Arizona got caught. Let’s fast forward:

Now, the above would mean a booster could give a player $250,000 for signing some basketballs. Which is fine. I’m cool with that future, and would like to see it come to pass. I just want to be clear on what it would mean once players could openly accept payment. That’s the future I want, but we should recognize what it would mean.

As for WAB, I’ve been convinced that a floating baseline is correct. A standard baseline across ratings-systems is slightly inaccurate, and while the issues are minor, they’re real and there’s no reason to live with them.

What I want to do next is solve for the algebra problem from Hell. The implied Pythag for a .5000 percentile for every team. I can solve it team by team, but hardwiring an answer into the spreadsheet is going to be challenging.

Google doc here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tsi90fKMaqW26tOUP6theXc3DlMpjGu6u2JnR3mXXkY/edit#gid=0

Rank WAB School WAB KP WAB Sag WAB BPI WAB Avg Pythag Rank Pythag
1 Virginia 8.21 8.26 8.34 8.27 0.9691 1
2 Villanova 7.49 7.25 7.32 7.35 0.9681 2
3 Xavier 7.28 7.23 7.17 7.23 0.9178 12
4 Michigan St. 6.69 7.02 6.79 6.83 0.9578 5
5 Purdue 6.11 6.18 6.13 6.14 0.9585 4
6 Duke 6.06 5.83 5.9 5.93 0.9624 3
7 North Carolina 5.86 5.63 5.85 5.78 0.9373 7
8 Kansas 5.14 5.39 4.86 5.13 0.9361 8
9 Auburn 5.28 4.79 4.61 4.89 0.9144 13
10 Tennessee 4.25 4.24 4.08 4.19 0.9038 16
11 Texas Tech 4.04 4.47 4.02 4.18 0.9299 10
12 Ohio St. 4.11 4.17 4.2 4.16 0.9055 15
13 Michigan 3.47 3.71 3.65 3.61 0.8982 18
14 Cincinnati 3.64 3.65 3.47 3.59 0.9571 6
15 Clemson 3.56 3.57 3.62 3.58 0.8982 17
16 Gonzaga 3.55 3.22 3.03 3.27 0.9268 11
17 West Virginia 2.98 3.32 2.79 3.03 0.9303 9
18 Rhode Island 2.94 2.86 2.87 2.89 0.8752 28
19 Wichita St. 2.83 2.82 2.6 2.75 0.9139 14
20 Arizona 2.79 2.84 1.94 2.52 0.8928 19
21 Kentucky 2.42 2.14 2.17 2.24 0.8855 22
22 Nevada 2.76 2.04 1.91 2.24 0.8806 24
23 Kansas St. 2.04 2.43 1.93 2.13 0.8389 45
24 Virginia Tech 2.22 2.05 1.98 2.08 0.8737 31
25 TCU 1.73 2.07 1.91 1.90 0.8901 21
26 Middle Tennessee 2.12 1.48 1.77 1.79 0.8221 50
27 Houston 1.63 1.49 1.68 1.60 0.8804 25
28 Florida St. 1.54 1.58 1.45 1.52 0.8783 26
29 Saint Mary’s 1.94 1.45 1.07 1.49 0.8832 23
30 Miami FL 1.54 1.46 1.3 1.43 0.867 37
31 North Carolina St. 1.29 1.12 1.34 1.25 0.8245 49
32 Oklahoma 1 1.52 1.16 1.23 0.8515 42
33 Butler 1.17 1.09 1.34 1.20 0.8919 20
34 Creighton 1.23 1.26 1.07 1.19 0.8778 27
35 Nebraska 1.03 1.43 1.1 1.19 0.7957 58
36 Arkansas 1.21 0.99 0.68 0.96 0.8539 40
37 Seton Hall 0.9 0.9 0.93 0.91 0.8668 38
38 St. Bonaventure 0.82 0.72 0.84 0.79 0.7925 62
39 Louisiana Lafayette 0.94 0.51 0.75 0.73 0.7995 57
40 Texas A&M 0.76 0.64 0.45 0.62 0.8671 36
41 Loyola Chicago 1.08 0.41 0.13 0.54 0.8115 55
42 Mississippi St. 0.73 0.51 0.24 0.49 0.8146 53
43 Arizona St. 0.6 0.87 -0.09 0.46 0.852 41
44 Boise St. 0.73 0.34 0.13 0.40 0.8201 51
45 New Mexico St. 0.6 0.19 0.32 0.37 0.7823 65
46 Baylor -0.08 0.49 0.28 0.23 0.8696 34
47 Texas -0.02 0.34 0.09 0.14 0.8594 39
48 Louisville 0.11 0.17 0.03 0.10 0.8704 33
49 Providence 0.1 -0.01 0.2 0.10 0.7704 71
50 Florida 0.33 -0.04 -0.19 0.03 0.8741 30
51 Missouri 0.3 -0.07 -0.39 -0.05 0.847 43
52 Maryland -0.18 -0.07 0.08 -0.06 0.868 35
53 Marquette -0.25 -0.15 0.03 -0.12 0.8313 47
54 Alabama 0.03 -0.36 -0.45 -0.26 0.8433 44
55 UCLA -0.09 0.02 -0.73 -0.27 0.8145 54
56 Utah -0.03 0.01 -0.83 -0.28 0.7952 59
57 Syracuse -0.43 -0.33 -0.48 -0.41 0.8354 46
58 South Dakota St. -0.16 -0.54 -0.63 -0.44 0.7187 86
59 Vermont -0.44 -0.72 -0.31 -0.49 0.7751 70
60 USC -0.44 -0.3 -1.25 -0.66 0.8312 48
61 Old Dominion -0.53 -1 -1.01 -0.85 0.8037 56
62 Oklahoma St. -1.05 -0.61 -0.9 -0.85 0.7827 64
63 Western Kentucky -0.75 -1.21 -1.04 -1.00 0.7755 69
64 LSU -1.01 -1.15 -1.35 -1.17 0.782 66
65 Murray St. -0.87 -1.48 -1.22 -1.19 0.7555 78
66 Penn St. -1.34 -1.2 -1.42 -1.32 0.875 29
67 Georgia -1.13 -1.52 -1.57 -1.41 0.7618 77
68 Notre Dame -1.53 -1.57 -1.58 -1.56 0.8719 32
69 Stephen F. Austin -1.35 -1.79 -1.65 -1.60 0.6108 117
70 College of Charleston -1.58 -1.7 -1.61 -1.63 0.6245 113
71 Temple -1.65 -1.97 -1.61 -1.74 0.7312 81
72 Washington -1.52 -1.52 -2.29 -1.78 0.668 103
73 East Tennessee St. -1.76 -2.24 -1.6 -1.87 0.7099 88
74 BYU -1.55 -2.07 -2.15 -1.92 0.7684 72
75 UNC Greensboro -1.86 -2.35 -1.6 -1.94 0.6999 94
76 South Dakota -1.61 -2.08 -2.17 -1.95 0.7672 74
77 Boston College -1.92 -2 -2 -1.97 0.7258 84
78 UCF -2.17 -2.26 -2.27 -2.23 0.7056 92
79 Fresno St. -1.95 -2.31 -2.55 -2.27 0.7772 67
80 Buffalo -2.09 -2.44 -2.51 -2.35 0.7064 89
81 Georgetown -2.43 -2.41 -2.37 -2.40 0.6981 96
82 Indiana -2.64 -2.3 -2.4 -2.45 0.776 68
83 Montana -1.84 -2.72 -2.79 -2.45 0.669 102
84 Belmont -2.36 -2.94 -2.75 -2.68 0.7228 85
85 Oregon -2.49 -2.44 -3.18 -2.70 0.793 61
86 UC Santa Barbara -2.25 -2.78 -3.19 -2.74 0.5697 141
87 Rider -2.56 -2.89 -2.83 -2.76 0.5813 130
88 St. John’s -2.83 -2.86 -2.83 -2.84 0.7683 73
89 Penn -3 -2.93 -3.03 -2.99 0.6135 115
90 South Carolina -2.6 -3.17 -3.23 -3.00 0.7421 79
91 Iowa St. -3.12 -2.94 -3.15 -3.07 0.714 87
92 UNLV -2.7 -3.13 -3.41 -3.08 0.7042 93
93 Bucknell -3.33 -3.31 -3.13 -3.26 0.6811 100
94 Utah Valley -2.86 -3.54 -3.64 -3.35 0.6788 101
95 Northeastern -3.32 -3.56 -3.4 -3.43 0.6378 110
96 Memphis -3.38 -3.61 -3.42 -3.47 0.5526 149
97 Lipscomb -3.35 -3.77 -3.49 -3.54 0.4696 176
98 Wagner -3.4 -3.71 -3.6 -3.57 0.5044 166
99 Tulsa -3.53 -3.47 -3.73 -3.58 0.632 111
100 San Diego St. -3.3 -3.82 -4.04 -3.72 0.7922 63
101 Furman -3.58 -4.09 -3.51 -3.73 0.7059 91
102 Northern Kentucky -3.59 -3.95 -3.7 -3.75 0.7259 83
103 Davidson -3.71 -3.79 -3.93 -3.81 0.8199 52
104 Marshall -3.56 -4.08 -3.91 -3.85 0.5706 139
105 Wyoming -3.4 -4.11 -4.05 -3.85 0.5819 129
106 Northwestern -4.05 -3.89 -4.01 -3.98 0.7635 75
107 Toledo -3.88 -4.01 -4.16 -4.02 0.6076 118
108 SMU -3.98 -4.19 -4.13 -4.10 0.7951 60
109 Wisconsin -4.28 -4.15 -4.12 -4.18 0.7634 76
110 Georgia St. -4.04 -4.42 -4.2 -4.22 0.6543 105
111 UNC Asheville -4.09 -4.86 -3.81 -4.25 0.4693 177
112 Wright St. -4.06 -4.56 -4.27 -4.30 0.5516 150
113 Idaho -3.75 -4.69 -4.58 -4.34 0.5974 122
114 Southern Illinois -3.87 -4.8 -4.66 -4.44 0.5894 125
115 Wofford -4.28 -4.81 -4.24 -4.44 0.5035 168
116 UC Davis -3.83 -4.72 -4.84 -4.46 0.5613 146
117 Minnesota -4.55 -4.39 -4.51 -4.48 0.6959 97
118 Weber St. -4.04 -4.88 -4.63 -4.52 0.5771 135
119 Stanford -4.3 -4.28 -5.04 -4.54 0.6991 95
120 Ball St. -4.49 -4.46 -4.88 -4.61 0.5338 156
121 Colorado -4.51 -4.44 -5.15 -4.70 0.6061 119
122 Connecticut -4.76 -4.76 -4.58 -4.70 0.5209 162
123 Bradley -4.29 -5.22 -5.21 -4.91 0.5854 127
124 Albany -4.9 -5.14 -4.78 -4.94 0.5825 128
125 Nicholls St. -4.72 -5.35 -4.97 -5.01 0.4654 178
126 UMBC -5.14 -5.35 -4.83 -5.11 0.4129 198
127 Hofstra -5.04 -5.34 -5.16 -5.18 0.5459 151
128 Vanderbilt -4.87 -5.43 -5.29 -5.20 0.7373 80
129 Mississippi -4.83 -5.53 -5.46 -5.27 0.6959 98
130 VCU -5.21 -5.34 -5.34 -5.30 0.5938 123
131 Cal St. Fullerton -5.06 -5.63 -5.79 -5.49 0.4486 184
132 Northern Colorado -4.81 -5.89 -5.94 -5.55 0.5652 143
133 William & Mary -5.4 -5.71 -5.57 -5.56 0.4973 169
134 Canisius -5.33 -5.71 -5.72 -5.59 0.5914 124
135 Seattle -5.2 -5.85 -5.84 -5.63 0.4182 196
136 San Diego -5.25 -5.75 -5.92 -5.64 0.5733 137
137 Florida Gulf Coast -5.45 -5.81 -5.71 -5.66 0.6245 114
138 Grand Canyon -5.38 -5.87 -5.91 -5.72 0.6524 106
139 Portland St. -5.24 -6.01 -6.17 -5.81 0.544 152
140 Winthrop -5.71 -6.25 -5.58 -5.85 0.573 138
141 Illinois St. -5.24 -6.2 -6.21 -5.88 0.5261 161
142 Southeastern Louisiana -5.7 -6.17 -5.91 -5.93 0.3606 223
143 Harvard -5.96 -5.94 -5.9 -5.93 0.5374 155
144 San Francisco -5.74 -6.32 -6.35 -6.14 0.5554 148
145 UAB -5.88 -6.43 -6.27 -6.19 0.6381 109
146 Georgia Tech -6.3 -6.46 -6.37 -6.38 0.6254 112
147 Wake Forest -6.23 -6.61 -6.31 -6.38 0.7281 82
148 Utah St. -5.94 -6.71 -6.5 -6.38 0.5745 136
149 DePaul -6.48 -6.27 -6.43 -6.39 0.6586 104
150 Georgia Southern -6.17 -6.64 -6.38 -6.40 0.5701 140
151 UT Arlington -6.21 -6.74 -6.3 -6.42 0.5884 126
152 Saint Louis -6.39 -6.49 -6.51 -6.46 0.5807 131
153 Tennessee Tech -6.24 -6.83 -6.47 -6.51 0.368 219
154 Hawaii -6.21 -6.68 -6.68 -6.52 0.3724 216
155 Austin Peay -6.26 -6.79 -6.57 -6.54 0.4072 203
156 UTSA -6.22 -6.84 -6.62 -6.56 0.4409 187
157 Radford -6.43 -6.99 -6.28 -6.57 0.4474 185
158 Illinois -6.54 -6.61 -6.66 -6.60 0.6843 99
159 St. Francis PA -6.46 -6.82 -6.68 -6.65 0.4079 202
160 Jacksonville St. -6.3 -6.93 -6.74 -6.66 0.5409 153
161 Iona -6.53 -6.88 -6.7 -6.70 0.6058 120
162 Rutgers -6.9 -6.8 -6.71 -6.80 0.5785 134
163 Iowa -6.76 -6.87 -6.82 -6.82 0.7063 90
164 Eastern Michigan -6.66 -6.88 -7.07 -6.87 0.4567 183
165 Fort Wayne -6.64 -7.17 -6.92 -6.91 0.5316 158
166 New Mexico -6.51 -7 -7.23 -6.91 0.6123 116
167 Sam Houston St. -6.66 -7.17 -7.01 -6.95 0.3832 211
168 Oregon St. -6.93 -6.71 -7.53 -7.06 0.6437 108
169 Drake -6.46 -7.24 -7.51 -7.07 0.5035 167
170 Tulane -7.06 -7.14 -7.1 -7.10 0.5175 164
171 Louisiana Monroe -7.05 -7.4 -6.94 -7.13 0.3576 225
172 Niagara -7.11 -7.25 -7.21 -7.19 0.4123 199
173 Navy -7.24 -7.31 -7.03 -7.19 0.4048 205
174 Eastern Washington -6.54 -7.67 -7.67 -7.29 0.5309 159
175 Northern Iowa -6.88 -7.6 -7.56 -7.35 0.5794 132
176 Missouri St. -6.67 -7.72 -7.67 -7.35 0.6457 107
177 Western Michigan -7.06 -7.39 -7.63 -7.36 0.4848 171
178 Oakland -7.21 -7.46 -7.45 -7.37 0.5275 160
179 Hartford -7.33 -7.76 -7.35 -7.48 0.3429 230
180 Savannah St. -7.41 -7.79 -7.38 -7.53 0.1726 325
181 Louisiana Tech -7.14 -7.89 -7.63 -7.55 0.5658 142
182 Evansville -7.08 -7.94 -7.92 -7.65 0.5064 165
183 North Carolina A&T -7.46 -7.79 -7.71 -7.65 0.2109 301
184 Mercer -7.44 -8.06 -7.49 -7.66 0.6023 121
185 Towson -7.59 -7.81 -7.7 -7.70 0.5789 133
186 George Washington -7.97 -7.86 -7.73 -7.85 0.4425 186
187 Dayton -7.91 -8.24 -7.99 -8.05 0.5628 145
188 Bowling Green -7.86 -8.24 -8.2 -8.10 0.3475 229
189 Tennessee St. -7.92 -8.36 -8.06 -8.11 0.4052 204
190 Colgate -8.15 -8.21 -8.03 -8.13 0.4229 192
191 Yale -8.27 -8.18 -8.16 -8.20 0.4717 175
192 UC Irvine -7.55 -8.45 -8.65 -8.22 0.5598 147
193 New Orleans -8.07 -8.46 -8.25 -8.26 0.2968 251
194 Grambling St. -8.18 -8.47 -8.46 -8.37 0.2139 297
195 North Texas -7.97 -8.55 -8.64 -8.39 0.433 190
196 Lamar -8.15 -8.52 -8.53 -8.40 0.419 194
197 Washington St. -8.2 -8.2 -9.04 -8.48 0.4285 191
198 Illinois Chicago -8.29 -8.64 -8.53 -8.49 0.417 197
199 Pacific -8.18 -8.77 -8.96 -8.64 0.4777 174
200 Lehigh -8.78 -8.8 -8.61 -8.73 0.3672 220
201 Duquesne -8.66 -8.63 -8.92 -8.74 0.4597 180
202 George Mason -8.7 -8.8 -8.74 -8.75 0.3965 209
203 Miami OH -8.51 -8.91 -9.07 -8.83 0.422 193
204 Brown -9.13 -9.03 -8.97 -9.04 0.2976 250
205 Saint Joseph’s -9.06 -9.05 -9.03 -9.05 0.5639 144
206 Central Michigan -8.99 -9.21 -9.48 -9.23 0.4571 182
207 Mount St. Mary’s -9.07 -9.32 -9.31 -9.23 0.3135 241
208 Idaho St. -8.82 -9.57 -9.44 -9.28 0.2792 261
209 Liberty -9.13 -9.81 -9.11 -9.35 0.4646 179
210 Elon -9.14 -9.61 -9.38 -9.38 0.3683 218
211 Long Beach St. -8.93 -9.39 -9.86 -9.39 0.3717 217
212 Southern -9.39 -9.45 -9.56 -9.47 0.1742 324
213 Denver -9.05 -9.72 -9.73 -9.50 0.338 233
214 Southern Miss -9.16 -10.03 -9.64 -9.61 0.3355 235
215 UT Rio Grande Valley -9.28 -9.78 -9.83 -9.63 0.2978 249
216 Cornell -9.68 -9.82 -9.59 -9.70 0.2724 266
217 Princeton -9.69 -9.76 -9.77 -9.74 0.4576 181
218 Valparaiso -9.23 -9.93 -10.09 -9.75 0.5392 154
219 Bethune Cookman -9.55 -9.75 -10.01 -9.77 0.1986 309
220 South Alabama -9.61 -10.02 -9.73 -9.79 0.3841 210
221 La Salle -9.89 -9.88 -9.63 -9.80 0.5327 157
222 Western Illinois -9.54 -10.01 -9.93 -9.83 0.2538 277
223 Fairfield -9.7 -10.14 -9.83 -9.89 0.3634 222
224 Troy -9.69 -10.22 -9.81 -9.91 0.4812 173
225 Kent St. -9.65 -10.05 -10.05 -9.92 0.3991 207
226 Pittsburgh -10.07 -10.06 -10.05 -10.06 0.356 226
227 Abilene Christian -9.86 -10.28 -10.16 -10.10 0.2791 262
228 North Dakota St. -9.72 -10.4 -10.35 -10.16 0.4825 172
229 Hampton -10.04 -10.34 -10.22 -10.20 0.2901 253
230 Cal St. Bakersfield -9.81 -10.5 -10.3 -10.20 0.3187 239
231 Colorado St. -9.88 -10.37 -10.6 -10.28 0.353 227
232 Richmond -10.21 -10.51 -10.15 -10.29 0.4362 188
233 Air Force -9.97 -10.47 -10.62 -10.35 0.2687 269
234 Central Arkansas -10.14 -10.43 -10.62 -10.40 0.3776 213
235 Ohio -10.14 -10.48 -10.57 -10.40 0.4188 195
236 Indiana St. -9.83 -10.79 -10.71 -10.44 0.5204 163
237 Robert Morris -10.17 -10.74 -10.53 -10.48 0.3169 240
238 High Point -10.4 -10.93 -10.39 -10.57 0.3975 208
239 North Carolina Central -10.37 -10.63 -10.75 -10.58 0.2256 289
240 Campbell -10.46 -10.99 -10.35 -10.60 0.3807 212
241 Akron -10.5 -10.65 -10.82 -10.66 0.292 252
242 Massachusetts -10.7 -10.65 -10.87 -10.74 0.4331 189
243 Milwaukee -10.63 -10.92 -10.71 -10.75 0.3659 221
244 NJIT -10.68 -10.86 -10.77 -10.77 0.3051 244
245 North Florida -10.6 -10.89 -10.85 -10.78 0.2229 291
246 East Carolina -10.81 -10.8 -10.81 -10.81 0.2345 283
247 Texas St. -10.56 -11.15 -10.79 -10.83 0.3771 215
248 Southern Utah -10.35 -11.13 -11.15 -10.88 0.2194 293
249 Western Carolina -10.78 -11.38 -10.58 -10.91 0.2017 307
250 Charleston Southern -10.85 -11.32 -10.68 -10.95 0.2834 258
251 Montana St. -10.39 -11.37 -11.23 -11.00 0.2869 257
252 Texas Southern -10.92 -11.12 -11.2 -11.08 0.2737 265
253 North Dakota -10.49 -11.56 -11.33 -11.13 0.2621 273
254 Gardner Webb -11.02 -11.59 -10.87 -11.16 0.2651 271
255 Florida Atlantic -10.86 -11.36 -11.28 -11.17 0.2872 256
256 Northern Illinois -11.17 -11.25 -11.42 -11.28 0.3372 234
257 Prairie View A&M -10.99 -11.38 -11.55 -11.31 0.2492 278
258 Boston University -11.37 -11.41 -11.21 -11.33 0.3207 238
259 Columbia -11.4 -11.42 -11.23 -11.35 0.4114 200
260 Manhattan -11.33 -11.52 -11.54 -11.46 0.3994 206
261 Southeast Missouri St. -11.12 -11.86 -11.56 -11.51 0.2882 255
262 Coastal Carolina -11.39 -11.87 -11.44 -11.57 0.4104 201
263 Fordham -11.7 -11.66 -11.57 -11.64 0.2696 268
264 Army -11.64 -11.78 -11.54 -11.65 0.3227 237
265 Stony Brook -11.61 -11.88 -11.53 -11.67 0.3602 224
266 Monmouth -11.75 -11.94 -11.79 -11.83 0.4922 170
267 Appalachian St. -11.93 -12.2 -11.93 -12.02 0.3773 214
268 IUPUI -11.91 -12.23 -12.08 -12.07 0.2416 280
269 McNeese St. -11.84 -12.39 -12.13 -12.12 0.1972 310
270 Loyola Marymount -11.86 -12.33 -12.49 -12.23 0.3131 242
271 Santa Clara -11.89 -12.43 -12.46 -12.26 0.2809 260
272 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -11.96 -12.46 -12.38 -12.27 0.201 308
273 California -12.18 -12.06 -12.76 -12.33 0.3409 231
274 Fairleigh Dickinson -12.29 -12.65 -12.38 -12.44 0.2539 276
275 FIU -12.11 -12.69 -12.6 -12.47 0.3044 245
276 Saint Peter’s -12.38 -12.57 -12.49 -12.48 0.3406 232
277 St. Francis NY -12.45 -12.79 -12.57 -12.60 0.2074 302
278 Oral Roberts -12.29 -12.81 -12.77 -12.62 0.3013 247
279 UMass Lowell -12.53 -12.89 -12.51 -12.64 0.2139 298
280 Jacksonville -12.59 -12.91 -12.89 -12.80 0.1519 327
281 Portland -12.5 -13.02 -13.02 -12.85 0.2744 264
282 Drexel -12.71 -13.05 -12.81 -12.86 0.2981 248
283 Nebraska Omaha -12.47 -13.06 -13.05 -12.86 0.2815 259
284 Eastern Illinois -12.51 -13.25 -12.89 -12.88 0.2888 254
285 UTEP -12.49 -13.27 -13.1 -12.95 0.2716 267
286 Morgan St. -12.96 -13.09 -13.07 -13.04 0.1759 322
287 Jackson St. -12.95 -13.25 -13.07 -13.09 0.1167 334
288 Central Connecticut -12.82 -13.33 -13.19 -13.11 0.1931 313
289 Delaware -13.03 -13.34 -13.18 -13.18 0.3033 246
290 The Citadel -13.09 -13.73 -12.81 -13.21 0.1954 312
291 Arkansas St. -13.17 -13.57 -13.27 -13.34 0.2608 274
292 LIU Brooklyn -13.1 -13.59 -13.34 -13.34 0.2657 270
293 Norfolk St. -13.09 -13.61 -13.38 -13.36 0.1847 316
294 Holy Cross -13.42 -13.47 -13.21 -13.37 0.2283 287
295 UMKC -13.04 -13.74 -13.38 -13.39 0.221 292
296 South Florida -13.42 -13.59 -13.59 -13.53 0.1888 315
297 SIU Edwardsville -13.35 -13.99 -13.67 -13.67 0.1836 319
298 Alcorn St. -13.62 -13.66 -13.75 -13.68 0.1108 338
299 Kennesaw St. -13.55 -13.9 -13.73 -13.73 0.2169 296
300 Samford -13.56 -14.26 -13.51 -13.78 0.2491 279
301 Eastern Kentucky -13.4 -14.23 -13.81 -13.81 0.2295 286
302 Dartmouth -13.84 -13.98 -13.72 -13.85 0.2563 275
303 Green Bay -13.76 -14.13 -14.04 -13.98 0.2744 263
304 South Carolina St. -14.13 -14.44 -14.23 -14.27 0.0762 343
305 New Hampshire -14.23 -14.6 -14.2 -14.34 0.3089 243
306 Binghamton -14.33 -14.74 -14.34 -14.47 0.2411 281
307 Presbyterian -14.3 -15 -14.15 -14.48 0.1371 330
308 UNC Wilmington -14.29 -14.79 -14.38 -14.49 0.3242 236
309 UC Riverside -13.99 -14.76 -14.89 -14.55 0.2306 285
310 Arkansas Pine Bluff -14.31 -14.67 -14.7 -14.56 0.1175 333
311 Cal Poly -14.17 -14.67 -15.03 -14.62 0.1842 317
312 Quinnipiac -14.49 -14.89 -14.65 -14.68 0.2239 290
313 Alabama St. -14.59 -14.85 -14.68 -14.71 0.0957 339
314 VMI -14.7 -15.3 -14.43 -14.81 0.1219 331
315 Morehead St. -14.7 -15.39 -14.88 -14.99 0.2308 284
316 James Madison -14.78 -15.22 -14.98 -14.99 0.349 228
317 Lafayette -15.39 -15.4 -15.11 -15.30 0.2649 272
318 Stetson -15.35 -15.74 -15.63 -15.57 0.1839 318
319 Incarnate Word -15.69 -16.13 -15.92 -15.91 0.0887 341
320 Loyola MD -16.03 -16.01 -15.89 -15.98 0.1794 321
321 Charlotte -15.7 -16.32 -16.07 -16.03 0.1971 311
322 Chattanooga -15.77 -16.55 -15.79 -16.04 0.2171 294
323 Sacred Heart -15.91 -16.28 -16.16 -16.12 0.2024 306
324 Rice -15.9 -16.62 -16.42 -16.31 0.204 305
325 Youngstown St. -16 -16.62 -16.37 -16.33 0.1745 323
326 Houston Baptist -16.14 -16.55 -16.37 -16.35 0.1497 329
327 Detroit -16.19 -16.62 -16.37 -16.39 0.204 304
328 Tennessee Martin -16.11 -16.72 -16.48 -16.44 0.2123 300
329 Siena -16.32 -16.63 -16.41 -16.45 0.2398 282
330 Sacramento St. -15.76 -16.86 -16.78 -16.47 0.2171 295
331 Cleveland St. -16.46 -16.7 -16.57 -16.58 0.19 314
332 San Jose St. -16.13 -16.82 -16.9 -16.62 0.2123 299
333 Howard -16.86 -17.11 -17.09 -17.02 0.1191 332
334 Cal St. Northridge -16.37 -17.22 -17.5 -17.03 0.1504 328
335 Little Rock -16.78 -17.49 -17.12 -17.13 0.2061 303
336 American -17.3 -17.47 -17.09 -17.29 0.1548 326
337 Florida A&M -17.05 -17.46 -17.35 -17.29 0.0823 342
338 Maryland Eastern Shore -17.3 -17.56 -17.33 -17.40 0.0445 349
339 Northwestern St. -17.41 -17.67 -17.71 -17.60 0.0657 346
340 Northern Arizona -17.08 -17.97 -17.98 -17.68 0.1167 335
341 Pepperdine -17.28 -17.9 -17.92 -17.70 0.2279 288
342 Coppin St. -18.2 -18.28 -18.4 -18.29 0.0672 345
343 Maine -18.25 -18.54 -18.26 -18.35 0.1159 336
344 Marist -18.42 -18.75 -18.65 -18.61 0.1829 320
345 USC Upstate -19.03 -19.28 -19.15 -19.15 0.1146 337
346 Chicago St. -18.96 -19.45 -19.34 -19.25 0.0546 348
347 Longwood -19.43 -20.04 -19.3 -19.59 0.0761 344
348 Mississippi Valley St. -19.74 -20.08 -20.12 -19.98 0.0577 347
349 Alabama A&M -20.35 -20.63 -20.73 -20.57 0.0376 351
350 Delaware St. -21.11 -21.53 -21.34 -21.33 0.043 350
351 Bryant -21.82 -22.28 -22.07 -22.06 0.0927 340
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Running the KenPom-WAB’s, four teams stood out to me:

