Tulsa > Saint Mary’s?

I could have gone with Syracuse > Monmouth?, but I am ecstatic Syracuse made it in. I’m not going to pretend they deserved it though.

Let’s take a brief look at Tulsa vs. Saint Mary’s. Please note, location refers to the opponent. California-Home means California was at home, and Saint Mary’s was on the road. The Expected Win % is for an average bubble team (ABT). WAB is Wins-Above-Bubble, which measures the net amount of wins for the team we are measuring relative to an ABT. Here is how Saint Mary’s performed this season:

Date Opponent Saint Mary’s Opponent-Location Expected Win % WAB
12/12/15 63 59 California-Home 0.25 -0.25
02/20/16 58 63 Gonzaga-Home 0.28 0.72
02/04/16 70 59 BYU-Home 0.41 -0.41
03/08/16 85 75 Gonzaga-Neutral 0.42 -0.42
01/21/16 67 70 Gonzaga-Away 0.58 0.42
01/09/16 67 64 Pepperdine-Home 0.65 -0.65
12/31/15 74 85 BYU-Away 0.72 0.28
02/27/16 72 84 San Francisco-Home 0.77 0.23
03/07/16 66 81 Pepperdine-Neutral 0.78 0.22
12/06/15 60 70 UC Irvine-Away 0.79 0.21
11/29/15 59 94 Cal St. Bakersfield-Away 0.79 0.21
02/18/16 72 74 Portland-Home 0.80 0.20
11/22/15 61 78 Stanford-Away 0.81 0.19
01/07/16 48 73 Loyola Marymount-Home 0.81 0.19
01/30/16 65 68 Pacific-Home 0.82 0.18
12/23/15 59 81 Santa Clara-Home 0.84 0.16
03/01/16 64 73 Grand Canyon-Away 0.85 0.15
02/11/16 69 63 Pepperdine-Away 0.87 -0.87
02/06/16 43 60 San Diego-Home 0.87 0.13
03/05/16 48 60 Loyola Marymount-Neutral 0.89 0.11
12/21/15 52 74 San Francisco-Away 0.93 0.07
12/14/15 63 93 Cal Poly-Away 0.93 0.07
01/23/16 74 89 Portland-Away 0.94 0.06
02/13/16 62 68 Loyola Marymount-Away 0.94 0.06
11/16/15 63 89 Manhattan-Away 0.94 0.06
01/14/16 62 78 Pacific-Away 0.94 0.06
02/25/16 50 75 Santa Clara-Away 0.95 0.05
12/04/15 67 81 UC Davis-Away 0.95 0.05
01/02/16 46 79 San Diego-Away 0.96 0.04
12/28/15 50 65 Utah Valley-Away 0.96 0.04
12/16/15 36 92 Southern Utah-Away 0.98 0.02
11/13/15 56 80 San Francisco St.-Away 1.00 0.00
        Final Result 1.56

They went 1-1 in their two toughest games. In fact, if you just look at their six toughest games, they went 2-4, with a WAB of -0.59. However, in their other 26 games they went 25-1, with the unfortunate slip at home against Pepperdine being the only blemish. We’d expect an ABT to pick up 3.15 losses in those 26 games, so Saint Mary’s ends up with a WAB of 1.56. It isn’t easy to win games like a metronome.

