WAB: 2^4=16 Edition

Iowa has taken the top spot in the KenPom ratings, but Oklahoma has a firm grip on the WAB lead.

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Oklahoma 6.36 99.97%
2 Villanova 5.12 99.63%
3 Xavier 4.93 99.64%
4 Maryland 4.87 99.53%
5 North Carolina 4.44 99.02%
6 Virginia 4.42 98.60%
7 Iowa 4.35 99.01%
8 West Virginia 4.30 98.73%
9 Kansas 4.27 98.62%
10 Texas A&M 4.20 98.41%
11 Michigan St. 3.69 97.16%
12 Oregon 3.51 96.10%
13 SMU 3.36 96.86%
14 Miami FL 3.21 94.86%
15 Iowa St. 3.10 93.97%
16 Dayton 2.82 94.32%
17 Purdue 2.82 93.22%
18 Louisville 2.75 93.64%
19 Utah 2.57 90.56%
20 Providence 2.55 90.84%
21 Baylor 2.52 91.75%
22 South Carolina 2.44 90.68%
23 USC 2.21 87.03%
24 Arkansas Little Rock 2.12 90.27%
25 Arizona 1.93 83.46%
26 Indiana 1.92 84.65%
27 Texas 1.91 82.13%
28 Duke 1.83 81.10%
29 Saint Joseph’s 1.82 82.65%
30 Pittsburgh 1.64 82.55%
31 Michigan 1.51 79.16%
32 Florida St. 1.46 77.61%
33 Florida 1.42 75.98%
34 Chattanooga 1.37 79.06%
35 Kentucky 1.33 74.46%
36 Saint Mary’s 1.30 79.13%
37 Colorado 1.29 74.29%
38 Valparaiso 1.25 74.63%
39 Monmouth 1.22 73.04%
40 Wichita St. 1.16 72.75%
41 Seton Hall 1.12 72.19%
42 Akron 0.98 70.32%
43 VCU 0.95 68.43%
44 Cincinnati 0.69 63.83%
45 Notre Dame 0.59 62.03%
46 Syracuse 0.58 61.00%
47 Gonzaga 0.34 56.45%
48 Connecticut 0.25 54.71%
49 Butler 0.25 54.81%
50 Washington 0.24 54.13%
51 Grand Canyon 0.22 54.07%
52 George Washington 0.14 51.77%
53 UC Irvine 0.07 50.53%
54 San Diego St. 0.06 50.39%
55 Stony Brook 0.02 48.79%
56 Hawaii -0.24 41.46%
57 Evansville -0.25 43.66%
58 Texas Tech -0.26 44.24%
59 Kansas St. -0.32 42.93%
60 South Dakota St. -0.40 40.13%
61 Princeton -0.43 38.33%
62 Clemson -0.47 39.99%
63 California -0.56 38.30%
64 Hofstra -0.59 36.77%
65 St. Bonaventure -0.61 36.00%
66 UAB -0.70 32.07%
67 IPFW -0.74 32.74%
68 William & Mary -0.75 32.53%
69 Houston -0.77 32.54%
70 Alabama -0.88 33.00%
71 Northwestern -0.88 30.86%
72 Tulsa -0.90 31.57%
73 LSU -0.91 31.59%
74 Yale -0.94 25.50%
75 BYU -0.98 29.37%
76 UCLA -0.99 31.17%
77 Marquette -1.01 29.10%
78 Oregon St. -1.07 28.33%
79 Vanderbilt -1.12 28.00%
80 Wisconsin -1.13 28.11%
81 Boise St. -1.14 26.12%
82 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -1.21 20.11%
83 UNC Wilmington -1.25 22.15%
84 Georgia -1.29 24.87%
85 Stanford -1.30 24.68%
86 Temple -1.33 23.66%
87 Georgia Tech -1.39 24.11%
88 Creighton -1.54 20.37%
89 Southern Illinois -1.66 16.73%
90 Middle Tennessee -1.68 17.22%
91 Ohio St. -1.68 17.86%
92 Belmont -1.69 17.27%
93 UT Arlington -1.69 15.41%
94 Georgetown -1.75 19.04%
95 Louisiana Tech -1.80 12.30%
