WAB 3/4: Those poor Bruins

I have to feel bad for the Belmont Bruins. They dominated the Ohio Valley, going 15-1. No other team in the conference was within a country mile of their KenPom rating. However, in conference tournament play anything can happen. Yesterday Jacksonville State sent Belmont to the NIT. It’s a tough world out there. Sorry bear.

Good luck finding your way to Madison Square Garden.

This is the final Saturday of the regular season, and it is going out with a bang. Kansas at Oklahoma State & Duke at North Carolina are the headliners, but there are tons of other great games. I’ll be particularly focused on Creighton at Marquette and Georgia Tech at Syracuse. Others might be more interested in Florida at Venderbilt, Wake Forest at Virginia Tech, Texas Tech at Kansas State, Miami at FSU, or Notre Dame at Louisville. And then there are the conference tournaments. Mount Saint Mary’s will try to hold off Robert Morris and avoid a trip to the NIT. I have one question about conference tournaments… as any conference considered a setup where the regular season champion gets a bye to the finals, which they get to host? That would still sell tickets and provide TV revenue, while preserving the value of winning the regular season title. Just a thought.

Best of luck to UT Martin and Jacksonville State. They’ll be throwing down on ESPN 2 at 8 PM tonight, with the winner heading the NCAA Tournament.

I’m going to run the full WAB’s on Monday, but for now, enjoy the KenPom WAB’s:

WAB Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile Pythag
1 Kansas 10.23 100.00% 0.9443
2 Villanova 8.76 99.99% 0.9577
3 Baylor 7.28 99.92% 0.9439
4 North Carolina 6.87 99.85% 0.9515
5 Kentucky 6.60 99.83% 0.9506
6 Florida 6.57 99.75% 0.9569
7 Gonzaga 6.43 99.98% 0.9733
8 Louisville 6.18 99.62% 0.9533
9 UCLA 6.00 99.85% 0.9248
10 Butler 5.98 99.46% 0.9154
11 Oregon 5.53 99.45% 0.9291
12 Arizona 5.49 99.55% 0.9123
13 West Virginia 5.46 99.23% 0.9563
14 Duke 5.46 99.28% 0.9287
15 Florida St. 4.89 98.56% 0.9231
16 Notre Dame 4.68 98.12% 0.8925
17 Purdue 4.65 97.96% 0.9346
18 Cincinnati 4.28 98.19% 0.9198
19 SMU 4.25 97.68% 0.9318
20 Virginia 4.22 96.42% 0.9588
21 Iowa St. 4.05 95.90% 0.9068
22 Oklahoma St. 3.67 94.36% 0.9113
23 Saint Mary’s 3.48 97.28% 0.9307
24 Maryland 3.40 92.94% 0.8454
25 Wisconsin 3.37 92.70% 0.913
26 Minnesota 3.29 92.20% 0.8762
27 Virginia Tech 3.21 93.19% 0.8275
28 Creighton 3.19 91.94% 0.8955
29 Wichita St. 3.02 92.86% 0.9417
30 Arkansas 2.52 87.28% 0.8261
31 Dayton 2.51 87.84% 0.8697
32 South Carolina 2.36 84.33% 0.8976
33 Miami FL 2.27 84.96% 0.8812
34 Northwestern 1.58 75.09% 0.8544
35 Illinois St. 1.53 76.45% 0.8436
36 Middle Tennessee 1.34 74.14% 0.8156
37 VCU 1.19 69.41% 0.8328