As for Tulsa:

Date Opponent Tulsa Opponent-Location Expected Win % WAB
02/10/16 77 82 SMU-Home 0.23 0.77
02/13/16 75 73 Connecticut-Home 0.26 -0.26
01/02/16 76 57 Cincinnati-Home 0.31 -0.31
01/27/16 81 66 Houston-Home 0.41 -0.41
02/28/16 92 82 Memphis-Home 0.47 -0.47
11/17/15 67 77 Wichita St.-Away 0.49 0.51
12/19/15 76 71 Oregon St.-Semi-Home 0.49 -0.49
02/04/16 83 79 Temple-Home 0.50 -0.50
12/29/15 81 69 SMU-Away 0.51 -0.51
12/02/15 56 66 Oklahoma St.-Home 0.53 0.47
11/23/15 83 75 South Carolina-Neutral 0.55 -0.55
01/14/16 51 60 Connecticut-Away 0.57 0.43
02/18/16 68 70 Cincinnati-Away 0.62 0.38
03/11/16 89 67 Memphis-Neutral 0.62 -0.62
11/28/15 64 60 Arkansas Little Rock-Away 0.68 -0.68
02/07/16 63 77 Houston-Away 0.71 0.29
12/08/15 81 90 Iona-Away 0.76 0.24
11/20/15 88 90 Ohio-Neutral 0.77 0.23
02/21/16 67 75 UCF-Home 0.77 0.23
02/23/16 55 74 Temple-Away 0.78 0.22
01/19/16 69 84 East Carolina-Home 0.79 0.21
01/10/16 67 81 Tulane-Home 0.80 0.20
12/13/15 61 70 Missouri St.-Home 0.83 0.17
11/22/15 59 67 Indiana St.-Neutral 0.85 0.15
12/05/15 70 68 Oral Roberts-Away 0.90 -0.90
01/24/16 60 75 UCF-Away 0.92 0.08
01/05/16 43 55 East Carolina-Away 0.93 0.07
01/30/16 48 62 Tulane-Away 0.93 0.07
03/05/16 74 84 South Florida-Away 0.94 0.06
11/14/15 81 98 Central Arkansas-Away 0.98 0.02
12/22/15 55 90 Northern Arizona-Away 0.99 0.01
Final Result -0.90

Like Saint Mary’s, Tulsa went 1-1 in their two toughest games. In fact, they also went 2-4 in their six toughest games, with a WAB of -0.16. That puts them solidly ahead of Saint Mary’s, but this is where things diverge. Tulsa had a set of nine games where an ABT would more 49% of the time (the Wichita State game was 48.62%), and less than 70% of the time. In those nine games they went 3-6, for a WAB of -2.08. That set includes losing to Temple at home, and Memphis on a neutral court.

In the remaining 16 games Tulsa went 15-1, with the lone blemish being a loss at home agaisnt Oral Roberts. As with Saint Mary’s, that was a solid performance, netting 1.33 WAB, but it doesn’t make up for that awful run in the midsection of the schedule.

Of course, the committee saw things differently. I’ll discuss why when I have more time.

Here are the final WAB standings:

Rank School WAB avg Resume Pyth Pyth 50-50 Split
1 Kansas 11.08 0.9598 0.9521 0.956
2 Villanova 8.23 0.9366 0.9443 0.9404
3 Virginia 7.98 0.9251 0.9476 0.9363
4 North Carolina 7.94 0.9284 0.9479 0.9382
5 Michigan St. 7.57 0.9315 0.9497 0.9406
6 Oklahoma 7.43 0.9214 0.9299 0.9256
7 Xavier 6.86 0.9271 0.9141 0.9206
8 West Virginia 6.74 0.9087 0.9349 0.9218
9 Oregon 6.69 0.9174 0.9165 0.917
10 Miami FL 6.25 0.9098 0.9117 0.9108
11 Utah 5.69 0.8975 0.877 0.8873
12 Kentucky 4.67 0.8853 0.9256 0.9055
13 Texas A&M 4.53 0.8835 0.9042 0.8939
14 Purdue 4.46 0.8827 0.9218 0.9022
15 Seton Hall 4.13 0.879 0.881 0.88
