WAB 1/30: Now with more Sagarin

I’m going to be running multiple WAB’s in advance of the NCAA release of the top four seed lines (top 16 overall teams). First up is the Sagarin WAB’s (with the KenPom WAB’s for comparison).

The first thing that jumps out at me is that Sagarin is much more respectful towards the Big 12. KenPom has the North Carolina and Oklahoma resumes as being roughly equal. Sagarin strongly disagrees, much preferring Oklahoma’s. Texas and Kansas State see their rank jump five spots. So does Syracuse (woohoo!).

Of all the teams on the positive side of the ledger, Nevada is most hurt by the change in ratings. Ultimately, the differences seem fairly minor. I’m struck by how similar both the ratings and rankings are overall.

Rank KP	School	WAB KP	WAB SAG	Rank SAG
1	Villanova	6.56	6.42	1
2	Virginia	6.07	6.21	2
3	Purdue	5.75	5.91	3
4	Duke	4.8	4.7	4
5	Xavier	4.66	4.67	6
6	Kansas	4.64	4.69	5
7	Auburn	4.33	4.01	7
8	Michigan St.	3.53	3.79	8
9	Clemson	3.52	3.45	9
10	Tennessee	3.14	3.33	11
11	Cincinnati	3.07	3.12	12
12	North Carolina	2.95	2.78	14
13	Oklahoma	2.92	3.42	10
14	Texas Tech	2.72	3.01	13
15	Kentucky	2.62	2.58	17
16	Arizona	2.57	2.68	16
17	West Virginia	2.51	2.7	15
18	Saint Mary’s	2.47	2.2	21
19	Ohio St.	2.4	2.57	18
20	Creighton	2.18	2.49	19
21	Rhode Island	2.08	2.09	23
22	Michigan	2.05	2.23	20
23	Seton Hall	2.05	2.18	22
24	Florida	2.03	1.96	24
25	Gonzaga	1.92	1.84	27
26	Louisville	1.76	1.86	26
27	Miami FL	1.72	1.75	29
28	Wichita St.	1.67	1.93	25
29	New Mexico St.	1.66	1.57	30
30	Nevada	1.65	1.24	36
31	Florida St.	1.59	1.78	28
32	Butler	1.35	1.25	35
33	Arkansas	1.28	1.14	37
34	Arizona St.	1.23	1.54	31
35	Boise St.	1.2	1.08	38
36	TCU	1.13	1.38	32
37	Middle Tennessee	1.11	0.66	40
38	Texas	0.97	1.38	33
39	Kansas St.	0.91	1.36	34
40	Louisiana Lafayette	0.73	0.57	41
41	Virginia Tech	0.52	0.52	42
42	Nebraska	0.45	0.86	39
43	East Tennessee St.	0.43	0.29	46
44	Texas A&M	0.37	0.39	44
45	Houston	0.35	0.52	43
46	Loyola Chicago	0.33	0.16	49
47	North Carolina St.	0.26	0.15	50
48	Alabama	0.25	0.18	48
49	USC	0.19	0.19	47
50	Syracuse	0.09	0.33	45
51	Marquette	0.03	0.14	51
52	Providence	0	-0.01	52
53	Washington	-0.03	-0.05	53
54	Buffalo	-0.13	-0.28	55
55	Vermont	-0.15	-0.16	54
56	BYU	-0.19	-0.47	58
57	Western Kentucky	-0.33	-0.65	62
58	Mississippi St.	-0.42	-0.49	59
59	Maryland	-0.45	-0.29	56
60	Utah	-0.48	-0.36	57
61	St. Bonaventure	-0.55	-0.49	60
62	Boston College	-0.58	-0.75	64
63	Old Dominion	-0.81	-0.96	67
64	Georgia	-0.81	-0.92	66
65	South Dakota St.	-0.81	-0.91	65
66	Missouri	-0.82	-0.96	68
67	UCLA	-0.84	-0.69	63
68	Oklahoma St.	-0.89	-0.53	61
69	Stephen F. Austin	-0.97	-1.19	69
70	Wyoming	-1.09	-1.66	78
71	South Carolina	-1.25	-1.48	73
72	UC Santa Barbara	-1.28	-1.5	75
73	Belmont	-1.28	-1.61	77
74	Montana	-1.29	-1.67	79
75	SMU	-1.35	-1.34	72
76	LSU	-1.38	-1.33	71
77	Wright St.	-1.4	-1.82	83
78	Murray St.	-1.56	-1.98	87
79	Utah Valley	-1.56	-2	88
