Kudos to everyone who gets the reference.

Both FO and ESPN are sitting out the final game of the weekend. Sorry.

 

 

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Football Outsiders is going big on the Eagles:

Eagles 3.0 205374 185022 0

but that’s nothing compared to ESPN’s SPI:

Eagles 460000 575000 0

Yes, that’s 46% of their bankroll on Foles. Ballsy!

Interestingly, Football Outsiders shows much more confidence in their Playoff Odds page (which notes it has adjusted for the loss of Wentz). They would be going large on the Eagles as well:

Eagles 0 357667 482850
Titans 0 30720 197840
Jaguars 0 11945 34880
Saints 0 98498 197980

What a world we live in.

 

 

 

 

The NFL Playoffs are set to resume tomorrow, but first, let me give you a recap from last weekend’s action:

(For reference, check out the first installment here:

https://sethburn.wordpress.com/2018/01/04/greetings-from-bizarro-world/ )

We opened up the weekend with the Houston Texans taking on the Denver Broncos. The Texans managed to take down the (slightly) favored Broncos. In the nightcap Buccaneers defense was able to shut down Brett Hundley and the Packers offense sputtered. The Buccaneers moved on and will be heading to Chicago.

On Sunday we opened up with another installment in the Dolphins-Jets rivalry. This one went to the J-E-T-S, which sends them to Indianapolis, while the Titans have the unenviable task of trying to knock off the Browns. Finally, we closed with the Redskins-49ers game. I don’t blame you for turning that off at halftime as the 49ers completed their Garoppolo fueled implosion. The Patriots sure snookered them. The beautiful Meadowlands will be hosting another playoff game this weekend, but this time in the NFC where the Redskins face the tough task of knocking off the mighty G-Men. The schedule:

Saturday at 4:35 on Fox: Washington Redskins @ New York Giants (Line: Giants -7 -110, Redskins +7 +100)

The Redskins looked fantastic dominating the 49ers last weekend, but this is a much stiffer test. The fact is, the Giants are better at every facet of the game and they should move on to host the NFC Championship game. (Ignore the week 17 win, the Giants were resting their starters).

Saturday at 8:15 on CBS: Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns (Line: Browns -6.5 -110, Texans +6.5 +100)

Look, the Browns might be unbeaten, but they aren’t unbeatable. You could argue that they were slightly stronger last season. The Texans have been playing well lately, so perhaps they have what it takes to slay the giant.

Sunday at 1:05 on CBS: New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts (Line: Colts -5.5 -105, Jets +5.5 -105)

I was expecting the line to be higher here and I expect the Colts to advance to the AFC Championship game. Perhaps that’s just my Jets pessimism talking though.

Sunday at 4:40 on Fox: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears (Line: Bears -3 -115, Buccaneers +3 +105)

This is a great matchup between an elite Bears offense and the best defense in the NFL. Bears have the edge due to being at home, but this could easily go either way.

The Browns and Giants remain favored against the field in their respective conferences. Will someone be able to knock them off? Check back next week in the next installment from Bizarro World!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Michigan State got pounded by Ohio State yesterday. While it’s clear they remain among the top tier of favorites (along with Duke and Villanova), it’s interesting that their resume isn’t quite in that class. I presume that will work itself out by Selection Sunday.