Rank School WAB Pythag Seed
43 Virginia Tech 0.46 0.8614 NULL
64 Tennessee -1.69 0.8205 9
72 Southern California -2.1 0.8371 11
76 Virginia Commonwealth -2.36 0.7226 11

Tennessee was safely in. USC and VCU faced off in a play-in game. VCU won and went on a run that sent them to the Final Four. Tennessee got pounded by Michigan 75-45. Woof. Virginia Tech got left out. Now, Virginia Tech was a fairly strong team, playing in the ACC, so I don’t think the issue was whether they were one of the 37 best at-large teams. Moreover, their resume was solid. It was certainly better than Tennessee’s, or USC’s, or VCU’s. I’ve included hyperlinks to their RPI data. USC was 80th. VCU was 114th in SOS. I can’t say this was just a case of strength of schedule trumping strength of record. I’m honestly not sure what this is. Harvard and Saint Mary’s would have been better picks than VCU and USC. As for Tennessee, they were a #9 seed with that resume? Just baffling.

As for the explanations given… well, they don’t tell us much:

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/tournament/2011/news/story?id=6214265

Finally, confession time: I ran these numbers three times just because I couldn’t believe BYU was seventh in the WAB standings. Somehow I remembered San Diego State, but completely forgot about BYU. Oops!

