Every. Game. Counts. 2013 NCAA Tournament edition

The most notable thing about the 2013 bracket is how odd the seeding was. In terms of selection, I think Iowa and Kentucky were probably more deserving than Villanova and La Salle, but that’s a minor quibble. A bigger issue is how Villanova got a 9-seed. VCU getting a 5-seed while Memphis got a 6-seed is also odd, but I can’t say it really matters much. Middle Tennessee got hosed a bit when they were forced into the play-in game. Their resume was better than the committee thought. C’est la vie.

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile Seed S-Curve Slot
1 Louisville 8.58 99.9716% 1 1
2 Gonzaga 7.39 99.9651% 1 4
3 Kansas 8.15 99.9510% 1 2
4 Duke 7.78 99.9236% 2 6
5 Indiana 7.65 99.9121% 1 3
6 New Mexico 7.82 99.8819% 3 9
7 Ohio St. 6.63 99.7130% 2 8
8 Georgetown 6.01 99.4738% 2 7
9 Michigan St. 6.23 99.4038% 3 11
10 Michigan 5.92 99.3432% 4 13
11 Miami FL 5.83 99.1606% 2 5
12 Syracuse 5.55 98.5356% 4 16
13 Kansas St. 5.03 98.4338% 4 14
14 Memphis 4.61 98.0993% 6 23
15 Saint Louis 4.45 96.8809% 4 15
16 Marquette 4.34 96.6740% 3 12
17 Arizona 4.47 96.4420% 6 21
18 Florida 4.11 95.2742% 3 10
19 Notre Dame 4.06 94.8791% 7 27
20 Wisconsin 3.94 94.0545% 5 19
21 Oklahoma St. 3.50 92.7630% 5 17
22 UCLA 3.88 92.6724% 6 24
23 UNLV 3.67 92.6158% 5 18
24 Butler 3.48 92.2094% 6 22
25 Pittsburgh 3.28 91.6653% 8 31
26 Creighton 3.30 90.6431% 7 25
27 VCU 3.20 90.2090% 5 20
28 Saint Mary’s 2.80 89.5049% 11b 46
29 Colorado St. 2.50 84.3259% 8 30
30 Oregon 2.39 82.4838% 12 43
31 North Carolina 2.13 80.0423% 8 29
32 Cincinnati 2.08 79.9786% 10 37
33 North Carolina St. 2.06 78.6106% 8 32
34 Wichita St. 2.01 78.5525% 9 35
35 Connecticut 1.89 78.3665% banned x
36 Illinois 1.82 76.1809% 7 28
37 Minnesota 1.67 74.3375% 11 41
38 Mississippi 1.53 73.7874% 12 47
39 San Diego St. 1.28 69.6356% 7 26
40 Missouri 1.12 67.3844% 9 33
41 Middle Tennessee 0.91 65.9342% 11a 50
42 Akron 0.93 65.5689% 12 51
43 Bucknell 0.77 63.0460% 11 48
44 Temple 0.84 62.9595% 9 34
45 Colorado 0.71 60.4042% 10 36
46 Iowa St. 0.34 55.0415% 10 39
47 Boise St. 0.24 53.5136% 13a 45
48 Oklahoma 0.10 51.2137% 10 40
49 Belmont 0.10 50.6620% 11 44
50 California 0.06 50.4338% 12 42
51 Iowa -0.31 44.4124% x x
52 Kentucky -0.32 44.0295% x x
53 Villanova -0.50 41.4811% 9 38
54 La Salle -0.56 39.7829% 13b 49
55 Valparaiso -0.86 33.3057% 14 56
56 Tennessee -1.05 32.9172% x x
57 Louisiana Tech -0.82 32.5772% x x
58 Massachusetts -1.08 32.3636% x x
59 Maryland -1.18 31.0529% x x
60 Virginia -1.25 29.6626% x x
61 Stephen F. Austin -1.09 23.9869% x x
62 Alabama -1.80 23.1231% x x
63 Southern Miss -1.65 22.6476% x x
64 Arizona St. -1.97 20.9048% x x
65 Charlotte -2.08 18.5866% x x
66 Davidson -1.66 18.4259% 14 55
67 Wyoming -2.27 16.9657% x x
68 Arkansas -2.34 15.9898% x x
69 Stanford -2.66 15.2710% x x
70 BYU -2.41 14.6505% x x
71 Montana -1.89 14.5439% 13 54
72 Baylor -2.64 13.8861% x x
73 Ohio -2.42 13.7152% x x
74 New Mexico St. -2.45 13.6125% 13 52
75 Washington -2.95 12.7911% x x
76 Florida St. -2.85 12.6728% x x
77 LSU -2.81 10.9138% x x
78 Denver -2.67 10.5853% x x
