How many brutal beats will ESPN take?

Iceland looked like they were in great shape, and then a late own goal led to the draw. Tough result for Iceland and ESPN. Austria can redeem the day, but it won’t be easy. For those who were curious about the P-Value of ESPN’s Euro results, it is 1.53. In other words, they are 1.53 standard deviations below expectation. I’ll examine their Copa results before the semifinals.

Side Risked To Win Result Bankroll Result as %
100000
France -0.5 22300 8259 8259 108259 8.26%
Albania +0.5 43304 43304 -43304 64956 -40.00%
Slovakia -0.5 6351 11432 -6351 58604 -9.78%
Russia -0.5 6590 30117 -6590 52014 -11.25%
Turkey +0.5 19885 17597 -19885 32129 -38.23%
Northern Ireland +0.5 3156 3756 -3156 28973 -9.82%
Ukraine +0.5 5769 10112 -5769 23204 -19.91%
Czech Republic +0.5 2530 5216 -2530 20675 -10.90%
Ireland -0.5 1818 5326 -1818 18857 -8.79%
Belgium -0.5 2525 4394 -2525 16332 -13.39%
Hungary +0.5 1884 2450 2450 18782 15.00%
Iceland +0.5 4192 9002 9002 27784 47.93%
Russia -0.5 1174 1725 -1174 26610 -4.22%
Romania -0.5 1363 3449 -1363 25247 -5.12%
France -0.5 5453 1398 1398 26646 5.54%
England -0.5 746 522 522 27167 1.96%
Northern Ireland -0.5 2226 11573 11573 38741 42.60%
Poland -0.5 2113 11622 -2113 36627 -5.45%
Sweden -0.5 3242 12190 -3242 33386 -8.85%
No Draw 2297 988 -2297 31088 -6.88%
Turkey +0.5 4166 7624 -4166 26923 -13.40%
Ireland -0.5 751 3048 -751 26172 -2.79%
Iceland -0.5 2218 3837 -2218 23954 -8.47%
Austria +0.5 3034 4064

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: