NCAA Wins Above Bubble
At this point we’re far enough along in the season to release the current WAB records:
(WAB is the amount of wins you have > than the amount of wins an average bubble team would expect to have against the schedule you faced).
(Bubble Percentile is the where you stand relative to 10,000 bubble teams who played your schedule.)
| Rank | School | WAB | Bubble Percentile |
| 1 | Oklahoma | 5.31 | 99.88% |
| 2 | Villanova | 5.16 | 99.74% |
| 3 | Texas A&M | 4.99 | 99.65% |
| 4 | SMU | 4.94 | 99.93% |
| 5 | Xavier | 4.58 | 99.42% |
| 6 | North Carolina | 4.47 | 99.25% |
| 7 | Iowa | 4.13 | 98.81% |
| 8 | Maryland | 4.10 | 98.72% |
| 9 | Kansas | 4.03 | 98.72% |
| 10 | Dayton | 3.78 | 97.88% |
| 11 | Michigan St. | 3.57 | 98.25% |
| 12 | West Virginia | 3.52 | 98.27% |
| 13 | USC | 3.37 | 96.93% |
| 14 | Providence | 3.35 | 96.48% |
| 15 | Purdue | 3.34 | 96.82% |
| 16 | South Carolina | 3.34 | 98.07% |
| 17 | Iowa St. | 3.21 | 96.18% |
| 18 | Miami FL | 3.18 | 96.15% |
| 19 | Virginia | 3.18 | 96.35% |
| 20 | Pittsburgh | 2.89 | 94.90% |
| 21 | Baylor | 2.54 | 92.52% |
| 22 | Arizona | 2.49 | 90.89% |
| 23 | Saint Joseph’s | 2.44 | 92.25% |
| 24 | Indiana | 2.41 | 90.84% |
| 25 | Duke | 2.28 | 87.41% |
| 26 | Oregon | 2.19 | 88.20% |
| 27 | Saint Mary’s | 1.93 | 88.38% |
| 28 | Texas Tech | 1.78 | 83.01% |
| 29 | Louisville | 1.77 | 83.80% |
| 30 | Colorado | 1.72 | 83.42% |
| 31 | Kentucky | 1.71 | 82.29% |
| 32 | Hawaii | 1.66 | 86.36% |
| 33 | Gonzaga | 1.63 | 82.11% |
| 34 | Texas | 1.34 | 76.33% |
| 35 | Utah | 1.29 | 75.68% |
| 36 | Butler | 1.27 | 75.74% |
| 37 | Grand Canyon | 1.25 | 78.55% |
| 38 | Notre Dame | 1.20 | 74.60% |
| 39 | Seton Hall | 1.11 | 73.30% |
| 40 | Michigan | 1.11 | 73.27% |
| 41 | Florida | 1.06 | 70.23% |
| 42 | George Washington | 1.00 | 70.74% |
| 43 | UCLA | 0.94 | 68.52% |
| 44 | Florida St. | 0.90 | 69.27% |
| 45 | Evansville | 0.83 | 67.58% |
| 46 | Valparaiso | 0.81 | 67.23% |
| 47 | Stanford | 0.70 | 64.76% |
| 48 | Washington | 0.64 | 62.60% |
| 49 | Oregon St. | 0.62 | 63.73% |
| 50 | Connecticut | 0.48 | 59.72% |
| 51 | Northwestern | 0.33 | 56.58% |
| 52 | Wichita St. | 0.32 | 56.78% |
| 53 | Arkansas Little Rock | 0.28 | 55.40% |
| 54 | VCU | 0.19 | 53.19% |
| 55 | Monmouth | 0.16 | 52.49% |
| 56 | Kansas St. | 0.14 | 52.63% |
| 57 | Syracuse | 0.10 | 51.28% |
| 58 | Chattanooga | 0.09 | 50.23% |
| 59 | Cincinnati | 0.05 | 50.59% |
| 60 | Clemson | 0.05 | 50.77% |
| 61 | Marquette | 0.03 | 49.96% |
| 62 | Wake Forest | 0.03 | 50.48% |
| 63 | Southern Illinois | 0.02 | 48.69% |
| 64 | Boise St. | -0.01 | 48.99% |
| 65 | Tulsa | -0.02 | 48.69% |
| 66 | Arizona St. | -0.05 | 48.26% |
| 67 | California | -0.06 | 47.81% |
