Great moments in gambling history

Football Outsiders dodged a bullet with the XP block, keeping the Seahawks ahead by 6. They ended up covering the 5.5 point spread, and now Football Outsiders are up $1,203,762 on the season. They’ll be looking to grow that, especially with the Vikings and Jaguars:

Vikings -1.0 261590 249133 0
Packers 5.5 93400 93400 0
Steelers -10.5 85895 90190 0
Jaguars -3.5 285160 259236 0
Jets 2.5 77265 70885 0
Titans -4.5 0 0 0
Saints -3.0 83689 88710 0
Browns 12.0 33160 30145 0

As for ESPN’s SPI, they are down $727,130. They are looking to get some of that back with the Packers and Buccaneers. I’m starting to suspect ESPN’s SPI doesn’t fully take into account quarterback changes. More on this with the afternoon games:

Redskins 38144 42340 0
Packers 197000 344750 0
Steelers 208810 42614 0
Chargers 38908 78983 0
Buccaneers 332560 313736 0
Bengals 0 0 0
Saints 8200 6560 0
Browns 14127 54390 0

 

 

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1 comment
  1. dph said:

    Seth,

    How are you getting the FO implied lines? Having the Vikes at -1 was good call when most models had them as dogs. Is there a link?

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