NCAA Wins Above Bubble

At this point we’re far enough along in the season to release the current WAB records:

(WAB is the amount of wins you have > than the amount of wins an average bubble team would expect to have against the schedule you faced).

(Bubble Percentile is the where you stand relative to 10,000 bubble teams who played your schedule.)

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Oklahoma 5.31 99.88%
2 Villanova 5.16 99.74%
3 Texas A&M 4.99 99.65%
4 SMU 4.94 99.93%
5 Xavier 4.58 99.42%
6 North Carolina 4.47 99.25%
7 Iowa 4.13 98.81%
8 Maryland 4.10 98.72%
9 Kansas 4.03 98.72%
10 Dayton 3.78 97.88%
11 Michigan St. 3.57 98.25%
12 West Virginia 3.52 98.27%
13 USC 3.37 96.93%
14 Providence 3.35 96.48%
15 Purdue 3.34 96.82%
16 South Carolina 3.34 98.07%
17 Iowa St. 3.21 96.18%
18 Miami FL 3.18 96.15%
19 Virginia 3.18 96.35%
20 Pittsburgh 2.89 94.90%
21 Baylor 2.54 92.52%
22 Arizona 2.49 90.89%
23 Saint Joseph’s 2.44 92.25%
24 Indiana 2.41 90.84%
25 Duke 2.28 87.41%
26 Oregon 2.19 88.20%
27 Saint Mary’s 1.93 88.38%
28 Texas Tech 1.78 83.01%
29 Louisville 1.77 83.80%
30 Colorado 1.72 83.42%
31 Kentucky 1.71 82.29%
32 Hawaii 1.66 86.36%
33 Gonzaga 1.63 82.11%
34 Texas 1.34 76.33%
35 Utah 1.29 75.68%
36 Butler 1.27 75.74%
37 Grand Canyon 1.25 78.55%
38 Notre Dame 1.20 74.60%
39 Seton Hall 1.11 73.30%
40 Michigan 1.11 73.27%
41 Florida 1.06 70.23%
42 George Washington 1.00 70.74%
43 UCLA 0.94 68.52%
44 Florida St. 0.90 69.27%
45 Evansville 0.83 67.58%
46 Valparaiso 0.81 67.23%
47 Stanford 0.70 64.76%
48 Washington 0.64 62.60%
49 Oregon St. 0.62 63.73%
50 Connecticut 0.48 59.72%
51 Northwestern 0.33 56.58%
52 Wichita St. 0.32 56.78%
53 Arkansas Little Rock 0.28 55.40%
54 VCU 0.19 53.19%
55 Monmouth 0.16 52.49%
56 Kansas St. 0.14 52.63%
57 Syracuse 0.10 51.28%
58 Chattanooga 0.09 50.23%
59 Cincinnati 0.05 50.59%
60 Clemson 0.05 50.77%
61 Marquette 0.03 49.96%
62 Wake Forest 0.03 50.48%
63 Southern Illinois 0.02 48.69%
64 Boise St. -0.01 48.99%
65 Tulsa -0.02 48.69%
66 Arizona St. -0.05 48.26%
67 California -0.06 47.81%
68 Georgia Tech -0.06 48.06%
69 Creighton -0.07 47.77%
70 Georgetown -0.09 47.61%
71 Georgia -0.13 46.64%
72 Memphis -0.18 44.63%
73 Virginia Tech -0.22 44.26%
74 UAB -0.23 41.97%
75 Davidson -0.41 39.86%
76 Northern Illinois -0.54 33.84%
77 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -0.61 31.44%
78 San Diego St. -0.65 34.50%
79 Vanderbilt -0.67 35.73%
80 James Madison -0.69 33.68%
81 UC Irvine -0.72 32.87%
82 Akron -0.74 30.62%
83 Alabama -0.79 32.82%
