WAB 2/16: Duke rises

At this point we no longer have to worry about Duke being a 4-5 seed that no one wants to face. They’re starting to reach their potential, which means they’re playing themselves onto the 2 or 3 line.

I only had time to run the KenPom WAB’s today. I’ll try to run the full list this weekend.

WAB Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile Pythag
1 Kansas 8.27 100.00% 0.9427
2 Villanova 7.97 99.99% 0.9591
3 Baylor 6.90 99.95% 0.9493
4 Gonzaga 6.72 100.00% 0.9782
5 Louisville 5.90 99.74% 0.9631
6 North Carolina 5.61 99.58% 0.9406
7 Florida 5.29 99.30% 0.9582
8 Arizona 5.06 99.60% 0.9122
9 Duke 4.94 99.33% 0.9378
10 Wisconsin 4.69 98.99% 0.9352
11 Florida St. 4.66 98.88% 0.9315
12 Cincinnati 4.65 99.34% 0.9156
13 Kentucky 4.56 98.53% 0.9528
14 UCLA 4.41 99.03% 0.9082
15 Maryland 4.34 98.20% 0.8682
16 Butler 4.21 96.83% 0.9027
17 Oregon 3.92 97.41% 0.9272
18 Notre Dame 3.92 96.62% 0.8976
19 Virginia 3.83 96.38% 0.9637
20 Creighton 3.82 96.60% 0.9041
21 Purdue 3.72 96.51% 0.9409
22 West Virginia 3.62 96.42% 0.96
23 SMU 2.92 92.54% 0.9258
24 Wichita St. 2.78 92.62% 0.9334
25 Xavier 2.75 89.66% 0.8676
26 Oklahoma St. 2.63 89.34% 0.9064
27 Saint Mary’s 2.50 93.32% 0.9176
28 South Carolina 2.30 85.64% 0.8996
29 Virginia Tech 2.22 86.88% 0.819
30 USC 1.93 83.23% 0.79
31 Iowa St. 1.73 79.76% 0.9032
32 Northwestern 1.71 79.06% 0.8713
33 Minnesota 1.56 76.43% 0.8589
34 Arkansas 1.24 72.36% 0.8023
35 VCU 1.15 70.34% 0.8349
36 Dayton 1.13 71.10% 0.8708
37 Illinois St. 1.12 70.93% 0.8412
38 Miami FL 0.69 63.22% 0.8563
39 TCU 0.68 62.75% 0.8455
40 Middle Tennessee 0.64 62.09% 0.8197
41 Vermont 0.59 61.25% 0.762
42 Akron 0.56 61.20% 0.6678
43 Seton Hall 0.36 56.67% 0.8131
44 Michigan St. 0.30 55.32% 0.8134
45 California 0.28 54.91% 0.8472
46 Kansas St. 0.22 54.49% 0.8812
47 Monmouth 0.17 52.24% 0.7024
48 UNC Wilmington -0.06 47.31% 0.7851
49 Texas Tech -0.14 47.06% 0.8496
50 Clemson -0.15 47.19% 0.8504
51 Nevada -0.33 42.09% 0.7484
52 Belmont -0.43 38.72% 0.7317
53 Valparaiso -0.43 38.23% 0.6861
54 Wake Forest -0.44 41.75% 0.8534
55 Michigan -0.47 40.57% 0.8684
56 New Mexico St. -0.79 30.02% 0.6767
57 Marquette -0.81 34.52% 0.8244
58 Auburn -0.91 33.12% 0.7197
59 Georgia -0.92 33.12% 0.8261
60 Tennessee -0.95 32.77% 0.8377
61 UT Arlington -0.98 28.38% 0.7444
62 Providence -1.01 31.81% 0.8013
63 Syracuse -1.10 30.10% 0.8218
64 Houston -1.10 27.83% 0.8475
65 Georgia Tech -1.17 28.52% 0.7467
66 East Tennessee St. -1.31 23.03% 0.7689
67 Mississippi -1.31 26.38% 0.7491