Rank School WAB Pythag Seed
1 Ohio St. 10.95 0.9699 1
2 Kansas 10.07 0.9592 1
3 San Diego St. 9.00 0.9494 2
4 Duke 8.57 0.9642 1
5 Notre Dame 7.74 0.9317 2
6 Pittsburgh 7.42 0.9523 1
7 Brigham Young 7.30 0.9280 3
8 Connecticut 7.00 0.9176 3
9 North Carolina 6.58 0.9234 2
10 Purdue 6.29 0.9477 3
11 Syracuse 6.10 0.9268 3
12 Texas 5.54 0.9546 4
13 Wisconsin 5.01 0.9376 4
14 Florida 4.62 0.8956 2
15 Louisville 4.57 0.9338 4
16 Georgetown 4.51 0.8900 6
17 Arizona 4.49 0.8854 5
18 Kentucky 4.29 0.9415 4
19 Utah St. 3.85 0.9108 12
20 Cincinnati 3.50 0.9056 6
21 West Virginia 3.16 0.9050 5
22 St. John’s 2.88 0.8699 6
23 Nevada Las Vegas 2.87 0.8952 8
24 Texas A&M 2.45 0.8499 7
25 Old Dominion 2.33 0.8333 9
26 Temple 2.20 0.8737 7
27 Kansas St. 2.18 0.8802 5
28 Xavier 2.06 0.8610 6
29 Richmond 1.70 0.8505 12
30 Villanova 1.48 0.8806 9
31 Michigan St. 1.32 0.8437 10
32 Missouri 1.23 0.8610 11
33 Vanderbilt 1.16 0.8685 5
34 Washington 1.15 0.9193 7
35 Belmont 1.10 0.8937 13
36 Michigan 1.07 0.8486 8
37 Penn St. 0.94 0.8302 10
38 George Mason 0.94 0.8837 8
39 Illinois 0.90 0.9005 9
40 UCLA 0.78 0.8281 7
41 Marquette 0.72 0.8767 11
42 Florida St. 0.47 0.8585 10
43 Virginia Tech 0.46 0.8614 NULL
44 St. Mary’s 0.21 0.8448 NULL
45 Oakland 0.15 0.7932 13
46 Memphis 0.08 0.6898 12
47 Harvard 0.07 0.7744 NULL
48 Princeton 0.05 0.7304 13
49 Gonzaga 0.02 0.8652 11
50 Clemson 0.00 0.8837 12
51 Cleveland St. -0.26 0.7892 NULL
52 Butler -0.28 0.8387 8
53 Georgia -0.43 0.7960 10
54 Boston College -0.47 0.7747 NULL
55 UAB -0.63 0.8034 12
56 Colorado -0.76 0.8074 NULL
57 Northwestern -0.87 0.7857 NULL
58 Long Island -1.21 0.6416 15
59 Missouri St. -1.24 0.7489 NULL
60 Washington St. -1.40 0.8313 NULL
61 Coastal Carolina -1.40 0.6478 NULL
62 Oklahoma St. -1.41 0.7579 NULL
63 Minnesota -1.64 0.8025 NULL
64 Tennessee -1.69 0.8205 9
65 Alabama -1.70 0.8120 NULL
66 New Mexico -1.72 0.8423 NULL
67 Colorado St. -1.77 0.7617 NULL
68 Wichita St. -1.87 0.8161 NULL
69 California -1.96 0.7716 NULL
70 Bucknell -1.97 0.7024 14
71 Texas El Paso -1.98 0.7793 NULL
72 Southern California -2.10 0.8371 11
73 Fairfield -2.12 0.6792 NULL
74 Maryland -2.14 0.8487 NULL
75 Nebraska -2.27 0.8223 NULL
76 Virginia Commonwealth -2.36 0.7226 11
77 Miami FL -2.71 0.7918 NULL
78 Southern Mississippi -2.78 0.7579 NULL
79 Drexel -2.81 0.6801 NULL
80 Long Beach St. -2.85 0.6902 NULL
81 Marshall -2.94 0.7245 NULL
82 Vermont -2.95 0.5857 NULL
83 Valparaiso -3.04 0.6845 NULL
84 College of Charleston -3.08 0.7395 NULL
85 Dayton -3.12 0.6815 NULL
86 Portland -3.47 0.6733 NULL
87 Baylor -3.49 0.7408 NULL
88 Rider -3.53 0.6363 NULL
89 James Madison -3.55 0.6644 NULL
90 Morehead St. -3.63 0.6830 13
91 Hofstra -3.65 0.5784 NULL
92 American -3.75 0.4860 NULL
93 Murray St. -3.77 0.5841 NULL
94 Mississippi -4.10 0.7384 NULL
95 Kent St. -4.18 0.6400 NULL
96 North Carolina St. -4.18 0.6820 NULL
97 Virginia -4.20 0.6610 NULL
98 Central Florida -4.29 0.6601 NULL
99 Rutgers -4.29 0.7463 NULL
100 East Tennessee St. -4.43 0.6274 NULL
101 Northern Colorado -4.44 0.6244 15
102 Rhode Island -4.66 0.6096 NULL
103 Arkansas -4.67 0.6381 NULL
104 Seton Hall -4.67 0.8245 NULL
105 Iona -4.67 0.7830 NULL
106 Duquesne -4.68 0.8195 NULL
107 Montana -4.68 0.6662 NULL
108 Wofford -4.79 0.6911 14
109 Boise St. -4.82 0.7402 NULL
110 Furman -4.88 0.5657 NULL
111 Wisconsin Milwaukee -4.88 0.5691 NULL
112 Florida Atlantic -4.95 0.4622 NULL
113 Tulsa -5.07 0.6874 NULL
114 Indiana St. -5.16 0.6309 14
115 Providence -5.27 0.6914 NULL
116 Air Force -5.38 0.6246 NULL
117 St. Peter’s -5.48 0.5985 14
118 Hampton -5.53 0.3881 16
119 Iowa St. -5.53 0.7307 NULL
120 Northern Iowa -5.54 0.6134 NULL
121 Mississippi St. -5.61 0.5808 NULL
122 South Carolina -5.69 0.5859 NULL
123 Jacksonville -5.79 0.4973 NULL
124 San Francisco -5.83 0.5527 NULL
125 IUPUI -5.85 0.5973 NULL
126 Akron -5.85 0.6049 15
127 IUPU Fort Wayne -5.85 0.4758 NULL
128 Quinnipiac -5.87 0.5066 NULL
129 Hawaii -5.90 0.5140 NULL
130 Oregon -5.96 0.6804 NULL
131 Stanford -6.21 0.6748 NULL
132 Oklahoma -6.27 0.5693 NULL
133 Wright St. -6.44 0.6419 NULL
134 St. Bonaventure -6.48 0.5668 NULL
135 Idaho -6.58 0.5804 NULL
136 McNeese St. -6.58 0.4194 NULL
137 Northern Arizona -6.60 0.6073 NULL
138 UC Santa Barbara -6.73 0.6142 15
139 Utah -6.79 0.5843 NULL
140 Lipscomb -6.83 0.5349 NULL
141 Creighton -6.84 0.6249 NULL
142 Santa Clara -6.84 0.5501 NULL
143 Western Michigan -6.85 0.4919 NULL
144 Miami OH -6.87 0.4522 NULL
145 George Washington -6.96 0.4837 NULL
146 Robert Morris -7.01 0.5520 NULL
147 East Carolina -7.01 0.5577 NULL
148 Indiana -7.06 0.7059 NULL
149 Weber St. -7.08 0.5063 NULL
150 South Dakota St. -7.11 0.6326 NULL
151 North Texas -7.26 0.4845 NULL
152 Texas Southern -7.39 0.2193 NULL
153 Austin Peay -7.40 0.5640 NULL
154 Oral Roberts -7.45 0.6035 NULL
155 Iowa -7.48 0.6809 NULL
156 Central Connecticut -7.57 0.5236 NULL
157 Boston University -7.58 0.4893 16
158 Georgia Tech -7.65 0.6692 NULL
159 Tennessee Tech -7.65 0.3776 NULL
160 NC Asheville -7.69 0.5682 16
161 Stephen F. Austin -7.79 0.3840 NULL
162 Texas Tech -7.81 0.6132 NULL
163 Davidson -7.89 0.5292 NULL
164 Arizona St. -7.90 0.5845 NULL
165 Ball St. -8.03 0.4930 NULL
166 Buffalo -8.04 0.6310 NULL
167 Evansville -8.09 0.4531 NULL
168 Columbia -8.15 0.3810 NULL
169 Yale -8.17 0.4578 NULL
170 Missouri Kansas City -8.22 0.2544 NULL
171 Utah Valley -8.25 0.2930 NULL
172 Liberty -8.26 0.3502 NULL
173 Bethune Cookman -8.31 0.2142 NULL
174 Detroit -8.33 0.5821 NULL
175 San Jose St. -8.44 0.4806 NULL
176 New Mexico St. -8.54 0.5744 NULL
177 Pennsylvania -8.56 0.4494 NULL
178 Sam Houston St. -8.64 0.4729 NULL
179 Loyola Chicago -8.65 0.5747 NULL
180 Pacific -8.66 0.5643 NULL
181 Virginia Military Inst -8.68 0.4168 NULL
182 Massachusetts -8.69 0.4666 NULL
183 Southern Methodist -8.74 0.5212 NULL
184 Western Carolina -8.75 0.4362 NULL
185 South Florida -9.06 0.5959 NULL
186 North Florida -9.15 0.3626 NULL
187 Loyola MD -9.15 0.4676 NULL
188 Wisconsin Green Bay -9.21 0.5161 NULL
189 Ohio -9.21 0.5363 NULL
190 Appalachian St. -9.27 0.3753 NULL
191 Coppin St. -9.34 0.2542 NULL
192 Texas San Antonio -9.35 0.3603 16
193 Southeastern Louisiana -9.42 0.2818 NULL
194 Cal Poly -9.45 0.5070 NULL
195 Delaware -9.51 0.4031 NULL
196 Morgan St. -9.72 0.2998 NULL
197 Canisius -9.74 0.4661 NULL
198 Arkansas St. -9.78 0.4251 NULL
199 La Salle -9.83 0.4895 NULL
200 Fresno St. -9.92 0.4865 NULL
201 North Dakota St. -9.93 0.5114 NULL
202 Lehigh -9.98 0.4458 NULL
203 Oregon St. -10.01 0.5205 NULL
204 Nicholls St. -10.04 0.3412 NULL
205 North Dakota -10.08 0.1773 NULL
206 Northwestern St. -10.22 0.2760 NULL
207 Chattanooga -10.29 0.2537 NULL
208 St. Louis -10.36 0.6001 NULL
209 Maine -10.36 0.4081 NULL
210 Rice -10.55 0.5278 NULL
211 St. Francis NY -10.72 0.3910 NULL
212 Western Kentucky -10.75 0.3745 NULL
213 Jackson St. -10.85 0.2309 NULL
214 Tulane -10.85 0.4383 NULL
215 NC Wilmington -11.07 0.3805 NULL
216 Louisiana Lafayette -11.15 0.3392 NULL
217 Arkansas Little Rock -11.17 0.3765 16
218 Charleston Southern -11.21 0.3823 NULL
219 Wagner -11.27 0.3562 NULL
220 North Carolina Central -11.33 0.1573 NULL
221 Texas Christian -11.34 0.4974 NULL
222 Nevada -11.36 0.5258 NULL
223 Savannah St. -11.37 0.2496 NULL
224 Tennessee St. -11.39 0.3212 NULL
225 Drake -11.43 0.3807 NULL
226 South Alabama -11.45 0.2055 NULL
227 Presbyterian -11.49 0.2968 NULL
228 Middle Tennessee -11.53 0.4376 NULL
229 South Dakota -11.55 0.2212 NULL
230 Eastern Kentucky -11.66 0.3228 NULL
231 NJ Inst of Technology -11.68 0.1578 NULL
232 Albany -11.71 0.3204 NULL
233 Siena -11.73 0.4007 NULL
234 Mercer -11.75 0.3925 NULL
235 Southern Illinois -11.83 0.3481 NULL
236 DePaul -11.83 0.4115 NULL
237 Charlotte -11.85 0.3922 NULL
238 Cornell -11.89 0.4374 NULL
239 Wyoming -11.93 0.3611 NULL
240 Winthrop -11.94 0.3609 NULL
241 Portland St. -11.95 0.2738 NULL
242 Alabama A&M -11.99 0.1147 NULL
243 Elon -12.02 0.3201 NULL
244 Denver -12.05 0.3766 NULL
245 North Carolina A&T -12.07 0.2054 NULL
246 Texas Arlington -12.13 0.2862 NULL
247 Mississippi Valley St. -12.20 0.1590 NULL
248 Houston -12.20 0.3705 NULL
249 Saint Joseph’s -12.23 0.4446 NULL
250 Cal St. Northridge -12.23 0.3692 NULL
251 Northeastern -12.24 0.4207 NULL
252 Texas St. -12.28 0.2958 NULL
253 Brown -12.38 0.3329 NULL
254 Auburn -12.41 0.3318 NULL
255 Stony Brook -12.43 0.3361 NULL
256 Georgia St. -12.74 0.3556 NULL
257 Louisiana St. -12.74 0.3329 NULL
258 Longwood -12.85 0.1517 NULL
259 Montana St. -12.89 0.3035 NULL
260 UC Riverside -13.00 0.2666 NULL
261 Pepperdine -13.02 0.3635 NULL
262 Alabama St. -13.08 0.1792 16
263 Lafayette -13.14 0.3673 NULL
264 UC Irvine -13.17 0.3845 NULL
265 Bowling Green -13.21 0.3097 NULL
266 Bradley -13.22 0.4029 NULL
267 Louisiana Tech -13.34 0.3139 NULL
268 Lamar -13.37 0.3224 NULL
269 Illinois St. -13.47 0.3082 NULL
270 Southern Utah -13.62 0.2720 NULL
271 Wake Forest -13.65 0.2712 NULL
272 Cal St. Bakersfield -13.75 0.1726 NULL
273 New Hampshire -13.81 0.2013 NULL
274 William & Mary -13.99 0.3474 NULL
275 Idaho St. -14.01 0.1952 NULL
276 Eastern Washington -14.04 0.2766 NULL
277 Campbell -14.07 0.2877 NULL
278 Sacred Heart -14.11 0.2626 NULL
279 Fordham -14.17 0.2145 NULL
280 High Point -14.29 0.1633 NULL
281 Florida Gulf Coast -14.33 0.2119 NULL
282 Loyola Marymount -14.35 0.4050 NULL
283 Mount St. Mary’s -14.36 0.2878 NULL
284 Cal St. Fullerton -14.55 0.2958 NULL
285 Seattle -14.58 0.2465 NULL
286 UC Davis -14.67 0.3255 NULL
287 Gardner Webb -14.76 0.2451 NULL
288 Army -14.79 0.2419 NULL
289 Samford -14.89 0.1588 NULL
290 Florida International -14.92 0.2285 NULL
291 Hartford -15.27 0.2025 NULL
292 Bryant -15.34 0.1846 NULL
293 St. Francis PA -15.34 0.2381 NULL
294 Navy -15.38 0.2421 NULL
295 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -15.38 0.1378 NULL
296 Norfolk St. -15.52 0.1956 NULL
297 The Citadel -15.60 0.2326 NULL
298 Troy -15.69 0.2436 NULL
299 Northern Illinois -15.72 0.2414 NULL
300 Tennessee Martin -15.78 0.1941 NULL
301 Central Michigan -15.80 0.2288 NULL
302 Illinois Chicago -15.93 0.2802 NULL
303 Delaware St. -15.94 0.1791 NULL
304 Eastern Illinois -15.99 0.1721 NULL
305 Florida A&M -16.19 0.0999 NULL
306 Holy Cross -16.33 0.3615 NULL
307 San Diego -16.35 0.1914 NULL
308 Monmouth -16.38 0.2287 NULL
309 SIU Edwardsville -16.73 0.0434 NULL
310 Sacramento St. -16.77 0.1370 NULL
311 Grambling -16.91 0.0871 NULL
312 NC Greensboro -16.94 0.2223 NULL
313 Prairie View A&M -16.96 0.0687 NULL
314 Niagara -17.00 0.1827 NULL
315 Southeast Missouri St. -17.21 0.1965 NULL
316 Eastern Michigan -17.31 0.2081 NULL
317 Colgate -17.42 0.1574 NULL
318 Stetson -17.50 0.1853 NULL
319 Dartmouth -17.54 0.1264 NULL
320 Kennesaw St. -17.59 0.1416 NULL
321 Maryland Eastern Shore -17.72 0.0775 NULL
322 South Carolina Upstate -18.21 0.1280 NULL
323 Western Illinois -18.23 0.0841 NULL
324 Binghamton -18.38 0.1496 NULL
325 Arkansas Pine Bluff -18.42 0.0702 NULL
326 Alcorn St. -18.54 0.0486 NULL
327 South Carolina St. -18.70 0.0995 NULL
328 Manhattan -18.82 0.1671 NULL
329 Radford -18.87 0.0814 NULL
330 Fairleigh Dickinson -19.06 0.1301 NULL
331 Towson -19.59 0.2446 NULL
332 Louisiana Monroe -19.61 0.1078 NULL
333 MD Baltimore County -19.69 0.0816 NULL
334 Marist -19.69 0.1374 NULL
335 Central Arkansas -19.81 0.0755 NULL
336 Chicago St. -20.28 0.0386 NULL
337 Howard -20.38 0.0569 NULL
338 Jacksonville St. -20.59 0.1979 NULL
339 Texas Pan American -20.74 0.0887 NULL
340 Georgia Southern -21.41 0.0907 NULL
341 Toledo -21.62 0.0850 NULL
342 Youngstown St. -22.12 0.2877 NULL
343 Southern -22.28 0.0253 NULL
344 Houston Baptist -23.11 0.0743 NULL
345 Centenary -23.63 0.0303 NULL

 

 

Sagarin hasn’t been updated yet, so no point in trying to run all three.

Last night Drexel completed a 34-point comeback against Delaware. This erased a 32-point comeback by Duke from the record books, so well done Drexel Dragons.

Indiana State is travelling to Ohio State tonight, while Rhode Island hosts Dayton.