16 Maryland 4.08 0.8783 0.8956 0.887
17 Louisville 3.78 0.8758 0.9216 0.8987
18 SMU 3.75 0.8916 0.9067 0.8992
19 Duke 3.71 0.8673 0.9054 0.8863
20 Indiana 3.51 0.8748 0.9085 0.8917
21 Arizona 3.44 0.8689 0.9108 0.8899
22 Iowa St. 3.29 0.8604 0.9036 0.882
23 Baylor 3.16 0.8574 0.8858 0.8716
24 Texas 2.91 0.8533 0.8647 0.859
25 Saint Joseph’s 2.69 0.8602 0.8494 0.8548
26 Providence 2.41 0.8472 0.8277 0.8375
27 Dayton 2.19 0.8519 0.8176 0.8348
28 California 2.17 0.8432 0.8885 0.8658
29 Arkansas Little Rock 1.97 0.8648 0.7881 0.8265
30 Iowa 1.97 0.8408 0.8987 0.8698
31 Notre Dame 1.96 0.8387 0.8503 0.8445
32 Gonzaga 1.87 0.8452 0.884 0.8646
33 Saint Mary’s 1.58 0.8483 0.8592 0.8538
34 South Carolina 1.45 0.834 0.8245 0.8292
35 Butler 1.42 0.8305 0.8554 0.843
36 Connecticut 1.42 0.8293 0.8818 0.8555
37 Michigan 1.27 0.8243 0.8169 0.8206
38 Texas Tech 1.09 0.8223 0.8272 0.8248
39 Pittsburgh 0.94 0.8197 0.8409 0.8303
40 Colorado 0.71 0.8148 0.8157 0.8152
41 Valparaiso 0.68 0.8205 0.8351 0.8278
42 Chattanooga 0.66 0.8226 0.6825 0.7525
43 Cincinnati 0.60 0.8134 0.8654 0.8394
44 Wisconsin 0.46 0.8095 0.8548 0.8322
45 Hawaii 0.34 0.8123 0.7825 0.7974
46 USC 0.23 0.8047 0.8283 0.8165
47 Monmouth 0.16 0.8046 0.7515 0.7781
48 Oregon St. 0.09 0.802 0.792 0.797
49 Temple -0.04 0.7992 0.7362 0.7677
50 Wichita St. -0.09 0.7976 0.8919 0.8448
51 Princeton -0.20 0.7932 0.753 0.7731
52 San Diego St. -0.22 0.7946 0.8145 0.8046
53 Yale -0.25 0.7913 0.8153 0.8033
54 Florida St. -0.41 0.7913 0.815 0.8032
55 UNC Wilmington -0.42 0.7872 0.7389 0.7631
56 Georgia Tech -0.43 0.7913 0.7989 0.7951
57 St. Bonaventure -0.46 0.787 0.7471 0.7671
58 Florida -0.50 0.7899 0.8433 0.8166
59 VCU -0.71 0.7832 0.8357 0.8094
60 Syracuse -0.71 0.7848 0.8385 0.8117
61 Vanderbilt -0.88 0.781 0.8836 0.8323
62 Tulsa -0.90 0.7785 0.7887 0.7836
63 Ohio St. -0.93 0.7801 0.7703 0.7752
64 Stephen F. Austin -0.94 0.7586 0.8108 0.7847
65 Virginia Tech -0.94 0.7805 0.7714 0.7759
66 Houston -0.97 0.7738 0.7842 0.779
67 South Dakota St. -1.03 0.7664 0.7364 0.7514
68 Stony Brook -1.05 0.7603 0.7116 0.736
69 UC Irvine -1.11 0.7704 0.7143 0.7424
70 Georgia -1.14 0.775 0.7837 0.7793
71 Grand Canyon -1.14 0.7561 0.6127 0.6844
72 Hofstra -1.18 0.7681 0.713 0.7405
73 Akron -1.19 0.765 0.7341 0.7495
74 UAB -1.22 0.7527 0.6393 0.696
75 George Washington -1.27 0.768 0.7724 0.7702
76 Alabama -1.27 0.7726 0.7269 0.7497
77 Fresno St. -1.39 0.7623 0.6787 0.7205
78 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -1.54 0.7461 0.5092 0.6277
79 Northwestern -1.65 0.7611 0.7665 0.7638
80 Marquette -1.74 0.7612 0.709 0.7351
81 Kansas St. -1.86 0.7611 0.8131 0.7871
82 BYU -1.99 0.7467 0.8089 0.7778
83 Evansville -2.00 0.7423 0.7523 0.7473
84 Mississippi -2.02 0.7513 0.7481 0.7497
85 Washington -2.13 0.752 0.7959 0.774
86 LSU -2.37 0.7472 0.7423 0.7448
87 IPFW -2.38 0.728 0.6035 0.6658
