2/4/15 KenPom Elo’s + WAB

A reminder: WAB is Wins-Above-Bubble. In other words, an average bubble team would expect to have around 12.09 wins if it had played against Kansas’ schedule so far. An average bubble team would expect to have around 14.59 wins against Kentucky’s schedule so far.

WAB is relative to a team with a pythag of .7800

WAST is relative to a team with a pythag of .8900

WAM is relative to a team with a pythag of .9500

It is not easy to have a positive WAM. I think you can guess who my four #1 seeds would be. 🙂

Elo Rank Name Elo Rating WAB WAST WAM
1 Kentucky 99.64 7.41 4.00 1.90
2 Virginia 97.66 6.84 3.35 1.10
3 Gonzaga 96.67 5.44 2.38 0.58
4 Kansas 94.96 7.91 3.63 0.41
5 Arizona 94.96 5.32 1.95 -0.13
6 Wisconsin 94.80 5.40 2.00 -0.10
7 Villanova 94.00 4.67 1.56 -0.32
8 Duke 93.14 5.00 1.46 -0.84
9 Northern Iowa 91.65 3.47 0.77 -0.73
10 Louisville 91.60 4.04 0.76 -1.23
11 North Carolina 89.70 4.41 0.12 -2.92
12 Wichita St. 89.58 2.92 0.08 -1.57
13 VCU 89.33 3.73 0.27 -1.94
14 Utah 88.08 2.22 -0.69 -2.44
15 Baylor 87.81 2.75 -0.66 -2.89
16 West Virginia 87.78 2.73 -0.44 -2.33
17 Notre Dame 87.43 1.95 -0.53 -1.88
18 Maryland 86.54 2.60 -0.52 -2.37
19 Oklahoma 86.04 2.07 -1.82 -4.45
20 Iowa St. 85.48 2.03 -1.21 -3.20
21 Butler 85.18 2.00 -1.65 -3.92
22 Providence 83.86 2.23 -1.49 -3.83
23 Georgetown 83.67 1.57 -2.19 -4.66
24 Georgia 83.41 1.62 -2.09 -4.59
25 Colorado St. 83.17 1.34 -0.85 -2.03
26 SMU 82.92 0.81 -1.58 -2.90
27 San Diego St. 82.40 0.82 -1.98 -3.60
28 Arkansas 82.26 1.04 -1.87 -3.55
29 Dayton 81.99 0.86 -1.55 -2.88
30 Ohio St. 81.82 0.45 -2.22 -3.73
31 Xavier 81.61 0.62 -3.15 -5.64
32 Texas A&M 81.24 0.85 -1.94 -3.57
33 Texas 81.03 0.45 -2.92 -5.05
34 LSU 80.78 0.58 -2.13 -3.67
35 Stanford 80.59 0.38 -2.63 -4.42
36 Tulsa 80.38 0.72 -1.62 -2.91
37 Oklahoma St. 80.11 0.21 -3.04 -5.10
38 Davidson 80.07 0.28 -2.23 -3.71
39 Stephen F. Austin 79.34 0.09 -1.50 -2.33
40 Saint Mary’s 78.88 0.34 -2.29 -3.76
41 Michigan St. 78.57 -0.41 -3.53 -5.37
42 Old Dominion 78.54 0.23 -1.91 -3.05
43 Seton Hall 78.12 0.01 -3.64 -5.91
44 BYU 77.61 -0.41 -3.53 -5.37
45 Mississippi 77.61 -0.52 -3.56 -5.39
46 Green Bay 77.49 -0.16 -2.56 -3.89
47 Indiana 77.31 -0.31 -3.50 -5.37
48 Cincinnati 77.00 -0.57 -3.22 -4.72
49 Alabama 76.30 -0.74 -4.00 -6.08
50 UCLA 76.29 -0.61 -4.32 -6.73
51 Iowa 76.13 -0.77 -4.07 -6.13
52 Valparaiso 75.94 -0.42 -2.26 -3.22
53 Murray St. 75.86 -0.33 -2.22 -3.20
