Maryland goes down

Congratulations to Minnesota for keeping the upset train rolling. The day after we say the teams ranked third, fourth, and fifth go down, the sixth-ranked Terrapins fell as well.

In other news, I fixed a bug that cropped up in the last BPI rankings. While I loathe bugs, I was pleasantly surprised when Syracuse was a beneficiary of the fix.

Villanova has secured their place on top of the standings. However, they were outscored by a combined 34 points in their games against Virginia and Oklahoma. Their loss at home to Providence is an outlier. Otherwise, they’ve run the table. Their best win was a home blowout over Xavier. Xavier will get a chance to return the favor next Wednesday. Villanova hasn’t had much success in the NCAA Tournament as a high seed lately. Since reaching the Final Four in 2009, they are 3-5, and haven’t made it out of the opening weekend. During that time they’ve been a 1-seed, a 2-seed twice, a 9-seed twice, and missed the tournament in 2012. I can understand the skepticism, despite their place atop the WAB standings and the KenPom ratings.

Rank School KenPom Sagarin Massey BPI WAB ave
1 Villanova 6.65 6.46 7.00 6.89 6.75
2 Kansas 6.30 6.44 5.65 6.26 6.16
3 Xavier 5.70 5.90 6.25 6.04 5.97
4 Oklahoma 5.77 5.61 5.51 5.82 5.68
5 Virginia 5.28 5.43 5.36 5.68 5.44
6 Miami FL 4.98 5.22 4.89 5.30 5.10
7 Michigan St. 4.75 5.11 5.05 4.93 4.96
8 West Virginia 4.49 4.31 4.12 4.43 4.34
9 North Carolina 4.14 4.38 4.12 4.53 4.29
10 Duke 4.18 4.21 4.11 4.36 4.22
11 Maryland 4.14 4.27 4.04 4.23 4.17
12 Iowa 3.76 4.12 3.52 3.93 3.83
13 Arizona 3.28 3.38 3.23 3.88 3.44
14 Oregon 3.27 3.24 3.12 3.71 3.34
15 Iowa St. 3.22 3.25 2.84 3.33 3.16
16 SMU 3.05 3.01 3.23 3.29 3.15
17 Purdue 2.84 3.41 3.08 3.09 3.11
18 Dayton 3.13 2.87 3.04 3.21 3.06
19 Utah 2.92 2.88 2.78 3.37 2.99
20 Kentucky 2.92 3.03 2.63 3.31 2.97
21 Saint Joseph’s 2.95 2.84 2.83 3.16 2.95
22 Louisville 2.60 2.66 2.36 2.77 2.60
23 Baylor 2.69 2.53 2.25 2.75 2.56
24 South Carolina 2.53 2.38 2.21 2.72 2.46
25 Texas 2.28 2.57 2.23 2.67 2.44
26 Texas A&M 2.25 2.29 1.89 2.94 2.34
27 Notre Dame 2.29 2.36 2.22 2.44 2.33
28 Indiana 2.11 2.25 2.25 2.20 2.20
29 Arkansas Little Rock 2.50 1.86 2.01 1.77 2.04
30 USC 2.02 1.85 1.86 2.15 1.97
31 Providence 1.78 1.96 1.85 1.86 1.86
32 Monmouth 1.76 1.33 1.48 1.08 1.41
33 Seton Hall 1.36 1.22 1.61 1.44 1.41
34 Michigan 1.31 1.58 1.03 1.46 1.35
35 Connecticut 1.12 1.15 1.32 1.62 1.30
36 Texas Tech 1.22 1.16 0.87 1.27 1.13
