2/4/15 KenPom Elo’s + WAB

A reminder: WAB is Wins-Above-Bubble. In other words, an average bubble team would expect to have around 12.09 wins if it had played against Kansas’ schedule so far. An average bubble team would expect to have around 14.59 wins against Kentucky’s schedule so far.

WAB is relative to a team with a pythag of .7800

WAST is relative to a team with a pythag of .8900

WAM is relative to a team with a pythag of .9500

It is not easy to have a positive WAM. I think you can guess who my four #1 seeds would be. 🙂

Elo Rank	Name	Elo Rating	WAB	WAST	WAM
1	Kentucky	99.64	7.41	4.00	1.90
2	Virginia	97.66	6.84	3.35	1.10
3	Gonzaga	96.67	5.44	2.38	0.58
4	Kansas	94.96	7.91	3.63	0.41
5	Arizona	94.96	5.32	1.95	-0.13
6	Wisconsin	94.80	5.40	2.00	-0.10
7	Villanova	94.00	4.67	1.56	-0.32
8	Duke	93.14	5.00	1.46	-0.84
9	Northern Iowa	91.65	3.47	0.77	-0.73
10	Louisville	91.60	4.04	0.76	-1.23
11	North Carolina	89.70	4.41	0.12	-2.92
12	Wichita St.	89.58	2.92	0.08	-1.57
13	VCU	89.33	3.73	0.27	-1.94
14	Utah	88.08	2.22	-0.69	-2.44
15	Baylor	87.81	2.75	-0.66	-2.89
16	West Virginia	87.78	2.73	-0.44	-2.33
17	Notre Dame	87.43	1.95	-0.53	-1.88
18	Maryland	86.54	2.60	-0.52	-2.37
19	Oklahoma	86.04	2.07	-1.82	-4.45
20	Iowa St.	85.48	2.03	-1.21	-3.20
21	Butler	85.18	2.00	-1.65	-3.92
22	Providence	83.86	2.23	-1.49	-3.83
23	Georgetown	83.67	1.57	-2.19	-4.66
24	Georgia	83.41	1.62	-2.09	-4.59
25	Colorado St.	83.17	1.34	-0.85	-2.03
26	SMU	82.92	0.81	-1.58	-2.90
27	San Diego St.	82.40	0.82	-1.98	-3.60
28	Arkansas	82.26	1.04	-1.87	-3.55
29	Dayton	81.99	0.86	-1.55	-2.88
30	Ohio St.	81.82	0.45	-2.22	-3.73
31	Xavier	81.61	0.62	-3.15	-5.64
32	Texas A&M	81.24	0.85	-1.94	-3.57
33	Texas	81.03	0.45	-2.92	-5.05
34	LSU	80.78	0.58	-2.13	-3.67
35	Stanford	80.59	0.38	-2.63	-4.42
36	Tulsa	80.38	0.72	-1.62	-2.91
37	Oklahoma St.	80.11	0.21	-3.04	-5.10
38	Davidson	80.07	0.28	-2.23	-3.71
39	Stephen F. Austin	79.34	0.09	-1.50	-2.33
40	Saint Mary’s	78.88	0.34	-2.29	-3.76
41	Michigan St.	78.57	-0.41	-3.53	-5.37
42	Old Dominion	78.54	0.23	-1.91	-3.05
43	Seton Hall	78.12	0.01	-3.64	-5.91
44	BYU	77.61	-0.41	-3.53	-5.37
45	Mississippi	77.61	-0.52	-3.56	-5.39
46	Green Bay	77.49	-0.16	-2.56	-3.89
47	Indiana	77.31	-0.31	-3.50	-5.37
48	Cincinnati	77.00	-0.57	-3.22	-4.72
49	Alabama	76.30	-0.74	-4.00	-6.08
50	UCLA	76.29	-0.61	-4.32	-6.73
51	Iowa	76.13	-0.77	-4.07	-6.13
52	Valparaiso	75.94	-0.42	-2.26	-3.22
53	Murray St.	75.86	-0.33	-2.22	-3.20
