Every. Game. Counts. 2008 Wayback Edition

If I am accurately remembering my emotions at the time, I was pretty disappointed Syracuse didn’t make the field. In retrospect, the committee made the right call there. Unfortunately, the committee didn’t necessarily make all the right calls as to whom deserved admission into the tournament. Illinois St. had a significantly better resume than St. Joseph’s, but didn’t receive an invite. Similarly Arizona St.  and Mississippi got hosed, while Kentucky and Villanova were blessed. Whether that was due to name recognition or RPI nonsense is not for me to say.

Seeding is less of an issue for me because I am not certain if seeding should be done purely on resume, or if team quality should be a factor (you can use the 2008 KenPom ratings http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2008 as a reasonable definition of team quality. The pre-tournament ratings are available on the site.). Having said that, I’m pretty sure Butler got hosed in the seeding process. So did Indiana, so I wonder if that was a regional issue.

The reason I skipped all the way to 2008 was because of a request to review Davidson. They were an automatic bid, and as far as I can tell their seeding was fair.

Rank School WAB Bubble Percentile Seed
1 UCLA 11.28 99.9999% 1
2 Memphis 10.38 99.9999% 1
3 North Carolina 11.18 99.9998% 1
4 Kansas 9.86 99.9973% 1
5 Duke 8.27 99.9642% 2
6 Texas 8.16 99.9586% 2
7 Wisconsin 7.90 99.9531% 3
8 Tennessee 7.81 99.9368% 2
9 Georgetown 6.67 99.7224% 2
10 Butler 5.47 99.3905% 7
11 Stanford 6.03 99.3711% 3
12 Drake 4.93 98.3972% 5
13 Indiana 4.95 97.9856% 8
14 Xavier 4.98 97.7157% 3
15 Michigan St. 4.65 96.9085% 5
16 Washington St. 4.25 96.3321% 4
17 Notre Dame 4.24 96.1505% 5
18 Louisville 4.23 95.5365% 3
19 Connecticut 3.98 94.9485% 4
20 Pittsburgh 4.00 94.1405% 4
21 Clemson 3.75 93.3533% 5
22 Vanderbilt 3.78 93.3403% 4
23 USC 3.46 92.4476% 6
24 Marquette 3.18 90.1605% 6
25 Texas A&M 3.20 89.6903% 9
26 Purdue 2.94 88.8196% 6
27 UNLV 2.81 88.4346% 8
28 Kent St. 2.56 86.2349% 9
29 Oklahoma 2.75 86.1806% 6
30 Gonzaga 2.19 83.0363% 7
31 BYU 1.95 79.8610% 8
32 Saint Mary’s 1.71 78.7081% 10
33 West Virginia 1.99 78.4806% 7
34 Baylor 1.46 73.0060% 11
35 Miami FL 1.18 68.2647% 7
36 Illinois St. 1.14 67.3954% x
37 Arizona 1.01 65.3092% 10
38 Davidson 0.84 64.9899% 10
39 Kansas St. 0.79 62.6380% 11
40 Arizona St. 0.35 55.8108% x
41 Oregon 0.12 51.7937% 9
42 Mississippi St. 0.10 50.8450% 8
43 Arkansas 0.07 50.3732% 9
44 South Alabama 0.07 49.8418% 10
45 Mississippi 0.02 49.6589% x
46 Dayton -0.01 49.1305% x
47 Creighton -0.04 48.7096% x
48 Western Kentucky -0.02 48.2319% 12
49 Syracuse -0.18 46.8727% x
50 New Mexico -0.21 45.3916% x
51 Nebraska -0.39 43.1138% x
52 Villanova -0.46 42.2499% 12
53 Ohio St. -0.50 41.7489% x
54 California -1.13 32.4306% x
55 Florida St. -1.37 29.3309% x
56 Oral Roberts -1.29 26.8710% 13
57 VCU -1.29 26.3420% x
58 Virginia Tech -1.57 26.0968% x
59 Houston -1.33 26.0383% x
60 Maryland -1.63 25.8696% x
61 Kentucky -1.56 25.2933% 11