80	Temple	-1.59	-1.93	85
81	Notre Dame	-1.65	-1.49	74
82	UCF	-1.66	-1.53	76
83	Baylor	-1.67	-1.25	70
84	Minnesota	-1.93	-1.74	81
85	Oregon	-1.93	-1.88	84
86	Toledo	-1.97	-1.93	86
87	South Dakota	-1.99	-2.09	91
88	Wofford	-2.04	-2.18	92
89	Iowa St.	-2.11	-2.06	90
90	Penn St.	-2.12	-1.81	82
91	Indiana	-2.21	-1.7	80
92	Northwestern	-2.24	-2.05	89
93	UNLV	-2.26	-2.33	94
94	Bradley	-2.26	-2.77	105
95	San Diego	-2.28	-2.73	103
96	UNC Greensboro	-2.29	-2.45	96
97	Georgetown	-2.35	-2.29	93
98	Rider	-2.36	-2.42	95
99	Memphis	-2.4	-2.56	100
100	Marshall	-2.4	-2.77	106
101	VCU	-2.56	-2.62	101
102	Furman	-2.56	-2.82	108
103	College of Charleston	-2.6	-2.55	98
104	William & Mary	-2.64	-2.72	102
105	Bucknell	-2.71	-2.45	97
106	UC Davis	-2.75	-3.38	117
107	Connecticut	-2.78	-2.55	99
108	Penn	-2.82	-2.73	104
109	Wagner	-2.82	-2.94	109
110	Mississippi	-2.83	-3.14	112
111	San Diego St.	-2.84	-3.18	113
112	Fresno St.	-2.91	-3.03	110
113	Georgia St.	-2.93	-3.05	111
114	Colorado	-2.98	-2.77	107
115	Lipscomb	-3.03	-3.24	114
116	Northern Kentucky	-3.11	-3.38	118
117	Hawaii	-3.12	-3.4	121
118	Georgia Southern	-3.15	-3.38	119
119	Tulane	-3.33	-3.27	115
120	Oakland	-3.35	-3.55	123
121	Missouri St.	-3.35	-3.94	131
122	Grand Canyon	-3.4	-3.66	125
123	Northeastern	-3.41	-3.38	120
124	Southern Illinois	-3.45	-3.96	132
125	Ball St.	-3.54	-3.31	116
126	Cal St. Fullerton	-3.59	-3.99	133
127	Princeton	-3.64	-3.64	124
128	Jacksonville St.	-3.65	-3.89	129
129	Albany	-3.66	-3.52	122
130	Portland St.	-3.7	-3.87	128
131	Hofstra	-3.72	-3.91	130
132	Northern Colorado	-3.72	-4.4	147
133	UMBC	-3.77	-3.81	126
134	Stanford	-3.83	-3.83	127
135	UNC Asheville	-3.83	-4.28	140
136	Idaho	-3.92	-4.37	145
137	Tennessee Tech	-3.92	-4.01	134
138	Florida Gulf Coast	-3.95	-4.1	136
139	Weber St.	-3.96	-4.47	149
140	UAB	-3.99	-4.39	146
141	Georgia Tech	-4.06	-4.23	138
142	St. John’s	-4.14	-4.09	135
143	Evansville	-4.17	-4.66	153
144	Davidson	-4.17	-4.22	137
145	Seattle	-4.18	-4.55	150
146	Iona	-4.23	-4.35	143
147	Louisiana Tech	-4.32	-4.83	158
148	Wisconsin	-4.4	-4.46	148
149	Northern Iowa	-4.43	-4.76	155
150	Illinois	-4.44	-4.28	141
151	Vanderbilt	-4.46	-4.9	159
152	Rutgers	-4.46	-4.34	142
153	Radford	-4.47	-4.65	152
154	Oregon St.	-4.53	-4.27	139
155	Tulsa	-4.56	-4.36	144
156	Winthrop	-4.58	-4.81	157
157	Towson	-4.61	-4.59	151
158	Illinois St.	-4.62	-5.26	166
159	Iowa	-4.66	-4.66	154
160	New Mexico	-4.7	-5.03	160
161	Utah St.	-4.71	-5.1	161
162	St. Francis PA	-4.94	-5.11	163
163	DePaul	-5.09	-4.76	156
164	North Dakota St.	-5.09	-5.43	170
165	Southeastern Louisiana	-5.11	-5.31	167
166	Wake Forest	-5.12	-5.38	168
167	Niagara	-5.14	-5.1	162
168	UT Arlington	-5.18	-5.42	169
169	Nicholls St.	-5.3	-5.76	180
170	Canisius	-5.3	-5.51	172
171	Duquesne	-5.31	-5.23	165
172	Elon	-5.33	-5.55	174
173	Brown	-5.33	-5.14	164
174	Washington St.	-5.43	-5.45	171
175	Austin Peay	-5.44	-5.67	178