79 Providence -3.07 10.1207% x x
80 Air Force -2.94 9.5748% x x
81 Northern Iowa -3.27 9.0069% x x
82 St. John’s -3.59 7.0608% x x
83 Nebraska -3.88 6.6034% x x
84 Santa Clara -3.26 6.5511% x x
85 Indiana St. -3.65 6.5196% x x
86 Saint Joseph’s -3.73 6.3179% x x
87 Stony Brook -3.03 5.5901% x x
88 Weber St. -2.81 5.3167% x x
89 Utah St. -3.50 5.2368% x x
90 Xavier -3.98 5.2270% x x
91 UCF -3.56 4.6097% x x
92 Harvard -3.70 3.8791% 14 58
93 Texas A&M -4.50 3.4706% x x
94 Purdue -4.41 3.4499% x x
95 Dayton -4.74 2.9182% x x
96 Rutgers -4.68 2.7508% x x
97 South Dakota St. -3.97 2.6402% 13 53
98 Richmond -4.83 2.4822% x x
99 Lehigh -3.95 2.3948% x x
100 Boston College -5.09 2.2866% x x
101 Detroit -4.60 2.1963% x x
102 Texas -4.95 2.0457% x x
103 Georgia Tech -4.95 1.9577% x x
104 Pacific -4.85 1.9153% 15 60
105 North Dakota St. -4.23 1.8299% x x
106 Albany -4.49 1.6541% 15 62
107 USC -5.72 1.4788% x x
108 Northwestern St. -4.07 1.4661% 14 57
109 Eastern Kentucky -4.48 1.4002% x x
110 Western Illinois -4.20 1.3691% x x
111 Murray St. -4.57 1.3317% x x
112 Evansville -5.39 1.3107% x x
113 College of Charleston -4.53 1.2996% x x
114 Illinois St. -5.56 1.2523% x x
115 Loyola MD -5.10 1.1516% x x
116 Northwestern -5.73 1.0002% x x
117 UTEP -5.67 0.9176% x x
118 Florida Gulf Coast -4.90 0.7131% 15 59
119 Vanderbilt -6.27 0.7026% x x
120 Seton Hall -6.09 0.6349% x x
121 Georgia -6.48 0.4693% x x
122 Long Beach St. -5.93 0.4687% x x
123 Kent St. -6.20 0.3580% x x
124 Iona -6.49 0.3485% 15 61
125 Wright St. -6.11 0.3329% x x
126 UT Arlington -6.10 0.3278% x x
127 Niagara -6.43 0.2851% x x
128 Robert Morris -5.84 0.2511% x x
129 Canisius -6.55 0.2462% x x
130 South Florida -6.92 0.2402% x x
131 Princeton -5.94 0.2312% x x
132 Vermont -6.07 0.2311% x x
133 Northeastern -6.38 0.2254% x x
134 Drake -7.21 0.1864% x x
135 East Carolina -6.30 0.1654% x x
136 Utah -7.47 0.1607% x x
137 Western Michigan -6.57 0.1296% x x
138 Oregon St. -7.59 0.1257% x x
139 North Carolina Central -5.64 0.1209% x x
140 Wake Forest -7.57 0.1135% x x
141 Virginia Tech -7.67 0.0929% x x
142 West Virginia -7.57 0.0909% x x
143 St. Bonaventure -7.26 0.0872% x x
144 Penn St. -7.74 0.0801% x x
145 Bryant -6.58 0.0752% x x
146 Delaware -7.46 0.0560% x x
147 Mercer -6.74 0.0557% x x
148 Nevada -8.31 0.0482% x x
149 George Mason -7.61 0.0473% x x
150 Bradley -7.78 0.0460% x x
151 Washington St. -8.51 0.0336% x x
152 Clemson -7.92 0.0335% x x
153 Rider -7.98 0.0279% x x
154 San Francisco -7.88 0.0244% x x
155 Elon -6.85 0.0240% x x
156 Cal Poly -7.84 0.0233% x x
157 Jacksonville St. -6.83 0.0233% x x
158 George Washington -8.42 0.0228% x x
159 Green Bay -8.16 0.0225% x x
160 Fresno St. -8.46 0.0213% x x
161 Houston -7.48 0.0189% x x
162 Boston University -7.44 0.0178% x x
163 Wagner -7.60 0.0173% x x
164 Illinois Chicago -8.29 0.0162% x x
165 Tulsa -8.34 0.0162% x x
166 Hawaii -7.94 0.0152% x x
167 Tennessee St. -8.11 0.0145% x x
168 Arkansas St. -7.70 0.0104% x x
169 Tulane -8.57 0.0092% x x
170 UC Irvine -8.98 0.0092% x x
171 South Alabama -7.76 0.0081% x x
172 Lafayette -8.76 0.0078% x x