Rank School WAB
1 Virginia 7.78
2 Villanova 7.02
3 Xavier 6.85
4 Michigan St. 6.26
5 Purdue 5.65
6 Duke 5.61
7 North Carolina 5.43
8 Auburn 4.87
9 Kansas 4.68
10 Tennessee 3.79
11 Texas Tech 3.63
12 Cincinnati 3.29
13 Gonzaga 3.20
14 Clemson 3.18
15 Ohio St. 3.14
16 Michigan 3.10
17 West Virginia 2.58
18 Rhode Island 2.51
19 Wichita St. 2.48
20 Arizona 2.38
21 Nevada 2.35
22 Kentucky 1.99
23 Virginia Tech 1.87
24 Middle Tennessee 1.78
25 Kansas St. 1.65
26 Saint Mary’s 1.61
27 TCU 1.30
28 Houston 1.30
29 Florida St. 1.19
30 Miami FL 1.16
31 North Carolina St. 0.94
32 Creighton 0.86
33 Arkansas 0.79
34 Loyola Chicago 0.76
35 Butler 0.74
36 Louisiana Lafayette 0.67
37 Nebraska 0.63
38 Oklahoma 0.59
39 Seton Hall 0.49
40 St. Bonaventure 0.45
41 Mississippi St. 0.39
42 Boise St. 0.39
43 Texas A&M 0.33
44 New Mexico St. 0.31
45 Arizona St. 0.22
46 Florida -0.10
47 Missouri -0.14
48 Louisville -0.24
49 Providence -0.30
50 Utah -0.42
51 Texas -0.44
52 South Dakota St. -0.45
53 Alabama -0.45
54 Baylor -0.47
55 UCLA -0.48
56 Maryland -0.57
57 Marquette -0.65
58 Vermont -0.74
59 Syracuse -0.81
60 Old Dominion -0.82
61 USC -0.83
62 Western Kentucky -1.04
63 Murray St. -1.09
64 East Tennessee St. -1.14
65 LSU -1.40
66 Oklahoma St. -1.43
67 Stephen F. Austin -1.54
68 Georgia -1.56
69 Penn St. -1.73
70 College of Charleston -1.83
71 South Dakota -1.86
72 BYU -1.88
73 Washington -1.90
74 Notre Dame -1.91
75 Temple -2.07
76 Montana -2.12
77 UNC Greensboro -2.13
78 Fresno St. -2.27
79 Boston College -2.27
80 Buffalo -2.40
81 UCF -2.50
82 UC Santa Barbara -2.51
83 Indiana -2.53
84 Belmont -2.65
85 Georgetown -2.76
86 Oregon -2.83
87 Rider -2.86
88 UNLV -3.02
89 South Carolina -3.06
90 Utah Valley -3.12
91 Penn -3.23
92 St. John’s -3.26
93 Wright St. -3.43
94 Iowa St. -3.52
95 Wagner -3.59
96 Lipscomb -3.60
97 San Diego St. -3.61
98 Bucknell -3.61
99 Northeastern -3.65
100 Memphis -3.73
101 Wyoming -3.77
102 Marshall -3.83
103 Tulsa -3.86
104 Ball St. -3.87
105 Furman -3.91
106 Northern Kentucky -3.97
107 Davidson -3.99
108 Idaho -4.02
109 UC Davis -4.12
110 Southern Illinois -4.22
111 Toledo -4.22
112 Weber St. -4.28
113 Georgia St. -4.29
114 SMU -4.29
115 UNC Asheville -4.40
116 Northwestern -4.49
117 Bradley -4.66
118 Stanford -4.70
119 Wisconsin -4.71
120 Colorado -4.89
121 Nicholls St. -4.94
122 Minnesota -4.97
123 Wofford -5.02
124 Northern Colorado -5.11
125 Connecticut -5.12
126 Albany -5.13
127 Mississippi -5.26
128 Vanderbilt -5.32
129 Cal St. Fullerton -5.33
130 Hofstra -5.33
131 UMBC -5.37
132 Seattle -5.45
133 Portland St. -5.55
134 San Diego -5.56
135 VCU -5.56
136 Grand Canyon -5.61
137 Canisius -5.64
138 Illinois St. -5.65
139 Florida Gulf Coast -5.69
140 William & Mary -5.70
141 Southeastern Louisiana -5.94
142 Winthrop -5.96
143 San Francisco -6.07
144 UAB -6.13
145 Utah St. -6.31
146 Hawaii -6.43
147 Georgia Southern -6.44
148 Harvard -6.44
149 UTSA -6.50
150 UT Arlington -6.52
151 Austin Peay -6.53
152 Tennessee Tech -6.54
153 Jacksonville St. -6.56
154 Wake Forest -6.63
155 St. Francis PA -6.68
156 Georgia Tech -6.68
157 Radford -6.71
158 Saint Louis -6.74
159 New Mexico -6.86
160 Drake -6.86
161 DePaul -6.86
162 Sam Houston St. -6.89
163 Eastern Washington -6.90
164 Fort Wayne -6.90
165 Eastern Michigan -6.90
166 Iona -6.92
167 Illinois -6.97
168 Missouri St. -7.01
169 Iowa -7.21
170 Northern Iowa -7.25
171 Rutgers -7.25
172 Oregon St. -7.25
173 Louisiana Monroe -7.31
174 Tulane -7.35
175 Evansville -7.42
176 Niagara -7.43
177 Louisiana Tech -7.43
178 Oakland -7.48
179 Navy -7.49
180 Hartford -7.55
181 Savannah St. -7.60
182 North Carolina A&T -7.63
183 Western Michigan -7.65
184 Illinois Chicago -7.73
185 Mercer -7.80
186 Towson -7.88
187 UC Irvine -7.90
188 Dayton -7.98
189 Bowling Green -8.11
190 Tennessee St. -8.16
191 North Texas -8.28
192 New Orleans -8.31
193 George Washington -8.33
194 Lamar -8.35
195 Colgate -8.37
196 Grambling St. -8.41
197 Brown -8.53
198 Pacific -8.55
199 Central Michigan -8.57
200 Washington St. -8.58
201 Yale -8.69
202 Miami OH -8.80
203 Duquesne -8.91
204 Cornell -8.98
205 Lehigh -8.99
206 George Mason -9.04
207 Idaho St. -9.06
208 Princeton -9.08
209 Long Beach St. -9.25
210 Mount St. Mary’s -9.29
211 Denver -9.33
212 Liberty -9.37
213 Saint Joseph’s -9.40
214 Southern Miss -9.47
215 Elon -9.48
216 Valparaiso -9.56
217 UT Rio Grande Valley -9.57
218 Southern -9.59
219 Bethune Cookman -9.72
220 Western Illinois -9.77
221 South Alabama -9.86
222 Kent St. -9.91
223 Troy -9.95
224 Fairfield -9.96
225 North Dakota St. -10.03
226 Abilene Christian -10.05
227 Cal St. Bakersfield -10.10
228 Indiana St. -10.18
229 Hampton -10.21
230 Colorado St. -10.26
231 Western Carolina -10.28
232 Air Force -10.28
233 La Salle -10.30
234 Central Arkansas -10.40
235 Ohio -10.41
236 Robert Morris -10.43
237 Pittsburgh -10.46
238 North Carolina Central -10.54
239 Richmond -10.59
240 High Point -10.61
241 Southern Utah -10.62
242 Montana St. -10.67
243 Campbell -10.67
244 Akron -10.76
245 North Dakota -10.80
246 Texas St. -10.84
247 Milwaukee -10.87
248 North Florida -10.90
249 NJIT -10.91
250 Manhattan -10.94
251 East Carolina -11.06
252 Massachusetts -11.06
253 Charleston Southern -11.07
254 Florida Atlantic -11.13
255 Texas Southern -11.20
256 Prairie View A&M -11.26
257 Gardner Webb -11.27
258 Southeast Missouri St. -11.40
259 Northern Illinois -11.45
260 Boston University -11.61
261 Columbia -11.67
262 Coastal Carolina -11.69
263 Stony Brook -11.87
264 Army -11.87
265 Fordham -12.02
266 McNeese St. -12.06
267 Monmouth -12.09
268 Loyola Marymount -12.19
269 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -12.19
270 Santa Clara -12.19
271 Appalachian St. -12.22
272 IUPUI -12.22
273 FIU -12.36
274 The Citadel -12.49
275 Fairleigh Dickinson -12.54
276 California -12.56
277 Oral Roberts -12.67
278 St. Francis NY -12.67
279 UMass Lowell -12.73
280 Saint Peter’s -12.75
281 UTEP -12.78
282 Eastern Illinois -12.80
283 Jacksonville -12.80
284 Nebraska Omaha -12.81
285 Portland -12.84
286 Drexel -13.04
287 Central Connecticut -13.08
288 Morgan St. -13.13
289 Jackson St. -13.16
290 Norfolk St. -13.28
291 LIU Brooklyn -13.31
292 Delaware -13.35
293 UMKC -13.35
294 Dartmouth -13.43
295 Arkansas St. -13.45
296 SIU Edwardsville -13.64
297 Holy Cross -13.67
298 Eastern Kentucky -13.70
299 South Florida -13.72
300 Kennesaw St. -13.81
301 Quinnipiac -13.83
302 Alcorn St. -13.83
303 Samford -13.92
304 Green Bay -14.01
305 VMI -14.03
306 UC Riverside -14.26
307 South Carolina St. -14.39
308 Cal Poly -14.45
309 New Hampshire -14.49
310 Binghamton -14.53
311 Presbyterian -14.54
312 Arkansas Pine Bluff -14.54
313 UNC Wilmington -14.62
314 Alabama St. -14.78
315 Morehead St. -15.01
316 James Madison -15.09
317 Chattanooga -15.56
318 Stetson -15.58
319 Lafayette -15.60
320 Incarnate Word -15.89
321 Charlotte -16.00
322 Sacramento St. -16.10
323 Sacred Heart -16.15
324 Rice -16.21
325 Loyola MD -16.25
326 Youngstown St. -16.31
327 Tennessee Martin -16.38
328 Houston Baptist -16.42
329 Detroit -16.46
330 San Jose St. -16.48
331 Siena -16.63
332 Cal St. Northridge -16.65
333 Cleveland St. -16.72
334 Little Rock -17.08
335 Howard -17.10
336 Florida A&M -17.32
337 Northern Arizona -17.39
338 American -17.54
339 Maryland Eastern Shore -17.56
340 Pepperdine -17.63
341 Northwestern St. -17.64
342 Marist -17.88
343 Coppin St. -18.45
344 Maine -18.48
345 USC Upstate -19.31
346 Chicago St. -19.35
347 Longwood -19.70
348 Mississippi Valley St. -20.00
349 Alabama A&M -20.59
350 Delaware St. -21.33
351 Bryant -22.10

No matter how many times I see it, it still amazes me. We live in a world where strength of schedule rules and strength of record gets a footnote. Good luck Cornhuskers (nee Bugeaters).

