Every. Game. Counts. Goodbye Illinois: 3/12 edition.

Illinois needed to go on a run in the Big 10 tournament to deserve a bid. Instead, they got blown out by Michigan. Today is a huge day for various bubble teams. If Xavier loses to Butler their resume will end up significantly below average relative to the other bubble teams. We’ll see how that plays out. Of course, they could also beat Butler and put themselves solidly above the Mendoza-line. We shall see.

This is where things stood as of this morning:

Rank School Average WAB Average Bubble Percentile
1 Kentucky 12.62 100.00%
2 Villanova 9.47 100.00%
3 Virginia 9.38 100.00%
4 Duke 9.71 100.00%
5 Wisconsin 9.31 100.00%
6 Gonzaga 7.96 99.98%
7 Arizona 7.60 99.96%
8 Kansas 8.27 99.94%
9 Maryland 6.56 99.74%
10 Notre Dame 5.93 99.57%
11 Louisville 5.85 99.46%
12 Northern Iowa 5.07 99.08%
13 Iowa St. 5.12 98.15%
14 Baylor 5.09 98.00%
15 West Virginia 4.87 97.65%
16 Wichita St. 4.10 97.03%
17 North Carolina 4.63 96.65%
18 Oklahoma 3.95 94.68%
19 Arkansas 3.68 93.73%
20 Georgetown 3.64 93.36%
21 Butler 3.24 90.64%
22 Utah 2.90 89.69%
23 Providence 3.12 89.31%
24 St. John’s 2.64 86.39%
25 Iowa 2.61 85.62%
26 Oregon 2.45 84.74%
27 SMU 2.31 84.42%
28 Ohio St. 2.19 81.21%
29 Colorado St. 1.85 79.67%
30 VCU 1.89 78.02%
31 Michigan St. 1.88 77.46%
32 Davidson 1.58 76.70%
33 San Diego St. 1.65 76.19%
34 North Carolina St. 1.77 75.57%
35 Texas 1.74 75.51%
36 Georgia 1.67 75.23%
37 LSU 1.58 74.02%
38 BYU 1.40 71.63%
39 Dayton 1.24 69.50%
40 Stephen F. Austin 0.73 64.18%
41 Purdue 0.81 62.45%
42 Miami FL 0.50 57.65%
43 Old Dominion 0.47 57.47%
44 Texas A&M 0.47 57.00%
45 Indiana 0.41 56.44%
46 Oklahoma St. 0.36 55.66%
47 Valparaiso 0.34 54.98%
48 Mississippi 0.26 53.76%
49 Cincinnati 0.13 51.38%
50 Xavier 0.09 50.97%
51 Temple -0.04 48.51%
52 UCLA -0.07 48.36%
53 Boise St. -0.13 46.49%
54 Saint Mary’s -0.30 43.91%
55 Murray St. -0.28 42.61%
56 Illinois -0.61 39.73%
57 Rhode Island -0.65 37.33%
58 Syracuse -0.83 36.31%
59 Wofford -0.71 34.67%
60 Tulsa -0.88 33.82%
61 Alabama -1.25 29.83%
62 Stanford -1.29 29.32%
63 UC Davis -0.96 28.71%
64 Vanderbilt -1.43 27.37%
65 Pittsburgh -1.94 21.97%
66 TCU -2.03 19.65%
67 Green Bay -1.82 19.09%
68 Buffalo -1.91 18.30%
69 Louisiana Tech -2.00 15.92%
70 Harvard -1.93 15.80%
71 George Washington -2.32 15.28%
72 UTEP -2.18 15.06%
73 Florida -2.72 14.31%
74 Kansas St. -2.71 14.10%
75 Minnesota -2.67 13.63%
76 Michigan -2.64 13.61%
77 Central Michigan -2.24 12.54%
78 Clemson -3.00 11.77%
79 South Carolina -2.91 11.39%
80 Wyoming -2.55 11.32%
81 California -2.99 10.76%