84 Ohio St. -0.84 32.44%
85 Houston -0.88 28.97%
86 Mississippi -0.91 29.77%
87 UT Arlington -0.98 22.55%
88 Wisconsin -1.08 29.05%
89 St. Bonaventure -1.08 24.97%
90 William & Mary -1.14 24.15%
91 Georgia St. -1.14 21.99%
92 Princeton -1.14 20.64%
93 LSU -1.21 25.86%
94 Stony Brook -1.24 19.03%
95 North Carolina St. -1.40 22.76%
96 Mercer -1.41 17.11%
97 Richmond -1.51 19.47%
98 Temple -1.61 17.80%
99 Oklahoma St. -1.62 18.53%
100 Rhode Island -1.71 16.44%
101 BYU -1.71 16.90%
102 Kent St. -1.75 13.38%
103 UNLV -1.76 15.80%
104 Middle Tennessee -1.84 11.68%
105 Nebraska -1.85 14.34%
106 South Dakota St. -1.91 11.83%
107 IPFW -1.92 11.49%
108 Louisiana Tech -1.98 10.09%
109 Navy -1.99 8.76%
110 Auburn -2.06 13.39%
111 Duquesne -2.07 11.13%
112 Yale -2.25 6.15%
113 Tennessee St. -2.29 4.41%
114 Arkansas -2.29 11.08%
115 Tennessee -2.32 10.85%
116 Hofstra -2.35 8.16%
117 Belmont -2.42 6.76%
118 Penn St. -2.42 9.97%
119 UNC Wilmington -2.42 5.38%
120 Fresno St. -2.42 8.55%
121 Ohio -2.52 6.84%
122 Washington St. -2.54 7.09%
123 Northeastern -2.61 5.86%
124 Weber St. -2.64 3.58%
125 Albany -2.68 3.60%
126 UNC Asheville -2.72 5.01%
127 Illinois -2.78 7.69%
128 Elon -2.81 5.78%
129 Ball St. -2.84 3.52%
130 North Florida -2.86 3.73%
131 New Mexico -2.96 6.27%
132 Utah St. -2.99 3.55%
133 Stephen F. Austin -3.00 1.72%
134 UCF -3.04 2.27%
135 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.05 1.53%
136 TCU -3.06 3.87%
137 Milwaukee -3.06 2.88%
138 Columbia -3.07 2.89%
139 College of Charleston -3.07 3.54%
140 Fordham -3.07 2.83%
141 Towson -3.10 2.39%
142 North Dakota St. -3.10 2.39%
143 Pepperdine -3.17 2.98%
144 Indiana St. -3.33 3.17%
145 Toledo -3.36 1.79%
146 Tennessee Tech -3.36 1.49%
147 Bowling Green -3.41 1.31%
148 Siena -3.48 1.98%
149 Montana -3.52 0.76%
150 East Tennessee St. -3.54 1.57%
151 Florida Gulf Coast -3.60 1.54%
152 Missouri -3.62 2.70%
153 High Point -3.70 0.93%
154 Army -3.75 0.50%
155 Green Bay -3.77 1.11%
156 Colorado St. -3.88 1.20%
157 Idaho -3.94 0.57%
158 Buffalo -3.98 1.20%
159 Oakland -4.03 0.72%
160 Winthrop -4.04 0.36%
161 Nevada -4.05 0.64%
162 Nebraska Omaha -4.11 0.73%
163 Detroit -4.12 0.77%
164 Western Kentucky -4.17 0.67%
165 Iona -4.30 0.69%
166 Harvard -4.43 0.30%
167 Northern Iowa -4.44 0.62%
168 Eastern Michigan -4.48 0.34%
169 Old Dominion -4.50 0.60%
170 Marshall -4.54 0.59%
171 Wagner -4.55 0.05%
172 Massachusetts -4.59 0.51%
173 New Mexico St. -4.62 0.44%
174 Hampton -4.63 0.09%
175 Mississippi St. -4.63 0.59%
176 Wright St. -4.78 0.31%
177 Arkansas St. -4.85 0.10%