96 Stephen F. Austin -1.82 10.75%
97 North Florida -1.85 12.85%
98 Mississippi -1.93 15.38%
99 James Madison -1.99 13.74%
100 Davidson -2.02 13.01%
101 Oakland -2.07 12.90%
102 Mercer -2.07 11.10%
103 Duquesne -2.09 11.81%
104 Albany -2.14 9.57%
105 Columbia -2.19 9.00%
106 Arizona St. -2.40 12.94%
107 Wake Forest -2.51 11.29%
108 Kent St. -2.59 7.52%
109 Memphis -2.60 6.22%
110 Tennessee Tech -2.65 5.80%
111 New Mexico -2.66 7.37%
112 Northern Illinois -2.70 5.00%
113 Milwaukee -2.71 5.58%
114 Pepperdine -2.74 7.51%
115 Virginia Tech -2.80 7.26%
116 Buffalo -2.89 6.05%
117 Siena -2.96 5.58%
118 College of Charleston -2.98 5.23%
119 Nebraska -3.00 5.03%
120 Fresno St. -3.02 4.08%
121 Tennessee St. -3.04 3.02%
122 Montana -3.06 2.61%
123 Georgia St. -3.20 3.00%
124 Arkansas -3.20 5.97%
125 Towson -3.23 3.23%
126 Louisiana Lafayette -3.25 2.90%
127 Weber St. -3.25 2.04%
128 Nevada -3.25 3.58%
129 Oklahoma St. -3.29 4.51%
130 North Carolina St. -3.31 5.62%
131 Southern -3.36 1.92%
132 Cal St. Bakersfield -3.37 1.99%
133 Long Beach St. -3.39 5.00%
134 Tennessee -3.49 4.85%
135 Richmond -3.51 3.27%
136 Winthrop -3.56 1.53%
137 Elon -3.59 3.16%
138 UNLV -3.70 2.67%
139 UNC Asheville -3.75 1.65%
140 New Mexico St. -3.76 1.43%
141 Penn St. -3.83 2.68%
142 Ohio -3.84 1.73%
143 Fordham -3.91 0.73%
144 East Tennessee St. -4.00 1.39%
145 Wagner -4.01 0.51%
146 Rhode Island -4.10 1.72%
147 Green Bay -4.11 1.22%
148 North Dakota St. -4.21 0.87%
149 TCU -4.24 1.21%
150 UC Santa Barbara -4.24 1.93%
151 High Point -4.27 0.52%
152 Iona -4.29 0.89%
153 Hampton -4.31 0.35%
154 Ball St. -4.33 0.83%
155 Indiana St. -4.35 1.26%
156 Nebraska Omaha -4.35 1.27%
157 Navy -4.48 0.61%
158 Northern Iowa -4.50 1.42%
159 Illinois -4.56 1.30%
160 Houston Baptist -4.59 0.24%
161 Vermont -4.59 0.67%
162 Cornell -4.67 0.38%
163 Incarnate Word -4.67 0.05%
164 Utah St. -4.83 0.42%
165 Central Michigan -4.84 0.41%
166 UCF -4.85 0.29%
167 Coastal Carolina -4.92 0.21%
168 Northeastern -4.92 0.72%
169 Old Dominion -4.96 0.39%
170 Morehead St. -5.01 0.22%
171 Auburn -5.01 0.76%
172 Wright St. -5.02 0.32%
173 Radford -5.26 0.25%
174 Texas Southern -5.29 0.15%
175 Illinois St. -5.35 0.30%
176 Mississippi St. -5.38 0.19%
177 Marshall -5.40 0.26%
178 Fairfield -5.49 0.15%
179 New Hampshire -5.49 0.03%
180 Idaho -5.53 0.09%
181 Bowling Green -5.56 0.12%
182 Toledo -5.61 0.14%
183 Eastern Michigan -5.65 0.09%
184 Colorado St. -5.71 0.11%
185 San Francisco -5.71 0.05%
186 Oral Roberts -5.72 0.19%
187 East Carolina -5.76 0.17%
188 Furman -5.91 0.05%
189 Washington St. -5.97 0.11%
