Every. Game. Counts. Xavier vs. Texas: March 2nd edition

In his most recent bracket, Joe Lunardi has Xavier as an 8-seed and Texas among the “next four out”.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology/_/iteration/245

I have Xavier as having the 58th best resume for inclusion in the NCAA Tournament. In other words, around 10 spots below the Mendoza-line. I have Texas in 45th, which is squarely in “last four in” territory. The two teams have similar records (18-12 for Xavier, 17-12 for Texas). Both have faced very tough schedules (Xavier’s SoS is 16th in both RPI and Kenpom, Texas’ schedule is 10th in KenPom and 14th in RPI). So why do I have Texas almost a full win ahead of Xavier in terms of merit? Let’s break it down:

Vs. the top 25

Xavier 4-4

Texas 1-9

That’s not a good look for Texas. I can understand why one would expect Xavier to come out on top in a head-to-head comparison.

Vs. 26-50

Xavier 1-2

Texas 1-2

Here Xavier had 2 road games, and 1 home game. Texas had 1 road game, 1 home game, and 1 neutral court game. Advantage: Xavier.

Vs. 51-100

Xavier 4-2

Texas 3-1

For now this looks pretty similar, but that won’t be a case when we take the specifics into account.

Vs. 101-200

Xavier 8-4

Texas 7-0

Texas looks quite a bit better here. In fact, this is the weakness in Xavier’s resume. More on this in a bit.

Vs. 200+

Xavier 1-0

Texas 5-0

They both took care of business, although Texas had a bit more business to take care off.

Overall I can see why someone would look at Xavier’s record against the top 25 and come away impressed. As for Texas, 12 of their 17 wins come against teams outside of the top  100 in the RPI. They got demolished against the top 25, only managing a win at home vs. West Virginia. How can that be enough to earn them admittance to the dance? Well, let’s look at those results in a bit more detail. Let’s start with Xavier:

Opponent RPI Location Opponent Bubble Expected Win% Wins
3 Away Villanova 10.44% 75-88 0
3 Home Villanova 29.63% 66-78 0
22 Away Providence 33.09% 66-69 0
22 Home Providence 64.16% 78-69 1
23 Away Butler 24.23% 76-88 0
23 Home Butler 53.67% 73-56 1
24 Away Georgetown 26.58% 66-53 1
24 Home Georgetown 56.75% 70-53 1
37 Away St. John’s 33.23% 57-58 0
37 Home St. John’s 64.29% 70-78 0
50 Away Cincinnati 38.05% 59-57 1
63 Home Stephen F. Austin 70.59% 81-63 1
65 Home Murray State 74.92% 89-62 1
73 Away Seton Hall 47.19% 82-90 0
73 Home Seton Hall 76.37% 69-58 1
75 Neutral Texas-El Paso 68.46% 73-77 0
83 Home Alabama 71.06% 97-84 1
107 Home Long Beach State 86.48% 97-74 1
107 Neutral Long Beach State 77.06% 70-73 0
125 Home Florida Gulf Coast 90.46% 71-57 1
131 Home Creighton 80.48% 72-79 0
142 Away Auburn 67.82% 88-89 0
146 Neutral San Diego 70.71% 82-71 1
148 Away Marquette 56.04% 64-44 1
148 Home Marquette 82.17% 62-58 1
166 Away DePaul 65.22% 68-71 0
166 Home DePaul 87.17% 89-76 1
187 Home Northern Arizona 92.20% 93-60 1
199 Away Missouri 72.67% 74-58 1
258 Home IUPUI 96.31% 66-43 1
Bubble Expected Wins 18.68 Total Wins 18

To start off, that 4-4 vs. the top 25 really is impressive. A generic bubble team would expect to average 2.99 wins. Going 1-2 vs. teams ranked 26-50 hurts a bit as our bubble team would expect 1.36 wins. Similarly, our bubble squad would expect to win 4.09 games on average vs. the 50-100 grouping. At this point Xavier is still more than half a win above expectations, but that’s about to go away. Xavier went 8-4 vs. the teams ranked 101-200. A bubble squad would expect to average 9.28 wins over those 12 games. That’s a very poor result for Xavier. Finally, in their one game outside of the top 200 they crushed IUPUI at home. Overall they end up about 0.68 wins behind the pace.