Rank WAB School WAB KP WAB Sag WAB BPI WAB Avg Pythag Rank Pythag
1 Virginia 7.78 8.38 8.41 8.19 0.9689 1
2 Villanova 7 7.38 7.41 7.26 0.968 2
3 Xavier 6.84 7.38 7.27 7.16 0.9184 12
4 Michigan St. 6.3 7.18 6.91 6.80 0.9581 5
5 Duke 5.62 5.97 6.01 5.87 0.9625 3
6 North Carolina 5.43 5.78 5.94 5.72 0.9376 7
7 Purdue 5.23 5.84 5.78 5.62 0.9594 4
8 Kansas 4.72 5.56 5.03 5.10 0.9367 8
9 Auburn 4.88 4.95 4.72 4.85 0.9142 13
10 Texas Tech 3.67 4.62 4.15 4.15 0.9301 10
11 Tennessee 3.82 4.39 4.16 4.12 0.9027 16
12 Michigan 3.15 3.86 3.75 3.59 0.8987 18
13 Ohio St. 3.15 3.75 3.8 3.57 0.9053 15
14 Clemson 3.18 3.7 3.7 3.53 0.8987 17
15 Cincinnati 3.26 3.67 3.52 3.48 0.9568 6
16 West Virginia 2.6 3.46 2.95 3.00 0.9305 9
17 Gonzaga 2.9 3.05 2.84 2.93 0.9286 11
18 Rhode Island 2.51 2.85 2.86 2.74 0.8688 34
19 Wichita St. 2.51 2.95 2.69 2.72 0.9137 14
20 Houston 2.03 2.3 2.52 2.28 0.8873 22
21 Kentucky 1.98 2.3 2.29 2.19 0.8853 23
22 Nevada 2.35 2.16 2.02 2.18 0.8798 25
23 Arizona 2.05 2.6 1.76 2.14 0.8909 20
24 Kansas St. 1.66 2.56 2.07 2.10 0.8392 45
25 Virginia Tech 1.89 2.19 2.09 2.06 0.8733 30
26 TCU 1.33 2.23 2.07 1.88 0.8909 21
27 Middle Tennessee 1.8 1.61 1.92 1.78 0.8237 50
28 Florida St. 1.2 1.71 1.56 1.49 0.8786 26
29 Saint Mary’s 1.6 1.53 1.14 1.42 0.8851 24
30 Miami FL 1.19 1.62 1.44 1.42 0.8673 36
31 North Carolina St. 0.94 1.25 1.43 1.21 0.8239 49
32 Oklahoma 0.62 1.68 1.31 1.20 0.853 41
33 Creighton 0.88 1.4 1.2 1.16 0.877 27
34 Butler 0.75 1.23 1.45 1.14 0.8912 19
35 Nebraska 0.63 1.57 1.19 1.13 0.7959 58
36 Arkansas 0.84 1.16 0.82 0.94 0.8523 42
37 Arizona St. 0.66 1.37 0.48 0.84 0.8558 40
38 Seton Hall 0.48 1.01 1.01 0.83 0.865 38
39 St. Bonaventure 0.46 0.83 0.93 0.74 0.7919 63
40 Texas A&M 0.36 0.8 0.58 0.58 0.8671 37
41 Loyola Chicago 0.74 0.5 0.23 0.49 0.8118 55
42 Louisiana Lafayette 0.44 0.37 0.62 0.48 0.8001 57
43 Mississippi St. 0.4 0.63 0.32 0.45 0.8158 54
44 Boise St. 0.39 0.46 0.24 0.36 0.8195 52
45 New Mexico St. 0.25 0.26 0.41 0.31 0.7951 60
46 Baylor -0.46 0.61 0.39 0.18 0.8699 33
47 Texas -0.41 0.5 0.25 0.11 0.8601 39
48 UCLA -0.08 0.55 -0.2 0.09 0.8177 53
49 Providence -0.25 0.14 0.29 0.06 0.7756 69
50 Louisville -0.24 0.29 0.12 0.06 0.8706 32
51 Florida -0.09 0.1 -0.08 -0.02 0.8737 29
52 Maryland -0.54 0.08 0.2 -0.09 0.8675 35
53 Missouri -0.13 0.08 -0.28 -0.11 0.848 43
54 Marquette -0.65 -0.03 0.12 -0.19 0.8295 48
55 Alabama -0.47 -0.22 -0.34 -0.34 0.8415 44
56 Syracuse -0.79 -0.19 -0.38 -0.45 0.8348 46
57 Vermont -0.76 -0.62 -0.19 -0.52 0.776 68
58 Utah -0.69 -0.17 -0.94 -0.60 0.7952 59
59 USC -0.78 -0.13 -1.09 -0.67 0.8334 47
60 South Dakota St. -0.72 -0.65 -0.78 -0.72 0.7151 87
61 Oklahoma St. -1.4 -0.46 -0.76 -0.87 0.7836 65
62 East Tennessee St. -1.13 -1.25 -0.61 -1.00 0.7227 86
63 Western Kentucky -1.05 -1.12 -0.94 -1.04 0.7689 72
64 Old Dominion -1.12 -1.18 -1.18 -1.16 0.8041 56
65 LSU -1.37 -1 -1.27 -1.21 0.7822 66
66 Washington -1.33 -0.86 -1.53 -1.24 0.6777 101
67 Murray St. -1.21 -1.49 -1.25 -1.32 0.7561 77
68 Penn St. -1.69 -1.05 -1.31 -1.35 0.8748 28
69 South Dakota -1.36 -1.44 -1.53 -1.44 0.7684 73
70 Georgia -1.54 -1.35 -1.47 -1.45 0.7627 76
71 Stephen F. Austin -1.51 -1.72 -1.55 -1.59 0.6119 116
72 Notre Dame -1.9 -1.42 -1.47 -1.60 0.8715 31
73 College of Charleston -1.87 -1.67 -1.58 -1.71 0.6161 114
74 Temple -2.03 -1.84 -1.52 -1.80 0.7303 82
75 Indiana -2.52 -1.59 -1.81 -1.97 0.7749 70
76 UNC Greensboro -2.11 -2.28 -1.54 -1.98 0.698 94
77 Boston College -2.26 -1.86 -1.87 -2.00 0.7261 85
78 Belmont -1.95 -2.12 -1.96 -2.01 0.7305 81
79 Rider -2.11 -2.07 -1.98 -2.05 0.5912 125
80 BYU -2.02 -2.09 -2.15 -2.09 0.7671 74
81 UC Santa Barbara -1.86 -2 -2.42 -2.09 0.5891 127
82 UCF -2.49 -2.15 -2.19 -2.28 0.7049 90
83 Fresno St. -2.24 -2.19 -2.45 -2.29 0.7787 67
84 Buffalo -2.41 -2.35 -2.45 -2.40 0.7046 91
85 Georgetown -2.77 -2.3 -2.31 -2.46 0.6983 93
86 Montana -2.14 -2.65 -2.73 -2.51 0.6687 102
87 St. John’s -3.25 -2.72 -2.71 -2.89 0.7668 75
88 Penn -3.27 -2.88 -2.97 -3.04 0.5979 122
89 Oregon -3.13 -2.66 -3.38 -3.06 0.7874 64
90 South Carolina -3.04 -3.04 -3.16 -3.08 0.7392 79
91 Iowa St. -3.51 -2.8 -3.01 -3.11 0.7122 88
92 UNLV -3 -3.02 -3.31 -3.11 0.7032 92
93 Marshall -3.14 -3.28 -3.14 -3.19 0.5722 141
94 Northwestern -3.7 -3 -3.15 -3.28 0.7705 71
95 Bucknell -3.63 -3.21 -3.06 -3.30 0.6792 100
96 Wright St. -3.45 -3.6 -3.3 -3.45 0.5666 145
97 Utah Valley -3.21 -3.56 -3.61 -3.46 0.6669 103
98 Idaho -3.16 -3.72 -3.6 -3.49 0.6049 118
99 Lipscomb -3.59 -3.7 -3.42 -3.57 0.4704 176
100 Northeastern -3.8 -3.6 -3.47 -3.62 0.6406 108
101 Tulsa -3.87 -3.37 -3.65 -3.63 0.6293 111
102 Wagner -3.65 -3.7 -3.59 -3.65 0.5078 165
103 Weber St. -3.43 -3.91 -3.65 -3.66 0.5872 128
104 San Diego St. -3.57 -3.69 -3.91 -3.72 0.7931 62
105 Ball St. -3.89 -3.45 -3.9 -3.75 0.5439 149
106 Davidson -3.96 -3.66 -3.81 -3.81 0.8209 51
107 Furman -3.91 -4.09 -3.52 -3.84 0.6951 96
108 Wyoming -3.75 -3.97 -3.94 -3.89 0.5851 132
109 Memphis -4.14 -3.87 -3.76 -3.92 0.5419 152
110 Northern Kentucky -3.99 -4.03 -3.75 -3.92 0.7265 84
111 Toledo -4.21 -3.98 -4.16 -4.12 0.6017 119
112 SMU -4.3 -4.09 -4.06 -4.15 0.795 61
113 Georgia St. -4.42 -4.46 -4.23 -4.37 0.6318 110
114 UNC Asheville -4.5 -4.87 -3.87 -4.41 0.4546 183
115 Southern Illinois -4.2 -4.66 -4.52 -4.46 0.5904 126
116 UC Davis -4.11 -4.62 -4.74 -4.49 0.56 147
117 Minnesota -4.94 -4.24 -4.4 -4.53 0.6948 97
118 Connecticut -5.06 -4.51 -4.44 -4.67 0.5185 163
119 Stanford -4.82 -4.29 -5 -4.70 0.6901 98
120 Colorado -4.86 -4.28 -4.99 -4.71 0.6101 117
121 Wisconsin -5.14 -4.57 -4.54 -4.75 0.7527 78
122 Bradley -4.63 -5.09 -5.06 -4.93 0.5855 130
123 Wofford -5.04 -5.14 -4.7 -4.96 0.4882 170
124 Seattle -4.77 -5.08 -5.07 -4.97 0.4213 194
125 Albany -5.17 -5.07 -4.69 -4.98 0.5845 133
126 Nicholls St. -4.9 -5.26 -4.88 -5.01 0.4687 178
127 Winthrop -5.19 -5.39 -4.78 -5.12 0.5859 129
128 UMBC -5.38 -5.26 -4.73 -5.12 0.4128 199
129 San Diego -4.99 -5.11 -5.32 -5.14 0.5717 142
130 Vanderbilt -5.29 -5.26 -5.17 -5.24 0.7375 80
131 VCU -5.54 -5.2 -5.24 -5.33 0.5933 123
132 Mississippi -5.27 -5.39 -5.38 -5.35 0.6954 95
133 Hofstra -5.49 -5.38 -5.18 -5.35 0.5316 157
134 Cal St. Fullerton -5.35 -5.56 -5.73 -5.55 0.4477 184
135 Northern Colorado -5.1 -5.79 -5.8 -5.56 0.5668 144
136 Canisius -5.6 -5.58 -5.6 -5.59 0.5932 124
137 William & Mary -5.74 -5.66 -5.48 -5.63 0.4948 168
138 Georgia Southern -5.77 -5.88 -5.62 -5.76 0.5852 131
139 Grand Canyon -5.64 -5.82 -5.85 -5.77 0.6508 105
140 Florida Gulf Coast -5.78 -5.83 -5.72 -5.78 0.6196 113
141 Portland St. -5.67 -5.99 -6.15 -5.94 0.5463 148
142 Southeastern Louisiana -5.92 -6.09 -5.81 -5.94 0.3618 223
143 Illinois St. -5.66 -6.07 -6.1 -5.94 0.5261 160
144 Harvard -6.44 -6.08 -6.02 -6.18 0.5281 158
145 UAB -6.12 -6.34 -6.17 -6.21 0.6397 109
146 Illinois -6.57 -6.13 -6.29 -6.33 0.6819 99
147 Wake Forest -6.57 -6.43 -6.16 -6.39 0.7279 83
148 San Francisco -6.3 -6.42 -6.46 -6.39 0.5432 150
149 Utah St. -6.28 -6.57 -6.34 -6.40 0.5761 139
150 Georgia Tech -6.65 -6.3 -6.26 -6.40 0.6249 112
151 DePaul -6.86 -6.14 -6.33 -6.44 0.6566 104
152 Oakland -6.54 -6.42 -6.4 -6.45 0.5389 154
153 Saint Louis -6.69 -6.35 -6.38 -6.47 0.5803 134
154 Oregon St. -6.65 -6.06 -6.89 -6.53 0.6461 107
155 UT Arlington -6.62 -6.74 -6.36 -6.57 0.5792 136
156 Hawaii -6.48 -6.65 -6.64 -6.59 0.3679 218
157 Tennessee Tech -6.61 -6.78 -6.41 -6.60 0.3654 221
158 UTSA -6.54 -6.78 -6.53 -6.62 0.4409 186
159 Austin Peay -6.63 -6.79 -6.56 -6.66 0.4056 201
160 Louisiana Tech -6.53 -6.92 -6.64 -6.70 0.5746 140
161 St. Francis PA -6.79 -6.86 -6.74 -6.80 0.4014 206
162 Radford -6.9 -7.07 -6.5 -6.82 0.4295 190
163 Iona -6.94 -6.86 -6.69 -6.83 0.5984 121
164 Rutgers -7.23 -6.68 -6.63 -6.85 0.5771 138
165 Eastern Michigan -6.87 -6.76 -6.96 -6.86 0.4576 182
166 Jacksonville St. -6.73 -7.01 -6.86 -6.87 0.5266 159
167 Fort Wayne -6.85 -7.03 -6.74 -6.87 0.5332 155
168 Iowa -7.21 -6.72 -6.7 -6.88 0.706 89
169 New Mexico -6.8 -6.83 -7.05 -6.89 0.6138 115
170 Sam Houston St. -6.89 -7.09 -6.91 -6.96 0.3831 212
171 Towson -7.22 -7.06 -6.96 -7.08 0.5798 135
172 Drake -6.85 -7.09 -7.37 -7.10 0.5074 166
173 Tulane -7.34 -7.04 -7.03 -7.14 0.5166 164
174 Navy -7.52 -7.25 -6.99 -7.25 0.4023 204
175 Niagara -7.46 -7.19 -7.16 -7.27 0.4029 203
176 Tennessee St. -7.33 -7.44 -7.16 -7.31 0.4061 200
177 Louisiana Monroe -7.48 -7.48 -7.05 -7.34 0.348 227
178 Missouri St. -7 -7.59 -7.54 -7.38 0.6476 106
179 Northern Iowa -7.25 -7.48 -7.44 -7.39 0.578 137
180 Hartford -7.53 -7.66 -7.23 -7.47 0.3428 231
181 Savannah St. -7.59 -7.71 -7.29 -7.53 0.1738 325
182 North Texas -7.43 -7.59 -7.63 -7.55 0.4339 188
183 Eastern Washington -7.23 -7.84 -7.92 -7.66 0.5218 161
184 Evansville -7.4 -7.82 -7.78 -7.67 0.5049 167
185 North Carolina A&T -7.64 -7.74 -7.65 -7.68 0.2107 301
186 Western Michigan -7.64 -7.56 -7.84 -7.68 0.472 175
187 Illinois Chicago -7.74 -7.73 -7.65 -7.71 0.4193 196
188 Mercer -7.81 -8.03 -7.48 -7.77 0.5993 120
189 Pacific -7.64 -7.75 -7.93 -7.77 0.4879 171
190 Dayton -7.99 -7.82 -7.67 -7.83 0.5708 143
191 George Washington -8.3 -7.74 -7.63 -7.89 0.4415 185
192 Bowling Green -8.11 -8.15 -8.13 -8.13 0.3452 229
193 Colgate -8.39 -8.12 -7.97 -8.16 0.4205 195
194 New Orleans -8.28 -8.35 -8.13 -8.25 0.2954 250
195 Brown -8.52 -8.15 -8.11 -8.26 0.2981 248
196 UC Irvine -7.91 -8.36 -8.55 -8.27 0.543 151
197 Grambling St. -8.39 -8.38 -8.38 -8.38 0.215 298
198 Yale -8.73 -8.22 -8.22 -8.39 0.4697 177
199 Lamar -8.34 -8.45 -8.47 -8.42 0.4219 192
200 Liberty -8.47 -8.8 -8.15 -8.47 0.483 172
201 Central Michigan -8.58 -8.47 -8.77 -8.61 0.4611 181
202 Washington St. -8.68 -8.23 -8.98 -8.63 0.4266 191
203 Long Beach St. -8.47 -8.49 -8.94 -8.63 0.3799 215
204 UT Rio Grande Valley -8.62 -8.71 -8.75 -8.69 0.3194 240
205 George Mason -9 -8.67 -8.6 -8.76 0.3972 209
206 Duquesne -8.91 -8.54 -8.85 -8.77 0.4612 180
207 Lehigh -9.02 -8.73 -8.56 -8.77 0.3663 219
208 Cornell -9 -8.84 -8.62 -8.82 0.2738 265
209 Elon -8.88 -8.91 -8.68 -8.82 0.377 217
210 Southern Miss -8.68 -9.12 -8.69 -8.83 0.3399 233
211 South Alabama -8.91 -8.99 -8.71 -8.87 0.3925 211
212 Miami OH -8.82 -8.82 -8.99 -8.88 0.4219 193
213 Princeton -9.1 -8.8 -8.79 -8.90 0.4639 179
214 Saint Joseph’s -9.4 -8.94 -8.97 -9.10 0.5655 146
215 Abilene Christian -9.05 -9.24 -9.11 -9.13 0.2936 252
216 Troy -9.21 -9.34 -9.02 -9.19 0.4812 173
217 North Dakota St. -9.12 -9.38 -9.34 -9.28 0.4932 169
218 Mount St. Mary’s -9.33 -9.28 -9.28 -9.30 0.2968 249
219 Cal St. Bakersfield -9.2 -9.48 -9.31 -9.33 0.3373 234
220 Idaho St. -9.19 -9.59 -9.45 -9.41 0.275 264
221 Southern -9.59 -9.38 -9.49 -9.49 0.1748 324
222 Denver -9.36 -9.64 -9.64 -9.55 0.3404 232
223 Robert Morris -9.58 -9.78 -9.57 -9.64 0.331 237
224 Campbell -9.78 -10 -9.41 -9.73 0.3815 214
225 Valparaiso -9.53 -9.79 -9.96 -9.76 0.5417 153
226 Bethune Cookman -9.68 -9.67 -9.93 -9.76 0.1999 307
227 La Salle -10.27 -9.78 -9.59 -9.88 0.5318 156
228 North Florida -9.96 -9.85 -9.83 -9.88 0.2252 289
229 Fairfield -9.93 -10.03 -9.74 -9.90 0.3654 220
230 Kent St. -9.92 -9.92 -9.92 -9.92 0.3998 208
231 Western Illinois -9.86 -10.02 -9.92 -9.93 0.2436 279
232 Southern Utah -9.71 -10.12 -10.16 -10.00 0.2195 292
233 Texas St. -9.99 -10.2 -9.86 -10.02 0.4016 205
234 Pittsburgh -10.44 -9.92 -9.92 -10.09 0.3558 226
235 Hampton -10.16 -10.26 -10.13 -10.18 0.2907 257
236 Western Carolina -10.32 -10.47 -9.76 -10.18 0.2082 303
237 Florida Atlantic -10.16 -10.31 -10.22 -10.23 0.2942 251
238 Colorado St. -10.2 -10.19 -10.43 -10.27 0.3583 225
239 Richmond -10.58 -10.37 -10.04 -10.33 0.4356 187
240 Air Force -10.25 -10.33 -10.49 -10.36 0.273 266
241 Central Arkansas -10.41 -10.35 -10.54 -10.43 0.3774 216
242 Ohio -10.43 -10.4 -10.52 -10.45 0.4164 197
243 Indiana St. -10.18 -10.68 -10.6 -10.49 0.5195 162
244 North Carolina Central -10.54 -10.57 -10.69 -10.60 0.2253 288
245 High Point -10.65 -10.88 -10.36 -10.63 0.3958 210
246 Southeast Missouri St. -10.51 -10.86 -10.55 -10.64 0.2898 258
247 Akron -10.76 -10.53 -10.71 -10.67 0.2913 253
248 Massachusetts -11.08 -10.56 -10.8 -10.81 0.4321 189
249 East Carolina -11.04 -10.7 -10.74 -10.83 0.2326 283
250 NJIT -10.96 -10.84 -10.76 -10.85 0.2997 247
251 Milwaukee -10.98 -10.92 -10.69 -10.86 0.3476 228
252 Manhattan -10.96 -10.78 -10.88 -10.87 0.4009 207
253 Montana St. -10.64 -11.26 -11.1 -11.00 0.2866 259
254 Charleston Southern -11.13 -11.3 -10.68 -11.04 0.2802 261
255 Texas Southern -11.18 -11.02 -11.11 -11.10 0.2753 263
256 Appalachian St. -11.3 -11.21 -10.93 -11.15 0.3819 213
257 North Dakota -10.8 -11.45 -11.2 -11.15 0.2619 273
258 Gardner Webb -11.31 -11.52 -10.8 -11.21 0.2537 276
259 Prairie View A&M -11.21 -11.26 -11.45 -11.31 0.2508 277
260 Santa Clara -11.21 -11.36 -11.39 -11.32 0.2832 260
261 Northern Illinois -11.47 -11.18 -11.4 -11.35 0.3355 235
262 Boston University -11.62 -11.33 -11.14 -11.36 0.3184 241
263 California -11.6 -10.99 -11.68 -11.42 0.3434 230
264 Columbia -11.69 -11.39 -11.21 -11.43 0.4142 198
265 Fairleigh Dickinson -11.62 -11.64 -11.41 -11.56 0.2591 275
266 Fordham -12.01 -11.53 -11.46 -11.67 0.2716 267
267 Stony Brook -11.88 -11.78 -11.4 -11.69 0.3614 224
268 Coastal Carolina -11.76 -11.87 -11.44 -11.69 0.4041 202
269 Army -11.9 -11.71 -11.51 -11.71 0.3204 239
270 St. Francis NY -11.8 -11.82 -11.62 -11.75 0.2057 304
271 Nebraska Omaha -11.83 -11.96 -11.9 -11.90 0.291 255
272 Monmouth -12.21 -11.95 -11.85 -12.00 0.4771 174
273 Portland -12.04 -12.11 -12.15 -12.10 0.2758 262
274 McNeese St. -12.01 -12.29 -12.02 -12.11 0.1998 308
275 Eastern Illinois -12.04 -12.34 -12.04 -12.14 0.2909 256
276 IUPUI -12.23 -12.23 -12.06 -12.17 0.2281 285
277 Central Connecticut -12.19 -12.31 -12.2 -12.23 0.1916 312
278 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -12.24 -12.45 -12.37 -12.35 0.191 313
279 Delaware -12.48 -12.39 -12.2 -12.36 0.3027 245
280 Loyola Marymount -12.29 -12.34 -12.47 -12.37 0.3091 243
281 The Citadel -12.49 -12.76 -11.9 -12.38 0.1996 309
282 FIU -12.44 -12.69 -12.58 -12.57 0.306 244
283 Saint Peter’s -12.72 -12.56 -12.48 -12.59 0.3346 236
284 UMass Lowell -12.76 -12.83 -12.44 -12.68 0.2142 299
285 SIU Edwardsville -12.68 -12.93 -12.62 -12.74 0.1829 319
286 Oral Roberts -12.78 -12.79 -12.77 -12.78 0.2913 254
287 Jacksonville -12.85 -12.86 -12.83 -12.85 0.1497 328
288 Drexel -13.04 -12.98 -12.7 -12.91 0.2997 246
289 Kennesaw St. -13.05 -13.03 -12.88 -12.99 0.2155 297
290 UTEP -12.81 -13.23 -13.05 -13.03 0.27 269
291 Morgan St. -13.15 -13.03 -13.02 -13.07 0.176 322
292 Jackson St. -13.14 -13.17 -12.99 -13.10 0.1168 335
293 Dartmouth -13.43 -13.24 -13.03 -13.23 0.27 268
294 Norfolk St. -13.29 -13.55 -13.31 -13.38 0.1844 318
295 LIU Brooklyn -13.35 -13.54 -13.3 -13.40 0.2674 270
296 Arkansas St. -13.49 -13.53 -13.25 -13.42 0.2609 274
297 Holy Cross -13.69 -13.41 -13.17 -13.42 0.2258 287
298 UMKC -13.47 -13.74 -13.36 -13.52 0.2029 306
299 South Florida -13.66 -13.46 -13.47 -13.53 0.1891 314
300 Presbyterian -13.57 -13.95 -13.11 -13.54 0.1445 330
301 Alcorn St. -13.82 -13.59 -13.69 -13.70 0.1109 338
302 Quinnipiac -13.79 -13.82 -13.57 -13.73 0.2334 282
303 UNC Wilmington -13.86 -13.93 -13.55 -13.78 0.3288 238
304 Samford -13.96 -14.22 -13.5 -13.89 0.2436 278
305 VMI -14.04 -14.25 -13.4 -13.90 0.1243 331
306 Eastern Kentucky -13.77 -14.18 -13.75 -13.90 0.2271 286
307 James Madison -14.22 -14.24 -13.98 -14.15 0.3646 222
308 Green Bay -14.29 -14.31 -14.22 -14.27 0.2623 272
309 South Carolina St. -14.4 -14.37 -14.18 -14.32 0.0757 344
310 New Hampshire -14.5 -14.52 -14.11 -14.38 0.31 242
311 Binghamton -14.54 -14.66 -14.26 -14.49 0.2402 280
312 Arkansas Pine Bluff -14.47 -14.56 -14.57 -14.53 0.118 333
313 UC Riverside -14.29 -14.68 -14.81 -14.59 0.2285 284
314 Cal Poly -14.51 -14.62 -14.99 -14.71 0.1828 320
315 Stetson -14.7 -14.78 -14.69 -14.72 0.1874 317
316 Alabama St. -14.78 -14.78 -14.61 -14.72 0.0953 339
317 Morehead St. -15.03 -15.32 -14.8 -15.05 0.2244 291
318 Lafayette -15.62 -15.33 -15.08 -15.34 0.2639 271
319 Detroit -15.52 -15.55 -15.26 -15.44 0.2175 295
320 Sacramento St. -15.13 -15.78 -15.66 -15.52 0.2192 293
321 Chattanooga -15.61 -15.87 -15.2 -15.56 0.2165 296
322 Tennessee Martin -15.51 -15.74 -15.48 -15.58 0.218 294
323 Charlotte -15.54 -15.7 -15.52 -15.59 0.2052 305
324 Incarnate Word -15.84 -16.05 -15.81 -15.90 0.089 341
325 Loyola MD -16.28 -15.94 -15.82 -16.01 0.1758 323
326 Cal St. Northridge -15.74 -16.22 -16.49 -16.15 0.1481 329
327 Sacred Heart -16.17 -16.23 -16.08 -16.16 0.1965 311
328 Little Rock -16.18 -16.48 -16.1 -16.25 0.2088 302
329 Youngstown St. -16.32 -16.51 -16.21 -16.35 0.1763 321
330 Houston Baptist -16.37 -16.44 -16.23 -16.35 0.1513 327
331 Rice -16.33 -16.64 -16.44 -16.47 0.1976 310
332 Siena -16.68 -16.55 -16.35 -16.53 0.2399 281
333 Cleveland St. -16.73 -16.62 -16.48 -16.61 0.1887 315
334 San Jose St. -16.46 -16.68 -16.76 -16.63 0.2109 300
335 Howard -17.1 -17.04 -17.01 -17.05 0.1183 332
336 Florida A&M -17.31 -17.35 -17.23 -17.30 0.0817 342
337 American -17.57 -17.4 -17.05 -17.34 0.1546 326
338 Pepperdine -17.26 -17.45 -17.52 -17.41 0.225 290
339 Maryland Eastern Shore -17.54 -17.47 -17.22 -17.41 0.0443 349
340 Northwestern St. -17.63 -17.61 -17.63 -17.62 0.0658 346
341 Northern Arizona -17.41 -17.89 -17.87 -17.72 0.1153 337
342 Marist -17.87 -17.84 -17.74 -17.82 0.1877 316
343 USC Upstate -18.38 -18.26 -18.15 -18.26 0.116 336
344 Coppin St. -18.47 -18.2 -18.35 -18.34 0.067 345
345 Maine -18.48 -18.44 -18.14 -18.35 0.1173 334
346 Longwood -18.86 -19.1 -18.41 -18.79 0.0769 343
347 Chicago St. -18.92 -18.84 -18.74 -18.83 0.0503 348
348 Mississippi Valley St. -20.01 -20 -20.01 -20.01 0.0572 347
349 Alabama A&M -20.61 -20.57 -20.7 -20.63 0.0373 351
350 Bryant -21.16 -21.21 -20.99 -21.12 0.094 340
351 Delaware St. -21.34 -21.45 -21.26 -21.35 0.0426 350

First off, let me thank C. Ryan Campbell for the images (@seeryanc on Twitter). On the left we have the bubble win expectations by quadrant. As many others have noted, RPI is a very bad metric to use for judging the difficulty of a schedule. We see this pretty clear where the difficulty of the quadrants between the Big 10 and Pac 12 is a full quadrant off. The Big 10 quadrant 2 games are slightly tougher than the Pac 12 quadrant 1 games. Similarly, the Big 10 quadrant 3 games are a hair tougher than the Pac 12 quadrant 2 games. Of course, none of that will matter on Selection Sunday, which is why I expect the Big 10 (and Big 12 to a lesser degree) to get hosed, while the Pac 12 should do rather well.