176	North Texas	-5.47	-5.76	181
177	Southern Miss	-5.5	-6.05	192
178	Drake	-5.52	-5.81	183
179	Western Michigan	-5.53	-5.64	176
180	New Orleans	-5.57	-5.78	182
181	Central Michigan	-5.58	-5.57	175
182	Robert Morris	-5.59	-5.97	189
183	Eastern Michigan	-5.65	-5.64	177
184	Dayton	-5.65	-5.93	188
185	Savannah St.	-5.69	-5.98	190
186	Harvard	-5.71	-5.54	173
187	Fort Wayne	-5.73	-5.9	186
188	San Francisco	-5.73	-6.18	195
189	North Carolina A&T	-5.75	-5.89	184
190	Long Beach St.	-5.81	-5.89	185
191	George Washington	-5.89	-5.74	179
192	Miami OH	-5.91	-6.08	193
193	Texas St.	-5.94	-6.23	197
194	Colgate	-6	-5.9	187
195	Saint Louis	-6.01	-6.04	191
196	Bowling Green	-6.09	-6.23	198
197	Eastern Washington	-6.12	-6.71	208
198	Kent St.	-6.13	-6.33	200
199	Pacific	-6.21	-6.75	210
200	Navy	-6.24	-6.12	194
201	Cornell	-6.28	-6.42	201
202	Colorado St.	-6.28	-6.5	203
203	UTSA	-6.3	-6.73	209
204	Saint Joseph’s	-6.38	-6.2	196
205	Sam Houston St.	-6.4	-6.57	205
206	Abilene Christian	-6.49	-6.65	206
207	Yale	-6.5	-6.24	199
208	Akron	-6.5	-6.46	202
209	Indiana St.	-6.61	-7.19	222
210	La Salle	-6.66	-6.55	204
211	Idaho St.	-6.73	-7.11	219
212	Lamar	-6.74	-6.89	214
213	Army	-6.78	-6.65	207
214	UT Rio Grande Valley	-6.8	-6.87	213
215	Montana St.	-6.82	-7.29	228
216	Pittsburgh	-6.83	-6.77	211
217	Tennessee St.	-6.87	-7.07	217
218	Gardner Webb	-6.89	-7.11	220
219	Florida Atlantic	-6.9	-7.09	218
220	Boston University	-6.95	-6.77	212
221	Ohio	-7.01	-7.22	225
222	Valparaiso	-7.01	-7.21	224
223	Illinois Chicago	-7.05	-7.19	223
224	Western Illinois	-7.07	-7.14	221
225	Richmond	-7.08	-7.28	227
226	Central Arkansas	-7.1	-6.96	216
227	Massachusetts	-7.11	-6.95	215
228	Western Carolina	-7.18	-7.37	230
229	Liberty	-7.18	-7.47	232
230	UC Irvine	-7.19	-7.91	240
231	George Mason	-7.23	-7.26	226
232	Mercer	-7.23	-7.58	234
233	Louisiana Monroe	-7.25	-7.38	231
234	Southern Utah	-7.28	-7.67	238
235	South Alabama	-7.3	-7.53	233
236	Hartford	-7.37	-7.58	235
237	Campbell	-7.53	-7.64	236
238	North Carolina Central	-7.56	-7.67	239
239	Northern Illinois	-7.56	-7.36	229
240	McNeese St.	-7.64	-7.91	241
241	Mount St. Mary’s	-7.69	-7.66	237
242	Texas Southern	-7.87	-8.01	243
243	Denver	-7.93	-8.27	246
244	Central Connecticut	-8.01	-8.03	244
245	Air Force	-8.04	-8.34	250
246	East Carolina	-8.09	-7.99	242
247	High Point	-8.12	-8.29	248
248	Cal St. Bakersfield	-8.13	-8.41	251
249	North Florida	-8.2	-8.21	245
250	NJIT	-8.27	-8.28	247
251	Troy	-8.29	-8.66	258
252	North Dakota	-8.32	-9.01	262
253	Manhattan	-8.36	-8.29	249
254	Delaware	-8.45	-8.49	253
255	Southern	-8.53	-8.41	252
256	Grambling St.	-8.53	-8.58	255
257	Oral Roberts	-8.56	-8.65	256
258	Bethune Cookman	-8.64	-8.71	259
259	Fairfield	-8.65	-8.95	260
260	California	-8.69	-8.52	254
261	Portland	-8.7	-9.05	264
262	Monmouth	-8.71	-8.65	257
263	Southeast Missouri St.	-8.82	-9.28	270
264	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	-8.86	-9.08	266