As for Texas, things will not look good at first:

Opponent RPI Location Opponent Bubble Expected Win% Wins
1 Away Kentucky 4.31% 51-63 0
2 Away Kansas 16.89% 64-69 0
2 Home Kansas 42.35% 62-75 0
9 Away Baylor 18.32% 60-83 0
15 Away Oklahoma 17.97% 69-71 0
15 Home Oklahoma 44.21% 49-70 0
17 Away Iowa State 21.61% 86-89 0
17 Home Iowa State 49.95% 77-85 0
21 Away West Virginia 25.34% 64-71 0
21 Home West Virginia 55.14% 77-50 1
39 Away Oklahoma State 32.87% 58-69 0
39 Home Oklahoma State 63.88% 63-65 0
47 Neutral Iowa 43.50% 71-57 1
56 Home Stanford 65.21% 71-74 0
69 Away Connecticut 42.33% 55-54 1
78 Away Kansas State 47.60% 61-57 1
100 Neutral California 73.89% 71-55 1
107 Home Long Beach State 86.48% 78-68 1
124 Away TCU 37.80% 66-48 1
124 Home TCU 68.76% 66-43 1
126 Home North Dakota State 90.85% 85-50 1
172 Home Texas-Arlington 90.16% 63-53 1
175 Away Texas Tech 68.25% 70-61 1
175 Home Texas Tech 88.62% 56-41 1
203 Home St. Francis (Pa.) 93.98% 78-46 1
236 Home Texas State-San Marcos 93.74% 59-27 1
275 Home Rice 94.73% 66-55 1
286 Home Lipscomb 96.63% 106-61 1
348 Home Alcorn State 99.21% 85-53 1
Bubble Expected Wins 16.75 Total Wins 17

In their ten cracks at a top 25 opponent, Texas should have grabbed about 2.96 wins. Instead, they snagged just one. We just started and Texas is almost two full wins below the Mendoza line. In their three games against teams ranked 26-50, a bubble team would average 1.40 wins. Again, Texas grabbed just one. At this point Texas is a full three games behind Xavier. Things get a little better in their games against teams ranked 51-100. Texas went 3-1, well ahead of the bubble expectation of 2.29. If 2.29 seems low to you, remember that only one of those games was at home. Finally we come to the 101-200 grouping. Texas managed a clean sweep. Our generic bubble squad would expect to average 5.31 wins. Finally, Texas managed to win their five home games against teams outside of the top 200 in the RPI. That doesn’t sound impressive to me either, but a bubble squad would only expect to pull it off 80.00% of the time. Seriously, it really is almost exactly 80%. That’s why we’d expect a bubble team to grab a measly 4.78 wins here. Put it all together and Texas is about one-quarter of a win ahead of what we’d expect from a bubble squad. But I’ll be darned if it doesn’t look odd.

Texas vs. teams in the RPI top 60: 2-12. Mean expectation: 5.02 wins, 8.98 losses.

Texas vs. teams outside of the RPI top 60: 15-0. Mean expectation: 11.73 wins, 3.27 losses. A bubble team would pull off that sweep 1.33% of the time. That’s hard.

I understand why bracketologists like Xavier’s resume, and are skeptical of Texas’. However, the truth is Texas has a significantly better resume. Xavier (like Cincinnati), is being propped up by a solid record vs. the top 25 while the rest of their resume is being ignored. If we are too look at the entire bodies of work, Xavier simply does not belong in the field right now. Sorry Musketeers.

Here’s how the overall picture looks:

