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Monthly Archives: December 2018

ESPN’s FPI hit a rough patch and is now down $40,741

FPI
Team Line Risked To Win Result
Boise St. 0 3640 3059 0
Minnesota 0 9697 19685 0
TCU 0 9655 10331 0

Ed Feng has had a rough season:

Current Tab -$154,327.32
% of Bankroll -154.33%
Standard Dev 98672
Two-tailed Z -1.56
ROI -30.39%

He’ll be backing the same teams as ESPN’s FPI:

Ed Feng
Team Line Risked To Win Result
Boise St. 0 3640 3059 0
Minnesota 0 20892 42410 0
TCU 0 7140 7640 0

 

As I write this, I have no idea if Kansas City needs this game to stay ahead of the Chargers, or if a win at home Week 17 is sufficient to secure home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

Update: The Chiefs just need to beat the Raiders next week.

Current Tab -$892,013.81
% of Bankroll -446.01%
Standard Dev 452934
Two-tailed Z -1.97
ROI -11.62%

 

Team Line Risked To Win Result
Chiefs 0 17943 14588 0
KC-Sea o55 8379 7905 0

 

I had to take care of these Saturday night. If the lines move Sunday morning:

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Team Line Risked To Win Result
Buccaneers 7.5 12485 9988 0
TB-Dal o48 19574 19003 0
Jaguars 3.5 46080 42667 0
Jax-Mia O38.5 17360 17360 0
Panthers 3 8019 6913 0
Atl-Car O44.5 17796 16949 0
Eagles -2.5 33600 31111 0
Hou-Phi U47.5 9558 8032 0
Vikings 0 2711 1039 0
Lions 6 3038 3008 0
Giants 10 3728 3358 0
NYG-Ind o48 25545 24329 0
Packers -2.5 31939 26840 0
GB-NYJ u47 12100 11862 0
Patriots 0 16580 2073 0
Buf-NE o44 20492 18629 0
Cin-Cle o44 15788 14353 0
Bengals 10 9797 8594 0

Oops! I forgot to post this earlier:

Team Line Risked To Win Result
Redskins 11 22992 21289 21289
Was-Ten O37.5 9950 9045 9045

Those both cashed, so PFF’s heater has brought them to this:

Current Tab -$755,865.64
% of Bankroll -377.93%
Standard Dev 438686
Two-tailed Z -1.72
ROI -10.46%

They can take a sizable chunk out of their debts with a high-scoring game tonight:

Team Line Risked To Win Result
Bal-Ten O42.5 73874 67158 0
Chargers -3.5 7346 6678 0