Vigorish is a thing
Football Outsiders is sitting out the night game, despite having a moderate opinion in favor of the Broncos. That’s because their opinion wasn’t strong enough to overcome both the market lean and the vigorish. That’ll happen in the real world:
| Broncos | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
As for ESPN’s SPI, no such issues:
| Broncos | 117738 | 276685 | 0 |
sethburn 
Why does espn consider a moneyline bet on the Broncos a good move (based on past Pats v Broncos game in Denver?); and where can we find the lines you’re mentioning?
Especially interested in the FO lines that don’t seem obvious on their webpage.