WAB 3/12: Selection Sunday, or if WAB ruled the World

I’ll have a fuller update after I grab some breakfast (Daylight Savings is bollocks). If bids were decided by pure merit due to your record, Rhode Island would be playing for a bid today. If they lost, it would go to TCU just narrowly ahead of Monmouth (Percentile is superior to WAB for this purpose).

Interestingly Kentucky would be playing for a 1-seed today. Villanova, Kansas, and Gonzaga would be the other three, with Duke hoping for a UK loss.

Full WAB’s are here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hof8DT8OCt_9A-f93NnXnSfMdp97B1qvmQ8Hw_X3X8Y/edit#gid=0

WAB Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile Pythag
1 Villanova 10.94 100.00% 0.9676
2 Kansas 10.71 100.00% 0.9477
3 Duke 8.37 99.97% 0.9485
4 Kentucky 8.18 99.97% 0.9498
5 North Carolina 8.16 99.95% 0.9606
6 Baylor 7.79 99.94% 0.9366
7 Arizona 7.73 99.97% 0.93
8 Gonzaga 7.63 100.00% 0.9719
9 Louisville 6.78 99.76% 0.952
10 UCLA 6.54 99.88% 0.9277
11 West Virginia 6.28 99.57% 0.9538
12 Iowa St. 6.18 99.38% 0.9317
13 Oregon 6.12 99.56% 0.9387
14 Florida 6.00 99.25% 0.9496
15 Notre Dame 5.98 99.36% 0.9186
16 Florida St. 5.81 99.27% 0.9261
17 Cincinnati 5.49 99.45% 0.9308
18 Butler 5.36 98.56% 0.9096
19 Purdue 5.33 98.83% 0.9379
20 Wisconsin 5.16 98.29% 0.9318
21 SMU 5.15 99.02% 0.931
22 Virginia 4.82 97.56% 0.9511
23 Creighton 4.08 95.21% 0.8968
24 Arkansas 3.76 94.56% 0.8568
25 Saint Mary’s 3.75 97.39% 0.9317
26 Wichita St. 3.67 95.70% 0.947
27 Minnesota 3.57 92.80% 0.8679
28 Maryland 3.34 91.79% 0.8409
29 Oklahoma St. 3.30 91.56% 0.9137
30 Virginia Tech 3.12 91.20% 0.8396
31 Michigan 2.90 87.47% 0.9201
32 Miami FL 2.84 89.09% 0.8742
33 Seton Hall 2.27 82.92% 0.8373
34 Northwestern 1.95 78.34% 0.8496
35 Middle Tennessee 1.81 80.52% 0.832
36 VCU 1.74 76.50% 0.8414
37 Xavier 1.62 73.75% 0.8546
38 Kansas St. 1.58 74.71% 0.8762
39 South Carolina 1.58 73.82% 0.8603
40 Illinois St. 1.53 75.63% 0.8196
41 UNC Wilmington 1.38 73.19% 0.7795
42 Dayton 1.37 72.15% 0.8493
43 USC 1.31 71.70% 0.8007
44 Nevada 1.16 68.64% 0.8201
45 Wake Forest 1.07 67.07% 0.8669
46 Providence 0.50 58.17% 0.8115
47 Marquette 0.50 58.20% 0.8734
48 Vermont 0.49 58.75% 0.7822
49 Michigan St. 0.33 55.25% 0.8512
50 Monmouth 0.14 51.37% 0.7146
51 TCU 0.12 52.08% 0.8484
52 Rhode Island -0.06 48.09% 0.8503
53 Georgia -0.32 44.71% 0.8022
54 Vanderbilt -0.48 42.53% 0.8685
55 Princeton -0.67 35.43% 0.7819
56 Clemson -0.70 38.78% 0.8583
57 California -0.90 34.58% 0.8092
58 Belmont -0.90 29.75% 0.6947
59 East Tennessee St. -1.07 29.54% 0.753