178 UC Santa Barbara -4.86 0.22%
179 Long Beach St. -4.90 0.48%
180 Cal Poly -4.90 0.19%
181 Illinois St. -4.93 0.46%
182 Southern -4.94 0.07%
183 Boston College -4.95 0.24%
184 Incarnate Word -4.95 0.00%
185 Wyoming -4.95 0.26%
186 Houston Baptist -4.96 0.06%
187 Texas St. -5.00 0.00%
188 Cornell -5.08 0.05%
189 Air Force -5.17 0.12%
190 San Francisco -5.22 0.16%
191 UTEP -5.22 0.09%
192 Fairfield -5.28 0.13%
193 Oral Roberts -5.28 0.19%
194 Vermont -5.35 0.12%
195 Saint Louis -5.40 0.14%
196 Morehead St. -5.40 0.04%
197 Samford -5.41 0.04%
198 Radford -5.41 0.09%
199 DePaul -5.43 0.18%
200 Penn -5.43 0.01%
201 Minnesota -5.58 0.19%
202 St. John’s -5.64 0.13%
203 New Hampshire -5.67 0.00%
204 La Salle -5.71 0.02%
205 Louisiana Lafayette -5.75 0.01%
206 Gardner Webb -5.76 0.03%
207 Cal St. Fullerton -5.79 0.01%
208 Missouri St. -5.80 0.06%
209 Central Michigan -5.83 0.04%
210 Saint Peter’s -5.86 0.01%
211 Coastal Carolina -5.89 0.01%
212 Sacramento St. -5.93 0.01%
213 Loyola Marymount -5.93 0.02%
214 Murray St. -6.02 0.05%
215 George Mason -6.03 0.07%
216 Denver -6.05 0.03%
217 NJIT -6.06 0.02%
218 Eastern Kentucky -6.17 0.01%
219 Bucknell -6.21 0.01%
220 East Carolina -6.25 0.04%
221 North Dakota -6.29 0.01%
222 Tulane -6.32 0.03%
223 Boston University -6.33 0.00%
224 Western Illinois -6.35 0.00%
225 Eastern Washington -6.38 0.00%
226 Sam Houston St. -6.50 0.00%
227 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.57 0.00%
228 Rutgers -6.59 0.01%
229 LIU Brooklyn -6.61 0.00%
230 Canisius -6.62 0.01%
231 South Dakota -6.64 0.02%
232 FIU -6.69 0.00%
233 Colgate -6.71 0.00%
234 Tennessee Martin -6.73 0.00%
235 Savannah St. -6.79 0.00%
236 South Alabama -6.83 0.00%
237 Lamar -6.87 0.00%
238 Manhattan -6.90 0.00%
239 UMKC -6.95 0.00%
240 Alabama A&M -7.00 0.00%
241 Loyola Chicago -7.05 0.01%
242 Howard -7.08 0.00%
243 Dartmouth -7.10 0.00%
244 UC Riverside -7.14 0.00%
245 Portland -7.17 0.00%
246 Furman -7.22 0.00%
247 Holy Cross -7.25 0.00%
248 Western Michigan -7.29 0.00%
249 St. Francis PA -7.43 0.00%
250 Seattle -7.46 0.00%
251 Brown -7.49 0.00%
252 The Citadel -7.58 0.00%
253 UC Davis -7.59 0.00%
254 Northern Kentucky -7.60 0.00%
255 Wofford -7.64 0.00%
256 Jackson St. -7.69 0.00%
257 Charleston Southern -7.69 0.00%
258 Utah Valley -7.75 0.00%
259 Western Carolina -7.81 0.00%
260 Troy -7.84 0.00%
261 Presbyterian -7.90 0.00%
262 Santa Clara -7.91 0.00%
263 South Carolina St. -7.92 0.00%
264 Louisiana Monroe -7.94 0.00%
265 Jacksonville -7.96 0.00%
266 Portland St. -8.02 0.00%
