Vigorish is a thing

Football Outsiders is sitting out the night game, despite having a moderate opinion in favor of the Broncos. That’s because their opinion wasn’t strong enough to overcome both the market lean and the vigorish. That’ll happen in the real world:

Broncos 7.5 0 0 0

As for ESPN’s SPI, no such issues:

Broncos 117738 276685 0


1 comment
  1. dph said:

    Why does espn consider a moneyline bet on the Broncos a good move (based on past Pats v Broncos game in Denver?); and where can we find the lines you’re mentioning?

    Especially interested in the FO lines that don’t seem obvious on their webpage.

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