WAB 1/31: A legend exits stage left

Brent Musburger was the voice we heard for many of the greatest moments in sports (and sports gambling) history. His familiar catchphrase “You are looking live” was a nod to the fact that gamblers needed to know the current weather report. He’s one of the all-time greats and he will be missed.

http://www.sportsonearth.com/article/214353780/brent-musburger-retires-best-moments-abc-cbs

You can catch him for his final game of UGA-UK.

I’m still working on the offense-defense ratio problem from yesterday. It appears that any ratio other than 50-50 is less predictive (in terms of deviation from the final score). If I can’t find a solution today that is more predictive than the traditional 50-50 ratio, then I will be sticking with it, despite Ken Pomeroy himself having moved on from it.

These WAB’s are from the KenPom’s. I’ll work on returning Sagarin and BPI to them tomorrow, after I’ve put the offense-defense issue to bed.

 

WAB Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile Pythag
1 Baylor 6.85 100.00% 0.9543
2 Villanova 6.11 99.95% 0.9583
3 Kansas 6.10 99.96% 0.9476
4 Gonzaga 5.14 99.97% 0.9755
5 Louisville 4.62 99.15% 0.9684
6 Butler 4.51 98.64% 0.9143
7 Arizona 4.49 99.51% 0.9334
8 North Carolina 4.19 98.39% 0.9483
9 Wisconsin 4.00 98.79% 0.9427
10 Virginia 3.74 98.06% 0.968
11 Creighton 3.67 97.56% 0.8975
12 Maryland 3.66 98.15% 0.85
13 Florida St. 3.64 97.62% 0.9063
14 Kentucky 3.43 96.61% 0.9621
15 UCLA 3.37 97.35% 0.9035
16 Cincinnati 3.36 97.85% 0.9283
17 Florida 3.13 94.52% 0.9461
18 Oregon 2.91 94.51% 0.9197
19 Duke 2.86 93.91% 0.9304
20 West Virginia 2.75 94.47% 0.9608
21 Notre Dame 2.73 92.11% 0.8894
22 South Carolina 2.62 91.96% 0.9217
23 Saint Mary’s 2.44 94.15% 0.922
24 Northwestern 2.38 89.38% 0.8933
25 Xavier 2.03 85.35% 0.891
26 USC 1.91 85.01% 0.7909
27 Purdue 1.82 83.33% 0.9324
28 Arkansas 1.57 80.88% 0.8047
29 SMU 1.53 79.36% 0.9115
30 Virginia Tech 1.42 78.40% 0.8086
31 UNC Wilmington 1.27 76.00% 0.7937
32 Middle Tennessee 1.10 72.84% 0.8311
33 Oklahoma St. 1.05 70.60% 0.8958
34 Wichita St. 0.92 69.53% 0.9144
35 Kansas St. 0.88 69.32% 0.8923
36 Iowa St. 0.76 66.08% 0.9005
37 Akron 0.49 61.28% 0.6748
38 New Mexico St. 0.47 60.11% 0.7124
39 Illinois St. 0.43 58.01% 0.8668
40 Clemson 0.39 57.93% 0.8692
41 Nevada 0.38 56.82% 0.7623
42 Marquette 0.31 56.60% 0.8544
43 Dayton 0.26 54.77% 0.8687
44 Texas Tech 0.22 54.86% 0.8412
45 Valparaiso 0.21 53.81% 0.7055
46 Miami FL 0.17 53.36% 0.8693
47 Minnesota 0.16 52.71% 0.8464
48 TCU 0.12 52.14% 0.8478
49 Georgia Tech -0.02 49.50% 0.7538
50 VCU -0.03 47.92% 0.8374
51 Belmont -0.10 46.02% 0.7271
52 Tennessee -0.16 46.75% 0.8516