| 68 | Georgia Tech | -0.06 | 48.06% |
| 69 | Creighton | -0.07 | 47.77% |
| 70 | Georgetown | -0.09 | 47.61% |
| 71 | Georgia | -0.13 | 46.64% |
| 72 | Memphis | -0.18 | 44.63% |
| 73 | Virginia Tech | -0.22 | 44.26% |
| 74 | UAB | -0.23 | 41.97% |
| 75 | Davidson | -0.41 | 39.86% |
| 76 | Northern Illinois | -0.54 | 33.84% |
| 77 | Texas A&M Corpus Chris | -0.61 | 31.44% |
| 78 | San Diego St. | -0.65 | 34.50% |
| 79 | Vanderbilt | -0.67 | 35.73% |
| 80 | James Madison | -0.69 | 33.68% |
| 81 | UC Irvine | -0.72 | 32.87% |
| 82 | Akron | -0.74 | 30.62% |
| 83 | Alabama | -0.79 | 32.82% |
| 84 | Ohio St. | -0.84 | 32.44% |
| 85 | Houston | -0.88 | 28.97% |
| 86 | Mississippi | -0.91 | 29.77% |
| 87 | UT Arlington | -0.98 | 22.55% |
| 88 | Wisconsin | -1.08 | 29.05% |
| 89 | St. Bonaventure | -1.08 | 24.97% |
| 90 | William & Mary | -1.14 | 24.15% |
| 91 | Georgia St. | -1.14 | 21.99% |
| 92 | Princeton | -1.14 | 20.64% |
| 93 | LSU | -1.21 | 25.86% |
| 94 | Stony Brook | -1.24 | 19.03% |
| 95 | North Carolina St. | -1.40 | 22.76% |
| 96 | Mercer | -1.41 | 17.11% |
| 97 | Richmond | -1.51 | 19.47% |
| 98 | Temple | -1.61 | 17.80% |
| 99 | Oklahoma St. | -1.62 | 18.53% |
| 100 | Rhode Island | -1.71 | 16.44% |
| 101 | BYU | -1.71 | 16.90% |
| 102 | Kent St. | -1.75 | 13.38% |
| 103 | UNLV | -1.76 | 15.80% |
| 104 | Middle Tennessee | -1.84 | 11.68% |
| 105 | Nebraska | -1.85 | 14.34% |
| 106 | South Dakota St. | -1.91 | 11.83% |
| 107 | IPFW | -1.92 | 11.49% |
| 108 | Louisiana Tech | -1.98 | 10.09% |
| 109 | Navy | -1.99 | 8.76% |
| 110 | Auburn | -2.06 | 13.39% |
| 111 | Duquesne | -2.07 | 11.13% |
| 112 | Yale | -2.25 | 6.15% |
| 113 | Tennessee St. | -2.29 | 4.41% |
| 114 | Arkansas | -2.29 | 11.08% |
| 115 | Tennessee | -2.32 | 10.85% |
| 116 | Hofstra | -2.35 | 8.16% |
| 117 | Belmont | -2.42 | 6.76% |
| 118 | Penn St. | -2.42 | 9.97% |
| 119 | UNC Wilmington | -2.42 | 5.38% |
| 120 | Fresno St. | -2.42 | 8.55% |
| 121 | Ohio | -2.52 | 6.84% |
| 122 | Washington St. | -2.54 | 7.09% |
| 123 | Northeastern | -2.61 | 5.86% |
| 124 | Weber St. | -2.64 | 3.58% |
| 125 | Albany | -2.68 | 3.60% |
| 126 | UNC Asheville | -2.72 | 5.01% |
| 127 | Illinois | -2.78 | 7.69% |
| 128 | Elon | -2.81 | 5.78% |
| 129 | Ball St. | -2.84 | 3.52% |
| 130 | North Florida | -2.86 | 3.73% |
| 131 | New Mexico | -2.96 | 6.27% |
| 132 | Utah St. | -2.99 | 3.55% |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | -3.00 | 1.72% |
| 134 | UCF | -3.04 | 2.27% |
| 135 | Cal St. Bakersfield | -3.05 | 1.53% |
| 136 | TCU | -3.06 | 3.87% |
| 137 | Milwaukee | -3.06 | 2.88% |
| 138 | Columbia | -3.07 | 2.89% |
| 139 | College of Charleston | -3.07 | 3.54% |
| 140 | Fordham | -3.07 | 2.83% |