60 Houston -1.18 29.34% 0.8291
61 New Mexico St. -1.18 24.58% 0.6848
62 Indiana -1.22 30.42% 0.8564
63 Syracuse -1.25 29.76% 0.8409
64 UT Arlington -1.25 26.63% 0.7299
65 Texas Tech -1.26 28.96% 0.8407
66 Mississippi -1.55 25.82% 0.7529
67 Illinois -1.58 25.69% 0.7739
68 Winthrop -1.76 14.60% 0.6223
69 Iowa -1.77 22.52% 0.7645
70 Florida Gulf Coast -1.79 15.39% 0.6372
71 Akron -1.90 17.03% 0.6657
72 UCF -1.96 18.61% 0.7706
73 Valparaiso -2.05 14.22% 0.6568
74 Pittsburgh -2.08 19.74% 0.7571
75 Alabama -2.19 18.46% 0.8311
76 Georgia Tech -2.20 17.18% 0.7167
77 Utah -2.30 14.27% 0.828
78 College of Charleston -2.34 13.76% 0.6742
79 Bucknell -2.46 10.20% 0.7167
80 BYU -2.62 10.71% 0.7478
81 Tennessee -2.67 13.23% 0.7883
82 Auburn -2.73 12.85% 0.7153
83 UNC Greensboro -2.93 8.00% 0.5731
84 Texas A&M -3.08 8.85% 0.771
85 Ohio St. -3.14 9.24% 0.7666
86 Colorado St. -3.39 6.79% 0.71
87 UNC Asheville -3.58 2.96% 0.6322
88 Boise St. -3.65 5.00% 0.6645
89 Oakland -3.67 2.80% 0.6263
90 Grand Canyon -3.70 1.90% 0.4926
91 Richmond -3.75 5.62% 0.6931
92 Colorado -3.77 5.27% 0.7512
93 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.87 1.96% 0.597
94 Memphis -3.99 3.84% 0.6595
95 North Carolina St. -4.27 3.19% 0.6684
96 Texas Southern -4.48 0.59% 0.3972
97 Yale -4.49 1.10% 0.5475
98 Fresno St. -4.52 2.06% 0.6598
99 San Francisco -4.56 1.34% 0.6392
100 Georgetown -4.56 2.98% 0.7823
101 St. Bonaventure -4.58 1.98% 0.7026
102 Oklahoma -4.71 2.23% 0.7793
103 Northern Kentucky -5.02 0.67% 0.5259
104 Louisiana Tech -5.03 0.53% 0.6694
105 Penn St. -5.03 2.24% 0.7132
106 Stanford -5.10 1.28% 0.651
107 Furman -5.18 0.71% 0.6288
108 Harvard -5.22 0.43% 0.6261
109 George Mason -5.24 1.21% 0.6247
110 Davidson -5.26 1.37% 0.7177
111 George Washington -5.28 1.35% 0.607
112 North Carolina Central -5.32 0.08% 0.492
113 St. John’s -5.36 1.35% 0.6787
114 Nebraska -5.60 1.10% 0.6501
115 North Dakota -5.60 0.16% 0.5058
116 South Dakota -5.76 0.30% 0.5309
117 Arkansas St. -5.82 0.35% 0.5601
118 Mississippi St. -5.84 0.72% 0.6926
119 Texas -5.85 0.87% 0.7762
120 Chattanooga -5.87 0.24% 0.5713
121 Old Dominion -5.88 0.28% 0.5867
122 New Mexico -5.92 0.50% 0.5922
123 Iona -5.94 0.34% 0.595
124 Connecticut -5.96 0.61% 0.7119
125 North Dakota St. -5.97 0.20% 0.4941
126 Temple -5.97 0.40% 0.625
127 Georgia St. -5.99 0.27% 0.5832
128 Ohio -6.06 0.24% 0.6498
129 Rutgers -6.08 0.50% 0.5949
130 Eastern Washington -6.09 0.11% 0.4588
131 Arizona St. -6.34 0.37% 0.5845
132 Rice -6.47 0.07% 0.5126
133 San Diego St. -6.49 0.25% 0.7266
134 Louisiana Lafayette -6.58 0.12% 0.5567