Rank School WAB
1 Villanova 3.70
2 West Virginia 3.35
3 Virginia 3.19
4 Xavier 2.90
5 Duke 2.84
6 Oklahoma 2.75
7 Arizona St. 2.74
8 Purdue 2.73
9 Clemson 2.72
10 Seton Hall 2.66
11 Texas Tech 2.61
12 Auburn 2.45
13 Michigan St. 2.41
14 North Carolina 2.21
15 Wichita St. 2.13
16 Kansas 2.09
17 TCU 1.97
18 Cincinnati 1.81
19 Gonzaga 1.54
20 Creighton 1.49
21 Kentucky 1.45
22 Miami FL 1.41
23 Tennessee 1.40
24 Florida 1.31
25 Nevada 1.31
26 Ohio St. 1.28
27 Michigan 1.23
28 Florida St. 1.09
29 Notre Dame 1.02
30 Arizona 1.02
31 Rhode Island 0.91
32 Butler 0.88
33 Arkansas 0.83
34 Texas A&M 0.80
35 Georgia 0.75
36 Maryland 0.61
37 Saint Mary’s 0.54
38 Houston 0.49
39 New Mexico St. 0.49
40 Mississippi St. 0.41
41 Washington 0.36
42 UCLA 0.35
43 Middle Tennessee 0.34
44 Texas 0.30
45 Boise St. 0.23
46 Baylor 0.19
47 Marquette 0.18
48 Syracuse -0.03
49 Missouri -0.06
50 Louisiana Lafayette -0.16
51 Oklahoma St. -0.17
52 Louisville -0.17
53 St. Bonaventure -0.18
54 LSU -0.27
55 Kansas St. -0.28
56 Minnesota -0.33
57 UCF -0.35
58 Boston College -0.46
59 Nebraska -0.51
60 Virginia Tech -0.53
61 Stephen F. Austin -0.56
62 East Tennessee St. -0.56
63 Utah -0.63
64 BYU -0.65
65 San Diego St. -0.65
66 South Dakota St. -0.66
67 Lipscomb -0.68
68 Old Dominion -0.70
69 William & Mary -0.75
70 SMU -0.77
71 North Carolina St. -0.78
72 Tulane -0.80
73 Western Kentucky -0.81
74 Furman -0.83
75 San Diego -0.85
76 Vermont -0.89
77 Wyoming -0.92
78 Missouri St. -0.95
79 Buffalo -0.98
80 Loyola Chicago -1.00
81 Alabama -1.00
82 UC Santa Barbara -1.03
83 Murray St. -1.19
84 Providence -1.21
85 St. John’s -1.32
86 UNC Greensboro -1.37
87 Penn St. -1.43
88 Ball St. -1.49
89 Central Michigan -1.49
90 Georgetown -1.52
91 UNLV -1.61
92 USC -1.67
93 VCU -1.69
94 Wofford -1.72
95 Portland St. -1.74
96 Northwestern -1.76
97 South Carolina -1.78
98 Iowa St. -1.78
99 Northern Kentucky -1.85
100 Wright St. -1.88
101 South Dakota -1.89
102 Temple -1.91
103 UC Davis -1.93
104 Colorado -1.93
105 Indiana -1.96
106 Belmont -1.98
107 Connecticut -2.01
108 Georgia Southern -2.03
109 Utah Valley -2.04
110 Oregon -2.11
111 Bradley -2.12
112 Towson -2.18
113 Memphis -2.20
114 College of Charleston -2.22
115 Cal St. Fullerton -2.24
116 Montana -2.26
117 Radford -2.30
118 Grand Canyon -2.39
119 Fresno St. -2.39
120 Rutgers -2.40
121 Penn -2.41
122 Marshall -2.42
123 Rider -2.44
124 Wagner -2.44
125 Elon -2.51
126 Illinois -2.58
127 UT Arlington -2.60
128 Jacksonville St. -2.63
129 Illinois St. -2.64
130 Tennessee Tech -2.69
131 North Dakota St. -2.69
132 UAB -2.76
133 Albany -2.77
134 Northeastern -2.78
135 Hawaii -2.81
136 Mississippi -2.83
137 Western Michigan -2.83
138 St. Francis PA -2.84
139 Wisconsin -2.85
140 Navy -2.85
141 Duquesne -2.87
142 Northern Colorado -2.93
143 Toledo -2.95
144 Hofstra -2.96
145 Evansville -2.99
146 Tulsa -3.00
147 Utah St. -3.05
148 Iona -3.13
149 Wake Forest -3.15
150 DePaul -3.16
151 Drake -3.17
152 Oregon St. -3.19
153 Liberty -3.20
154 Washington St. -3.25
155 Bowling Green -3.26
156 Northern Iowa -3.27
157 Ohio -3.27
158 Bucknell -3.29
159 UMBC -3.30
160 Davidson -3.33
161 Georgia Tech -3.44
162 Robert Morris -3.56
163 George Washington -3.63
164 Valparaiso -3.66
165 Southern Illinois -3.66
166 UNC Asheville -3.67
167 Georgia St. -3.68
168 Austin Peay -3.69
169 Oakland -3.71
170 Brown -3.72
171 Southeastern Louisiana -3.72
172 Montana St. -3.72
173 San Francisco -3.72
174 Vanderbilt -3.73
175 Fort Wayne -3.74
176 Idaho St. -3.75
177 Eastern Michigan -3.75
178 Idaho -3.80
179 Saint Joseph’s -3.80
180 Pittsburgh -3.83
181 Louisiana Tech -3.88
182 Princeton -3.89
183 Western Illinois -3.89
184 Stanford -3.92
185 Miami OH -3.96
186 Winthrop -4.00
187 Weber St. -4.06
188 Saint Peter’s -4.10