68 Alabama -1.36 25.61% 0.7896
69 Chattanooga -1.38 22.42% 0.7272
70 Winthrop -1.62 16.46% 0.6122
71 Pittsburgh -1.77 20.30% 0.739
72 Princeton -1.79 14.54% 0.7157
73 Georgetown -1.86 19.77% 0.8184
74 Utah -1.93 14.94% 0.8254
75 UNC Asheville -1.93 13.32% 0.6705
76 Indiana -1.99 16.85% 0.8253
77 Memphis -2.02 15.11% 0.7081
78 Florida Gulf Coast -2.13 10.14% 0.6148
79 Ohio St. -2.17 15.62% 0.7724
80 Rhode Island -2.22 12.97% 0.8052
81 Boise St. -2.36 11.34% 0.6938
82 Arkansas St. -2.51 9.54% 0.6568
83 Illinois -2.52 11.75% 0.7316
84 College of Charleston -2.56 9.54% 0.696
85 Furman -2.59 9.32% 0.7021
86 Texas A&M -2.76 7.55% 0.7664
87 Yale -2.78 4.72% 0.6115
88 Iowa -2.87 8.50% 0.7328
89 Bucknell -2.94 5.93% 0.6847
90 UNC Greensboro -2.97 5.43% 0.5407
91 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.01 3.05% 0.6587
92 George Mason -3.17 5.19% 0.6394
93 Vanderbilt -3.29 7.00% 0.7824
94 UCF -3.33 4.58% 0.7487
95 Penn St. -3.39 6.42% 0.7211
96 San Francisco -3.42 3.13% 0.6456
97 BYU -3.47 3.60% 0.7323
98 Harvard -3.48 2.04% 0.6333
99 Oakland -3.48 2.37% 0.5996
100 North Carolina St. -3.51 4.55% 0.6492
101 New Mexico -3.58 3.80% 0.6214
102 North Carolina Central -3.61 0.92% 0.5476
103 Louisiana Tech -3.66 1.65% 0.6913
104 Colorado St. -3.68 3.22% 0.6876
105 Colorado -3.74 3.49% 0.7454
106 Richmond -3.75 3.50% 0.6597
107 Temple -3.76 3.47% 0.6399
108 Stanford -3.85 2.88% 0.673
109 Mississippi St. -3.86 3.19% 0.6821
110 St. Bonaventure -3.91 2.14% 0.694
111 Nebraska -3.93 3.53% 0.717
112 Ohio -4.21 1.19% 0.6626
113 San Diego St. -4.26 1.53% 0.7404
114 Georgia St. -4.34 0.92% 0.5659
115 Sam Houston St. -4.37 0.39% 0.4038
116 Grand Canyon -4.42 0.37% 0.4603
117 Rice -4.42 0.56% 0.5955
118 Eastern Washington -4.54 0.61% 0.4842
119 Fort Wayne -4.56 0.60% 0.5712
120 Connecticut -4.59 1.01% 0.7114
121 Old Dominion -4.62 0.87% 0.6029
122 Texas Southern -4.65 0.34% 0.3938
123 La Salle -4.67 1.04% 0.5921
124 North Dakota St. -4.68 0.73% 0.5531
125 Oklahoma -4.68 1.29% 0.7341
126 Davidson -4.73 0.86% 0.7034
127 Texas -4.91 1.18% 0.7547
128 Northern Kentucky -4.91 0.34% 0.5328
129 Rutgers -4.95 0.80% 0.5726
130 Weber St. -4.97 0.23% 0.537
131 William & Mary -4.97 0.47% 0.5826
132 Wright St. -4.98 0.47% 0.4809
133 Towson -5.07 0.64% 0.567
134 Iona -5.13 0.49% 0.6179
135 Northern Iowa -5.17 0.64% 0.5623
136 New Orleans -5.19 0.10% 0.4542
137 South Dakota -5.22 0.35% 0.5365
138 Tennessee Martin -5.23 0.25% 0.4554
139 Arizona St. -5.31 0.47% 0.5828
140 North Dakota -5.33 0.08% 0.4538
