The Wednesday WAB

That was a nice win for Wisconsin last night, but they’ve still got a lot of work to do. Xavier also had a nice win, and they are going to be a curious case for the committee. Let’s compare them to Louisville:

Xavier: .9067 Pyth, 18-2, SoS Pyth .6406

Louisville: .9437 Pyth, 16-3, SoS Pyth .5093

Xavier has a better record against a tougher schedule. However, in the NCAA Tournament you’d much rather have to face them than Louisville. In this case it’s just a question of seeding. On the bubble the question of better team vs. better resume is existential. I’ll talk more about that in March.

 

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile
1 Oklahoma 5.97 99.95%
2 Villanova 4.59 99.39%
3 Xavier 4.54 99.43%
4 North Carolina 4.50 99.30%
5 Iowa 4.08 98.97%
6 Texas A&M 4.05 98.70%
7 West Virginia 3.78 98.12%
8 Iowa St. 3.61 97.30%
9 SMU 3.57 98.48%
10 Kansas 3.44 96.99%
11 Virginia 3.36 95.76%
12 Michigan St. 3.20 95.62%
13 Maryland 3.06 96.36%
14 Miami FL 2.96 94.51%
15 Providence 2.81 94.32%
16 South Carolina 2.73 94.26%
17 Dayton 2.58 92.87%
18 Purdue 2.34 90.15%
19 Oregon 2.29 88.15%
20 Baylor 2.15 90.82%
21 Arkansas Little Rock 2.02 89.90%
22 Louisville 2.00 88.86%
23 Kentucky 1.98 85.96%
24 Arizona 1.94 85.68%
25 Utah 1.83 83.66%
26 Saint Joseph’s 1.80 84.69%
27 Pittsburgh 1.73 85.78%
28 USC 1.61 80.08%
29 Michigan 1.60 82.38%
30 Indiana 1.21 74.08%
31 Valparaiso 1.16 73.29%
32 Saint Mary’s 1.14 75.98%
33 Chattanooga 1.01 72.90%
34 Duke 0.98 68.49%
35 Texas 0.91 67.51%
36 Grand Canyon 0.91 73.48%
37 Notre Dame 0.84 68.14%
38 Colorado 0.76 65.51%
39 Florida St. 0.69 64.63%
40 George Washington 0.58 61.78%
41 Monmouth 0.56 61.25%
42 Hawaii 0.55 64.50%
43 Connecticut 0.52 61.07%
44 Butler 0.51 61.31%
45 Evansville 0.50 60.76%
46 Florida 0.45 58.98%
47 Wichita St. 0.42 58.63%
48 UC Irvine 0.38 57.89%
49 VCU 0.27 54.96%
50 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 0.26 56.09%
51 Akron 0.16 52.39%
52 Seton Hall 0.15 52.94%
53 Gonzaga 0.10 51.15%
54 California 0.05 50.36%
55 Boise St. 0.02 49.66%
56 Southern Illinois -0.03 46.91%
57 Cincinnati -0.04 48.26%
58 Texas Tech -0.19 45.46%
59 Princeton -0.19 43.59%
60 UAB -0.28 40.69%
61 Kansas St. -0.37 41.35%
62 UCLA -0.40 41.69%
63 Stony Brook -0.43 37.50%
64 Northwestern -0.45 38.73%
65 Tulsa -0.47 39.21%
66 UT Arlington -0.56 34.50%
67 Syracuse -0.56 37.75%
68 San Diego St. -0.56 37.05%
69 Oregon St. -0.63 35.53%
70 Washington -0.64 35.48%
71 Stanford -0.71 34.14%
72 Georgetown -0.77 33.97%
73 James Madison -0.79 30.63%
74 Vanderbilt -0.80 33.03%
75 South Dakota St. -0.82 31.02%