38 USC 1.13 69.60% 0.7783
39 Seton Hall 1.04 67.38% 0.7938
40 Monmouth 1.03 69.29% 0.7319
41 UNC Wilmington 0.85 64.74% 0.7796
42 Xavier 0.74 61.88% 0.8251
43 Michigan 0.63 60.36% 0.8801
44 Michigan St. 0.60 60.08% 0.8275
45 Wake Forest 0.57 59.58% 0.8583
46 Kansas St. 0.49 58.59% 0.855
47 Vermont 0.45 58.21% 0.776
48 Providence 0.21 53.45% 0.8088
49 Nevada 0.12 50.71% 0.7829
50 UT Arlington 0.07 50.12% 0.7652
51 Marquette 0.07 51.03% 0.8597
52 Georgia -0.13 47.53% 0.8195
53 TCU -0.49 41.32% 0.8357
54 Texas Tech -0.52 40.47% 0.8521
55 Houston -0.78 35.18% 0.8309
56 Illinois -0.82 36.15% 0.7861
57 Princeton -0.86 31.43% 0.7832
58 California -0.92 33.00% 0.8224
59 Rhode Island -0.97 32.23% 0.8348
60 Clemson -0.99 33.77% 0.8407
61 Belmont -1.00 27.91% 0.6895
62 Syracuse -1.12 31.16% 0.8153
63 Valparaiso -1.25 24.64% 0.6809
64 East Tennessee St. -1.43 23.15% 0.784
65 New Mexico St. -1.47 19.13% 0.6564
66 Akron -1.49 21.05% 0.6421
67 Georgia Tech -1.55 24.38% 0.7579
68 Winthrop -1.60 16.81% 0.6267
69 Mississippi -1.68 22.85% 0.7166
70 Vanderbilt -1.70 24.01% 0.8352
71 Florida Gulf Coast -1.72 16.17% 0.6284
72 Iowa -1.81 21.25% 0.772
73 Ohio St. -1.86 20.81% 0.7774
74 College of Charleston -1.92 17.20% 0.7089
75 UCF -2.02 17.00% 0.7579
76 Auburn -2.06 18.99% 0.7207
77 Utah -2.12 15.09% 0.836
78 Indiana -2.13 17.08% 0.8186
79 UNC Greensboro -2.18 13.51% 0.5966
80 Alabama -2.31 15.27% 0.7996
81 Pittsburgh -2.32 16.19% 0.747
82 Cal St. Bakersfield -2.48 7.22% 0.6684
83 Tennessee -2.50 13.78% 0.7893
84 BYU -2.57 10.20% 0.7643
85 Bucknell -2.63 8.56% 0.724
86 Texas A&M -2.67 11.03% 0.7976
87 Oakland -2.75 7.05% 0.6517
88 Colorado St. -2.95 7.91% 0.6964
89 Memphis -3.18 7.10% 0.7153
90 Boise St. -3.24 6.39% 0.6677
91 UNC Asheville -3.50 3.25% 0.6565
92 Richmond -3.60 5.54% 0.7005
93 Harvard -3.68 2.29% 0.6475
94 San Francisco -3.82 2.62% 0.6603
95 North Carolina St. -3.94 4.14% 0.6557
96 Arkansas St. -3.97 2.79% 0.6168
97 Georgetown -4.02 4.42% 0.7899
98 Grand Canyon -4.10 0.97% 0.4774
99 Furman -4.10 2.44% 0.6512
100 Old Dominion -4.13 2.08% 0.6465
101 Louisiana Tech -4.14 1.29% 0.7007
102 Colorado -4.21 2.88% 0.7426
103 Stanford -4.24 2.66% 0.6688
104 Fresno St. -4.33 2.02% 0.6592
105 St. Bonaventure -4.42 1.75% 0.6898
106 Texas Southern -4.49 0.55% 0.4203
107 Eastern Washington -4.49 0.82% 0.4895
108 George Mason -4.63 1.67% 0.6237
109 Penn St. -4.63 2.64% 0.7257
110 Rice -4.65 0.74% 0.5615
111 Nebraska -4.70 2.42% 0.6945
112 Yale -4.77 0.60% 0.5437
113 Oklahoma -4.84 1.58% 0.7909
114 Chattanooga -4.88 0.88% 0.6445
115 South Dakota -4.94 0.71% 0.558
116 George Washington -5.07 1.29% 0.5749
117 St. John’s -5.20 1.23% 0.7012
118 Northern Kentucky -5.21 0.40% 0.527
119 Davidson -5.26 0.84% 0.7004
120 North Dakota St. -5.29 0.45% 0.533