190 Western Kentucky -6.10 0.05%
191 Jackson St. -6.12 0.01%
192 DePaul -6.18 0.17%
193 NJIT -6.22 0.05%
194 IUPUI -6.29 0.10%
195 Texas St. -6.34 0.01%
196 Detroit -6.41 0.03%
197 Murray St. -6.46 0.04%
198 Bucknell -6.47 0.02%
199 South Carolina St. -6.50 0.01%
200 Harvard -6.59 0.01%
201 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.69 0.00%
202 Wofford -6.69 0.01%
203 Eastern Washington -6.70 0.01%
204 Gardner Webb -6.71 0.01%
205 Loyola Marymount -6.73 0.02%
206 Missouri -6.84 0.02%
207 Louisiana Monroe -6.85 0.02%
208 Massachusetts -6.87 0.02%
209 Army -6.92 0.01%
210 Sam Houston St. -6.93 0.00%
211 Arkansas St. -6.95 0.00%
212 Manhattan -6.97 0.01%
213 North Dakota -6.98 0.00%
214 Florida Gulf Coast -7.04 0.00%
215 Idaho St. -7.05 0.00%
216 Sacramento St. -7.10 0.00%
217 Jacksonville -7.10 0.00%
218 Boston College -7.11 0.00%
219 UC Davis -7.23 0.00%
220 Cal Poly -7.29 0.00%
221 Penn -7.36 0.00%
222 Saint Louis -7.43 0.00%
223 Boston University -7.47 0.00%
224 South Alabama -7.49 0.00%
225 St. Francis PA -7.53 0.00%
226 Missouri St. -7.54 0.01%
227 Denver -7.57 0.00%
228 Air Force -7.61 0.00%
229 George Mason -7.62 0.01%
230 Saint Peter’s -7.63 0.00%
231 Seattle -7.65 0.00%
232 South Dakota -7.65 0.01%
233 Northern Kentucky -7.67 0.00%
234 Samford -7.68 0.00%
235 Loyola Chicago -7.72 0.00%
236 Georgia Southern -7.83 0.00%
237 UTEP -7.83 0.00%
238 Tennessee Martin -7.86 0.00%
239 Tulane -7.86 0.00%
240 Eastern Kentucky -7.88 0.00%
241 Wyoming -7.90 0.01%
242 Youngstown St. -7.94 0.00%
243 UMKC -7.94 0.00%
244 FIU -8.03 0.00%
245 Dartmouth -8.05 0.00%
246 Western Michigan -8.09 0.00%
247 Colgate -8.15 0.00%
248 Brown -8.18 0.00%
249 Norfolk St. -8.18 0.00%
250 Western Illinois -8.19 0.00%
251 St. John’s -8.23 0.00%
252 Montana St. -8.30 0.00%
253 Mount St. Mary’s -8.32 0.00%
254 Alabama A&M -8.41 0.00%
255 Canisius -8.43 0.00%
256 Howard -8.44 0.00%
257 Eastern Illinois -8.47 0.00%
258 UC Riverside -8.51 0.00%
259 Western Carolina -8.55 0.00%
260 Utah Valley -8.63 0.00%
261 Alcorn St. -8.63 0.00%
262 New Orleans -8.67 0.00%
263 Minnesota -8.77 0.00%
264 Cal St. Fullerton -8.77 0.00%
265 Charlotte -8.85 0.00%
266 Rutgers -8.86 0.00%
267 LIU Brooklyn -8.89 0.00%
268 La Salle -8.97 0.00%
269 Abilene Christian -9.00 0.00%
270 Southern Miss -9.04 0.00%
271 Portland St. -9.04 0.00%
272 Pacific -9.05 0.00%
273 McNeese St. -9.07 0.00%
274 Lehigh -9.25 0.00%
275 Austin Peay -9.26 0.00%
276 San Diego -9.37 0.00%
277 Rider -9.38 0.00%
278 Appalachian St. -9.43 0.00%
279 UNC Greensboro -9.43 0.00%
280 Savannah St. -9.44 0.00%
281 Northern Colorado -9.46 0.00%