88 Davidson -2.56 0.7361 0.6777 0.7069
89 Northern Iowa -2.58 0.7376 0.7387 0.7382
90 Stanford -2.61 0.7378 0.7019 0.7199
91 Creighton -2.68 0.7379 0.8248 0.7814
92 Clemson -2.88 0.7311 0.8126 0.7719
93 Oakland -3.30 0.7077 0.7202 0.7139
94 Iona -3.34 0.6982 0.7164 0.7073
95 Long Beach St. -3.41 0.721 0.6832 0.7021
96 Middle Tennessee -3.43 0.6841 0.5995 0.6418
97 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.46 0.6649 0.6635 0.6642
98 William & Mary -3.48 0.6998 0.7191 0.7095
99 Albany -3.78 0.6461 0.5911 0.6186
100 UT Arlington -3.86 0.6776 0.684 0.6808
101 Boise St. -3.92 0.6924 0.7098 0.7011
102 UCLA -3.94 0.7087 0.7621 0.7354
103 Southern Illinois -3.98 0.6712 0.5744 0.6228
104 Weber St. -4.03 0.6325 0.582 0.6072
105 James Madison -4.09 0.6776 0.7108 0.6942
106 Arizona St. -4.30 0.6992 0.7235 0.7113
107 Columbia -4.32 0.6534 0.6247 0.6391
108 New Mexico St. -4.35 0.6554 0.6458 0.6506
109 Winthrop -4.42 0.6308 0.5359 0.5833
110 Green Bay -4.43 0.6791 0.6272 0.6532
111 Louisiana Tech -4.51 0.6251 0.5301 0.5776
112 North Carolina St. -4.53 0.6959 0.7508 0.7234
113 Penn St. -4.60 0.6889 0.5972 0.6431
114 East Tennessee St. -4.69 0.6558 0.5416 0.5987
115 UC Santa Barbara -4.71 0.6691 0.6819 0.6755
116 Georgetown -4.95 0.6856 0.7783 0.732
117 Belmont -4.96 0.6377 0.5914 0.6145
118 Ohio -5.07 0.6349 0.5962 0.6156
119 Arkansas -5.10 0.674 0.7522 0.7131
120 High Point -5.24 0.6036 0.5562 0.5799
121 Memphis -5.30 0.6691 0.7544 0.7118
122 North Florida -5.39 0.6209 0.4736 0.5472
123 Nevada -5.46 0.6433 0.569 0.6062
124 Pepperdine -5.49 0.6392 0.5979 0.6186
125 Nebraska -5.73 0.6674 0.718 0.6927
126 Montana -5.78 0.5982 0.5384 0.5683
127 Illinois St. -5.84 0.6377 0.59 0.6139
128 Buffalo -5.85 0.6431 0.5951 0.6191
129 UNC Asheville -5.87 0.5957 0.6332 0.6144
130 Tennessee Tech -5.88 0.5874 0.4264 0.5069
131 Wright St. -5.88 0.6334 0.558 0.5957
132 Siena -5.90 0.6137 0.6192 0.6165
133 Hampton -5.90 0.5618 0.3166 0.4392
134 Towson -5.98 0.607 0.5465 0.5768
135 Tennessee St. -6.02 0.5503 0.4805 0.5154
136 Louisiana Monroe -6.15 0.6173 0.5786 0.5979
137 Richmond -6.18 0.6392 0.6974 0.6683
138 Rhode Island -6.26 0.6303 0.7333 0.6818
139 Mississippi St. -6.42 0.6306 0.7329 0.6817
140 Northern Illinois -6.43 0.5873 0.5142 0.5507
141 Vermont -6.43 0.6075 0.5237 0.5656
142 Tennessee -6.43 0.6493 0.6823 0.6658
143 Morehead St. -6.44 0.5808 0.5661 0.5735
144 Fordham -6.46 0.5933 0.5393 0.5663
145 UNLV -6.55 0.6229 0.6335 0.6282
146 Milwaukee -6.58 0.5978 0.6297 0.6138
147 Wake Forest -6.61 0.6259 0.6197 0.6228
148 Old Dominion -6.62 0.6013 0.6471 0.6242
149 Northeastern -6.67 0.6183 0.5955 0.6069
150 Wagner -6.73 0.5008 0.4399 0.4704
151 Coastal Carolina -6.77 0.5278 0.4912 0.5095
152 Fairfield -6.78 0.5854 0.4338 0.5096
153 Illinois -6.84 0.6376 0.6238 0.6307
154 Kent St. -6.87 0.581 0.485 0.533
155 TCU -6.94 0.6291 0.5855 0.6073