267 San Diego -8.03 0.00%
268 Miami OH -8.08 0.00%
269 North Texas -8.09 0.00%
270 Texas Southern -8.10 0.00%
271 Charlotte -8.11 0.00%
272 Lehigh -8.20 0.00%
273 Campbell -8.22 0.00%
274 Mount St. Mary’s -8.25 0.00%
275 Quinnipiac -8.28 0.00%
276 Pacific -8.34 0.00%
277 Delaware -8.34 0.00%
278 Southern Miss -8.39 0.00%
279 Idaho St. -8.41 0.00%
280 Georgia Southern -8.47 0.00%
281 Eastern Illinois -8.47 0.00%
282 Southern Utah -8.51 0.00%
283 Austin Peay -8.54 0.00%
284 Abilene Christian -8.54 0.00%
285 UMass Lowell -8.67 0.00%
286 Cleveland St. -8.67 0.00%
287 Youngstown St. -8.68 0.00%
288 Montana St. -8.70 0.00%
289 Rice -8.71 0.00%
290 Drake -8.72 0.00%
291 Norfolk St. -8.72 0.00%
292 Bryant -8.72 0.00%
293 Rider -8.77 0.00%
294 IUPUI -9.00 0.00%
295 VMI -9.10 0.00%
296 New Orleans -9.11 0.00%
297 McNeese St. -9.16 0.00%
298 Appalachian St. -9.21 0.00%
299 Alabama St. -9.25 0.00%
300 Stetson -9.27 0.00%
301 UNC Greensboro -9.29 0.00%
302 Alcorn St. -9.31 0.00%
303 Maine -9.49 0.00%
304 Cal St. Northridge -9.50 0.00%
305 San Jose St. -9.50 0.00%
306 Kennesaw St. -9.51 0.00%
307 Hartford -9.60 0.00%
308 Lafayette -9.60 0.00%
309 Marist -9.62 0.00%
310 St. Francis NY -9.72 0.00%
311 Grambling St. -9.73 0.00%
312 Loyola MD -9.74 0.00%
313 Northern Colorado -9.76 0.00%
314 South Florida -9.85 0.00%
315 Drexel -9.88 0.00%
316 Central Arkansas -9.88 0.00%
317 SIU Edwardsville -9.94 0.00%
318 Northern Arizona -9.99 0.00%
319 Coppin St. -10.32 0.00%
320 Bradley -10.40 0.00%
321 Northwestern St. -10.41 0.00%
322 USC Upstate -10.51 0.00%
323 Bethune Cookman -10.72 0.00%
324 North Carolina Central -10.77 0.00%
325 UT Rio Grande Valley -10.78 0.00%
326 Binghamton -10.89 0.00%
327 Nicholls St. -10.93 0.00%
328 Florida Atlantic -10.98 0.00%
329 Niagara -11.00 0.00%
330 UTSA -11.20 0.00%
331 Florida A&M -11.44 0.00%
332 UMBC -11.53 0.00%
333 Jacksonville St. -11.65 0.00%
334 Southeastern Louisiana -11.70 0.00%
335 Longwood -11.71 0.00%
336 Illinois Chicago -11.88 0.00%
337 North Carolina A&T -11.93 0.00%
338 Liberty -11.95 0.00%
339 Sacred Heart -12.10 0.00%
340 American -12.26 0.00%
341 Lipscomb -12.32 0.00%
342 Robert Morris -12.35 0.00%
343 Arkansas Pine Bluff -12.52 0.00%
344 Morgan St. -12.63 0.00%
345 Maryland Eastern Shore -12.74 0.00%
346 Southeast Missouri St. -12.80 0.00%
347 Prairie View A&M -13.04 0.00%
348 Chicago St. -13.23 0.00%
349 Delaware St. -13.79 0.00%
350 Central Connecticut -14.17 0.00%
351 Mississippi Valley St. -14.49 0.00%

 

 

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