WAB 1/30: Now with more Sagarin

I’m going to be running multiple WAB’s in advance of the NCAA release of the top four seed lines (top 16 overall teams). First up is the Sagarin WAB’s (with the KenPom WAB’s for comparison).

The first thing that jumps out at me is that Sagarin is much more respectful towards the Big 12. KenPom has the North Carolina and Oklahoma resumes as being roughly equal. Sagarin strongly disagrees, much preferring Oklahoma’s. Texas and Kansas State see their rank jump five spots. So does Syracuse (woohoo!).

Of all the teams on the positive side of the ledger, Nevada is most hurt by the change in ratings. Ultimately, the differences seem fairly minor. I’m struck by how similar both the ratings and rankings are overall.

Rank KP School WAB KP WAB SAG Rank SAG
1 Villanova 6.56 6.42 1
2 Virginia 6.07 6.21 2
3 Purdue 5.75 5.91 3
4 Duke 4.8 4.7 4
5 Xavier 4.66 4.67 6
6 Kansas 4.64 4.69 5
7 Auburn 4.33 4.01 7
8 Michigan St. 3.53 3.79 8
9 Clemson 3.52 3.45 9
10 Tennessee 3.14 3.33 11
11 Cincinnati 3.07 3.12 12
12 North Carolina 2.95 2.78 14
13 Oklahoma 2.92 3.42 10
14 Texas Tech 2.72 3.01 13
15 Kentucky 2.62 2.58 17
16 Arizona 2.57 2.68 16
17 West Virginia 2.51 2.7 15
18 Saint Mary’s 2.47 2.2 21
19 Ohio St. 2.4 2.57 18
20 Creighton 2.18 2.49 19
21 Rhode Island 2.08 2.09 23
22 Michigan 2.05 2.23 20
23 Seton Hall 2.05 2.18 22
24 Florida 2.03 1.96 24
25 Gonzaga 1.92 1.84 27
26 Louisville 1.76 1.86 26
27 Miami FL 1.72 1.75 29
28 Wichita St. 1.67 1.93 25
29 New Mexico St. 1.66 1.57 30
30 Nevada 1.65 1.24 36
31 Florida St. 1.59 1.78 28
32 Butler 1.35 1.25 35
33 Arkansas 1.28 1.14 37
34 Arizona St. 1.23 1.54 31
35 Boise St. 1.2 1.08 38
36 TCU 1.13 1.38 32
37 Middle Tennessee 1.11 0.66 40
38 Texas 0.97 1.38 33
39 Kansas St. 0.91 1.36 34
40 Louisiana Lafayette 0.73 0.57 41
41 Virginia Tech 0.52 0.52 42
42 Nebraska 0.45 0.86 39
43 East Tennessee St. 0.43 0.29 46
44 Texas A&M 0.37 0.39 44
45 Houston 0.35 0.52 43
46 Loyola Chicago 0.33 0.16 49
47 North Carolina St. 0.26 0.15 50
48 Alabama 0.25 0.18 48
49 USC 0.19 0.19 47
50 Syracuse 0.09 0.33 45
51 Marquette 0.03 0.14 51
52 Providence 0 -0.01 52
53 Washington -0.03 -0.05 53
54 Buffalo -0.13 -0.28 55
55 Vermont -0.15 -0.16 54
56 BYU -0.19 -0.47 58
57 Western Kentucky -0.33 -0.65 62
58 Mississippi St. -0.42 -0.49 59
59 Maryland -0.45 -0.29 56
60 Utah -0.48 -0.36 57
61 St. Bonaventure -0.55 -0.49 60
62 Boston College -0.58 -0.75 64
63 Old Dominion -0.81 -0.96 67
64 Georgia -0.81 -0.92 66
65 South Dakota St. -0.81 -0.91 65
66 Missouri -0.82 -0.96 68
67 UCLA -0.84 -0.69 63
68 Oklahoma St. -0.89 -0.53 61
69 Stephen F. Austin -0.97 -1.19 69
70 Wyoming -1.09 -1.66 78
71 South Carolina -1.25 -1.48 73
72 UC Santa Barbara -1.28 -1.5 75
73 Belmont -1.28 -1.61 77
74 Montana -1.29 -1.67 79
75 SMU -1.35 -1.34 72
76 LSU -1.38 -1.33 71
77 Wright St. -1.4 -1.82 83
78 Murray St. -1.56 -1.98 87
79 Utah Valley -1.56 -2 88
