WAB 2/27: Championship “Week” begins

The Atlantic Sun kicks things off. Florida Gulf Coast will be looking to the run the table on their home court, with Lipscomb being their biggest threat.

In other news Wisconsin is continuing their late season fade, while Michigan State has worked their way up.

Tonight Baylor will have a chance to grab a huge win against West Virginia. If they do, they’ll give themselves a great shot of finishing on the 1-line. If not, it looks like a free-for-all between Louisville, Gonzaga, Kentucky, and Florida. Sorry Butler, but that’s just too much ground to make up. North Carolina can pretty much lock up a 1-seed if they beat Virginia tonight and Duke on Saturday. They are rounding into a very dangerous team.

Full WAB’s available here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hof8DT8OCt_9A-f93NnXnSfMdp97B1qvmQ8Hw_X3X8Y/edit#gid=0

WAB Rank School WAB-AVG Pythag Pythag Rank
1 Kansas 10.19 0.9512 8
2 Villanova 8.99 0.9616 3
3 North Carolina 7.42 0.9618 2
4 Baylor 6.93 0.9367 15
5 Louisville 6.84 0.9571 6
6 Gonzaga 6.56 0.9699 1
7 Kentucky 6.52 0.9532 7
8 Florida 6.35 0.9581 5
9 Butler 6.27 0.9202 19
10 UCLA 6.14 0.9369 14
11 Arizona 5.75 0.9170 22
12 Oregon 5.70 0.9374 13
13 Florida St. 5.45 0.9273 17
14 West Virginia 5.23 0.9601 4
15 Duke 5.20 0.9391 12
16 Notre Dame 4.82 0.9078 25
17 Purdue 4.65 0.9400 11
18 Wisconsin 4.55 0.9177 21
19 SMU 4.33 0.9288 16
20 Cincinnati 4.08 0.9162 24
21 Oklahoma St. 4.08 0.9188 20
22 Virginia 3.93 0.9504 9
23 Iowa St. 3.75 0.9168 23
24 Saint Mary’s 3.54 0.9261 18
25 Creighton 3.40 0.8998 26
26 Minnesota 3.37 0.8738 30
27 Maryland 3.34 0.8395 44
28 Virginia Tech 3.11 0.8350 49
29 Miami FL 3.10 0.8895 28
30 Wichita St. 2.97 0.9413 10
31 Arkansas 2.71 0.8403 42
32 South Carolina 2.39 0.8816 29
33 Dayton 2.23 0.8686 31
34 VCU 1.60 0.8353 48
35 Xavier 1.54 0.8478 38
36 Illinois St. 1.49 0.8258 50
37 Northwestern 1.47 0.8487 37
38 Middle Tennessee 1.41 0.8207 52
39 Michigan St. 1.33 0.8411 41
40 Michigan 1.26 0.8947 27
41 USC 1.26 0.7805 65
42 Seton Hall 1.08 0.8060 56
43 Monmouth 0.95 0.7198 82
44 UNC Wilmington 0.80 0.7735 68
45 Vermont 0.44 0.7562 73
46 Providence 0.38 0.8166 54
47 TCU 0.25 0.8389 46
48 Wake Forest 0.09 0.8608 33
49 Kansas St. 0.07 0.8505 36
50 Nevada -0.04 0.7918 61
51 UT Arlington -0.12 0.7464 76
52 Belmont -0.16 0.7151 84
53 Marquette -0.21 0.8642 32
54 Georgia -0.29 0.8201 53
55 California -0.42 0.8398 43
56 Houston -0.55 0.8459 39
57 Texas Tech -0.64 0.8584 35
58 Akron -0.71 0.6674 102
59 Syracuse -0.83 0.8355 47
60 East Tennessee St. -0.87 0.7579 72
61 Princeton -0.89 0.7764 67
62 Illinois -0.91 0.7967 59
63 Clemson -0.95 0.8592 34
64 Rhode Island -0.96 0.8256 51
65 Mississippi -1.10 0.7484 75
66 Valparaiso -1.20 0.6756 100
67 Georgia Tech -1.37 0.7330 78
68 Vanderbilt -1.40 0.8393 45
69 Auburn -1.49 0.7249 81
70 Pittsburgh -1.49 0.7784 66
71 New Mexico St. -1.53 0.6486 104
72 Indiana -1.65 0.8448 40
73 Tennessee -1.68 0.8036 57
74 Winthrop -1.69 0.6267 115
75 Florida Gulf Coast -1.78 0.6179 117
76 UCF -1.94 0.7550 74
77 College of Charleston -1.97 0.6790 99
78 Ohio St. -2.13 0.7905 63