173 Western Kentucky -8.64 0.0074% 16 63
174 Fairfield -9.09 0.0071% x x
175 FIU -8.31 0.0068% x x
176 Hartford -8.15 0.0064% x x
177 Towson -8.29 0.0062% x x
178 LIU Brooklyn -8.49 0.0059% 16a 65
179 Texas Tech -8.96 0.0057% x x
180 Norfolk St. -7.67 0.0056% x x
181 Southern Illinois -9.15 0.0045% x x
182 San Diego -9.50 0.0038% x x
183 James Madison -9.08 0.0036% 16b 66
184 Oral Roberts -8.50 0.0036% x x
185 Southern -6.79 0.0035% 16 64
186 UAB -9.66 0.0028% x x
187 South Carolina -9.84 0.0024% x x
188 DePaul -9.97 0.0020% x x
189 Youngstown St. -9.41 0.0017% x x
190 Mount St. Mary’s -9.00 0.0013% x x
191 Toledo -8.84 0.0012% x x
192 Savannah St. -8.66 0.0009% x x
193 Arkansas Little Rock -9.68 0.0009% x x
194 Gardner Webb -8.76 0.0005% x x
195 Charleston Southern -8.68 0.0005% x x
196 Ball St. -9.79 0.0003% x x
197 Oakland -10.10 0.0003% x x
198 Texas Southern -9.33 0.0002% x x
199 TCU -11.10 0.0001% x x
200 Loyola Chicago -10.59 0.0001% x x
201 Manhattan -11.47 0.0001% x x
202 Rhode Island -11.91 0.0001% x x
203 Idaho -11.24 0.0001% x x
204 Army -10.56 0.0000% x x
205 Georgia St. -10.93 0.0000% x x
206 Brown -10.51 0.0000% x x
207 Marshall -12.05 0.0000% x x
208 Yale -11.33 0.0000% x x
209 Cleveland St. -11.76 0.0000% x x
210 Pepperdine -11.12 0.0000% x x
211 SMU -11.52 0.0000% x x
212 Missouri St. -12.55 0.0000% x x
213 Morehead St. -11.85 0.0000% x x
214 High Point -10.14 0.0000% x x
215 Mississippi St. -12.45 0.0000% x x
216 Quinnipiac -11.60 0.0000% x x
217 Drexel -12.14 0.0000% x x
218 UC Davis -12.09 0.0000% x x
219 Arkansas Pine Bluff -10.21 0.0000% x x
220 Eastern Michigan -12.21 0.0000% x x
221 Cornell -11.89 0.0000% x x
222 UNC Asheville -11.43 0.0000% x x
223 Portland -12.54 0.0000% x x
224 Cal St. Northridge -12.38 0.0000% x x
225 Cal St. Bakersfield -11.36 0.0000% x x
226 Auburn -13.60 0.0000% x x
227 Duquesne -13.24 0.0000% x x
228 Buffalo -13.41 0.0000% x x
229 Columbia -11.68 0.0000% x x
230 Stetson -11.89 0.0000% x x
231 Southeast Missouri St. -11.75 0.0000% x x
232 Coastal Carolina -11.37 0.0000% x x
233 Central Connecticut -12.30 0.0000% x x
234 Bowling Green -12.88 0.0000% x x
235 NJIT -10.58 0.0000% x x
236 Holy Cross -13.18 0.0000% x x
237 North Carolina A&T -12.42 0.0000% 16c 67
238 Sam Houston St. -12.27 0.0000% x x
239 Florida Atlantic -12.96 0.0000% x x
240 North Dakota -12.20 0.0000% x x
241 Morgan St. -11.96 0.0000% x x
242 IPFW -12.73 0.0000% x x
243 Tennessee Tech -12.31 0.0000% x x
244 UC Santa Barbara -14.15 0.0000% x x
245 Loyola Marymount -14.09 0.0000% x x
246 Cal St. Fullerton -13.53 0.0000% x x
247 William & Mary -13.25 0.0000% x x
248 USC Upstate -12.97 0.0000% x x
249 Fordham -15.27 0.0000% x x
250 Sacramento St. -12.16 0.0000% x x
251 St. Francis NY -13.71 0.0000% x x
252 McNeese St. -12.85 0.0000% x x
253 Louisiana Lafayette -14.32 0.0000% x x
254 Appalachian St. -12.59 0.0000% x x
255 Marist -14.96 0.0000% x x
256 Winthrop -12.94 0.0000% x x
257 Southeastern Louisiana -12.88 0.0000% x x
258 Lipscomb -13.40 0.0000% x x
259 Texas St. -15.33 0.0000% x x
260 San Jose St. -13.91 0.0000% x x
261 Central Michigan -14.75 0.0000% x x