62 Florida -1.60 25.2259% x
63 Temple -1.62 25.1887% 12
64 Massachusetts -1.64 24.0876% x
65 IUPUI -1.54 21.6912% x
66 Cornell -1.35 20.4920% 14
67 Minnesota -2.02 20.2230% x
68 UAB -1.87 20.1199% x
69 Oklahoma St. -2.22 18.6640% x
70 Charlotte -2.24 18.5904% x
71 Saint Joseph’s -2.22 18.0559% 11
72 Texas Tech -2.30 17.5880% x
73 Akron -2.22 16.7537% x
74 Washington -2.44 16.2714% x
75 Rhode Island -2.42 15.3271% x
76 Wake Forest -2.54 14.5086% x
77 Southern Illinois -2.68 14.1192% x
78 Stephen F. Austin -1.83 13.8106% x
79 Boise St. -2.28 12.4207% 14
80 Wright St. -2.91 9.8800% x
81 George Mason -3.02 9.2008% 12
82 Missouri -3.30 9.1213% x
83 UC Santa Barbara -2.76 7.8468% x
84 North Carolina St. -3.62 6.8055% x
85 Siena -3.24 6.6867% 13
86 San Diego St. -3.58 6.2206% x
87 Georgia Tech -3.90 6.0289% x
88 Cal St. Fullerton -3.19 5.6680% 14
89 Ohio -3.68 5.6608% x
90 Illinois -4.40 4.9390% x
91 Virginia -3.97 4.9278% x
92 Boston College -4.26 4.5402% x
93 Seton Hall -4.20 4.3811% x
94 Providence -4.37 4.1608% x
95 Robert Morris -3.35 4.0697% x
96 Northern Iowa -4.34 3.8515% x
97 Cleveland St. -4.22 3.6790% x
98 Belmont -3.68 3.3759% 15
99 Alabama -4.73 3.2516% x
100 Penn St. -4.55 3.1046% x
101 UMBC -3.79 2.9677% 15
102 Utah St. -4.21 2.7892% x
103 San Diego -4.40 2.7717% 13
104 Bradley -4.78 2.6800% x
105 Georgia -4.99 2.3853% 14
106 Valparaiso -4.69 2.3516% x
107 Miami OH -4.94 2.2717% x
108 Sam Houston St. -3.92 2.1035% x
109 UTEP -4.96 1.6946% x
110 Utah -5.13 1.6688% x
111 Nevada -4.75 1.6281% x
112 Winthrop -4.67 1.4836% 13
113 Richmond -5.20 1.4576% x
114 Portland St. -4.28 1.4419% 16
115 Tulsa -4.99 1.4225% x
116 UNC Asheville -4.29 1.3744% x
117 Duquesne -5.33 1.0908% x
118 Rider -4.95 1.0563% x
119 Wagner -4.46 1.0305% x
120 Cincinnati -5.91 0.9407% x
121 Missouri St. -6.01 0.8840% x
122 Western Michigan -5.39 0.8223% x
123 Iowa St. -5.81 0.8089% x
124 UNC Greensboro -5.40 0.6520% x
125 Saint Louis -6.09 0.6375% x
126 Cal St. Northridge -5.17 0.6085% x
127 New Mexico St. -5.95 0.4916% x
128 Niagara -5.51 0.4522% x
129 Pacific -5.41 0.4396% x
130 Brown -5.09 0.4039% x
131 Austin Peay -5.41 0.3847% 15
132 Indiana St. -6.51 0.3803% x
133 South Carolina -6.86 0.3679% x
134 Chattanooga -6.00 0.3174% x
135 North Texas -5.60 0.3076% x
136 Georgia Southern -6.01 0.2803% x
137 Northern Arizona -5.61 0.2795% x
138 UCF -6.57 0.2534% x
139 UNC Wilmington -6.53 0.2372% x
140 American -6.12 0.2342% 15
141 Marshall -6.41 0.2229% x
142 Tulane -6.89 0.1766% x
143 Old Dominion -6.76 0.1555% x
144 Air Force -6.68 0.1263% x
145 Southern Miss -6.70 0.1135% x
146 Auburn -7.22 0.1084% x
147 DePaul -7.45 0.1048% x
148 Arkansas Little Rock -6.34 0.1006% x
149 St. John’s -7.59 0.0971% x
150 Illinois Chicago -7.62 0.0819% x
151 Green Bay -7.39 0.0786% x
152 Colorado -7.44 0.0784% x
153 Marist -7.63 0.0610% x
154 Appalachian St. -7.15 0.0541% x
155 Iowa -7.90 0.0499% x
156 Middle Tennessee -7.61 0.0478% x
157 UT Arlington -7.00 0.0351% 16
158 LSU -8.47 0.0346% x
159 Morgan St. -6.54 0.0327% x
