WAB 1/26: …

Matt Norlander gave a solid recap of the retreat last weekend.

http://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/what-experts-who-met-with-ncaa-

This paragraph stood out for me:

“The main issue at our meeting was trying to figure out whether the committee wanted to choose the best teams or the most accomplished teams for the tournament. I’m still not sure the folks in the room fully understand the difference, but that’s probably true for most fans and media members, too.”

There’s literally nothing good to say about that, so I’ll just move on. I noticed an interesting anomaly in the  Pythag’s for Sagarin and BPI vs. KenPom. KenPom punishes strong teams with weak defenses more than Sagarin or BPI. UCLA is 24th in the KenPom Pythag, but 17th in the composite. This is a fairly common issue, and I’m going to have to think about whether I want to correct for it, or leave it as is. In any event, we are taling about fairly small effects as far as WAB is concerned.

Seeing Maryland sitting one spot above of West Virginia amuses me. Maryland has a better resume, but woe to the elite seed that sees West Virginia sitting in their section of the bracket.

WAB Rank School WAB- Composite Bubble Percentile Pythag- Composite Pythag Rank
1 Baylor 6.68 100.00% 0.9489 9
2 Villanova 5.81 99.88% 0.9645 3
3 Kansas 5.49 99.90% 0.9497 8
4 Butler 5.34 99.67% 0.9202 18
5 Gonzaga 5.04 99.96% 0.9612 7
6 Louisville 4.67 99.32% 0.9638 5
7 North Carolina 4.63 99.32% 0.9628 6
8 Arizona 4.40 99.46% 0.9293 15
9 Wisconsin 4.36 99.08% 0.9459 12
10 Florida St. 4.16 99.16% 0.9124 23
11 Virginia 3.96 98.65% 0.9645 4
12 Kentucky 3.75 98.20% 0.9653 2
13 Notre Dame 3.73 98.17% 0.9145 21
14 Oregon 3.59 98.17% 0.9387 13
15 UCLA 3.50 97.82% 0.9257 17
16 Creighton 3.46 96.91% 0.902 25
17 Cincinnati 3.45 98.15% 0.9293 16
18 Maryland 3.12 96.68% 0.8306 45
19 West Virginia 2.63 93.22% 0.9692 1
20 Florida 2.58 91.08% 0.9379 14
21 Purdue 2.48 92.01% 0.9476 10
22 South Carolina 2.35 89.90% 0.8872 27
23 Xavier 2.15 85.78% 0.8969 26
24 Saint Mary’s 2.09 91.41% 0.9157 20
25 Northwestern 2.04 86.63% 0.8701 33
26 USC 2.00 86.15% 0.7978 58
27 UNC Wilmington 1.96 87.98% 0.8131 52
28 Arkansas 1.79 84.65% 0.8306 46
29 Virginia Tech 1.71 82.49% 0.8193 50
30 SMU 1.65 81.12% 0.9039 24
31 Duke 1.48 79.98% 0.9464 11
32 Kansas St. 1.27 77.79% 0.885 28
33 Marquette 1.27 76.23% 0.875 32
34 Iowa St. 1.21 75.11% 0.9133 22
35 TCU 0.98 70.79% 0.8535 37
36 Minnesota 0.97 69.39% 0.8454 40
37 Middle Tennessee 0.93 69.75% 0.8037 56
38 Wichita St. 0.74 65.41% 0.9161 19
39 Dayton 0.58 61.85% 0.8601 36
40 Akron 0.45 60.28% 0.7143 78
41 Nevada 0.39 57.02% 0.7858 62
42 Valparaiso 0.34 57.16% 0.6938 88
43 Oklahoma St. 0.29 56.64% 0.8796 30
44 Illinois St. 0.20 52.99% 0.8313 44
45 Texas Tech 0.16 53.58% 0.8527 91
46 New Mexico St. 0.16 51.81% 0.6828 38
47 Clemson -0.04 49.09% 0.8665 34
48 Indiana -0.14 46.66% 0.8809 29
49 Seton Hall -0.16 46.04% 0.7981 57