82 Richmond -3.05 10.47%
83 Seton Hall -3.10 10.47%
84 Tennessee -3.24 9.49%
85 Florida St. -3.34 9.25%
86 Illinois St. -3.11 8.97%
87 Iona -2.96 8.06%
88 Arizona St. -3.58 7.55%
89 Penn St. -3.59 7.27%
90 Memphis -3.48 6.71%
91 Northwestern -3.74 6.43%
92 Connecticut -3.68 5.58%
93 Kent St. -3.51 5.49%
94 Sam Houston St. -3.11 4.32%
95 North Carolina Central -2.91 3.91%
96 Yale -3.82 3.60%
97 Oregon St. -4.27 3.55%
98 Massachusetts -4.54 3.43%
99 Washington -4.61 2.73%
100 Pepperdine -4.37 2.63%
101 UNLV -4.61 2.56%
102 Marquette -5.01 2.20%
103 Georgia St. -4.30 1.78%
104 St. Bonaventure -4.83 1.67%
105 Albany -4.16 1.64%
106 Evansville -4.80 1.50%
107 Colorado -5.40 1.44%
108 Toledo -5.14 1.37%
109 Eastern Washington -4.32 1.27%
110 Western Kentucky -4.92 1.18%
111 North Dakota St. -4.59 1.11%
112 Belmont -4.92 1.06%
113 La Salle -5.54 0.94%
114 Bowling Green -5.25 0.94%
115 Chattanooga -4.78 0.92%
116 Creighton -5.83 0.91%
117 Boston College -5.94 0.88%
118 Hawaii -5.36 0.88%
119 Northeastern -5.51 0.83%
120 Texas Tech -5.97 0.81%
121 UC Santa Barbara -5.61 0.67%
122 Loyola Chicago -5.45 0.66%
123 Georgia Southern -4.61 0.65%
124 High Point -4.97 0.61%
125 Nebraska -6.24 0.60%
126 Utah St. -5.56 0.60%
127 Georgia Tech -6.38 0.58%
128 Wake Forest -6.31 0.57%
129 Eastern Michigan -5.81 0.53%
130 New Mexico St. -5.15 0.51%
131 Florida Gulf Coast -5.38 0.47%
132 Stony Brook -5.42 0.47%
133 Akron -6.18 0.47%
134 South Dakota St. -5.48 0.40%
135 James Madison -6.15 0.34%
136 Coastal Carolina -5.43 0.29%
137 Western Michigan -6.56 0.27%
138 Rider -5.93 0.26%
139 Portland -6.50 0.26%
140 UC Irvine -6.26 0.21%
141 William & Mary -6.51 0.17%
142 Auburn -7.65 0.15%
143 San Diego -7.20 0.12%
144 DePaul -7.84 0.10%
145 Long Beach St. -7.71 0.09%
146 Washington St. -7.83 0.07%
147 Eastern Kentucky -6.40 0.05%
148 UAB -7.44 0.05%
149 North Florida -6.66 0.05%
150 Cleveland St. -7.48 0.05%
151 Louisiana Monroe -6.93 0.04%
152 St. Francis NY -7.07 0.04%
153 Radford -6.98 0.04%
154 Lafayette -7.33 0.04%
155 Northwestern St. -6.57 0.03%
156 Sacramento St. -6.50 0.03%
157 Tulane -7.97 0.02%
158 Charleston Southern -7.12 0.02%
159 New Mexico -8.45 0.02%
160 Texas Southern -7.07 0.02%
161 Mississippi St. -8.71 0.02%
162 Montana -7.09 0.02%
163 USC -8.97 0.02%
164 NJIT -6.96 0.02%
165 Oakland -8.47 0.01%
166 UNC Wilmington -7.93 0.01%
167 Santa Clara -8.93 0.01%
168 Norfolk St. -7.43 0.01%
169 Saint Joseph’s -8.61 0.01%
170 Hofstra -8.31 0.01%
171 Indiana St. -8.43 0.01%
172 Middle Tennessee -8.82 0.01%
173 Incarnate Word -6.99 0.01%
174 Louisiana Lafayette -7.96 0.01%