37 Florida 1.14 1.20 0.58 1.50 1.11
38 Chattanooga 1.51 0.75 1.17 0.98 1.10
39 Alabama 1.04 1.02 0.68 1.40 1.04
40 Butler 0.84 0.83 1.18 0.96 0.95
41 Pittsburgh 0.91 0.92 0.85 1.10 0.95
42 Syracuse 0.74 0.86 0.80 1.03 0.86
43 California 0.74 0.80 0.62 1.04 0.80
44 Colorado 0.70 0.77 0.60 1.09 0.79
45 Gonzaga 0.63 0.85 0.56 0.63 0.67
46 Hawaii 0.81 0.54 0.70 0.27 0.58
47 Akron 0.81 0.27 0.62 0.39 0.52
48 Saint Mary’s 0.42 0.53 0.41 0.12 0.37
49 Valparaiso 0.59 0.11 0.55 0.19 0.36
50 Cincinnati 0.22 0.11 0.23 0.57 0.28
51 Florida St. 0.11 0.22 0.04 0.42 0.20
52 Princeton 0.47 0.03 0.15 -0.20 0.11
53 George Washington 0.03 -0.17 0.05 0.03 -0.02
54 Wichita St. 0.07 -0.10 0.05 -0.14 -0.03
55 VCU -0.26 -0.36 -0.25 -0.08 -0.24
56 Oregon St. -0.21 -0.34 -0.39 -0.08 -0.26
57 San Diego St. -0.20 -0.24 -0.35 -0.27 -0.27
58 Wisconsin -0.24 -0.04 -0.77 -0.04 -0.27
59 Yale -0.10 -0.27 -0.32 -0.53 -0.31
60 Tulsa -0.27 -0.42 -0.54 -0.09 -0.33
61 Temple -0.41 -0.33 -0.39 -0.20 -0.33
62 Grand Canyon -0.19 -0.49 -0.38 -0.60 -0.42
63 UC Irvine -0.26 -0.48 -0.32 -0.87 -0.48
64 Stony Brook -0.09 -0.59 -0.36 -0.90 -0.49
65 Houston -0.59 -0.74 -0.72 -0.31 -0.59
66 Kansas St. -0.61 -0.55 -0.83 -0.46 -0.61
67 Creighton -0.88 -0.82 -0.54 -0.93 -0.79
68 UNC Wilmington -0.52 -1.31 -0.63 -1.12 -0.90
69 Evansville -0.78 -1.02 -0.97 -1.29 -1.02
70 St. Bonaventure -0.97 -1.23 -1.03 -1.00 -1.06
71 Clemson -1.32 -1.10 -1.23 -0.83 -1.12
72 IPFW -0.80 -1.44 -1.10 -1.57 -1.23
73 UAB -1.00 -1.29 -1.22 -1.46 -1.24
74 Ohio St. -1.43 -1.25 -1.21 -1.20 -1.27
75 BYU -1.29 -1.12 -1.33 -1.46 -1.30
76 Northwestern -1.44 -1.22 -1.70 -1.37 -1.43
77 LSU -1.42 -1.48 -1.73 -1.11 -1.44
78 Vanderbilt -1.44 -1.36 -1.78 -1.16 -1.44
79 Washington -1.66 -1.58 -1.81 -1.25 -1.58
80 Georgia Tech -1.72 -1.56 -1.77 -1.34 -1.60
81 Hofstra -1.23 -2.09 -1.42 -1.79 -1.63
82 UCLA -1.69 -1.62 -1.83 -1.43 -1.64
83 Georgia -1.76 -1.73 -2.00 -1.19 -1.67
84 Marquette -1.78 -1.91 -1.46 -1.61 -1.69
85 Stephen F. Austin -1.46 -1.73 -1.72 -1.86 -1.69
86 Mississippi -1.78 -1.73 -2.02 -1.37 -1.73
87 Stanford -1.84 -1.70 -1.99 -1.46 -1.75
88 South Dakota St. -1.30 -2.00 -1.61 -2.09 -1.75
89 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -1.41 -1.94 -1.76 -1.96 -1.77
90 William & Mary -1.50 -2.32 -1.75 -2.06 -1.91
91 UT Arlington -1.63 -2.26 -2.11 -2.28 -2.07
92 Southern Illinois -2.01 -2.21 -2.20 -2.70 -2.28
93 Davidson -2.40 -2.46 -2.35 -2.11 -2.33
94 Louisiana Tech -2.17 -2.46 -2.48 -2.48 -2.40