76 Creighton -0.84 31.51%
77 Clemson -0.89 29.98%
78 LSU -0.91 30.53%
79 Temple -0.92 30.00%
80 North Florida -1.02 25.69%
81 Alabama -1.03 29.30%
82 IPFW -1.04 26.33%
83 Northern Illinois -1.05 23.62%
84 Hofstra -1.06 27.51%
85 Belmont -1.12 25.24%
86 Kent St. -1.18 22.62%
87 Davidson -1.19 23.02%
88 Marquette -1.25 23.02%
89 Georgia Tech -1.28 23.80%
90 Middle Tennessee -1.29 21.33%
91 Yale -1.30 16.91%
92 William & Mary -1.41 19.43%
93 BYU -1.41 21.60%
94 Wisconsin -1.48 21.80%
95 Wake Forest -1.51 22.05%
96 Georgia -1.58 19.09%
97 Ohio St. -1.65 16.90%
98 St. Bonaventure -1.67 16.34%
99 Arizona St. -1.67 19.28%
100 Virginia Tech -1.75 15.94%
101 Houston -1.92 10.99%
102 Navy -1.95 10.48%
103 Louisiana Tech -1.95 10.15%
104 UNC Wilmington -2.00 10.39%
105 Fresno St. -2.00 11.76%
106 Georgia St. -2.03 9.12%
107 Mississippi -2.09 11.79%
108 Stephen F. Austin -2.12 6.46%
109 Nebraska -2.27 9.57%
110 Mercer -2.33 7.89%
111 Memphis -2.39 7.01%
112 Duquesne -2.44 7.91%
113 Oakland -2.53 7.85%
114 Albany -2.57 5.14%
115 East Tennessee St. -2.57 6.18%
116 Siena -2.57 7.28%
117 Tennessee St. -2.58 3.97%
118 Pepperdine -2.58 7.50%
119 North Carolina St. -2.65 8.37%
120 College of Charleston -2.67 5.93%
121 Richmond -2.70 6.07%
122 Columbia -2.70 3.79%
123 UNLV -2.71 6.12%
124 Oklahoma St. -2.75 5.70%
125 Cal St. Bakersfield -2.82 3.01%
126 Winthrop -2.88 3.10%
127 Rhode Island -2.91 4.96%
128 Milwaukee -3.00 3.65%
129 Auburn -3.01 5.41%
130 Tennessee Tech -3.04 2.97%
131 UNC Asheville -3.08 3.17%
132 Nebraska Omaha -3.17 3.69%
133 Illinois -3.18 4.84%
134 Nevada -3.23 3.41%
135 Penn St. -3.27 4.19%
136 Ohio -3.31 2.61%
137 New Mexico -3.32 2.74%
138 Southern -3.33 1.99%
139 Tennessee -3.34 4.63%
140 Montana -3.34 1.46%
141 Weber St. -3.44 1.50%
142 North Dakota St. -3.48 1.90%
143 Utah St. -3.49 2.09%
144 Elon -3.51 2.61%
145 High Point -3.56 1.24%
146 Towson -3.58 1.67%
147 Green Bay -3.58 2.08%
148 Wright St. -3.64 1.53%
149 Indiana St. -3.64 2.48%
150 Buffalo -3.65 1.79%
151 Northeastern -3.66 2.62%
152 Fordham -3.67 0.59%
153 Louisiana Lafayette -3.71 0.92%
154 New Mexico St. -3.78 1.39%
155 Ball St. -3.87 0.95%
156 Houston Baptist -3.87 0.54%
157 Arkansas -3.90 2.15%
158 Bowling Green -3.94 0.93%
159 UCF -4.19 0.60%
160 Vermont -4.24 0.72%
161 UC Santa Barbara -4.29 1.22%
162 Long Beach St. -4.35 1.37%
163 Army -4.43 0.23%
164 TCU -4.46 0.69%
165 Wagner -4.51 0.10%
166 Hampton -4.52 0.19%
167 Cal Poly -4.60 0.28%
168 Radford -4.61 0.51%
169 Colorado St. -4.63 0.33%
170 Idaho -4.68 0.33%
171 Florida Gulf Coast -4.71 0.15%
172 Marshall -4.73 0.51%