141 St. John’s -5.33 0.73% 0.7024
142 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -5.39 0.05% 0.3777
143 Tulsa -5.56 0.46% 0.5702
144 Fresno St. -5.59 0.25% 0.5992
145 Georgia Southern -5.67 0.18% 0.5135
146 Elon -5.72 0.22% 0.5856
147 Loyola Chicago -5.79 0.22% 0.6695
148 UAB -5.82 0.11% 0.4946
149 Marshall -5.85 0.10% 0.5233
150 George Washington -6.01 0.25% 0.5352
151 UC Davis -6.06 0.03% 0.3878
152 Canisius -6.11 0.12% 0.4948
153 Denver -6.12 0.09% 0.5424
154 Central Michigan -6.14 0.08% 0.4522
155 Liberty -6.16 0.04% 0.4357
156 Wyoming -6.17 0.14% 0.5255
157 Tennessee St. -6.20 0.06% 0.5257
158 Texas St. -6.21 0.02% 0.4098
159 Stony Brook -6.25 0.06% 0.4218
160 San Jose St. -6.26 0.06% 0.4351
161 Lehigh -6.32 0.08% 0.6105
162 Albany -6.34 0.04% 0.5616
163 Green Bay -6.34 0.04% 0.4693
164 Lipscomb -6.38 0.05% 0.5351
165 UMBC -6.41 0.02% 0.4451
166 New Hampshire -6.43 0.02% 0.4972
167 Ball St. -6.44 0.03% 0.4646
168 Washington St. -6.47 0.08% 0.4136
169 Santa Clara -6.52 0.05% 0.5556
170 Buffalo -6.53 0.06% 0.6156
171 Louisiana Lafayette -6.55 0.03% 0.5288
172 Boston University -6.63 0.03% 0.5
173 UC Irvine -6.73 0.02% 0.5173
174 Northeastern -6.83 0.05% 0.5674
175 LSU -6.83 0.09% 0.5053
176 Mount St. Mary’s -6.85 0.01% 0.3985
177 Samford -6.86 0.02% 0.5267
178 USC Upstate -6.93 0.01% 0.3939
179 Jacksonville St. -6.99 0.02% 0.4593
180 Massachusetts -7.07 0.04% 0.5431
181 Loyola Marymount -7.09 0.01% 0.4917
182 Penn -7.31 0.00% 0.4576
183 East Carolina -7.37 0.01% 0.399
184 Loyola MD -7.38 0.01% 0.3552
185 Morehead St. -7.41 0.01% 0.4764
186 Southern Illinois -7.42 0.01% 0.5
187 Nebraska Omaha -7.44 0.01% 0.4292
188 Saint Peter’s -7.48 0.01% 0.6163
189 Alcorn St. -7.49 0.00% 0.2263
190 Stephen F. Austin -7.49 0.00% 0.3145
191 Columbia -7.52 0.00% 0.381
192 Houston Baptist -7.52 0.00% 0.3523
193 Coastal Carolina -7.58 0.01% 0.4417
194 Missouri St. -7.63 0.01% 0.5778
195 Fairfield -7.72 0.00% 0.4242
196 Charlotte -7.77 0.00% 0.3564
197 Evansville -7.81 0.01% 0.5536
198 UMKC -7.82 0.00% 0.3677
199 Lamar -7.85 0.00% 0.3522
200 Saint Joseph’s -7.87 0.01% 0.5277
201 Eastern Michigan -7.90 0.00% 0.5305
202 Washington -7.97 0.00% 0.508
203 Gardner Webb -8.00 0.00% 0.4145
204 Troy -8.03 0.00% 0.5
205 Toledo -8.06 0.01% 0.5576
206 LIU Brooklyn -8.07 0.00% 0.2993
207 Idaho -8.28 0.00% 0.3546
208 Kent St. -8.33 0.00% 0.4835
209 Utah St. -8.34 0.00% 0.5137
210 Western Kentucky -8.46 0.00% 0.3379
211 Navy -8.46 0.00% 0.458
212 Portland St. -8.48 0.00% 0.347