50 Michigan -0.20 45.17% 0.8785 31
51 Wake Forest -0.23 44.83% 0.8452 35
52 Miami FL -0.23 44.05% 0.8628 41
53 Georgia Tech -0.35 42.33% 0.6977 53
54 California -0.35 41.11% 0.8098 86
55 VCU -0.37 40.49% 0.8419 42
56 Belmont -0.46 36.43% 0.7069 82
57 Michigan St. -0.51 39.15% 0.8231 49
58 Pittsburgh -0.53 38.44% 0.7289 84
59 Monmouth -0.54 35.48% 0.7004 76
60 UT Arlington -0.60 34.60% 0.7286 77
61 Illinois -0.74 33.91% 0.7617 72
62 Vermont -0.75 32.06% 0.7558 71
63 Tennessee -0.78 33.37% 0.814 51
64 Auburn -0.86 30.95% 0.7077 81
65 Utah -0.91 28.56% 0.8464 39
66 Winthrop -1.01 23.84% 0.6039 123
67 North Carolina St. -1.06 26.47% 0.7637 69
68 Ohio St. -1.07 27.39% 0.8091 54
69 Memphis -1.10 26.45% 0.7083 80
70 East Tennessee St. -1.21 22.15% 0.7625 70
71 Chattanooga -1.32 18.46% 0.6933 90
72 Georgia -1.39 22.84% 0.7954 59
73 Alabama -1.40 21.32% 0.7898 60
74 Florida Gulf Coast -1.45 17.77% 0.6362 112
75 UCF -1.59 16.76% 0.7666 66
76 Providence -1.62 18.94% 0.7652 67
77 Arkansas St. -1.71 15.27% 0.6078 119
78 Rhode Island -1.75 15.01% 0.8284 48
79 Mississippi -1.75 16.61% 0.6825 92
80 Mississippi St. -1.76 14.10% 0.7093 79
81 College of Charleston -1.84 13.91% 0.6598 101
82 Bucknell -1.86 12.97% 0.6501 103
83 Houston -1.94 13.66% 0.8294 47
84 La Salle -1.98 11.78% 0.623 115
85 Stanford -2.07 11.51% 0.6421 109
86 Texas A&M -2.10 11.05% 0.764 68
87 UNC Greensboro -2.16 8.78% 0.5082 160
88 Georgetown -2.28 11.87% 0.8082 55
89 North Dakota St. -2.32 7.85% 0.5744 134
90 Georgia Southern -2.38 7.18% 0.5826 130
91 UNC Asheville -2.43 6.92% 0.6487 104
92 Harvard -2.47 3.95% 0.5952 124
93 St. Bonaventure -2.47 6.40% 0.6991 85
94 Princeton -2.49 5.48% 0.7295 74
95 Temple -2.57 8.00% 0.6783 94
96 Syracuse -2.58 7.49% 0.8333 43
97 Penn St. -2.60 8.30% 0.6936 89
98 Boise St. -2.70 5.97% 0.6602 100
99 Fresno St. -2.73 4.75% 0.6206 116
100 New Mexico -2.77 6.05% 0.6626 99
101 Sam Houston St. -2.83 2.48% 0.4359 193
102 Yale -2.85 2.98% 0.6423 108
103 Iowa -2.85 5.65% 0.6739 96
104 Oakland -2.89 3.59% 0.6457 106
105 San Francisco -2.99 3.98% 0.6075 120
106 BYU -3.01 4.15% 0.769 64
107 Rutgers -3.02 3.84% 0.5685 137
108 Nebraska -3.05 5.19% 0.6778 143
109 Georgia St. -3.05 2.80% 0.5534 95
110 Fort Wayne -3.08 2.68% 0.6405 111
111 Loyola Chicago -3.08 3.62% 0.6725 97
112 Oklahoma -3.08 4.34% 0.7865 61
113 Richmond -3.18 4.42% 0.6461 105
114 Eastern Washington -3.19 2.25% 0.4392 190
115 Ohio -3.23 2.11% 0.6663 98
116 George Mason -3.25 3.07% 0.5454 147
117 Vanderbilt -3.26 5.40% 0.772 63
118 Tulsa -3.28 3.21% 0.6062 122
119 UAB -3.28 2.80% 0.578 132
120 Davidson -3.29 2.34% 0.7294 75
121 Marshall -3.34 2.59% 0.6145 117
122 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.48 0.90% 0.5949 126
123 New Hampshire -3.53 1.09% 0.4998 164
124 Wyoming -3.55 2.28% 0.5448 148
125 Old Dominion -3.55 2.17% 0.5892 128
126 Louisiana Lafayette -3.61 1.34% 0.595 125
127 Texas Southern -3.68 1.27% 0.4483 187