121 Temple -5.34 0.72% 0.6271
122 North Carolina Central -5.38 0.06% 0.4833
123 Georgia St. -5.44 0.38% 0.6036
124 Mississippi St. -5.52 0.78% 0.6708
125 New Mexico -5.53 0.61% 0.5807
126 Connecticut -5.53 0.65% 0.7052
127 Ohio -5.56 0.33% 0.6588
128 San Diego St. -5.62 0.42% 0.7244
129 Tulsa -5.67 0.54% 0.5659
130 Louisiana Lafayette -5.88 0.20% 0.552
131 North Dakota -5.89 0.06% 0.4585
132 Tennessee Martin -5.95 0.14% 0.4139
133 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -5.98 0.03% 0.3944
134 Towson -6.03 0.31% 0.5905
135 Wright St. -6.07 0.21% 0.5081
136 Texas -6.08 0.48% 0.7547
137 Arizona St. -6.09 0.33% 0.5621
138 New Hampshire -6.12 0.07% 0.5168
139 Fort Wayne -6.12 0.09% 0.5423
140 Lehigh -6.26 0.12% 0.6149
141 Ball St. -6.40 0.10% 0.481
142 Rutgers -6.48 0.18% 0.5572
143 William & Mary -6.57 0.07% 0.5594
144 Iona -6.58 0.09% 0.5741
145 La Salle -6.64 0.14% 0.5495
146 Georgia Southern -6.71 0.08% 0.5189
147 Loyola Marymount -6.73 0.04% 0.5
148 Albany -6.74 0.03% 0.5638
149 New Orleans -6.90 0.01% 0.4602
150 Saint Peter’s -6.91 0.05% 0.6503
151 Sam Houston St. -6.91 0.01% 0.3378
152 Nebraska Omaha -6.91 0.05% 0.4477
153 Green Bay -6.98 0.03% 0.4777
154 Southern Illinois -7.09 0.06% 0.5386
155 Elon -7.11 0.05% 0.5688
156 Houston Baptist -7.13 0.01% 0.3993
157 Wyoming -7.15 0.07% 0.5528
158 Washington St. -7.15 0.07% 0.4272
159 UC Irvine -7.30 0.01% 0.5285
160 Santa Clara -7.32 0.02% 0.5554
161 Northern Iowa -7.41 0.06% 0.4941
162 Tennessee St. -7.54 0.01% 0.5086
163 Stony Brook -7.57 0.01% 0.4049
164 UMBC -7.61 0.01% 0.4476
165 Loyola Chicago -7.62 0.03% 0.6676
166 UC Davis -7.70 0.00% 0.3703
167 Marshall -7.80 0.01% 0.5131
168 LSU -7.80 0.05% 0.5209
169 Buffalo -7.82 0.02% 0.5903
170 UAB -7.91 0.01% 0.481
171 Samford -8.01 0.01% 0.5159
172 Kent St. -8.04 0.01% 0.5195
173 Texas St. -8.11 0.00% 0.4331
174 Boston University -8.15 0.01% 0.4498
175 Alcorn St. -8.16 0.00% 0.2298
176 San Jose St. -8.16 0.01% 0.4139
177 Lipscomb -8.17 0.00% 0.508
178 Liberty -8.24 0.00% 0.3912
179 Mount St. Mary’s -8.25 0.00% 0.3776
180 Gardner Webb -8.33 0.00% 0.4833
181 Northeastern -8.35 0.01% 0.5509
182 Weber St. -8.36 0.00% 0.4604
183 East Carolina -8.40 0.00% 0.4237
184 Jacksonville St. -8.45 0.01% 0.4973
185 Missouri St. -8.46 0.01% 0.5614
186 Penn -8.54 0.00% 0.4972
187 Fairfield -8.55 0.00% 0.4102
188 Western Michigan -8.65 0.00% 0.5239
189 Denver -8.67 0.00% 0.4682
190 LIU Brooklyn -8.81 0.00% 0.3061
191 Stephen F. Austin -8.86 0.00% 0.3255
192 Coastal Carolina -8.89 0.00% 0.4345
193 Idaho -8.91 0.00% 0.3421
194 Troy -8.92 0.00% 0.5131
195 Evansville -9.11 0.00% 0.5221
196 UMKC -9.15 0.00% 0.3694
197 Charlotte -9.18 0.00% 0.3342
198 Wofford -9.19 0.00% 0.5316
199 Massachusetts -9.22 0.00% 0.5228