213 Boston College -8.53 0.00% 0.5334
214 Northern Illinois -8.57 0.00% 0.3985
215 Seattle -8.59 0.00% 0.2576
216 Utah Valley -8.65 0.00% 0.4001
217 Norfolk St. -8.71 0.00% 0.2054
218 Montana -8.77 0.00% 0.457
219 Wofford -8.86 0.00% 0.4973
220 Long Beach St. -8.91 0.00% 0.3246
221 Brown -8.95 0.00% 0.3031
222 Hawaii -8.99 0.00% 0.2443
223 High Point -9.02 0.00% 0.2978
224 Murray St. -9.07 0.00% 0.4974
225 Mercer -9.09 0.00% 0.5267
226 Hofstra -9.11 0.00% 0.4538
227 San Diego -9.19 0.00% 0.2792
228 Little Rock -9.21 0.00% 0.3355
229 South Alabama -9.22 0.00% 0.355
230 Rider -9.22 0.00% 0.3669
231 Wagner -9.25 0.00% 0.329
232 Fordham -9.32 0.00% 0.4221
233 Siena -9.35 0.00% 0.4537
234 DePaul -9.44 0.00% 0.4418
235 Western Michigan -9.45 0.00% 0.4375
236 Jacksonville -9.50 0.00% 0.259
237 Holy Cross -9.59 0.00% 0.3705
238 Nicholls St. -9.61 0.00% 0.1688
239 Savannah St. -9.68 0.00% 0.168
240 Southeastern Louisiana -9.77 0.00% 0.3427
241 Fairleigh Dickinson -9.88 0.00% 0.2905
242 Illinois Chicago -9.89 0.00% 0.3412
243 UNLV -10.01 0.00% 0.3455
244 Portland -10.03 0.00% 0.2717
245 Eastern Illinois -10.03 0.00% 0.3673
246 Hampton -10.09 0.00% 0.1741
247 Duquesne -10.11 0.00% 0.3996
248 Cal St. Fullerton -10.12 0.00% 0.2188
249 Indiana St. -10.16 0.00% 0.421
250 Radford -10.33 0.00% 0.2481
251 Abilene Christian -10.34 0.00% 0.2191
252 UTSA -10.38 0.00% 0.249
253 Cal St. Northridge -10.44 0.00% 0.2663
254 Missouri -10.47 0.00% 0.5087
255 IUPUI -10.52 0.00% 0.3935
256 Bowling Green -10.62 0.00% 0.2973
257 Saint Louis -10.69 0.00% 0.2153
258 Pepperdine -10.72 0.00% 0.2705
259 St. Francis PA -10.75 0.00% 0.2725
260 Montana St. -10.79 0.00% 0.3343
261 Southern -10.80 0.00% 0.1823
262 Appalachian St. -10.83 0.00% 0.3363
263 South Dakota St. -10.83 0.00% 0.3986
264 Campbell -10.84 0.00% 0.2018
265 Northwestern St. -10.92 0.00% 0.213
266 Sacramento St. -10.94 0.00% 0.199
267 Kennesaw St. -11.00 0.00% 0.3106
268 Quinnipiac -11.09 0.00% 0.2936
269 Delaware -11.20 0.00% 0.2208
270 UTEP -11.28 0.00% 0.3315
271 Morgan St. -11.41 0.00% 0.128
272 Air Force -11.46 0.00% 0.3801
273 Northern Colorado -11.56 0.00% 0.2139
274 South Florida -11.57 0.00% 0.2257
275 Florida Atlantic -11.59 0.00% 0.2801
276 North Florida -11.59 0.00% 0.2815
277 Jackson St. -11.63 0.00% 0.1465
278 Pacific -11.67 0.00% 0.2686
279 South Carolina St. -11.67 0.00% 0.1053
280 Incarnate Word -11.68 0.00% 0.1864
281 UC Riverside -11.69 0.00% 0.1964
282 Southeast Missouri St. -11.83 0.00% 0.3298
283 Maryland Eastern Shore -11.91 0.00% 0.1954