80 Temple -1.59 -1.93 85
81 Notre Dame -1.65 -1.49 74
82 UCF -1.66 -1.53 76
83 Baylor -1.67 -1.25 70
84 Minnesota -1.93 -1.74 81
85 Oregon -1.93 -1.88 84
86 Toledo -1.97 -1.93 86
87 South Dakota -1.99 -2.09 91
88 Wofford -2.04 -2.18 92
89 Iowa St. -2.11 -2.06 90
90 Penn St. -2.12 -1.81 82
91 Indiana -2.21 -1.7 80
92 Northwestern -2.24 -2.05 89
93 UNLV -2.26 -2.33 94
94 Bradley -2.26 -2.77 105
95 San Diego -2.28 -2.73 103
96 UNC Greensboro -2.29 -2.45 96
97 Georgetown -2.35 -2.29 93
98 Rider -2.36 -2.42 95
99 Memphis -2.4 -2.56 100
100 Marshall -2.4 -2.77 106
101 VCU -2.56 -2.62 101
102 Furman -2.56 -2.82 108
103 College of Charleston -2.6 -2.55 98
104 William & Mary -2.64 -2.72 102
105 Bucknell -2.71 -2.45 97
106 UC Davis -2.75 -3.38 117
107 Connecticut -2.78 -2.55 99
108 Penn -2.82 -2.73 104
109 Wagner -2.82 -2.94 109
110 Mississippi -2.83 -3.14 112
111 San Diego St. -2.84 -3.18 113
112 Fresno St. -2.91 -3.03 110
113 Georgia St. -2.93 -3.05 111
114 Colorado -2.98 -2.77 107
115 Lipscomb -3.03 -3.24 114
116 Northern Kentucky -3.11 -3.38 118
117 Hawaii -3.12 -3.4 121
118 Georgia Southern -3.15 -3.38 119
119 Tulane -3.33 -3.27 115
120 Oakland -3.35 -3.55 123
121 Missouri St. -3.35 -3.94 131
122 Grand Canyon -3.4 -3.66 125
123 Northeastern -3.41 -3.38 120
124 Southern Illinois -3.45 -3.96 132
125 Ball St. -3.54 -3.31 116
126 Cal St. Fullerton -3.59 -3.99 133
127 Princeton -3.64 -3.64 124
128 Jacksonville St. -3.65 -3.89 129
129 Albany -3.66 -3.52 122
130 Portland St. -3.7 -3.87 128
131 Hofstra -3.72 -3.91 130
132 Northern Colorado -3.72 -4.4 147
133 UMBC -3.77 -3.81 126
134 Stanford -3.83 -3.83 127
135 UNC Asheville -3.83 -4.28 140
136 Idaho -3.92 -4.37 145
137 Tennessee Tech -3.92 -4.01 134
138 Florida Gulf Coast -3.95 -4.1 136
139 Weber St. -3.96 -4.47 149
140 UAB -3.99 -4.39 146
141 Georgia Tech -4.06 -4.23 138
142 St. John’s -4.14 -4.09 135
143 Evansville -4.17 -4.66 153
144 Davidson -4.17 -4.22 137
145 Seattle -4.18 -4.55 150
146 Iona -4.23 -4.35 143
147 Louisiana Tech -4.32 -4.83 158
148 Wisconsin -4.4 -4.46 148
149 Northern Iowa -4.43 -4.76 155
150 Illinois -4.44 -4.28 141
151 Vanderbilt -4.46 -4.9 159
152 Rutgers -4.46 -4.34 142
153 Radford -4.47 -4.65 152
154 Oregon St. -4.53 -4.27 139
155 Tulsa -4.56 -4.36 144
156 Winthrop -4.58 -4.81 157
157 Towson -4.61 -4.59 151
158 Illinois St. -4.62 -5.26 166
159 Iowa -4.66 -4.66 154
160 New Mexico -4.7 -5.03 160
161 Utah St. -4.71 -5.1 161
162 St. Francis PA -4.94 -5.11 163
163 DePaul -5.09 -4.76 156
164 North Dakota St. -5.09 -5.43 170
165 Southeastern Louisiana -5.11 -5.31 167
166 Wake Forest -5.12 -5.38 168
167 Niagara -5.14 -5.1 162
168 UT Arlington -5.18 -5.42 169
169 Nicholls St. -5.3 -5.76 180
170 Canisius -5.3 -5.51 172
171 Duquesne -5.31 -5.23 165
172 Elon -5.33 -5.55 174
173 Brown -5.33 -5.14 164
174 Washington St. -5.43 -5.45 171
175 Austin Peay -5.44 -5.67 178
176 North Texas -5.47 -5.76 181
177 Southern Miss -5.5 -6.05 192