200 Toledo -9.26 0.00% 0.561
201 Utah St. -9.33 0.00% 0.5408
202 Canisius -9.33 0.00% 0.458
203 Mercer -9.39 0.00% 0.5473
204 Rider -9.50 0.00% 0.4089
205 Boston College -9.51 0.00% 0.5166
206 Siena -9.63 0.00% 0.4728
207 Utah Valley -9.92 0.00% 0.4359
208 Eastern Michigan -9.93 0.00% 0.5571
209 Wagner -9.94 0.00% 0.3255
210 Central Michigan -10.13 0.00% 0.3529
211 DePaul -10.20 0.00% 0.4806
212 Washington -10.21 0.00% 0.4947
213 Lamar -10.23 0.00% 0.357
214 Fordham -10.26 0.00% 0.4363
215 Montana -10.28 0.00% 0.4301
216 San Diego -10.32 0.00% 0.2836
217 Norfolk St. -10.39 0.00% 0.1996
218 South Dakota St. -10.45 0.00% 0.4438
219 Long Beach St. -10.46 0.00% 0.3324
220 Morehead St. -10.47 0.00% 0.4159
221 Hawaii -10.48 0.00% 0.2712
222 Western Kentucky -10.48 0.00% 0.3339
223 Little Rock -10.49 0.00% 0.3171
224 USC Upstate -10.51 0.00% 0.3483
225 Columbia -10.52 0.00% 0.328
226 Montana St. -10.52 0.00% 0.3465
227 Cal St. Fullerton -10.71 0.00% 0.2408
228 Navy -10.71 0.00% 0.3915
229 Saint Joseph’s -10.75 0.00% 0.4777
230 IUPUI -10.78 0.00% 0.4243
231 Seattle -10.79 0.00% 0.2533
232 Loyola MD -10.88 0.00% 0.308
233 Brown -10.96 0.00% 0.2828
234 Portland St. -10.98 0.00% 0.3386
235 Holy Cross -11.05 0.00% 0.3744
236 Hofstra -11.06 0.00% 0.4692
237 Nicholls St. -11.20 0.00% 0.1943
238 Savannah St. -11.21 0.00% 0.1863
239 Southeastern Louisiana -11.23 0.00% 0.3511
240 St. Francis PA -11.37 0.00% 0.3003
241 UTEP -11.49 0.00% 0.4075
242 Northern Illinois -11.52 0.00% 0.3955
243 Saint Louis -11.52 0.00% 0.2425
244 High Point -11.53 0.00% 0.269
245 Bradley -11.55 0.00% 0.3769
246 North Florida -11.70 0.00% 0.3111
247 Eastern Illinois -11.70 0.00% 0.3608
248 Hampton -11.74 0.00% 0.1846
249 Radford -11.87 0.00% 0.2128
250 Abilene Christian -11.88 0.00% 0.2075
251 Jacksonville -11.88 0.00% 0.2716
252 UNLV -11.92 0.00% 0.3045
253 Indiana St. -12.12 0.00% 0.4209
254 Campbell -12.13 0.00% 0.229
255 Morgan St. -12.21 0.00% 0.15
256 South Alabama -12.26 0.00% 0.3236
257 Missouri -12.26 0.00% 0.4971
258 Murray St. -12.29 0.00% 0.429
259 Northwestern St. -12.30 0.00% 0.2187
260 Sacramento St. -12.33 0.00% 0.2244
261 South Carolina St. -12.40 0.00% 0.1123
262 Bowling Green -12.44 0.00% 0.3177
263 Incarnate Word -12.46 0.00% 0.2145
264 Southern -12.69 0.00% 0.1722
265 Illinois Chicago -12.70 0.00% 0.3113
266 Robert Morris -12.74 0.00% 0.2627
267 Grambling St. -12.76 0.00% 0.1263
268 Cal St. Northridge -12.83 0.00% 0.271
269 Pacific -12.86 0.00% 0.3214
270 Duquesne -12.97 0.00% 0.3815
271 Northern Colorado -13.00 0.00% 0.2315
272 Portland -13.14 0.00% 0.2499
273 Delaware -13.16 0.00% 0.2153
274 Kennesaw St. -13.19 0.00% 0.3122
275 Prairie View A&M -13.23 0.00% 0.1856
276 Southeast Missouri St. -13.25 0.00% 0.3408