175 Manhattan -8.58 0.01%
176 Rutgers -9.67 0.01%
177 San Francisco -9.18 0.01%
178 Missouri -9.66 0.01%
179 Alabama St. -6.61 0.01%
180 Tennessee Martin -7.97 0.00%
181 Gardner Webb -8.63 0.00%
182 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -8.00 0.00%
183 USC Upstate -7.78 0.00%
184 Bucknell -8.93 0.00%
185 Robert Morris -9.00 0.00%
186 Princeton -9.03 0.00%
187 Fresno St. -9.30 0.00%
188 Oral Roberts -9.13 0.00%
189 Eastern Illinois -9.30 0.00%
190 Canisius -9.31 0.00%
191 Columbia -9.31 0.00%
192 Northern Arizona -8.87 0.00%
193 UT Arlington -8.76 0.00%
194 Northern Illinois -9.64 0.00%
195 Monmouth -9.68 0.00%
196 New Hampshire -8.67 0.00%
197 Vermont -8.97 0.00%
198 Virginia Tech -10.09 0.00%
199 Dartmouth -9.59 0.00%
200 UCF -10.02 0.00%
201 Milwaukee -9.89 0.00%
202 Air Force -9.82 0.00%
203 Cal Poly -9.75 0.00%
204 Lehigh -9.52 0.00%
205 Quinnipiac -10.05 0.00%
206 Duquesne -10.41 0.00%
207 Maryland Eastern Shore -9.25 0.00%
208 East Tennessee St. -9.67 0.00%
209 Grand Canyon -9.60 0.00%
210 Detroit -10.92 0.00%
211 Charlotte -10.72 0.00%
212 IPFW -9.84 0.00%
213 North Texas -10.82 0.00%
214 Bryant -10.67 0.00%
215 East Carolina -10.87 0.00%
216 UC Riverside -10.86 0.00%
217 Winthrop -9.99 0.00%
218 Mercer -10.46 0.00%
219 Mount St. Mary’s -10.39 0.00%
220 Portland St. -9.81 0.00%
221 South Dakota -11.17 0.00%
222 Miami OH -11.57 0.00%
223 Pacific -10.86 0.00%
224 George Mason -11.59 0.00%
225 Houston -11.25 0.00%
226 Saint Louis -12.33 0.00%
227 Morehead St. -11.64 0.00%
228 Fordham -11.96 0.00%
229 American -11.65 0.00%
230 Cornell -11.71 0.00%
231 Seattle -10.21 0.00%
232 St. Francis PA -11.32 0.00%
233 UTSA -11.51 0.00%
234 Northern Colorado -10.73 0.00%
235 FIU -11.87 0.00%
236 Ohio -12.61 0.00%
237 Army -11.23 0.00%
238 McNeese St. -10.91 0.00%
239 Hartford -11.68 0.00%
240 Weber St. -11.13 0.00%
241 Colgate -12.43 0.00%
242 Holy Cross -12.06 0.00%
243 Brown -12.59 0.00%
244 Lamar -11.14 0.00%
245 Arkansas Little Rock -11.75 0.00%
246 Denver -12.69 0.00%
247 Missouri St. -12.83 0.00%
248 Texas St. -11.88 0.00%
249 Boston University -12.32 0.00%
250 Loyola Marymount -13.54 0.00%
251 Western Carolina -12.48 0.00%
252 Appalachian St. -12.81 0.00%
253 Saint Peter’s -13.25 0.00%
254 Drexel -13.26 0.00%
255 Elon -13.06 0.00%
256 Penn -13.21 0.00%
257 South Florida -14.00 0.00%
258 Southeast Missouri St. -12.48 0.00%
259 Idaho -12.33 0.00%
260 UNC Asheville -12.45 0.00%
261 Northern Kentucky -12.57 0.00%
262 Drake -13.94 0.00%
263 SIU Edwardsville -12.51 0.00%
264 Howard -12.19 0.00%
265 Sacred Heart -13.14 0.00%