53 Seton Hall -0.16 46.12% 0.799
54 Vermont -0.23 43.16% 0.7621
55 Auburn -0.24 44.15% 0.7283
56 California -0.32 41.73% 0.8102
57 Michigan St. -0.35 42.82% 0.8152
58 Wake Forest -0.38 42.09% 0.8487
59 Monmouth -0.45 37.68% 0.6976
60 Indiana -0.54 38.15% 0.8359
61 Michigan -0.66 36.04% 0.8471
62 East Tennessee St. -0.87 29.32% 0.794
63 Memphis -0.93 29.80% 0.7369
64 Georgia -0.98 30.16% 0.8162
65 Utah -1.02 26.57% 0.8421
66 Providence -1.07 28.53% 0.7793
67 Alabama -1.11 26.96% 0.8048
68 Pittsburgh -1.25 25.51% 0.7045
69 North Carolina St. -1.26 23.57% 0.7181
70 Arkansas St. -1.36 21.32% 0.6827
71 UT Arlington -1.38 20.39% 0.7331
72 Florida Gulf Coast -1.41 18.43% 0.6254
73 Rhode Island -1.58 18.05% 0.8213
74 Chattanooga -1.60 15.87% 0.7238
75 Georgetown -1.60 21.26% 0.8074
76 Winthrop -1.61 13.70% 0.5807
77 Illinois -1.69 18.75% 0.7537
78 College of Charleston -1.69 16.36% 0.7001
79 Ohio St. -1.72 18.12% 0.7755
80 Bucknell -1.74 14.93% 0.7051
81 Houston -1.79 16.20% 0.8222
82 Mississippi -1.86 16.03% 0.6887
83 Mississippi St. -2.10 11.22% 0.7024
84 Syracuse -2.12 12.59% 0.8014
85 Yale -2.19 7.50% 0.6465
86 Texas A&M -2.19 10.48% 0.7949
87 UCF -2.25 9.80% 0.7527
88 UNC Asheville -2.35 7.87% 0.6689
89 North Dakota St. -2.42 6.96% 0.5804
90 Boise St. -2.49 8.06% 0.693
91 Princeton -2.54 5.14% 0.7175
92 Penn St. -2.54 9.63% 0.7082
93 Nebraska -2.56 9.53% 0.7177
94 Stanford -2.60 7.53% 0.6666
95 Sam Houston St. -2.68 3.41% 0.4294
96 Iowa -2.71 7.41% 0.6985
97 Georgia St. -2.75 5.05% 0.5899
98 La Salle -2.75 5.80% 0.6346
99 Vanderbilt -2.76 8.59% 0.7823
100 San Francisco -2.77 5.26% 0.6826
101 UNC Greensboro -2.79 4.89% 0.5219
102 BYU -2.87 5.21% 0.7384
103 Tulsa -2.95 5.20% 0.6444
104 St. Bonaventure -2.96 3.97% 0.6797
105 George Mason -3.03 4.46% 0.5758
106 Loyola Chicago -3.07 3.96% 0.7027
107 Fort Wayne -3.08 2.92% 0.5922
108 New Mexico -3.14 4.53% 0.6389
109 UAB -3.17 3.18% 0.5955
110 Richmond -3.18 4.35% 0.654
111 Ohio -3.18 2.33% 0.6772
112 Temple -3.20 4.55% 0.6693
113 Davidson -3.20 2.84% 0.7178
114 Harvard -3.23 1.62% 0.5764
115 Rutgers -3.37 2.85% 0.594
116 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.44 1.03% 0.6112
117 Old Dominion -3.48 2.51% 0.599
118 Fresno St. -3.66 1.73% 0.6016
119 Colorado St. -3.66 2.05% 0.615
120 Texas Southern -3.67 1.28% 0.423
121 William & Mary -3.68 1.51% 0.5631
122 Furman -3.73 1.84% 0.6718
123 Grand Canyon -3.75 0.62% 0.4244
124 Oakland -3.78 1.20% 0.5912
125 North Carolina Central -3.79 0.52% 0.5682
126 George Washington -3.80 2.07% 0.5243
127 Iona -3.83 1.72% 0.6061
128 Samford -3.86 1.01% 0.5489
129 Colorado -3.87 2.10% 0.7123
130 Eastern Washington -3.91 0.96% 0.4658
131 Eastern Michigan -3.97 0.81% 0.6443