160 Lamar -6.96 0.0275% x
161 Milwaukee -7.98 0.0255% x
162 Oakland -7.74 0.0234% x
163 Michigan -8.68 0.0227% x
164 South Florida -8.55 0.0219% x
165 Fordham -8.58 0.0184% x
166 Loyola MD -8.27 0.0123% x
167 New Orleans -8.01 0.0115% x
168 La Salle -9.10 0.0083% x
169 East Tennessee St. -8.29 0.0079% x
170 TCU -8.40 0.0066% x
171 Rutgers -9.36 0.0042% x
172 Hampton -7.98 0.0037% x
173 George Washington -9.17 0.0024% x
174 Holy Cross -9.07 0.0023% x
175 UC Irvine -9.71 0.0018% x
176 North Dakota St. -8.64 0.0017% x
177 Wichita St. -10.43 0.0015% x
178 William & Mary -9.94 0.0010% x
179 Mount St. Mary’s -9.44 0.0008% 16a
180 Louisiana Lafayette -9.58 0.0007% x
181 Bowling Green -10.04 0.0007% x
182 Jacksonville -8.92 0.0006% x
183 College of Charleston -10.34 0.0005% x
184 Santa Clara -9.60 0.0005% x
185 Colgate -9.72 0.0005% x
186 Wofford -9.42 0.0005% x
187 Fairfield -10.27 0.0003% x
188 Eastern Michigan -10.56 0.0003% x
189 Murray St. -9.38 0.0002% x
190 Weber St. -9.59 0.0002% x
191 Southeastern Louisiana -9.48 0.0002% x
192 Central Michigan -10.86 0.0001% x
193 Toledo -11.54 0.0001% x
194 Sacred Heart -10.34 0.0001% x
195 Northwestern -11.11 0.0001% x
196 Northeastern -11.14 0.0001% x
197 Hartford -11.01 0.0001% x
198 Wyoming -11.01 0.0001% x
199 Alabama St. -8.06 0.0001% x
200 Yale -9.88 0.0001% x
201 Delaware -11.51 0.0000% x
202 Lafayette -10.74 0.0000% x
203 IPFW -11.29 0.0000% x
204 Navy -10.45 0.0000% x
205 Vermont -11.10 0.0000% x
206 Albany -10.91 0.0000% x
207 East Carolina -11.71 0.0000% x
208 Gardner Webb -11.12 0.0000% x
209 High Point -10.47 0.0000% x
210 James Madison -11.76 0.0000% x
211 Florida Atlantic -11.99 0.0000% x
212 Loyola Chicago -12.27 0.0000% x
213 Towson -12.52 0.0000% x
214 Quinnipiac -11.22 0.0000% x
215 Montana St. -11.19 0.0000% x
216 Binghamton -11.90 0.0000% x
217 Lehigh -11.45 0.0000% x
218 Evansville -12.39 0.0000% x
219 LIU Brooklyn -11.48 0.0000% x
220 Utah Valley St. -10.66 0.0000% x
221 Elon -12.53 0.0000% x
222 Columbia -11.26 0.0000% x
223 Drexel -13.32 0.0000% x
224 Fresno St. -12.64 0.0000% x
225 Army -12.14 0.0000% x
226 Hofstra -12.51 0.0000% x
227 Chicago St. -11.67 0.0000% x
228 Boston University -12.40 0.0000% x
229 Buffalo -13.05 0.0000% x
230 Texas Pan American -10.26 0.0000% x
231 Hawaii -12.76 0.0000% x
232 Montana -11.71 0.0000% x
233 Penn -12.29 0.0000% x
234 Morehead St. -11.59 0.0000% x
235 Northwestern St. -12.90 0.0000% x
236 UTSA -12.33 0.0000% x
237 Lipscomb -12.24 0.0000% x
238 Liberty -12.13 0.0000% x
239 Central Connecticut -12.38 0.0000% x
240 McNeese St. -12.14 0.0000% x
241 Cal Poly -12.84 0.0000% x
242 Western Illinois -12.56 0.0000% x
243 Coastal Carolina -11.75 0.0000% x
244 SMU -12.88 0.0000% x
245 Stetson -12.21 0.0000% x
246 San Jose St. -13.68 0.0000% x
247 Tennessee Martin -12.12 0.0000% x
248 Oregon St. -13.06 0.0000% x
249 Southern Utah -13.33 0.0000% x
250 Texas St. -11.93 0.0000% x
251 Bucknell -13.88 0.0000% x
252 Eastern Kentucky -12.15 0.0000% x
253 Mississippi Valley St. -11.44 0.0000% 16
254 FIU -13.60 0.0000% x
