538 and ESPN have some faith in the Spurs

More faith than the markets. First, 538:

538 Nate Silver 538 Nate Silver
Team Risked To Win Result
Pacers 20155 143300 -20155
Bulls 8800 33000 -8800
Wizards 34900 16619 16619
Trailblazers 2867 86000 -2867
Thunder 8462 27500 -8462
Jazz 13845 28520 28520
Raptors R2 41958 160280 -41958
Rockets R2 9247 20990 -9247
Jazz R2 3313 53000 -3313
Spurs R3 2765 23500 0
Current Tab -49661

It has not been a great postseason for 538, but perhaps they can rally in the Championship rounds. As for ESPN’s BPI:

Team Risked To Win Result
Pacers 8720 62000 -8720
Raptors 15340 3854 3854
Bulls 11333 42500 -11333
X Warriors 4-0 4450 4045 -4450
Rockets 5000 1333 1333
Jazz 12359 25460 25460
Raptors R2 33126 126540 -33126
Celtics R2 5480 3079 0
Jazz R2 1188 19000 -1188
Spurs R3 9471 80500 0
Current Tab -19449

They’ll strike it rich if the Spurs strike the upset. I also suspect they make big bucks if someone knocks of Cleveland in the ECF, but we’ll cross that bridge when we get there.

 

 

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2 comments
  1. STEVE BALLMER said:

    Would you say it’s your aggressive intellectual dishonesty or just pure stupidity rendering you permanently and embarrassingly unable to grasp the concept of maximizing expected bankroll growth? A malignant occipital tumor can’t be ruled out.

  2. The Kelly Criterion can be a cruel mistress when you overrate your edge. Or when you don’t have one.

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