| 141 | Towson | -3.10 | 2.39% |
| 142 | North Dakota St. | -3.10 | 2.39% |
| 143 | Pepperdine | -3.17 | 2.98% |
| 144 | Indiana St. | -3.33 | 3.17% |
| 145 | Toledo | -3.36 | 1.79% |
| 146 | Tennessee Tech | -3.36 | 1.49% |
| 147 | Bowling Green | -3.41 | 1.31% |
| 148 | Siena | -3.48 | 1.98% |
| 149 | Montana | -3.52 | 0.76% |
| 150 | East Tennessee St. | -3.54 | 1.57% |
| 151 | Florida Gulf Coast | -3.60 | 1.54% |
| 152 | Missouri | -3.62 | 2.70% |
| 153 | High Point | -3.70 | 0.93% |
| 154 | Army | -3.75 | 0.50% |
| 155 | Green Bay | -3.77 | 1.11% |
| 156 | Colorado St. | -3.88 | 1.20% |
| 157 | Idaho | -3.94 | 0.57% |
| 158 | Buffalo | -3.98 | 1.20% |
| 159 | Oakland | -4.03 | 0.72% |
| 160 | Winthrop | -4.04 | 0.36% |
| 161 | Nevada | -4.05 | 0.64% |
| 162 | Nebraska Omaha | -4.11 | 0.73% |
| 163 | Detroit | -4.12 | 0.77% |
| 164 | Western Kentucky | -4.17 | 0.67% |
| 165 | Iona | -4.30 | 0.69% |
| 166 | Harvard | -4.43 | 0.30% |
| 167 | Northern Iowa | -4.44 | 0.62% |
| 168 | Eastern Michigan | -4.48 | 0.34% |
| 169 | Old Dominion | -4.50 | 0.60% |
| 170 | Marshall | -4.54 | 0.59% |
| 171 | Wagner | -4.55 | 0.05% |
| 172 | Massachusetts | -4.59 | 0.51% |
| 173 | New Mexico St. | -4.62 | 0.44% |
| 174 | Hampton | -4.63 | 0.09% |
| 175 | Mississippi St. | -4.63 | 0.59% |
| 176 | Wright St. | -4.78 | 0.31% |
| 177 | Arkansas St. | -4.85 | 0.10% |
| 178 | UC Santa Barbara | -4.86 | 0.22% |
| 179 | Long Beach St. | -4.90 | 0.48% |
| 180 | Cal Poly | -4.90 | 0.19% |
| 181 | Illinois St. | -4.93 | 0.46% |
| 182 | Southern | -4.94 | 0.07% |
| 183 | Boston College | -4.95 | 0.24% |
| 184 | Incarnate Word | -4.95 | 0.00% |
| 185 | Wyoming | -4.95 | 0.26% |
| 186 | Houston Baptist | -4.96 | 0.06% |
| 187 | Texas St. | -5.00 | 0.00% |
| 188 | Cornell | -5.08 | 0.05% |
| 189 | Air Force | -5.17 | 0.12% |
| 190 | San Francisco | -5.22 | 0.16% |
| 191 | UTEP | -5.22 | 0.09% |
| 192 | Fairfield | -5.28 | 0.13% |
| 193 | Oral Roberts | -5.28 | 0.19% |
| 194 | Vermont | -5.35 | 0.12% |
| 195 | Saint Louis | -5.40 | 0.14% |
| 196 | Morehead St. | -5.40 | 0.04% |
| 197 | Samford | -5.41 | 0.04% |
| 198 | Radford | -5.41 | 0.09% |
| 199 | DePaul | -5.43 | 0.18% |
| 200 | Penn | -5.43 | 0.01% |
| 201 | Minnesota | -5.58 | 0.19% |
| 202 | St. John’s | -5.64 | 0.13% |
| 203 | New Hampshire | -5.67 | 0.00% |
| 204 | La Salle | -5.71 | 0.02% |
| 205 | Louisiana Lafayette | -5.75 | 0.01% |
| 206 | Gardner Webb | -5.76 | 0.03% |
| 207 | Cal St. Fullerton | -5.79 | 0.01% |
| 208 | Missouri St. | -5.80 | 0.06% |
| 209 | Central Michigan | -5.83 | 0.04% |
| 210 | Saint Peter’s | -5.86 | 0.01% |
| 211 | Coastal Carolina | -5.89 | 0.01% |
| 212 | Sacramento St. | -5.93 | 0.01% |