132 Louisiana Tech -4.01 0.60% 0.7197
133 Oklahoma -4.04 1.75% 0.7455
134 UMBC -4.06 0.61% 0.4498
135 Central Michigan -4.09 0.74% 0.4445
136 Georgia Southern -4.11 1.07% 0.5352
137 Louisiana Lafayette -4.23 0.70% 0.5341
138 Wright St. -4.28 0.93% 0.4724
139 LSU -4.37 1.23% 0.5292
140 New Hampshire -4.38 0.33% 0.525
141 Marshall -4.41 0.56% 0.5492
142 Weber St. -4.42 0.33% 0.5612
143 Ball St. -4.42 0.21% 0.4756
144 Washington St. -4.42 0.70% 0.416
145 New Orleans -4.46 0.20% 0.4463
146 Wyoming -4.47 0.63% 0.5229
147 Saint Joseph’s -4.51 0.81% 0.5849
148 San Diego St. -4.56 0.44% 0.7373
149 Texas -4.61 0.78% 0.764
150 Rice -4.66 0.28% 0.5848
151 Elon -4.67 0.52% 0.6044
152 Tennessee Martin -4.68 0.33% 0.3879
153 Tennessee St. -4.74 0.30% 0.5456
154 Lehigh -4.76 0.41% 0.6198
155 Arizona St. -4.77 0.56% 0.5718
156 Northeastern -4.93 0.42% 0.6242
157 Connecticut -4.95 0.44% 0.6572
158 Penn -4.98 0.10% 0.4943
159 Green Bay -5.14 0.11% 0.4328
160 South Dakota -5.15 0.18% 0.4914
161 Missouri St. -5.25 0.20% 0.6149
162 Northern Kentucky -5.26 0.12% 0.5357
163 UC Davis -5.29 0.08% 0.4011
164 St. John’s -5.33 0.37% 0.6627
165 Northern Iowa -5.33 0.25% 0.541
166 Columbia -5.34 0.02% 0.3725
167 Massachusetts -5.40 0.18% 0.5871
168 Towson -5.50 0.23% 0.5856
169 Northern Illinois -5.50 0.04% 0.4293
170 North Dakota -5.61 0.03% 0.398
171 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -5.67 0.01% 0.3298
172 Denver -5.72 0.08% 0.5291
173 Charlotte -5.74 0.04% 0.3614
174 Albany -5.84 0.04% 0.5405
175 Southern Illinois -5.84 0.05% 0.4812
176 Boston College -5.88 0.07% 0.5504
177 Washington -5.94 0.04% 0.555
178 Texas St. -5.95 0.01% 0.3912
179 Toledo -5.95 0.06% 0.5079
180 Canisius -5.95 0.06% 0.4896
181 Santa Clara -5.96 0.06% 0.4972
182 San Diego -5.96 0.03% 0.3929
183 UC Irvine -6.00 0.03% 0.5115
184 Nebraska Omaha -6.03 0.06% 0.4239
185 Boston University -6.09 0.04% 0.5224
186 Portland St. -6.11 0.00% 0.3601
187 Loyola MD -6.23 0.01% 0.317
188 Mount St. Mary’s -6.28 0.02% 0.3754
189 Brown -6.30 0.00% 0.3188
190 San Jose St. -6.32 0.01% 0.3685
191 USC Upstate -6.34 0.01% 0.3637
192 Saint Peter’s -6.34 0.02% 0.5202
193 LIU Brooklyn -6.41 0.01% 0.2694
194 East Carolina -6.42 0.02% 0.4005
195 Jacksonville St. -6.43 0.03% 0.4465
196 High Point -6.50 0.00% 0.2744
197 Gardner Webb -6.56 0.00% 0.3866
198 Liberty -6.57 0.01% 0.447
199 Loyola Marymount -6.58 0.01% 0.4614
200 Stephen F. Austin -6.66 0.00% 0.3268
201 Houston Baptist -6.77 0.00% 0.3101
202 Utah St. -6.77 0.01% 0.4755
203 Stony Brook -6.83 0.01% 0.4017
204 Rider -6.88 0.01% 0.3837
205 DePaul -6.90 0.01% 0.4694
206 Fairfield -6.92 0.01% 0.3613
207 Western Kentucky -6.94 0.01% 0.3219