128 Arizona St. -3.69 2.23% 0.5744 83
129 Louisiana Tech -3.70 0.82% 0.7041 133
130 New Orleans -3.74 0.58% 0.3857 209
131 North Carolina Central -3.75 0.49% 0.5699 135
132 George Washington -3.81 2.01% 0.5321 199
133 Grand Canyon -3.82 0.50% 0.4164 73
134 San Diego St. -3.82 1.17% 0.7551 152
135 Eastern Michigan -3.88 0.87% 0.6279 114
136 Tennessee St. -3.91 0.88% 0.5355 151
137 Iona -4.00 1.12% 0.5685 138
138 Lehigh -4.02 1.06% 0.6457 107
139 Samford -4.08 0.59% 0.507 161
140 Furman -4.09 0.86% 0.6411 217
141 Texas -4.09 1.31% 0.7679 110
142 Tennessee Martin -4.09 0.62% 0.3735 65
143 LSU -4.11 1.45% 0.5151 155
144 UMBC -4.18 0.41% 0.43 197
145 Central Michigan -4.18 0.57% 0.4599 181
146 Colorado St. -4.21 0.77% 0.5586 139
147 Wright St. -4.21 0.74% 0.4904 169
148 Colorado -4.31 0.89% 0.6955 87
149 Ball St. -4.40 0.23% 0.5063 163
150 Missouri St. -4.44 0.61% 0.6322 113
151 Green Bay -4.45 0.25% 0.4525 185
152 Massachusetts -4.47 0.74% 0.6074 121
153 Saint Joseph’s -4.53 0.73% 0.5855 129
154 Washington St. -4.57 0.58% 0.3568 186
155 North Dakota -4.58 0.20% 0.4495 223
156 St. John’s -4.63 0.79% 0.6551 102
157 Rice -4.71 0.23% 0.552 144
158 Northern Kentucky -4.72 0.17% 0.4751 172
159 Elon -4.83 0.32% 0.5546 142
160 Weber St. -4.84 0.13% 0.5917 127
161 William & Mary -4.88 0.14% 0.5146 156
162 Denver -4.89 0.26% 0.513 157
163 Connecticut -4.90 0.45% 0.6821 93
164 Penn -4.94 0.11% 0.5118 159
165 Toledo -4.96 0.31% 0.5567 140
166 Towson -4.97 0.38% 0.5787 131
167 Nebraska Omaha -5.03 0.28% 0.4403 189
168 Canisius -5.04 0.23% 0.4918 168
169 Northeastern -5.05 0.29% 0.6119 220
170 Charlotte -5.05 0.10% 0.3706 118
171 UC Irvine -5.12 0.15% 0.5467 146
172 Portland St. -5.17 0.02% 0.3995 203
173 Boston College -5.17 0.17% 0.5415 149
174 South Dakota -5.24 0.15% 0.4675 176
175 Little Rock -5.37 0.03% 0.4036 200
176 UC Davis -5.38 0.07% 0.402 201
177 Northern Iowa -5.49 0.14% 0.5504 205
178 Columbia -5.50 0.01% 0.3933 145
179 Washington -5.51 0.12% 0.5691 258
180 LIU Brooklyn -5.52 0.03% 0.2923 136
181 USC Upstate -5.53 0.05% 0.356 224
182 Jacksonville St. -5.60 0.12% 0.4319 195
183 Brown -5.61 0.01% 0.3001 253
184 Northern Illinois -5.61 0.02% 0.4363 192
185 Santa Clara -5.62 0.08% 0.5194 154
186 Saint Peter’s -5.63 0.05% 0.5067 162
187 East Carolina -5.85 0.04% 0.4214 198
188 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -5.91 0.00% 0.2996 254
189 Albany -5.91 0.03% 0.5395 150
190 Southern Illinois -5.97 0.03% 0.4735 173
191 Rider -6.01 0.03% 0.3913 207
192 Loyola Marymount -6.02 0.02% 0.4628 178
193 San Diego -6.03 0.02% 0.331 241
194 Mount St. Mary’s -6.12 0.02% 0.3777 215
195 Stony Brook -6.13 0.02% 0.3825 210
196 Kent St. -6.16 0.02% 0.5555 141
197 UNLV -6.16 0.03% 0.3894 208
198 Utah Valley -6.20 0.01% 0.3817 212
199 Texas St. -6.22 0.00% 0.3383 234
200 Loyola MD -6.22 0.01% 0.2891 262
201 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.23 0.01% 0.3312 240
202 Buffalo -6.34 0.02% 0.4992 165