54	Miami FL	75.78	-0.58	-3.99	-6.09
55	St. John’s	75.64	-0.96	-4.20	-6.19
56	Oregon	75.12	-0.62	-3.63	-5.42
57	George Washington	74.72	-0.76	-3.35	-4.79
58	Buffalo	74.33	-0.86	-3.37	-4.79
59	Florida	74.08	-1.72	-5.40	-7.77
60	Boise St.	73.86	-0.96	-3.43	-4.82
61	Temple	73.72	-1.18	-4.00	-5.62
62	Rhode Island	73.27	-0.96	-2.99	-4.09
63	Michigan	72.82	-1.41	-4.83	-6.99
64	Long Beach St.	72.80	-1.23	-5.21	-8.07
65	Syracuse	72.80	-1.33	-4.10	-5.66
66	North Carolina St.	72.76	-1.92	-5.63	-7.92
67	Yale	72.76	-0.87	-3.35	-4.77
68	Harvard	72.63	-1.02	-2.97	-4.07
69	Wofford	72.59	-0.77	-2.91	-4.06
70	Purdue	71.89	-1.85	-4.80	-6.51
71	Illinois	71.79	-1.79	-4.79	-6.52
72	Kansas St.	70.67	-2.24	-5.76	-7.97
73	Iona	70.43	-1.54	-3.80	-5.00
74	Wyoming	70.40	-1.07	-2.60	-3.38
75	Tennessee	70.38	-1.73	-4.70	-6.45
76	South Carolina	70.31	-2.51	-5.85	-7.99
77	Richmond	70.28	-2.56	-5.59	-7.40
78	Oregon St.	70.00	-1.88	-4.38	-5.79
79	Pittsburgh	69.73	-1.96	-4.87	-6.55
80	Clemson	69.71	-2.00	-4.87	-6.54
81	Western Kentucky	69.67	-1.46	-3.70	-4.95
82	Massachusetts	69.36	-1.90	-5.16	-7.17
83	Illinois St.	69.23	-2.58	-5.25	-6.74
84	Louisiana Tech	69.13	-1.73	-3.43	-4.30
85	Bowling Green	68.91	-1.65	-3.36	-4.26
86	Minnesota	68.54	-3.01	-5.90	-7.56
87	Washington	68.44	-2.18	-4.58	-5.89
88	Penn St.	68.26	-2.36	-5.11	-6.67
89	Vanderbilt	67.66	-3.15	-6.32	-8.26
90	William & Mary	66.58	-2.53	-4.74	-5.97
91	La Salle	66.53	-2.86	-5.78	-7.50
92	Memphis	66.53	-2.77	-5.33	-6.78
93	Eastern Washington	66.20	-1.59	-3.33	-4.25
94	Arizona St.	66.03	-3.89	-7.19	-9.20
95	Pepperdine	66.01	-3.22	-6.03	-7.63
96	Colorado	65.92	-3.34	-6.45	-8.33
97	UC Davis	65.89	-1.40	-2.76	-3.45
98	Georgia Tech	65.89	-3.45	-6.85	-9.01
99	Evansville	65.71	-2.38	-4.71	-5.96
100	Central Michigan	65.71	-1.63	-2.87	-3.50
101	Nebraska	65.69	-3.05	-5.92	-7.58
102	UTEP	65.60	-2.66	-4.85	-6.03
103	Connecticut	65.58	-3.26	-6.00	-7.60
104	Toledo	65.35	-2.99	-5.47	-6.84
105	Akron	64.89	-2.43	-4.26	-5.22
106	Kent St.	64.83	-2.31	-4.20	-5.19
107	DePaul	64.77	-3.69	-7.52	-9.87
108	UNLV	64.69	-3.02	-5.88	-7.55
109	TCU	64.28	-3.28	-5.19	-6.19
110	Georgia St.	63.98	-2.99	-5.03	-6.11
111	High Point	63.90	-2.23	-4.15	-5.17
112	Northeastern	63.80	-2.99	-5.50	-6.86
113	New Mexico	63.48	-3.10	-5.09	-6.14
114	Sam Houston St.	63.43	-2.38	-3.76	-4.45
115	Georgia Southern	63.30	-1.77	-2.94	-3.53
116	UC Irvine	62.92	-3.37	-5.65	-6.92
117	South Dakota St.	62.39	-3.22	-5.17	-6.18
118	Marquette	62.22	-4.12	-7.30	-9.25
119	California	61.43	-3.47	-6.18	-7.70
120	North Carolina Central	60.41	-2.92	-4.52	-5.34
121	Cleveland St.	60.18	-4.36	-7.09	-8.65
122	Wake Forest	59.68	-5.04	-8.33	-10.28
123	Florida St.	59.65	-4.33	-7.09	-8.66
124	Western Michigan	59.53	-3.56	-5.76	-6.98
125	Radford	59.32	-3.26	-5.18	-6.18
126	Belmont	58.57	-3.27	-5.18	-6.19
127	Florida Gulf Coast	58.16	-3.43	-5.26	-6.22
128	Loyola Chicago	57.88	-4.10	-6.51	-7.86
129	Eastern Michigan	57.63	-3.53	-5.28	-6.22
130	Boston College	57.46	-4.78	-7.70	-9.45
131	San Diego	56.92	-5.26	-8.08	-9.66
132	Oakland	56.31	-5.00	-8.23	-10.21
133	Eastern Kentucky	56.17	-4.69	-6.84	-8.01
134	Rutgers	56.06	-5.43	-9.30	-11.75
135	Auburn	55.97	-4.75	-7.68	-9.44
136	Rider	55.54	-4.72	-6.91	-8.06
137	Stony Brook	55.54	-4.63	-6.85	-8.03
138	Albany	55.39	-3.87	-5.50	-6.33
139	Creighton	55.20	-6.01	-9.30	-11.27
140	Washington St.	55.20	-4.65	-7.65	-9.43
141	Portland	55.11	-4.75	-7.30	-8.75
142	St. Bonaventure	55.05	-4.28	-6.17	-7.17
143	Cal Poly	54.57	-4.68	-7.20	-8.69
144	UAB	54.40	-5.46	-8.15	-9.69
145	Lafayette	53.79	-4.28	-6.18	-7.18
146	UNC Wilmington	53.66	-4.46	-6.72	-7.96
147	Tennessee Martin	53.49	-4.39	-6.23	-7.20
148	Gardner Webb	53.49	-4.41	-6.69	-7.95
149	UC Santa Barbara	53.34	-5.25	-7.96	-9.58
150	Sacramento St.	53.27	-3.32	-4.72	-5.43
151	Northwestern	53.13	-6.04	-8.92	-10.57
152	James Madison	53.11	-5.15	-7.59	-8.91
153	Utah St.	53.06	-5.46	-7.73	-8.97
154	Hawaii	52.69	-4.57	-6.35	-7.26
155	Middle Tennessee	52.60	-5.20	-7.59	-8.90
156	Eastern Illinois	52.41	-4.63	-6.84	-8.03
157	Texas Southern	52.25	-5.44	-8.16	-9.69
158	Norfolk St.	52.21	-5.10	-7.10	-8.15
159	East Tennessee St.	52.13	-4.29	-6.17	-7.18
160	Oral Roberts	52.05	-5.12	-7.54	-8.88
161	Texas Tech	51.86	-5.57	-8.24	-9.73
162	Chattanooga	51.78	-4.62	-6.37	-7.28
163	Incarnate Word	51.46	-3.34	-4.69	-5.41
164	Santa Clara	51.34	-5.64	-8.64	-10.43
165	Mississippi St.	51.00	-5.87	-8.39	-9.81
166	USC	50.91	-6.02	-8.88	-10.55
167	North Dakota St.	50.81	-4.22	-5.68	-6.42
168	Charlotte	50.76	-6.27	-9.03	-10.63
169	New Mexico St.	50.50	-6.06	-8.07	-9.13
170	Coastal Carolina	50.43	-4.29	-5.71	-6.43
171	Missouri	50.37	-5.78	-9.32	-11.70
172	Canisius	50.06	-5.33	-7.22	-8.20
173	UT Arlington	49.92	-5.04	-7.05	-8.12
174	Hofstra	49.85	-5.69	-7.42	-8.30
175	Tulane	49.69	-5.29	-7.19	-8.19
176	Saint Joseph’s	49.36	-6.44	-9.14	-10.68
177	American	48.93	-5.68	-7.87	-9.04