Ranking School KenPom Massey BPI Sagarin Average WAB
1 Kentucky 11.00 11.58 11.21 11.39 11.29
2 Virginia 9.25 10.11 9.96 9.91 9.81
3 Duke 8.68 9.34 9.18 9.23 9.11
4 Villanova 8.62 9.04 8.85 9.13 8.91
5 Wisconsin 7.79 8.12 8.12 8.58 8.15
6 Kansas 7.90 7.95 7.68 8.48 8.00
7 Arizona 7.26 7.14 7.45 7.53 7.34
8 Gonzaga 6.82 7.22 6.80 6.98 6.96
9 Maryland 5.32 5.49 5.66 6.07 5.63
10 Louisville 4.74 5.44 5.42 5.58 5.30
11 Baylor 4.97 5.15 4.90 5.53 5.13
12 Notre Dame 4.25 5.04 4.79 4.86 4.74
13 Northern Iowa 4.65 4.65 4.75 4.63 4.67
14 Wichita St. 4.58 4.52 4.79 4.50 4.60
15 West Virginia 4.16 4.33 3.97 4.55 4.25
16 Oklahoma 4.00 4.20 3.95 4.55 4.18
17 Utah 4.06 3.91 4.21 4.11 4.07
18 North Carolina 3.57 4.20 4.11 4.29 4.04
19 Iowa St. 3.77 3.97 3.73 4.25 3.93
20 Arkansas 3.25 3.81 3.33 3.43 3.45
21 Butler 3.06 3.59 3.39 3.54 3.39
22 Providence 2.20 2.76 2.65 2.65 2.57
23 Georgetown 1.84 2.29 2.24 2.34 2.18
24 SMU 1.96 1.90 1.99 1.89 1.93
25 VCU 1.85 1.75 2.27 1.58 1.86
26 Texas A&M 1.54 1.90 1.81 1.70 1.74
27 Georgia 1.36 1.90 1.72 1.61 1.65
28 Ohio St. 1.18 1.60 1.66 2.04 1.62
29 Davidson 1.49 1.48 1.88 1.56 1.60
30 LSU 1.32 1.81 1.68 1.54 1.59
31 St. John’s 1.18 1.68 1.59 1.70 1.54
32 Dayton 1.33 1.52 1.79 1.29 1.48
33 Iowa 1.02 1.33 1.53 1.98 1.46
34 Oregon 1.21 1.15 1.41 1.42 1.30
35 Colorado St. 1.06 0.68 0.93 1.21 0.97
36 San Diego St. 0.95 0.68 0.88 1.15 0.92
37 Stephen F. Austin 1.01 0.79 0.86 0.78 0.86
38 BYU 0.64 0.88 0.56 0.95 0.76
39 Murray St. 0.80 0.66 0.80 0.74 0.75
40 Boise St. 0.69 0.51 0.68 0.92 0.70
41 Michigan St. 0.14 0.68 0.73 1.07 0.66
42 Indiana 0.08 0.43 0.70 0.96 0.54
43 Oklahoma St. 0.39 0.54 0.28 0.94 0.54
44 Purdue -0.04 0.42 0.46 0.87 0.43
45 Texas 0.27 0.40 0.17 0.68 0.38
46 Wofford 0.21 0.23 0.57 0.31 0.33
47 Valparaiso 0.30 0.26 0.25 0.09 0.22
48 Saint Mary’s -0.16 0.27 -0.15 0.13 0.02
49 Mississippi -0.16 0.28 -0.07 -0.10 -0.01
50 Tulsa -0.17 -0.28 -0.31 -0.37 -0.28
51 Old Dominion -0.21 -0.51 -0.26 -0.32 -0.33
52 UCLA -0.46 -0.56 -0.31 -0.21 -0.39
53 Illinois -0.91 -0.44 -0.51 -0.15 -0.50
54 Rhode Island -0.70 -0.49 -0.17 -0.68 -0.51
55 Miami FL -1.02 -0.33 -0.45 -0.32 -0.53
56 UC Davis -0.61 -0.62 -0.46 -0.56 -0.56
57 Green Bay -0.54 -0.63 -0.58 -0.66 -0.60
58 Xavier -0.84 -0.41 -0.65 -0.53 -0.61
59 Syracuse -1.07 -0.33 -0.64 -0.54 -0.64
60 Temple -0.58 -0.65 -0.60 -0.82 -0.66
61 North Carolina St. -1.13 -0.44 -0.58 -0.54 -0.67
62 Harvard -0.70 -0.69 -0.83 -0.79 -0.75
63 Louisiana Tech -0.69 -0.94 -0.76 -0.64 -0.76
64 Stanford -0.93 -0.93 -0.77 -0.80 -0.86
65 Pittsburgh -1.41 -0.66 -0.88 -0.75 -0.93
66 Iona -1.03 -0.95 -1.11 -1.14 -1.06
67 Cincinnati -1.11 -1.26 -1.20 -1.23 -1.20
68 North Carolina Central -1.44 -1.40 -1.12 -1.47 -1.36