95 Oakland -2.12 -2.58 -2.50 -2.51 -2.43
96 Middle Tennessee -2.25 -2.61 -2.53 -2.55 -2.49
97 Arizona St. -2.73 -2.74 -2.88 -2.35 -2.68
98 Virginia Tech -2.82 -2.72 -2.89 -2.58 -2.75
99 Albany -2.38 -3.01 -2.62 -3.31 -2.83
100 Georgetown -2.94 -3.18 -2.65 -2.87 -2.91
101 James Madison -2.53 -3.37 -2.75 -3.16 -2.95
102 Fresno St. -3.06 -3.14 -3.19 -3.23 -3.16
103 Ohio -2.96 -3.53 -3.11 -3.18 -3.20
104 Boise St. -3.17 -3.08 -3.49 -3.26 -3.25
105 Long Beach St. -3.04 -3.34 -3.11 -3.55 -3.26
106 Belmont -3.00 -3.42 -3.17 -3.54 -3.28
107 Winthrop -3.01 -3.62 -3.22 -3.34 -3.30
108 Penn St. -3.56 -3.16 -3.36 -3.44 -3.38
109 Nebraska -3.54 -3.21 -3.49 -3.34 -3.40
110 Columbia -3.08 -3.44 -3.39 -3.70 -3.40
111 North Carolina St. -3.68 -3.40 -3.35 -3.27 -3.43
112 Tennessee Tech -3.15 -3.66 -3.36 -3.68 -3.46
113 Nevada -3.47 -3.51 -3.61 -3.65 -3.56
114 New Mexico -3.63 -3.53 -3.81 -3.67 -3.66
115 Richmond -3.70 -3.76 -3.80 -3.42 -3.67
116 Northern Illinois -3.51 -3.94 -3.58 -3.68 -3.68
117 Montana -3.63 -3.76 -3.76 -3.99 -3.79
118 Siena -3.36 -3.97 -3.67 -4.29 -3.82
119 New Mexico St. -3.63 -4.04 -3.79 -3.98 -3.86
120 Memphis -3.97 -4.04 -4.09 -3.71 -3.95
121 Kent St. -3.86 -4.19 -3.90 -4.08 -4.01
122 Weber St. -3.82 -4.05 -3.95 -4.29 -4.03
123 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.91 -4.15 -4.04 -4.24 -4.09
124 Wake Forest -4.50 -4.14 -4.58 -3.97 -4.30
125 Louisiana Lafayette -3.92 -4.59 -4.47 -4.45 -4.36
126 Tennessee St. -4.08 -4.54 -4.25 -4.60 -4.37
127 Illinois St. -4.19 -4.38 -4.36 -4.58 -4.38
128 Northern Iowa -4.26 -4.47 -4.41 -4.57 -4.43
129 Oklahoma St. -4.31 -4.42 -4.56 -4.44 -4.43
130 College of Charleston -4.06 -4.90 -4.25 -4.59 -4.45
131 Pepperdine -4.40 -4.27 -4.54 -4.69 -4.48
132 Southern -4.28 -4.57 -4.58 -4.50 -4.48
133 North Florida -4.34 -4.65 -4.50 -4.59 -4.52
134 East Tennessee St. -4.20 -4.98 -4.54 -4.72 -4.61
135 UC Santa Barbara -4.42 -5.02 -4.46 -4.70 -4.65
136 Tennessee -4.81 -4.53 -5.11 -4.29 -4.69
137 UNC Asheville -4.42 -4.93 -4.65 -4.84 -4.71
138 Green Bay -4.53 -5.07 -4.54 -4.89 -4.76
139 Rhode Island -4.88 -5.03 -4.98 -4.82 -4.93
140 High Point -4.67 -5.25 -4.87 -4.97 -4.94
141 Towson -4.61 -5.43 -4.82 -5.27 -5.03
142 Ball St. -4.77 -5.29 -4.90 -5.22 -5.05
143 Buffalo -4.88 -5.32 -5.04 -4.96 -5.05
144 Iona -4.67 -5.22 -5.03 -5.43 -5.09
145 Arkansas -5.13 -5.08 -5.57 -4.58 -5.09
146 Duquesne -5.19 -5.17 -5.13 -4.94 -5.11
147 UNLV -5.14 -5.10 -5.28 -5.13 -5.16
148 Milwaukee -5.01 -5.46 -4.93 -5.49 -5.22