282 UMass Lowell -9.53 0.00%
283 Quinnipiac -9.57 0.00%
284 The Citadel -9.59 0.00%
285 Santa Clara -9.60 0.00%
286 Cal St. Northridge -9.65 0.00%
287 Charleston Southern -9.70 0.00%
288 Holy Cross -9.74 0.00%
289 Lamar -9.83 0.00%
290 Maryland Eastern Shore -9.92 0.00%
291 Miami OH -10.00 0.00%
292 Delaware -10.07 0.00%
293 VMI -10.09 0.00%
294 Alabama St. -10.16 0.00%
295 Northwestern St. -10.27 0.00%
296 Central Arkansas -10.28 0.00%
297 Rice -10.30 0.00%
298 North Texas -10.34 0.00%
299 Maine -10.37 0.00%
300 Cleveland St. -10.37 0.00%
301 Presbyterian -10.41 0.00%
302 Portland -10.43 0.00%
303 Liberty -10.44 0.00%
304 Stetson -10.45 0.00%
305 Kennesaw St. -10.47 0.00%
306 Loyola MD -10.50 0.00%
307 American -10.52 0.00%
308 Coppin St. -10.60 0.00%
309 Southern Utah -10.74 0.00%
310 St. Francis NY -10.75 0.00%
311 North Carolina Central -10.78 0.00%
312 Bethune Cookman -10.83 0.00%
313 Morgan St. -11.03 0.00%
314 Sacred Heart -11.04 0.00%
315 Campbell -11.05 0.00%
316 Florida Atlantic -11.06 0.00%
317 Troy -11.11 0.00%
318 Grambling St. -11.17 0.00%
319 Bryant -11.19 0.00%
320 San Jose St. -11.23 0.00%
321 Arkansas Pine Bluff -11.37 0.00%
322 Drake -11.40 0.00%
323 South Florida -11.52 0.00%
324 UT Rio Grande Valley -11.71 0.00%
325 Northern Arizona -11.83 0.00%
326 Southeastern Louisiana -11.89 0.00%
327 Nicholls St. -12.01 0.00%
328 Lafayette -12.05 0.00%
329 Binghamton -12.17 0.00%
330 Drexel -12.27 0.00%
331 Florida A&M -12.32 0.00%
332 Marist -12.34 0.00%
333 Niagara -12.37 0.00%
334 Robert Morris -12.68 0.00%
335 Southeast Missouri St. -12.73 0.00%
336 Jacksonville St. -12.86 0.00%
337 USC Upstate -12.89 0.00%
338 SIU Edwardsville -13.00 0.00%
339 Lipscomb -13.16 0.00%
340 Longwood -13.19 0.00%
341 Hartford -13.21 0.00%
342 Delaware St. -13.31 0.00%
343 Bradley -13.70 0.00%
344 Mississippi Valley St. -13.72 0.00%
345 UTSA -13.74 0.00%
346 North Carolina A&T -13.89 0.00%
347 Illinois Chicago -14.15 0.00%
348 Prairie View A&M -14.50 0.00%
349 Chicago St. -14.71 0.00%
350 UMBC -14.96 0.00%
351 Central Connecticut -16.37 0.00%

 

 

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1 comment
  1. hagrin said:

    Hey Seth, quick question and if it’s your own formula you can’t disclose no worries – but how are you calculating Bubble Percentile? I’m very interested because I found teams 33-36 very interesting in terms of BP. I’m assuming it factors in not only resume strength, but current probability of getting the auto-bid for their conference? Is this correct?

    Great work as always.

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