Ed Feng’s Bogus Journey? NBA Playoffs Round 2:
We knew going on it would likely be feast or famine for Ed Feng (@thepowerrank) round 1. His expected value for the first round was a bit over $60,000, but most of that came from his four longshots. Alas, none of them came through for Ed:
| Risk | To Win | Side | Expected Win % | Expected Value | Result |
| 7666.67 | 11500 | Washington | 0.446 | 881.67 | 11500.00 |
| 4120.00 | 92700 | New Orleans | 0.082 | 3819.24 | -4120.00 |
| 18484.38 | 118300 | Milwaukee | 0.295 | 21867.02 | -18484.38 |
| 6818.60 | 14660 | Dallas | 0.356 | 827.78 | -6818.60 |
| 6623.64 | 182150 | Boston | 0.099 | 12064.95 | -6623.64 |
| 13210.00 | 132100 | Brooklyn | 0.211 | 17450.41 | -13210.00 |
| 12994.18 | 24559 | Portland | 0.431 | 3191.24 | -12994.18 |
| 1783.87 | 2765 | LAC | 0.403 | 49.32 | 2765.00 |
| 71701.33 | 578734 | 2.323 | 60151.63 | -47985.80 |
Here are Ed’s projections for the second round:
Here is how his second round slate looks:
| Risk | To Win | Side | Expected Win % | Expected Value | Result |
| 56376.00 | 24726 | Cleveland | 0.867 | 13939.71 | 0 |
| 1187.72 | 2708 | Washington | 0.317 | 47.22 | 0 |
| 5065.10 | 37735 | Memphis | 0.163 | 1911.32 | 0 |
| 22014.81 | 29720 | LAC | 0.552 | 6542.80 | 0 |
| 84643.63 | 94889.32 | 1.90 | 22441.05 | 0 |
As always, I wish Ed best of luck round 2.The major news here is that Ed has a lot more faith in the Cavaliers than he has in the Warriors. I’ll post an update once the limits on the Clippers-Rockets series go up. You’ll note I am allowing Ed to play with a reloaded bankroll. I am doing that to keep the edge-bet size ratios constant, but I will provide a review of what the results would be with an updated bankroll. (Updated: I’ve added the Clippers now that the lines have gone up).
sethburn 