208 Lipscomb -6.95 0.01% 0.4783
209 Nicholls St. -6.98 0.00% 0.2208
210 Mercer -6.98 0.01% 0.5186
211 Utah Valley -7.00 0.00% 0.4007
212 Lamar -7.01 0.00% 0.3426
213 Little Rock -7.06 0.00% 0.3426
214 UNLV -7.08 0.01% 0.3857
215 Navy -7.09 0.00% 0.4748
216 Kent St. -7.12 0.00% 0.5164
217 Long Beach St. -7.16 0.00% 0.3137
218 Buffalo -7.16 0.00% 0.5057
219 Fairleigh Dickinson -7.18 0.00% 0.3316
220 Incarnate Word -7.22 0.00% 0.2286
221 Northwestern St. -7.22 0.00% 0.2615
222 Holy Cross -7.23 0.01% 0.3907
223 Troy -7.27 0.00% 0.5158
224 Coastal Carolina -7.28 0.01% 0.4031
225 Southeastern Louisiana -7.33 0.00% 0.3303
226 Evansville -7.53 0.00% 0.5029
227 Alcorn St. -7.66 0.00% 0.1851
228 Jacksonville -7.70 0.00% 0.2809
229 Air Force -7.70 0.00% 0.4341
230 Idaho -7.71 0.00% 0.3097
231 Fordham -7.72 0.00% 0.3726
232 Murray St. -7.72 0.00% 0.4575
233 Savannah St. -7.75 0.00% 0.1873
234 Portland -7.78 0.00% 0.2602
235 Radford -7.90 0.00% 0.2423
236 Morehead St. -7.90 0.00% 0.4501
237 Binghamton -7.92 0.00% 0.2447
238 Seattle -7.93 0.00% 0.2343
239 Wofford -8.01 0.00% 0.5106
240 South Carolina St. -8.02 0.00% 0.1338
241 UMKC -8.08 0.00% 0.2881
242 Illinois Chicago -8.20 0.00% 0.3514
243 Siena -8.22 0.00% 0.4696
244 Duquesne -8.23 0.00% 0.3661
245 Hawaii -8.24 0.00% 0.2244
246 Campbell -8.36 0.00% 0.2181
247 Cal St. Northridge -8.60 0.00% 0.2866
248 Morgan St. -8.61 0.00% 0.1548
249 Wagner -8.70 0.00% 0.2838
250 Hofstra -8.78 0.00% 0.429
251 South Alabama -8.79 0.00% 0.355
252 IUPUI -8.81 0.00% 0.4159
253 Norfolk St. -8.82 0.00% 0.1925
254 Indiana St. -8.83 0.00% 0.4108
255 Northern Colorado -8.97 0.00% 0.2672
256 St. Francis PA -8.98 0.00% 0.2861
257 Western Michigan -9.04 0.00% 0.367
258 Montana -9.05 0.00% 0.4149
259 UC Riverside -9.06 0.00% 0.2051
260 UTSA -9.07 0.00% 0.204
261 South Florida -9.12 0.00% 0.2244
262 Miami OH -9.13 0.00% 0.2521
263 Grambling St. -9.16 0.00% 0.0977
264 Montana St. -9.19 0.00% 0.3422
265 Cornell -9.21 0.00% 0.295
266 Cal St. Fullerton -9.28 0.00% 0.1774
267 Bradley -9.28 0.00% 0.318
268 Southeast Missouri St. -9.30 0.00% 0.3558
269 Pacific -9.39 0.00% 0.2876
270 The Citadel -9.43 0.00% 0.2444
271 Bowling Green -9.44 0.00% 0.2709
272 Western Illinois -9.44 0.00% 0.2326
273 Eastern Kentucky -9.50 0.00% 0.2501
274 Sacramento St. -9.50 0.00% 0.1701
275 Appalachian St. -9.50 0.00% 0.289
276 Missouri -9.51 0.00% 0.4273
277 Abilene Christian -9.54 0.00% 0.211
278 Eastern Illinois -9.56 0.00% 0.3639
279 South Dakota St. -9.64 0.00% 0.349
280 Youngstown St. -9.66 0.00% 0.2216
281 Prairie View A&M -9.70 0.00% 0.1792
282 Jackson St. -9.77 0.00% 0.1403
283 Quinnipiac -9.77 0.00% 0.3058
284 Saint Louis -9.78 0.00% 0.1877