79 Utah -2.15 0.8129 55
80 Iowa -2.29 0.7669 70
81 Boise St. -2.40 0.6822 95
82 Alabama -2.42 0.7914 62
83 Cal St. Bakersfield -2.48 0.6368 112
84 UNC Asheville -2.54 0.6571 103
85 BYU -2.56 0.7685 69
86 UNC Greensboro -2.64 0.5597 136
87 Bucknell -2.65 0.7136 85
88 Oakland -2.70 0.6484 106
89 Texas A&M -2.73 0.7840 64
90 Colorado St. -3.05 0.6892 92
91 Harvard -3.10 0.6438 109
92 Memphis -3.11 0.7117 86
93 Georgetown -3.24 0.8011 58
94 North Carolina St. -3.30 0.6801 97
95 Arkansas St. -3.44 0.5912 122
96 North Carolina Central -3.45 0.5007 166
97 Stanford -3.47 0.6872 93
98 Penn St. -3.56 0.7400 77
99 Richmond -3.68 0.6943 91
100 St. Bonaventure -3.72 0.7070 89
101 San Francisco -3.86 0.6485 105
102 Grand Canyon -4.08 0.4681 182
103 Nebraska -4.09 0.7057 90
104 Colorado -4.11 0.7303 79
105 Louisiana Tech -4.18 0.6834 94
106 Chattanooga -4.19 0.6223 116
107 Furman -4.31 0.6409 110
108 Old Dominion -4.33 0.6348 114
109 Eastern Washington -4.44 0.4855 177
110 Oklahoma -4.48 0.7920 60
111 George Mason -4.48 0.6381 111
112 Connecticut -4.54 0.7260 80
113 St. John’s -4.57 0.7078 88
114 Texas Southern -4.61 0.4220 203
115 Fresno St. -4.66 0.6466 108
116 Ohio -4.67 0.6733 101
117 Yale -4.73 0.5253 153
118 Georgia St. -4.74 0.6053 119
119 South Dakota -4.85 0.5454 140
120 North Dakota -4.92 0.4997 168
121 Rice -4.93 0.5454 141
122 George Washington -5.09 0.5991 121
123 Northern Kentucky -5.16 0.5131 161
124 Temple -5.16 0.6469 107
125 North Dakota St. -5.17 0.5332 150
126 Mississippi St. -5.18 0.6795 98
127 Davidson -5.22 0.7091 87
128 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -5.32 0.3834 215
129 Tulsa -5.50 0.5771 130
130 New Mexico -5.51 0.5886 124
131 Texas -5.55 0.7641 71
132 La Salle -5.56 0.5911 123
133 San Diego St. -5.58 0.7196 83
134 Rutgers -5.62 0.5992 120
135 Arizona St. -5.84 0.5815 126
136 Georgia Southern -5.86 0.5186 155
137 New Orleans -6.02 0.4269 197
138 Wright St. -6.04 0.5133 160
139 Fort Wayne -6.05 0.5696 131
140 Tennessee Martin -6.07 0.3981 212
141 Towson -6.09 0.5823 125
142 New Hampshire -6.18 0.4975 170
143 Louisiana Lafayette -6.19 0.5419 143
144 Lehigh -6.29 0.6154 118
145 Wyoming -6.46 0.5411 144
146 Northern Iowa -6.47 0.4911 174
147 Tennessee St. -6.51 0.4945 172
148 William & Mary -6.53 0.5603 134
149 Washington St. -6.54 0.4454 190
150 Iona -6.56 0.5610 133
151 Ball St. -6.67 0.4851 178
152 Loyola Marymount -6.68 0.4965 171
153 Loyola Chicago -6.77 0.6805 96
154 Albany -6.78 0.5502 139
155 Marshall -6.83 0.5167 156
156 Nebraska Omaha -6.84 0.4495 188
157 Green Bay -6.90 0.4913 173
158 UMBC -6.96 0.4430 192
159 Saint Peter’s -7.07 0.6361 113
160 Sam Houston St. -7.11 0.3392 235
161 Elon -7.12 0.5545 138
162 Lipscomb -7.16 0.5217 154
163 UC Irvine -7.17 0.5406 145
164 Kent St. -7.22 0.5303 152
165 Liberty -7.26 0.4077 206
166 Santa Clara -7.29 0.5790 129
167 Houston Baptist -7.29 0.3463 229
168 Southern Illinois -7.32 0.5159 158
169 Weber St. -7.35 0.4847 179
170 San Jose St. -7.39 0.4272 195
171 Alcorn St. -7.40 0.2151 294
172 Texas St. -7.44 0.4062 208
173 Penn -7.44 0.5303 151
174 UC Davis -7.55 0.3852 213
175 Samford -7.55 0.4762 181