135 New Hampshire -6.61 0.04% 0.4625
136 Towson -6.66 0.18% 0.6072
137 Lehigh -6.66 0.09% 0.5831
138 Tulsa -6.69 0.21% 0.5497
139 New Orleans -6.73 0.02% 0.4358
140 Fort Wayne -6.84 0.03% 0.5644
141 Ball St. -6.84 0.08% 0.51
142 Tennessee Martin -6.89 0.04% 0.3895
143 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -6.91 0.01% 0.3876
144 Wright St. -7.00 0.07% 0.5034
145 William & Mary -7.01 0.05% 0.5646
146 Albany -7.07 0.03% 0.5749
147 La Salle -7.13 0.10% 0.5556
148 Santa Clara -7.14 0.04% 0.6159
149 Kent St. -7.19 0.10% 0.562
150 Northern Iowa -7.28 0.07% 0.4797
151 Loyola Marymount -7.30 0.02% 0.4955
152 Tennessee St. -7.31 0.02% 0.4847
153 Nebraska Omaha -7.32 0.05% 0.4931
154 Loyola Chicago -7.60 0.03% 0.6661
155 Southern Illinois -7.61 0.03% 0.5193
156 Texas St. -7.68 0.01% 0.5008
157 Washington St. -7.70 0.04% 0.4498
158 UMBC -7.71 0.01% 0.428
159 Saint Peter’s -7.71 0.02% 0.6149
160 UC Irvine -7.73 0.01% 0.5649
161 Wyoming -7.82 0.03% 0.5188
162 Green Bay -7.84 0.01% 0.4614
163 Marshall -7.87 0.03% 0.5373
164 Elon -7.99 0.01% 0.5435
165 UC Davis -8.08 0.00% 0.3875
166 Mount St. Mary’s -8.13 0.00% 0.3762
167 Houston Baptist -8.15 0.00% 0.3526
168 Lipscomb -8.15 0.00% 0.5163
169 Georgia Southern -8.19 0.01% 0.4818
170 Liberty -8.23 0.00% 0.3854
171 Buffalo -8.35 0.01% 0.5876
172 Jacksonville St. -8.40 0.01% 0.5002
173 Gardner Webb -8.43 0.00% 0.485
174 Stony Brook -8.50 0.00% 0.3896
175 Samford -8.60 0.00% 0.4977
176 Troy -8.61 0.01% 0.5723
177 Sam Houston St. -8.71 0.00% 0.3235
178 Missouri St. -8.76 0.01% 0.583
179 East Carolina -8.88 0.00% 0.4857
180 Weber St. -8.90 0.00% 0.4933
181 LIU Brooklyn -8.92 0.00% 0.2988
182 LSU -9.01 0.01% 0.4812
183 Penn -9.05 0.00% 0.5054
184 Evansville -9.14 0.00% 0.5235
185 Boston University -9.16 0.00% 0.4274
186 Northeastern -9.18 0.00% 0.5006
187 Western Michigan -9.34 0.00% 0.5168
188 Fairfield -9.35 0.00% 0.3859
189 Canisius -9.45 0.00% 0.4547
190 San Jose St. -9.50 0.00% 0.3816
191 Idaho -9.50 0.00% 0.3715
192 UAB -9.51 0.00% 0.4496
193 Denver -9.51 0.00% 0.4394
194 Utah St. -9.66 0.00% 0.5663
195 UMKC -9.79 0.00% 0.3343
196 Stephen F. Austin -9.80 0.00% 0.3273
197 Toledo -9.81 0.00% 0.5783
198 Boston College -9.99 0.00% 0.5378
199 Alcorn St. -10.06 0.00% 0.2233
200 South Dakota St. -10.09 0.00% 0.4852
201 Wofford -10.14 0.00% 0.5408
202 San Diego -10.20 0.00% 0.2916
203 Massachusetts -10.21 0.00% 0.538
204 Mercer -10.27 0.00% 0.544
205 Siena -10.28 0.00% 0.5055
206 Rider -10.32 0.00% 0.3854
207 Eastern Michigan -10.37 0.00% 0.5308
208 Morehead St. -10.49 0.00% 0.4214
209 Coastal Carolina -10.49 0.00% 0.4066