54 Miami FL 75.78 -0.58 -3.99 -6.09
55 St. John’s 75.64 -0.96 -4.20 -6.19
56 Oregon 75.12 -0.62 -3.63 -5.42
57 George Washington 74.72 -0.76 -3.35 -4.79
58 Buffalo 74.33 -0.86 -3.37 -4.79
59 Florida 74.08 -1.72 -5.40 -7.77
60 Boise St. 73.86 -0.96 -3.43 -4.82
61 Temple 73.72 -1.18 -4.00 -5.62
62 Rhode Island 73.27 -0.96 -2.99 -4.09
63 Michigan 72.82 -1.41 -4.83 -6.99
64 Long Beach St. 72.80 -1.23 -5.21 -8.07
65 Syracuse 72.80 -1.33 -4.10 -5.66
66 North Carolina St. 72.76 -1.92 -5.63 -7.92
67 Yale 72.76 -0.87 -3.35 -4.77
68 Harvard 72.63 -1.02 -2.97 -4.07
69 Wofford 72.59 -0.77 -2.91 -4.06
70 Purdue 71.89 -1.85 -4.80 -6.51
71 Illinois 71.79 -1.79 -4.79 -6.52
72 Kansas St. 70.67 -2.24 -5.76 -7.97
73 Iona 70.43 -1.54 -3.80 -5.00
74 Wyoming 70.40 -1.07 -2.60 -3.38
75 Tennessee 70.38 -1.73 -4.70 -6.45
76 South Carolina 70.31 -2.51 -5.85 -7.99
77 Richmond 70.28 -2.56 -5.59 -7.40
78 Oregon St. 70.00 -1.88 -4.38 -5.79
79 Pittsburgh 69.73 -1.96 -4.87 -6.55
80 Clemson 69.71 -2.00 -4.87 -6.54
81 Western Kentucky 69.67 -1.46 -3.70 -4.95
82 Massachusetts 69.36 -1.90 -5.16 -7.17
83 Illinois St. 69.23 -2.58 -5.25 -6.74
84 Louisiana Tech 69.13 -1.73 -3.43 -4.30
85 Bowling Green 68.91 -1.65 -3.36 -4.26
86 Minnesota 68.54 -3.01 -5.90 -7.56
87 Washington 68.44 -2.18 -4.58 -5.89
88 Penn St. 68.26 -2.36 -5.11 -6.67
89 Vanderbilt 67.66 -3.15 -6.32 -8.26
90 William & Mary 66.58 -2.53 -4.74 -5.97
91 La Salle 66.53 -2.86 -5.78 -7.50
92 Memphis 66.53 -2.77 -5.33 -6.78
93 Eastern Washington 66.20 -1.59 -3.33 -4.25
94 Arizona St. 66.03 -3.89 -7.19 -9.20
95 Pepperdine 66.01 -3.22 -6.03 -7.63
96 Colorado 65.92 -3.34 -6.45 -8.33
97 UC Davis 65.89 -1.40 -2.76 -3.45
98 Georgia Tech 65.89 -3.45 -6.85 -9.01
99 Evansville 65.71 -2.38 -4.71 -5.96
100 Central Michigan 65.71 -1.63 -2.87 -3.50
101 Nebraska 65.69 -3.05 -5.92 -7.58
102 UTEP 65.60 -2.66 -4.85 -6.03
103 Connecticut 65.58 -3.26 -6.00 -7.60
104 Toledo 65.35 -2.99 -5.47 -6.84
105 Akron 64.89 -2.43 -4.26 -5.22
106 Kent St. 64.83 -2.31 -4.20 -5.19
107 DePaul 64.77 -3.69 -7.52 -9.87
108 UNLV 64.69 -3.02 -5.88 -7.55
109 TCU 64.28 -3.28 -5.19 -6.19
110 Georgia St. 63.98 -2.99 -5.03 -6.11
111 High Point 63.90 -2.23 -4.15 -5.17
112 Northeastern 63.80 -2.99 -5.50 -6.86
113 New Mexico 63.48 -3.10 -5.09 -6.14
114 Sam Houston St. 63.43 -2.38 -3.76 -4.45
115 Georgia Southern 63.30 -1.77 -2.94 -3.53
116 UC Irvine 62.92 -3.37 -5.65 -6.92
117 South Dakota St. 62.39 -3.22 -5.17 -6.18