69 Minnesota -1.95 -1.55 -1.35 -1.09 -1.49
70 Alabama -1.69 -1.34 -1.55 -1.54 -1.53
71 Buffalo -1.54 -1.64 -1.46 -1.57 -1.55
72 Central Michigan -1.56 -1.68 -1.61 -1.57 -1.61
73 Seton Hall -1.87 -1.52 -1.62 -1.59 -1.65
74 Yale -1.53 -1.60 -1.79 -1.81 -1.68
75 TCU -2.03 -1.77 -2.13 -1.54 -1.87
76 Kansas St. -2.19 -1.97 -2.24 -1.65 -2.01
77 George Washington -2.27 -2.29 -1.77 -2.21 -2.13
78 Clemson -2.73 -1.97 -2.19 -2.23 -2.28
79 Connecticut -2.28 -2.40 -2.32 -2.31 -2.33
80 Sam Houston St. -2.35 -2.40 -2.45 -2.58 -2.45
81 Vanderbilt -2.78 -2.20 -2.58 -2.49 -2.51
82 Wyoming -2.56 -2.88 -2.66 -2.48 -2.65
83 High Point -2.68 -2.80 -2.46 -2.91 -2.71
84 UTEP -2.72 -3.05 -2.74 -2.73 -2.81
85 Bowling Green -2.76 -2.92 -2.74 -2.89 -2.83
86 Michigan -3.26 -3.02 -2.86 -2.48 -2.91
87 Toledo -2.87 -3.09 -2.94 -3.00 -2.98
88 Oregon St. -3.08 -3.15 -3.05 -2.96 -3.06
89 Albany -2.92 -3.09 -3.21 -3.08 -3.08
90 Richmond -3.35 -3.18 -2.80 -3.31 -3.16
91 Eastern Washington -3.25 -3.28 -3.13 -3.25 -3.23
92 Massachusetts -3.40 -3.15 -2.96 -3.42 -3.23
93 Illinois St. -3.25 -3.31 -2.96 -3.47 -3.25
94 Florida -3.69 -3.10 -3.23 -3.65 -3.42
95 California -3.48 -3.64 -3.40 -3.29 -3.46
96 South Carolina -3.79 -3.31 -3.40 -3.62 -3.53
97 Georgia St. -3.56 -3.56 -3.49 -3.61 -3.56
98 South Dakota St. -3.47 -3.67 -3.55 -3.68 -3.59
99 Arizona St. -3.78 -3.78 -3.58 -3.62 -3.69
100 Tennessee -3.97 -3.39 -3.74 -3.68 -3.70
101 Chattanooga -3.83 -3.93 -3.47 -3.84 -3.77
102 Pepperdine -4.00 -3.71 -3.99 -3.74 -3.86
103 Florida Gulf Coast -3.96 -4.00 -3.84 -3.92 -3.93
104 Georgia Southern -4.09 -4.03 -4.06 -4.01 -4.05
105 Stony Brook -4.09 -4.15 -4.15 -3.98 -4.09
106 Evansville -4.04 -4.16 -3.97 -4.33 -4.13
107 Kent St. -4.12 -4.30 -4.11 -4.26 -4.20
108 Rider -4.25 -4.14 -4.36 -4.20 -4.24
109 Utah St. -4.18 -4.32 -4.47 -4.04 -4.25
110 North Dakota St. -4.25 -4.43 -4.40 -4.30 -4.34
111 Loyola Chicago -4.36 -4.48 -4.25 -4.62 -4.43
112 UNLV -4.22 -4.69 -4.62 -4.27 -4.45
113 New Mexico St. -4.60 -4.64 -4.22 -4.43 -4.47
114 Northeastern -4.62 -4.41 -4.56 -4.49 -4.52
115 Washington -4.52 -4.77 -4.50 -4.36 -4.54
116 Eastern Kentucky -4.65 -4.63 -4.57 -4.58 -4.61
117 Northwestern -5.05 -4.82 -4.52 -4.33 -4.68
118 UC Irvine -4.62 -4.65 -4.70 -4.75 -4.68
119 Texas Southern -4.91 -4.80 -4.32 -4.75 -4.70
120 Coastal Carolina -4.65 -4.68 -4.43 -5.04 -4.70
121 Western Kentucky -4.74 -4.87 -4.59 -4.64 -4.71
122 Western Michigan -4.64 -4.83 -4.82 -4.64 -4.73
123 Penn St. -5.15 -4.84 -4.66 -4.36 -4.75
124 Memphis -4.58 -4.76 -4.86 -4.90 -4.78
125 Charleston Southern -4.82 -4.83 -4.48 -5.06 -4.80
126 William & Mary -4.85 -4.86 -4.81 -4.74 -4.81
127 Sacramento St. -4.90 -4.87 -4.71 -4.86 -4.84
128 Belmont -4.86 -4.96 -4.77 -4.89 -4.87