176 Stony Brook -7.63 0.4072 207
177 Gardner Webb -7.66 0.4436 191
178 LIU Brooklyn -7.85 0.3101 249
179 UAB -7.92 0.4857 176
180 Buffalo -7.98 0.5811 127
181 LSU -8.01 0.4994 169
182 Stephen F. Austin -8.05 0.3226 245
183 Boston University -8.16 0.4459 189
184 Massachusetts -8.21 0.5569 137
185 Mount St. Mary’s -8.23 0.3768 220
186 Utah St. -8.35 0.5603 135
187 Central Michigan -8.39 0.4043 209
188 Northeastern -8.39 0.5405 146
189 Toledo -8.47 0.5794 128
190 Fairfield -8.54 0.4008 211
191 Troy -8.58 0.5072 165
192 East Carolina -8.59 0.4251 199
193 Denver -8.61 0.4588 186
194 Missouri St. -8.63 0.5684 132
195 Evansville -8.69 0.5093 164
196 Canisius -8.69 0.4644 184
197 Western Michigan -8.70 0.5112 163
198 Idaho -8.83 0.3613 223
199 Jacksonville St. -8.85 0.4271 196
200 Boston College -8.99 0.5438 142
201 Eastern Michigan -9.02 0.5386 148
202 Coastal Carolina -9.03 0.4241 202
203 UMKC -9.16 0.3570 225
204 Charlotte -9.29 0.3237 244
205 Fordham -9.29 0.4622 185
206 San Diego -9.36 0.3013 254
207 Norfolk St. -9.47 0.1929 305
208 Wofford -9.49 0.5159 157
209 DePaul -9.53 0.5001 167
210 Rider -9.53 0.4091 205
211 Columbia -9.54 0.3819 216
212 Hawaii -9.56 0.3455 231
213 Morehead St. -9.59 0.4326 193
214 Mercer -9.63 0.5393 147
215 USC Upstate -9.65 0.3446 232
216 Siena -9.66 0.4794 180
217 Northern Illinois -9.72 0.4265 198
218 Saint Joseph’s -9.83 0.5135 159
219 Wagner -9.89 0.3350 237
220 Utah Valley -9.99 0.4247 201
221 Washington -10.01 0.5117 162
222 Portland St. -10.06 0.3370 236
223 Loyola MD -10.10 0.3004 255
224 Hofstra -10.19 0.4872 175
225 Long Beach St. -10.24 0.3404 234
226 Holy Cross -10.29 0.3719 221
227 Western Kentucky -10.36 0.3475 228
228 Montana -10.39 0.4250 200
229 Lamar -10.40 0.3283 242
230 South Dakota St. -10.42 0.4548 187
231 Nicholls St. -10.51 0.1652 318
232 South Alabama -10.56 0.3614 222
233 Cal St. Fullerton -10.58 0.2531 277
234 Montana St. -10.59 0.3350 238
235 High Point -10.66 0.3061 251
236 UTEP -10.69 0.4020 210
237 IUPUI -10.73 0.4216 204
238 Bowling Green -10.75 0.3457 230
239 Little Rock -10.77 0.3181 246
240 Navy -10.80 0.3836 214
241 Seattle -10.85 0.2634 273
242 Brown -10.97 0.2671 268
243 Radford -10.97 0.2207 290
244 Jacksonville -11.03 0.2604 276
245 Abilene Christian -11.06 0.2040 301
246 Morgan St. -11.23 0.1431 326
247 Indiana St. -11.23 0.4647 183
248 Bradley -11.34 0.3786 219
249 St. Francis PA -11.35 0.2849 263
250 Missouri -11.36 0.5365 149
251 Savannah St. -11.49 0.1472 322
252 South Carolina St. -11.50 0.0995 337
253 Saint Louis -11.52 0.2493 278
254 Southeastern Louisiana -11.56 0.3119 247
255 Murray St. -11.59 0.4299 194
256 Eastern Illinois -11.65 0.3606 224
257 Cal St. Northridge -11.70 0.2970 257
258 Southern -11.79 0.1637 319
259 Grambling St. -11.84 0.1108 335
260 UNLV -11.86 0.2992 256
261 Hampton -11.88 0.1724 313
262 North Florida -11.90 0.3016 253
263 Duquesne -12.11 0.3787 218
264 Campbell -12.45 0.2084 299
265 Sacramento St. -12.51 0.2197 291
266 Southeast Missouri St. -12.52 0.3417 233
267 Maryland Eastern Shore -12.53 0.1718 314
268 Northwestern St. -12.57 0.1824 308
269 UTSA -12.61 0.2424 280
270 Incarnate Word -12.65 0.1734 312