178 Drake -5.52 -5.81 183
179 Western Michigan -5.53 -5.64 176
180 New Orleans -5.57 -5.78 182
181 Central Michigan -5.58 -5.57 175
182 Robert Morris -5.59 -5.97 189
183 Eastern Michigan -5.65 -5.64 177
184 Dayton -5.65 -5.93 188
185 Savannah St. -5.69 -5.98 190
186 Harvard -5.71 -5.54 173
187 Fort Wayne -5.73 -5.9 186
188 San Francisco -5.73 -6.18 195
189 North Carolina A&T -5.75 -5.89 184
190 Long Beach St. -5.81 -5.89 185
191 George Washington -5.89 -5.74 179
192 Miami OH -5.91 -6.08 193
193 Texas St. -5.94 -6.23 197
194 Colgate -6 -5.9 187
195 Saint Louis -6.01 -6.04 191
196 Bowling Green -6.09 -6.23 198
197 Eastern Washington -6.12 -6.71 208
198 Kent St. -6.13 -6.33 200
199 Pacific -6.21 -6.75 210
200 Navy -6.24 -6.12 194
201 Cornell -6.28 -6.42 201
202 Colorado St. -6.28 -6.5 203
203 UTSA -6.3 -6.73 209
204 Saint Joseph’s -6.38 -6.2 196
205 Sam Houston St. -6.4 -6.57 205
206 Abilene Christian -6.49 -6.65 206
207 Yale -6.5 -6.24 199
208 Akron -6.5 -6.46 202
209 Indiana St. -6.61 -7.19 222
210 La Salle -6.66 -6.55 204
211 Idaho St. -6.73 -7.11 219
212 Lamar -6.74 -6.89 214
213 Army -6.78 -6.65 207
214 UT Rio Grande Valley -6.8 -6.87 213
215 Montana St. -6.82 -7.29 228
216 Pittsburgh -6.83 -6.77 211
217 Tennessee St. -6.87 -7.07 217
218 Gardner Webb -6.89 -7.11 220
219 Florida Atlantic -6.9 -7.09 218
220 Boston University -6.95 -6.77 212
221 Ohio -7.01 -7.22 225
222 Valparaiso -7.01 -7.21 224
223 Illinois Chicago -7.05 -7.19 223
224 Western Illinois -7.07 -7.14 221
225 Richmond -7.08 -7.28 227
226 Central Arkansas -7.1 -6.96 216
227 Massachusetts -7.11 -6.95 215
228 Western Carolina -7.18 -7.37 230
229 Liberty -7.18 -7.47 232
230 UC Irvine -7.19 -7.91 240
231 George Mason -7.23 -7.26 226
232 Mercer -7.23 -7.58 234
233 Louisiana Monroe -7.25 -7.38 231
234 Southern Utah -7.28 -7.67 238
235 South Alabama -7.3 -7.53 233
236 Hartford -7.37 -7.58 235
237 Campbell -7.53 -7.64 236
238 North Carolina Central -7.56 -7.67 239
239 Northern Illinois -7.56 -7.36 229
240 McNeese St. -7.64 -7.91 241
241 Mount St. Mary’s -7.69 -7.66 237
242 Texas Southern -7.87 -8.01 243
243 Denver -7.93 -8.27 246
244 Central Connecticut -8.01 -8.03 244
245 Air Force -8.04 -8.34 250
246 East Carolina -8.09 -7.99 242
247 High Point -8.12 -8.29 248
248 Cal St. Bakersfield -8.13 -8.41 251
249 North Florida -8.2 -8.21 245
250 NJIT -8.27 -8.28 247
251 Troy -8.29 -8.66 258
252 North Dakota -8.32 -9.01 262
253 Manhattan -8.36 -8.29 249
254 Delaware -8.45 -8.49 253
255 Southern -8.53 -8.41 252
256 Grambling St. -8.53 -8.58 255
257 Oral Roberts -8.56 -8.65 256
258 Bethune Cookman -8.64 -8.71 259
259 Fairfield -8.65 -8.95 260
260 California -8.69 -8.52 254
261 Portland -8.7 -9.05 264
262 Monmouth -8.71 -8.65 257
263 Southeast Missouri St. -8.82 -9.28 270
264 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -8.86 -9.08 266
265 Prairie View A&M -9.03 -9.32 272
266 Columbia -9.03 -8.98 261