| 213 | Loyola Marymount | -5.93 | 0.02% |
| 214 | Murray St. | -6.02 | 0.05% |
| 215 | George Mason | -6.03 | 0.07% |
| 216 | Denver | -6.05 | 0.03% |
| 217 | NJIT | -6.06 | 0.02% |
| 218 | Eastern Kentucky | -6.17 | 0.01% |
| 219 | Bucknell | -6.21 | 0.01% |
| 220 | East Carolina | -6.25 | 0.04% |
| 221 | North Dakota | -6.29 | 0.01% |
| 222 | Tulane | -6.32 | 0.03% |
| 223 | Boston University | -6.33 | 0.00% |
| 224 | Western Illinois | -6.35 | 0.00% |
| 225 | Eastern Washington | -6.38 | 0.00% |
| 226 | Sam Houston St. | -6.50 | 0.00% |
| 227 | Fairleigh Dickinson | -6.57 | 0.00% |
| 228 | Rutgers | -6.59 | 0.01% |
| 229 | LIU Brooklyn | -6.61 | 0.00% |
| 230 | Canisius | -6.62 | 0.01% |
| 231 | South Dakota | -6.64 | 0.02% |
| 232 | FIU | -6.69 | 0.00% |
| 233 | Colgate | -6.71 | 0.00% |
| 234 | Tennessee Martin | -6.73 | 0.00% |
| 235 | Savannah St. | -6.79 | 0.00% |
| 236 | South Alabama | -6.83 | 0.00% |
| 237 | Lamar | -6.87 | 0.00% |
| 238 | Manhattan | -6.90 | 0.00% |
| 239 | UMKC | -6.95 | 0.00% |
| 240 | Alabama A&M | -7.00 | 0.00% |
| 241 | Loyola Chicago | -7.05 | 0.01% |
| 242 | Howard | -7.08 | 0.00% |
| 243 | Dartmouth | -7.10 | 0.00% |
| 244 | UC Riverside | -7.14 | 0.00% |
| 245 | Portland | -7.17 | 0.00% |
| 246 | Furman | -7.22 | 0.00% |
| 247 | Holy Cross | -7.25 | 0.00% |
| 248 | Western Michigan | -7.29 | 0.00% |
| 249 | St. Francis PA | -7.43 | 0.00% |
| 250 | Seattle | -7.46 | 0.00% |
| 251 | Brown | -7.49 | 0.00% |
| 252 | The Citadel | -7.58 | 0.00% |
| 253 | UC Davis | -7.59 | 0.00% |
| 254 | Northern Kentucky | -7.60 | 0.00% |
| 255 | Wofford | -7.64 | 0.00% |
| 256 | Jackson St. | -7.69 | 0.00% |
| 257 | Charleston Southern | -7.69 | 0.00% |
| 258 | Utah Valley | -7.75 | 0.00% |
| 259 | Western Carolina | -7.81 | 0.00% |
| 260 | Troy | -7.84 | 0.00% |
| 261 | Presbyterian | -7.90 | 0.00% |
| 262 | Santa Clara | -7.91 | 0.00% |
| 263 | South Carolina St. | -7.92 | 0.00% |
| 264 | Louisiana Monroe | -7.94 | 0.00% |
| 265 | Jacksonville | -7.96 | 0.00% |
| 266 | Portland St. | -8.02 | 0.00% |
| 267 | San Diego | -8.03 | 0.00% |
| 268 | Miami OH | -8.08 | 0.00% |
| 269 | North Texas | -8.09 | 0.00% |
| 270 | Texas Southern | -8.10 | 0.00% |
| 271 | Charlotte | -8.11 | 0.00% |
| 272 | Lehigh | -8.20 | 0.00% |
| 273 | Campbell | -8.22 | 0.00% |
| 274 | Mount St. Mary’s | -8.25 | 0.00% |
| 275 | Quinnipiac | -8.28 | 0.00% |
| 276 | Pacific | -8.34 | 0.00% |
| 277 | Delaware | -8.34 | 0.00% |
| 278 | Southern Miss | -8.39 | 0.00% |
| 279 | Idaho St. | -8.41 | 0.00% |
| 280 | Georgia Southern | -8.47 | 0.00% |
| 281 | Eastern Illinois | -8.47 | 0.00% |
| 282 | Southern Utah | -8.51 | 0.00% |
| 283 | Austin Peay | -8.54 | 0.00% |
| 284 | Abilene Christian | -8.54 | 0.00% |