265	Prairie View A&M	-9.03	-9.32	272
266	Columbia	-9.03	-8.98	261
267	South Florida	-9.05	-9.08	267
268	Santa Clara	-9.11	-9.41	273
269	Fordham	-9.13	-9.03	263
270	Saint Peter’s	-9.13	-9.1	268
271	Stony Brook	-9.18	-9.15	269
272	Lehigh	-9.2	-9.07	265
273	SIU Edwardsville	-9.22	-9.52	275
274	Jacksonville	-9.23	-9.31	271
275	Coastal Carolina	-9.26	-9.52	276
276	Hampton	-9.33	-9.52	277
277	Eastern Illinois	-9.4	-9.83	283
278	The Citadel	-9.41	-9.71	280
279	Jackson St.	-9.43	-9.47	274
280	UTEP	-9.46	-10.07	288
281	Charleston Southern	-9.48	-9.66	279
282	IUPUI	-9.57	-9.77	282
283	New Hampshire	-9.62	-9.62	278
284	Milwaukee	-9.72	-9.71	281
285	Loyola Marymount	-9.74	-10.1	290
286	Nebraska Omaha	-9.8	-10.06	287
287	Morehead St.	-9.85	-10.23	294
288	Sacramento St.	-9.9	-10.54	298
289	Dartmouth	-9.93	-9.85	284
290	Quinnipiac	-9.94	-9.97	285
291	Samford	-9.96	-10.25	295
292	Appalachian St.	-9.98	-10.04	286
293	Arkansas St.	-9.99	-10.12	291
294	Fairleigh Dickinson	-10.02	-10.09	289
295	St. Francis NY	-10.12	-10.13	292
296	Drexel	-10.17	-10.26	296
297	Incarnate Word	-10.27	-10.53	297
298	Morgan St.	-10.32	-10.2	293
299	Eastern Kentucky	-10.38	-10.94	309
300	VMI	-10.39	-10.55	299
301	FIU	-10.44	-10.66	303
302	Arkansas Pine Bluff	-10.47	-10.73	306
303	Presbyterian	-10.5	-10.76	307
304	UMass Lowell	-10.53	-10.64	301
305	Binghamton	-10.54	-10.6	300
306	Charlotte	-10.56	-10.78	308
307	South Carolina St.	-10.77	-10.71	305
308	Alcorn St.	-10.83	-10.66	304
309	LIU Brooklyn	-10.85	-11	310
310	UNC Wilmington	-10.86	-11.04	311
311	Loyola MD	-10.87	-10.65	302
312	Tennessee Martin	-10.87	-11.12	312
313	Cal Poly	-11	-11.15	313
314	Green Bay	-11.2	-11.31	314
315	Chattanooga	-11.44	-11.76	316
316	UC Riverside	-11.53	-12.14	321
317	Siena	-11.63	-11.57	315
318	Detroit	-11.84	-12.16	322
319	American	-11.91	-11.91	317
320	Stetson	-11.99	-12.11	319
321	Houston Baptist	-12.06	-12.11	320
322	Holy Cross	-12.09	-11.94	318
323	UMKC	-12.13	-12.5	323
324	San Jose St.	-12.23	-12.65	326
325	Norfolk St.	-12.35	-12.76	328
326	Sacred Heart	-12.4	-12.54	325
327	Kennesaw St.	-12.41	-12.5	324
328	Pepperdine	-12.46	-12.87	329
329	Youngstown St.	-12.49	-12.74	327
330	Little Rock	-12.56	-13.11	334
331	Rice	-12.6	-12.97	330
332	James Madison	-12.76	-12.97	331
333	Cal St. Northridge	-12.95	-13.34	336
334	Northwestern St.	-13.01	-13.1	333
335	Northern Arizona	-13.02	-13.45	338
336	Lafayette	-13.14	-13.02	332
337	Florida A&M	-13.28	-13.48	340
338	Howard	-13.35	-13.28	335
339	Cleveland St.	-13.41	-13.42	337
340	Longwood	-13.52	-13.73	342
341	Marist	-13.6	-13.72	341
342	Coppin St.	-13.69	-13.47	339
343	Maine	-13.81	-13.82	343
344	Alabama St.	-13.87	-13.93	345
345	Maryland Eastern Shore	-13.88	-13.86	344
346	Chicago St.	-14.41	-14.51	347
347	USC Upstate	-14.43	-14.45	346
348	Alabama A&M	-15.63	-15.64	348
349	Mississippi Valley St.	-15.71	-15.94	349
350	Bryant	-16.75	-16.76	350
351	Delaware St.	-17.48	-17.7	351