284 Western Illinois -11.96 0.00% 0.198
285 Grambling St. -11.99 0.00% 0.0994
286 Sacred Heart -12.00 0.00% 0.192
287 Binghamton -12.00 0.00% 0.2088
288 Bradley -12.01 0.00% 0.3135
289 Cleveland St. -12.10 0.00% 0.3539
290 Dartmouth -12.19 0.00% 0.2098
291 Eastern Kentucky -12.20 0.00% 0.2242
292 Robert Morris -12.25 0.00% 0.2487
293 Cornell -12.26 0.00% 0.2686
294 Tennessee Tech -12.27 0.00% 0.2789
295 Prairie View A&M -12.40 0.00% 0.167
296 Central Arkansas -12.49 0.00% 0.2298
297 Miami OH -12.49 0.00% 0.2343
298 The Citadel -12.50 0.00% 0.2155
299 Charleston Southern -12.63 0.00% 0.1963
300 Oral Roberts -12.81 0.00% 0.3416
301 Manhattan -12.83 0.00% 0.2256
302 Youngstown St. -12.88 0.00% 0.2153
303 McNeese St. -12.90 0.00% 0.1659
304 Army -12.93 0.00% 0.2998
305 Alabama St. -12.96 0.00% 0.0868
306 UT Rio Grande Valley -13.09 0.00% 0.2115
307 Western Carolina -13.10 0.00% 0.1495
308 Drexel -13.17 0.00% 0.3592
309 Cal Poly -13.21 0.00% 0.2135
310 VMI -13.24 0.00% 0.1685
311 North Texas -13.26 0.00% 0.1909
312 Bryant -13.28 0.00% 0.2595
313 NJIT -13.29 0.00% 0.2574
314 Austin Peay -13.36 0.00% 0.2126
315 Southern Miss -13.89 0.00% 0.109
316 Tulane -13.96 0.00% 0.2939
317 Detroit -13.97 0.00% 0.2263
318 Drake -13.97 0.00% 0.3111
319 Louisiana Monroe -14.07 0.00% 0.2623
320 UMass Lowell -14.07 0.00% 0.2431
321 Lafayette -14.10 0.00% 0.1268
322 Idaho St. -14.23 0.00% 0.1503
323 Milwaukee -14.30 0.00% 0.2632
324 Niagara -14.35 0.00% 0.3102
325 Colgate -14.40 0.00% 0.2638
326 Oregon St. -14.64 0.00% 0.2354
327 Stetson -14.65 0.00% 0.1565
328 Delaware St. -14.72 0.00% 0.11
329 Howard -14.81 0.00% 0.0729
330 James Madison -15.06 0.00% 0.3298
331 American -15.20 0.00% 0.1644
332 Coppin St. -15.21 0.00% 0.0771
333 UC Santa Barbara -15.33 0.00% 0.0944
334 Chicago St. -15.36 0.00% 0.0974
335 FIU -15.50 0.00% 0.2389
336 Florida A&M -15.53 0.00% 0.092
337 Marist -15.85 0.00% 0.1624
338 Mississippi Valley St. -15.92 0.00% 0.0751
339 Longwood -15.97 0.00% 0.0538
340 Northern Arizona -16.06 0.00% 0.1357
341 Hartford -16.19 0.00% 0.1268
342 Arkansas Pine Bluff -16.67 0.00% 0.0731
343 Central Connecticut -17.00 0.00% 0.0948
344 Presbyterian -17.36 0.00% 0.039
345 Bethune Cookman -17.38 0.00% 0.0829
346 SIU Edwardsville -17.73 0.00% 0.1402
347 Maine -17.84 0.00% 0.1086
348 Southern Utah -18.86 0.00% 0.1136
349 Alabama A&M -19.53 0.00% 0.0286
350 St. Francis NY -20.12 0.00% 0.0624
351 North Carolina A&T -20.79 0.00% 0.0484
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