Bart Torvik was kind enough to run the numbers for a bubble team by quadrant:

That’s for a bubble team facing each team in a conference home and away round robin style. My word, there are a lot of opportunities for quadrant 1 wins in the SEC. As for the Big 10 and Pac 12, there are 16 quadrant 1 or 2 games. Expected wins:

Big 10: 6.0 wins, 10.0 losses

Pac 12: 8.7 wins, 7.3 losses

Life is good out west.

There are a ton of big games tonight, but none bigger than North Carolina at Syracuse. Between North Carolina tonight, and Duke on Saturday, Syracuse has two chances to put themselves on the positive side of the WAB ledger. 1-1 would be a great result. More likely, they’ll go 0-2 and have to win out vs. Boston College and Clemson to get back on the bubble. We’ll see.

Rank WAB School WAB KP WAB Sag WAB BPI WAB Avg Pythag Rank Pythag
1 Virginia 7.65 8.21 8.25 8.04 0.9701 1
2 Villanova 6.9 7.25 7.26 7.14 0.9672 2
3 Michigan St. 6.3 7.17 6.88 6.78 0.9581 5
4 Xavier 6.41 6.92 6.82 6.72 0.9163 13
5 Purdue 5.22 5.83 5.75 5.60 0.9595 4
6 Duke 5.31 5.56 5.6 5.49 0.9597 3
7 Kansas 4.73 5.55 5.01 5.10 0.9371 7
8 North Carolina 4.77 5.11 5.24 5.04 0.9371 8
9 Texas Tech 4.11 5.01 4.61 4.58 0.9355 9
10 Auburn 4.54 4.62 4.39 4.52 0.9102 14
11 Clemson 3.5 3.99 3.93 3.81 0.9003 17
12 Tennessee 3.42 3.95 3.75 3.71 0.9022 16
13 Ohio St. 3.16 3.75 3.78 3.56 0.9054 15
14 Cincinnati 3.3 3.7 3.53 3.51 0.9569 6
15 West Virginia 2.6 3.45 2.93 2.99 0.9306 10
16 Gonzaga 2.91 3.06 2.85 2.94 0.9292 11
17 Michigan 2.47 3.18 3.01 2.89 0.8914 18
18 Rhode Island 2.54 2.87 2.88 2.76 0.87 33
19 Wichita St. 2.39 2.83 2.57 2.60 0.9185 12
20 Houston 2.08 2.32 2.53 2.31 0.8873 22
21 Kentucky 1.97 2.3 2.26 2.18 0.8849 25
22 Arizona 2.08 2.62 1.75 2.15 0.891 19
23 Nevada 2.27 2.09 1.95 2.10 0.8857 24
24 Middle Tennessee 1.76 1.59 1.87 1.74 0.822 50
25 Kansas St. 1.31 2.17 1.73 1.74 0.8328 46
26 Virginia Tech 1.46 1.8 1.58 1.61 0.87 34
27 Florida St. 1.22 1.72 1.54 1.49 0.8785 27
28 TCU 0.93 1.73 1.65 1.44 0.8894 21
29 Saint Mary’s 1.61 1.54 1.16 1.44 0.8861 23
30 Miami FL 1.19 1.61 1.39 1.40 0.8667 35
31 Oklahoma 0.64 1.69 1.32 1.22 0.853 41
32 North Carolina St. 0.98 1.25 1.4 1.21 0.8233 49
33 Creighton 0.92 1.42 1.17 1.17 0.8782 28
34 Butler 0.8 1.25 1.44 1.16 0.8908 20
35 Nebraska 0.66 1.58 1.21 1.15 0.7971 58
36 Arkansas 0.78 1.12 0.76 0.89 0.8526 42
37 Seton Hall 0.56 1.05 1.04 0.88 0.8601 39
38 Arizona St. 0.67 1.38 0.45 0.83 0.8547 40
39 St. Bonaventure 0.41 0.75 0.83 0.66 0.7995 57
40 Texas A&M 0.34 0.78 0.54 0.55 0.8659 37
41 Louisiana Lafayette 0.43 0.38 0.61 0.47 0.8011 56
42 Texas -0.04 0.84 0.6 0.47 0.8636 38
43 Mississippi St. 0.37 0.62 0.31 0.43 0.8162 51
44 New Mexico St. 0.23 0.24 0.35 0.27 0.7936 61
45 Baylor -0.42 0.63 0.43 0.21 0.8701 32
46 Florida 0.12 0.37 0.12 0.20 0.8732 30
47 Boise St. 0.21 0.27 0.12 0.20 0.8023 55
48 Louisville -0.09 0.38 0.18 0.16 0.8762 29
49 Loyola Chicago 0.34 0.16 -0.09 0.14 0.796 59
50 UCLA -0.09 0.54 -0.23 0.07 0.8159 52
51 Providence -0.24 0.14 0.28 0.06 0.7804 66
52 Syracuse -0.27 0.24 0 -0.01 0.8372 45
53 Maryland -0.5 0.09 0.21 -0.07 0.8664 36
54 Missouri -0.14 0.07 -0.29 -0.12 0.8468 44
55 Alabama -0.27 0.03 -0.15 -0.13 0.8489 43
56 Marquette -0.85 -0.27 -0.13 -0.42 0.8251 48
57 Vermont -0.76 -0.63 -0.21 -0.53 0.773 69
58 Utah -0.67 -0.15 -0.99 -0.60 0.7948 60
59 South Dakota St. -0.68 -0.63 -0.76 -0.69 0.7167 88
60 Penn St. -1.13 -0.52 -0.8 -0.82 0.8812 26
61 Georgia -1.08 -0.9 -0.95 -0.98 0.7692 73
62 East Tennessee St. -1.12 -1.24 -0.62 -0.99 0.7225 86
63 USC -1.14 -0.52 -1.42 -1.03 0.8261 47
64 Western Kentucky -1.08 -1.13 -0.97 -1.06 0.7702 71
65 Old Dominion -1.13 -1.18 -1.19 -1.17 0.8052 54
66 LSU -1.4 -1.02 -1.29 -1.24 0.7805 65
67 Washington -1.31 -0.84 -1.56 -1.24 0.6746 100
68 Murray St. -1.21 -1.5 -1.27 -1.33 0.7543 77
69 Oklahoma St. -1.95 -0.99 -1.33 -1.42 0.7724 70
70 South Dakota -1.37 -1.45 -1.56 -1.46 0.7663 74
71 Notre Dame -1.86 -1.41 -1.48 -1.58 0.872 31
72 UCF -1.83 -1.51 -1.55 -1.63 0.7188 87
73 Stephen F. Austin -1.57 -1.75 -1.6 -1.64 0.5822 133
74 College of Charleston -1.85 -1.66 -1.56 -1.69 0.6164 115
75 Temple -2.02 -1.85 -1.54 -1.80 0.7301 81
76 Georgetown -2.19 -1.8 -1.85 -1.95 0.7044 93
77 UNC Greensboro -2.09 -2.28 -1.53 -1.97 0.6989 94
78 Boston College -2.19 -1.84 -1.89 -1.97 0.7279 83
79 Indiana -2.54 -1.6 -1.83 -1.99 0.7757 67
80 Belmont -1.93 -2.11 -1.98 -2.01 0.7298 82
81 Rider -2.1 -2.07 -1.98 -2.05 0.5912 123
82 BYU -2 -2.08 -2.12 -2.07 0.7656 76
83 UC Santa Barbara -1.87 -2 -2.43 -2.10 0.5892 124
84 Buffalo -2.4 -2.34 -2.44 -2.39 0.7054 92
85 UNLV -2.33 -2.29 -2.61 -2.41 0.7159 89
86 Montana -2.13 -2.64 -2.73 -2.50 0.6702 101
87 St. John’s -2.83 -2.34 -2.36 -2.51 0.773 68
88 Iowa St. -2.92 -2.28 -2.49 -2.56 0.7138 90
89 Fresno St. -2.68 -2.61 -2.88 -2.72 0.766 75
90 Penn -3.24 -2.87 -2.95 -3.02 0.6015 121
91 Oregon -3.17 -2.69 -3.46 -3.11 0.7879 63
92 Marshall -3.15 -3.28 -3.14 -3.19 0.5721 142
93 Northwestern -3.67 -2.99 -3.14 -3.27 0.7697 72
94 South Carolina -3.26 -3.27 -3.34 -3.29 0.7301 80
95 Bucknell -3.66 -3.24 -3.11 -3.34 0.6693 102
96 Utah Valley -3.22 -3.56 -3.63 -3.47 0.6645 104
97 Wright St. -3.48 -3.62 -3.32 -3.47 0.5649 146
98 Idaho -3.17 -3.72 -3.6 -3.50 0.6064 118
99 Lipscomb -3.56 -3.68 -3.39 -3.54 0.4748 175
100 Northeastern -3.79 -3.61 -3.47 -3.62 0.6393 108
101 Wagner -3.66 -3.71 -3.59 -3.65 0.5061 165
102 Weber St. -3.48 -3.93 -3.67 -3.69 0.5874 127
103 Southern Illinois -3.54 -3.91 -3.83 -3.76 0.6116 117
104 Ball St. -3.91 -3.47 -3.91 -3.76 0.5436 150
105 Davidson -3.97 -3.68 -3.82 -3.82 0.815 53
106 San Diego St. -3.7 -3.82 -3.99 -3.84 0.7905 62
107 Tulsa -4.07 -3.58 -3.87 -3.84 0.6207 112
108 Furman -3.91 -4.09 -3.53 -3.84 0.6981 95
109 Wyoming -3.76 -3.96 -3.94 -3.89 0.5853 129
110 Memphis -4.1 -3.85 -3.74 -3.90 0.542 152
111 Northern Kentucky -3.97 -4.02 -3.76 -3.92 0.7256 85
112 Colorado -4.15 -3.62 -4.35 -4.04 0.6219 111
113 Toledo -4.19 -3.98 -4.14 -4.10 0.6027 119
114 UMBC -4.45 -4.33 -3.84 -4.21 0.4297 190
115 SMU -4.38 -4.23 -4.17 -4.26 0.7863 64
116 Georgia St. -4.43 -4.46 -4.25 -4.38 0.6319 110
117 UNC Asheville -4.48 -4.87 -3.83 -4.39 0.4562 183
118 UC Davis -4.1 -4.61 -4.73 -4.48 0.5618 147
119 Cal St. Fullerton -4.45 -4.65 -4.83 -4.64 0.4572 182
120 Connecticut -5.03 -4.52 -4.42 -4.66 0.5191 161
121 Minnesota -5.05 -4.42 -4.58 -4.68 0.6942 96
122 Stanford -4.83 -4.29 -5.06 -4.73 0.6901 98
123 Wisconsin -5.15 -4.58 -4.56 -4.76 0.7527 78
124 Wofford -5.02 -5.14 -4.68 -4.95 0.4881 171
125 Albany -5.16 -5.06 -4.69 -4.97 0.5831 131
126 Seattle -4.78 -5.08 -5.1 -4.99 0.4196 194
127 Winthrop -5.16 -5.38 -4.74 -5.09 0.5887 125
128 Nicholls St. -5 -5.35 -4.96 -5.10 0.4537 184
129 San Diego -4.98 -5.1 -5.31 -5.13 0.5697 144
130 Vanderbilt -5.34 -5.29 -5.23 -5.29 0.7379 79
131 Bradley -5.06 -5.48 -5.49 -5.34 0.5742 139
132 Mississippi -5.3 -5.41 -5.4 -5.37 0.6931 97
133 Hofstra -5.5 -5.4 -5.21 -5.37 0.5328 155
134 Northern Colorado -5.07 -5.77 -5.77 -5.54 0.5684 145
135 VCU -5.75 -5.44 -5.47 -5.55 0.5866 128
136 William & Mary -5.73 -5.66 -5.47 -5.62 0.4941 169
137 Canisius -5.77 -5.76 -5.74 -5.76 0.5876 126
138 Florida Gulf Coast -5.77 -5.82 -5.7 -5.76 0.6177 114
139 Georgia Southern -5.79 -5.89 -5.63 -5.77 0.5829 132
140 Grand Canyon -5.65 -5.83 -5.88 -5.79 0.6493 106
141 Southeastern Louisiana -5.91 -6.09 -5.81 -5.94 0.3607 224
142 Portland St. -5.7 -6 -6.16 -5.95 0.5444 149
143 Illinois St. -5.82 -6.18 -6.21 -6.07 0.5201 160
144 Harvard -6.43 -6.08 -6.02 -6.18 0.5296 158
145 UAB -6.13 -6.35 -6.18 -6.22 0.6375 109
146 Georgia Tech -6.53 -6.17 -6.22 -6.31 0.618 113
147 Iowa -6.58 -6.22 -6.13 -6.31 0.7061 91
148 Illinois -6.54 -6.11 -6.29 -6.31 0.6834 99
149 DePaul -6.72 -6.03 -6.29 -6.35 0.6652 103
150 Niagara -6.57 -6.28 -6.26 -6.37 0.4116 200
151 San Francisco -6.28 -6.41 -6.44 -6.38 0.5451 148
152 Drake -6.15 -6.38 -6.63 -6.39 0.5082 164
153 Saint Louis -6.62 -6.3 -6.37 -6.43 0.5848 130
154 Utah St. -6.35 -6.61 -6.37 -6.44 0.5735 140
155 Oakland -6.53 -6.42 -6.4 -6.45 0.5398 153
156 Missouri St. -6.17 -6.71 -6.67 -6.52 0.6598 105
157 Wake Forest -6.69 -6.63 -6.31 -6.54 0.7274 84
158 Oregon St. -6.65 -6.06 -6.93 -6.55 0.6462 107
159 UT Arlington -6.61 -6.72 -6.34 -6.56 0.5793 135
160 Hawaii -6.48 -6.65 -6.65 -6.59 0.3656 219
161 Tennessee Tech -6.6 -6.78 -6.43 -6.60 0.3654 220
162 UTSA -6.57 -6.8 -6.55 -6.64 0.4399 186
163 Navy -6.9 -6.67 -6.44 -6.67 0.4183 196
164 Austin Peay -6.65 -6.8 -6.58 -6.68 0.4046 203
165 Louisiana Tech -6.54 -6.92 -6.64 -6.70 0.5721 141
166 St. Francis PA -6.79 -6.85 -6.74 -6.79 0.4014 208
167 Radford -6.89 -7.06 -6.45 -6.80 0.4311 189
168 Iona -6.92 -6.86 -6.66 -6.81 0.6022 120
169 Rutgers -7.23 -6.69 -6.64 -6.85 0.5774 137
170 Jacksonville St. -6.72 -6.99 -6.86 -6.86 0.5278 159
171 Eastern Michigan -6.86 -6.76 -6.96 -6.86 0.459 181
172 Fort Wayne -6.85 -7.03 -6.76 -6.88 0.5327 156
173 New Mexico -6.85 -6.86 -7.11 -6.94 0.6135 116
174 Tulane -7.1 -6.85 -6.9 -6.95 0.5013 167
175 Evansville -6.79 -7.14 -7.06 -7.00 0.506 166
176 Sam Houston St. -6.96 -7.16 -6.99 -7.04 0.3887 212
177 Towson -7.21 -7.05 -6.95 -7.07 0.5814 134
178 Tennessee St. -7.32 -7.44 -7.17 -7.31 0.4073 202
179 Louisiana Monroe -7.52 -7.51 -7.1 -7.38 0.3458 226
180 Northern Iowa -7.31 -7.5 -7.48 -7.43 0.5769 138
181 New Orleans -7.48 -7.53 -7.34 -7.45 0.294 252
182 Savannah St. -7.54 -7.69 -7.29 -7.51 0.1739 325
183 Hartford -7.57 -7.7 -7.31 -7.53 0.3376 233
184 North Texas -7.44 -7.59 -7.64 -7.56 0.4339 188
185 Eastern Washington -7.22 -7.83 -7.91 -7.65 0.5176 162
186 North Carolina A&T -7.61 -7.72 -7.64 -7.66 0.2106 300
187 Western Michigan -7.67 -7.58 -7.86 -7.70 0.4723 176
188 Mercer -7.74 -8.01 -7.43 -7.73 0.6005 122
189 Illinois Chicago -7.76 -7.74 -7.69 -7.73 0.4192 195
190 Pacific -7.62 -7.73 -7.9 -7.75 0.491 170
191 Dayton -7.98 -7.82 -7.65 -7.82 0.5717 143
192 George Washington -8.36 -7.83 -7.72 -7.97 0.4165 197
193 Bowling Green -8.11 -8.15 -8.12 -8.13 0.345 229
194 Saint Joseph’s -8.45 -8.02 -8.02 -8.16 0.5791 136
195 Colgate -8.42 -8.17 -7.99 -8.19 0.4259 192
196 Brown -8.5 -8.15 -8.11 -8.25 0.2987 248
197 UC Irvine -7.91 -8.35 -8.54 -8.27 0.5431 151
198 Duquesne -8.42 -8.09 -8.4 -8.30 0.4529 185
199 Yale -8.72 -8.22 -8.21 -8.38 0.4721 177
200 Grambling St. -8.41 -8.39 -8.4 -8.40 0.2142 298
201 Liberty -8.45 -8.8 -8.14 -8.46 0.4854 172
202 Lamar -8.4 -8.51 -8.52 -8.48 0.4113 201
203 Central Michigan -8.61 -8.48 -8.78 -8.62 0.461 180
204 Long Beach St. -8.48 -8.48 -8.94 -8.63 0.3778 217
205 Washington St. -8.67 -8.22 -9.02 -8.64 0.429 191
206 UT Rio Grande Valley -8.68 -8.74 -8.82 -8.75 0.3173 240
207 Cornell -8.98 -8.84 -8.62 -8.81 0.2732 268
208 Elon -8.9 -8.92 -8.69 -8.84 0.3772 218
209 Lehigh -9.08 -8.81 -8.63 -8.84 0.3622 223
210 Southern Miss -8.71 -9.13 -8.73 -8.86 0.3383 232
211 South Alabama -8.91 -8.99 -8.72 -8.87 0.3915 211
212 Miami OH -8.82 -8.82 -9 -8.88 0.4203 193
213 Princeton -9.11 -8.81 -8.82 -8.91 0.4639 178
214 George Mason -9.28 -9.01 -8.9 -9.06 0.3844 214
215 Abilene Christian -9.03 -9.23 -9.07 -9.11 0.2943 251
216 Troy -9.22 -9.34 -9.03 -9.20 0.4797 173
217 Pittsburgh -9.61 -9.12 -9.12 -9.28 0.3568 225
218 North Dakota St. -9.14 -9.39 -9.36 -9.30 0.4946 168
219 Mount St. Mary’s -9.33 -9.28 -9.28 -9.30 0.2987 249
220 Cal St. Bakersfield -9.24 -9.5 -9.37 -9.37 0.3338 236
221 Idaho St. -9.21 -9.6 -9.45 -9.42 0.274 267
222 Southern -9.57 -9.38 -9.47 -9.47 0.1753 323
223 Denver -9.33 -9.62 -9.63 -9.53 0.3432 231
224 Richmond -9.79 -9.62 -9.28 -9.56 0.4614 179
225 Colorado St. -9.56 -9.51 -9.75 -9.61 0.3813 215
226 Air Force -9.53 -9.62 -9.75 -9.63 0.2758 264
227 Robert Morris -9.58 -9.78 -9.59 -9.65 0.3323 237
228 Campbell -9.75 -9.99 -9.37 -9.70 0.3861 213
229 Bethune Cookman -9.69 -9.68 -9.93 -9.77 0.1988 310
230 Valparaiso -9.57 -9.81 -9.98 -9.79 0.5391 154
231 Central Arkansas -9.81 -9.72 -9.93 -9.82 0.4015 207
232 La Salle -10.26 -9.78 -9.58 -9.87 0.5302 157
233 North Florida -10 -9.86 -9.85 -9.90 0.225 289
234 Massachusetts -10.15 -9.67 -9.92 -9.91 0.4373 187
235 Western Illinois -9.85 -10.01 -9.93 -9.93 0.2411 280
236 Kent St. -9.95 -9.95 -9.97 -9.96 0.4 209
237 Fairfield -10.01 -10.14 -9.81 -9.99 0.3644 221
238 Southern Utah -9.73 -10.13 -10.15 -10.00 0.2185 292
239 Texas St. -9.99 -10.19 -9.85 -10.01 0.4041 204
240 East Carolina -10.28 -10.01 -10.03 -10.11 0.2397 282
241 Western Carolina -10.29 -10.46 -9.76 -10.17 0.2071 304
242 Hampton -10.17 -10.27 -10.14 -10.19 0.2886 257
243 Florida Atlantic -10.15 -10.3 -10.19 -10.21 0.2961 250
244 Ohio -10.42 -10.4 -10.51 -10.44 0.4163 198
245 Indiana St. -10.31 -10.77 -10.69 -10.59 0.5166 163
246 North Carolina Central -10.55 -10.58 -10.69 -10.61 0.2258 287
247 High Point -10.64 -10.88 -10.33 -10.62 0.3943 210
248 Southeast Missouri St. -10.5 -10.86 -10.56 -10.64 0.2886 258
249 Akron -10.78 -10.54 -10.75 -10.69 0.2898 255
250 NJIT -10.97 -10.85 -10.74 -10.85 0.3023 245
251 Manhattan -10.98 -10.79 -10.84 -10.87 0.4024 206
252 Milwaukee -11.01 -10.93 -10.72 -10.89 0.3452 228
253 Army -11.07 -10.89 -10.7 -10.89 0.3184 239
254 Montana St. -10.68 -11.28 -11.13 -11.03 0.2876 259
255 Charleston Southern -11.14 -11.3 -10.69 -11.04 0.2801 261
256 Texas Southern -11.17 -11.02 -11.11 -11.10 0.2748 266
257 North Dakota -10.8 -11.45 -11.18 -11.14 0.2618 274
258 Appalachian St. -11.32 -11.22 -10.96 -11.17 0.3794 216
259 McNeese St. -11.11 -11.36 -11.13 -11.20 0.2085 302
260 Gardner Webb -11.3 -11.52 -10.78 -11.20 0.253 276
261 Fordham -11.56 -11.11 -11.13 -11.27 0.2787 262
262 Prairie View A&M -11.23 -11.25 -11.44 -11.31 0.2508 277
263 Santa Clara -11.2 -11.36 -11.38 -11.31 0.2841 260
264 Northern Illinois -11.48 -11.19 -11.39 -11.35 0.334 235
265 Boston University -11.65 -11.36 -11.15 -11.39 0.3076 243
266 Columbia -11.65 -11.39 -11.19 -11.41 0.4137 199
267 California -11.58 -10.98 -11.73 -11.43 0.3436 230
268 Fairleigh Dickinson -11.61 -11.64 -11.39 -11.55 0.2597 275
269 Coastal Carolina -11.78 -11.89 -11.47 -11.71 0.4037 205
270 St. Francis NY -11.79 -11.82 -11.61 -11.74 0.2073 303
271 Stony Brook -12.05 -11.94 -11.65 -11.88 0.3453 227
272 Nebraska Omaha -11.81 -11.95 -11.91 -11.89 0.2911 254
273 Monmouth -12.23 -11.96 -11.84 -12.01 0.478 174
274 Portland -12.06 -12.13 -12.16 -12.12 0.2754 265
275 Eastern Illinois -12.06 -12.35 -12.09 -12.17 0.2894 256
276 IUPUI -12.24 -12.24 -12.08 -12.19 0.2296 284
277 Central Connecticut -12.16 -12.3 -12.18 -12.21 0.1916 312
278 Delaware -12.46 -12.37 -12.17 -12.33 0.3013 247
279 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -12.25 -12.46 -12.37 -12.36 0.1905 313
280 The Citadel -12.47 -12.76 -11.89 -12.37 0.2016 307
281 Loyola Marymount -12.3 -12.36 -12.5 -12.39 0.3104 242
282 FIU -12.46 -12.69 -12.59 -12.58 0.3028 244
283 Saint Peter’s -12.73 -12.57 -12.47 -12.59 0.3346 234
284 UMass Lowell -12.78 -12.85 -12.48 -12.70 0.2098 301
285 SIU Edwardsville -12.65 -12.91 -12.63 -12.73 0.1846 319
286 Oral Roberts -12.79 -12.8 -12.75 -12.78 0.2913 253
287 Jacksonville -12.86 -12.86 -12.84 -12.85 0.1504 328
288 Drexel -13.03 -12.97 -12.69 -12.90 0.3017 246
289 Kennesaw St. -13.02 -13.02 -12.88 -12.97 0.2166 297
290 Jackson St. -13.1 -13.14 -12.97 -13.07 0.1163 336
291 UTEP -12.87 -13.26 -13.1 -13.08 0.2677 270
292 Morgan St. -13.17 -13.05 -13.01 -13.08 0.1752 324
293 Dartmouth -13.42 -13.24 -13.03 -13.23 0.2712 269
294 LIU Brooklyn -13.36 -13.56 -13.31 -13.41 0.2657 271
295 Arkansas St. -13.48 -13.52 -13.24 -13.41 0.262 273
296 Norfolk St. -13.33 -13.58 -13.36 -13.42 0.185 318
297 Holy Cross -13.7 -13.43 -13.16 -13.43 0.2276 285
298 South Florida -13.65 -13.46 -13.46 -13.52 0.1899 315
299 New Hampshire -13.68 -13.65 -13.28 -13.54 0.3161 241
300 Presbyterian -13.58 -13.95 -13.1 -13.54 0.1443 330
301 UMKC -13.49 -13.76 -13.42 -13.56 0.2019 306
302 Alcorn St. -13.82 -13.58 -13.68 -13.69 0.1109 338
303 Quinnipiac -13.76 -13.81 -13.56 -13.71 0.2335 283
304 UNC Wilmington -13.89 -13.96 -13.58 -13.81 0.3285 238
305 VMI -14.04 -14.26 -13.42 -13.91 0.1241 331
306 Samford -13.97 -14.24 -13.52 -13.91 0.2422 279
307 Eastern Kentucky -13.77 -14.18 -13.78 -13.91 0.226 286
308 Binghamton -14.06 -14.15 -13.84 -14.02 0.2446 278
309 James Madison -14.21 -14.23 -13.96 -14.13 0.3633 222
310 Green Bay -14.3 -14.32 -14.24 -14.29 0.2621 272
311 South Carolina St. -14.36 -14.36 -14.16 -14.29 0.0764 344
312 Lafayette -14.75 -14.5 -14.2 -14.48 0.277 263
313 Arkansas Pine Bluff -14.52 -14.58 -14.6 -14.57 0.1184 333
314 UC Riverside -14.38 -14.75 -14.89 -14.67 0.2201 291
315 Stetson -14.69 -14.78 -14.66 -14.71 0.1897 316
316 Alabama St. -14.78 -14.78 -14.59 -14.72 0.0953 340
317 Cal Poly -14.54 -14.63 -15.01 -14.73 0.1826 320
318 Incarnate Word -14.89 -15.09 -14.86 -14.95 0.0979 339
319 Morehead St. -15.02 -15.31 -14.81 -15.05 0.2246 290
320 Loyola MD -15.34 -15 -14.87 -15.07 0.1808 321
321 Houston Baptist -15.49 -15.53 -15.37 -15.46 0.1563 326
322 Detroit -15.54 -15.56 -15.32 -15.47 0.2168 296
323 Sacramento St. -15.14 -15.78 -15.65 -15.52 0.2182 293
324 Chattanooga -15.6 -15.86 -15.2 -15.55 0.2174 295
325 Siena -15.73 -15.6 -15.39 -15.57 0.2402 281
326 Tennessee Martin -15.51 -15.74 -15.49 -15.58 0.2178 294
327 Charlotte -15.57 -15.72 -15.55 -15.61 0.2058 305
328 Sacred Heart -16.13 -16.22 -16.09 -16.15 0.1991 309
329 Cal St. Northridge -15.78 -16.23 -16.51 -16.17 0.1479 329
330 Little Rock -16.18 -16.47 -16.09 -16.25 0.2106 299
331 San Jose St. -16.14 -16.34 -16.45 -16.31 0.2015 308
332 Youngstown St. -16.32 -16.5 -16.23 -16.35 0.1758 322
333 American -16.67 -16.51 -16.13 -16.44 0.1546 327
334 Rice -16.34 -16.65 -16.45 -16.48 0.1966 311
335 Cleveland St. -16.73 -16.61 -16.48 -16.61 0.1901 314
336 Howard -17.1 -17.05 -17.01 -17.05 0.1182 334
337 Florida A&M -17.33 -17.36 -17.25 -17.31 0.082 342
338 Maryland Eastern Shore -17.52 -17.46 -17.21 -17.40 0.0443 349
339 Maine -17.51 -17.49 -17.2 -17.40 0.1191 332
340 Pepperdine -17.29 -17.46 -17.53 -17.43 0.2257 288
341 Northwestern St. -17.7 -17.66 -17.71 -17.69 0.0601 346
342 Northern Arizona -17.43 -17.9 -17.89 -17.74 0.1147 337
343 Marist -17.87 -17.84 -17.74 -17.82 0.187 317
344 USC Upstate -18.39 -18.26 -18.12 -18.26 0.1164 335
345 Coppin St. -18.43 -18.18 -18.31 -18.31 0.0671 345
346 Longwood -18.86 -19.1 -18.41 -18.79 0.0768 343
347 Chicago St. -18.93 -18.85 -18.77 -18.85 0.0504 348
348 Mississippi Valley St. -20.06 -20.02 -20.06 -20.05 0.0571 347
349 Alabama A&M -20.6 -20.55 -20.69 -20.61 0.0372 351
350 Bryant -21.13 -21.19 -20.96 -21.09 0.0943 341
351 Delaware St. -21.31 -21.44 -21.25 -21.33 0.0427 350