149 TCU -5.17 -5.13 -5.51 -5.10 -5.23
150 Hampton -5.04 -5.45 -5.29 -5.39 -5.29
151 Illinois -5.38 -5.30 -5.37 -5.21 -5.32
152 Utah St. -5.38 -5.30 -5.50 -5.32 -5.38
153 Mercer -5.08 -5.74 -5.42 -5.58 -5.46
154 North Dakota St. -5.22 -5.81 -5.39 -5.90 -5.58
155 Fordham -5.56 -5.74 -5.66 -5.43 -5.60
156 Toledo -5.42 -6.06 -5.42 -5.85 -5.69
157 Old Dominion -5.50 -5.81 -5.74 -5.75 -5.70
158 Fairfield -5.31 -5.84 -5.75 -6.21 -5.78
159 New Hampshire -5.50 -5.93 -5.81 -6.17 -5.85
160 Elon -5.55 -6.38 -5.57 -6.04 -5.89
161 Wright St. -5.65 -6.16 -5.68 -6.12 -5.90
162 Wagner -5.56 -6.02 -5.68 -6.35 -5.90
163 Auburn -5.96 -5.87 -6.32 -5.48 -5.91
164 Mississippi St. -5.97 -5.89 -6.28 -5.55 -5.92
165 Nebraska Omaha -5.61 -6.21 -5.86 -6.22 -5.98
166 San Francisco -5.92 -5.75 -6.02 -6.21 -5.98
167 Northeastern -5.45 -6.37 -5.95 -6.17 -5.99
168 Morehead St. -5.81 -6.16 -5.92 -6.31 -6.05
169 Marshall -5.85 -6.21 -6.09 -6.14 -6.07
170 Incarnate Word -5.90 -6.14 -6.13 -6.31 -6.12
171 Coastal Carolina -5.96 -6.56 -6.14 -6.35 -6.25
172 Eastern Washington -6.17 -6.42 -6.23 -6.61 -6.36
173 Texas Southern -6.16 -6.47 -6.45 -6.44 -6.38
174 Furman -5.99 -6.76 -6.34 -6.46 -6.39
175 Idaho -6.05 -6.62 -6.34 -6.78 -6.45
176 Navy -6.04 -6.56 -6.32 -6.90 -6.46
177 Louisiana Monroe -5.99 -6.69 -6.53 -6.71 -6.48
178 Vermont -6.15 -6.61 -6.45 -6.83 -6.51
179 Georgia St. -6.17 -6.84 -6.75 -6.82 -6.65
180 Colorado St. -6.65 -6.60 -6.75 -6.69 -6.67
181 Radford -6.48 -7.21 -6.70 -6.72 -6.78
182 Houston Baptist -6.64 -7.08 -6.77 -7.18 -6.92
183 Eastern Michigan -6.71 -7.16 -6.94 -6.88 -6.92
184 NJIT -6.55 -7.13 -6.82 -7.29 -6.95
185 Detroit -6.75 -7.04 -6.89 -7.22 -6.98
186 UCF -6.99 -7.13 -7.02 -6.84 -7.00
187 Missouri -7.16 -7.13 -7.27 -6.60 -7.04
188 Central Michigan -6.86 -7.43 -7.00 -7.06 -7.09
189 Oral Roberts -6.91 -7.62 -7.14 -7.34 -7.25
190 Massachusetts -7.36 -7.48 -7.34 -7.05 -7.31
191 Boston University -6.91 -7.38 -7.10 -7.92 -7.33
192 DePaul -7.62 -7.59 -7.22 -7.30 -7.43
193 Murray St. -7.27 -7.69 -7.43 -7.64 -7.51
194 UTEP -7.25 -7.58 -7.51 -7.72 -7.52
195 Sam Houston St. -7.30 -7.76 -7.62 -7.71 -7.60
196 Penn -7.45 -7.75 -7.54 -7.76 -7.63
197 Tennessee Martin -7.35 -7.78 -7.54 -7.90 -7.64
198 South Carolina St. -7.40 -7.91 -7.56 -7.74 -7.65
199 Indiana St. -7.51 -7.87 -7.68 -8.08 -7.79
200 Wofford -7.62 -8.09 -7.95 -7.86 -7.88
201 Cornell -7.64 -7.91 -7.92 -8.10 -7.89
202 Loyola Chicago -7.75 -7.88 -7.92 -8.02 -7.89