118 Marquette 62.22 -4.12 -7.30 -9.25
119 California 61.43 -3.47 -6.18 -7.70
120 North Carolina Central 60.41 -2.92 -4.52 -5.34
121 Cleveland St. 60.18 -4.36 -7.09 -8.65
122 Wake Forest 59.68 -5.04 -8.33 -10.28
123 Florida St. 59.65 -4.33 -7.09 -8.66
124 Western Michigan 59.53 -3.56 -5.76 -6.98
125 Radford 59.32 -3.26 -5.18 -6.18
126 Belmont 58.57 -3.27 -5.18 -6.19
127 Florida Gulf Coast 58.16 -3.43 -5.26 -6.22
128 Loyola Chicago 57.88 -4.10 -6.51 -7.86
129 Eastern Michigan 57.63 -3.53 -5.28 -6.22
130 Boston College 57.46 -4.78 -7.70 -9.45
131 San Diego 56.92 -5.26 -8.08 -9.66
132 Oakland 56.31 -5.00 -8.23 -10.21
133 Eastern Kentucky 56.17 -4.69 -6.84 -8.01
134 Rutgers 56.06 -5.43 -9.30 -11.75
135 Auburn 55.97 -4.75 -7.68 -9.44
136 Rider 55.54 -4.72 -6.91 -8.06
137 Stony Brook 55.54 -4.63 -6.85 -8.03
138 Albany 55.39 -3.87 -5.50 -6.33
139 Creighton 55.20 -6.01 -9.30 -11.27
140 Washington St. 55.20 -4.65 -7.65 -9.43
141 Portland 55.11 -4.75 -7.30 -8.75
142 St. Bonaventure 55.05 -4.28 -6.17 -7.17
143 Cal Poly 54.57 -4.68 -7.20 -8.69
144 UAB 54.40 -5.46 -8.15 -9.69
145 Lafayette 53.79 -4.28 -6.18 -7.18
146 UNC Wilmington 53.66 -4.46 -6.72 -7.96
147 Tennessee Martin 53.49 -4.39 -6.23 -7.20
148 Gardner Webb 53.49 -4.41 -6.69 -7.95
149 UC Santa Barbara 53.34 -5.25 -7.96 -9.58
150 Sacramento St. 53.27 -3.32 -4.72 -5.43
151 Northwestern 53.13 -6.04 -8.92 -10.57
152 James Madison 53.11 -5.15 -7.59 -8.91
153 Utah St. 53.06 -5.46 -7.73 -8.97
154 Hawaii 52.69 -4.57 -6.35 -7.26
155 Middle Tennessee 52.60 -5.20 -7.59 -8.90
156 Eastern Illinois 52.41 -4.63 -6.84 -8.03
157 Texas Southern 52.25 -5.44 -8.16 -9.69
158 Norfolk St. 52.21 -5.10 -7.10 -8.15
159 East Tennessee St. 52.13 -4.29 -6.17 -7.18
160 Oral Roberts 52.05 -5.12 -7.54 -8.88
161 Texas Tech 51.86 -5.57 -8.24 -9.73
162 Chattanooga 51.78 -4.62 -6.37 -7.28
163 Incarnate Word 51.46 -3.34 -4.69 -5.41
164 Santa Clara 51.34 -5.64 -8.64 -10.43
165 Mississippi St. 51.00 -5.87 -8.39 -9.81
166 USC 50.91 -6.02 -8.88 -10.55
167 North Dakota St. 50.81 -4.22 -5.68 -6.42
168 Charlotte 50.76 -6.27 -9.03 -10.63
169 New Mexico St. 50.50 -6.06 -8.07 -9.13
170 Coastal Carolina 50.43 -4.29 -5.71 -6.43
171 Missouri 50.37 -5.78 -9.32 -11.70
172 Canisius 50.06 -5.33 -7.22 -8.20
173 UT Arlington 49.92 -5.04 -7.05 -8.12
174 Hofstra 49.85 -5.69 -7.42 -8.30
175 Tulane 49.69 -5.29 -7.19 -8.19
176 Saint Joseph’s 49.36 -6.44 -9.14 -10.68
177 American 48.93 -5.68 -7.87 -9.04
178 North Florida 48.79 -6.04 -8.06 -9.13