203 Boston University -6.37 0.01% 0.4843 171
204 San Jose St. -6.38 0.01% 0.3466 227
205 Northwestern St. -6.41 0.00% 0.2618 274
206 Holy Cross -6.47 0.02% 0.3936 204
207 Illinois Chicago -6.50 0.01% 0.3713 219
208 Troy -6.56 0.01% 0.5122 158
209 Liberty -6.60 0.01% 0.3746 216
210 DePaul -6.60 0.01% 0.472 174
211 Coastal Carolina -6.66 0.01% 0.3796 214
212 Utah St. -6.70 0.01% 0.4686 175
213 Southeastern Louisiana -6.73 0.00% 0.3183 245
214 Houston Baptist -6.74 0.00% 0.2909 260
215 Gardner Webb -6.77 0.00% 0.3925 206
216 Stephen F. Austin -6.80 0.00% 0.3078 250
217 High Point -6.82 0.00% 0.2537 278
218 Fairfield -6.87 0.01% 0.3716 218
219 Fordham -6.90 0.01% 0.4018 202
220 Portland -6.93 0.00% 0.3085 249
221 Long Beach St. -6.98 0.00% 0.3371 236
222 Nicholls St. -7.02 0.00% 0.18 312
223 Radford -7.14 0.00% 0.222 292
224 Evansville -7.15 0.00% 0.4956 166
225 Lamar -7.16 0.00% 0.294 257
226 Mercer -7.17 0.01% 0.4879 170
227 Navy -7.21 0.00% 0.4344 194
228 South Carolina St. -7.22 0.00% 0.1131 335
229 UMKC -7.23 0.00% 0.2764 266
230 Lipscomb -7.23 0.00% 0.4622 179
231 Jacksonville -7.24 0.00% 0.3003 252
232 Incarnate Word -7.36 0.00% 0.1915 308
233 Siena -7.46 0.01% 0.494 167
234 Campbell -7.54 0.00% 0.2732 269
235 Duquesne -7.54 0.00% 0.3694 221
236 Western Kentucky -7.58 0.00% 0.3459 228
237 Air Force -7.66 0.00% 0.4309 196
238 Murray St. -7.85 0.00% 0.4584 182
239 Savannah St. -7.86 0.00% 0.1296 329
240 Idaho -7.87 0.00% 0.3102 248
241 Appalachian St. -7.88 0.00% 0.336 237
242 Alcorn St. -7.90 0.00% 0.1588 321
243 IUPUI -7.91 0.00% 0.4365 283
244 UC Riverside -7.91 0.00% 0.2423 191
245 Hofstra -7.92 0.00% 0.465 177
246 Seattle -7.94 0.00% 0.2217 293
247 Montana -7.95 0.00% 0.4571 183
248 Binghamton -7.97 0.00% 0.2435 281
249 Wofford -7.99 0.00% 0.5242 153
250 Indiana St. -8.05 0.00% 0.4617 188
251 Morehead St. -8.05 0.00% 0.4414 180
252 South Alabama -8.12 0.00% 0.3306 242
253 Hawaii -8.16 0.00% 0.3343 238
254 UTSA -8.17 0.00% 0.2067 297
255 Cornell -8.22 0.00% 0.2898 261
256 Miami OH -8.26 0.00% 0.2736 268
257 Quinnipiac -8.33 0.00% 0.3261 243
258 Western Michigan -8.42 0.00% 0.3812 213
259 Bowling Green -8.46 0.00% 0.3143 246
260 Pacific -8.51 0.00% 0.3525 226
261 Cal St. Northridge -8.56 0.00% 0.2921 259
262 Morgan St. -8.66 0.00% 0.1326 328
263 Abilene Christian -8.75 0.00% 0.1972 307
264 The Citadel -8.80 0.00% 0.2054 299
265 Bradley -8.86 0.00% 0.2984 264
266 St. Francis PA -8.87 0.00% 0.2832 255
267 NJIT -8.95 0.00% 0.3377 235
268 Northern Colorado -8.96 0.00% 0.255 277
269 Southern -8.98 0.00% 0.203 302
270 Norfolk St. -8.98 0.00% 0.1912 239
271 Wagner -8.98 0.00% 0.3341 310
272 Saint Louis -9.01 0.00% 0.2029 303
273 South Florida -9.03 0.00% 0.2475 280
274 Missouri -9.04 0.00% 0.4531 184
275 Grambling St. -9.17 0.00% 0.0919 341
276 North Florida -9.17 0.00% 0.2861 263
277 Cal St. Fullerton -9.19 0.00% 0.1992 305
278 Maryland Eastern Shore -9.19 0.00% 0.1779 313
279 Oral Roberts -9.23 0.00% 0.3825 211