129 Nebraska -5.22 -4.92 -4.84 -4.50 -4.87
130 Florida St. -5.37 -4.47 -5.06 -4.66 -4.89
131 Radford -4.79 -4.92 -4.73 -5.14 -4.90
132 Incarnate Word -4.81 -4.91 -4.92 -4.96 -4.90
133 North Florida -5.07 -4.97 -4.86 -4.96 -4.96
134 Wake Forest -5.48 -4.73 -4.83 -4.84 -4.97
135 St. Bonaventure -5.16 -5.21 -4.90 -5.28 -5.14
136 Creighton -5.63 -5.31 -5.41 -5.25 -5.40
137 Marquette -5.82 -5.43 -5.49 -5.39 -5.53
138 San Diego -5.70 -5.34 -5.67 -5.43 -5.53
139 UC Santa Barbara -5.48 -5.55 -5.50 -5.62 -5.54
140 UNC Wilmington -5.80 -5.72 -5.63 -5.47 -5.65
141 La Salle -5.71 -5.70 -5.36 -5.88 -5.66
142 Hawaii -5.66 -5.64 -5.68 -5.69 -5.67
143 Colorado -5.75 -5.87 -5.60 -5.60 -5.70
144 Long Beach St. -5.72 -5.64 -5.85 -5.64 -5.71
145 Tennessee Martin -5.75 -5.76 -5.62 -5.75 -5.72
146 Northwestern St. -5.65 -5.71 -5.75 -5.78 -5.72
147 Cleveland St. -5.68 -5.78 -5.64 -5.86 -5.74
148 St. Francis NY -5.73 -5.74 -5.87 -5.86 -5.80
149 Alabama St. -5.97 -5.92 -5.37 -5.97 -5.81
150 Georgia Tech -6.37 -5.52 -5.63 -5.71 -5.81
151 Louisiana Monroe -5.78 -5.86 -5.78 -5.83 -5.81
152 Texas Tech -5.97 -5.79 -6.16 -5.54 -5.86
153 Norfolk St. -5.86 -5.91 -6.01 -6.04 -5.95
154 Portland -6.13 -5.73 -6.00 -5.97 -5.96
155 USC Upstate -6.12 -6.03 -6.17 -6.10 -6.10
156 Oakland -6.13 -6.18 -6.20 -6.22 -6.18
157 Akron -6.18 -6.28 -6.24 -6.19 -6.22
158 Eastern Michigan -6.28 -6.39 -6.23 -6.30 -6.30
159 NJIT -6.33 -6.25 -6.37 -6.42 -6.34
160 Montana -6.47 -6.50 -6.32 -6.38 -6.42
161 UAB -6.51 -6.69 -6.38 -6.45 -6.51
162 Washington St. -6.71 -6.86 -6.54 -6.46 -6.64
163 Gardner Webb -6.79 -6.86 -6.55 -7.13 -6.83
164 Lafayette -6.81 -6.77 -6.95 -6.94 -6.87
165 James Madison -6.97 -7.05 -6.98 -6.83 -6.96
166 New Hampshire -6.92 -6.97 -7.11 -6.97 -6.99
167 UT Arlington -6.98 -7.02 -7.03 -6.98 -7.00
168 DePaul -7.35 -7.02 -7.07 -6.93 -7.09
169 Bucknell -7.19 -7.07 -7.21 -7.16 -7.16
170 Auburn -7.42 -7.00 -7.10 -7.31 -7.21
171 Hofstra -7.29 -7.14 -7.25 -7.16 -7.21
172 Eastern Illinois -7.09 -7.27 -7.35 -7.41 -7.28
173 Maryland Eastern Shore -7.20 -7.27 -7.21 -7.49 -7.29
174 Oral Roberts -7.24 -7.49 -7.34 -7.25 -7.33
175 Indiana St. -7.57 -7.64 -7.28 -7.56 -7.51
176 New Mexico -7.43 -7.80 -7.55 -7.39 -7.54
177 Boston College -8.15 -7.32 -7.52 -7.46 -7.61
178 Tulane -7.52 -7.65 -7.61 -7.70 -7.62
179 Manhattan -7.69 -7.54 -7.72 -7.64 -7.64
180 Vermont -7.61 -7.67 -7.66 -7.68 -7.66
181 East Tennessee St. -7.69 -7.79 -7.43 -7.86 -7.69
182 Louisiana Lafayette -7.74 -7.74 -7.84 -7.89 -7.80
183 Canisius -7.74 -7.71 -7.95 -7.86 -7.82
184 Texas A&M Corpus Chris -7.80 -7.89 -7.71 -7.93 -7.83
185 Cal Poly -7.85 -7.77 -7.80 -7.91 -7.83
186 Winthrop -7.96 -7.93 -7.66 -8.22 -7.94
187 Monmouth -7.91 -7.88 -8.09 -7.99 -7.97