179 Wright St. 48.74 -6.26 -9.03 -10.62
180 Louisiana Monroe 48.55 -4.59 -6.33 -7.25
181 NJIT 48.16 -6.13 -8.13 -9.16
182 St. Francis NY 48.01 -5.74 -7.44 -8.31
183 St. Francis PA 47.95 -5.29 -7.18 -8.18
184 Columbia 47.79 -4.86 -6.47 -7.31
185 Mount St. Mary’s 47.40 -6.16 -8.57 -9.89
186 USC Upstate 47.25 -4.75 -5.95 -6.54
187 Indiana St. 46.51 -6.92 -9.44 -10.83
188 Detroit 45.49 -7.54 -10.22 -11.72
189 Bucknell 45.31 -6.74 -8.90 -10.06
190 Virginia Tech 45.21 -7.76 -10.35 -11.79
191 San Francisco 45.19 -8.55 -11.65 -13.44
192 Robert Morris 44.45 -6.88 -8.98 -10.09
193 Army 44.38 -4.63 -5.89 -6.51
194 George Mason 44.31 -6.71 -9.62 -11.39
195 Lehigh 44.05 -6.23 -8.15 -9.17
196 FIU 43.83 -6.10 -8.07 -9.13
197 Louisiana Lafayette 43.81 -6.53 -8.31 -9.24
198 Montana 43.72 -5.95 -7.52 -8.34
199 Cornell 43.37 -6.42 -8.24 -9.21
200 Vermont 43.34 -7.04 -8.60 -9.38
201 Maryland Eastern Shore 43.13 -7.20 -9.17 -10.19
202 Monmouth 42.96 -7.22 -9.18 -10.19
203 Fresno St. 42.16 -7.14 -9.54 -10.87
204 Northern Arizona 42.03 -6.94 -8.99 -10.09
205 Manhattan 41.93 -6.72 -8.43 -9.30
206 Charleston Southern 41.77 -5.93 -7.52 -8.34
207 Quinnipiac 41.64 -6.89 -8.51 -9.34
208 Mercer 41.40 -7.34 -9.22 -10.20
209 Northwestern St. 40.98 -5.82 -7.44 -8.30
210 Saint Louis 40.90 -7.40 -9.70 -10.96
211 Colgate 40.79 -8.40 -10.72 -11.97
212 Dartmouth 40.76 -6.71 -8.39 -9.28
213 Loyola Marymount 40.73 -8.30 -11.80 -13.99
214 New Hampshire 40.14 -6.30 -7.72 -8.43
215 Bryant 40.12 -7.24 -9.17 -10.18
216 Western Carolina 39.91 -7.75 -9.90 -11.05
217 UCF 39.80 -7.29 -9.62 -10.91
218 Delaware St. 39.31 -7.54 -9.77 -10.98
219 Missouri St. 39.20 -7.94 -10.42 -11.81
220 Pacific 39.20 -7.75 -10.30 -11.75
221 UNC Asheville 38.47 -7.31 -9.18 -10.18
222 IUPUI 38.27 -8.56 -11.23 -12.73
223 Saint Peter’s 38.02 -8.99 -11.05 -12.13
224 Winthrop 37.91 -7.18 -8.65 -9.40
225 Northern Illinois 37.83 -7.17 -9.09 -10.14
226 IPFW 37.47 -7.46 -9.27 -10.22
227 Ohio 37.40 -7.83 -9.92 -11.05
228 Milwaukee 37.35 -8.52 -11.19 -12.70
229 UC Riverside 36.96 -7.32 -9.19 -10.19
230 Northern Colorado 36.75 -6.46 -7.79 -8.47
231 Morehead St. 36.66 -9.33 -11.67 -12.95
232 South Florida 36.47 -8.74 -11.70 -13.46
233 Denver 36.38 -8.84 -10.96 -12.08
234 Alabama St. 36.19 -4.53 -5.32 -5.70
235 Florida Atlantic 36.09 -7.18 -9.08 -10.13
236 Portland St. 35.91 -6.34 -7.73 -8.44
237 Hartford 35.84 -7.68 -9.41 -10.29
238 McNeese St. 35.83 -6.88 -8.89 -10.03