203 Florida Gulf Coast -7.62 -8.05 -7.85 -8.10 -7.91
204 Jackson St. -7.67 -8.11 -7.79 -8.09 -7.92
205 Army -7.65 -7.98 -7.82 -8.26 -7.93
206 Norfolk St. -7.89 -8.18 -8.07 -8.22 -8.09
207 East Carolina -7.97 -8.47 -8.21 -7.79 -8.11
208 Washington St. -8.34 -8.12 -8.48 -7.85 -8.20
209 Bucknell -7.93 -8.40 -8.15 -8.75 -8.31
210 Air Force -8.36 -8.36 -8.42 -8.32 -8.37
211 IUPUI -8.16 -8.65 -8.30 -8.56 -8.42
212 Gardner Webb -8.23 -8.63 -8.49 -8.32 -8.42
213 North Dakota -8.21 -8.60 -8.38 -8.64 -8.46
214 Georgia Southern -8.08 -8.62 -8.52 -8.62 -8.46
215 Cal Poly -8.36 -8.68 -8.47 -8.75 -8.57
216 Boston College -8.70 -8.51 -8.86 -8.35 -8.61
217 Alcorn St. -8.40 -8.79 -8.60 -8.85 -8.66
218 Harvard -8.49 -8.62 -8.64 -8.92 -8.67
219 Idaho St. -8.58 -8.80 -8.67 -9.01 -8.77
220 Missouri St. -8.51 -8.72 -8.87 -9.05 -8.79
221 Bowling Green -8.66 -9.13 -8.76 -9.01 -8.89
222 Lehigh -8.64 -9.03 -8.93 -9.31 -8.98
223 South Dakota -8.66 -9.27 -8.92 -9.14 -9.00
224 Western Kentucky -8.79 -9.06 -9.00 -9.15 -9.00
225 Jacksonville -8.69 -9.20 -8.90 -9.37 -9.04
226 Tulane -9.01 -9.21 -9.30 -8.80 -9.08
227 Saint Louis -9.05 -9.16 -9.21 -8.94 -9.09
228 St. John’s -9.31 -9.13 -8.97 -9.01 -9.11
229 Montana St. -8.84 -9.29 -9.03 -9.41 -9.14
230 Denver -8.77 -9.43 -8.96 -9.47 -9.16
231 Saint Peter’s -8.76 -9.26 -9.11 -9.64 -9.19
232 Manhattan -8.90 -9.24 -9.24 -9.55 -9.23
233 Fairleigh Dickinson -8.92 -9.38 -9.05 -9.61 -9.24
234 Wyoming -9.15 -9.36 -9.40 -9.28 -9.30
235 Loyola Marymount -9.42 -9.05 -9.42 -9.53 -9.36
236 Savannah St. -9.15 -9.44 -9.33 -9.63 -9.39
237 Western Carolina -9.20 -9.82 -9.45 -9.35 -9.46
238 St. Francis PA -9.21 -9.60 -9.35 -9.78 -9.49
239 Seattle -9.32 -9.61 -9.44 -9.58 -9.49
240 Minnesota -9.69 -9.39 -9.59 -9.55 -9.56
241 Western Illinois -9.26 -9.92 -9.42 -9.87 -9.62
242 George Mason -9.46 -9.90 -9.68 -9.49 -9.63
243 Colgate -9.33 -9.69 -9.54 -10.00 -9.64
244 Eastern Kentucky -9.42 -9.97 -9.65 -10.01 -9.76
245 South Alabama -9.21 -10.06 -9.80 -10.05 -9.78
246 Texas St. -9.35 -10.00 -9.84 -10.13 -9.83
247 Utah Valley -9.81 -10.07 -10.00 -10.16 -10.01
248 Arkansas St. -9.66 -10.34 -10.18 -10.44 -10.16
249 Dartmouth -9.96 -10.29 -10.14 -10.48 -10.22
250 UMKC -10.03 -10.51 -10.23 -10.45 -10.31
251 La Salle -10.27 -10.57 -10.42 -10.08 -10.34
252 Western Michigan -10.09 -10.69 -10.28 -10.41 -10.37
253 UC Davis -10.29 -10.57 -10.32 -10.81 -10.50
254 Charlotte -10.46 -10.58 -10.37 -10.63 -10.51
255 Brown -10.39 -10.55 -10.50 -10.60 -10.51