188 Lehigh -7.95 -7.93 -8.03 -7.97 -7.97
189 Columbia -7.80 -7.92 -8.13 -8.19 -8.01
190 Mississippi St. -8.44 -7.87 -7.65 -8.21 -8.04
191 Santa Clara -8.29 -7.83 -8.18 -8.04 -8.08
192 Northern Arizona -8.08 -8.08 -8.07 -8.17 -8.10
193 Mercer -8.28 -8.19 -7.75 -8.22 -8.11
194 IPFW -8.00 -8.19 -8.14 -8.13 -8.11
195 Mount St. Mary’s -8.07 -8.09 -8.19 -8.19 -8.14
196 Middle Tennessee -8.30 -8.45 -8.30 -8.36 -8.35
197 Robert Morris -8.33 -8.31 -8.47 -8.51 -8.40
198 Rutgers -9.01 -8.61 -8.45 -8.16 -8.56
199 Charlotte -8.69 -8.73 -8.48 -8.44 -8.59
200 Lamar -8.51 -8.58 -8.67 -8.70 -8.62
201 UC Riverside -8.56 -8.67 -8.71 -8.65 -8.65
202 Virginia Tech -9.13 -8.41 -8.53 -8.66 -8.68
203 Saint Joseph’s -8.78 -8.70 -8.38 -8.89 -8.69
204 Northern Illinois -8.73 -8.81 -8.63 -8.69 -8.71
205 Fresno St. -8.79 -8.97 -8.83 -8.60 -8.80
206 San Francisco -9.03 -8.60 -8.81 -8.80 -8.81
207 Milwaukee -8.80 -8.86 -8.76 -8.88 -8.83
208 Portland St. -8.94 -8.88 -8.88 -8.88 -8.89
209 North Texas -9.04 -9.19 -8.85 -8.88 -8.99
210 Bryant -8.75 -8.96 -9.12 -9.14 -9.00
211 USC -9.14 -9.28 -9.09 -8.93 -9.11
212 St. Francis PA -8.97 -9.11 -9.33 -9.25 -9.16
213 Detroit -9.04 -9.25 -9.14 -9.39 -9.21
214 American -9.18 -9.18 -9.32 -9.22 -9.22
215 Air Force -9.33 -9.61 -9.46 -9.18 -9.39
216 Princeton -9.45 -9.40 -9.47 -9.57 -9.47
217 UTSA -9.48 -9.66 -9.41 -9.42 -9.49
218 Quinnipiac -9.43 -9.42 -9.64 -9.52 -9.50
219 Dartmouth -9.46 -9.48 -9.57 -9.67 -9.54
220 East Carolina -9.44 -9.67 -9.59 -9.67 -9.59
221 Missouri -9.81 -9.37 -9.75 -9.50 -9.61
222 Army -9.55 -9.53 -9.70 -9.65 -9.61
223 Grand Canyon -9.70 -9.80 -9.50 -9.63 -9.66
224 South Dakota -9.61 -9.85 -9.71 -9.77 -9.74
225 Pacific -9.98 -9.59 -9.77 -9.66 -9.75
226 UCF -9.71 -9.81 -9.74 -9.91 -9.79
227 Northern Colorado -9.81 -9.90 -9.70 -9.80 -9.80
228 Cornell -9.77 -9.76 -9.95 -9.91 -9.85
229 Hartford -9.75 -9.87 -9.98 -9.96 -9.89
230 Colgate -9.95 -9.91 -9.95 -9.83 -9.91
231 Morehead St. -9.78 -10.08 -9.84 -9.94 -9.91
232 Holy Cross -9.99 -9.96 -10.13 -10.06 -10.04
233 Texas St. -10.05 -10.10 -10.22 -10.14 -10.13
234 Seattle -10.27 -10.27 -10.01 -10.10 -10.16
235 Western Carolina -10.21 -10.20 -10.13 -10.30 -10.21
236 McNeese St. -10.23 -10.28 -10.67 -10.33 -10.38
237 UNC Asheville -10.31 -10.46 -10.15 -10.65 -10.39
238 Delaware St. -10.24 -10.32 -10.37 -10.64 -10.39
239 Howard -10.39 -10.35 -10.42 -10.55 -10.43
240 Idaho -10.38 -10.57 -10.56 -10.52 -10.51
241 Northern Kentucky -10.64 -10.55 -10.35 -10.52 -10.51
242 Boston University -10.46 -10.51 -10.53 -10.62 -10.53
243 Southern -10.80 -10.77 -10.23 -10.74 -10.63
244 SIU Edwardsville -10.64 -10.69 -10.57 -10.68 -10.65
245 Fordham -10.83 -10.73 -10.39 -10.86 -10.70
246 Southeast Missouri St. -10.82 -10.74 -10.69 -10.84 -10.77