189 Lehigh -4.11
190 New Orleans -4.23
191 Army -4.24
192 Iowa -4.27
193 North Texas -4.34
194 Cornell -4.35
195 Colorado St. -4.37
196 Mercer -4.38
197 Southern Miss -4.38
198 Seattle -4.45
199 La Salle -4.48
200 Western Carolina -4.48
201 Saint Louis -4.53
202 Dayton -4.56
203 UT Rio Grande Valley -4.60
204 Massachusetts -4.60
205 Florida Gulf Coast -4.64
206 Colgate -4.69
207 Northern Illinois -4.72
208 Akron -4.73
209 Yale -4.74
210 Savannah St. -4.74
211 Gardner Webb -4.77
212 Cal St. Bakersfield -4.77
213 UTSA -4.80
214 High Point -4.80
215 Abilene Christian -4.80
216 Niagara -4.80
217 Nicholls St. -4.91
218 NJIT -4.96
219 Lamar -4.98
220 North Carolina A&T -5.00
221 South Alabama -5.07
222 Eastern Washington -5.10
223 George Mason -5.11
224 Sam Houston St. -5.18
225 Binghamton -5.25
226 Presbyterian -5.30
227 Pacific -5.31
228 Kent St. -5.32
229 Incarnate Word -5.32
230 SIU Edwardsville -5.32
231 Harvard -5.35
232 Texas Southern -5.38
233 Stony Brook -5.38
234 Texas St. -5.38
235 Canisius -5.39
236 Southern Utah -5.44
237 Charleston Southern -5.46
238 Louisiana Monroe -5.48
239 California -5.49
240 Boston University -5.50
241 Fairfield -5.50
242 Tennessee St. -5.52
243 Delaware -5.54
244 New Mexico -5.54
245 Indiana St. -5.60
246 Monmouth -5.60
247 Central Arkansas -5.61
248 Milwaukee -5.67
249 Eastern Illinois -5.71
250 Oral Roberts -5.77
251 Long Beach St. -5.79
252 Florida Atlantic -5.84
253 Appalachian St. -5.90
254 North Carolina Central -5.93
255 Fordham -5.95
256 North Florida -6.04
257 Mount St. Mary’s -6.05
258 Dartmouth -6.13
259 Manhattan -6.13
260 Hartford -6.17
261 Central Connecticut -6.18
262 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.28
263 Samford -6.29
264 East Carolina -6.33
265 UMass Lowell -6.33
266 Campbell -6.37
267 UC Irvine -6.38
268 Southern -6.40
269 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -6.40
270 Troy -6.40
271 Loyola Marymount -6.42
272 McNeese St. -6.42
273 Morgan St. -6.43
274 Stetson -6.56
275 VMI -6.57
276 Air Force -6.58
277 The Citadel -6.61
278 Prairie View A&M -6.63
279 Jackson St. -6.67
280 Charlotte -6.67
281 Columbia -6.74
282 Illinois Chicago -6.82
283 Southeast Missouri St. -6.93
284 South Florida -6.93
285 Maryland Eastern Shore -6.97
286 Cal Poly -7.05
287 Drexel -7.08
288 North Dakota -7.10
289 Morehead St. -7.10
290 IUPUI -7.13
291 Coastal Carolina -7.19
292 Bethune Cookman -7.22
293 Hampton -7.34
294 UTEP -7.37
295 Santa Clara -7.40
296 Loyola MD -7.49
297 Denver -7.51
298 Chattanooga -7.52
299 FIU -7.55
300 American -7.58
301 Portland -7.59
302 Houston Baptist -7.60
303 UC Riverside -7.61
304 Lafayette -7.77
305 Arkansas St. -7.85
306 Nebraska Omaha -7.85
307 Tennessee Martin -7.86
308 Youngstown St. -7.86
309 Eastern Kentucky -7.87
310 Richmond -7.88
311 South Carolina St. -7.89
312 Kennesaw St. -7.89
313 Alcorn St. -7.91
314 Green Bay -8.07
315 Sacred Heart -8.16
316 New Hampshire -8.19
317 Jacksonville -8.20
318 Sacramento St. -8.25
319 St. Francis NY -8.30
320 Quinnipiac -8.47
321 Northwestern St. -8.49
322 UMKC -8.52
323 Siena -8.80
324 Cleveland St. -8.81
325 Holy Cross -8.81
326 Grambling St. -8.91
327 Norfolk St. -9.05
328 USC Upstate -9.10
329 Alabama St. -9.11
330 LIU Brooklyn -9.15
331 UNC Wilmington -9.18
332 Pepperdine -9.32
333 Detroit -9.34
334 Rice -9.47
335 Longwood -9.49
336 Marist -9.51
337 San Jose St. -9.51
338 Little Rock -9.59
339 Maine -9.59
340 James Madison -9.83
341 Cal St. Northridge -10.03
342 Northern Arizona -10.21
343 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.25
344 Mississippi Valley St. -10.41
345 Chicago St. -10.42
346 Florida A&M -10.55
347 Alabama A&M -10.77
348 Bryant -11.35
349 Howard -11.44
350 Delaware St. -11.82
351 Coppin St. -11.85