280 Drexel -9.23 0.00% 0.3527 225
281 Dartmouth -9.25 0.00% 0.2026 304
282 Montana St. -9.27 0.00% 0.3249 244
283 McNeese St. -9.28 0.00% 0.1402 326
284 Southeast Missouri St. -9.32 0.00% 0.3069 251
285 Charleston Southern -9.56 0.00% 0.2328 287
286 Army -9.56 0.00% 0.3415 231
287 Eastern Kentucky -9.57 0.00% 0.2426 282
288 Eastern Illinois -9.62 0.00% 0.366 222
289 Sacramento St. -9.64 0.00% 0.1668 317
290 Kennesaw St. -9.71 0.00% 0.2683 324
291 Jackson St. -9.71 0.00% 0.1467 270
292 Drake -9.73 0.00% 0.3421 230
293 Prairie View A&M -9.74 0.00% 0.166 318
294 Manhattan -9.74 0.00% 0.2982 256
295 South Dakota St. -9.77 0.00% 0.3428 229
296 Howard -9.96 0.00% 0.1067 336
297 Cleveland St. -9.96 0.00% 0.3384 233
298 Youngstown St. -9.99 0.00% 0.217 295
299 Western Illinois -10.02 0.00% 0.2242 290
300 Tennessee Tech -10.02 0.00% 0.3119 247
301 Louisiana Monroe -10.05 0.00% 0.2639 273
302 Western Carolina -10.07 0.00% 0.1142 334
303 Pepperdine -10.10 0.00% 0.2409 285
304 UT Rio Grande Valley -10.13 0.00% 0.2157 296
305 Tulane -10.19 0.00% 0.2738 272
306 Florida Atlantic -10.19 0.00% 0.264 267
307 VMI -10.20 0.00% 0.1698 315
308 Delaware -10.21 0.00% 0.198 306
309 Hampton -10.33 0.00% 0.1441 325
310 Milwaukee -10.49 0.00% 0.2488 279
311 Cal Poly -10.51 0.00% 0.2048 300
312 Southern Miss -10.54 0.00% 0.1333 327
313 Robert Morris -10.58 0.00% 0.2293 288
314 Bryant -10.65 0.00% 0.2591 276
315 Austin Peay -10.71 0.00% 0.2232 291
316 North Texas -10.73 0.00% 0.2045 301
317 UMass Lowell -10.75 0.00% 0.2609 337
318 Lafayette -10.75 0.00% 0.1055 275
319 Longwood -10.84 0.00% 0.0699 346
320 UC Santa Barbara -10.90 0.00% 0.1883 311
321 Marist -10.92 0.00% 0.1912 309
322 Mississippi Valley St. -10.92 0.00% 0.0888 342
323 Stetson -11.00 0.00% 0.1591 320
324 UTEP -11.05 0.00% 0.2189 294
325 American -11.06 0.00% 0.2064 298
326 Alabama St. -11.14 0.00% 0.1035 338
327 Sacred Heart -11.33 0.00% 0.1678 316
328 Detroit -11.37 0.00% 0.2395 286
329 Coppin St. -11.47 0.00% 0.0588 349
330 Idaho St. -11.75 0.00% 0.1499 322
331 Central Arkansas -11.80 0.00% 0.1725 314
332 Chicago St. -11.92 0.00% 0.1281 331
333 Delaware St. -11.97 0.00% 0.0972 340
334 Oregon St. -12.06 0.00% 0.2665 271
335 Niagara -12.08 0.00% 0.2764 265
336 Colgate -12.20 0.00% 0.2422 284
337 James Madison -12.30 0.00% 0.3397 232
338 Bethune Cookman -12.68 0.00% 0.083 344
339 Arkansas Pine Bluff -12.75 0.00% 0.0785 345
340 Florida A&M -12.83 0.00% 0.0647 348
341 Hartford -12.85 0.00% 0.1242 333
342 Maine -12.91 0.00% 0.1245 332
343 Presbyterian -12.96 0.00% 0.0489 350
344 FIU -13.15 0.00% 0.226 289
345 SIU Edwardsville -13.52 0.00% 0.1494 323
346 Northern Arizona -13.61 0.00% 0.1282 330
347 Central Connecticut -14.40 0.00% 0.0879 343
348 Southern Utah -14.41 0.00% 0.1612 319
349 St. Francis NY -14.48 0.00% 0.1004 339
350 Alabama A&M -14.75 0.00% 0.0368 351
351 North Carolina A&T -15.23 0.00% 0.0658 347
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