255 Youngstown St. -13.74 0.0000% x
256 Northern Colorado -12.53 0.0000% x
257 Troy -13.80 0.0000% x
258 Tennessee St. -12.85 0.0000% x
259 Delaware St. -12.18 0.0000% x
260 Iona -14.06 0.0000% x
261 Central Arkansas -12.74 0.0000% x
262 North Carolina A&T -12.07 0.0000% x
263 VMI -12.13 0.0000% x
264 St. Bonaventure -14.85 0.0000% x
265 UMKC -14.47 0.0000% x
266 Idaho St. -13.59 0.0000% x
267 Eastern Washington -13.45 0.0000% x
268 Denver -14.41 0.0000% x
269 Pepperdine -14.28 0.0000% x
270 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -14.49 0.0000% x
271 Samford -12.81 0.0000% x
272 Manhattan -14.49 0.0000% x
273 San Francisco -14.54 0.0000% x
274 Florida A&M -12.79 0.0000% x
275 Western Carolina -14.98 0.0000% x
276 Savannah St. -13.29 0.0000% x
277 Northern Illinois -15.54 0.0000% x
278 Detroit -15.69 0.0000% x
279 Centenary -15.37 0.0000% x
280 Norfolk St. -12.81 0.0000% x
281 Georgia St. -15.35 0.0000% x
282 Nicholls St. -15.63 0.0000% x
283 Arkansas St. -15.31 0.0000% x
284 Louisiana Monroe -15.05 0.0000% x
285 Ball St. -16.16 0.0000% x
286 Coppin St. -15.07 0.0000% 16b
287 Colorado St. -16.67 0.0000% x
288 UC Riverside -15.80 0.0000% x
289 Portland -15.56 0.0000% x
290 Alabama A&M -12.97 0.0000% x
291 South Dakota St. -16.19 0.0000% x
292 Radford -15.66 0.0000% x
293 New Hampshire -16.21 0.0000% x
294 Dartmouth -15.03 0.0000% x
295 Fairleigh Dickinson -16.09 0.0000% x
296 Idaho -16.09 0.0000% x
297 Southeast Missouri St. -15.59 0.0000% x
298 Furman -17.13 0.0000% x
299 Tennessee Tech -15.89 0.0000% x
300 Mercer -15.71 0.0000% x
301 Winston Salem St. -15.22 0.0000% x
302 Jackson St. -16.09 0.0000% x
303 UC Davis -16.67 0.0000% x
304 Florida Gulf Coast -16.64 0.0000% x
305 Harvard -17.47 0.0000% x
306 Campbell -16.75 0.0000% x
307 Charleston Southern -16.38 0.0000% x
308 South Carolina St. -16.78 0.0000% x
309 Cal St. Bakersfield -17.13 0.0000% x
310 Kennesaw St. -16.62 0.0000% x
311 Saint Peter’s -19.35 0.0000% x
312 Stony Brook -19.07 0.0000% x
313 St. Francis NY -18.36 0.0000% x
314 Maryland Eastern Shore -24.47 0.0000% x
315 Louisiana Tech -19.32 0.0000% x
316 Eastern Illinois -19.50 0.0000% x
317 Rice -19.06 0.0000% x
318 Arkansas Pine Bluff -15.86 0.0000% x
319 St. Francis PA -19.07 0.0000% x
320 Texas Southern -21.08 0.0000% x
321 Alcorn St. -21.55 0.0000% x
322 Longwood -18.37 0.0000% x
323 Sacramento St. -19.36 0.0000% x
324 Bethune Cookman -18.40 0.0000% x
325 Jacksonville St. -19.66 0.0000% x
326 North Florida -22.36 0.0000% x
327 Loyola Marymount -18.97 0.0000% x
328 USC Upstate -18.66 0.0000% x
329 NJIT -25.13 0.0000% x
330 North Carolina Central -20.62 0.0000% x
331 Princeton -18.49 0.0000% x
332 Southern -16.22 0.0000% x
333 Howard -22.47 0.0000% x
334 Maine -18.86 0.0000% x
335 Monmouth -19.57 0.0000% x
336 Prairie View A&M -18.81 0.0000% x
337 Presbyterian -20.10 0.0000% x
338 The Citadel -18.07 0.0000% x
339 Canisius -19.67 0.0000% x
340 Long Beach St. -20.05 0.0000% x
341 Grambling St. -17.17 0.0000% x
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