| 285 | UMass Lowell | -8.67 | 0.00% |
| 286 | Cleveland St. | -8.67 | 0.00% |
| 287 | Youngstown St. | -8.68 | 0.00% |
| 288 | Montana St. | -8.70 | 0.00% |
| 289 | Rice | -8.71 | 0.00% |
| 290 | Drake | -8.72 | 0.00% |
| 291 | Norfolk St. | -8.72 | 0.00% |
| 292 | Bryant | -8.72 | 0.00% |
| 293 | Rider | -8.77 | 0.00% |
| 294 | IUPUI | -9.00 | 0.00% |
| 295 | VMI | -9.10 | 0.00% |
| 296 | New Orleans | -9.11 | 0.00% |
| 297 | McNeese St. | -9.16 | 0.00% |
| 298 | Appalachian St. | -9.21 | 0.00% |
| 299 | Alabama St. | -9.25 | 0.00% |
| 300 | Stetson | -9.27 | 0.00% |
| 301 | UNC Greensboro | -9.29 | 0.00% |
| 302 | Alcorn St. | -9.31 | 0.00% |
| 303 | Maine | -9.49 | 0.00% |
| 304 | Cal St. Northridge | -9.50 | 0.00% |
| 305 | San Jose St. | -9.50 | 0.00% |
| 306 | Kennesaw St. | -9.51 | 0.00% |
| 307 | Hartford | -9.60 | 0.00% |
| 308 | Lafayette | -9.60 | 0.00% |
| 309 | Marist | -9.62 | 0.00% |
| 310 | St. Francis NY | -9.72 | 0.00% |
| 311 | Grambling St. | -9.73 | 0.00% |
| 312 | Loyola MD | -9.74 | 0.00% |
| 313 | Northern Colorado | -9.76 | 0.00% |
| 314 | South Florida | -9.85 | 0.00% |
| 315 | Drexel | -9.88 | 0.00% |
| 316 | Central Arkansas | -9.88 | 0.00% |
| 317 | SIU Edwardsville | -9.94 | 0.00% |
| 318 | Northern Arizona | -9.99 | 0.00% |
| 319 | Coppin St. | -10.32 | 0.00% |
| 320 | Bradley | -10.40 | 0.00% |
| 321 | Northwestern St. | -10.41 | 0.00% |
| 322 | USC Upstate | -10.51 | 0.00% |
| 323 | Bethune Cookman | -10.72 | 0.00% |
| 324 | North Carolina Central | -10.77 | 0.00% |
| 325 | UT Rio Grande Valley | -10.78 | 0.00% |
| 326 | Binghamton | -10.89 | 0.00% |
| 327 | Nicholls St. | -10.93 | 0.00% |
| 328 | Florida Atlantic | -10.98 | 0.00% |
| 329 | Niagara | -11.00 | 0.00% |
| 330 | UTSA | -11.20 | 0.00% |
| 331 | Florida A&M | -11.44 | 0.00% |
| 332 | UMBC | -11.53 | 0.00% |
| 333 | Jacksonville St. | -11.65 | 0.00% |
| 334 | Southeastern Louisiana | -11.70 | 0.00% |
| 335 | Longwood | -11.71 | 0.00% |
| 336 | Illinois Chicago | -11.88 | 0.00% |
| 337 | North Carolina A&T | -11.93 | 0.00% |
| 338 | Liberty | -11.95 | 0.00% |
| 339 | Sacred Heart | -12.10 | 0.00% |
| 340 | American | -12.26 | 0.00% |
| 341 | Lipscomb | -12.32 | 0.00% |
| 342 | Robert Morris | -12.35 | 0.00% |
| 343 | Arkansas Pine Bluff | -12.52 | 0.00% |
| 344 | Morgan St. | -12.63 | 0.00% |
| 345 | Maryland Eastern Shore | -12.74 | 0.00% |
| 346 | Southeast Missouri St. | -12.80 | 0.00% |
| 347 | Prairie View A&M | -13.04 | 0.00% |
| 348 | Chicago St. | -13.23 | 0.00% |
| 349 | Delaware St. | -13.79 | 0.00% |
| 350 | Central Connecticut | -14.17 | 0.00% |
| 351 | Mississippi Valley St. | -14.49 | 0.00% |
sethburn 
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