277 Air Force -13.30 0.00% 0.376
278 Eastern Kentucky -13.41 0.00% 0.2573
279 UTSA -13.51 0.00% 0.2515
280 Maryland Eastern Shore -13.52 0.00% 0.1791
281 Jackson St. -13.54 0.00% 0.1392
282 Florida Atlantic -13.59 0.00% 0.2755
283 South Florida -13.71 0.00% 0.222
284 Cal Poly -13.76 0.00% 0.2196
285 Army -13.77 0.00% 0.3289
286 The Citadel -13.82 0.00% 0.2486
287 Charleston Southern -13.82 0.00% 0.1992
288 Austin Peay -13.96 0.00% 0.2396
289 Appalachian St. -14.25 0.00% 0.2763
290 Pepperdine -14.27 0.00% 0.2164
291 Fairleigh Dickinson -14.30 0.00% 0.2784
292 Western Illinois -14.46 0.00% 0.2058
293 Dartmouth -14.52 0.00% 0.2096
294 NJIT -14.70 0.00% 0.2403
295 Tennessee Tech -14.80 0.00% 0.288
296 Bryant -14.97 0.00% 0.2522
297 Youngstown St. -14.99 0.00% 0.2336
298 Cornell -15.01 0.00% 0.2545
299 Oral Roberts -15.06 0.00% 0.3375
300 Tulane -15.10 0.00% 0.3174
301 Miami OH -15.12 0.00% 0.2288
302 Western Carolina -15.36 0.00% 0.1498
303 Southern Miss -15.36 0.00% 0.1472
304 Binghamton -15.43 0.00% 0.1794
305 Sacred Heart -15.44 0.00% 0.2071
306 UT Rio Grande Valley -15.65 0.00% 0.1984
307 Quinnipiac -15.66 0.00% 0.2237
308 Cleveland St. -15.66 0.00% 0.3135
309 UMass Lowell -15.78 0.00% 0.2345
310 Manhattan -15.84 0.00% 0.229
311 Oregon St. -15.85 0.00% 0.2558
312 Central Arkansas -15.97 0.00% 0.2071
313 UC Riverside -16.15 0.00% 0.1592
314 James Madison -16.18 0.00% 0.3567
315 Lafayette -16.19 0.00% 0.1311
316 Louisiana Monroe -16.33 0.00% 0.2861
317 McNeese St. -16.34 0.00% 0.1733
318 Stetson -16.54 0.00% 0.1791
319 Colgate -16.56 0.00% 0.2681
320 Delaware St. -16.60 0.00% 0.1069
321 American -16.62 0.00% 0.1846
322 North Texas -16.74 0.00% 0.157
323 UC Santa Barbara -16.96 0.00% 0.094
324 Detroit -17.08 0.00% 0.2128
325 Drake -17.12 0.00% 0.2907
326 VMI -17.29 0.00% 0.149
327 Drexel -17.31 0.00% 0.3174
328 Milwaukee -17.37 0.00% 0.2594
329 Howard -17.42 0.00% 0.0937
330 Chicago St. -17.54 0.00% 0.0937
331 Alabama St. -17.59 0.00% 0.0761
332 Mississippi Valley St. -17.62 0.00% 0.0744
333 Coppin St. -17.98 0.00% 0.0856
334 Niagara -18.02 0.00% 0.2926
335 Bethune Cookman -18.07 0.00% 0.1028
336 Marist -18.07 0.00% 0.1846
337 Hartford -18.40 0.00% 0.1127
338 Idaho St. -18.69 0.00% 0.1357
339 Northern Arizona -18.72 0.00% 0.1373
340 Maine -18.89 0.00% 0.0991
341 FIU -19.22 0.00% 0.2368
342 SIU Edwardsville -19.33 0.00% 0.1662
343 Florida A&M -19.41 0.00% 0.0807
344 Longwood -19.49 0.00% 0.0597
345 Central Connecticut -19.86 0.00% 0.0896
346 Arkansas Pine Bluff -20.40 0.00% 0.0497
347 Presbyterian -20.61 0.00% 0.0369
348 Southern Utah -21.44 0.00% 0.1248
349 St. Francis NY -22.78 0.00% 0.0582
350 Alabama A&M -23.11 0.00% 0.0379
351 North Carolina A&T -24.44 0.00% 0.0514

 

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