239 Appalachian St. 35.58 -7.37 -9.22 -10.20
240 Princeton 35.57 -7.23 -8.67 -9.41
241 Towson 35.50 -8.48 -10.30 -11.24
242 Texas St. 35.26 -6.90 -8.49 -9.32
243 East Carolina 35.05 -8.10 -10.07 -11.13
244 Elon 34.81 -8.30 -10.20 -11.19
245 South Dakota 34.81 -9.01 -11.05 -12.13
246 Howard 34.66 -7.14 -8.63 -9.39
247 Ball St. 34.64 -7.91 -9.94 -11.06
248 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 34.28 -6.63 -7.89 -8.51
249 UTSA 34.26 -7.32 -8.72 -9.43
250 Weber St. 34.09 -8.06 -10.05 -11.12
251 Drake 33.74 -9.07 -12.27 -14.23
252 Boston University 33.55 -8.77 -10.90 -12.05
253 Houston 33.30 -8.69 -10.41 -11.29
254 Northern Kentucky 33.18 -8.78 -10.90 -12.05
255 Tennessee Tech 33.17 -9.06 -11.07 -12.13
256 Penn 33.05 -7.46 -9.24 -10.21
257 Loyola MD 33.01 -8.35 -10.23 -11.21
258 Siena 32.76 -8.57 -10.35 -11.26
259 Drexel 32.61 -8.84 -10.94 -12.07
260 Miami OH 32.19 -9.00 -11.02 -12.11
261 Arkansas St. 32.14 -8.53 -10.32 -11.25
262 Southern Illinois 31.42 -10.08 -12.09 -13.15
263 Brown 31.29 -8.43 -10.25 -11.21
264 North Texas 31.03 -7.84 -9.47 -10.31
265 Cal St. Fullerton 30.77 -8.86 -10.94 -12.06
266 Southeast Missouri St. 30.73 -8.75 -10.43 -11.30
267 UMass Lowell 30.65 -9.10 -11.09 -12.14
268 Duquesne 30.56 -9.06 -11.05 -12.12
269 Southern 30.54 -9.24 -11.16 -12.17
270 Lamar 30.45 -7.91 -9.50 -10.33
271 Grand Canyon 30.11 -8.45 -9.80 -10.47
272 Idaho 30.04 -8.07 -9.58 -10.36
273 Lipscomb 29.91 -8.63 -10.36 -11.27
274 Holy Cross 29.63 -8.68 -10.39 -11.28
275 Youngstown St. 29.58 -10.41 -12.72 -13.97
276 Seattle 28.64 -7.73 -8.93 -9.53
277 Air Force 28.57 -9.11 -10.62 -11.38
278 College of Charleston 27.81 -11.85 -14.42 -15.82
279 North Dakota 27.66 -8.79 -10.88 -12.03
280 Sacred Heart 27.42 -10.75 -12.44 -13.31
281 Fordham 27.25 -9.14 -11.49 -12.84
282 UMKC 27.14 -10.18 -12.13 -13.16
283 Bradley 27.04 -11.23 -13.62 -14.92
284 SIU Edwardsville 26.95 -9.30 -10.72 -11.43
285 Arkansas Little Rock 26.90 -9.95 -11.54 -12.35
286 Utah Valley 26.71 -8.93 -10.52 -11.34
287 Navy 26.54 -10.38 -12.25 -13.22
288 Cal St. Northridge 26.25 -11.47 -14.18 -15.70
289 Wagner 25.73 -9.92 -11.52 -12.34
290 LIU Brooklyn 25.21 -10.15 -11.65 -12.40
291 South Carolina St. 25.09 -10.89 -12.99 -14.10
292 Fairleigh Dickinson 24.88 -10.11 -12.09 -13.14
293 Samford 24.82 -11.01 -12.59 -13.38
294 Western Illinois 24.45 -8.95 -10.53 -11.34
295 Houston Baptist 24.38 -7.13 -8.12 -8.61
296 Nebraska Omaha 24.29 -10.22 -11.68 -12.41