256 Sacramento St. -10.26 -10.58 -10.44 -10.78 -10.52
257 Alabama A&M -10.26 -10.63 -10.40 -10.80 -10.52
258 Northern Kentucky -10.44 -10.73 -10.28 -10.77 -10.56
259 Youngstown St. -10.55 -10.82 -10.38 -10.91 -10.67
260 LIU Brooklyn -10.37 -10.77 -10.57 -11.19 -10.73
261 Rutgers -10.88 -10.68 -10.82 -10.66 -10.76
262 Santa Clara -10.95 -10.72 -10.92 -11.15 -10.94
263 Austin Peay -10.62 -11.07 -10.83 -11.24 -10.94
264 Mount St. Mary’s -10.68 -11.13 -10.86 -11.26 -10.98
265 Rider -10.64 -11.08 -10.93 -11.42 -11.02
266 UMass Lowell -10.71 -11.22 -10.93 -11.39 -11.06
267 Liberty -10.78 -11.41 -11.07 -11.17 -11.11
268 Central Arkansas -10.88 -11.38 -11.24 -11.32 -11.21
269 Portland -11.31 -11.04 -11.30 -11.34 -11.25
270 FIU -10.99 -11.40 -11.25 -11.45 -11.27
271 Alabama St. -10.99 -11.53 -11.22 -11.42 -11.29
272 Kennesaw St. -11.03 -11.53 -11.29 -11.41 -11.32
273 UC Riverside -11.04 -11.49 -11.04 -11.73 -11.33
274 Cal St. Fullerton -11.21 -11.49 -11.13 -11.76 -11.40
275 Howard -11.21 -11.60 -11.44 -11.73 -11.50
276 Eastern Illinois -11.19 -11.67 -11.41 -11.78 -11.51
277 North Texas -11.30 -11.56 -11.57 -11.68 -11.53
278 Rice -11.33 -11.60 -11.61 -11.61 -11.54
279 Miami OH -11.28 -11.88 -11.44 -11.68 -11.57
280 Cal St. Northridge -11.30 -11.77 -11.29 -11.97 -11.58
281 Pacific -11.63 -11.36 -11.68 -11.72 -11.60
282 New Orleans -11.27 -11.75 -11.57 -11.86 -11.61
283 Abilene Christian -11.44 -11.76 -11.71 -12.01 -11.73
284 Sacred Heart -11.45 -11.99 -11.67 -12.21 -11.83
285 Bethune Cookman -11.53 -11.99 -11.78 -12.05 -11.84
286 Northwestern St. -11.66 -11.95 -11.98 -11.94 -11.88
287 UNC Greensboro -11.59 -12.29 -11.77 -12.07 -11.93
288 Campbell -11.63 -12.32 -11.83 -12.04 -11.96
289 Canisius -11.46 -12.26 -11.87 -12.54 -12.03
290 Delaware -11.64 -12.65 -11.80 -12.22 -12.08
291 Samford -11.66 -12.35 -12.04 -12.39 -12.11
292 McNeese St. -11.96 -12.35 -12.34 -12.35 -12.25
293 Troy -11.75 -12.57 -12.26 -12.52 -12.28
294 San Diego -12.34 -12.18 -12.34 -12.63 -12.37
295 Holy Cross -12.02 -12.38 -12.30 -12.82 -12.38
296 Charleston Southern -12.15 -12.78 -12.45 -12.41 -12.45
297 South Florida -12.56 -12.63 -12.62 -12.25 -12.52
298 Portland St. -12.24 -12.71 -12.46 -12.83 -12.56
299 Cleveland St. -12.35 -12.94 -12.50 -12.69 -12.62
300 Lamar -12.39 -12.79 -12.64 -12.83 -12.66
301 St. Francis NY -12.33 -12.75 -12.48 -13.21 -12.69
302 North Carolina Central -12.53 -12.89 -12.77 -12.90 -12.77
303 Maryland Eastern Shore -12.59 -12.76 -12.96 -12.83 -12.79