267 South Florida -9.05 -9.08 267
268 Santa Clara -9.11 -9.41 273
269 Fordham -9.13 -9.03 263
270 Saint Peter’s -9.13 -9.1 268
271 Stony Brook -9.18 -9.15 269
272 Lehigh -9.2 -9.07 265
273 SIU Edwardsville -9.22 -9.52 275
274 Jacksonville -9.23 -9.31 271
275 Coastal Carolina -9.26 -9.52 276
276 Hampton -9.33 -9.52 277
277 Eastern Illinois -9.4 -9.83 283
278 The Citadel -9.41 -9.71 280
279 Jackson St. -9.43 -9.47 274
280 UTEP -9.46 -10.07 288
281 Charleston Southern -9.48 -9.66 279
282 IUPUI -9.57 -9.77 282
283 New Hampshire -9.62 -9.62 278
284 Milwaukee -9.72 -9.71 281
285 Loyola Marymount -9.74 -10.1 290
286 Nebraska Omaha -9.8 -10.06 287
287 Morehead St. -9.85 -10.23 294
288 Sacramento St. -9.9 -10.54 298
289 Dartmouth -9.93 -9.85 284
290 Quinnipiac -9.94 -9.97 285
291 Samford -9.96 -10.25 295
292 Appalachian St. -9.98 -10.04 286
293 Arkansas St. -9.99 -10.12 291
294 Fairleigh Dickinson -10.02 -10.09 289
295 St. Francis NY -10.12 -10.13 292
296 Drexel -10.17 -10.26 296
297 Incarnate Word -10.27 -10.53 297
298 Morgan St. -10.32 -10.2 293
299 Eastern Kentucky -10.38 -10.94 309
300 VMI -10.39 -10.55 299
301 FIU -10.44 -10.66 303
302 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.47 -10.73 306
303 Presbyterian -10.5 -10.76 307
304 UMass Lowell -10.53 -10.64 301
305 Binghamton -10.54 -10.6 300
306 Charlotte -10.56 -10.78 308
307 South Carolina St. -10.77 -10.71 305
308 Alcorn St. -10.83 -10.66 304
309 LIU Brooklyn -10.85 -11 310
310 UNC Wilmington -10.86 -11.04 311
311 Loyola MD -10.87 -10.65 302
312 Tennessee Martin -10.87 -11.12 312
313 Cal Poly -11 -11.15 313
314 Green Bay -11.2 -11.31 314
315 Chattanooga -11.44 -11.76 316
316 UC Riverside -11.53 -12.14 321
317 Siena -11.63 -11.57 315
318 Detroit -11.84 -12.16 322
319 American -11.91 -11.91 317
320 Stetson -11.99 -12.11 319
321 Houston Baptist -12.06 -12.11 320
322 Holy Cross -12.09 -11.94 318
323 UMKC -12.13 -12.5 323
324 San Jose St. -12.23 -12.65 326
325 Norfolk St. -12.35 -12.76 328
326 Sacred Heart -12.4 -12.54 325
327 Kennesaw St. -12.41 -12.5 324
328 Pepperdine -12.46 -12.87 329
329 Youngstown St. -12.49 -12.74 327
330 Little Rock -12.56 -13.11 334
331 Rice -12.6 -12.97 330
332 James Madison -12.76 -12.97 331
333 Cal St. Northridge -12.95 -13.34 336
334 Northwestern St. -13.01 -13.1 333
335 Northern Arizona -13.02 -13.45 338
336 Lafayette -13.14 -13.02 332
337 Florida A&M -13.28 -13.48 340
338 Howard -13.35 -13.28 335
339 Cleveland St. -13.41 -13.42 337
340 Longwood -13.52 -13.73 342
341 Marist -13.6 -13.72 341
342 Coppin St. -13.69 -13.47 339
343 Maine -13.81 -13.82 343
344 Alabama St. -13.87 -13.93 345
345 Maryland Eastern Shore -13.88 -13.86 344
346 Chicago St. -14.41 -14.51 347
347 USC Upstate -14.43 -14.45 346
348 Alabama A&M -15.63 -15.64 348
349 Mississippi Valley St. -15.71 -15.94 349
350 Bryant -16.75 -16.76 350
351 Delaware St. -17.48 -17.7 351
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