska Omaha 0.2079 289 -14.55 284 0.2545 274
Green Bay 0.2059 290 -14.87 291 0.2866 259
Jacksonville 0.2011 291 -13.58 268 0.1642 324
SIU Edwardsville 0.2011 292 -15.59 303 0.1746 319
Texas Southern 0.2009 293 -11.05 220 0.2962 252
UMKC 0.1904 294 -14.91 293 0.2089 297
Cal Poly 0.1896 295 -16.34 312 0.1740 320
McNeese St. 0.1842 296 -13.08 261 0.2011 304
Columbia 0.1810 297 -13.85 274 0.3813 212
The Citadel 0.1799 298 -15.03 296 0.1860 315
Lafayette 0.1702 299 -17.02 319 0.2439 276
Siena 0.1698 300 -18.43 327 0.2221 292
UC Riverside 0.1632 301 -16.04 306 0.2402 278
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.1625 302 -15.56 301 0.1319 330
North Carolina Central 0.1622 303 -12.52 254 0.2029 302
Samford 0.1609 304 -15.43 300 0.2389 279
Kennesaw St. 0.1606 305 -14.88 292 0.2017 303
Southern 0.1606 306 -12.44 250 0.1603 325
Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.1585 307 -14.23 280 0.1945 308
Binghamton 0.1584 308 -16.22 308 0.2251 290
Loyola MD 0.1565 309 -17.50 322 0.1911 311
Morehead St. 0.1545 310 -15.10 298 0.2349 283
Chattanooga 0.1543 311 -17.74 323 0.2166 294
Dartmouth 0.1536 312 -15.61 304 0.2366 281
Tennessee Martin 0.1532 313 -16.44 314 0.2160 295
New Hampshire 0.1509 314 -16.25 309 0.2819 263
VMI 0.1441 315 -15.86 305 0.1188 333
Stetson 0.1429 316 -16.46 315 0.1801 318
Presbyterian 0.1422 317 -16.31 311 0.1260 331
Norfolk St. 0.1383 318 -14.38 282 0.1888 313
Sacred Heart 0.1354 319 -17.08 321 0.1982 306
Youngstown St. 0.1325 320 -18.48 329 0.1676 323
Charlotte 0.1318 321 -17.79 324 0.1853 316
Morgan St. 0.1284 322 -14.98 294 0.1600 326
Detroit 0.1277 323 -18.52 330 0.1867 314
Little Rock 0.1222 324 -19.52 339 0.2127 296
Sacramento St. 0.1205 325 -19.27 335 0.2168 293
Pepperdine 0.1181 326 -18.19 325 0.2701 268
Marist 0.1171 327 -20.28 342 0.1685 322
Rice 0.1121 328 -18.27 326 0.1978 307
Jackson St. 0.1084 329 -16.15 307 0.1052 337
San Jose St. 0.1059 330 -19.17 333 0.2068 301
South Carolina St. 0.0916 331 -16.35 313 0.0841 343
American 0.0909 332 -19.21 334 0.1486 327
Cal St. Northridge 0.0866 333 -18.94 331 0.1414 328
Howard 0.0818 334 -18.98 332 0.1188 334
Maine 0.0803 335 -20.39 343 0.1258 332
Alabama St. 0.0776 336 -18.45 328 0.0935 340
Florida A&M 0.0749 337 -19.39 337 0.0867 342
Longwood 0.0736 338 -21.41 347 0.0823 344
Northern Arizona 0.0709 339 -20.93 345 0.1144 335
Alcorn St. 0.0705 340 -16.55 316 0.1042 338
USC Upstate 0.0519 341 -19.89 340 0.1137 336
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0473 342 -19.52 338 0.0432 349
Incarnate Word 0.0462 343 -16.80 318 0.1003 339
Houston Baptist 0.0462 344 -19.30 336 0.1366 329
Coppin St. 0.0450 345 -21.17 346 0.0611 347
Bryant 0.0444 346 -23.11 349 0.0926 341
Mississippi Valley St. 0.0313 347 -22.87 348 0.0581 348
Chicago St. 0.0260 348 -20.27 341 0.0637 346
Alabama A&M 0.0229 349 -23.45 350 0.0373 351
Delaware St. 0.0148 350 -24.37 351 0.0426 350
Northwestern St. 0.0023 351 -20.50 344 0.0682 345