210 Utah Valley -10.56 0.00% 0.4481
211 USC Upstate -10.56 0.00% 0.3398
212 Central Michigan -10.78 0.00% 0.368
213 Long Beach St. -10.88 0.00% 0.37
214 Washington -10.91 0.00% 0.511
215 Wagner -10.92 0.00% 0.3162
216 Charlotte -10.93 0.00% 0.326
217 Loyola MD -10.94 0.00% 0.2893
218 DePaul -11.04 0.00% 0.4963
219 Montana -11.04 0.00% 0.44
220 Lamar -11.16 0.00% 0.3325
221 Hofstra -11.17 0.00% 0.4635
222 Columbia -11.21 0.00% 0.3492
223 Holy Cross -11.21 0.00% 0.3558
224 Cal St. Fullerton -11.22 0.00% 0.2909
225 Norfolk St. -11.23 0.00% 0.1991
226 Saint Joseph’s -11.25 0.00% 0.486
227 Western Kentucky -11.27 0.00% 0.3455
228 Savannah St. -11.27 0.00% 0.1595
229 IUPUI -11.38 0.00% 0.4271
230 Bradley -11.47 0.00% 0.3873
231 Navy -11.48 0.00% 0.3915
232 High Point -11.49 0.00% 0.2702
233 Eastern Illinois -11.61 0.00% 0.3613
234 UTEP -11.76 0.00% 0.411
235 Fordham -11.78 0.00% 0.4308
236 Brown -11.86 0.00% 0.2669
237 Jacksonville -11.87 0.00% 0.2644
238 Radford -11.88 0.00% 0.209
239 Hawaii -12.00 0.00% 0.3044
240 Indiana St. -12.10 0.00% 0.4443
241 Little Rock -12.12 0.00% 0.3393
242 St. Francis PA -12.12 0.00% 0.2846
243 Northern Illinois -12.13 0.00% 0.4072
244 Nicholls St. -12.25 0.00% 0.1586
245 Montana St. -12.26 0.00% 0.3188
246 Murray St. -12.28 0.00% 0.4205
247 Southeastern Louisiana -12.33 0.00% 0.307
248 North Florida -12.34 0.00% 0.317
249 Seattle -12.44 0.00% 0.2526
250 Northwestern St. -12.49 0.00% 0.2034
251 Portland St. -12.55 0.00% 0.323
252 Saint Louis -12.63 0.00% 0.2802
253 Hampton -12.71 0.00% 0.1713
254 Northern Colorado -12.85 0.00% 0.244
255 Missouri -12.85 0.00% 0.5227
256 Pacific -12.87 0.00% 0.3529
257 Campbell -12.88 0.00% 0.2453
258 Abilene Christian -12.94 0.00% 0.185
259 South Alabama -13.01 0.00% 0.3249
260 UNLV -13.03 0.00% 0.3183
261 Bowling Green -13.05 0.00% 0.3242
262 Kennesaw St. -13.17 0.00% 0.2968
263 Southeast Missouri St. -13.21 0.00% 0.3252
264 Morgan St. -13.24 0.00% 0.1344
265 Portland -13.41 0.00% 0.2719
266 Eastern Kentucky -13.45 0.00% 0.2652
267 South Carolina St. -13.47 0.00% 0.1009
268 Incarnate Word -13.51 0.00% 0.1811
269 Grambling St. -13.57 0.00% 0.1301
270 Illinois Chicago -13.58 0.00% 0.3211
271 Robert Morris -13.62 0.00% 0.2621
272 Delaware -13.79 0.00% 0.2253
273 UTSA -13.81 0.00% 0.2823
274 Charleston Southern -13.83 0.00% 0.2019
275 Austin Peay -13.85 0.00% 0.235
276 Army -13.91 0.00% 0.314
277 Sacramento St. -14.09 0.00% 0.2354
278 Prairie View A&M -14.10 0.00% 0.1649
279 Pepperdine -14.12 0.00% 0.2189
280 Maryland Eastern Shore -14.19 0.00% 0.1512
281 Fairleigh Dickinson -14.23 0.00% 0.2752
