Ed Feng’s Playoff Spectacular!

Given that Ed was kind enough to post his playoff projections, I’m giving him $100,000 to with as he pleases. I’m not going to be going game by game or playing futures. It is simply going to be straight up series bets, and has has opinions on all eight of the first round series. Here goes:

http://thepowerrank.com/nba-playoff-interactive-visual/

Washington Wizards vs. Toronto Raptors

Ed has Washington at 44.6% to win the series. That leads to a wager of $7,667 to win $11,500 on the Wizards. According to his numbers his expected value is $882.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls

Ed has Milwaukee at 29.5% to win the series. That leads to a wager of $18,484 to win $118,300 on the Bucks. According to his numbers his expected value is $21,867.

Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Ed has Boston at 9.9% to win the series. That leads to a wager of $6,624 to win $182,150 on the Celtics. According to his numbers his expected value is $12,065.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks

Ed has Brooklyn at 21.1% to win the series. That leads to a wager of $13,210 to win $132,100 on the Nets. According to his numbers his expected value is $17,450.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden St. Warriors

Ed has New Orleans at 8.2% to win the series. That leads to a wager of $4,120 to win $92,700 on the Pelicans. According to his numbers his expected value is $92,700.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets

Ed has Dallas at 35.6% to win the series. That leads to a wager of $6,819 to win $14,660 on the Mavericks. According to his numbers his numbers his expected value is $828.

Portland Trailblazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Ed has Portland at 43.1% to win the series. That leads to a wager of $12,994 to win $24,559 on the Trailblazers. According to his numbers his expected value is $3,191.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Ed has Los Angeles at 40.3% to win the series. That leads to a wager of $1,784 to win $2,765 on the Clippers. According to his numbers his expected value is $49.

In sum Ed is risking $71,701 to potentially win $578,734. He has his expected value as $60,152. However, over 90% of that value comes from the four biggest underdogs. Ed thinks there is a 54% chance that at least one of Milwaukee, Boston, New Orleans, or Brooklyn pulls off an upset. The market disagrees, putting the chance of at least one major upset closer to 27%.

Ed Feng can be found on Twitter @thepowerrank

I wish Ed best of luck sailing the Kelly seas.

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