It’s amazing how much tougher the Big 10 is than the Pac 12. Quadrant 2 wins in the Big 10 are roughly as difficult as quadrant 1 wins in the Pac 12. Quadrant 1 wins in the Big 10 are as hard as it gets. The SEC is a bit tougher than the Pac 12, but man are there a lot of quadrant 1 wins available there. If you want to know which conferences are going to get hooked up or hose on Selection Sunday, this is the key as to who and why.

Conference Quadrant Number Bubble EW%
B10 1 14 31.14%
ACC 1 23 32.31%
B12 1 17 33.70%
WCC 1 5 35.26%
BE 1 17 37.23%
Amer 1 12 38.94%
SEC 1 22 41.42%
MWC 1 5 45.70%
AE 1 1 46.48%
OVC 1 1 49.03%
SB 1 2 50.21%
B10 2 9 50.62%
P12 1 15 50.64%
MVC 1 2 51.09%
WAC 1 2 51.54%
WCC 2 3 52.06%
A10 1 6 52.08%
CUSA 1 4 52.71%
Sum 1 1 54.03%
SC 1 1 56.07%
B12 2 9 56.11%
ACC 2 13 57.24%
A10 2 5 60.17%
Horz 2 2 61.21%
MWC 2 7 61.38%
CUSA 2 5 61.49%
SEC 2 15 62.26%
MAC 1 2 62.85%
BE 2 8 63.75%
CAA 1 2 63.80%
Sum 2 4 65.19%
OVC 2 4 65.61%
Ivy 2 1 66.28%
Pat 2 2 66.54%
BSky 2 4 66.93%
MAAC 1 1 67.29%
SC 2 6 67.74%
B10 3 16 68.45%
AE 2 3 68.74%
Amer 2 9 69.09%
WAC 2 3 69.19%
P12 2 10 69.50%
BE 3 4 71.57%
B12 3 4 72.25%
MVC 2 9 72.46%
SB 2 1 72.61%
NEC 2 1 74.39%
BW 2 5 75.28%
SEC 3 5 76.04%
MAC 2 5 76.19%
ASun 2 1 76.70%
MWC 3 13 77.16%
SB 3 11 77.69%
BSth 2 1 78.02%
ACC 3 7 78.04%
MAAC 2 3 78.48%
Sum 3 5 78.49%
Horz 3 7 79.14%
CUSA 3 12 79.26%
P12 3 8 79.95%
CAA 2 7 80.00%
WCC 3 9 80.41%
A10 3 18 80.92%
SC 3 8 81.05%
Ivy 3 8 82.03%
ASun 3 5 82.45%
BSky 3 15 82.52%
MAAC 3 12 82.74%
MVC 3 17 82.90%
WAC 3 7 83.00%
Amer 3 8 83.59%
BSth 3 9 83.65%
Slnd 3 10 84.04%
B10 4 3 84.18%
Pat 3 6 84.33%
BE 4 1 84.45%
OVC 3 11 84.99%
CAA 3 10 85.07%
MAC 3 19 85.67%
BW 3 10 85.89%
AE 3 6 85.95%
NEC 3 6 86.71%
MVC 4 2 90.61%
SB 4 22 90.98%
ACC 4 2 91.04%
Ivy 4 15 91.22%
P12 4 3 91.48%
A10 4 13 91.57%
SWAC 3 1 91.66%
Sum 4 14 92.26%
CAA 4 11 92.39%
WCC 4 13 92.73%
BSth 4 20 92.82%
CUSA 4 21 93.02%
WAC 4 12 93.25%
MAAC 4 17 93.32%
MAC 4 10 93.43%
MWC 4 8 93.51%
Horz 4 21 93.65%
AE 4 17 93.71%
Pat 4 22 93.77%
MEAC 3 3 93.90%
Slnd 4 29 94.00%
OVC 4 20 94.23%
Amer 4 7 94.36%
BSky 4 17 94.66%
NEC 4 23 94.90%
ASun 4 18 94.94%
SC 4 15 94.99%
BW 4 12 95.15%
SWAC 4 29 96.77%
MEAC 4 36 96.83%

 

I’m not sure if Tennessee failed the eye test, or if Cincinnati passed it. Either way, North Carolina State over Texas Tech is awkward. I’ll go over this more when I cover all of them year-by-year in a few weeks.