173 Iona -4.74 0.31%
174 Illinois St. -4.76 0.52%
175 Harvard -4.77 0.13%
176 Toledo -4.77 0.38%
177 New Hampshire -4.80 0.08%
178 Incarnate Word -4.81 0.01%
179 Fairfield -4.82 0.31%
180 Northern Iowa -4.84 0.61%
181 Oral Roberts -4.89 0.56%
182 Washington St. -4.89 0.28%
183 Mississippi St. -4.91 0.25%
184 Eastern Michigan -4.93 0.22%
185 Texas St. -4.96 0.04%
186 Missouri -4.98 0.24%
187 Coastal Carolina -5.05 0.09%
188 Central Michigan -5.09 0.20%
189 Cornell -5.17 0.10%
190 East Carolina -5.21 0.23%
191 Morehead St. -5.25 0.10%
192 Loyola Marymount -5.32 0.15%
193 Old Dominion -5.36 0.12%
194 DePaul -5.47 0.26%
195 Western Kentucky -5.51 0.07%
196 Detroit -5.62 0.07%
197 Texas Southern -5.63 0.05%
198 San Francisco -5.66 0.03%
199 Saint Peter’s -5.67 0.03%
200 Colgate -5.68 0.03%
201 NJIT -5.71 0.06%
202 Massachusetts -5.74 0.07%
203 Bucknell -5.77 0.05%
204 Murray St. -5.93 0.07%
205 Gardner Webb -6.04 0.02%
206 South Dakota -6.06 0.10%
207 Saint Louis -6.07 0.04%
208 Arkansas St. -6.08 0.02%
209 Samford -6.09 0.02%
210 Sam Houston St. -6.12 0.01%
211 North Dakota -6.12 0.01%
212 Penn -6.13 0.00%
213 Furman -6.14 0.02%
214 FIU -6.16 0.01%
215 Eastern Kentucky -6.16 0.01%
216 UTEP -6.19 0.01%
217 Dartmouth -6.24 0.00%
218 Air Force -6.24 0.02%
219 Jackson St. -6.26 0.01%
220 IUPUI -6.47 0.05%
221 Sacramento St. -6.51 0.00%
222 Manhattan -6.54 0.01%
223 Howard -6.65 0.00%
224 Boston College -6.72 0.01%
225 Tulane -6.74 0.02%
226 Louisiana Monroe -6.75 0.01%
227 South Carolina St. -6.75 0.01%
228 Utah Valley -6.81 0.00%
229 Loyola Chicago -6.82 0.00%
230 St. Francis PA -6.85 0.00%
231 Eastern Washington -6.87 0.00%
232 Wofford -6.89 0.01%
233 Fairleigh Dickinson -6.92 0.00%
234 Cal St. Fullerton -6.93 0.00%
235 Western Illinois -6.95 0.00%
236 Western Carolina -7.03 0.00%
237 Denver -7.03 0.01%
238 Tennessee Martin -7.05 0.00%
239 Missouri St. -7.09 0.01%
240 Idaho St. -7.11 0.00%
241 Canisius -7.11 0.01%
242 Wyoming -7.12 0.02%
243 Northern Kentucky -7.17 0.00%
244 Norfolk St. -7.28 0.00%
245 St. John’s -7.30 0.00%
246 UC Davis -7.33 0.00%
247 Portland St. -7.36 0.00%
248 Brown -7.36 0.00%
249 Montana St. -7.44 0.00%
250 Jacksonville -7.44 0.00%
251 McNeese St. -7.47 0.00%
252 George Mason -7.47 0.01%
253 Alabama A&M -7.48 0.00%
254 Rutgers -7.57 0.00%
255 Charleston Southern -7.58 0.00%
256 Youngstown St. -7.60 0.00%
257 Mount St. Mary’s -7.62 0.00%
258 South Alabama -7.63 0.00%
259 Georgia Southern -7.63 0.00%
260 Western Michigan -7.69 0.00%
261 Savannah St. -7.73 0.00%
262 Holy Cross -7.85 0.00%
263 Alcorn St. -7.91 0.00%
264 UC Riverside -7.95 0.00%