266 Rice -13.20 0.00%
267 Southern Illinois -13.69 0.00%
268 Delaware St. -12.65 0.00%
269 Marshall -13.91 0.00%
270 UMass Lowell -13.20 0.00%
271 LIU Brooklyn -13.96 0.00%
272 Southern -12.00 0.00%
273 Arkansas St. -13.78 0.00%
274 Navy -13.99 0.00%
275 Southern Miss -14.44 0.00%
276 Wright St. -14.54 0.00%
277 Delaware -14.38 0.00%
278 Lipscomb -13.55 0.00%
279 Siena -15.06 0.00%
280 Tennessee Tech -13.73 0.00%
281 Houston Baptist -12.97 0.00%
282 Bradley -14.88 0.00%
283 Nebraska Omaha -14.13 0.00%
284 Loyola MD -14.83 0.00%
285 IUPUI -15.21 0.00%
286 Hampton -14.01 0.00%
287 Nevada -14.85 0.00%
288 Prairie View A&M -13.29 0.00%
289 Youngstown St. -15.65 0.00%
290 South Alabama -15.36 0.00%
291 Towson -15.20 0.00%
292 Jacksonville St. -14.74 0.00%
293 Cal St. Northridge -16.06 0.00%
294 Samford -14.99 0.00%
295 UMKC -14.34 0.00%
296 Ball St. -16.33 0.00%
297 Florida Atlantic -15.43 0.00%
298 VMI -14.76 0.00%
299 New Orleans -14.61 0.00%
300 Cal St. Bakersfield -14.53 0.00%
301 Illinois Chicago -16.63 0.00%
302 Utah Valley -13.97 0.00%
303 Niagara -16.05 0.00%
304 Troy -15.31 0.00%
305 Cal St. Fullerton -16.27 0.00%
306 College of Charleston -17.21 0.00%
307 Southern Utah -16.07 0.00%
308 Western Illinois -16.06 0.00%
309 Wagner -16.13 0.00%
310 The Citadel -15.48 0.00%
311 Nicholls St. -15.15 0.00%
312 Furman -16.86 0.00%
313 Fairfield -18.32 0.00%
314 Fairleigh Dickinson -17.08 0.00%
315 UNC Greensboro -17.20 0.00%
316 Austin Peay -17.37 0.00%
317 Arkansas Pine Bluff -16.46 0.00%
318 Texas Pan American -16.82 0.00%
319 Campbell -17.44 0.00%
320 Presbyterian -17.75 0.00%
321 Longwood -18.80 0.00%
322 Kennesaw St. -17.73 0.00%
323 Jackson St. -16.82 0.00%
324 Abilene Christian -17.66 0.00%
325 North Dakota -18.64 0.00%
326 South Carolina St. -18.05 0.00%
327 San Jose St. -21.85 0.00%
328 Alcorn St. -22.21 0.00%
329 Montana St. -18.76 0.00%
330 Morgan St. -20.79 0.00%
331 Southeastern Louisiana -18.36 0.00%
332 Bethune Cookman -18.79 0.00%
333 Liberty -20.96 0.00%
334 Grambling St. -23.12 0.00%
335 Tennessee St. -20.30 0.00%
336 Chicago St. -18.33 0.00%
337 Central Connecticut -22.58 0.00%
338 North Carolina A&T -19.50 0.00%
339 Stetson -17.93 0.00%
340 Mississippi Valley St. -21.52 0.00%
341 Savannah St. -19.04 0.00%
342 Alabama A&M -17.27 0.00%
343 UMBC -20.66 0.00%
344 Maine -21.41 0.00%
345 Coppin St. -18.55 0.00%
346 Florida A&M -22.45 0.00%
347 Binghamton -20.37 0.00%
348 Marist -20.71 0.00%
349 Idaho St. -20.42 0.00%
350 Jacksonville -19.22 0.00%
351 Central Arkansas -22.55 0.00%
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