Note: Kudos to Marquette for knocking off Pittsburgh and Kentucky en route to the Final Four. That’s very impressive.

Rank School WAB Pythag Seed
1 Kentucky 11.39 0.9760 1
2 Arizona 7.44 0.9649 1
3 Pittsburgh 6.53 0.9700 2
4 Oklahoma 6.28 0.9527 1
5 Wake Forest 6.22 0.9311 2
6 Syracuse 6.04 0.9266 3
7 Kansas 5.85 0.9690 2
8 Florida 5.79 0.9483 2
9 Texas 5.75 0.9453 1
10 Georgia 5.30 0.9268 NULL
11 Duke 5.25 0.9445 3
12 Marquette 4.82 0.9298 3
13 Louisville 4.79 0.9499 4
14 Illinois 4.77 0.9592 4
15 Xavier 4.68 0.9329 3
16 Dayton 4.54 0.8805 4
17 Missouri 3.85 0.9092 6
18 Notre Dame 3.79 0.9190 5
19 Mississippi St. 3.67 0.9517 5
20 Creighton 3.43 0.9133 6
21 Memphis 3.31 0.9113 7
22 Stanford 3.08 0.8806 4
23 Saint Joseph’s 3.01 0.9454 7
24 Wisconsin 2.75 0.9437 5
25 Butler 2.71 0.8778 12
26 Oklahoma St. 2.65 0.9149 6
27 Connecticut 2.32 0.9161 5
28 Utah 2.23 0.8833 9
29 California 2.09 0.8638 8
30 Brigham Young 1.87 0.9162 12
31 Oregon 1.64 0.8689 8
32 Southern Illinois 1.63 0.8351 11
33 Louisiana St. 1.62 0.9301 8
34 Colorado 1.43 0.8935 10
35 Indiana 1.34 0.8708 7
36 Maryland 1.25 0.9426 6
37 Wisconsin Milwaukee 1.07 0.8498 12
38 Alabama 0.98 0.8865 10
39 Purdue 0.96 0.8988 9
40 Central Michigan 0.92 0.8118 11
41 Gonzaga 0.89 0.8771 9
42 Tennessee 0.70 0.8408 NULL
43 Pennsylvania 0.69 0.8715 11
44 Texas Tech 0.62 0.8838 NULL
45 Auburn 0.50 0.8573 10
46 Michigan St. 0.39 0.9151 7
47 Holy Cross 0.32 0.8167 14
48 Boston College 0.21 0.8455 NULL
49 Weber St. 0.16 0.7799 12
50 Arizona St. 0.11 0.8970 10
51 North Carolina St. -0.22 0.8530 9
52 NC Wilmington -0.25 0.8761 11
53 North Carolina -0.26 0.8375 NULL
54 Seton Hall -0.33 0.8432 NULL
55 Manhattan -0.42 0.8128 14
56 Troy St. -0.47 0.7344 14
57 Western Kentucky -0.56 0.8354 13
58 Cincinnati -0.75 0.8937 8
59 Nevada Las Vegas -0.87 0.8334 NULL
60 Illinois Chicago -0.93 0.8121 NULL
61 Austin Peay -1.03 0.6653 13
62 Ohio St. -1.13 0.7950 NULL
63 Louisiana Lafayette -1.32 0.8181 NULL
64 SE Louisiana -1.36 0.3043 NULL
65 Wyoming -1.64 0.7451 NULL
66 Fresno St. -1.74 0.7268 NULL
67 College of Charleston -1.86 0.6564 NULL
68 Michigan -1.94 0.8147 NULL
69 St. Louis -1.97 0.8031 NULL
70 DePaul -1.99 0.8250 NULL
71 Tulsa -2.00 0.8350 13
72 Minnesota -2.05 0.7811 NULL
73 Providence -2.11 0.8620 NULL
74 Rhode Island -2.12 0.7131 NULL
75 Iowa St. -2.24 0.8233 NULL
76 UC Irvine -2.28 0.6834 NULL
77 Mercer -2.39 0.5557 NULL
78 Virginia -2.46 0.7631 NULL
79 UAB -2.46 0.8058 NULL
80 Kent St. -2.56 0.7478 NULL
81 St. John’s -2.58 0.7948 NULL
82 Utah St. -2.71 0.7448 15
83 Temple -2.74 0.7868 NULL
84 New Mexico St. -2.78 0.7597 NULL
85 Georgia Tech -2.81 0.8671 NULL
86 Villanova -2.84 0.8402 NULL
87 Valparaiso -2.91 0.7423 NULL
88 Texas A&M -2.96 0.7564 NULL
89 Sam Houston St. -3.00 0.6322 15
90 Clemson -3.10 0.7172 NULL
91 San Diego -3.18 0.7823 13
92 Colorado St. -3.33 0.7286 14
93 Iowa -3.36 0.7711 NULL
94 Mississippi -3.36 0.8276 NULL
95 Western Michigan -3.56 0.7799 NULL
96 Georgetown -3.65 0.8436 NULL
97 Rice -3.72 0.6895 NULL
98 Baylor -3.76 0.7283 NULL
99 Morehead St. -3.82 0.6241 NULL
100 South Carolina -3.83 0.7894 NULL
101 West Virginia -3.87 0.6870 NULL
102 Drexel -3.97 0.7159 NULL
103 Wichita St. -3.98 0.6636 NULL
104 Boston University -4.03 0.6736 NULL
105 Florida St. -4.13 0.7947 NULL
106 Richmond -4.29 0.7730 NULL
107 Hawaii -4.41 0.6586 NULL
108 Chattanooga -4.44 0.6542 NULL
109 Detroit -4.52 0.8145 NULL
110 St. Bonaventure -4.63 0.7701 NULL
111 East Tennessee St. -4.64 0.6003 15
112 Vanderbilt -4.64 0.7573 NULL
113 Stephen F. Austin -4.65 0.6490 NULL
114 Virginia Commonwealth -4.70 0.6876 NULL
115 Davidson -4.72 0.6266 NULL
116 Fairfield -4.88 0.6111 NULL
117 San Diego St. -4.96 0.7451 NULL
118 South Florida -5.02 0.7056 NULL
119 Appalachian St. -5.03 0.5505 NULL
120 Princeton -5.03 0.6592 NULL
121 Charlotte -5.06 0.7373 NULL
122 Siena -5.08 0.6604 NULL
123 Rutgers -5.13 0.7178 NULL
124 Southwest Missouri St. -5.29 0.7856 NULL
125 Eastern Washington -5.35 0.7195 NULL
126 Southern Methodist -5.41 0.6323 NULL
127 UC Santa Barbara -5.49 0.7389 NULL
128 Nevada -5.50 0.7659 NULL
129 George Mason -5.56 0.6970 NULL
130 Brown -5.56 0.6118 NULL
131 Tennessee Tech -5.61 0.6860 NULL
132 Tulane -5.62 0.7218 NULL
133 Kansas St. -5.63 0.8246 NULL
134 Oregon St. -5.73 0.6673 NULL
135 Wagner -5.75 0.5518 15
136 Arkansas Little Rock -5.82 0.6239 NULL
137 Southern California -5.83 0.7512 NULL
138 Oral Roberts -6.03 0.6113 NULL
139 Belmont -6.07 0.5824 NULL
140 Murray St. -6.07 0.7217 NULL
141 Jacksonville St. -6.12 0.5042 NULL
142 Pepperdine -6.14 0.6228 NULL
143 East Carolina -6.17 0.5958 NULL
144 Birmingham Southern -6.28 0.3934 NULL
145 South Alabama -6.30 0.6058 NULL
146 Arkansas -6.39 0.6761 NULL
147 Northern Illinois -6.42 0.6516 NULL
148 Yale -6.45 0.6094 NULL
149 Niagara -6.48 0.5541 NULL
150 Vermont -6.51 0.6299 16
151 Central Florida -6.53 0.6627 NULL
152 Middle Tennessee St. -6.55 0.6690 NULL
153 South Carolina St. -6.63 0.3331 16
154 Northwestern -6.64 0.5723 NULL
155 IUPUI -6.72 0.6004 16
156 San Francisco -6.90 0.6818 NULL
157 Oakland -6.94 0.5265 NULL
158 George Washington -6.99 0.7186 NULL
159 Nebraska -7.02 0.6503 NULL
160 Miami FL -7.05 0.7247 NULL
161 Winthrop -7.06 0.4072 NULL
162 Loyola Chicago -7.14 0.6758 NULL
163 La Salle -7.20 0.6005 NULL
164 UCLA -7.23 0.7114 NULL
165 Ohio -7.24 0.5804 NULL
166 Delaware -7.26 0.5679 NULL
167 Southern Mississippi -7.27 0.5927 NULL
168 Miami OH -7.27 0.6512 NULL
169 New Orleans -7.29 0.5695 NULL
170 Iona -7.31 0.5927 NULL
171 Prairie View A&M -7.33 0.3390 NULL
172 Washington -7.39 0.6651 NULL
173 Louisiana Tech -7.60 0.5035 NULL
174 Air Force -7.64 0.6225 NULL
175 Hampton -7.79 0.3470 NULL
176 Delaware St. -7.86 0.2949 NULL
177 St. Mary’s -7.89 0.6399 NULL
178 Eastern Illinois -7.93 0.5498 NULL
179 Lehigh -7.95 0.4124 NULL
180 Florida A&M -7.97 0.2889 NULL
181 Evansville -8.03 0.5442 NULL
182 Denver -8.07 0.6489 NULL
183 Virginia Tech -8.08 0.6301 NULL
184 Hartford -8.21 0.4751 NULL
185 Northern Arizona -8.26 0.5054 NULL
186 Cal Poly -8.27 0.5362 NULL
187 Toledo -8.29 0.6625 NULL
188 Binghamton -8.30 0.4758 NULL
189 Texas Arlington -8.31 0.5158 NULL
190 Bowling Green -8.34 0.5325 NULL
191 Tennessee Martin -8.44 0.3997 NULL
192 Eastern Michigan -8.49 0.4809 NULL
193 Southwest Texas St. -8.56 0.5034 NULL
194 American -8.60 0.6298 NULL
195 Idaho St. -8.62 0.5168 NULL
196 McNeese St. -8.64 0.4621 NULL
197 Quinnipiac -8.65 0.3935 NULL
198 Akron -8.73 0.5612 NULL
199 Ball St. -8.78 0.5765 NULL
200 Massachusetts -8.98 0.4953 NULL
201 Old Dominion -9.05 0.5899 NULL
202 Centenary -9.07 0.3606 NULL
203 Marshall -9.12 0.5640 NULL
204 Georgia Southern -9.16 0.3833 NULL
205 Santa Clara -9.17 0.4009 NULL
206 Texas Southern -9.18 0.3186 16
207 Monmouth -9.29 0.3424 NULL
208 Cal St. Northridge -9.33 0.5045 NULL
209 New Mexico -9.36 0.5309 NULL
210 Arkansas St. -9.37 0.5928 NULL
211 Samford -9.40 0.4638 NULL
212 Wofford -9.42 0.4652 NULL
213 Texas Christian -9.70 0.5762 NULL
214 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -9.81 0.3321 NULL
215 Central Connecticut -9.84 0.3645 NULL
216 Bucknell -9.87 0.4041 NULL
217 Georgia St. -9.87 0.4118 NULL
218 Colgate -9.94 0.3631 NULL
219 Pacific -9.95 0.5514 NULL
220 Harvard -9.98 0.4252 NULL
221 Northern Iowa -9.98 0.5068 NULL
222 Penn St. -9.99 0.4408 NULL
223 Northeastern -10.13 0.4306 NULL
224 NC Asheville -10.14 0.2482 16
225 Idaho -10.26 0.4411 NULL
226 St. Francis PA -10.35 0.3045 NULL
227 Boise St. -10.36 0.5209 NULL
228 Portland -10.39 0.4569 NULL
229 Charleston Southern -10.48 0.3169 NULL
230 Washington St. -10.58 0.4613 NULL
231 Marist -10.61 0.4312 NULL
232 Lamar -10.72 0.3455 NULL
233 Bradley -10.77 0.6360 NULL
234 Houston -10.86 0.4461 NULL
235 Stony Brook -10.87 0.2808 NULL
236 Montana -10.91 0.5022 NULL
237 Elon -10.96 0.2033 NULL
238 Furman -11.02 0.3666 NULL
239 Fairleigh Dickinson -11.05 0.2686 NULL
240 Mississippi Valley St. -11.15 0.3809 NULL
241 Rider -11.15 0.4159 NULL
242 James Madison -11.23 0.4200 NULL
243 Montana St. -11.30 0.4197 NULL
244 Wright St. -11.32 0.4243 NULL
245 Sacramento St. -11.34 0.3266 NULL
246 Jacksonville -11.35 0.2870 NULL
247 William & Mary -11.44 0.2915 NULL
248 Maine -11.45 0.4865 NULL
249 Lafayette -11.48 0.3431 NULL
250 Coastal Carolina -11.50 0.2931 NULL
251 Alabama St. -11.61 0.3018 NULL
252 Coppin St. -11.63 0.2332 NULL
253 Duquesne -11.65 0.4734 NULL
254 Louisiana Monroe -11.72 0.3241 NULL
255 Eastern Kentucky -11.90 0.2983 NULL
256 Norfolk St. -11.90 0.1787 NULL
257 UC Riverside -12.06 0.2885 NULL
258 Mount St. Mary’s -12.06 0.1732 NULL
259 Texas San Antonio -12.08 0.2669 NULL
260 Canisius -12.10 0.4694 NULL
261 Southern Utah -12.15 0.3027 NULL
262 Liberty -12.19 0.1718 NULL
263 Wisconsin Green Bay -12.44 0.4760 NULL
264 St. Francis NY -12.59 0.3605 NULL
265 Drake -12.65 0.4148 NULL
266 Grambling -12.84 0.1929 NULL
267 Cornell -12.85 0.1978 NULL
268 North Texas -12.86 0.3793 NULL
269 Southeast Missouri St. -13.00 0.3426 NULL
270 Illinois St. -13.22 0.4321 NULL
271 Loyola Marymount -13.30 0.4610 NULL
272 Jackson St. -13.40 0.2895 NULL
273 Howard -13.58 0.2716 NULL
274 Youngstown St. -13.60 0.3133 NULL
275 Cal St. Fullerton -13.68 0.3743 NULL
276 St. Peter’s -13.77 0.3605 NULL
277 Cleveland St. -13.85 0.3530 NULL
278 Missouri Kansas City -13.91 0.2915 NULL
279 Robert Morris -14.00 0.2660 NULL
280 Alcorn St. -14.11 0.2637 NULL
281 Florida International -14.18 0.3991 NULL
282 IUPU Ft. Wayne -14.34 0.2833 NULL
283 Dartmouth -14.59 0.2560 NULL
284 Western Carolina -14.74 0.2620 NULL
285 Hofstra -14.78 0.3102 NULL
286 Texas Pan American -15.26 0.1684 NULL
287 Long Island -15.42 0.2500 NULL
288 The Citadel -15.47 0.1949 NULL
289 Virginia Military Inst -15.47 0.2014 NULL
290 San Jose St. -15.48 0.2564 NULL
291 Stetson -15.54 0.1831 NULL
292 Indiana St. -15.66 0.2795 NULL
293 Western Illinois -15.70 0.1658 NULL
294 Florida Atlantic -15.90 0.2240 NULL
295 Alabama A&M -15.94 0.1454 NULL
296 Navy -16.14 0.2062 NULL
297 MD Baltimore County -16.22 0.1615 NULL
298 NC Greensboro -16.35 0.3221 NULL
299 Radford -16.37 0.1191 NULL
300 Albany -16.38 0.1501 NULL
301 Lipscomb -16.40 0.1937 NULL
302 Portland St. -16.48 0.2500 NULL
303 Long Beach St. -16.54 0.1991 NULL
304 Morris Brown -16.58 0.0554 NULL
305 High Point -16.69 0.1590 NULL
306 Northwestern St. -16.80 0.1544 NULL
307 Buffalo -16.96 0.3022 NULL
308 Sacred Heart -17.20 0.1726 NULL
309 Arkansas Pine Bluff -17.22 0.0506 NULL
310 Fordham -17.31 0.3103 NULL
311 Texas El Paso -17.65 0.1818 NULL
312 Bethune Cookman -17.79 0.0948 NULL
313 Army -18.06 0.0633 NULL
314 Southern -18.21 0.1368 NULL
315 Gardner Webb -18.42 0.2542 NULL
316 New Hampshire -18.51 0.1487 NULL
317 Towson -18.65 0.0736 NULL
318 Campbell -18.69 0.0833 NULL
319 Maryland Eastern Shore -18.86 0.0808 NULL
320 Loyola MD -19.31 0.0883 NULL
321 Savannah St. -19.73 0.0439 NULL
322 Tennessee St. -19.78 0.0616 NULL
323 Nicholls St. -19.92 0.0715 NULL
324 Morgan St. -20.05 0.0772 NULL
325 Columbia -20.18 0.0780 NULL
326 Chicago St. -20.74 0.1518 NULL
327 North Carolina A&T -21.80 0.0235 NULL