156 Oklahoma St. -7.03 0.6205 0.7033 0.6619
157 College of Charleston -7.04 0.5845 0.6101 0.5973
158 North Dakota St. -7.10 0.5725 0.5351 0.5538
159 Incarnate Word -7.12 0.5344 0.306 0.4202
160 New Mexico -7.19 0.5943 0.6283 0.6113
161 Nebraska Omaha -7.43 0.5484 0.546 0.5472
162 New Hampshire -7.45 0.5216 0.3342 0.4279
163 Louisiana Lafayette -7.57 0.5596 0.6048 0.5822
164 Eastern Michigan -7.59 0.5818 0.5476 0.5647
165 Utah St. -7.67 0.5693 0.5775 0.5734
166 Texas Southern -7.77 0.5544 0.4223 0.4883
167 Idaho -7.81 0.5046 0.3845 0.4446
168 Southern -7.92 0.5003 0.3381 0.4192
169 Duquesne -8.17 0.5645 0.5322 0.5484
170 Ball St. -8.21 0.5073 0.5154 0.5114
171 Elon -8.24 0.5614 0.5089 0.5351
172 Detroit -8.41 0.5353 0.4811 0.5082
173 Florida Gulf Coast -8.67 0.4819 0.4594 0.4706
174 Marshall -8.75 0.5449 0.5374 0.5411
175 Georgia St. -8.76 0.4919 0.4508 0.4713
176 Colorado St. -8.77 0.5488 0.548 0.5484
177 San Francisco -8.79 0.5107 0.4232 0.467
178 NJIT -8.84 0.4922 0.3873 0.4398
179 Murray St. -8.86 0.4911 0.4865 0.4888
180 Auburn -8.94 0.5498 0.4435 0.4966
181 Mercer -8.95 0.4953 0.4427 0.469
182 Central Michigan -8.98 0.5126 0.5272 0.5199
183 Massachusetts -8.98 0.5497 0.4928 0.5212
184 Tennessee Martin -9.02 0.4909 0.3786 0.4347
185 Bucknell -9.03 0.4436 0.4653 0.4544
186 Harvard -9.09 0.5117 0.4657 0.4887
187 Oral Roberts -9.16 0.5271 0.4699 0.4985
188 South Carolina St. -9.30 0.4744 0.2544 0.3644
189 Indiana St. -9.30 0.5279 0.4765 0.5022
190 Loyola Marymount -9.37 0.5182 0.3804 0.4493
191 Army -9.40 0.4258 0.3402 0.383
192 Radford -9.46 0.4816 0.3669 0.4242
193 Furman -9.53 0.4883 0.4754 0.4818
194 Lehigh -9.56 0.4815 0.445 0.4632
195 Missouri -9.62 0.525 0.5152 0.5201
196 UTEP -9.63 0.4535 0.3729 0.4132
197 Western Kentucky -9.63 0.5094 0.4712 0.4903
198 Toledo -9.65 0.4763 0.5941 0.5352
199 Loyola Chicago -9.71 0.5103 0.4557 0.483
200 Sam Houston St. -9.74 0.4768 0.3723 0.4245
201 DePaul -9.89 0.5119 0.4356 0.4737
202 Western Carolina -9.90 0.5079 0.4131 0.4605
203 Fairleigh Dickinson -9.93 0.4287 0.2762 0.3525
204 Navy -9.95 0.4316 0.4001 0.4158
205 Gardner Webb -9.95 0.4883 0.3506 0.4194
206 Boston University -9.98 0.4247 0.3488 0.3868
207 UCF -9.99 0.4928 0.4651 0.4789
208 Denver -10.12 0.4434 0.4476 0.4455
209 Wofford -10.17 0.4893 0.4138 0.4516
210 East Carolina -10.18 0.5153 0.4379 0.4766
211 Eastern Kentucky -10.41 0.4519 0.4081 0.43
212 Washington St. -10.46 0.4924 0.4477 0.47
213 Saint Peter’s -10.47 0.4415 0.384 0.4128
214 Jackson St. -10.58 0.4307 0.2979 0.3643
215 Eastern Washington -10.62 0.4181 0.4043 0.4112
216 Houston Baptist -10.64 0.4517 0.2428 0.3472
217 North Dakota -10.67 0.4148 0.3965 0.4057
218 IUPUI -10.77 0.4864 0.3613 0.4239
219 Wyoming -10.85 0.4723 0.4719 0.4721
220 Norfolk St. -10.91 0.4365 0.3157 0.3761
221 Savannah St. -10.95 0.3905 0.1571 0.2738