178	North Florida	48.79	-6.04	-8.06	-9.13
179	Wright St.	48.74	-6.26	-9.03	-10.62
180	Louisiana Monroe	48.55	-4.59	-6.33	-7.25
181	NJIT	48.16	-6.13	-8.13	-9.16
182	St. Francis NY	48.01	-5.74	-7.44	-8.31
183	St. Francis PA	47.95	-5.29	-7.18	-8.18
184	Columbia	47.79	-4.86	-6.47	-7.31
185	Mount St. Mary’s	47.40	-6.16	-8.57	-9.89
186	USC Upstate	47.25	-4.75	-5.95	-6.54
187	Indiana St.	46.51	-6.92	-9.44	-10.83
188	Detroit	45.49	-7.54	-10.22	-11.72
189	Bucknell	45.31	-6.74	-8.90	-10.06
190	Virginia Tech	45.21	-7.76	-10.35	-11.79
191	San Francisco	45.19	-8.55	-11.65	-13.44
192	Robert Morris	44.45	-6.88	-8.98	-10.09
193	Army	44.38	-4.63	-5.89	-6.51
194	George Mason	44.31	-6.71	-9.62	-11.39
195	Lehigh	44.05	-6.23	-8.15	-9.17
196	FIU	43.83	-6.10	-8.07	-9.13
197	Louisiana Lafayette	43.81	-6.53	-8.31	-9.24
198	Montana	43.72	-5.95	-7.52	-8.34
199	Cornell	43.37	-6.42	-8.24	-9.21
200	Vermont	43.34	-7.04	-8.60	-9.38
201	Maryland Eastern Shore	43.13	-7.20	-9.17	-10.19
202	Monmouth	42.96	-7.22	-9.18	-10.19
203	Fresno St.	42.16	-7.14	-9.54	-10.87
204	Northern Arizona	42.03	-6.94	-8.99	-10.09
205	Manhattan	41.93	-6.72	-8.43	-9.30
206	Charleston Southern	41.77	-5.93	-7.52	-8.34
207	Quinnipiac	41.64	-6.89	-8.51	-9.34
208	Mercer	41.40	-7.34	-9.22	-10.20
209	Northwestern St.	40.98	-5.82	-7.44	-8.30
210	Saint Louis	40.90	-7.40	-9.70	-10.96
211	Colgate	40.79	-8.40	-10.72	-11.97
212	Dartmouth	40.76	-6.71	-8.39	-9.28
213	Loyola Marymount	40.73	-8.30	-11.80	-13.99
214	New Hampshire	40.14	-6.30	-7.72	-8.43
215	Bryant	40.12	-7.24	-9.17	-10.18
216	Western Carolina	39.91	-7.75	-9.90	-11.05
217	UCF	39.80	-7.29	-9.62	-10.91
218	Delaware St.	39.31	-7.54	-9.77	-10.98
219	Missouri St.	39.20	-7.94	-10.42	-11.81
220	Pacific	39.20	-7.75	-10.30	-11.75
221	UNC Asheville	38.47	-7.31	-9.18	-10.18
222	IUPUI	38.27	-8.56	-11.23	-12.73
223	Saint Peter’s	38.02	-8.99	-11.05	-12.13
224	Winthrop	37.91	-7.18	-8.65	-9.40
225	Northern Illinois	37.83	-7.17	-9.09	-10.14
226	IPFW	37.47	-7.46	-9.27	-10.22
227	Ohio	37.40	-7.83	-9.92	-11.05
228	Milwaukee	37.35	-8.52	-11.19	-12.70
229	UC Riverside	36.96	-7.32	-9.19	-10.19
230	Northern Colorado	36.75	-6.46	-7.79	-8.47
231	Morehead St.	36.66	-9.33	-11.67	-12.95
232	South Florida	36.47	-8.74	-11.70	-13.46
233	Denver	36.38	-8.84	-10.96	-12.08
234	Alabama St.	36.19	-4.53	-5.32	-5.70
235	Florida Atlantic	36.09	-7.18	-9.08	-10.13
236	Portland St.	35.91	-6.34	-7.73	-8.44
237	Hartford	35.84	-7.68	-9.41	-10.29
