2018 NBA Tracking: Celtic Pride?

 

Brutal Celtics-76ers series were a staple of my childhood. Bird vs. Dr. J ended up being immortalized as a great fight, video game, and image of racial harmony. This year the Celtics are wounded while the 76ers look ascendant. Not that BPI notices (or cares)

Supposedly BPI doesn’t take injuries into account, which is… insane? In any event, they believe what they believe. Let’s see how this goes:

ESPN Risked To Win Result
Spurs 450 2988 -450
Raptors 900 150 150
Heat 375 1500 -375
Pass 0 0 0
Celtics 3808 2410 2410
Pacers 3527 15944 -3527
Thunder 2715 2011 -2715
Rockets 7182 264 264
Pass 0 0 0
Jazz R2 1200 12000 0
Celtics R2 3905 16010 0
Current Tab -4243

538 is somewhat more cautious with the Elo-based system:

538 Risked To Win Result
Spurs 3557 23616 -3557
Raptors 3700 617 617
Sixers 2800 560 560
Pelicans 978 1760 1760
Celtics 3034 1920 1920
Pacers 1207 5456 -1207
Jazz 467 560 560
Timberwolves 187 2800 -187
Pelicans R2 3071 19840 0
Jazz R2 1640 16400 0
Celtics R2 1168 4790 0
Current Tab 467

Finally, Nylon Calculus splits the difference. Frankly, right now the second round looks rough for all three systems.

Nylon Calculus Risked To Win Result
Spurs 450 2988 -450
Pass 0 0 0
Heat 125 500 -125
Pelicans 1444 2600 2600
Bucks 57 80 -57
Pacers 841 3800 -841
Pass 0 0 0
Timberwolves 293 4400 -293
Pelicans R2 1599 10329 0
Jazz R2 1266 12660 0
Celtics R2 1952 8003 0
Current Tab 834

 

 

 

 

 

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