222 Missouri St. -11.03 0.4759 0.3405 0.4082
223 Idaho St. -11.09 0.3815 0.2432 0.3123
224 Texas St. -11.10 0.4134 0.3796 0.3965
225 Austin Peay -11.13 0.4603 0.3709 0.4156
226 Air Force -11.25 0.4542 0.3214 0.3878
227 Western Illinois -11.28 0.3874 0.332 0.3597
228 Seattle -11.40 0.388 0.2279 0.3079
229 Alcorn St. -11.44 0.3502 0.1653 0.2577
230 Penn -11.47 0.3893 0.3044 0.3468
231 South Dakota -11.53 0.4409 0.3604 0.4006
232 Georgia Southern -11.54 0.4131 0.3602 0.3866
233 Tulane -11.67 0.4877 0.4004 0.444
234 Cornell -11.78 0.3884 0.2438 0.3161
235 Bowling Green -11.87 0.4387 0.3604 0.3995
236 Jacksonville -11.91 0.3696 0.2505 0.31
237 George Mason -12.10 0.4466 0.4098 0.4282
238 St. John’s -12.15 0.4396 0.375 0.4073
239 Eastern Illinois -12.25 0.3654 0.2667 0.316
240 Santa Clara -12.25 0.4231 0.3338 0.3784
241 Manhattan -12.25 0.3967 0.3185 0.3576
242 Montana St. -12.27 0.3724 0.2863 0.3294
243 UNC Greensboro -12.28 0.4039 0.3473 0.3756
244 Western Michigan -12.29 0.4209 0.455 0.4379
245 Saint Louis -12.31 0.4387 0.3643 0.4015
246 LIU Brooklyn -12.35 0.2849 0.2232 0.254
247 Colgate -12.37 0.3582 0.2978 0.328
248 Boston College -12.39 0.4216 0.3515 0.3865
249 Cal Poly -12.39 0.4046 0.3974 0.401
250 Utah Valley -12.42 0.3785 0.2289 0.3037
251 Minnesota -12.56 0.4141 0.4499 0.432
252 Dartmouth -12.56 0.3488 0.338 0.3434
253 Portland -12.74 0.4131 0.387 0.4001
254 South Alabama -12.83 0.4042 0.2796 0.3419
255 UMKC -12.83 0.3858 0.2835 0.3346
256 Alabama St. -12.88 0.3358 0.2004 0.2681
257 Charlotte -12.91 0.4 0.4174 0.4087
258 Pacific -12.94 0.3503 0.3533 0.3518
259 Sacramento St. -12.94 0.3316 0.2505 0.291
260 UMass Lowell -13.01 0.3369 0.171 0.254
261 Canisius -13.08 0.3918 0.3482 0.37
262 Kennesaw St. -13.10 0.3865 0.2713 0.3289
263 La Salle -13.11 0.3969 0.29 0.3435
264 St. Francis PA -13.14 0.3113 0.2054 0.2583
265 UC Davis -13.21 0.3563 0.3205 0.3384
266 Miami OH -13.26 0.4001 0.3406 0.3704
267 Samford -13.37 0.3777 0.3481 0.3629
268 UC Riverside -13.41 0.3757 0.3454 0.3605
269 Liberty -13.46 0.3644 0.2257 0.295
270 Sacred Heart -13.50 0.3199 0.1967 0.2583
271 St. Francis NY -13.59 0.2966 0.2396 0.2681
272 Mount St. Mary’s -13.61 0.3652 0.2816 0.3234
273 Bethune Cookman -13.62 0.3302 0.1784 0.2543
274 Rider -13.64 0.383 0.3625 0.3727
275 Cal St. Northridge -13.67 0.3486 0.3215 0.3351
276 Youngstown St. -13.77 0.3795 0.242 0.3107
277 Cal St. Fullerton -13.81 0.3423 0.2737 0.308
278 Rutgers -13.85 0.3746 0.2479 0.3113
279 Northern Kentucky -13.89 0.3476 0.2925 0.32
280 Portland St. -13.96 0.302 0.2852 0.2936
281 Arkansas St. -14.01 0.345 0.295 0.32
282 San Diego -14.04 0.3414 0.2642 0.3028
283 American -14.13 0.3204 0.1835 0.2519
284 Abilene Christian -14.18 0.2888 0.1808 0.2348
285 Brown -14.34 0.2883 0.2556 0.272
286 Holy Cross -14.48 0.3188 0.2491 0.284
287 Campbell -14.57 0.2561 0.2085 0.2323
288 FIU -14.75 0.2955 0.3425 0.319