304 Southeastern Louisiana -12.73 -13.05 -13.10 -13.08 -12.99
305 Northern Colorado -12.77 -13.10 -12.95 -13.17 -13.00
306 Quinnipiac -12.51 -13.11 -12.89 -13.53 -13.01
307 Nicholls St. -12.80 -13.13 -13.16 -13.00 -13.02
308 San Jose St. -13.06 -13.00 -13.08 -13.03 -13.04
309 VMI -12.87 -13.49 -13.12 -13.31 -13.20
310 Loyola MD -12.81 -13.31 -13.14 -13.67 -13.23
311 Coppin St. -13.12 -13.53 -13.26 -13.40 -13.33
312 American -12.96 -13.57 -13.34 -13.76 -13.41
313 Southern Miss -13.28 -13.60 -13.52 -13.68 -13.52
314 The Citadel -13.33 -14.11 -13.65 -13.91 -13.75
315 Maine -13.50 -13.93 -13.67 -14.18 -13.82
316 Appalachian St. -13.24 -14.14 -13.97 -14.09 -13.86
317 Arkansas Pine Bluff -13.60 -13.99 -14.07 -14.00 -13.92
318 Presbyterian -13.75 -14.31 -13.90 -13.93 -13.97
319 Lipscomb -13.77 -14.41 -13.96 -14.30 -14.11
320 Northern Arizona -13.99 -14.51 -14.36 -14.49 -14.34
321 Stetson -14.01 -14.57 -14.22 -14.65 -14.36
322 Florida A&M -14.07 -14.50 -14.34 -14.67 -14.40
323 Florida Atlantic -14.08 -14.41 -14.53 -14.57 -14.40
324 Drake -14.17 -14.42 -14.46 -14.75 -14.45
325 UT Rio Grande Valley -14.31 -14.70 -14.53 -14.76 -14.58
326 Robert Morris -14.41 -14.89 -14.53 -14.93 -14.69
327 Morgan St. -14.27 -14.87 -14.64 -15.04 -14.71
328 SIU Edwardsville -14.68 -15.02 -14.71 -14.99 -14.85
329 Grambling St. -14.79 -15.16 -15.02 -15.04 -15.00
330 North Carolina A&T -14.86 -15.06 -15.05 -15.17 -15.04
331 Delaware St. -15.05 -15.19 -14.89 -15.29 -15.11
332 Binghamton -14.69 -15.36 -15.15 -15.50 -15.18
333 Southern Utah -14.96 -15.18 -15.15 -15.41 -15.18
334 Jacksonville St. -14.98 -15.52 -15.12 -15.40 -15.26
335 Illinois Chicago -15.25 -15.72 -15.28 -15.77 -15.51
336 Hartford -15.24 -15.69 -15.45 -15.96 -15.59
337 Prairie View A&M -15.39 -15.62 -15.64 -15.71 -15.59
338 Bradley -15.50 -15.89 -15.82 -16.05 -15.82
339 Longwood -15.51 -16.16 -15.74 -15.96 -15.84
340 Bryant -15.68 -15.95 -15.55 -16.21 -15.85
341 USC Upstate -15.63 -16.02 -15.84 -16.12 -15.90
342 Niagara -15.49 -16.14 -15.89 -16.53 -16.01
343 Drexel -15.74 -16.84 -15.95 -16.30 -16.21
344 Mississippi Valley St. -16.30 -16.74 -16.49 -16.80 -16.58
345 Marist -16.28 -16.93 -16.69 -17.36 -16.82
346 Lafayette -16.50 -16.93 -16.70 -17.23 -16.84
347 Southeast Missouri St. -17.07 -17.40 -17.14 -17.41 -17.26
348 Chicago St. -17.76 -18.16 -17.81 -18.08 -17.95
349 UMBC -17.54 -18.16 -17.74 -18.39 -17.96
350 UTSA -17.96 -18.33 -18.21 -18.46 -18.24
351 Central Connecticut -18.67 -19.00 -18.79 -19.28 -18.94