285 Southern -9.79 0.00% 0.1907
286 Western Carolina -10.07 0.00% 0.1475
287 VMI -10.08 0.00% 0.1816
288 Delaware -10.11 0.00% 0.1986
289 McNeese St. -10.20 0.00% 0.1804
290 Maryland Eastern Shore -10.23 0.00% 0.1977
291 Oral Roberts -10.26 0.00% 0.3901
292 Florida Atlantic -10.27 0.00% 0.2561
293 Hampton -10.29 0.00% 0.1268
294 Army -10.35 0.00% 0.3487
295 Charleston Southern -10.47 0.00% 0.2074
296 Kennesaw St. -10.52 0.00% 0.3016
297 Pepperdine -10.52 0.00% 0.2094
298 Manhattan -10.53 0.00% 0.2788
299 Bryant -10.55 0.00% 0.2705
300 Drake -10.60 0.00% 0.3576
301 Louisiana Monroe -10.76 0.00% 0.2862
302 Drexel -10.78 0.00% 0.3103
303 UMass Lowell -10.81 0.00% 0.2507
304 Tulane -10.81 0.00% 0.2825
305 UTEP -10.84 0.00% 0.2478
306 NJIT -10.85 0.00% 0.292
307 Tennessee Tech -10.86 0.00% 0.2686
308 Cleveland St. -10.87 0.00% 0.3363
309 North Florida -10.88 0.00% 0.2454
310 UT Rio Grande Valley -10.95 0.00% 0.2411
311 Milwaukee -10.99 0.00% 0.285
312 Dartmouth -11.03 0.00% 0.1579
313 Southern Miss -11.24 0.00% 0.1139
314 North Texas -11.51 0.00% 0.1979
315 Robert Morris -11.52 0.00% 0.213
316 Cal Poly -11.57 0.00% 0.1999
317 Longwood -11.72 0.00% 0.0551
318 Lafayette -11.74 0.00% 0.0939
319 UC Santa Barbara -11.83 0.00% 0.1304
320 Austin Peay -11.85 0.00% 0.2233
321 Stetson -11.95 0.00% 0.1766
322 American -11.98 0.00% 0.1701
323 Howard -12.05 0.00% 0.0801
324 Niagara -12.13 0.00% 0.3124
325 Colgate -12.20 0.00% 0.2455
326 Sacred Heart -12.26 0.00% 0.1613
327 Detroit -12.33 0.00% 0.2229
328 Idaho St. -12.50 0.00% 0.1401
329 Marist -12.56 0.00% 0.181
330 Oregon St. -12.57 0.00% 0.2488
331 Central Arkansas -12.71 0.00% 0.1876
332 Chicago St. -12.76 0.00% 0.145
333 Presbyterian -12.81 0.00% 0.0428
334 Alabama St. -12.94 0.00% 0.084
335 Mississippi Valley St. -12.95 0.00% 0.0851
336 FIU -13.05 0.00% 0.2296
337 James Madison -13.17 0.00% 0.3185
338 Bethune Cookman -13.48 0.00% 0.0959
339 Coppin St. -13.52 0.00% 0.0754
340 Northern Arizona -13.60 0.00% 0.126
341 Hartford -13.75 0.00% 0.1182
342 Florida A&M -13.75 0.00% 0.0788
343 Maine -13.89 0.00% 0.104
344 Delaware St. -13.93 0.00% 0.0843
345 Central Connecticut -14.45 0.00% 0.0951
346 Arkansas Pine Bluff -14.78 0.00% 0.0647
347 SIU Edwardsville -15.00 0.00% 0.1452
348 St. Francis NY -15.41 0.00% 0.0964
349 Southern Utah -15.47 0.00% 0.1313
350 Alabama A&M -16.58 0.00% 0.0316
351 North Carolina A&T -16.92 0.00% 0.0568
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1 comment
  1. mewfert said:

    Pomeroy has not actually moved on from 50/50 offense/defense split — he’s merely threatened to. Current ratings & predictions are still 50/50.

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