289 Rice -14.80 0.3178 0.2416 0.2797
290 South Florida -14.80 0.364 0.3536 0.3588
291 North Texas -14.82 0.317 0.2132 0.2651
292 Delaware -14.96 0.3082 0.2478 0.278
293 Alabama A&M -14.96 0.2224 0.1677 0.1951
294 Charleston Southern -15.06 0.2974 0.204 0.2507
295 McNeese St. -15.10 0.268 0.1303 0.1992
296 Appalachian St. -15.10 0.319 0.2821 0.3006
297 Northwestern St. -15.28 0.2449 0.1429 0.1939
298 Presbyterian -15.31 0.2817 0.1559 0.2188
299 North Carolina Central -15.45 0.2544 0.188 0.2212
300 Maryland Eastern Shore -15.55 0.3146 0.1598 0.2372
301 VMI -15.62 0.2726 0.1807 0.2267
302 Southeastern Louisiana -15.62 0.3081 0.1626 0.2354
303 Lamar -15.69 0.2233 0.1602 0.1918
304 Cleveland St. -15.72 0.3154 0.2241 0.2698
305 San Jose St. -15.73 0.2933 0.2881 0.2907
306 Central Arkansas -15.74 0.2359 0.1436 0.1898
307 Loyola MD -15.94 0.2581 0.2185 0.2383
308 Lipscomb -15.97 0.2912 0.247 0.2691
309 Howard -16.08 0.2508 0.1429 0.1968
310 Coppin St. -16.10 0.2777 0.1415 0.2096
311 Quinnipiac -16.22 0.2451 0.208 0.2266
312 New Orleans -16.28 0.2205 0.1614 0.191
313 Northern Colorado -16.34 0.2519 0.185 0.2184
314 Nicholls St. -16.35 0.3176 0.1377 0.2277
315 Troy -16.41 0.2647 0.2257 0.2452
316 SIU Edwardsville -16.63 0.2055 0.1728 0.1892
317 Stetson -16.89 0.2787 0.2525 0.2656
318 Binghamton -16.96 0.227 0.1539 0.1905
319 Drexel -16.97 0.2514 0.3116 0.2815
320 UT Rio Grande Valley -17.04 0.2238 0.0906 0.1572
321 Southern Miss -17.11 0.1912 0.1859 0.1886
322 Robert Morris -17.17 0.2445 0.1873 0.2159
323 Drake -17.20 0.2469 0.2676 0.2572
324 Maine -17.24 0.2152 0.116 0.1656
325 Morgan St. -17.31 0.2258 0.1783 0.2021
326 USC Upstate -17.33 0.237 0.1525 0.1948
327 The Citadel -17.45 0.2317 0.1568 0.1943
328 Hartford -17.51 0.2576 0.1691 0.2134
329 Arkansas Pine Bluff -17.63 0.269 0.0908 0.1799
330 Bryant -17.68 0.2239 0.1007 0.1623
331 North Carolina A&T -17.73 0.219 0.1104 0.1647
332 Jacksonville St. -17.84 0.2175 0.1974 0.2075
333 Longwood -18.20 0.2284 0.2138 0.2211
334 Bradley -18.21 0.2191 0.1436 0.1814
335 Prairie View A&M -18.25 0.21 0.1105 0.1602
336 Florida A&M -18.25 0.1377 0.063 0.1003
337 Marist -18.38 0.1816 0.1917 0.1866
338 Florida Atlantic -18.59 0.236 0.1915 0.2137
339 Southern Utah -18.80 0.1735 0.1127 0.1431
340 Northern Arizona -18.89 0.1698 0.1064 0.1381
341 Niagara -18.99 0.2056 0.1703 0.188
342 Southeast Missouri St. -19.12 0.1443 0.1139 0.1291
343 Illinois Chicago -19.41 0.1548 0.124 0.1394
344 Lafayette -19.47 0.151 0.1434 0.1472
345 Delaware St. -19.71 0.1817 0.0731 0.1274
346 Grambling St. -19.78 0.1555 0.0844 0.1199
347 UMBC -20.38 0.1591 0.1364 0.1478
348 Mississippi Valley St. -21.23 0.1895 0.1004 0.145
349 Chicago St. -21.29 0.1317 0.0841 0.1079
350 UTSA -21.55 0.132 0.105 0.1185
351 Central Connecticut -21.75 0.0749 0.0614 0.0681
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