247 Miami OH -10.81 -10.94 -10.68 -10.81 -10.81
248 Weber St. -10.84 -10.86 -10.93 -10.96 -10.90
249 Lipscomb -10.99 -10.98 -10.81 -10.98 -10.94
250 Duquesne -11.17 -11.06 -10.70 -11.14 -11.02
251 George Mason -11.17 -11.18 -10.73 -11.19 -11.07
252 Prairie View A&M -11.18 -11.26 -10.71 -11.18 -11.08
253 Saint Louis -11.23 -11.30 -11.06 -11.32 -11.23
254 Brown -11.18 -11.17 -11.41 -11.34 -11.27
255 UMass Lowell -11.18 -11.36 -11.38 -11.31 -11.31
256 Elon -11.50 -11.32 -11.45 -11.25 -11.38
257 New Orleans -11.31 -11.40 -11.44 -11.37 -11.38
258 Houston Baptist -11.30 -11.34 -11.49 -11.45 -11.39
259 Missouri St. -11.37 -11.50 -11.16 -11.59 -11.41
260 FIU -11.47 -11.64 -11.31 -11.40 -11.45
261 Denver -11.42 -11.69 -11.47 -11.64 -11.56
262 Sacred Heart -11.52 -11.53 -11.66 -11.64 -11.59
263 Hampton -11.55 -11.64 -11.68 -11.62 -11.62
264 Arkansas Little Rock -11.65 -11.63 -11.64 -11.69 -11.65
265 Saint Peter’s -11.69 -11.57 -11.72 -11.64 -11.65
266 Houston -11.67 -11.87 -11.72 -11.92 -11.80
267 Arkansas St. -11.83 -11.76 -12.12 -11.82 -11.88
268 Loyola Marymount -12.14 -11.81 -12.08 -11.88 -11.98
269 UMKC -12.28 -12.29 -12.07 -12.19 -12.21
270 Drexel -12.43 -12.27 -12.26 -12.07 -12.26
271 Wright St. -12.26 -12.45 -12.24 -12.49 -12.36
272 Drake -12.34 -12.40 -12.17 -12.55 -12.36
273 LIU Brooklyn -12.20 -12.36 -12.62 -12.50 -12.42
274 Loyola MD -12.55 -12.51 -12.62 -12.46 -12.53
275 Appalachian St. -12.61 -12.50 -12.51 -12.55 -12.54
276 VMI -12.94 -12.84 -12.49 -12.88 -12.79
277 Samford -12.93 -12.87 -12.53 -12.92 -12.81
278 Tennessee Tech -12.84 -12.84 -12.74 -12.91 -12.83
279 Navy -12.88 -12.77 -12.93 -12.83 -12.85
280 Southern Illinois -12.82 -12.90 -12.59 -13.17 -12.87
281 Nebraska Omaha -12.98 -13.03 -12.81 -12.86 -12.92
282 Delaware -13.03 -12.96 -12.97 -12.85 -12.95
283 Cal St. Bakersfield -13.11 -13.24 -12.97 -13.14 -13.12
284 Marshall -13.16 -13.33 -13.04 -13.02 -13.14
285 Towson -13.23 -13.13 -13.23 -13.10 -13.17
286 Ohio -13.23 -13.32 -13.05 -13.18 -13.19
287 Southern Miss -13.15 -13.49 -13.28 -13.29 -13.30
288 IUPUI -13.17 -13.44 -13.36 -13.37 -13.34
289 The Citadel -13.57 -13.49 -13.15 -13.56 -13.44
290 Utah Valley -13.54 -13.57 -13.35 -13.57 -13.51
291 Penn -13.36 -13.40 -13.59 -13.82 -13.54
292 Youngstown St. -13.39 -13.60 -13.51 -13.69 -13.55
293 South Florida -13.43 -13.54 -13.55 -13.69 -13.55
294 Ball St. -13.50 -13.77 -13.68 -13.66 -13.65
295 Siena -13.77 -13.70 -13.88 -13.93 -13.82
296 Rice -13.84 -14.08 -13.74 -13.70 -13.84
297 Nevada -13.89 -14.08 -13.88 -13.68 -13.88
298 Troy -13.95 -13.89 -13.87 -14.03 -13.93
299 Alabama A&M -14.18 -14.09 -13.48 -14.18 -13.98
300 Savannah St. -13.99 -13.99 -14.02 -14.16 -14.04