282 Air Force -14.46 0.00% 0.36
283 Southern -14.62 0.00% 0.1438
284 Cal St. Northridge -14.62 0.00% 0.2574
285 Jackson St. -14.63 0.00% 0.1388
286 NJIT -14.66 0.00% 0.2434
287 Duquesne -14.77 0.00% 0.3739
288 Cornell -14.85 0.00% 0.2786
289 Tennessee Tech -14.85 0.00% 0.3052
290 Florida Atlantic -14.85 0.00% 0.254
291 The Citadel -14.86 0.00% 0.2162
292 Oral Roberts -15.00 0.00% 0.3363
293 Appalachian St. -15.02 0.00% 0.2649
294 Bryant -15.03 0.00% 0.2497
295 Dartmouth -15.06 0.00% 0.2048
296 South Florida -15.09 0.00% 0.2317
297 Western Illinois -15.16 0.00% 0.2184
298 Sacred Heart -15.37 0.00% 0.2066
299 Cal Poly -15.45 0.00% 0.1962
300 Binghamton -15.49 0.00% 0.1789
301 Youngstown St. -15.65 0.00% 0.2427
302 Quinnipiac -15.67 0.00% 0.2183
303 Miami OH -15.68 0.00% 0.256
304 Western Carolina -15.70 0.00% 0.137
305 UMass Lowell -15.75 0.00% 0.2337
306 Cleveland St. -15.78 0.00% 0.3039
307 Tulane -15.81 0.00% 0.3416
308 Manhattan -15.94 0.00% 0.2364
309 Lafayette -16.30 0.00% 0.1357
310 Stetson -16.42 0.00% 0.165
311 Oregon St. -16.57 0.00% 0.2967
312 Colgate -16.61 0.00% 0.2696
313 UC Riverside -16.75 0.00% 0.1911
314 American -16.76 0.00% 0.1954
315 UC Santa Barbara -16.78 0.00% 0.1368
316 Southern Miss -16.87 0.00% 0.1518
317 Drake -17.05 0.00% 0.2838
318 James Madison -17.09 0.00% 0.3656
319 Detroit -17.23 0.00% 0.2201
320 UT Rio Grande Valley -17.33 0.00% 0.1857
321 Drexel -17.41 0.00% 0.3081
322 McNeese St. -17.43 0.00% 0.1441
323 VMI -17.62 0.00% 0.1435
324 Delaware St. -17.64 0.00% 0.0965
325 North Texas -17.69 0.00% 0.1723
326 Central Arkansas -17.90 0.00% 0.1669
327 Milwaukee -18.01 0.00% 0.2893
328 Niagara -18.03 0.00% 0.2801
329 Louisiana Monroe -18.06 0.00% 0.285
330 Marist -18.07 0.00% 0.188
331 Howard -18.28 0.00% 0.0933
332 Mississippi Valley St. -18.38 0.00% 0.0802
333 Hartford -18.39 0.00% 0.1147
334 Maine -18.93 0.00% 0.1025
335 Bethune Cookman -18.96 0.00% 0.0874
336 Coppin St. -19.04 0.00% 0.0677
337 Chicago St. -19.11 0.00% 0.0942
338 FIU -19.16 0.00% 0.2631
339 SIU Edwardsville -19.27 0.00% 0.1665
340 Alabama St. -19.35 0.00% 0.081
341 Northern Arizona -19.44 0.00% 0.1493
342 Longwood -19.53 0.00% 0.0639
343 Central Connecticut -19.79 0.00% 0.0906
344 Florida A&M -20.42 0.00% 0.0653
345 Idaho St. -20.47 0.00% 0.1211
346 Presbyterian -20.65 0.00% 0.0416
347 Arkansas Pine Bluff -21.35 0.00% 0.0512
348 St. Francis NY -22.84 0.00% 0.0626
349 Southern Utah -23.11 0.00% 0.1285
350 Alabama A&M -24.06 0.00% 0.034
351 North Carolina A&T -25.39 0.00% 0.0488
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