297 Campbell 24.21 -11.40 -13.25 -14.22
298 Nevada 24.10 -10.04 -12.02 -13.10
299 Furman 23.75 -10.13 -12.09 -13.14
300 Cal St. Bakersfield 23.55 -11.15 -12.65 -13.40
301 VMI 23.49 -11.08 -13.08 -14.14
302 Delaware 23.44 -11.46 -13.74 -14.97
303 Southeastern Louisiana 23.25 -10.91 -13.40 -14.80
304 Jacksonville St. 23.11 -11.41 -13.27 -14.23
305 South Alabama 23.08 -11.05 -13.05 -14.12
306 Marshall 22.71 -11.24 -13.59 -14.90
307 Fairfield 22.69 -11.39 -13.25 -14.22
308 Hampton 21.60 -11.29 -12.72 -13.44
309 Abilene Christian 21.53 -10.15 -11.64 -12.40
310 Troy 21.26 -9.64 -10.88 -11.51
311 Rice 21.09 -9.83 -11.45 -12.30
312 Kennesaw St. 21.03 -12.28 -14.21 -15.20
313 The Citadel 20.77 -10.03 -11.57 -12.36
314 Texas Pan American 20.32 -10.48 -12.28 -13.23
315 Arkansas Pine Bluff 20.24 -12.52 -14.33 -15.26
316 New Orleans 20.16 -8.54 -10.26 -11.21
317 Austin Peay 20.15 -11.42 -13.26 -14.22
318 Southern Miss 19.95 -10.20 -12.11 -13.14
319 Savannah St. 18.33 -10.64 -13.21 -14.70
320 Niagara 18.16 -12.73 -14.88 -16.04
321 Prairie View A&M 18.04 -12.35 -14.23 -15.21
322 Southern Utah 17.76 -10.76 -12.42 -13.29
323 Longwood 17.63 -13.26 -15.19 -16.19
324 Jackson St. 17.39 -12.91 -14.53 -15.35
325 Coppin St. 17.08 -12.80 -15.35 -16.78
326 Illinois Chicago 16.88 -12.92 -15.42 -16.82
327 Stetson 16.06 -12.16 -13.65 -14.40
328 Nicholls St. 15.32 -9.83 -11.44 -12.29
329 Marist 15.28 -14.12 -16.11 -17.15
330 UNC Greensboro 14.79 -13.73 -15.43 -16.30
331 Morgan St. 14.54 -13.86 -15.97 -17.09
332 North Carolina A&T 14.37 -13.42 -15.27 -16.22
333 Alabama A&M 14.22 -11.38 -12.75 -13.44
334 Montana St. 13.79 -13.03 -15.04 -16.12
335 Tennessee St. 12.88 -13.75 -15.90 -17.05
336 Idaho St. 12.39 -13.74 -15.43 -16.30
337 Chicago St. 12.12 -12.58 -15.20 -16.70
338 Mississippi Valley St. 11.91 -14.42 -16.27 -17.23
339 Presbyterian 11.88 -13.34 -15.21 -16.20
340 Bethune Cookman 11.21 -13.90 -15.03 -15.57
341 Binghamton 10.96 -15.86 -17.98 -19.10
342 Jacksonville 10.65 -14.25 -15.70 -16.43
343 UMBC 9.13 -15.00 -16.57 -17.37
344 Alcorn St. 8.60 -13.45 -14.79 -15.46
345 Maine 8.19 -16.11 -18.56 -19.90
346 Central Connecticut 7.76 -16.82 -18.49 -19.33
347 Liberty 6.79 -14.39 -15.76 -16.45
348 San Jose St. 0.82 -14.34 -16.63 -17.91
349 Central Arkansas 0.75 -16.24 -17.69 -18.42
350 Florida A&M 0.40 -18.88 -20.52 -21.34
351 Grambling St. 0.37 -13.77 -15.42 -16.29
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