238	McNeese St.	35.83	-6.88	-8.89	-10.03
239	Appalachian St.	35.58	-7.37	-9.22	-10.20
240	Princeton	35.57	-7.23	-8.67	-9.41
241	Towson	35.50	-8.48	-10.30	-11.24
242	Texas St.	35.26	-6.90	-8.49	-9.32
243	East Carolina	35.05	-8.10	-10.07	-11.13
244	Elon	34.81	-8.30	-10.20	-11.19
245	South Dakota	34.81	-9.01	-11.05	-12.13
246	Howard	34.66	-7.14	-8.63	-9.39
247	Ball St.	34.64	-7.91	-9.94	-11.06
248	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	34.28	-6.63	-7.89	-8.51
249	UTSA	34.26	-7.32	-8.72	-9.43
250	Weber St.	34.09	-8.06	-10.05	-11.12
251	Drake	33.74	-9.07	-12.27	-14.23
252	Boston University	33.55	-8.77	-10.90	-12.05
253	Houston	33.30	-8.69	-10.41	-11.29
254	Northern Kentucky	33.18	-8.78	-10.90	-12.05
255	Tennessee Tech	33.17	-9.06	-11.07	-12.13
256	Penn	33.05	-7.46	-9.24	-10.21
257	Loyola MD	33.01	-8.35	-10.23	-11.21
258	Siena	32.76	-8.57	-10.35	-11.26
259	Drexel	32.61	-8.84	-10.94	-12.07
260	Miami OH	32.19	-9.00	-11.02	-12.11
261	Arkansas St.	32.14	-8.53	-10.32	-11.25
262	Southern Illinois	31.42	-10.08	-12.09	-13.15
263	Brown	31.29	-8.43	-10.25	-11.21
264	North Texas	31.03	-7.84	-9.47	-10.31
265	Cal St. Fullerton	30.77	-8.86	-10.94	-12.06
266	Southeast Missouri St.	30.73	-8.75	-10.43	-11.30
267	UMass Lowell	30.65	-9.10	-11.09	-12.14
268	Duquesne	30.56	-9.06	-11.05	-12.12
269	Southern	30.54	-9.24	-11.16	-12.17
270	Lamar	30.45	-7.91	-9.50	-10.33
271	Grand Canyon	30.11	-8.45	-9.80	-10.47
272	Idaho	30.04	-8.07	-9.58	-10.36
273	Lipscomb	29.91	-8.63	-10.36	-11.27
274	Holy Cross	29.63	-8.68	-10.39	-11.28
275	Youngstown St.	29.58	-10.41	-12.72	-13.97
276	Seattle	28.64	-7.73	-8.93	-9.53
277	Air Force	28.57	-9.11	-10.62	-11.38
278	College of Charleston	27.81	-11.85	-14.42	-15.82
279	North Dakota	27.66	-8.79	-10.88	-12.03
280	Sacred Heart	27.42	-10.75	-12.44	-13.31
281	Fordham	27.25	-9.14	-11.49	-12.84
282	UMKC	27.14	-10.18	-12.13	-13.16
283	Bradley	27.04	-11.23	-13.62	-14.92
284	SIU Edwardsville	26.95	-9.30	-10.72	-11.43
285	Arkansas Little Rock	26.90	-9.95	-11.54	-12.35
286	Utah Valley	26.71	-8.93	-10.52	-11.34
287	Navy	26.54	-10.38	-12.25	-13.22
288	Cal St. Northridge	26.25	-11.47	-14.18	-15.70
289	Wagner	25.73	-9.92	-11.52	-12.34
290	LIU Brooklyn	25.21	-10.15	-11.65	-12.40
291	South Carolina St.	25.09	-10.89	-12.99	-14.10
292	Fairleigh Dickinson	24.88	-10.11	-12.09	-13.14
293	Samford	24.82	-11.01	-12.59	-13.38
294	Western Illinois	24.45	-8.95	-10.53	-11.34
295	Houston Baptist	24.38	-7.13	-8.12	-8.61