262 American -14.23 0.0000% x x
263 North Texas -14.50 0.0000% x x
264 Central Arkansas -13.30 0.0000% x x
265 North Florida -14.08 0.0000% x x
266 Northern Kentucky -12.95 0.0000% x x
267 Hampton -13.92 0.0000% x x
268 Western Carolina -14.45 0.0000% x x
269 Dartmouth -14.74 0.0000% x x
270 Jacksonville -14.03 0.0000% x x
271 Chattanooga -14.47 0.0000% x x
272 Miami OH -15.51 0.0000% x x
273 Colgate -15.38 0.0000% x x
274 UTSA -16.00 0.0000% x x
275 Montana St. -13.95 0.0000% x x
276 Delaware St. -14.28 0.0000% x x
277 Maine -14.82 0.0000% x x
278 Saint Peter’s -15.88 0.0000% x x
279 Northern Colorado -14.10 0.0000% x x
280 South Dakota -14.84 0.0000% x x
281 Georgia Southern -14.90 0.0000% x x
282 Sacred Heart -15.46 0.0000% x x
283 Wofford -14.89 0.0000% x x
284 Penn -16.34 0.0000% x x
285 UNC Wilmington -15.80 0.0000% x x
286 Texas Pan American -13.56 0.0000% x x
287 Troy -16.18 0.0000% x x
288 VMI -14.31 0.0000% x x
289 SIU Edwardsville -14.13 0.0000% x x
290 Seattle -15.77 0.0000% x x
291 Monmouth -15.98 0.0000% x x
292 Liberty -15.86 0.0000% 16d 68
293 Nebraska Omaha -15.49 0.0000% x x
294 New Hampshire -15.65 0.0000% x x
295 Northern Arizona -16.20 0.0000% x x
296 Campbell -15.76 0.0000% x x
297 Houston Baptist -14.45 0.0000% x x
298 Siena -17.85 0.0000% x x
299 Utah Valley -15.12 0.0000% x x
300 Eastern Illinois -16.45 0.0000% x x
301 Bethune Cookman -16.28 0.0000% x x
302 East Tennessee St. -16.89 0.0000% x x
303 Southern Utah -15.92 0.0000% x x
304 Samford -16.17 0.0000% x x
305 Milwaukee -17.91 0.0000% x x
306 Eastern Washington -17.13 0.0000% x x
307 Jackson St. -15.12 0.0000% x x
308 Tennessee Martin -16.66 0.0000% x x
309 Radford -16.45 0.0000% x x
310 UMBC -17.98 0.0000% x x
311 Nicholls St. -16.73 0.0000% x x
312 UMKC -17.72 0.0000% x x
313 Prairie View A&M -16.28 0.0000% x x
314 Louisiana Monroe -18.46 0.0000% x x
315 Old Dominion -19.37 0.0000% x x
316 South Carolina St. -20.29 0.0000% x x
317 Grambling St. -25.66 0.0000% x x
318 Presbyterian -20.30 0.0000% x x
319 Kennesaw St. -22.84 0.0000% x x
320 UNC Greensboro -18.51 0.0000% x x
321 Rice -20.26 0.0000% x x
322 Binghamton -22.07 0.0000% x x
323 Lamar -23.08 0.0000% x x
324 The Citadel -18.54 0.0000% x x
325 Navy -18.43 0.0000% x x
326 Fairleigh Dickinson -19.70 0.0000% x x
327 Florida A&M -20.23 0.0000% x x
328 New Orleans -15.53 0.0000% x x
329 Idaho St. -20.38 0.0000% x x
330 Austin Peay -18.87 0.0000% x x
331 Alabama St. -18.45 0.0000% x x
332 Portland St. -16.56 0.0000% x x
333 Mississippi Valley St. -19.99 0.0000% x x
334 Northern Illinois -20.09 0.0000% x x
335 Alabama A&M -16.93 0.0000% x x
336 UC Riverside -20.26 0.0000% x x
337 Hofstra -19.92 0.0000% x x
338 Chicago St. -17.16 0.0000% x x
339 Maryland Eastern Shore -22.52 0.0000% x x
340 Alcorn St. -19.56 0.0000% x x
341 Howard -20.16 0.0000% x x
342 IUPUI -20.62 0.0000% x x
343 Furman -20.56 0.0000% x x
344 Coppin St. -19.40 0.0000% x x
345 Longwood -20.95 0.0000% x x
346 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -18.57 0.0000% x x
347 St. Francis PA -19.64 0.0000% x x
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