Nate Silver rides into battle again!

Nate has already proved his mettle on the fierce battlefields of futbol betting, politics is where he made his name and that will be the field of battle this time. Unfortunately, betting limits aren’t quite high enough to to justify a six-figure bankroll, so I’m going to start Nate with $10,000 and wish him the best of luck. First event on tap: The Iowa Caucuses:

Iowa Democratic Caucus:

Hillary Clinton to win Iowa, risking $2,000 to win $667

Iowa Republican Caucus:

Field (anyone not named Donald Trump) to win Iowa, risking $2,605 to win $4,820

I am using the polls plus forecast as that appears to be the official projection from 538. As always, I wish Nate best of luck.

 

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