296	Nebraska Omaha	24.29	-10.22	-11.68	-12.41
297	Campbell	24.21	-11.40	-13.25	-14.22
298	Nevada	24.10	-10.04	-12.02	-13.10
299	Furman	23.75	-10.13	-12.09	-13.14
300	Cal St. Bakersfield	23.55	-11.15	-12.65	-13.40
301	VMI	23.49	-11.08	-13.08	-14.14
302	Delaware	23.44	-11.46	-13.74	-14.97
303	Southeastern Louisiana	23.25	-10.91	-13.40	-14.80
304	Jacksonville St.	23.11	-11.41	-13.27	-14.23
305	South Alabama	23.08	-11.05	-13.05	-14.12
306	Marshall	22.71	-11.24	-13.59	-14.90
307	Fairfield	22.69	-11.39	-13.25	-14.22
308	Hampton	21.60	-11.29	-12.72	-13.44
309	Abilene Christian	21.53	-10.15	-11.64	-12.40
310	Troy	21.26	-9.64	-10.88	-11.51
311	Rice	21.09	-9.83	-11.45	-12.30
312	Kennesaw St.	21.03	-12.28	-14.21	-15.20
313	The Citadel	20.77	-10.03	-11.57	-12.36
314	Texas Pan American	20.32	-10.48	-12.28	-13.23
315	Arkansas Pine Bluff	20.24	-12.52	-14.33	-15.26
316	New Orleans	20.16	-8.54	-10.26	-11.21
317	Austin Peay	20.15	-11.42	-13.26	-14.22
318	Southern Miss	19.95	-10.20	-12.11	-13.14
319	Savannah St.	18.33	-10.64	-13.21	-14.70
320	Niagara	18.16	-12.73	-14.88	-16.04
321	Prairie View A&M	18.04	-12.35	-14.23	-15.21
322	Southern Utah	17.76	-10.76	-12.42	-13.29
323	Longwood	17.63	-13.26	-15.19	-16.19
324	Jackson St.	17.39	-12.91	-14.53	-15.35
325	Coppin St.	17.08	-12.80	-15.35	-16.78
326	Illinois Chicago	16.88	-12.92	-15.42	-16.82
327	Stetson	16.06	-12.16	-13.65	-14.40
328	Nicholls St.	15.32	-9.83	-11.44	-12.29
329	Marist	15.28	-14.12	-16.11	-17.15
330	UNC Greensboro	14.79	-13.73	-15.43	-16.30
331	Morgan St.	14.54	-13.86	-15.97	-17.09
332	North Carolina A&T	14.37	-13.42	-15.27	-16.22
333	Alabama A&M	14.22	-11.38	-12.75	-13.44
334	Montana St.	13.79	-13.03	-15.04	-16.12
335	Tennessee St.	12.88	-13.75	-15.90	-17.05
336	Idaho St.	12.39	-13.74	-15.43	-16.30
337	Chicago St.	12.12	-12.58	-15.20	-16.70
338	Mississippi Valley St.	11.91	-14.42	-16.27	-17.23
339	Presbyterian	11.88	-13.34	-15.21	-16.20
340	Bethune Cookman	11.21	-13.90	-15.03	-15.57
341	Binghamton	10.96	-15.86	-17.98	-19.10
342	Jacksonville	10.65	-14.25	-15.70	-16.43
343	UMBC	9.13	-15.00	-16.57	-17.37
344	Alcorn St.	8.60	-13.45	-14.79	-15.46
345	Maine	8.19	-16.11	-18.56	-19.90
346	Central Connecticut	7.76	-16.82	-18.49	-19.33
347	Liberty	6.79	-14.39	-15.76	-16.45
348	San Jose St.	0.82	-14.34	-16.63	-17.91
349	Central Arkansas	0.75	-16.24	-17.69	-18.42
350	Florida A&M	0.40	-18.88	-20.52	-21.34
351	Grambling St.	0.37	-13.77	-15.42	-16.29