271 Kennesaw St. -12.66 0.2882 262
272 Illinois Chicago -12.69 0.3112 248
273 Air Force -12.73 0.3795 217
274 Florida Atlantic -12.81 0.2921 259
275 Pacific -12.84 0.3516 226
276 South Florida -12.89 0.2238 288
277 Robert Morris -12.90 0.2638 272
278 Northern Colorado -12.96 0.2397 282
279 Portland -13.14 0.2630 274
280 Charleston Southern -13.16 0.2121 296
281 Army -13.24 0.3099 250
282 Pepperdine -13.27 0.2190 292
283 Prairie View A&M -13.34 0.1461 323
284 Delaware -13.36 0.1992 303
285 Fairleigh Dickinson -13.37 0.2758 266
286 Appalachian St. -13.38 0.2895 260
287 Eastern Kentucky -13.40 0.2657 269
288 Jackson St. -13.60 0.1409 327
289 Cal Poly -13.61 0.2213 289
290 Tennessee Tech -13.89 0.3035 252
291 Austin Peay -13.89 0.2347 285
292 NJIT -13.94 0.2649 270
293 Bryant -14.09 0.2612 275
294 Cornell -14.21 0.2771 265
295 The Citadel -14.22 0.1929 304
296 Western Illinois -14.40 0.2143 295
297 Tulane -14.44 0.3327 240
298 Sacred Heart -14.53 0.2036 302
299 Western Carolina -14.62 0.1364 329
300 Miami OH -14.69 0.2297 287
301 Binghamton -14.69 0.1823 309
302 Cleveland St. -14.70 0.3327 241
303 Quinnipiac -14.78 0.2405 281
304 Dartmouth -14.78 0.2098 297
305 Louisiana Monroe -14.90 0.2894 261
306 Manhattan -14.95 0.2346 286
307 Youngstown St. -14.95 0.2069 300
308 Oral Roberts -14.96 0.3346 239
309 UC Riverside -15.12 0.1904 306
310 Lafayette -15.30 0.1340 330
311 Southern Miss -15.34 0.1564 321
312 McNeese St. -15.63 0.1433 324
313 Oregon St. -15.68 0.2782 264
314 UMass Lowell -15.73 0.2379 284
315 Alabama St. -15.74 0.0909 340
316 UT Rio Grande Valley -15.74 0.1860 307
317 VMI -15.78 0.1590 320
318 American -15.81 0.2094 298
319 Colgate -15.83 0.2640 271
320 North Texas -15.91 0.1672 316
321 Stetson -15.93 0.1710 315
322 UC Santa Barbara -15.93 0.1263 332
323 Central Arkansas -16.05 0.1775 311
324 Coppin St. -16.07 0.0715 343
325 Detroit -16.13 0.2473 279
326 Drake -16.22 0.2931 258
327 James Madison -16.37 0.3509 227
328 Drexel -16.40 0.3261 243
329 Howard -16.44 0.0916 339
330 Delaware St. -16.58 0.0998 336
331 Marist -17.30 0.1821 310
332 Milwaukee -17.38 0.2385 283
333 Niagara -17.40 0.2713 267
334 Mississippi Valley St. -17.53 0.0708 344
335 Chicago St. -17.54 0.0887 341
336 Idaho St. -17.59 0.1431 325
337 Hartford -17.69 0.1218 333
338 Northern Arizona -17.71 0.1380 328
339 Bethune Cookman -18.16 0.0863 342
340 Maine -18.45 0.1140 334
341 Florida A&M -18.51 0.0695 345
342 Longwood -18.52 0.0623 347
343 FIU -18.87 0.2161 293
344 SIU Edwardsville -19.26 0.1669 317
345 Arkansas Pine Bluff -19.33 0.0552 348
346 Presbyterian -19.70 0.0436 349
347 Central Connecticut -19.78 0.0918 338
348 Southern Utah -20.45 0.1288 331
349 Alabama A&M -21.20 0.0340 351
350 St. Francis NY -22.80 0.0639 346
351 North Carolina A&T -23.55 0.0428 350
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2 comments
  1. ColoradoCat said:

    Do you think WAB is a better measure than bubble percentile? Hard to imagine Gonzaga would be passed up there if they win out.

    • sethburn said:

      Bubble percentile is better, but WAB is easier to grok.

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