Risking $1.17 to win $1.07

I’ve taken some time to audit the season so far and make sure all the numbers are correct. I cleaned up a few bugs from November and here is where we stand. The Football Outsiders are currently down $5,300,711. Perhaps more interestingly, if we were using the World Cup Methodology I used with Fivethirtyeight’s soccer picks, the original $1,000,000 bankroll would be down to $89.16. That’s pretty sobering. As for tonight:

New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears

Chicago +3.5, risking $13,167 to win $11,970

Or, if we were using the World Cup methodology:

Chicago +3.5, risking $1.17 to win $1.07

It’s been a tough season for Football Outsiders…

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