265 UMKC -7.96 0.00%
266 LIU Brooklyn -8.02 0.00%
267 Lamar -8.05 0.00%
268 La Salle -8.05 0.00%
269 Boston University -8.07 0.00%
270 Minnesota -8.16 0.00%
271 The Citadel -8.22 0.00%
272 Charlotte -8.31 0.00%
273 Seattle -8.40 0.00%
274 VMI -8.49 0.00%
275 Pacific -8.50 0.00%
276 Austin Peay -8.57 0.00%
277 Presbyterian -8.60 0.00%
278 Campbell -8.61 0.00%
279 Portland -8.65 0.00%
280 Coppin St. -8.65 0.00%
281 San Diego -8.66 0.00%
282 Eastern Illinois -8.74 0.00%
283 New Orleans -8.75 0.00%
284 Lehigh -8.78 0.00%
285 Appalachian St. -8.86 0.00%
286 Delaware -8.91 0.00%
287 Rider -8.95 0.00%
288 UNC Greensboro -8.97 0.00%
289 Cal St. Northridge -9.08 0.00%
290 Southern Miss -9.12 0.00%
291 UMass Lowell -9.18 0.00%
292 Southern Utah -9.18 0.00%
293 Bryant -9.19 0.00%
294 Abilene Christian -9.20 0.00%
295 Grambling St. -9.24 0.00%
296 Central Arkansas -9.27 0.00%
297 North Texas -9.30 0.00%
298 Alabama St. -9.32 0.00%
299 Cleveland St. -9.32 0.00%
300 Santa Clara -9.36 0.00%
301 Quinnipiac -9.38 0.00%
302 Stetson -9.45 0.00%
303 Miami OH -9.50 0.00%
304 Northern Colorado -9.66 0.00%
305 Kennesaw St. -9.73 0.00%
306 Maine -9.87 0.00%
307 St. Francis NY -9.88 0.00%
308 Loyola MD -9.99 0.00%
309 North Carolina Central -10.06 0.00%
310 Maryland Eastern Shore -10.16 0.00%
311 Lafayette -10.21 0.00%
312 Northern Arizona -10.24 0.00%
313 Sacred Heart -10.25 0.00%
314 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.27 0.00%
315 Florida Atlantic -10.28 0.00%
316 Rice -10.28 0.00%
317 Troy -10.30 0.00%
318 Northwestern St. -10.35 0.00%
319 Hartford -10.37 0.00%
320 Florida A&M -10.43 0.00%
321 Nicholls St. -10.45 0.00%
322 San Jose St. -10.73 0.00%
323 Drexel -10.77 0.00%
324 Marist -10.82 0.00%
325 Drake -10.84 0.00%
326 Bethune Cookman -10.88 0.00%
327 Liberty -10.93 0.00%
328 UT Rio Grande Valley -11.00 0.00%
329 SIU Edwardsville -11.00 0.00%
330 Southeastern Louisiana -11.10 0.00%
331 South Florida -11.11 0.00%
332 American -11.18 0.00%
333 USC Upstate -11.19 0.00%
334 Robert Morris -11.20 0.00%
335 Jacksonville St. -11.21 0.00%
336 Morgan St. -11.28 0.00%
337 Binghamton -11.29 0.00%
338 Bradley -11.30 0.00%
339 Lipscomb -11.69 0.00%
340 Niagara -11.72 0.00%
341 Longwood -11.75 0.00%
342 Southeast Missouri St. -11.84 0.00%
343 UTSA -12.14 0.00%
344 North Carolina A&T -12.15 0.00%
345 UMBC -12.25 0.00%
346 Delaware St. -12.47 0.00%
347 Mississippi Valley St. -12.67 0.00%
348 Prairie View A&M -12.72 0.00%
349 Illinois Chicago -13.22 0.00%
350 Chicago St. -13.74 0.00%
351 Central Connecticut -15.54 0.00%

 

 

 

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