301 Wagner -13.93 -14.01 -14.22 -14.06 -14.05
302 Nicholls St. -14.19 -14.24 -14.24 -14.28 -14.24
303 Jacksonville St. -14.50 -14.40 -14.53 -14.35 -14.44
304 Western Illinois -14.37 -14.63 -14.44 -14.45 -14.47
305 Southern Utah -14.48 -14.47 -14.50 -14.53 -14.49
306 Florida Atlantic -14.41 -14.68 -14.45 -14.60 -14.53
307 Jackson St. -14.74 -14.69 -14.16 -14.71 -14.58
308 Southeastern Louisiana -14.62 -14.71 -14.62 -14.64 -14.65
309 Niagara -14.75 -14.65 -14.90 -14.80 -14.78
310 Cal St. Northridge -14.70 -14.73 -14.85 -14.87 -14.79
311 Coppin St. -15.03 -15.08 -15.03 -15.10 -15.06
312 Bradley -15.05 -15.13 -14.86 -15.28 -15.08
313 Cal St. Fullerton -15.24 -15.19 -15.22 -15.31 -15.24
314 North Dakota -15.30 -15.42 -15.31 -15.35 -15.35
315 Texas Pan American -15.41 -15.51 -15.25 -15.40 -15.39
316 Arkansas Pine Bluff -15.53 -15.63 -14.91 -15.54 -15.40
317 South Alabama -15.41 -15.34 -15.48 -15.46 -15.42
318 South Carolina St. -15.36 -15.49 -15.36 -15.53 -15.44
319 Furman -15.51 -15.52 -15.21 -15.55 -15.45
320 Kennesaw St. -15.67 -15.70 -15.45 -15.55 -15.59
321 Presbyterian -15.51 -15.68 -15.37 -15.88 -15.61
322 Illinois Chicago -15.82 -15.90 -15.81 -16.05 -15.90
323 Campbell -15.82 -16.00 -15.65 -16.19 -15.92
324 Fairleigh Dickinson -15.92 -15.87 -16.16 -16.09 -16.01
325 Austin Peay -16.07 -16.11 -16.08 -16.20 -16.12
326 UNC Greensboro -16.37 -16.35 -15.93 -16.32 -16.24
327 Chicago St. -16.40 -16.49 -16.19 -16.35 -16.36
328 Jacksonville -16.50 -16.40 -16.53 -16.35 -16.44
329 College of Charleston -16.64 -16.41 -16.41 -16.42 -16.47
330 Abilene Christian -16.33 -16.51 -16.50 -16.55 -16.47
331 Stetson -16.55 -16.54 -16.28 -16.55 -16.48
332 Bethune Cookman -16.48 -16.59 -16.52 -16.59 -16.54
333 Longwood -16.76 -16.92 -16.66 -17.01 -16.83
334 North Carolina A&T -17.12 -17.27 -16.80 -17.14 -17.08
335 Morgan St. -17.04 -17.05 -17.09 -17.29 -17.12
336 Montana St. -17.39 -17.37 -17.21 -17.32 -17.32
337 Fairfield -17.26 -17.24 -17.44 -17.39 -17.33
338 Marist -18.79 -18.71 -18.89 -18.80 -18.80
339 Liberty -18.90 -19.06 -18.84 -19.34 -19.04
340 Idaho St. -19.15 -19.21 -19.10 -19.11 -19.14
341 Mississippi Valley St. -19.19 -19.12 -19.39 -19.01 -19.18
342 Binghamton -19.19 -19.19 -19.36 -19.26 -19.25
343 Tennessee St. -19.45 -19.57 -19.52 -19.53 -19.52
344 UMBC -19.62 -19.75 -19.85 -19.71 -19.73
345 Maine -19.63 -19.87 -19.92 -19.71 -19.78
346 Alcorn St. -20.36 -20.40 -19.86 -20.33 -20.24
347 Grambling St. -20.83 -20.78 -20.12 -20.55 -20.57
348 San Jose St. -20.92 -21.12 -20.98 -20.82 -20.96
349 Central Connecticut -21.09 -21.15 -21.39 -21.34 -21.24
350 Central Arkansas -22.07 -22.20 -22.21 -22.22 -22.18
351 Florida A&M -23.49 -23.58 -23.48 -23.61 -23.54
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