 

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3 comments
  1. hagrin said:

    Hey Seth, sorry for positing another question, but I enjoy your posts and you seem to be one of the few people doing interesting, unique CBB work right now.

    While I plan on altering my code to auto-generate a WAB rating for each rating system during the offseason regardless of your answer, I was wondering if there was a past blog post that discusses WAB’s predictive performance somewhere? Right now I’d have to manually backtest and I’d rather wait until I automate things on my end. I believe I once saw a tweet exchange between Pomeroy and yourself discussing WAB’s predictive performance, but I’m not sure I’ve seen a post from you discussing the predictive powers of WAB for each rating system + the WAB averaging of all the systems?

    Thanks as always, great work as usual.

  2. sethburn said:

    I’ve talked about WAB with Ken a few times, but WAB should NOT be more predictive than the underlying ratings I am using to generate it. I can’t speak for BPI, but KenPom Pyth, Sagarin Predictor, and Massey Power should all be more predictive than WAB. WAB is a descriptive stat. Specifically, it tells you how many games you are above the “bubble” baseline, like WAR.

    The reason I’ve started sorting by the WAB average instead on the KenPom WAB is I suspect KenPom has a slight bias towards non-power conference teams. Also, by its nature, the averaging smooths out any outliers.

    Again, to be clear: WAB describes what you’ve done. Pyth is a better descriptor of what you are, and is more likely to reflect the line.

  3. hagrin said:

    As always Seth super simple and clear explanation. Thank you as always.

    I’m definitely interested now in attacking this in the offseason to try and prove/disprove the null hypothesis of non-power conference team bias. It’s an extremely interesting hypothesis because there was obviously some disagreement with his handling of Wisconsin in 2012 and he has since slightly modified his system since so it would be interesting to me if, in his efforts to “fix” one issue if he inadvertently introduced a slight bias somewhere else.

    Very cool and interesting work Seth and again thanks for taking the time to clarify.

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